Epilepsy syndromes in cerebral palsy: varied, evolving and mostly self-limited.

Seizures occur in approximately one-third of children with cerebral palsy. This study aimed to determine epilepsy syndromes in children with seizures and cerebral palsy due to vascular injury, anticipating that this would inform treatment and prognosis. We studied a population-based cohort of children with cerebral palsy due to prenatal or perinatal vascular injuries, born 1999-2006. Each child's MRI was reviewed to characterize patterns of grey and white matter injury. Children with syndromic or likely genetic causes of cerebral palsy were excluded, given their inherent association with epilepsy and our aim to study a homogeneous cohort of classical cerebral palsy. Chart review, parent interview and EEGs were used to determine epilepsy syndromes and seizure outcomes. Of 256 children, 93 (36%) had one or more febrile or afebrile seizures beyond the neonatal period and 87 (34%) had epilepsy. Children with seizures were more likely to have had neonatal seizures, have spastic quadriplegic cerebral palsy and function within Gross Motor Function Classification System level IV or V. Fifty-six (60%) children with seizures had electroclinical features of a self-limited focal epilepsy of childhood; we diagnosed these children with a self-limited focal epilepsy-variant given the current International League Against Epilepsy classification precludes a diagnosis of self-limited focal epilepsy in children with a brain lesion. Other epilepsy syndromes were focal epilepsy-not otherwise specified in 28, infantile spasms syndrome in 11, Lennox-Gastaut syndrome in three, genetic generalized epilepsies in two and febrile seizures in nine. No epilepsy syndrome could be assigned in seven children with no EEG. Twenty-one changed syndrome classification during childhood. Self-limited focal epilepsy-variant usually manifested with a mix of autonomic and brachio-facial motor features, and occipital and/or centro-temporal spikes on EEG. Of those with self-limited focal epilepsy-variant, 42/56 (75%) had not had a seizure for >2 years. Favourable seizure outcomes were also seen in some children with infantile spasms syndrome and focal epilepsy-not otherwise specified. Of the 93 children with seizures, at last follow-up (mean age 15 years), 61/91 (67%) had not had a seizure in >2 years. Children with cerebral palsy and seizures can be assigned specific epilepsy syndrome diagnoses typically reserved for normally developing children, those syndromes commonly being age-dependent and self-limited. Compared to typically developing children with epilepsy, self-limited focal epilepsy-variant occurs much more commonly in children with cerebral palsy and epilepsy. These findings have important implications for treatment and prognosis of epilepsy in cerebral palsy, and research into pathogenesis of self-limited focal epilepsy.

Neurocognitive Dysfunction and Smaller Brain Volumes in Adolescents and Adults With a Fontan Circulation.

BACKGROUND: Neurocognitive outcomes beyond childhood in people with a Fontan circulation are not well defined. This study aimed to investigate neurocognitive functioning in adolescents and adults with a Fontan circulation and associations with structural brain injury, brain volumetry, and postnatal clinical factors. METHODS: In a binational study, participants with a Fontan circulation without a preexisting major neurological disability were prospectively recruited from the Australia and New Zealand Fontan Registry. Neurocognitive function was assessed by using Cogstate software in 107 participants with a Fontan circulation and compared with control groups with transposition of the great arteries (n=50) and a normal circulation (n=41). Brain MRI with volumetric analysis was performed in the participants with a Fontan circulation and compared with healthy control data from the ABIDE I and II (Autism Brain Imaging Data Exchange) and PING (Pediatric Imaging, Neurocognition, and Genetics) data repositories. Clinical data were retrospectively collected. RESULTS: Of the participants with a Fontan circulation who had a neurocognitive assessment, 55% were male and the mean age was 22.6 years (SD 7.8). Participants with a Fontan circulation performed worse in several areas of neurocognitive function compared with those with transposition of the great arteries and healthy controls (P<0.05). Clinical factors associated with worse neurocognitive outcomes included more inpatient days during childhood, younger age at Fontan surgery, and longer time since Fontan procedure (P<0.05). Adults with a Fontan circulation had more marked neurocognitive dysfunction than adolescents with a Fontan circulation in 2 domains (psychomotor function, P=0.01 and working memory, P=0.02). Structural brain injury was present in the entire Fontan cohort; the presence of white matter injury was associated with worse paired associate learning (P<0.001), but neither the presence nor severity of infarct, subcortical gray matter injury, and microhemorrhage was associated with neurocognitive outcomes. Compared with healthy controls, people with a Fontan circulation had smaller global brain volumes (P<0.001 in all regions) and smaller regional brain volumes in most cerebral cortical regions (P<0.05). Smaller global brain volumes were associated with worse neurocognitive functioning in several domains (P<0.05). A significant positive association was also identified between global brain volumes and resting oxygen saturations (P≤0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Neurocognitive impairment is common in adolescents and adults with a Fontan circulation and is associated with smaller gray and white matter brain volume. Understanding modifiable factors that contribute to brain injury to optimize neurocognitive function is paramount.

