Risk calculator for incident atrial fibrillation across a range of prediction horizons.

BACKGROUND: The increasing burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) emphasizes the need to identify high-risk individuals for enrolment in clinical trials of AF screening and primary prevention. We aimed to develop prediction models to identify individuals at high-risk of AF across prediction horizons from 6-months to 10-years. METHODS: We used secondary-care linked primary care electronic health record data from individuals aged ≥30 years without known AF in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-GOLD dataset between January 2, 1998 and November 30, 2018; randomly divided into derivation (80%) and validation (20%) datasets. Models were derived using logistic regression from known AF risk factors for incident AF in prediction periods of 6 months, 1-year, 2-years, 5-years, and 10-years. Performance was evaluated using in the validation dataset with bootstrap validation with 200 samples, and compared against the CHA2DS2-VASc and C2HEST scores. RESULTS: Of 2,081,139 individuals in the cohort (1,664,911 in the development dataset, 416,228 in the validation dataset), the mean age was 49.9 (SD 15.4), 50.7% were women, and 86.7% were white. New cases of AF were 7,386 (0.4%) within 6 months, 15,349 (0.7%) in 1 year, 38,487 (1.8%) in 5 years, and 79,997 (3.8%) by 10 years. Valvular heart disease and heart failure were the strongest predictors, and association of hypertension with AF increased at longer prediction horizons. The optimal risk models incorporated age, sex, ethnicity, and 8 comorbidities. The models demonstrated good-to-excellent discrimination and strong calibration across prediction horizons (AUROC, 95%CI, calibration slope: 6-months, 0.803, 0.789-0.821, 0.952; 1-year, 0.807, 0.794-0.819, 0.962; 2-years, 0.815, 0.807-0.823, 0.973; 5-years, 0.807, 0.803-0.812, 1.000; 10-years 0.780, 0.777-0.784, 1.010), and superior to the CHA2DS2-VASc and C2HEST scores. The models are available as a web-based FIND-AF calculator. CONCLUSIONS: The FIND-AF models demonstrate high discrimination and calibration across short- and long-term prediction horizons in 2 million individuals. Their utility to inform trial enrolment and clinical decisions for AF screening and primary prevention requires further study.

Evaluation of novel indices of walking performance taking oxygen desaturation into account during six-minute walk test in cardiovascular disease patients.

In pulmonary disease patients since oxygen desaturation during 6-min walk test (6MWT) affects walk distance (6MWD), some novel indices such as desaturation/distance ratio [DDR, oxygen desaturation area (DAO2)/6MWD] and distance-saturation product [DSP, 6MWD × minimum peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2)] are evaluated. However, there has been no study examining these indices that consider exercise-induced desaturation (EID) in patients with cardiovascular disease. In 94 cardiovascular disease patients without pulmonary complications, 6MWT and echocardiography were performed at the entry of cardiac rehabilitation. SpO2 was measured during 6MWT using a continuously monitorable pulse oximeter, and DSP and DDR were calculated using minimum SpO2 and DAO2 [sum of (100-SpO2) per second during 6MWT], respectively. EID was defined as SpO2 decrease of ≥ 4% or minimum SpO2 of < 90% during 6MWT. DSP was slightly lower and DDR was markedly higher in patients with EID than in those without. When examining correlations of DSP and DDR with their components, DSP was correlated with 6MWD much closely than minimum SpO2, while DDR was correlated as closely with DAO2 as 6MWD. Furthermore, DAO2, but not minimum SpO2, had a direct correlation with 6MWD. As for associations with cardiac function, DSP was correlated with several cardiac parameters, but DDR was not correlated with any of these parameters. Our findings suggest that oxygen desaturation during 6MWT affects walking distance in cardiovascular disease patients even without pulmonary complications and that DDR is more appropriate than DSP as an index of walking performance that takes EID into consideration, independently of cardiac function.

