Incomplete Response of Gastroesophageal Reflux Symptoms Poorly Predicts Erosive Esophagitis or Barrett's Esophagus.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Many patients with symptoms of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) not responding to a proton pump inhibitor (PPI) undergo an upper endoscopy. We hypothesized that an incomplete response to a PPI is not associated with findings of esophageal pathology on endoscopy, and that psychological distress is associated inversely with pathology. METHODS: We enrolled consecutive individuals aged 40 to 79 years with prior heartburn or regurgitation. Logistic regression was used to estimate the effects of incomplete response of GERD symptoms and psychological distress on the odds of finding erosive esophagitis or Barrett's esophagus. RESULTS: A total of 625 patients completed the study. A total of 254 (66.8% of those taking PPI) had GERD symptoms incompletely responsive to a PPI and 352 (56.3%) had severe somatization. An incomplete response to a PPI was associated with psychological distress (P < .001). Erosive esophagitis was found in 148 subjects (23.7%) and Barrett's esophagus in 58 (9.3%). Overall, an incomplete response to a PPI was not found to be associated with these pathologies (odds ratio, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.720-1.91). In contrast, greater psychological distress was associated inversely with erosive esophagitis or Barrett's esophagus (in particular, highest vs lowest tertile somatization: odds ratio, 0.590; 95% CI, 0.365-0.952). CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing upper endoscopy frequently have GERD symptoms incompletely responding to a PPI and a high burden of somatization. However, an incomplete response of GERD symptoms is a poor predictor for endoscopic pathology, and should not be relied upon for selecting patients for screening for Barrett's esophagus. Patients with high psychological distress are less likely to have esophageal pathology.

Validation and Comparison of Tools for Selecting Individuals to Screen for Barrett's Esophagus and Early Neoplasia.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Guidelines suggest endoscopic screening of individuals who are at increased risk for Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Tools based on clinical factors are available for identifying patients at risk, but only some have been validated. We aimed to compare and validate available tools. METHODS: We performed a prospective study of 1241 patients, ages 40 to 79 years, presenting either for their first esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) or their first endoscopic therapy of early neoplastic BE, from April 2015 through June 2018. We calculated risk scores for 6 previously published tools (the Gerson, Locke, Thrift, Michigan BE pREdiction Tool [M-BERET], Nord-Trøndelag Health Study [HUNT], and Kunzmann tools). We also investigated the accuracy of frequency and duration of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), using data from a randomly selected 50% of patients undergoing their first EGD. We compared the ability of all these tools to discriminate patients with BE and early neoplasia from patients without BE, using findings from endoscopy as the reference standard. RESULTS: BE was detected in 81 of 1152 patients during their first EGD (7.0%). GERD symptoms alone identified patients with BE with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) of 0.579. All of the tools were more accurate in identifying patients with BE than the frequency and duration of GERD (AuROC for GERD, 0.579 vs range for other tools, 0.660-0.695), and predicted risk correlated well with observed risk (calibration). The AUROCs of the HUNT tool (0.796), the M-BERET (0.773), and the Kunzmann tool (0.763) were comparable in discriminating between patients with early neoplasia (n = 94) vs no BE. Each tool was more accurate in discriminating BE with early neoplasia than GERD frequency and duration alone (AuROC, 0.667; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: The HUNT, M-BERET, and Kunzmann tools identify patients with BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.665 to 0.695, and discriminate patients with early neoplasia from patients without BE with AuROC values ranging from 0.763 to 0.796. These tools are more accurate than frequency and duration of GERD in identifying individuals at risk for neoplastic BE.

Validation of Tools for Predicting Incident Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagus or Esophagogastric Junction.

INTRODUCTION: Guidelines suggest screening of individuals who are at increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Tools for identifying patients at risk of Barrett's esophagus have been validated. Here, we aimed to compare and validate the tools for the primary outcomes of interest: EAC and esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (EGJAC). METHODS: Retrospective longitudinal analysis of the Kaiser Permanente Northern California Multiphasic Health Checkup Cohort, a community-based cohort including 206,974 patients enrolled between 1964 and 1973 followed through 2016. Baseline questionnaires and anthropometrics classified predictor variables for each tool and were linked to cancer registry outcomes. Analyses used logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS: We identified 168 incident EAC cases and 151 EGJAC cases at a mean of 32 years after enrollment (mean follow-up among controls 26 years). Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms predicted incident EAC (hazard ratio 2.66; 95% confidence interval 1.01, 7.00), but not EGJAC. The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study tool, Kunzmann tool, and Michigan Barrett's Esophagus pREdiction Tool were more accurate than GERD for predicting EAC, with individuals in the fourth quartile of Kunzmann having 17-fold the risk of those in the 1st quartile (hazard ratio = 16.7, 95% confidence interval = 4.72, 58.8). Each tool also predicted incident EGJAC with smaller magnitudes of effect. DISCUSSION: The study independently validated 4 tools for predicting incident EAC and EGJAC in a large community-based population. The Kunzmann tool appears best calibrated; all appear preferable to using GERD alone for risk stratification. Future studies should determine how best to implement such tools into clinical practice.