Making waves: The changing tide of cerebral palsy.

Cerebral palsy (CP) is a broad diagnosis unbound by aetiology and is based on a clinical examination demonstrating abnormalities of movement or posture. CP represents a static neurological condition, provided that neurodegenerative conditions, leukoencephalopathies and neuromuscular disorders are excluded. In paediatrics, the genetic conditions associated with CP are rapidly increasing, with primary and overlapping neurodevelopmental conditions perhaps better categorised by the predominant clinical feature such as CP, intellectual disability, autism spectrum disorder or epilepsy. Progress in molecular genetics may challenge what constitutes CP, but a genetic diagnosis does not negate the CP diagnosis. As clinicians working in the field, we discuss the changing tide of CP. Neuroimaging provides essential information through pattern recognition and demonstration of static brain changes. We present examples of children where a layered clinical diagnosis or dual aetiologies are appropriate. We also present examples of children with genetic causes of CP to highlight the challenges and limitations of neuroimaging to provide an aetiological diagnosis. In consultation with a geneticist, access to genomic testing (exome or genome sequencing) is now available in Australia under Medicare billing for children under the age of 10 with dysmorphic features, one or more major structural organ anomalies, (an evolving) intellectual disability or global developmental delay. We encourage the uptake of genomic testing in CP, because it can be difficult to tell whether a child has an environmental or genetic cause for CP. A specific genetic diagnosis may change patient management, reduce guilt and enable more distinctive research in the future to assist with understanding disease mechanisms.

Fatigue Following Pediatric Arterial Ischemic Stroke: Prevalence and Associated Factors.

Background and Purpose: The aims of this study were to assess the prevalence of multidimensional fatigue symptoms 5 years after pediatric arterial ischemic stroke and identify factors associated with fatigue. Methods: Thirty-one children (19 males) with pediatric arterial ischemic stroke, participating in a larger prospective, longitudinal study, were recruited to this study at 5 years poststroke. Parent- and self-rated PedsQL Multidimensional Fatigue Scale scores were compared with published normative data. Associations between parent-rated PedsQL Multidimensional Fatigue Scale, demographics, stroke characteristics, and concurrent outcomes were examined. Results: Parent-rated total, general and cognitive fatigue were significantly poorer than population norms, with more than half of all parents reporting fatigue symptoms in their children. One-third of children also reported experiencing fatigue symptoms, but their ratings did not differ significantly from normative expectations, as such, all further analyses were on parent ratings of fatigue. Older age at stroke and larger lesion size predicted greater general fatigue; older age, female sex, and higher social risk predicted more sleep/rest fatigue. No significant predictors of cognitive fatigue were identified and only older age at stroke predicted total fatigue. Greater fatigue was associated with poorer adaptive functioning, motor skills, participation, quality of life, and behavior problems but not attention. Conclusions: Fatigue is a common problem following pediatric arterial ischemic stroke and is associated with the functional difficulties often seen in this population. This study highlights the importance of long-term monitoring following pediatric arterial ischemic stroke and the need for effective interventions to treat fatigue in children.

Automated Perfusion-Diffusion Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Childhood Arterial Ischemic Stroke.

