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1.
J Infect Dis ; 228(Suppl 3): S211-S220, 2023 09 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37703346

ABSTRACT

Italy has had the highest prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and mortality from HCV-related liver cancer in Europe. Although direct-acting antivirals (DAA) were initially restricted to persons with advanced fibrosis, their use has since been extended to all infected individuals; more than 244 000 persons have been treated to date. HCV liver-related mortality is expected to decline by 75% by 2030, achieving the World Health Organization target for mortality. However, Italy risks failing to meet the overall goal of eliminating HCV infection by 2030. In this light, €71.5 million have been allocated for screening initially specific target populations (persons who inject drugs, prison inmates, and the 1969-1989 birth cohort). Herein, we outline the challenges and recommendations for how to move Italy toward HCV elimination, including expanding screening programs in other populations, increasing awareness through strategic communication, sustaining DAA access, and tailoring care models to meet the needs of key populations.


Subject(s)
Drug Users , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Hepatitis C , Substance Abuse, Intravenous , Humans , Hepacivirus , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/prevention & control , Italy/epidemiology
2.
Liver Int ; 42(1): 26-37, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34582627

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Optimized diagnostic algorithms to detect active infections are crucial to achieving HCV elimination. We evaluated the cost effectiveness and sustainability of different algorithms for HCV active infection diagnosis, in a context of a high endemic country for HCV infection. METHODS: A Markov disease progression model, simulating six diagnostic algorithms in the birth cohort 1969-1989 over a 10-year horizon from a healthcare perspective was used. Conventionally diagnosis of active HCV infection is through detection of antibodies (HCV-Ab) detection followed by HCV-RNA or HCV core antigen (HCV-Ag) confirmatory testing either on a second sample or by same sample reflex testing. The undiagnosed and unconfirmed rates were evaluated by assays false negative estimates and each algorithm patients' drop-off. Age, liver disease stages distribution, liver disease stage costs, treatment effectiveness and costs were used to evaluate the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER). RESULTS: The reference option was Rapid HCV-Ab followed by second sample HCV-Ag testing which produced the lowest QALYs (866,835 QALYs). The highest gains in health (QALYs=974,458) was obtained by HCV-RNA reflex testing which produced a high cost-effective ICER (€891/QALY). Reflex testing (same sample-single visit) vs two patients' visits algorithms, yielded the highest QALYs and high cost-effective ICERs (€566 and €635/QALY for HCV-Ag and HCV-RNA, respectively), confirmed in 99.9% of the 5,000 probabilistic simulations. CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm, by a cost effectiveness point of view, the EASL and WHO clinical practice guidelines recommending HCV reflex testing as most cost effective diagnostic option vs other diagnostic pathways.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis C, Chronic , Hepatitis C , Algorithms , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Hepacivirus/genetics , Hepatitis C/diagnosis , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Humans
3.
Liver Int ; 41(5): 934-948, 2021 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33529499

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We assessed the clinical and economic impact of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) in England, Italy, Romania and Spain. METHODS: An HCV progression Markov model was developed considering DAA eligibility and population data during the years 2015-2019. The period of time to recover the investment in DAAs was calculated as the cost saved by avoiding estimated clinical events for 1000 standardized treated patients. A delayed treatment scenario because of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was also developed. RESULTS: The estimated number of avoided hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensated cirrhosis and liver transplantations over a 20-year time horizon was: 1,057 in England; 1,221 in Italy; 1,211 in Romania; and 1,103 in Spain for patients treated during 2015-2016 and 640 in England; 626 in Italy; 739 in Romania; and 643 in Spain for patients treated during 2017-2019. The cost-savings ranged from € 45 to € 275 million. The investment needed to expand access to DAAs in 2015-2019 is estimated to be recovered in 6.5 years in England; 5.4 years in Italy; 6.7 years in Romania; and 4.5 years in Spain. A delay in treatment because of COVID-19 will increase liver mortality in all countries. CONCLUSION: Direct-acting antivirals have significant clinical benefits and can bring substantial cost-savings over the next 20 years, reaching a Break-even point in a short period of time. When pursuing an exit strategy from strict lockdown measures for COVID-19, providing DAAs should remain high on the list of priorities in order to maintain HCV elimination efforts.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cost of Illness , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Liver Neoplasms , Antiviral Agents/economics , COVID-19 , Communicable Disease Control , England/epidemiology , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Romania/epidemiology , Spain/epidemiology , Time-to-Treatment
4.
Value Health ; 24(9): 1273-1278, 2021 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34452706

