ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The current standard endpoint to assess disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS) clinical trials is the time to the first confirmed disability progression, which excludes subsequent progression events. Including recurrent progression events may permit a more comprehensive assessment of treatment effects on disability progression. OBJECTIVE: To propose a definition of recurrent disability progression events and to compare time-to-first and recurrent event analysis. METHODS: Recurrent disability progression events were defined by expanding the recommended first event definition. Marginal recurrent event methods (negative binomial model, Lin-Wei-Yang-Ying model) were compared with Cox regression in data from three randomized controlled trials in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) and primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), and in simulated randomized controlled trial data. RESULTS: The recurrent event analyses included a substantially larger number of progression events compared with the time-to-first-event analyses (+7.5% and +9.9% in the RMS trials and +22.7% in the PPMS trial). The increase in the number of events resulted in more precise treatment effect estimates and a corresponding gain in statistical power. CONCLUSION: Our results support the use of recurrent event data analysis, especially in progressive MS trials, to improve estimates of treatment effects, increase statistical power, and better capture the clinically meaningful long-term disability progression experience.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/drug therapy , Models, Statistical , Recurrence , Disease Progression , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Requiring a walking aid is a fundamental milestone in multiple sclerosis (MS), represented by an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≥6.0. In the present study, we assess the effect of ocrelizumab (OCR) on time to EDSS score ≥6.0 in relapsing MS. METHODS: Time to EDSS score ≥6.0 confirmed for ≥24 and ≥48 weeks was assessed over the course of 6.5 years (336 weeks) in the double-blind period (DBP) and open-label extension (OLE) period of the OPERA I (NCT01247324) and OPERA II (NCT01412333) studies. RESULTS: Time to reach EDSS score ≥6.0 was significantly delayed in those initially randomized to OCR versus interferon. Over 6.5 years, the risk of requiring a walking aid confirmed for ≥24 weeks was 34% lower among those who initiated OCR earlier versus delayed treatment (average hazard ratio [HR] DBP + OLE 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.45-0.95; p = 0.024); the risk of requiring a walking aid confirmed for ≥48 weeks was 46% lower (average HR DBP+OLE 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.83; p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: The reduced risk of requiring a walking aid in earlier initiators of OCR demonstrates the long-term implications of earlier highly effective treatment.
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Multiple Sclerosis , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Humans , Immunologic Factors/adverse effects , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapy , WalkingABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Ocrelizumab is an approved intravenously administered anti-CD20 antibody for multiple sclerosis (MS). The safety profile and patient preference for conventional versus shorter ocrelizumab infusions were investigated in the ENSEMBLE PLUS study. METHODS: ENSEMBLE PLUS was a randomized, double-blind substudy to the single-arm ENSEMBLE study (NCT03085810), comparing outcomes in patients with early-stage relapsing-remitting MS receiving ocrelizumab 600 mg over the approved 3.5-h (conventional) versus 2-h (shorter) infusion. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with infusion-related reactions (IRRs) following the first randomized dose (RD); the secondary endpoint included IRR frequency at subsequent RDs. RESULTS: At first RD, the number of patients with an IRR in the conventional (101/373; 27.1%) versus shorter (107/372; 28.8%) infusion group was similar (difference, stratified estimates [95% CI]: 1.9% [- 4.4, 8.2]). Most IRRs (conventional: 99.4%; shorter: 97.7%) were mild/moderate. IRR frequency decreased over the course of RDs; three patients discontinued from the shorter infusion arm but continued with conventional infusion. Overall, > 98% of IRRs resolved without sequelae in both groups. Pre-randomization throat irritation was predictive of future throat irritation as an IRR symptom. Adverse events (AEs) and serious AEs were consistent with the known ocrelizumab safety profile. On completion of ENSEMBLE PLUS, most patients chose to remain on (95%) or switch to (80%) shorter infusion. CONCLUSION: ENSEMBLE PLUS demonstrates the safety and tolerability of shorter ocrelizumab infusions. Most patients remained on/switched to shorter infusion after unblinding; IRRs did not strongly influence patient decisions. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: Substudy of ENSEMBLE (NCT03085810). REGISTRATION: March 21, 2017.
Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Immunologic Factors , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting , Humans , Female , Double-Blind Method , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects , Male , Adult , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapy , Infusions, Intravenous , Immunologic Factors/administration & dosage , Immunologic Factors/adverse effects , Middle AgedABSTRACT
In clinical development, it is useful to characterize the causal relationship between individual drug concentrations and clinical outcomes in large phase III trials of new therapeutic agents because it can provide insights on whether increasing the currently administered drug dose may lead to better outcomes. However, estimating causal effects of drug concentration is complicated by the fact that drug concentration is a continuous measure and it is usually influenced by patient-level prognostic characteristics such as body weight and sex. In this article, we compare two approaches to estimate causal effects of continuous point exposures on time-to-event outcomes: (a) outcome regression (OR) and (b) weighting. In particular, we make the first direct comparison of the balancing weights, inverse probability weighting and OR methods for estimating the effects of continuous exposures on time-to-event outcomes in simulations and demonstrate that these methods can exhibit markedly different behaviours that subsequently lead to a change in the conclusions. To improve weighted exposure effect estimators, we also propose a new simple-to-apply diagnostic to detect when such estimators might be subject to severe bias, and demonstrate its effectiveness in simulations. Finally, we apply these methods to an example of multiple sclerosis drug development by providing causal effect estimates of average ocrelizumab concentrations on time-to-event disability progression outcomes.
Subject(s)
Probability , Humans , Bias , Regression AnalysisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Ocrelizumab improved clinical and MRI measures of disease activity and progression in three phase 3 multiple sclerosis (MS) studies. Post hoc analyses demonstrated a correlation between the ocrelizumab serum concentration and the degree of blood B-cell depletion, and body weight was identified as the most influential covariate on ocrelizumab pharmacokinetics. The magnitude of ocrelizumab treatment benefit on disability progression was greater in lighter vs heavier patients. These observations suggest that higher ocrelizumab serum levels provide more complete B-cell depletion and a greater delay in disability progression. The current post hoc analyses assessed population exposure-efficacy/safety relationships of ocrelizumab in patients with relapsing and primary progressive MS. METHODS: Patients in OPERA I/II and ORATORIO were grouped in exposure quartiles based on their observed individual serum ocrelizumab level over the treatment period. Exposure-response relationships were analyzed for clinical efficacy (24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP), annualized relapse rate [ARR], and MRI outcomes) and adverse events. RESULTS: Ocrelizumab reduced new MRI lesion counts to nearly undetectable levels in patients with relapsing or primary progressive MS across all exposure subgroups, and reduced ARR in patients with relapsing MS to very low levels (0.13-0.18). A consistent trend of higher ocrelizumab exposure leading to lower rates of CDP was seen (0%-25% [lowest] to 75%-100% [highest] quartile hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals; relapsing MS: 0.70 [0.41-1.19], 0.85 [0.52-1.39], 0.47 [0.25-0.87], and 0.34 [0.17-0.70] vs interferon ß-1a; primary progressive MS: 0.88 [0.59-1.30], 0.86 [0.60-1.25], 0.77 [0.52-1.14], and 0.55 [0.36-0.83] vs placebo). Infusion-related reactions, serious adverse events, and serious infections were similar across exposure subgroups. DISCUSSION: The almost complete reduction of ARR and MRI activity already evident in the lowest quartile, and across all ocrelizumab-exposure groups, suggests a ceiling effect. A consistent trend of higher ocrelizumab exposure leading to greater reduction in risk of CDP was observed, particularly in the relapsing MS trials, and was not associated with a higher rate of adverse events. Higher ocrelizumab exposure may provide improved control of disability progression by reducing disease activity below that detectable by ARR and MRI, and/or by attenuating other B-cell-related pathologies responsible for tissue damage. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This analysis provides Class III evidence that higher ocrelizumab serum levels are related to greater reduction in risk of disability progression in patients with multiple sclerosis. The study is rated Class III because of the initial treatment randomization disclosure that occurred after inclusion in the open-label extension. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01247324 (OPERA I), NCT01412333 (OPERA II), and NCT01194570 (ORATORIO).
Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis , Humans , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects , Immunologic Factors/adverse effects , Interferon beta-1a/therapeutic use , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , RecurrenceABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: There is an urgent need for additional therapies to treat recurrent glioblastoma (GBM). Preclinical studies suggest that high dose macitentan, an oral dual endothelin receptor antagonist, enhances the cytotoxic effects of temozolomide (TMZ) in GBM, improving survival. This phase I trial investigated the maximum tolerated dose of macitentan combined with TMZ in patients with recurrent GBM and assessed the safety and tolerability of high dose macitentan in these patients (NCT01499251). METHODS: Adults with recurrent GBM received ascending doses of macitentan from 30 mg once daily concomitantly with TMZ. Safety and tolerability were assessed in addition to exploratory efficacy and pharmacokinetic endpoints. An ancillary study examined biomarker expression following macitentan treatment prior to surgical resection of recurrent GBM. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients with recurrent GBM were administered macitentan doses up to 300 mg once daily; no dose-limiting toxicities were observed, and a maximum tolerated dose was not determined. All patients experienced at least one treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE), the majority associated with GBM or TMZ treatment. TEAEs related to macitentan and TMZ were reported for 16 (42.1%) and 26 (68.4%) patients, respectively, with no serious macitentan-related TEAEs. Macitentan concentrations increased with dose, with no plateau in exposure. Substantial heterogeneity was observed in the expression of efficacy biomarkers within tumors. The Kaplan-Meier estimate of median overall survival across all dose groups was 9.4 (95% CI 8.5, 13.4) months. CONCLUSION: High-dose macitentan was well tolerated in recurrent GBM patients concomitantly receiving TMZ. TEAEs were consistent with those seen in patients receiving either drug individually.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The phase IIIb A Study to Evaluate the Effects of Ocrelizumab on Immune Responses in Participants With Relapsing Forms of Multiple Sclerosis (VELOCE) study (NCT02545868) assessed responses to selected vaccines in ocrelizumab (OCR)-treated patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis. METHODS: Patients were randomized 2:1 into the OCR group (n = 68; OCR 600 mg) or control group (n = 34; interferon beta or no disease-modifying therapy). All received tetanus toxoid (TT)-containing vaccine, Pneumovax (23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine [23-PPV]), and keyhole limpet hemocyanin (KLH). The OCR group was subdivided into OCR1 (n = 33) and OCR2 (n = 35) at randomization. The OCR1 group received Prevnar (13-valent conjugate pneumococcal vaccine) 4 weeks after 23-PPV; the OCR2 and control groups received influenza vaccine. Vaccinations started 12 weeks after OCR initiation (OCR group) or on day 1 (control group). RESULTS: Positive response rate to TT vaccine at 8 weeks was 23.9% in the OCR vs 54.5% in the control group. Positive response rate to ≥5 serotypes in 23-PPV at 4 weeks was 71.6% in the OCR and 100% in the control group. Prevnar did not enhance response to pneumococcal serotypes in common with Pneumovax. Humoral response to KLH was decreased in the OCR vs control group. Seroprotection rates at 4 weeks against 5 influenza strains ranged from 55.6% to 80.0% in the OCR2 group and 75.0% to 97.0% in the control group. CONCLUSION: Peripherally B-cell-depleted OCR recipients mounted attenuated humoral responses to clinically relevant vaccines and the neoantigen KLH, suggesting that use of standard nonlive vaccines while on OCR treatment remains a consideration. For seasonal influenza vaccines, it is recommended to vaccinate patients on OCR because a potentially protective humoral response, even if attenuated, can be expected. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence confirming that the humoral response to nonlive vaccines in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis after OCR treatment is attenuated compared with untreated or interferon beta-treated patients, but they can still be expected to be protective. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: NCT02545868.
Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Immunogenicity, Vaccine/drug effects , Immunologic Factors/therapeutic use , Multiple Sclerosis/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis/immunology , Adult , Female , Hemocyanins/immunology , Humans , Male , Pneumococcal Vaccines/immunology , Tetanus Toxoid/immunologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The safety and efficacy of ocrelizumab in primary progressive multiple sclerosis were shown in the phase 3 ORATORIO trial. In this study, we assessed the effects of maintaining or switching to ocrelizumab therapy on measures of disease progression and safety in the open-label extension phase of ORATORIO. METHODS: ORATORIO was an international, multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial done at 182 study locations including academic centres, hospitals, and community speciality centres within 29 countries across the Americas, Australia, Europe, Israel, New Zealand, and Russia. Patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis aged 18-55 years who had an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 3·0-6·5 were eligible for enrolment. Those who had previous treatment with B-cell-targeted therapies or other immunosuppressive medications were excluded. Eligible participants were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive either intravenous infusion of 600 mg of ocrelizumab (two 300 mg infusions 14 days apart) or placebo every 24 weeks for at least 120 weeks until a prespecified number (n=253) of disability events occurred. After the double-blind phase, patients entered an extended controlled period of variable duration, during which they and investigators became aware of treatment allocation. Following this period, patients could enter an optional open-label extension, during which they continued ocrelizumab or switched from placebo to ocrelizumab. Time to onset of disability progression was confirmed at 24 weeks with four measures (ie, increase in EDSS score, ≥20% increase in time to complete the 9-Hole Peg Test [9HPT], ≥20% increase in time to perform the Timed 25-Foot Walk [T25FW], and composite progression defined as the first confirmed occurrence of any of these three individual measures), as was time to requiring a wheelchair (EDSS ≥7). Conventional MRI measures were also analysed. The intention-to-treat population was used for the safety and efficacy analyses; all analyses, and their timings, were done post hoc. ORATORIO is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01194570, and is ongoing. FINDINGS: From March 3, 2011, to Dec 27, 2012, 488 patients were randomly assigned to the ocrelizumab group and 244 to the placebo group. The extended controlled period started on July 24, 2015, and ended on April 27, 2016, when the last patient entered the open-label extension. Overall, 544 (74%) of 732 participants completed the double-blind period to week 144; 527 (97%) of 544 entered the open-label extension phase, of whom 451 (86%) are ongoing in the open-label extension. After at least 6·5 study years (48 weeks per study year) of follow-up, the proportion of patients with progression on disability measures was lower in those who initiated ocrelizumab early than in those initially receiving placebo for most of the measures of 24-week confirmed disability progression: EDSS, 51·7% vs 64·8% (difference 13·1% [95% CI 4·9-21·3]; p=0·0018); 9HPT, 30·6% vs 43·1% (12·5% [4·1-20·9]); p=0·0035); T25FW, 63·2% vs 70·7% (7·5% [-0·3 to 15·2]; p=0·058); composite progression, 73·2% vs 83·3% (10·1% [3·6-16·6]; p=0·0023); and confirmed time to requiring a wheelchair, 11·5% vs 18·9% (7·4% [0·8-13·9]; p=0·0274). At study end, the percentage change from baseline was lower in those who initiated ocrelizumab early than in those initially receiving placebo for T2 lesion volume (0·45% vs 13·00%, p<0·0001) and T1 hypointense lesion volume (36·68% vs 60·93%, p<0·0001). Over the entire period, in the ORATORIO all ocrelizumab exposure population, the rate of adverse events was 238·09 (95% CI 232·71-243·57) per 100 patient-years and serious adverse events was 12·63 (95% CI 11·41-13·94) per 100 patient-years; the most common serious adverse events were infections at 4·13 (95% CI 3·45-4·91) per 100 patient-years. No new safety signals emerged compared with the double-blind phase of ORATORIO. INTERPRETATION: Compared with patients switching from placebo, earlier and continuous ocrelizumab treatment provided sustained benefits on measures of disease progression over the 6·5 study years of follow-up. Although this study shows the benefit of earlier intervention with ocrelizumab in primary progressive disease, progression remains an important unmet need in multiple sclerosis. Further research should focus on how the potential benefits described in this study might be improved upon, particularly over longer time periods. FUNDING: F Hoffmann-La Roche.
Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/pharmacology , Disease Progression , Immunologic Factors/pharmacology , Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive/drug therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/adverse effects , Double-Blind Method , Drug Administration Schedule , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Immunologic Factors/administration & dosage , Immunologic Factors/adverse effects , Male , Middle Aged , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Young AdultABSTRACT
Importance: Accumulation of disability in multiple sclerosis may occur as relapse-associated worsening (RAW) or steady progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), with PIRA regarded as a feature of primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Objective: To investigate the contributions of relapse-associated worsening vs relapse-independent progression to overall confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) and assess respective baseline prognostic factors and outcomes of 2 treatments. Design, Setting, and Participants: Analyses occurred from July 2015 to February 2020 on pooled data from the intention-to-treat population of 2 identical, phase 3, multicenter, double-blind, double-dummy, parallel-group randomized clinical trials (OPERA I and II) conducted between August 2011 and April 2015. In the trials, patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS), diagnosed using the 2010 revised McDonald criteria, were randomized from 307 trial sites in 56 countries; resulting data were analyzed in the pooled data set. Interventions: Participants were randomized 1:1 to receive 600 mg of ocrelizumab by intravenous infusion every 24 weeks or subcutaneous interferon ß-1a 3 times a week at a dose of 44 µg throughout a 96-week treatment period. Main Outcomes and Measures: Confirmed disability accumulation was defined by an increase in 1 or more of 3 measures (Expanded Disability Status Scale, timed 25-ft walk, or 9-hole peg test), confirmed after 3 or 6 months, and classified per temporal association with confirmed clinical relapses (PIRA or RAW). Results: In the pooled OPERA I and II population (1656 of 2096 eligible participants), baseline demographics and disease characteristics were similar for patients randomized to interferon ß-1a vs ocrelizumab (mean [SD] age, 37.2 [9.2] vs 37.1 [9.2] years; 552 [66.6%] vs 541 women [65.4%]). After 96 weeks, 12-week composite CDA had occurred in 223 (29.6% by Kaplan-Meier estimate) randomized to interferon ß-1a and 167 (21.1%) randomized to ocrelizumab; 24-week composite CDA had occurred in 170 (22.7%) taking interferon ß-1a and 129 (16.2%) taking ocrelizumab. The PIRA events were the main contributors to 12-week and 24-week composite CDA after 96 weeks in patients treated with interferon ß-1a (174 of 223 [78.0%] and 137 of 170 [80.6%], respectively) and ocrelizumab (147 of 167 [88.0%] and 115 of 129 [89.1%], respectively); a minority had CDA explained by RAW events (69 of 390 [17.7%] and 52 of 299 [17.4%], respectively). Very few patients with composite CDA experienced both RAW and PIRA events (17 of 390 [4.4%] for 12-week and 15 of 299 [5.0%] for 24-week composite CDA). Ocrelizumab (vs interferon ß-1a) was associated with reduced risk of composite CDA (hazard ratio [HR], 0.67) and confirmed PIRA (HR, 0.78) and RAW (HR, 0.47) events. Conclusions and Relevance: Most disability accumulation in RMS is not associated with overt relapses. This indicates an underlying progression in this typical RMS population and challenges the current clinical distinction of relapsing and progressive forms of multiple sclerosis. Ocrelizumab was superior to interferon ß-1a in preventing both RAW and PIRA. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: OPERA I (NCT01247324) and OPERA II (NCT01412333).
Subject(s)
Disease Progression , Immunologic Factors/pharmacology , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/diagnosis , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/drug therapy , Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/physiopathology , Adult , Double-Blind Method , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Recurrence , Secondary Prevention , Severity of Illness IndexABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To assess over 3 years of follow-up the effects of maintaining or switching to ocrelizumab (OCR) therapy on clinical and MRI outcomes and safety measures in the open-label extension (OLE) phase of the pooled OPERA: I/II studies in relapsing multiple sclerosis. METHODS: After 2 years of double-blind, controlled treatment, patients continued OCR (600 mg infusions every 24 weeks) or switched from interferon (IFN)-ß-1a (44 µg 3 times weekly) to OCR when entering the OLE phase (3 years). Adjusted annualized relapse rate, time to onset of 24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP)/improvement (CDP), brain MRI activity (gadolinium-enhanced and new/enlarging T2 lesions), and percentage brain volume change were analyzed. RESULTS: Of patients entering the OLE phase, 88.6% completed year 5. The cumulative proportion with 24-week CDP was lower in patients who initiated OCR earlier vs patients initially receiving IFN-ß-1a (16.1% vs 21.3% at year 5; p = 0.014). Patients continuing OCR maintained and those switching from IFN-ß-1a to OCR attained near complete and sustained suppression of new brain MRI lesion activity from years 3-5. Over the OLE phase, patients continuing OCR exhibited less whole brain volume loss from double-blind study baseline vs those switching from IFN-ß-1a (-1.87% vs -2.15% at year 5; p < 0.01). Adverse events were consistent with past reports and no new safety signals emerged with prolonged treatment. CONCLUSION: Compared with patients switching from IFN-ß-1a, earlier and continuous OCR treatment up to 5 years provided sustained benefit on clinical and MRI measures of disease progression. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that earlier and continuous treatment with OCR provided sustained benefit on clinical and MRI outcomes of disease activity and progression compared with patients switching from IFN-ß-1a. The study is rated Class III because of the initial treatment randomization disclosure that occurred after inclusion in OLE. CLINICAL TRIAL IDENTIFIERS: NCT01247324/NCT01412333.