Background and Purpose: Recent studies using automated perfusion imaging software have identified adults most likely to benefit from reperfusion therapies in extended time windows. The time course of penumbral tissue is poorly characterized in childhood arterial ischemic stroke (AIS). We explore the feasibility of using automated perfusion-diffusion imaging software to characterize penumbra in childhood AIS. Methods: An observational cohort study of children with acute unilateral AIS presenting to our institution. Diffusion-weighted imaging and dynamic susceptibility contrast perfusion magnetic resonance imaging performed within 72 hours of symptom onset were necessary for inclusion. Perfusion-diffusion mismatch was estimated using RAPID software. Ischemic core was defined as apparent diffusion coefficient <620×10−6 mm2/s and hypoperfusion as Tmax >6 seconds. Favorable mismatch profile was defined as core volume <70 mL, mismatch volume ≥15 mL, and a mismatch ratio ≥1.8. Results: Twenty-nine children (median 8 years old, interquartile range, 4.4­14.6) were included (26 unilateral middle cerebral artery and 3 unilateral cerebellar infarcts). Median Pediatric National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale was 4 (interquartile range, 3­11). Most cases had cryptogenic (n=11) or focal cerebral arteriopathy (n=9) causes. Median time-to-imaging =13.7 hours (interquartile range, 7.5­25.3). RAPID detected an ischemic core in 19 (66%) patients. In the remaining cases, the mean apparent diffusion coefficient values were mostly higher than the threshold as the majority of these presentations were delayed (median >21 hours) and infarct volumes were small (<3.5 mL). Overall, 3 children, imaged at 3.75, 11, and 23.5 hours had favorable mismatch profiles. Conclusions: This study demonstrates it is feasible to rapidly assess perfusion-diffusion mismatch in childhood AIS using automated software. Favorable mismatch profiles, using adult-based parameters, persisted beyond the standard 4.5 hours window for thrombolysis, suggesting potential therapeutic benefit of RAPID use. Further work is required to determine the utility of perfusion-based imaging to guide clinical decision making, whether adult thresholds require modification in childhood AIS, and to investigate the effect of time-delay and cause on mismatch characteristics.

Social Cognitive Dysfunction Following Pediatric Arterial Ischemic Stroke: Evidence From a Prospective Cohort Study.

Background and Purpose: Childhood and adolescence coincide with rapid maturation of distributed brain networks supporting social cognition; however, little is known about the impact of early ischemic brain insult on the acquisition of these skills. This study aimed to examine the influence of arterial ischemic stroke (AIS) on facial emotion recognition and theory of mind (ToM) abilities of children and adolescents initially recruited to a single-center, prospective longitudinal study of recovery following AIS. Methods: The study involved 67 participants, including 30 children with AIS (mean time since stroke=5 years) and 37 age-matched typically developing controls who were assessed on measures of cognitive ToM, facial emotion recognition, and affective ToM. Acute clinical magnetic resonance imaging, including diffusion-weighted imaging sequences, were used to evaluate prospective structure-function relationships between acute lesion characteristics (size, location, and arterial territories affected) and long-term social cognitive abilities. Results: Relative to age-matched typically developing controls, children with AIS showed significantly worse performance on measures of basic facial emotion processing, cognitive ToM, and affective ToM. In univariate models, poorer ToM was associated with larger infarcts, combined cortical-subcortical pathology, and involvement of multiple arterial territories. In multivariate analyses, larger lesions and multiterritory infants were predictive of ToM processing but not facial emotion recognition. Poorer cognitive ToM predicted less frequent prosocial behavior and increased peer problems. Conclusions: Social cognitive skills appear vulnerable to disruption from early ischemic brain insult. In the first study to examine social cognition in a prospective cohort of children with AIS, our findings suggest that acute magnetic resonance imaging-based lesion characteristics may have predictive value for long-term social cognitive outcomes and may assist to identify children at elevated risk for social cognitive dysfunction.

NEXMIF encephalopathy: an X-linked disorder with male and female phenotypic patterns.