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to evaluate the potential role of efficacy data and other information available at the time of price and reimbursement (P&R) decision-making process within the definition of oncology treatment costs in Italy. METHODS: The study included all P&R dossiers submitted to the Italian Medicines Agency between July 2015 and December 2017. It prospectively collected the data of the P&R process starting from dossier submission up to the Italian Health Service reimbursement decision. The cost of treatment per patient was estimated using both the list price ("gross cost") and the confidential net price ("net cost") of drug packages and applied to the median duration of treatment. A 2-sample stage Heckman decomposition model was used to evaluate the potential role of efficacy data and other information available at the time of P&R decision making on the gross and net cost. RESULTS: A total of 37 oncology drugs related to 58 therapeutic indications were analyzed. The multivariate model showed that the variation of progression-free survival is the only variable predictor statistically associated with treatment cost, but this effect was observed only when confidential net prices were used (P=.026). CONCLUSIONS: Considering the perspective of a developed country having a public healthcare service with a central reimbursement negotiation is determined a relevant reduction in the treatment cost purchased by public payers. This is a useful approach to guarantee the affordability of innovative oncology drugs and to contain public expenditures on healthcare. Furthermore, the negotiation of confidential discounts and agreement clauses in managed entry agreements seemed to reward oncology drugs displaying an added therapeutic benefit.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Medical Oncology , Databases, Factual , Drug Costs , Humans , Italy , Prospective Studies
5.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 43(2): 261-269, 2021 06 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33458758

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Disparities in cross-regional coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) mortality remain poorly understood. The association between pre-epidemic health and epidemic mortality can inform a policy response to future outbreaks. METHOD: We conducted an ecological study of the association between the cumulative deaths attributed to Covid-19 epidemic in the 20 Italian regions and nine determinants of population health derived from a systematic review of the literature. We used a multiple least square regression to predict the cross-regional variation in mortality observed from the onset of the epidemic to 23 September 2020. RESULTS: Four independent variables best explained the cross-regional differences in the number of deaths attributed to Covid-19: the force of infection, population density, number of elderly living in assisted facilities and the standard rate of diabetes. The semi-partial correlation coefficients suggest that the force of infection and the number of elderly residents in nursing homes were the dominant predictors of the number of deaths attributed to Covid-19. Statistical controls and validation confirmed the generalizability of the predictive model. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that a significant reduction of social contacts in main metropolitan areas and the timely isolation of elderly and diabetic residents could significantly reduce the death toll of the next wave of Covid-19 infection in Italy.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Aged , Disease Outbreaks , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Mortality , Nursing Homes , SARS-CoV-2
6.
Liver Int ; 40(7): 1545-1555, 2020 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32078234

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cost-effective screening strategies are needed to make hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination a reality. We determined if birth cohort screening is cost-effective in Italy. METHODS: A model was developed to quantify screening and healthcare costs associated with HCV. The model-estimated prevalence of undiagnosed HCV was used to calculate the antibody screens needed annually, with a €25 000 cost-effectiveness threshold. Outcomes were assessed under the status quo and a scenario that met the World Health Organization's targets for elimination of HCV. The elimination scenario was assessed under five screening strategies. RESULTS: A graduated birth cohort screening strategy (graduated screening 1: 1968-1987 birth cohorts, then expanding to 1948-1967 cohorts) was the least costly. This strategy would gain approximately 144 000 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) by 2031 and result in an 89.3% reduction in HCV cases, compared to an 89.6%, 89.0%, 89.7% and 88.7% reduction for inversed graduated screening, 1948-77 birth cohort, 1958-77 birth cohort and universal screening, respectively. Graduated screening 1 yielded the lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €3552 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: In Italy, a graduated screening scenario is the most cost-effective strategy. Other countries could consider a similar birth cohort approach when developing HCV screening strategies.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis C, Chronic , Hepatitis C , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C/diagnosis , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Mass Screening , Quality-Adjusted Life Years
7.
Future Oncol ; 15(18): 2107-2112, 2019 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31161795

ABSTRACT

Aim: Cetuximab is used for the treatment of RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer patients. Standard administration schedule is once a week; however, the bioequivalence of an every-other-week (EOW) schedule was demonstrated. Methods: We compared a base case scenario of 100% weekly administration to an EOW at 50 or 100%. Medical examinations, patient management and loss of productivity were considered. Results: Base case was estimated at €100.6 million versus €92.8 million and €84.9 million of EOW 50 and 100%, which showed a cost reduction of 8 and 16%, respectively. Indirect costs accounted for 65% in both scenarios. Conclusion: The adoption of an EOW administration schedule of cetuximab reduced direct and indirect costs substantially.


