A Network-Wide Stroke Team Program Reduces Time to Treatment for Endovascular Stroke Therapy in a Regional Stroke-Network.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Driven by the positive results of randomized, controlled trials of endovascular stroke therapies (EVT) in stroke patients with large vessel occlusion, different approaches to speed up the workflow for EVT candidates are currently being implemented worldwide. We aimed to assess the effect of a simple stroke network-wide workflow improvement project, primarily focusing on i.v. thrombolysis, on process times for patients undergoing EVT. METHODS: In 2015, we conducted a network-wide, peer-to-peer acute stroke workflow improvement program for i.v. thrombolysis with the main components of implementing a binding team-based algorithm at every stroke unit of the regional network, educating all stroke teams about non-technical skills and providing a stroke-specific simulation training. Before and after the intervention we recorded periprocedural process times, including patients undergoing EVT at the 3 EVT-capable centers (January - June 2015, n = 80 vs. July 2015 - June 2016, n = 184). RESULTS: In this multi-centric evaluation of 268 patients receiving EVT, we observed a relevant shortening of the median time from symptom onset to EVT specifically in patients requiring secondary transfer by almost an hour (300 min, 25-75% interquartile range [IQR] 231-381 min to 254 min, IQR 215.25-341 min; p = 0.117), including a reduction of the median door-to-groin time at the EVT-capable center in this patient group by 15.5 min (59 min, IQR 35-102 min to 43.5 min, IQR 27.75-81.25 min; p = 0.063). In patients directly admitted to an EVT-capable center, the median door-to-groin interval was reduced by 10.5 min (125 min, IQR 83.5-170.5 min to 114.5 min, IQR 66.5-151 min; p = 0.167), but a considerable heterogeneity between the centers was observed (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We show that a simple network-wide workflow improvement program primarily directed at fast i.v. thrombolysis also accelerates process times for EVT candidates and is a promising measure to improve the performance of an entire stroke network.

Isolated transient vertigo: posterior circulation ischemia or benign origin?

BACKGROUND: Isolated transient vertigo can be the only symptom of posterior circulation ischemia. Thus, it is important to differentiate isolated vertigo of a cerebrovascular origin from that of more benign origins, as patients with cerebral ischemia have a much higher risk for future stroke than do those with 'peripheral' vertigo. The current study aims to identify risk factors for cerebrovascular origin of isolated transient vertigo, and for future cerebrovascular events. METHODS: From the files of 339 outpatients with isolated transient vertigo we extracted history, clinical and technical findings, diagnosis, and follow-up information on subsequent stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Risk factors were analyzed using multivariate regression models (logistic or Cox) and reconfirmed in univariate analyses. RESULTS: On first presentation, 48 (14.2%) patients received the diagnosis 'probable or definite cerebrovascular vertigo'. During follow-up, 41 patients suffered stroke or TIA (event rate 7.9 per 100 person years, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.5-10.4), 26 in the posterior circulation (event rate 4.8 per 100 person years, 95% CI 3.0-6.7). The diagnosis was not associated with follow-up cerebrovascular events. In multivariate models testing multiple potential determinants, only the presentation mode was consistently associated with the diagnosis and stroke risk: patients who presented because of vertigo (rather than reporting vertigo when they presented for other reasons) had a significantly higher risk for future stroke or TIA (p = 0.028, event rate 13.4 vs. 5.4 per 100 person years) and for future posterior circulation stroke or TIA (p = 0.044, event rate 7.8 vs. 3.5 per 100 person years). CONCLUSIONS: We here report for the first time follow-up stroke rates in patients with transient isolated vertigo. In such patients, the identification of those with cerebrovascular origin remains difficult, and presentation mode was found to be the only consistent risk factor. Confirmation in an independent prospective sample is needed.

Automatic identification of variables in epidemiological datasets using logic regression.