PURPOSE: Pathogenic variants in the X-linked gene NEXMIF (previously KIAA2022) are associated with intellectual disability (ID), autism spectrum disorder, and epilepsy. We aimed to delineate the female and male phenotypic spectrum of NEXMIF encephalopathy. METHODS: Through an international collaboration, we analyzed the phenotypes and genotypes of 87 patients with NEXMIF encephalopathy. RESULTS: Sixty-three females and 24 males (46 new patients) with NEXMIF encephalopathy were studied, with 30 novel variants. Phenotypic features included developmental delay/ID in 86/87 (99%), seizures in 71/86 (83%) and multiple comorbidities. Generalized seizures predominated including myoclonic seizures and absence seizures (both 46/70, 66%), absence with eyelid myoclonia (17/70, 24%), and atonic seizures (30/70, 43%). Males had more severe developmental impairment; females had epilepsy more frequently, and varied from unaffected to severely affected. All NEXMIF pathogenic variants led to a premature stop codon or were deleterious structural variants. Most arose de novo, although X-linked segregation occurred for both sexes. Somatic mosaicism occurred in two males and a family with suspected parental mosaicism. CONCLUSION: NEXMIF encephalopathy is an X-linked, generalized developmental and epileptic encephalopathy characterized by myoclonic-atonic epilepsy overlapping with eyelid myoclonia with absence. Some patients have developmental encephalopathy without epilepsy. Males have more severe developmental impairment. NEXMIF encephalopathy arises due to loss-of-function variants.

Risk of Fractures and Other Injuries in Children Treated with Antiseizure Medications for Epilepsy.

This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of fractures and non-fracture injuries, including associated risk factors, in children with epilepsy prescribed antiseizure medications (ASM). A controlled, cross-sectional study was conducted in a hospital outpatient setting, comparing children with epilepsy prescribed ASMs with their non-epileptic siblings. Information was collected by questionnaire included history of fractures, non-fracture injuries and epilepsy, comorbidities and ASM use. 261 participants completed the questionnaire, 133 children with epilepsy (aged 10.7 ± 3.5 years, mean ± SD) and 128 siblings (10.1 ± 3.7 years). There were 49 non-seizure-related fractures in 34 ASM patients while prescribed ASMs, compared with 21 lifetime fractures in 15 controls, giving a 2.7 (95% CI 1.3-5.3, p = 0.007) times greater fracture prevalence in children treated with ASMs compared to healthy siblings. The rates of non-fracture injuries were similar across groups, except that concussion was more common in children taking ASMs (9.0% vs 1.6%, p = 0.026). Duration of ASM use and generalized tonic-clonic seizures (GTCS) were independent predictors of fractures (OR 1.55; 95% CI 1.03-2.31, p = 0.03; OR 2.50; 95% CI 1.05-5.94, p = 0.04, respectively). Fewer than 20% of participants and/or their families were aware that ASM use was related to bone health. Children with epilepsy treated with ASMs had a higher fracture prevalence than their sibling controls. Duration of ASM treatment and GTCS were associated with fracture risk. Longitudinal prospective studies are required to further explore risk and the direct impact of epilepsy on bone health.

The severe epilepsy syndromes of infancy: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the epilepsy syndromes among the severe epilepsies of infancy and assess their incidence, etiologies, and outcomes. METHODS: A population-based cohort study was undertaken of severe epilepsies with onset before age 18 months in Victoria, Australia. Two epileptologists reviewed clinical features, seizure videos, and electroencephalograms to diagnose International League Against Epilepsy epilepsy syndromes. Incidence, etiologies, and outcomes at age 2 years were determined. RESULTS: Seventy-three of 114 (64%) infants fulfilled diagnostic criteria for epilepsy syndromes at presentation, and 16 (14%) had "variants" of epilepsy syndromes in which there was one missing or different feature, or where all classical features had not yet emerged. West syndrome (WS) and "WS-like" epilepsy (infantile spasms without hypsarrhythmia or modified hypsarrhythmia) were the most common syndromes, with a combined incidence of 32.7/100 000 live births/year. The incidence of epilepsy of infancy with migrating focal seizures (EIMFS) was 4.5/100 000 and of early infantile epileptic encephalopathy (EIEE) was 3.6/100 000. Structural etiologies were common in "WS-like" epilepsy (100%), unifocal epilepsy (83%), and WS (39%), whereas single gene disorders predominated in EIMFS, EIEE, and Dravet syndrome. Eighteen (16%) infants died before age 2 years. Development was delayed or borderline in 85 of 96 (89%) survivors, being severe-profound in 40 of 96 (42%). All infants with EIEE or EIMFS had severe-profound delay or were deceased, but only 19 of 64 (30%) infants with WS, "WS-like," or "unifocal epilepsy" had severe-profound delay, and only two of 64 (3%) were deceased. SIGNIFICANCE: Three quarters of severe epilepsies of infancy could be assigned an epilepsy syndrome or "variant syndrome" at presentation. In this era of genomic testing and advanced brain imaging, diagnosing epilepsy syndromes at presentation remains clinically useful for guiding etiologic investigation, initial treatment, and prognostication.