Association of Vitamin D and Parathyroid Hormone With Barrett's Esophagus.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal adenocarcinoma has been inversely associated with exposure to ultraviolet radiation. This could be because of vitamin D deficiency or hyperparathyroidism promoting gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and Barrett's esophagus. AIM: The aim of this study is to determine the association between parathyroid hormone (PTH) and vitamin D deficiency with GERD symptoms, erosive esophagitis, and Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: We assayed banked serum for PTH and total 25-hydroxy vitamin D from a cross-sectional cohort. Logistic regression was performed to estimate the associations of vitamin D deficiency and hyperparathyroidism with GERD symptoms, erosive esophagitis, and Barrett's esophagus. RESULTS: Sera from 605 men were assayed, including 150 with GERD, 216 with erosive esophagitis, 145 with Barrett's esophagus, and 174 normal subjects. Contrary to our hypothesis, we found a strong inverse association between Barrett's esophagus and hyperparathyroidism (odds ratio=0.516; 95% confidence interval=0.265, 1.01), and a trend toward an inverse association with vitamin D deficiency. We found no association between vitamin D deficiency or hyperparathyroidism with GERD symptoms or erosive esophagitis. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to our hypothesis, we found an inverse association between serum PTH and Barrett's esophagus. Validation of the finding and the mechanism of that association deserves further study.

Early Splenic Flexure Intubation Competency Predicts Early Cecal Intubation Competency in Gastroenterology Fellows.

BACKGROUND: Trainees learn colonoscopy skills at varying speeds. We hypothesized that a fellow's ability to reliably reach the splenic flexure early in training could predict the number of procedures required to achieve competency in intubating the cecum. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. The most proximal site in the colon reached independently by GI fellows was recorded on consecutive colonoscopies. The number of procedures required to achieve splenic flexure intubation rate (SFIR) ≥ 90 % by cumulative summation learning curve and cecal intubation rate (CIR) ≥ 90 % by rolling average was calculated. Fellows were then dichotomized into "Early" versus "Late" learners based on the median number of procedures required to achieve SFIR ≥ 90 %. The number of procedures required to achieve CIR ≥ 90 % was then compared between the groups. RESULTS: Fellows achieved SFIR ≥ 90 % at a median of 37 colonoscopies. Fellows who achieved SFIR competency early achieved CIR ≥ 90 % at a mean of 208 procedures versus 352 procedures in the fellows who achieved SFIR competency late (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Data from a single academic medical center show that whether a trainee will learn endoscopy quickly compared to his/her peers can be predicted early in their endoscopy training by tracking SFIR. This knowledge could be used to customize endoscopy curriculum.

Prediction of Barrett's esophagus among men.

OBJECTIVES: Risk factors for Barrett's esophagus include gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms, age, abdominal obesity, and tobacco use. We aimed to develop a tool using these factors to predict the presence of Barrett's esophagus. METHODS: Male colorectal cancer (CRC) screenees were recruited to undergo upper endoscopy, identifying newly diagnosed cases of Barrett's esophagus. Logistic regression models predicting Barrett's esophagus using GERD symptoms alone and together with abdominal obesity, tobacco use, and age were compared. RESULTS: Barrett's esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. Mutually adjusting for other covariates, Barrett's esophagus was associated with weekly GERD (odds ratio (OR)=2.33, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.34, 4.05), age (OR per 10 years=1.53, 95% CI=1.05, 2.25), waist-to-hip ratio (OR per 0.10=1.44, 95% CI=0.898, 2.32) and pack-years of cigarette use (OR per 10 pack-years=1.09, 95% CI=1.04, 1.14). A model including those four factors had a greater area under the receiver operating characteristics curve than did a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone (0.72 vs. 0.61, P<0.001), and it had a net reclassification improvement index of 19-25%. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of Barrett's esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barrett's esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. Following validation of the tool in another population, its use in clinical practice might improve the efficiency of screening for Barrett's esophagus.

Do breaks in gastroenterology fellow endoscopy training result in a decrement in competency in colonoscopy?