Temporal trends of cause-specific mortality after diagnosis of atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Reports of outcomes after atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis are conflicting. The aim of this study was to investigate mortality and hospitalization rates following AF diagnosis over time, by cause and by patient features. METHODS: Individuals aged ≥16 years with a first diagnosis of AF were identified from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-GOLD dataset from 1 January 2001, to 31 December 2017. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality and hospitalization at 1 year following diagnosis. Poisson regression was used to calculate rate ratios (RRs) for mortality and incidence RRs (IRRs) for hospitalization and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing 2001/02 and 2016/17, adjusted for age, sex, region, socio-economic status, and 18 major comorbidities. RESULTS: Of 72 412 participants, mean (standard deviation) age was 75.6 (12.4) years, and 44 762 (61.8%) had ≥3 comorbidities. All-cause mortality declined (RR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 0.72; 95% CI 0.65-0.80), with large declines for cardiovascular (RR 0.46; 95% CI 0.37-0.58) and cerebrovascular mortality (RR 0.41; 95% CI 0.29-0.60) but not for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes of death (RR 0.91; 95% CI 0.80-1.04). In 2016/17, deaths caused from dementia (67, 8.0%), outstripped deaths from acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and acute stroke combined (56, 6.7%, P < .001). Overall hospitalization rates increased (IRR 2016/17 vs. 2001/02 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.22), especially for non-cardio/cerebrovascular causes (IRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.39-1.45). Older, more deprived, and hospital-diagnosed AF patients experienced higher event rates. CONCLUSIONS: After AF diagnosis, cardio/cerebrovascular mortality and hospitalization has declined, whilst hospitalization for non-cardio/cerebrovascular disease has increased.

Predictors of Improvement in Exercise Capacity After Cardiac Rehabilitation Differ Between Octogenarian and Young-Old Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Whether the magnitude and predictors of improvement in exercise capacity after cardiac rehabilitation (CR) are the same between young-old (YO) and octogenarian (OCT) patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is unknown.Methods and Results: We studied 284 YO (age range 65-69 years; mean [±SD] 67±1 years) and 65 OCT (age range ≥80 years; mean [±SD] 83±2 years) patients who participated in a post-AMI CR program. After 3 months of CR, peak oxygen uptake (PV̇O2) measured during cardiopulmonary exercise testing improved significantly in both age groups (P<0.01), although the percentage increase in PV̇O2(%∆PV̇O2) was significantly smaller in the OCT than YO group (5.4±13.7% vs. 10.0±12.8%; P<0.01). Multiple regression analysis demonstrated that independent predictors of %∆PV̇O2were the number of outpatient CR (OPCR) sessions attended (P=0.015), left ventricular ejection fraction (P=0.028), and baseline PV̇O2(P=0.0007) in the YO group; and the number of sessions attended (P=0.018), atrial fibrillation (P=0.042), and the presence of nutritional risk (Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index ≤98; P=0.036) in the OCT group. CONCLUSIONS: The predictors of improvement in exercise capacity after CR differed between the YO and OCT patients with AMI. To obtain a greater improvement in PV̇O2in CR, frequent OPCR session attendance may be necessary in both groups; in addition, particularly in OCT patients, better nutritional status may be important.

Angioscopic Ulcerated Plaques in the Femoropopliteal Artery Associated with Impaired Infrapopliteal Runoff.

PURPOSE: To determine the correlation between upstream atherosclerosis in the femoropopliteal arteries, assessed using angioscopy, and impaired infrapopliteal runoff. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-one patients with peripheral arterial disease who underwent endovascular therapy and angioscopy were prospectively included. Yellow plaque color scores were semiquantitatively determined as 0, 1, 2, or 3. Irregular plaques with rough surfaces, similar to gastric ulcers, were defined as ulcerated plaques (UPs). Angioscopic data were correlated with angiographic runoff scores (ARS). RESULTS: UPs were detected in 74.2% of enrolled diseased legs using angioscopy. Mural thrombi were more commonly observed in the femoropopliteal artery in patients with UPs than in those without UPs (91.3% vs 37.5%, respectively; P = .006) and were frequently found on the UPs (21/23 patients with UPs). Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses revealed that the presence of UPs was positively and independently associated with a poor ARS and that oral anticoagulant use was independently associated with a preferable ARS (standardized ß = 0.462, P = .004 and standardized ß = -0.411, P = .009, respectively, in the multivariate analysis). CONCLUSIONS: UPs, associated with mural thrombi and diagnosed by angioscopic examination, were demonstrated to be one of the factors associated with poor infrapopliteal runoff.