Risk of Intracranial Hemorrhage Following Intravenous tPA (Tissue-Type Plasminogen Activator) for Acute Stroke Is Low in Children.

Background and Purpose- Data regarding the safety and efficacy of intravenous tPA (tissue-type plasminogen activator) in childhood acute arterial ischemic stroke are inadequate. The TIPS trial (Thrombolysis in Pediatric Stroke; National Institutes of Health grant R01NS065848)-a prospective safety and dose-finding trial of intravenous tPA in acute childhood stroke-was closed for lack of accrual. TIPS sites have subsequently treated children with acute stroke in accordance with established institutional protocols supporting data collection on outcomes. Methods- Data on children treated with intravenous tPA for neuroimaging-confirmed arterial ischemic stroke were collected retrospectively from 16 former TIPS sites to establish preliminary safety data. Participating sites were required to report all children who were treated with intravenous tPA to minimize reporting bias. Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH) was defined as ECASS (European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study) II parenchymal hematoma type 2 or any intracranial hemorrhage associated with neurological deterioration within 36 following tPA administration. A Bayesian beta-binomial model for risk of SICH following intravenous tPA was fit using a prior distribution based on the risk level in young adults (1.7%); to test for robustness, the model was also fit with uninformative and conservative priors. Results- Twenty-six children (age range, 1.1-17 years; median, 14 years; 12 boys) with stroke and a median pediatric National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 14 were treated with intravenous tPA within 2 to 4.5 hours (median, 3.0 hours) after stroke onset. No patient had SICH. Two children developed epistaxis. Conclusions- The estimated risk of SICH after tPA in children is 2.1% (95% highest posterior density interval, 0.0%-6.7%; mode, 0.9%). Regardless of prior assumption, there is at least a 98% chance that the risk is <15% and at least a 93% chance that the risk is <10%. These results suggest that the overall risk of SICH after intravenous tPA in children with acute arterial ischemic stroke, when given within 4.5 hours after symptom onset, is low.

Focal cerebral arteriopathy and childhood stroke.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Focal cerebral arteriopathy (FCA) is one of the most common causes of arterial ischaemic stroke in a previously healthy child. Distinguishing between different subtypes of arteriopathy is challenging and has significant management implications. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent studies have helped to define the subtypes of focal cerebral arteriopathies and improved understanding of their clinical and radiological features. In addition, they have reported new evidence for the association between viral infection and inflammation in the pathogenesis of FCA and proposed new radiological, serum and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers to guide diagnosis and management. There is limited evidence to guide treatment of FCA but a role for steroids and antiviral therapies have been reported. SUMMARY: Despite the recent advances there is a limited knowledge of the pathophysiology and outcomes following FCA. Research priorities include the identification of biomarkers to improve accuracy of initial diagnosis and predict progression, and interventional trials to determine best treatments to reduce stroke recurrence risk.

Clinical application of the PedsQL Epilepsy Module (PedsQL-EM) in an ambulatory pediatric epilepsy setting.

INTRODUCTION: Children with epilepsy report lower health-related quality of life (QOL) compared with healthy children and those with other chronic disorders. This study piloted the recently published Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory (PedsQL) Epilepsy Module (PedsQL-EM) in an ambulatory setting and studied epilepsy-related factors contributing to QOL in children with epilepsy. METHODS: Children with epilepsy aged 8-18 years who were ambulant and verbal were recruited from pediatric neurology clinics. Children and their caregivers completed age-appropriate versions of the PedsQL-EM (8-12 or 13-18 years) in the clinic waiting area. Treating neurologists completed medical questionnaires about their patients' epilepsy. RESULTS: We collected 151 parent-report and 127 self-report PedsQL-EMs. Administration time was 5-10 min with some children receiving assistance from the researcher. Mean age of children was 12.9+/-3.0, with 77 females (51%). Parents reported lower mean QOL scores across all subdomains compared with their children. Parents reported significantly lower QOL for children with earlier age at epilepsy onset, longer epilepsy duration, presence of seizures during the last month, more severe epilepsy, increased number of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs), and cognitive comorbidity. The same factors impacted on child self-reporting, but with more variability across subdomains. CONCLUSIONS: The PedsQL-EM is an epilepsy-specific measure of QOL that is quick and easy to administer and is sensitive to the clinical factors reported to impact on QOL in pediatric epilepsy.