BACKGROUND: For an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis, multiple datasets must be transformed in a consistent format, e.g. using uniform variable names. When large numbers of datasets have to be processed, this can be a time-consuming and error-prone task. Automated or semi-automated identification of variables can help to reduce the workload and improve the data quality. For semi-automation high sensitivity in the recognition of matching variables is particularly important, because it allows creating software which for a target variable presents a choice of source variables, from which a user can choose the matching one, with only low risk of having missed a correct source variable. METHODS: For each variable in a set of target variables, a number of simple rules were manually created. With logic regression, an optimal Boolean combination of these rules was searched for every target variable, using a random subset of a large database of epidemiological and clinical cohort data (construction subset). In a second subset of this database (validation subset), this optimal combination rules were validated. RESULTS: In the construction sample, 41 target variables were allocated on average with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 34%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 95%. In the validation sample, PPV was 33%, whereas NPV remained at 94%. In the construction sample, PPV was 50% or less in 63% of all variables, in the validation sample in 71% of all variables. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated that the application of logic regression in a complex data management task in large epidemiological IPD meta-analyses is feasible. However, the performance of the algorithm is poor, which may require backup strategies.

Quantifying the Benefit of Prehospital Rapid Treatment in Acute Stroke: Benchmark for Future Innovative Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In acute ischemic stroke, time from onset to tissue-type plasminogen activator treatment (OTT) is a major determinant of outcome. To reduce OTT, clinical trials have been undertaken evaluating prehospital cerebral imaging with mobile computed tomographic scanners. Furthermore, blood biomarkers may allow rapid differentiation between ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage before hospital admission. How such treatment strategies translate into clinical benefit has not been specifically evaluated. METHODS: We constructed decision models to estimate the net clinical benefit yielded by shorter OTT. In different scenarios, we estimated the proportion of patients with favorable outcome and the average quality of life. RESULTS: An OTT reduction of 60 minutes increases the probability of favorable outcome by 6.6% in a mixed stroke population. For comparison, the average effect of tissue-type plasminogen activator itself is 7.0%. Prehospital mobile computed tomography gaining 25 to 40 minutes increases the probability of favorable outcome by 3.0% to 4.6%. The additional benefit of prehospital computed tomography to deliver patients with large vessel occlusion directly to endovascular treatment centers increases the probability of favorable outcome by another 0.2% to 1.0%. A blood test discriminating ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage may beneficially substitute brain scan before tissue-type plasminogen activator if >32 to 40 minutes are gained and if sensitivity for intracerebral hemorrhage is >75% to 80%. CONCLUSIONS: Reducing the OTT has robust beneficial effects for acute stroke patients. Prehospital tissue-type plasminogen activator treatment without brain imaging may become conceivable under several preconditions, including a point-of-care test with >75% to 80% sensitivity to detect intracerebral hemorrhage and a time gain of >32 to 40 minutes. Ethical implications remain to be addressed.

Prediction of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: identification of high-risk groups.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Because of a low prevalence of severe carotid stenosis in the general population, screening for presence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis (ACAS) is not warranted. Possibly, for certain subgroups, screening is worthwhile. The present study aims to develop prediction rules for the presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). METHODS: Individual participant data from 4 population-based cohort studies (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, Tromsø Study, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study; totaling 23 706 participants) were pooled. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine which variables predict presence of ACAS (>50% and >70%). Calibration and discrimination of the models were assessed, and bootstrapping was used to correct for overfitting. RESULTS: Age, sex, history of vascular disease, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, diabetes mellitus, and current smoking were predictors of stenosis (>50% and >70%). The calibration of the model was good confirmed by a nonsignificant Hosmer and Lemeshow test for moderate (P=0.59) and severe stenosis (P=0.07). The models discriminated well between participants with and without stenosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve corrected for over optimism of 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.84) for moderate stenosis and of 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.90) for severe stenosis. The regression coefficients of the predictors were converted into a score chart to facilitate practical application. CONCLUSIONS: A clinical prediction rule was developed that allows identification of subgroups with high prevalence of moderate (>50%) and severe (>70%) ACAS. When confirmed in comparable cohorts, application of the prediction rule may lead to a reduction in the number needed to screen for ACAS.