Subject(s)
Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/therapeutic use , Cetuximab/therapeutic use , Colorectal Neoplasms/drug therapy , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Health Care Costs , Health Expenditures , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/administration & dosage , Cetuximab/administration & dosage , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Drug Administration Schedule , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Neoplasm Metastasis , Neoplasm Staging , Population Surveillance
8.
Hum Psychopharmacol ; 33(3): e2658, 2018 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29766576

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Long-acting injectable (LAI) antipsychotics can improve medication adherence and reduce hospitalisation rates compared with oral treatments. Paliperidone palmitate (PAL) and aripiprazole monohydrate (ARI) LAI treatments were associated with improvements in global functioning in patients with schizophrenia. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the predictive factors of better overall functioning in patients with chronic schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorder treated with PAL and ARI. METHOD: Enrolled were 143 (97 males, 46 females, mean age 38.24 years, SD = 12.65) patients with a diagnosis of schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder, whom we allocated in two groups (PAL and ARI treatments). We assessed global functioning, amount of oral medications, adherence to oral treatment, and number of hospitalisations before LAI introduction and at assessment time point. RESULTS: Longer treatment time with LAIs (p < .001), lower number of oral drugs (p < .001), and hospitalisations (p = .002) before LAI introduction, and shorter duration of illness (p = .038) predicted better Global Assessment of Functioning scores in the whole sample (R2  = 0.337). CONCLUSION: Early administration and longer duration of ARI or PAL treatments could play a significant role in improving global functioning of patients with schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorder. Better improvement in functioning could be achieved with ARI in young individuals with recent illness onset and PAL in patients at risk for recurrent hospitalisations.


Subject(s)
Antipsychotic Agents/pharmacology , Aripiprazole/pharmacology , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Paliperidone Palmitate/pharmacology , Psychotic Disorders/drug therapy , Schizophrenia/drug therapy , Adult , Antipsychotic Agents/administration & dosage , Aripiprazole/administration & dosage , Delayed-Action Preparations , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Paliperidone Palmitate/administration & dosage , Young Adult
9.
Popul Health Metr ; 15(1): 36, 2017 09 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28962572

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the leading cause of cervical cancer and other malignant and benign neoplastic lesions. HPV vaccination has three potential goals: to prevent transmission, infection, and disease. At present, there are no available data about health consequences of HPV immunization in Italy. The aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of current HPV vaccination strategy in Italy. METHODS: A multistate morbidity-mortality model was developed to estimate the infection process in a theoretical cohort of Italian women. The Markov process considered nine health states (health, anogenital warts, grade 1 and grade 2/3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, cervical cancer, anal cancer, death due to cervical cancer, anal cancer and other causes), and 26 transition probabilities for each age group. The model was informed with the available data in national and international literature. Effectiveness of immunization was assumed considering a literature review pertaining to models and vaccination coverage rates observed in Italy. Life expectancy (ex), Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs), Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), and attributable risk (AR) were estimated for no intervention (cervical cancer screening) and vaccination strategies scenarios. RESULTS: The model showed that in a cohort of 100,000 Italian women the e0 is equal to 83.1 years. With current HPV vaccination strategy the e0 achieves 83.2 (+0.1) years. When HPV-related diseases are considered altogether, the QALYs increase from 82.7 to 82.9 (+0.2 QALYs) with no intervention and vaccination strategies respectively. DALYs decrease by 0.6 due to vaccination. Finally, AR is equal to 93 and 265 cases per 100,000 women in population and not vaccinated, respectively. CONCLUSION: When mortality due to cervical cancer is considered, HPV vaccination seems to have a low impact on health unit gains in the Italian female population. Conversely, when several HPV-related and cancer morbidity conditions are included, the effect of vaccination becomes quite remarkable.