BACKGROUND: Skills decay without practice, but the degree is task specific. Some experts believe that it is essential to teach endoscopy longitudinally to build and maintain endoscopic skills. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether breaks in gastroenterology fellow endoscopy training are associated with a decrement in competency in independent intubation of the cecum. DESIGN: Observational cohort of colonoscopies performed by gastroenterology fellows. SETTING: Academic fellowship program from July 2010 to March 2012. SUBJECTS: Twenty-four fellows. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The adjusted change in the slope of cumulative summation learning curves for cecal intubation after breaks in training and the slope at the end of the subsequent endoscopy rotation. RESULTS: A total of 6485 colonoscopies were performed by 24 fellows with 87 breaks in training. The average break was 6 weeks (range 2-36 weeks). Seventy-five percent of the breaks were 8 weeks or less. For every additional 4 weeks, the slope after the break worsened by 0.022 (P = .06, maximum possible change = -1.0 to +1.0). By the end of the subsequent rotation, there was no association between the slope of the learning curve and the length of the break (P = .68). LIMITATIONS: This was an observational study of only 24 fellows with relatively few long breaks. Cecal intubation is only 1 component of overall competency in colonoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: There may be a very small decrement in fellows' abilities to intubate the cecum after a break in endoscopy training. Because these changes are so small, teaching endoscopy in blocks is probably adequate, if necessary to balance other clinical and research experience. However, further research is needed to determine whether a longitudinal endoscopy experience is superior for attaining and maintaining competency, to evaluate the effects of breaks longer than 8 weeks, and to determine whether the effects of breaks depend on the previous volume of experience with colonoscopy.

Patients' Willingness to Share Limited Endoscopic Resources: A Brief Report on the Results of a Large Regional Survey.

Background. In some health care systems, patients face long wait times for screening colonoscopy. We sought to assess whether patients at low risk for colorectal cancer (CRC) would be willing to delay their own colonoscopy so higher-risk peers could undergo colonoscopy sooner. Methods. We surveyed 1054 Veterans regarding their attitudes toward repeat colonoscopy and risk-based prioritization. We used multivariable regression to identify patient factors associated with willingness to delay screening for a higher-risk peer. Results. Despite a physician recommendation to stop screening, 29% of respondents reported being "not at all likely" to stop. However, 94% reported that they would be willing to delay their own colonoscopy for a higher-risk peer. Greater trust in physician and greater health literacy were positively associated with willingness to wait, while greater perceived threat of CRC and Black or Latino race/ethnicity were negatively associated with willingness to wait. Conclusion. Despite high enthusiasm for repeat screening, patients were willing to delay their own colonoscopy for higher-risk peers. Appealing to altruism could be effective when utilizing scarce resources.

Patient Attitudes Toward Individualized Recommendations to Stop Low-Value Colorectal Cancer Screening.

Importance: Guidelines for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening recommend an individualized approach in older adults that is informed by consideration of life expectancy and cancer risk. However, little is known about how patients perceive individualized screening recommendations. Objective: To assess veterans' attitudes toward and comfort with cessation of low-value CRC screening (defined as screening in a patient for whom the benefit is expected to be small based on quantitative estimates from hypothetical risk calculators). Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey study included patients older than 50 years who had undergone prior screening colonoscopy with normal results at the Veterans Affairs Ann Arbor Healthcare System. A total of 1500 surveys were mailed to potential participants from November 1, 2010, to January 1, 2012. Survey data were analyzed from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: Response to the question, "If you personally had serious health problems that were likely to shorten your life and your doctor did not think screening would be of much benefit based on the calculator, how comfortable would you be with not getting any more screening colonoscopies?" Results: Of the 1500 surveys mailed, 85 were returned to sender, leaving 1415 potential respondents; 1054 of these respondents (median age range, 60-69 years; 884 [85.9%] white and 965 [94.2%] male) completed the survey (response rate, 74.5%). A total of 300 (28.7%) were not at all comfortable with cessation of low-value CRC screening, and 509 (49.3%) thought that age should never be used to decide when to stop screening. In addition, 332 (31.7%) thought it was not at all reasonable to use life expectancy calculators, and 255 (24.3%) thought it was not at all reasonable to use CRC risk calculators to guide these decisions. In ordered logistic regression analysis, factors associated with more comfort with screening cessation were (1) higher trust in physician (odds ratio [OR], 1.19; 95% CI, 1.07-1.32), (2) higher perceived health status (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.23-1.61), and (3) higher barriers to screening (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.11-1.30). Factors that were associated with less comfort with screening cessation included (1) greater perceived effectiveness of screening (OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.80-0.94) and (2) greater perceived threat of CRC (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.73-0.89). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that many veterans have strong preferences against screening cessation even when given detailed information about why the benefit may be low. Efforts to tailor screening recommendations may be met by resistance unless they are accompanied by efforts to address underlying perceptions about the benefit of screening.