Exercise-Based Cardiac Rehabilitation Improves Exercise Capacity Regardless of the Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy in Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: In patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) improves left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation (ECR) enhances exercise capacity. This study examined the relationship between the 2 responses.Methods and Results:Sixty-four consecutive HFrEF patients who participated in a 3-month ECR program after CRT were investigated. Patients were categorized according to a median improvement in peak oxygen uptake (PV̇O2) after ECR of 7% as either good (n=32; mean percentage change in PV̇O2[%∆PV̇O2]=23.2%) or poor (n=32; mean %∆PV̇O2=2.5%) responders. There was no significant difference in baseline characteristics between the good and poor responders, except for PV̇O2(51% vs. 59%, respectively; P=0.01). The proportion of good CRT responders was similar between the good and poor responders (%∆LVEF ≥10%; 53% vs. 47%, respectively; P=NS). Overall, there was no significant correlation between %∆LVEF after CRT and %∆PV̇O2after ECR. Notably, among poor CRT responders (n=32), the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (0% vs. 29%; P<0.03) and baseline PV̇O2(48% vs. 57%; P<0.05) were significantly lower among those with a good (n=15) than poor (n=17) response to ECR. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HFrEF, good ECR and CRT responses are unrelated. A good PV̇O2response to ECR can be achieved even in poor CRT responders, particularly in those with a sinus rhythm or low baseline PV̇O2.

Long-term administration of tolvaptan ameliorates annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate in outpatients with chronic heart failure.

Protective effects of tolvaptan against worsening renal function in acute heart failure have been shown. However, long-term effects of its agent on renal function remain to be elucidated. The present study investigated retrospectively whether long-term treatment with tolvaptan exerts renoprotective effects in patients with chronic heart failure, by comparing serial changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for years before and after tolvaptan administration. From 63 outpatients with chronic heart failure taking diuretics including tolvaptan, 34 patients whose eGFR levels were continuously measured for more than 6 months both before and after administration of tolvaptan (average dose, 7.8 mg/day at the end of the follow-up period) were selected as eligible for the present analyses. All eGFR values were separately plotted before and after the initiation of treatment with tolvaptan (except hospitalization periods) along the time course axis and the slope of the linear regression curve was calculated as an annual change in eGFR. The mean follow-up periods before and after tolvaptan administration were 1197 and 784 days (3.3 and 2.1 years), respectively. Changing rates of eGFR per year were significantly ameliorated after treatment with tolvaptan (mean ± SD, - 8.02 ± 9.35 to - 1.62 ± 5.09 mL/min/1.73m2 /year, P = 0.001). In echocardiographic parameters, inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter significantly decreased after tolvaptan administration, and the decrease in IVC diameter was correlated with the improvement of eGFR decline slope after administration of tolvaptan (P = 0.0075). This longitudinal observational study indicated that long-term treatment with tolvaptan ameliorated annual decline in eGFR in outpatients with chronic heart failure. Our findings suggest that tolvaptan has a protective effect against chronically worsening renal function in heart failure patients.

Association between debulking area of rotational atherectomy and platform revolution speed-Frequency domain optical coherence tomography analysis.