The underlying etiology of infantile spasms (West syndrome): Information from the International Collaborative Infantile Spasms Study (ICISS).

OBJECTIVE: To determine the underlying etiologies in a contemporary cohort of infants with infantile spasms and to examine response to treatment. METHODS: Identification of the underlying etiology and response to treatment in 377 infants enrolled in a clinical trial of the treatment of infantile spasms between 2007 and 2014 using a systematic review of history, examination, and investigations. They were classified using the pediatric adaptation of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10). RESULTS: A total of 219 of 377 (58%) had a proven etiology, of whom 128 (58%) responded, 58 of 108 (54%) were allocated hormonal treatment, and 70 of 111 (63%) had combination therapy. Fourteen of 17 (82%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 59% to 94%) infants with stroke and infarct responded (compared to 114 of 202 for the rest of the proven etiology group (56%, 95% CI 48% to 62%, chi-square 4.3, P = .037): the better response remains when treatment allocation and lead time are taken into account (odds ratio 5.1, 95% CI 1.1 to 23.6, P = .037). Twenty of 37 (54%, 95% CI 38% to 70%) infants with Down syndrome had cessation of spasms compared to 108 of 182 (59%, 95% CI 52% to 66%, chi-square 0.35, P = .55) for the rest of the proven etiology group. The lack of a significant difference remains after taking treatment modality and lead-time into account (odds ratio 0.8, 95% CI 0.4 to 1.7, P = .62). In Down syndrome infants, treatment modality did not appear to affect response: 11 of 20 (55%) allocated hormonal therapy responded, compared to 9 of 17 (53%) allocated combination therapy. SIGNIFICANCE: This classification allows easy comparison with other classifications and with our earlier reports. Stroke and infarct have a better outcome than other etiologies, whereas Down syndrome might not respond to the addition of vigabatrin to hormonal treatment.

Motor function daily living skills 5 years after paediatric arterial ischaemic stroke: a prospective longitudinal study.

AIM: To describe 5-year motor and functional outcomes after paediatric arterial ischaemic stroke (AIS) and to explore factors associated with poorer long-term outcome. METHOD: Thirty-three children (21 males, 12 females) with AIS were recruited to a single-site, cross-sectional study, from a previously reported prospective longitudinal stroke outcome study. Children were stratified according to age at diagnosis: neonates (≤30d), preschool (>30d-5y), and school age (≥5y). Motor and functional outcomes were measured at 5 years after stroke. Neurological outcomes were evaluated using the Pediatric Stroke Outcome Measure (PSOM) at 1 month and more than 4 years after stroke. RESULTS: At 5 years after stroke, motor function, quality of life, fatigue, adaptive behaviour, activities of daily living, and handwriting speed were significantly poorer than age expectations. The preschool group had the highest percentage of fine and gross motor impairment. Poorer fine motor skills were associated with subcortical-only lesions and large lesion size. Poorer gross motor outcomes correlated with preschool age, bilateral lesions, and PSOM impairment at 1 month. INTERPRETATION: Children are at elevated risk for motor and functional impairments after AIS, with the preschool age group most vulnerable. Identifying early predictors of poorer outcomes facilitates targeted early intervention and long-term rehabilitation. WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS: Following paediatric stroke, children are at elevated risk of motor and functional difficulties. Stroke occurring between 30 days and 5 years of age may result in poorer motor and functional outcomes.

The self-regulating nature of occupancy in ICUs: stochastic homoeostasis.