Dysphagia risk assessment in acute left-hemispheric middle cerebral artery stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Bedside evaluation of dysphagia may be challenging in left middle cerebral artery (MCA) stroke due to frequently existing aphasia. Here we analyse the predictive value of common bedside screening tests and of two items of cortical dysfunction, aphasia and buccofacial apraxia (BFA), for the detection of dysphagia. METHODS: We prospectively examined 67 consecutive patients with clinical and imaging evidence of acute (<72 h) left MCA stroke. Dysphonia, dysarthria, abnormal volitional cough and abnormal gag reflex were assessed followed by a standardized 50-ml water-swallowing test determining the symptoms cough and voice change after swallow. Aphasia and BFA were assessed according to defined criteria. Fibre-optic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES) was performed for validation of dysphagia. RESULTS: 41 (61%) patients had FEES-proven dysphagia. Abnormal gag reflex, abnormal volitional cough, cough after swallow, aphasia and BFA were significantly more frequent in dysphagic as compared to non-dysphagic patients, while dysphonia, dysarthria and voice change after swallow were not. Aphasia and BFA had the highest sensitivity (97 and 78%, respectively) and high negative predictive values (89 and 68%, respectively) for dysphagia. Multivariate regression analysis did not identify an independent predictor of dysphagia. CONCLUSIONS: In left MCA stroke, the sensitivity and specificity of common bedside dysphagia screening methods are low. In contrast, aphasia and BFA have a high sensitivity and high negative predictive power, presumably due to the neuro-anatomical overlap between cortical regions involved in swallowing, speech production, imitation and voluntary movement control.

Carotid intima-media thickness progression to predict cardiovascular events in the general population (the PROG-IMT collaborative project): a meta-analysis of individual participant data.

BACKGROUND: Carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) is related to the risk of cardiovascular events in the general population. An association between changes in cIMT and cardiovascular risk is frequently assumed but has rarely been reported. Our aim was to test this association. METHODS: We identified general population studies that assessed cIMT at least twice and followed up participants for myocardial infarction, stroke, or death. The study teams collaborated in an individual participant data meta-analysis. Excluding individuals with previous myocardial infarction or stroke, we assessed the association between cIMT progression and the risk of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, vascular death, or a combination of these) for each study with Cox regression. The log hazard ratios (HRs) per SD difference were pooled by random effects meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Of 21 eligible studies, 16 with 36,984 participants were included. During a mean follow-up of 7·0 years, 1519 myocardial infarctions, 1339 strokes, and 2028 combined endpoints (myocardial infarction, stroke, vascular death) occurred. Yearly cIMT progression was derived from two ultrasound visits 2-7 years (median 4 years) apart. For mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness progression, the overall HR of the combined endpoint was 0·97 (95% CI 0·94-1·00) when adjusted for age, sex, and mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness, and 0·98 (0·95-1·01) when also adjusted for vascular risk factors. Although we detected no associations with cIMT progression in sensitivity analyses, the mean cIMT of the two ultrasound scans was positively and robustly associated with cardiovascular risk (HR for the combined endpoint 1·16, 95% CI 1·10-1·22, adjusted for age, sex, mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness progression, and vascular risk factors). In three studies including 3439 participants who had four ultrasound scans, cIMT progression did not correlate between occassions (reproducibility correlations between r=-0·06 and r=-0·02). INTERPRETATION: The association between cIMT progression assessed from two ultrasound scans and cardiovascular risk in the general population remains unproven. No conclusion can be derived for the use of cIMT progression as a surrogate in clinical trials. FUNDING: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.

Intima-media thickness at the near or far wall of the common carotid artery in cardiovascular risk assessment.

Aims: Current guidelines recommend measuring carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) at the far wall of the common carotid artery (CCA). We aimed to precisely quantify associations of near vs. far wall CCA-IMT with the risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD, defined as coronary heart disease or stroke) and their added predictive values. Methods and results: We analysed individual records of 41 941 participants from 16 prospective studies in the Proof-ATHERO consortium {mean age 61 years [standard deviation (SD) = 11]; 53% female; 16% prior CVD}. Mean baseline values of near and far wall CCA-IMT were 0.83 (SD = 0.28) and 0.82 (SD = 0.27) mm, differed by a mean of 0.02 mm (95% limits of agreement: -0.40 to 0.43), and were moderately correlated [r = 0.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.49). Over a median follow-up of 9.3 years, we recorded 10 423 CVD events. We pooled study-specific hazard ratios for CVD using random-effects meta-analysis. Near and far wall CCA-IMT values were approximately linearly associated with CVD risk. The respective hazard ratios per SD higher value were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.14-1.22; I² = 30.7%) and 1.20 (1.18-1.23; I² = 5.3%) when adjusted for age, sex, and prior CVD and 1.09 (1.07-1.12; I² = 8.4%) and 1.14 (1.12-1.16; I²=1.3%) upon multivariable adjustment (all P < 0.001). Assessing CCA-IMT at both walls provided a greater C-index improvement than assessing CCA-IMT at one wall only [+0.0046 vs. +0.0023 for near (P < 0.001), +0.0037 for far wall (P = 0.006)]. Conclusions: The associations of near and far wall CCA-IMT with incident CVD were positive, approximately linear, and similarly strong. Improvement in risk discrimination was highest when CCA-IMT was measured at both walls.