OBJECTIVES: In this study, we sought to investigate the association between revolution speed of rotational atherectomy (RA) and debulking area assessed by frequency domain-optical coherence tomography (FD-OCT). BACKGROUND: The number of patients with severe calcified coronary artery disease requiring treatment with calcium ablation, such as RA, is increasing. However, there is little evidence available regarding the association between debulking area and revolution speed during RA. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated 30 consecutive severely calcified coronary lesions in 29 patients who underwent RA under FD-OCT guidance. The association between preset revolution speed of RA and burr size-corrected debulking area of the calcified lesion was evaluated using a multivariable regression model with nonlinear restricted-cubic-spline, which can help assess nonlinear associations between variables. RESULTS: The median age of study participants was 73 years (quartile 65-78); 82.8% were male. The median burr size was 1.5 mm (1.5-1.75); median total duration of ablation was 120 s (100-180). FD-OCT revealed that the post-procedural minimum lumen area increased significantly from 1.64 mm2 (1.40-2.09) to 2.45 mm2 (2.11-2.98) (p < .001). In addition, the burr size-corrected debulking area increased significantly as the preset revolution speed decreased (p = .018), especially when the revolution speed was less than 150,000 rpm. This result implies that additional lumen gain will be obtained by decreasing rpm when the burr speed is set at <150,000 rpm. CONCLUSIONS: FD-OCT demonstrated that RA with lower revolution speed, below 150,000 rpm, has the potential to achieve greater calcium debulking effect in patients with severe calcified coronary lesions.

Correction to: Three-dimensional assessment of coronary high-intensity plaques with T1-weighted cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging to predict periprocedural myocardial injury after elective percutaneous coronary intervention.

In the original publication of this article [1] the wording of '3Di-PMR' was different between the text and figures.

Three-dimensional assessment of coronary high-intensity plaques with T1-weighted cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging to predict periprocedural myocardial injury after elective percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Periprocedural myocardial injury (pMI) is a common complication of elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) that reduces some of the beneficial effects of coronary revascularization and impacts the risk of cardiovascular events. We developed a 3-dimensional volumetric cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) method to evaluate coronary high intensity plaques and investigated their association with pMI after elective PCI. METHODS: Between October 2012 and October 2016, 141 patients with stable coronary artery disease underwent T1-weighted CMR imaging before PCI. A conventional 2-dimensional CMR plaque-to-myocardial signal intensity ratio (2D-PMR) and the newly developed 3-dimensional integral of PMR (3Di-PMR) were measured. 3Di-PMR was determined as the sum of PMRs above a threshold of > 1.0 for voxels in a target plaque. pMI was defined as high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T > 0.07 ng/mL. RESULTS: pMI following PCI was observed in 46 patients (33%). 3Di-PMR was significantly higher in patients with pMI than those without pMI. The optimal 3Di-PMR cutoff value for predicting pMI was 51 PMR*mm3 and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.753) was significantly greater than that for 2D-PMR (0.683, P = 0.015). 3Di-PMR was positively correlated with lipid volume (r = 0.449, P < 0.001) based on intravascular ultrasound. Stepwise multivariable analysis showed that 3Di-PMR ≥ 51 PMR*mm3 and the presence of a side branch at the PCI target lesion site were significant predictors of pMI (odds ratio [OR], 11.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.6-30.4, P < 0.001; and OR, 4.14; 95% CI, 1.6-11.1, P = 0.005, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: 3Di-PMR coronary assessment facilitates risk stratification for pMI after elective PCI. TRIAL REGISTRATION: retrospectively registered.

C-type natriuretic peptide (CNP)/guanylate cyclase B (GC-B) system and endothelin-1(ET-1)/ET receptor A and B system in human vasculature.

To assess the physiological and clinical implications of the C-type natriuretic peptide (CNP)/guanylyl cyclase B (GC-B) system in the human vasculature, we have examined gene expressions of CNP and its receptor, GC-B, in human vascular endothelial cells (ECs) and smooth muscle cells (SMCs) and have also compared the endothelin-1(ET-1)/endothelin receptor-A (ETR-A) and endothelin receptor-B (ETR-B) system in human aortic ECs (HAECs) and vascular SMCs (HSMCs) in vitro. We also examined these gene expressions in human embryonic stem (ES)/induced pluripotent stem cell (iPS)-derived ECs and mural cells (MCs). A little but significant amount of mRNA encoding CNP was detected in both human ES-derived ECs and HAECs. A substantial amount of GC-B was expressed in both ECs (iPS-derived ECs and HAECs) and SMCs (iPS-derived MCs and HSMCs). ET-1 was expressed solely in ECs. ETR-A was expressed in SMCs, while ETR-B was expressed in ECs. These results indicate the existence of a vascular CNP/GC-B system in the human vascular wall, indicating the evidence for clinical implication of the CNP/GC-B system in concert with the ET-1/ETR-A and ETR-B system in the human vasculature.