As pressure on the health system grows, intensive care units (ICUs) are increasingly operating close to their capacity. This has led a number of authors to describe a link between admission and discharge behaviours, labelled variously as: 'bumping', 'demand-driven discharge', 'premature discharge' etc. These labels all describe the situation that arises when a patient is discharged to make room for the more acute arriving patient. This link between the admission and discharge behaviours, and other potential occupancy-management behaviours, can create a correlation between the arrival process and LOS distribution. In this paper, we demonstrate the considerable problems that this correlation structure can cause capacity models built on queueing theory, including discrete event simulation (DES) models; and provide a simple and robust solution to this modelling problem. This paper provides an indication of the scope of this problem, by showing that this correlation structure is present in most of the 37 ICUs in Australia. An indication of the size of the problem is provided using one ICU in Australia. By incorrectly assuming that the arrival process and LOS distribution are independent (i.e. that the correlation structure does not exist) for an occupancy DES model, we show that the crucial turn-away rates are markedly inaccurate, whilst the mean occupancy remains unaffected. For the scenarios tested, the turn-away rates were over-estimated by up to 46 days per year. Finally, we present simple and robust methods to: test for this correlation, and account for this correlation structure when simulating the occupancy of an ICU.

Focal Cerebral Arteriopathy of Childhood: Novel Severity Score and Natural History.

Background and Purpose- Focal cerebral arteriopathy (FCA)-a common cause of arterial ischemic stroke in previously healthy children-often progresses over days to weeks, increasing the risk of recurrent stroke. We developed a novel severity scoring system designed to quantify FCA progression and correlate with clinical outcomes. Methods- The VIPS study (Vascular Effects of Infection in Pediatric Stroke) prospectively enrolled 355 children with arterial ischemic stroke (2010-2014), including 41 with centrally confirmed FCA. Two neuroradiologists independently reviewed FCA cerebrovascular imaging, assigning a graded severity score of zero (no involvement) to 4 (occlusion) to individual arterial segments. The FCA severity score (FCASS) was the unweighted sum. In an iterative process, we modeled scores derived from different combinations of arterial segments to identify the model that optimized correlation with clinical outcome, simplicity, and reliability. Results- The optimal FCASS summed scores from 5 arterial segments: supraclinoid internal carotid artery, A1, A2, M1, and M2. The median (interquartile range) baseline FCASS was 4 (2-6). Of 33 children with follow-up imaging, the maximum FCASS (at any time point) was 7 (5-9). Twenty-four (73%) had FCA progression on follow-up with their maximum FCASS at a median of 8 (5-35.5) days poststroke; their median FCASS increase was 4 (2.5-6). FCASS did not correlate with recurrent arterial ischemic stroke. Maximum (but not baseline) FCASS correlated with 1-year pediatric stroke outcome measures ( P=0.037). Conclusions- Our novel scoring system for FCA severity correlates with neurological outcomes in the VIPS cohort and provides a tool for FCA treatment trials under development.

Genome-wide association study: Exploring the genetic basis for responsiveness to ketogenic dietary therapies for drug-resistant epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: With the exception of specific metabolic disorders, predictors of response to ketogenic dietary therapies (KDTs) are unknown. We aimed to determine whether common variation across the genome influences the response to KDT for epilepsy. METHODS: We genotyped individuals who were negative for glucose transporter type 1 deficiency syndrome or other metabolic disorders, who received KDT for epilepsy. Genotyping was performed with the Infinium HumanOmniExpressExome Beadchip. Hospital records were used to obtain demographic and clinical data. KDT response (≥50% seizure reduction) at 3-month follow-up was used to dissect out nonresponders and responders. We then performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in nonresponders vs responders, using a linear mixed model and correcting for population stratification. Variants with minor allele frequency <0.05 and those that did not pass quality control filtering were excluded. RESULTS: After quality control filtering, the GWAS of 112 nonresponders vs 123 responders revealed an association locus at 6p25.1, 61 kb upstream of CDYL (rs12204701, P = 3.83 × 10-8 , odds ratio [A] = 13.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.07-44.8). Although analysis of regional linkage disequilibrium around rs12204701 did not strengthen the likelihood of CDYL being the candidate gene, additional bioinformatic analyses suggest it is the most likely candidate. SIGNIFICANCE: CDYL deficiency has been shown to disrupt neuronal migration and to influence susceptibility to epilepsy in mice. Further exploration with a larger replication cohort is warranted to clarify whether CDYL is the causal gene underlying the association signal.

Severe infantile onset developmental and epileptic encephalopathy caused by mutations in autophagy gene WDR45.