Subject(s)
Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Papillomaviridae , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Papillomavirus Vaccines , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control , Vaccination , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Condylomata Acuminata/prevention & control , Condylomata Acuminata/virology , Early Detection of Cancer , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Italy/epidemiology , Life Expectancy , Middle Aged , Papillomavirus Infections/mortality , Papillomavirus Infections/virology , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/mortality , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/pathology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/virology , Young Adult , Uterine Cervical Dysplasia/prevention & control , Uterine Cervical Dysplasia/virology
10.
Ig Sanita Pubbl ; 73(5): 453-471, 2017.
Article in Italian | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29433132

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Decision-making in healthcare should rely on evidence-based approaches able to make possible a transparent and robust assessment of all the aspects related to health technologies. One of the assessment elements is represented by the efficiency that is the specific objective of economic evaluations and also of Health Technology Assessment (HTA). The collection and synthesis of evidence is the first indispensable step in order to foster a proper convey of scientific knowledge to the decision-makers. This work, carried out within a broader project on the transfer of evidence from the scientific to the decision making world, is aimed to release an overview of economic evaluations and HTA on vaccines conducted in Italy. The project was carried out within the activities of the ISPOR Italy-Rome Chapter. METHODS: A systematic review of Italian economic evaluations and HTA performed on vaccines and published up to May 2015 was carried out. PubMed, Scopus and the NIHR HTA databases were queried and a hand-search was performed on key journals in the field (Global & Regional Health Technology Assessment; PharmacoEconomics Italian Research Articles; Giornale italiano di HTA; Politiche Sanitarie; HTA Focus - Pills of Clinical Governance; Pillole di Farmacoeconomia; Giornale Italiano di Farmacoeconomia e Farmacoutilizzazione; IJPH; Quaderni dell'IJPH). Studies were considered eligible if showing the results of a full economic evaluations and if performed in Italy. RESULTS: The literature search yielded 10 HTA reports and 33 economic evaluations. Among the latter, 20 (60,6%) were cost-effectiveness analyses. Ten studies (23,3%) assessed the vaccination against S. pneumoniae figuring out that it is cost-effectiveness and even costsaving in cases of newborns and subjects at risk. Nine studies (20,9%) addressed influenza vaccination and demonstrated its dominance on non-vaccination in the elderly. Eight studies (18,6%) evaluated the HPV vaccines concluding that they are cost-effective. Five studies (11,6%) devoted to anti-rotavirus vaccination showing its dominance on non-vaccination, in particular from the society perspective. Vaccination against pertussis, hepatitis B, chicken pox, measles, rubella, mumps were eventually shown cost-saving. The vaccine against Neisseria meningitidis was considered potentially cost-effective. CONCLUSION: The Italian scientific evidence on efficiency of vaccination is broad and allows concluding that vaccinations are value for money interventions.


Subject(s)
Cost-Benefit Analysis , Technology Assessment, Biomedical , Vaccination/economics , Humans , Italy , Vaccines
11.
Value Health ; 18(8): 956-68, 2015 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26686779

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) plays a role in the development of benign and malign neoplasms in both sexes. The Italian recommendations for HPV vaccines consider only females. The BEST II study (Bayesian modelling to assess the Effectiveness of a vaccination Strategy to prevent HPV-related diseases) evaluates 1) the cost-effectiveness of immunization strategies targeting universal vaccination compared with cervical cancer screening and female-only vaccination and 2) the economic impact of immunization on various HPV-induced diseases. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate whether female-only vaccination or universal vaccination is the most cost-effective intervention against HPV. METHODS: We present a dynamic Bayesian Markov model to investigate transmission dynamics in cohorts of females and males in a follow-up period of 55 years. We assumed that quadrivalent vaccination (against HPV 16, 18, 6, and 11) is available for 12-year-old individuals. The model accounts for the progression of subjects across HPV-induced health states (cervical, vaginal, vulvar, anal, penile, and head/neck cancer as well as anogenital warts). The sexual mixing is modeled on the basis of age-, sex-, and sexual behavioral-specific matrices to obtain the dynamic force of infection. RESULTS: In comparison to cervical cancer screening, universal vaccination results in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €1,500. When universal immunization is compared with female-only vaccination, it is cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €11,600. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis shows a relatively large amount of parameter uncertainty, which interestingly has, however, no substantial impact on the decision-making process. The intervention being assessed seems to be associated with an attractive cost-effectiveness profile. CONCLUSIONS: Universal HPV vaccination is found to be a cost-effective choice when compared with either cervical cancer screening or female-only vaccination within the Italian context.