Detection and grading of dAVF: prospects and limitations of 3T MRI.

OBJECTIVES: DSA is currently the criterion standard for the assessment of dural arteriovenous fistulas (dAVF). Recently, evolving MRA techniques have emerged as a non-invasive alternative. The aim of this study is to assess the value of 3 T MRI in detecting and describing dAVF and to determine whether MRI can replace DSA as diagnostic procedure. METHODS: A total of 19 patients with dAVF and 19 without dAVF underwent the same MRI protocol, including 3D time-of-flight MRA and time-resolved contrast-enhanced MRA. The images were evaluated retrospectively by three independent readers with different levels of experience blinded to clinical information. The readers assessed the presence, the site, the venous drainage and the feeders of dAVF. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, intertechnique and interobserver agreements were calculated. RESULTS: DAVF can be detected with high sensitivity, specificity and accuracy by experienced and also by less experienced readers. However, MRI has limitations when used for grading and evaluation of the angioarchitecture of the dAVF. Different experience, the limited resolution of MRI and its inability to selectively display arteries were the reasons for these limitations. CONCLUSIONS: With MRI dAVF can be detected reliably. Nevertheless, at present MRI can not fully replace DSA, especially for treatment planning.

Common carotid intima-media thickness measurements in cardiovascular risk prediction: a meta-analysis.

CONTEXT: The evidence that measurement of the common carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) improves the risk scores in prediction of the absolute risk of cardiovascular events is inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether common CIMT has added value in 10-year risk prediction of first-time myocardial infarctions or strokes, above that of the Framingham Risk Score. DATA SOURCES: Relevant studies were identified through literature searches of databases (PubMed from 1950 to June 2012 and EMBASE from 1980 to June 2012) and expert opinion. STUDY SELECTION: Studies were included if participants were drawn from the general population, common CIMT was measured at baseline, and individuals were followed up for first-time myocardial infarction or stroke. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual data were combined into 1 data set and an individual participant data meta-analysis was performed on individuals without existing cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: We included 14 population-based cohorts contributing data for 45,828 individuals. During a median follow-up of 11 years, 4007 first-time myocardial infarctions or strokes occurred. We first refitted the risk factors of the Framingham Risk Score and then extended the model with common CIMT measurements to estimate the absolute 10-year risks to develop a first-time myocardial infarction or stroke in both models. The C statistic of both models was similar (0.757; 95% CI, 0.749-0.764; and 0.759; 95% CI, 0.752-0.766). The net reclassification improvement with the addition of common CIMT was small (0.8%; 95% CI, 0.1%-1.6%). In those at intermediate risk, the net reclassification improvement was 3.6% in all individuals (95% CI, 2.7%-4.6%) and no differences between men and women. CONCLUSION: The addition of common CIMT measurements to the Framingham Risk Score was associated with small improvement in 10-year risk prediction of first-time myocardial infarction or stroke, but this improvement is unlikely to be of clinical importance.

The perfect crime? CCSVI not leaving a trace in MS.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, inflammatory demyelinating disease of the central nervous system, believed to be triggered by an autoimmune reaction to myelin. Recently, a fundamentally different pathomechanism termed 'chronic cerebrospinal venous insufficiency' (CCSVI) was proposed, provoking significant attention in the media and scientific community. METHODS: Twenty MS patients (mean age 42.2 ± 13.3 years; median Extended Disability Status Scale 3.0, range 0-6.5) were compared with 20 healthy controls. Extra- and intracranial venous flow direction was assessed by colour-coded duplex sonography, and extracranial venous cross-sectional area (VCSA) of the internal jugular and vertebral veins (IJV/VV) was measured in B-mode to assess the five previously proposed CCSVI criteria. IJV-VCSA ≤ 0.3 cm(2) indicated 'stenosis,' and IJV-VCSA decrease from supine to upright position 'reverted postural control.' The sonographer, data analyser and statistician were blinded to the patient/control status of the participants. RESULTS: No participant showed retrograde flow of cervical or intracranial veins. IJV-VCSA ≤ 0.3 cm(2) was found in 13 MS patients versus 16 controls (p=0.48). A decrease in IJV-VCSA from supine to upright position was observed in all participants, but this denotes a physiological finding. No MS patient and one control had undetectable IJV flow despite deep inspiration (p=0.49). Only one healthy control and no MS patients fulfilled at least two criteria for CCSVI. CONCLUSIONS: This triple-blinded extra- and transcranial duplex sonographic assessment of cervical and cerebral veins does not provide supportive evidence for the presence of CCSVI in MS patients. The findings cast serious doubt on the concept of CCSVI in MS.