Heterozygous de novo variants in the autophagy gene, WDR45, are found in beta-propeller protein-associated neurodegeneration (BPAN). BPAN is characterized by adolescent onset dementia and dystonia; 66% patients have seizures. We asked whether WDR45 was associated with developmental and epileptic encephalopathy (DEE). We performed next generation sequencing of WDR45 in 655 patients with developmental and epileptic encephalopathies. We identified 3/655 patients with DEE plus 4 additional patients with de novo WDR45 pathogenic variants (6 truncations, 1 missense); all were female. Six presented with DEE and 1 with early onset focal seizures and profound regression. Median seizure onset was 12 months, 6 had multiple seizure types, and 5/7 had focal seizures. Three patients had magnetic resonance susceptibility-weighted imaging; blooming was noted in the globus pallidi and substantia nigra in the 2 older children aged 4 and 9 years, consistent with iron accumulation. We show that de novo pathogenic variants are associated with a range of developmental and epileptic encephalopathies with profound developmental consequences.

The key incident monitoring and management system - history and role in quality improvement.

BACKGROUND: The determination of reliable, practical Quality Indicators (QIs) from presentation of the patient with a pathology request form through to the clinician receiving the report (the Total Testing Process or TTP) is a key step in identifying areas where improvement is necessary in laboratories. METHODS: The Australasian QIs programme Key Incident Monitoring and Management System (KIMMS) began in 2008. It records incidents (process defects) and episodes (occasions at which incidents may occur) to calculate incident rates. KIMMS also uses the Failure Mode Effects Analysis (FMEA) to assign quantified risk to each incident type. The system defines risk as incident frequency multiplied by both a harm rating (on a 1-10 scale) and detection difficulty score (also a 1-10 scale). RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2016, laboratories participating rose from 22 to 69. Episodes rose from 13.2 to 43.4 million; incidents rose from 114,082 to 756,432. We attribute the rise in incident rate from 0.86% to 1.75% to increased monitoring. Haemolysis shows the highest incidence (22.6% of total incidents) and the highest risk (26.68% of total risk). "Sample is suspected to be from the wrong patient" has the second lowest frequency, but receives the highest harm rating (10/10) and detection difficulty score (10/10), so it is calculated to be the 8th highest risk (2.92%). Similarly, retracted (incorrect) reports QI has the 10th highest frequency (3.9%) but the harm/difficulty calculation confers the second highest risk (11.17%). CONCLUSIONS: TTP incident rates are generally low (less than 2% of observed episodes), however, incident risks, their frequencies multiplied by both ratings of harm and discovery difficulty scores, concentrate improvement attention and resources on the monitored incident types most important to manage.

Making sense of a haemolysis monitoring and reporting system: a nationwide longitudinal multimethod study of 68 Australian laboratory participant organisations.

BACKGROUND: The key incident monitoring and management systems (KIMMS) quality assurance program monitors incidents in the pre- and postanalytical phases of testing in medical laboratories. Haemolysed specimens have been found to be the most frequent preanalytical error and have major implications for patient care. The aims of this study were to assess the suitability of KIMMS for quality reporting of haemolysis and to devise a meaningful method for reporting and monitoring haemolysis. METHODS: A structured survey of 68 Australian KIMMS laboratory participant organisations was undertaken. Quarterly haemolysis reports (2011-2014) were analysed. RESULTS: Among 110 million accessions reported, haemolysis rates varied according to the reporting methods that participants used for assigning accessions (16% of participants reported haemolysis by specimen and 83% reported by episode) and counting haemolysis rejections (61% by specimen, 35% by episode and 3% by test). More than half of the participants (56%) assigned accessions by episode and counted rejections by specimen. For this group, the average haemolysis rate per 100,000 episodes was 177 rejected specimens with the average rate varying from 100 to 233 over time. The majority of participants (91%) determined rejections using the haemolysis index. Two thirds of participants (66%) recorded the haemolysis manually in laboratory information systems. CONCLUSIONS: KIMMS maintains the largest longitudinal haemolysis database in the world. However, as a means of advancing improvements in the quality of the preanalytical laboratory process, there is a need to standardise reporting methods to enable robust comparison of haemolysis rejection rates across participant laboratories.