Subject(s)
Early Detection of Cancer/economics , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Papillomavirus Vaccines/administration & dosage , Papillomavirus Vaccines/economics , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis , Age Factors , Bayes Theorem , Child , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Genital Diseases, Female/economics , Genital Diseases, Female/prevention & control , Genital Diseases, Male/economics , Genital Diseases, Male/prevention & control , Head and Neck Neoplasms/economics , Head and Neck Neoplasms/prevention & control , Humans , Immunization Programs/economics , Italy , Male , Markov Chains , Models, Econometric , Papillomavirus Infections/transmission , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Sex Factors , Sexual Behavior , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/economics
12.
Gynecol Oncol ; 133(3): 518-25, 2014 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24637198

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to prospectively, and longitudinally assess Quality of Life (QoL) and emotional distress in a large series of endometrial cancer (EC) patients. METHODS: Global Health Status of the EORTC QLQ-C30 (GHS), the EORTC QLQ-CX24 (CX24), and the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) questionnaires were administered at diagnosis, and after 3, 6, 12, and 24months since surgery. The Generalized Linear Model and the Between Subject test were used to analyze QoL changes over time, and the association between factors and patient QoL. RESULTS: GHS scores improved over time, although the statistical significance was not reached. Worse lymphedema scores were documented worsened over time with a trend to recover at the 12- and 24month evaluation (p-value=0.028). Scores for Menopausal Symptoms (MS) dramatically worsened over time reaching a 38.5 difference of mean±SE compared to baseline (p-value=0.011). Sexual Activity (SxA) scores improved until the 12-month evaluation (p-value=0.048), and showed a return to baseline levels at the last assessment (p-value=0.025). A significant improvement of anxiety scores was documented at the 3-month evaluation, and persisted over time. In multivariate analysis, unmarried status was associated with poor scores for sexual activity, while living with someone was associated with worse MS scores. CONCLUSIONS: Menopausal and lymphedema symptoms heavily affect QoL in EC patients. Since socio-demographic features play a major role in deteriorating SxA and MS, psycho-social intervention and patient education should be considered as an integral part of EC patient treatment.


Subject(s)
Endometrial Neoplasms/psychology , Menopause/psychology , Quality of Life , Sexual Behavior/psychology , Stress, Psychological/psychology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anxiety/epidemiology , Anxiety/psychology , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant , Depression/epidemiology , Depression/psychology , Endometrial Neoplasms/epidemiology , Endometrial Neoplasms/therapy , Female , Health Status , Humans , Hysterectomy , Longitudinal Studies , Lymph Node Excision , Lymphedema/epidemiology , Lymphedema/psychology , Marital Status/statistics & numerical data , Menopause/physiology , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/psychology , Prospective Studies , Radiotherapy, Adjuvant , Risk Factors , Sexual Behavior/statistics & numerical data , Stress, Psychological/epidemiology
13.
J Ren Nutr ; 24(5): 313-21, 2014 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25167997

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The most recent literature has shown extensively that a low-protein diet in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) delays the natural progression of end-stage renal disease and the necessary treatment of chronic dialysis. The aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of a very low-protein diet compared with a moderate low-protein diet. DESIGN: Markov model. SETTING: The study was conducted from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service. SUBJECTS: Patients with CKD stages 4 and 5. Seven hundred and two patients were considered, and half were treated with a very low-protein diet and the other half with a moderate low-protein diet. INTERVENTION: The Markov model estimates the costs and the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with a very low-protein diet versus a moderate low-protein diet for patients with CKD Stages 4 and 5. The transition probability was estimated on data from 7 studies, which determined the efficacy of very low-protein diets in delaying the need to start maintenance dialysis. Utilities and cost were estimated from literature review and projected for the lifespan considered in the model. The annual cost of dialysis per patient was approximately €34,072. The cost of a very low-protein diet was €1,440 per patient per year in the Lazio region (conservative assumptions). Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: QALY, cost of treatment, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. RESULTS: The model estimates that a very low-protein diet should be more effective. Dietary treatment improved 0.09 QALYs after 2 years, 0.16 after 3 years, 0.36 after 5 years, and up to 0.93 incremental QALYs after the first 10 years. After 2 years, the model estimated increment cost in favor of the most restrictive dietary treatment of €826, €2,146, €5,203, and €10,375 for 2, 3, 5, and 10 years of follow-up respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results of these simulations indicate that the treatment of CKD patients with a very low-protein diet is cost-effective relative to a moderate low-protein diet in an Italian setting. Further studies should test this model in other countries with different dialysis costs and dietary support.