Is carotid intima media thickness useful for individual prediction of cardiovascular risk? Ten-year results from the Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study (CAPS).

AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) is an intermediate phenotype of early atherosclerosis that independently predicts vascular events. It is often suggested that cIMT be used as a screening tool to select subjects with an elevated event risk. Whether cIMT adds information to traditional risk models has so far received little investigation. METHODS AND RESULTS: The 10-year follow-up of 4904 subjects from the Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study (CAPS) without pre-existing vascular disease included cardiovascular events and total mortality. Using Cox models and reclassification statistics, we investigated the usefulness of cIMT in individual risk prediction beyond the Framingham and the SCORE models, using risk strata of 0-5, 5-10, 10-20, and >or=20% over 10 years. Carotid intima media thickness was significantly and independently predictive for cardiovascular events. Compared with a model using the Framingham risk factors, a second model that included the common carotid-IMT led to the reclassification of 357 subjects (8.1%). In 107 subjects (30.0%), this reclassification was correct as confirmed with the actual outcome over 10 years. Net reclassification improvement was -1.41% (P = NS); integrated discrimination improvement was 0.04% (P = NS). More subjects were shifted to lower than to higher risk categories by the inclusion of cIMT. Analyses including other endpoint definitions, other carotid segments, and the SCORE risk model for baseline prediction did not result in consistently better risk prediction with cIMT. CONCLUSION: Despite cIMT being predictive for cardiovascular endpoints, it did not consistently improve the risk classification of individuals. Carotid intima media thickness may not be useful for the risk stratification of individuals in the general population.

Prevalence of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis in the general population: an individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening, precise estimates of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis are vital. Accordingly, we assessed the prevalence of moderate and severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis by age and sex using pooled cohort data. METHODS: We performed an individual participant data meta-analysis (23 706 participants) of 4 population-based studies (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, Tromsø, Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study, and Cardiovascular Health Study). Outcomes of interest were asymptomatic moderate (> or =50%) and severe carotid stenosis (> or =70%). RESULTS: Prevalence of moderate asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.2% (95% CI, 0.0% to 0.4%) in men aged <50 years to 7.5% (5.2% to 10.5%) in men aged > or =80 years. For women, this prevalence increased from 0% (0% to 0.2%) to 5.0% (3.1% to 7.5%). Prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis ranged from 0.1% (0.0% to 0.3%) in men aged <50 years to 3.1% (1.7% to 5.3%) in men aged > or =80. For women, this prevalence increased from 0% (0.0% to 0.2%) to 0.9% (0.3% to 2.4%). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis in the general population ranges from 0% to 3.1%, which is useful information in the discussion on the cost-effectiveness of screening.

Individual progression of carotid intima media thickness as a surrogate for vascular risk (PROG-IMT): Rationale and design of a meta-analysis project.

Carotid intima media thickness (IMT) progression is increasingly used as a surrogate for vascular risk. This use is supported by data from a few clinical trials investigating statins, but established criteria of surrogacy are only partially fulfilled. To provide a valid basis for the use of IMT progression as a study end point, we are performing a 3-step meta-analysis project based on individual participant data. Objectives of the 3 successive stages are to investigate (1) whether IMT progression prospectively predicts myocardial infarction, stroke, or death in population-based samples; (2) whether it does so in prevalent disease cohorts; and (3) whether interventions affecting IMT progression predict a therapeutic effect on clinical end points. Recruitment strategies, inclusion criteria, and estimates of the expected numbers of eligible studies are presented along with a detailed analysis plan.

Age-dependent cyclic locomotor activity in the cricket, Gryllus bimaculatus, and the effect of adipokinetic hormone on locomotion and excitability.