Efficacy of Cardiac Rehabilitation in Heart Failure Patients With Low Body Mass Index.

BACKGROUND: Low body mass index (BMI) is a relevant prognostic factor for heart failure (HF), but HF patients with low BMI are reported to be at risk of not receiving optimal drug treatment. We sought to evaluate the efficacy of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) in patients with low vs. normal BMI. Methods and Results: We studied 152 consecutive patients (low BMI, n=32; normal BMI, n=119) who participated in a 3-month CR program. Low BMI was defined as <18.5 kg/m2and normal BMI, as 18.5≤BMI<25 kg/m2. All patients underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing and muscle strength testing at the beginning and end of the 3-month CR program. After CR, a significantly greater proportion of HF patients with low BMI had a positive change in peak V̇O2than in the normal BMI group (91% vs. 70%; P=0.010). Average percent change in peak V̇O2was significantly greater in patients with low vs. normal BMI (17.1±2.8% vs. 7.8±1.5%; P<0.001). In addition, on multivariable logistic regression, low BMI was an independent predictor of a positive change in peak V̇O2after CR (OR, 3.97; 95% CI: 1.10-14.31; P=0.035). CONCLUSIONS: CR has a greater effect in patients with low than normal BMI, and low BMI is an independent predictor of a positive change in peak V̇O2. Thus, CR should be strongly recommended for HF patients with low BMI.

Combination of Peak Exercise Systolic Blood Pressure and Left Atrial Diameter as a Novel Non-Spirometry Prognostic Predictor Comparable to Peak Oxygen Uptake for Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Although peak oxygen uptake (pV̇O2) is a well-established powerful prognostic predictor in heart failure (HF) patients, implementation of cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) is limited by its complex analysis. We aimed to develop a new bivariate predictor obtained without respiratory gas measurement, comparable to pV̇O2.Methods and Results:We studied 560 consecutive HF patients with ejection fraction (EF) <45% who underwent CPX. During a median follow-up of 49.0 months, the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization occurred in 228 patients (40.7%) and all-cause death in 111 (19.8%). pV̇O2was the strongest single predictor of the composite outcome (chi-square, 99.3). Among the bivariate non-spirometry parameters, the ratio of systolic blood pressure at peak exercise to left atrial diameter (pSBP/LAD) was the strongest predictor (chi-square, 112.4). Patients with pSBP/LAD <2.8 mmHg/mm, compared with those with pSBP/LAD ≥2.8 mmHg/mm, had a hazard ratio of 3.84 (95% confidence interval, 2.95-5.04) for the composite outcome and 3.66 (2.50-5.37) for all-cause death. In the subgroup with pV̇O2<14 mL/kg/min (n=149), where pV̇O2had no further predictive value, pSBP was the strongest single predictor, and the predictive power of pSBP/LAD was more enhanced. CONCLUSIONS: pSBP/LAD was a new powerful predictor of HF hospitalization and death, comparable to pV̇O2, in HF with reduced EF. Because of its simplicity and high availability, this index has the potential for more widespread use than pV̇O2.