Subject(s)
Diet, Protein-Restricted , Dietary Proteins/administration & dosage , Kidney Failure, Chronic/diet therapy , Kidney Failure, Chronic/economics , Aged , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Humans , Italy , Male , Middle Aged , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Treatment Outcome
14.
Clin Drug Investig ; 44(8): 601-609, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39112750

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: In Italy, the management of metastatic non-small cell lung cancer and melanoma leads to significant healthcare challenges, necessitating cost-effective treatment strategies and offering valuable insights for healthcare policymakers and stakeholders. This study was designed to assess the costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with the health and economic outcomes of (1) pembrolizumab-combined chemotherapy administered as a first-line treatment for metastatic non-squamous and squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) where the tumour presents with a programmed death-ligand 1 expression level < 50% and of (2) adjuvant pembrolizumab treatment for stage III melanoma. METHODS: Three cost-effectiveness models developed by MSD were investigated for each treatment indication. A unique model was built to assess the overall effect of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy or watchful waiting in patients with lung cancer or melanoma, respectively. Theoretical cohorts of patients with metastatic squamous and non-squamous NSCLC were followed over time using a partitioned survival model with weekly cycles. A weekly cycle Markov model was employed for melanoma. The analysis was conducted from the Italian National Health Service perspective, considering a time horizon of 40 years (lifetime). A single closed cohort of treatable patients was followed over time for each indication (4000, 7000 and 900 for NSCLC squamous, non-squamous and melanoma, respectively). The costs evaluated included those for adverse drug events, non-drug disease management, subsequent treatment and terminal care. Drug acquisition and administration costs were excluded. RESULTS: For each treatment indication assessed, pembrolizumab produced downstream direct cost offsets (- €122,498,568, - €133,369,076 and - €32,993,242 for NSCLC squamous, non-squamous and melanoma indications, respectively), increased quality of life (+2088, +5317 and +2307 QALYs for NSCLC squamous, non-squamous and melanoma indications, respectively) and reduced disability (- 2658, - 7202 and - 3029 DALYs for NSCLC squamous, non-squamous and melanoma indications, respectively). Across indications, the total cost offsets of pembrolizumab were - €288,860,885, with 9712 QALYs gained and 12,889 DALYs avoided. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis demonstrated that, compared with chemotherapy, pembrolizumab is more cost effective in Italy as a first-line treatment in patients with metastatic squamous or non-squamous NSCLC and, if compared with watchful waiting, as adjuvant treatment in patients with stage III melanoma. The present analysis suggested that pembrolizumab use could lead to important health benefits for patients while offsetting a portion of cancer care costs.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Lung Neoplasms , Melanoma , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Humans , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/pathology , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/economics , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/economics , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/administration & dosage , Melanoma/drug therapy , Melanoma/economics , Melanoma/pathology , Italy , Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy , Lung Neoplasms/pathology , Lung Neoplasms/economics , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/economics , Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/therapeutic use , Models, Economic
15.
Eur J Health Econ ; 2024 Jan 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38280068

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Italy has the greatest burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Western Europe. The screening strategy represents a crucial prevention tool to achieve HCV elimination in Italy. We evaluated the cost-consequences of different screening strategies for the diagnosis of HCV active infection in the birth cohort 1948-1968 to achieve the HCV elimination goal. METHODS: We designed a probabilistic model to estimate the clinical, and economic outcomes of different screening coverage uptakes, considering the direct costs of HCV management according to each liver fibrosis stage, in the Italian context. A decision probabilistic tree simulates 4 years of HCV testing of the 1948-1968 general population birth cohort, (15,485,565 individuals to be tested) considering different coverage rates. A No-screening scenario was compared with two alternative screening scenarios that represented different coverage rates each year: (1) Incremental approach (coverage rates equal to 5%, 10%, 30%, and 50% at years 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively) and (2) Fast approach (50% coverage rate at years 1, 2, 3 and 4). Overall 106,200 cases were previously estimated to have an HCV active infection. A liver disease progression Markov model was considered for an additional 6 years (horizon-time 10 years). RESULTS: The highest increased number of deaths and clinical events are reported for the No-screening scenario (21,719 cumulative deaths at the end of ten years; 10,148 cases with HCC and/or 7618 cases with Decompensated Cirrhosis). Following the Fast-screening scenario, the reductions in clinical outcomes and deaths were higher compared with No-screening and Incremental-screening. At ten years time horizon, less than 5696 liver deaths (PSA CI95%: - 3873 to 7519), 3,549 HCC (PSA CI95%: - 2413 to 4684) and less than 3005 liver decompensations (PSA CI 95%: - 2104 to 3907) were estimated compared with the Incremental-scenario. The overall costs of the Fast-screening, including the costs of the DAA and liver disease management of the infected patients for 10 years, are estimated to be € 43,107,543 more than no-investment in screening and € 62,289,549 less compared with the overall costs estimated by the Incremental-scenario. CONCLUSION: It is necessary to guarantee dedicated funds and efficiency of the system for the cost-efficacious screening of the 1948-1968 birth cohort in Italy. A delay in HCV diagnosis and treatment in the general population, yet not addressed for the HCV free-of-charge screening, will have important clinical and economic consequences in Italy.