Excitability and locomotor activity of male and female last instar larvae and adults of the two-spotted cricket are measured under crowded conditions, allowing the animals to interact with conspecifics during observations. Male and female last instar larvae display age-dependent cyclic patterns of activity with maxima during early to mid scotophase and minima during early photophase. A period of low locomotor activity without time of day-dependent cyclic changes starts 1 day before the final moult and lasts until 1 day after the moult. Then, both excitability and locomotor activity increase and become cyclic again within 2 or 3 days. The cyclic changes gradually dampen in adult females older than 6 days and finally cease. When injected into photophase larvae and adults, adipokinetic hormone (AKH) increases excitability and locomotor activity in a dose-dependent manner, whereas it has no such effect when injected into scotophase animals. Other behaviours (jumping, hind wing trembling) that mostly occur in scotophase crickets are also increased by injecting AKH into photophase crickets. We argue that AKH could be responsible for linking the endogenous clock output with the cyclic changes in locomotor activity. Furthermore, AKH may serve to synchronise metabolism and behaviour to optimise larval development and reproduction.

Progression of conventional cardiovascular risk factors and vascular disease risk in individuals: insights from the PROG-IMT consortium.

AIMS: Averaged measurements, but not the progression based on multiple assessments of carotid intima-media thickness, (cIMT) are predictive of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in individuals. Whether this is true for conventional risk factors is unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual participant meta-analysis was used to associate the annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with future cardiovascular disease risk in 13 prospective cohort studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration (n = 34,072). Follow-up data included information on a combined cardiovascular disease endpoint of myocardial infarction, stroke, or vascular death. In secondary analyses, annualised progression was replaced with average. Log hazard ratios per standard deviation difference were pooled across studies by a random effects meta-analysis. In primary analysis, the annualised progression of total cholesterol was marginally related to a higher cardiovascular disease risk (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 1.07). The annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was not associated with future cardiovascular disease risk. In secondary analysis, average systolic blood pressure (HR 1.20 95% CI 1.11 to 1.29) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.16) were related to a greater, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.97) was related to a lower risk of future cardiovascular disease events. CONCLUSION: Averaged measurements of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol displayed significant linear relationships with the risk of future cardiovascular disease events. However, there was no clear association between the annualised progression of these conventional risk factors in individuals with the risk of future clinical endpoints.

Genetic variation in the leukotriene pathway and carotid intima-media thickness: a 2-stage replication study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The recent finding that genetic variation in the leukotriene biosynthesis pathway may confer an increased risk of ischemic stroke and atherosclerosis has implicated the leukotriene family as potential mediators of cardiovascular disease. Using a 2-stage replication design, we have examined whether polymorphisms in 8 genes related to this pathway are associated with early atherosclerosis and remodeling as measured by carotid artery intima-media thickness. METHODS: We assessed 969 individuals from the Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study (CAPS), a community based study of normal subjects, for 39 variants in the leukotriene pathway. Significant associations and gene-environment interactions were found for 21 variants in the initial cohort and were examined in the next 1905 consecutive cases from the same CAPS population. RESULTS: No replicable association between any individual polymorphism and carotid intima-media thickness itself was present after correction for multiple testing. A single gene-environment interaction was replicated between rs17222814 on bifurcation intima-media thickness and alcohol consumption exceeding 30 grams per day. CONCLUSIONS: The genetic variants we examined in the leukotriene biosynthesis pathway have little effect on early atherosclerosis and remodeling risk as determined by carotid intima-media thickness. Our study cannot exclude them as being risk factors for more advanced stages in the atherosclerotic process.