16.
Front Oncol ; 14: 1368606, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38571509

ABSTRACT

Gliomas are a group of heterogeneous tumors that account for substantial morbidity, mortality, and costs to patients and healthcare systems globally. Survival varies considerably by grade, histology, biomarkers, and genetic alterations such as IDH mutations and MGMT promoter methylation, and treatment, but is poor for some grades and histologies, with many patients with glioblastoma surviving less than a year from diagnosis. The present review provides an introduction to glioma, including its classification, epidemiology, economic and humanistic burden, as well as treatment options. Another focus is on treatment recommendations for IDH-mutant astrocytoma, IDH-mutant oligodendroglioma, and glioblastoma, which were synthesized from recent guidelines. While recommendations are nuanced and reflect the complexity of the disease, maximum safe resection is typically the first step in treatment, followed by radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy using temozolomide or procarbazine, lomustine, and vincristine. Immunotherapies and targeted therapies currently have only a limited role due to disappointing clinical trial results, including in recurrent glioblastoma, for which the nitrosourea lomustine remains the de facto standard of care. The lack of treatment options is compounded by frequently suboptimal clinical practice, in which patients do not receive adequate therapy after resection, including delayed, shortened, or discontinued radiotherapy and chemotherapy courses due to treatment side effects. These unmet needs will require significant efforts to address, including a continued search for novel treatment options, increased awareness of clinical guidelines, improved toxicity management for chemotherapy, and the generation of additional and more robust clinical and health economic evidence.

17.
Clin Drug Investig ; 2024 Aug 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39172297

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Untreated spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is the leading genetic cause of death in children younger than 2 years of age. Early detection through newborn screening allows for presymptomatic diagnosis and treatment of SMA. With effective treatments available and reimbursed by the National Health Service, many regions in Italy are implementing newborn screening for SMA. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of universal newborn screening for SMA in Italy. METHODS: A decision-analytic model assessed the cost effectiveness of newborn screening from the National Health Service perspective in 400,000 newborns. Newborn screening enabling early identification and presymptomatic treatment of SMA was compared with no newborn screening, symptomatic diagnosis, and treatment. Transition probabilities between health states were estimated from clinical trial data. Higher-functioning health states were associated with increased survival, higher utility values, and lower costs. Long-term survival and utilities were extrapolated from scientific literature. Health care costs were collected from official Italian sources. A lifetime time horizon was applied, and costs and outcomes were discounted at an annual rate of 3%. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Newborn screening followed by presymptomatic treatment yielded 324 incremental life-years, 390 incremental quality-adjusted life-years, and reduced costs by €1,513,375 over a lifetime time horizon compared with no newborn screening. Thus, newborn screening was less costly and more effective than no newborn screening. Newborn screening has a 100% probability of being cost effective, assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of > €40,000. CONCLUSIONS: Newborn screening followed by presymptomatic SMA treatment is cost effective from the Italian National Health Service perspective.

18.
Diabetes Ther ; 15(6): 1417-1434, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38668998

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to define the distribution of direct healthcare costs for people with diabetes treated in two healthcare regions in Italy, based on number of comorbidities and treatment regimen. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis using data from two local health authority administrative databases (Campania and Umbria) in Italy for the years 2014-2018. Data on hospital care, pharmaceutical and specialist outpatient and laboratory assistance were collected. All people with diabetes in 2014-2018 were identified on the basis of at least one prescription of hypoglycemic drugs (ATC A10), hospitalization with primary or secondary diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (ICD9CM 250.xx) or diabetes exemption code (code 013). Subjects were stratified into three groups according to their pharmaceutical prescriptions during the year: Type 1/type 2 diabetes (T1D/T2D) treated with multiple daily injections with insulin (MDI), type 2 diabetes on basal insulin only (T2D-Basal) and type 2 diabetes not on insulin therapy (T2D-Oral). RESULTS: We identified 304,779 people with diabetes during the period for which data was obtained. Analysis was undertaken on 288,097 subjects treated with glucose-lowering drugs (13% T1D/T2D-MDI, 13% T2D-Basal, 74% T2D-Oral). Average annual cost per patient for the year 2018 across the total cohort was similar for people with T1D/T2D-MDI and people with T2D-Basal (respectively €2580 and €2254) and significantly lower for T2D-Oral (€1145). Cost of hospitalization was the main driver (47% for T1D/T2D-MDI, 45% for T2D-Basal, 45% for T2D-Oral) followed by drugs/devices (35%, 39%, 43%) and outpatient services (18%, 16%, 12%). Average costs increased considerably with increasing comorbidities: from €459 with diabetes only to €7464 for a patient with four comorbidities. Similar trends were found across all subgroups analysis. CONCLUSION: Annual cost of treatment for people with diabetes is similar for those treated with MDI or with basal insulin only, with hospitalization being the main cost driver. This indicates that both patient groups should benefit from having access to scanning continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) technology which is known to be associated with significantly reduced hospitalization for acute diabetes events, compared to self-monitored blood glucose (SMBG) testing.

19.
Am J Cardiol ; 203: 1-8, 2023 09 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37478636

ABSTRACT

Given the increasing population eligible for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), resource utilization has become an important focus in this setting. We aimed to estimate the change in the financial burden of TAVI therapy over 2 different periods. A probabilistic Markov model was developed to estimate the cost consequences of increased center experience and the introduction of newer-generation TAVI devices compared with an earlier TAVI period in a cohort of 6,000 patients. The transition probabilities and hospitalization costs were retrieved from the OBSERVANT (Observational Study of Effectiveness of AVR-TAVI procedures for severe Aortic steNosis Treatment) and OBSERVANT II (Observational Study of Effectiveness of TAVI with new generation deVices for severe Aortic stenosis Treatment) studies, including 1,898 patients treated with old-generation devices and 1,417 patients treated with new-generation devices. The propensity score matching resulted in 853 pairs, with well-balanced baseline risk factors. The mean EuroSCORE II (6.6% vs 6.8%, p = 0.76) and the mean age (82.0 vs 82.1 y, p = 0.62) of the early TAVI period and new TAVI period were comparable. The new TAVI period was associated with a significant reduction in rehospitalizations (-30.5% reintervention, -25.2% rehospitalization for major events, and -30.8% rehospitalization for minor events) and a 20% reduction in 1-year mortality. These reductions resulted in significant cost savings over a 1-year period (-€4.1 million in terms of direct costs and -€19.7 million considering the additional cost of the devices). The main cost reduction was estimated for rehospitalization, accounting for 79% of the overall cost reduction (not considering the costs of the devices). In conclusion, the introduction of new-generation TAVI devices, along with increased center experience, led to significant cost savings at 1-year compared with an earlier TAVI period, mainly because of the reduction in rehospitalization costs.


Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis , Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , Humans , Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/methods , Financial Stress , Treatment Outcome , Risk Factors , Aortic Valve/surgery
20.
Am J Cardiol ; 206: 14-22, 2023 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37677878

ABSTRACT

The prognostic impact of coronary artery disease (CAD) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is controversial. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of CAD and different revascularization strategies on clinical outcomes in patients who underwent TAVI with third generation devices. Patients enrolled in the national observational Observational Study of Effectiveness of SAVR-TAVI Procedures for Severe Aortic Stenosis Treatment II study were stratified according to the presence of CAD (CAD+, n = 1,130) versus no CAD (CAD-, n = 1,505), and compared using a propensity matched analysis. CAD+ group was further stratified according to the revascularization strategy: no revascularization (n = 331), revascularization performed >90 days before index-TAVI (n = 417) and coronary revascularization performed <90 days before index-TAVI or during TAVI (n = 382). In-hospital, 30-day and 1-year clinical outcomes were estimated. The mean age of the overall population was 81.8 years; 54.9% of patients were female. Propensity score matching yielded 813 pairs and their 30-day all-cause mortality was comparable (p = 0.480). Major periprocedural adverse events were also similar between the groups. At 1-year follow-up, the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and all-cause mortality were similar between the groups (p = 0.732 and p = 0.633, respectively). Conversely, patients with CAD experienced more often myocardial infarction and need for percutaneous coronary intervention at 1 year (p = 0.007 and p = 0.001, respectively). Neither CAD nor revascularization strategy were independent predictors of 1-year MACCE. About 40% of patients presenting with severe AS and who underwent TAVI had concomitant CAD. The presence of CAD had no impact on all-cause mortality and MACCE 1-year after TAVR. However, CAD carries a higher risk for acute myocardial infarction and need of percutaneous coronary intervention during follow-up.

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