Risk assessment of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage after thrombolysis using DWI-ASPECTS.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Pretreatment lesion size on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) is a risk factor for symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) associated with thrombolytic treatment. Here, we investigated whether the Alberta Stroke Programme Early CT Score (ASPECTS) applied to DWI images (DWI-ASPECTS) predicts sICH risk accurately. METHODS: In this retrospective multicenter study, prospectively collected data of 217 patients with anterior circulation stroke treated with intravenous or intraarterial thrombolysis within 6 hours after symptom onset were analyzed. Pretreatment DWI-ASPECTS scores were assessed by 2 independent investigators. For bleeding risk analysis, DWI-ASPECTS scores were either categorized into 0 to 7 (n=105) or 8 to 10 (n=112) or in 3 groups of similar sample size (DWI-ASPECTS 0 to 5 [n=69], 6 to 7 [n=70], and 8 to 10 [n=78]). RESULTS: DWI-ASPECTS scores correlated well with the DWI lesion volume (r=0.77, P<0.001, Spearman Rank test). Interobserver reliability for the assessment of DWI-ASPECTS was moderate (weighted kappa 0.441 [95% CI 0.373 to 0.509]). Twenty-three (10.6%) patients developed sICH. The sICH rate was significantly higher in patients with DWI-ASPECTS scores 0 to 7 (n=21, 15.1%) as compared to patients with DWI-ASPECTS scores 8 to 10 (n=2, 2.6%, P=0.004). sICH risk was 20.3%, 10%, and 2.6% in the 0 to 5, 6 to 7, and 8 to 10 DWI-ASPECTS groups, respectively. DWI-ASPECTS remained an independent prognostic factor for sICH after adjustment for clinical baseline variables (age, NIHSS, time to thrombolysis). CONCLUSIONS: DWI-ASPECTS predicts sICH risk after thrombolysis and may be helpful to contributing to quick sICH risk assessment before thrombolytic therapy.

Effects of hemodilution with a hemoglobin-based oxygen carrier (HBOC-201) on ischemia/reperfusion injury in a model of partial warm liver ischemia of the rat.

BACKGROUND: Ischemia/reperfusion injury is an unavoidable complication in liver surgery and transplantation. Hemodilution with colloids can reduce postischemic injury but limits oxygen transport. Hemoglobin-based oxygen carriers have been evaluated as blood substitute and provide a plasma-derived oxygen transport. It was the aim of our study to evaluate the combined benefits of hemodilution with a better oxygen supply to reperfused liver tissue by the use of HBOC-201 (Hemopure). MATERIAL AND METHODS: A model of partial warm liver ischemia in the rat was used. One group served as untreated control, the other groups were hemodiluted either with Ringer's lactate, Dextran-70, HBOC-201 or a mixture of Dextran and HBOC-201. After reperfusion, intravital microscopy studies were done and tissue pO(2) levels and transaminases measured. Statistical analysis was done by one- and two-way ANOVA, followed by pairwise comparison. RESULTS: Hemodilution with Ringer's lactate did not show any improvement compared to the control group. Dextran and HBOC group were superior to the Ringer and control animals in all parameters studied. Leucocyte adherence in postsinusoidal venules improved from 569.03+/-171.87 and 364.52+/-167.32 in control and Ringer group to 131.68+/-58.34 and 68.44+/-20.31/mm(2) endothelium in Dextran and HBOC group (p<0.001). Concerning tissue pO(2) levels, HBOC (23.4+/-5.0 mmHg) proved to be superior to Dextran (7.9+/-4.4 mmHg; p=0.007). CONCLUSION: HBOC was equivalent to Dextran in reducing I/R injury in the liver, but improved oxygenation of postreperfusion liver tissue.

Prediction of clinical cardiovascular events with carotid intima-media thickness: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) is increasingly used as a surrogate marker for atherosclerosis. Its use relies on its ability to predict future clinical cardiovascular end points. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of data to examine this association. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a prespecified search strategy, we identified 8 relevant studies and compared study design, measurement protocols, and reported data. We identified sources of heterogeneity between studies. The assumption of a linear relationship between IMT and risk was challenged by use of a graphical technique. To obtain a pooled estimate of the relative risk per IMT difference, we performed a meta-analysis based on random effects models. The age- and sex-adjusted overall estimates of the relative risk of myocardial infarction were 1.26 (95% CI, 1.21 to 1.30) per 1-standard deviation common carotid artery IMT difference and 1.15 (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.17) per 0.10-mm common carotid artery IMT difference. The age- and sex-adjusted relative risks of stroke were 1.32 (95% CI, 1.27 to 1.38) per 1-standard deviation common carotid artery IMT difference and 1.18 (95% CI, 1.16 to 1.21) per 0.10-mm common carotid artery IMT difference. Major sources of heterogeneity were age distribution, carotid segment definition, and IMT measurement protocol. The relationship between IMT and risk was nonlinear, but the linear models fitted relatively well for moderate to high IMT values. CONCLUSIONS: Carotid IMT is a strong predictor of future vascular events. The relative risk per IMT difference is slightly higher for the end point stroke than for myocardial infarction. In future IMT studies, ultrasound protocols should be aligned with published studies. Data for younger individuals are limited and more studies are required.