Coronary Artery Ectasia Predicts Future Cardiac Events in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

OBJECTIVE: Coronary artery ectasia (CAE) is an infrequently observed vascular phenotype characterized by abnormal vessel dilatation and disturbed coronary flow, which potentially promote thrombogenicity and inflammatory reactions. However, whether or not CAE influences cardiovascular outcomes remains unknown. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We investigated major adverse cardiac events (MACE; defined as cardiac death and nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI]) in 1698 patients with acute MI. The occurrence of MACE was compared in patients with and without CAE. CAE was identified in 3.0% of study subjects. During the 49-month observation period, CAE was associated with 3.25-, 2.71-, and 4.92-fold greater likelihoods of experiencing MACE (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-5.66; P<0.001), cardiac death (95% CI, 1.37-5.37; P=0.004), and nonfatal MI (95% CI, 2.20-11.0; P<0.001), respectively. These cardiac risks of CAE were consistently observed in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model (MACE: hazard ratio, 4.94; 95% CI, 2.36-10.4; P<0.001) and in a propensity score-matched cohort (MACE: hazard ratio, 8.98; 95% CI, 1.14-71.0; P=0.03). Despite having a higher risk of CAE-related cardiac events, patients with CAE receiving anticoagulation therapy who achieved an optimal percent time in target therapeutic range, defined as ≥60%, did not experience the occurrence of MACE (P=0.03 versus patients with percent time in target therapeutic range <60% or without anticoagulation therapy). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of CAE predicted future cardiac events in patients with acute MI. Our findings suggest that acute MI patients with CAE are a high-risk subset who might benefit from a pharmacological approach to controlling the coagulation cascade.

Improvement in Exercise Capacity by Exercise Training Associated With Favorable Clinical Outcomes in Advanced Heart Failure With High B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Level.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of exercise training (ET) programs and its relationship with long-term clinical outcomes in advanced heart failure (HF) patients with high levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) remain uncertain.Methods and Results:We studied 340 consecutive HF patients with ejection fraction (EF) <45% who completed a 3-month ET program. Patients with BNP ≥200 pg/mL (High-BNP, n=170) had more advanced HF characteristics, including lower EF (25.0±8.6% vs. 28.1±8.0%, P=0.0008), than those with BNP <200 pg/mL. In the High-BNP patients, peak oxygen uptake (V̇O2) was significantly increased by 8.3±16.2% during the ET program, and changes in peak V̇O2inversely correlated with changes in BNP (R=-0.453, P<0.0001) and changes in ventilatory efficiency (V̇E/V̇CO2slope) (R=-0.439, P<0.0001). During a median follow-up of 46 months, patients in the upper tertile of changes in peak V̇O2(≥13.0%), compared with those in the lower tertile (<1.0%), had lower rates of the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization (37.9% vs. 54.4%, P=0.036) and all-cause death (8.6% vs. 24.6%, P=0.056). In the multivariate analysis, change in peak V̇O2was a significant independent predictor of the composite outcome and all-cause death. CONCLUSIONS: Even among advanced HF patients with high BNP level, an ET program significantly improved exercise capacity, and a greater improvement in exercise capacity was associated with greater decreases in BNP level and V̇E/V̇CO2slope and more favorable long-term clinical outcomes.

Prevalence, Clinical Features, and Prognosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction Attributable to Coronary Artery Embolism.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery embolism (CE) is recognized as an important nonatherosclerotic cause of acute myocardial infarction. Its prevalence, clinical features, and prognosis remain insufficiently characterized. METHODS AND RESULTS: We screened 1776 consecutive patients who presented with de novo acute myocardial infarction between 2001 and 2013. CE was diagnosed based on criteria encompassing histological, angiographic, and other diagnostic imaging findings. The prevalence, clinical characteristics, treatment strategies, in-hospital outcomes, and long-term risk of CE recurrence or major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (cardiac death, fatal arrhythmia, or recurrent thromboembolism) were evaluated. The prevalence of CE was 2.9% (n=52), including 8 (15%) patients with multivessel CE. Atrial fibrillation was the most common cause (n=38, 73%). Only 39% of patients with CE were treated with vitamin K antagonists, and the median international normalized ratio was 1.42 (range, 0.95-1.80). Eighteen of the 30 CE patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation had a CHADS2 score of 0 or 1. When those patients were reevaluated using CHA2DS2-VASc, 61% were reassigned to a higher risk category. During a median follow-up of 49 months, CE and thromboembolism recurred in 5 atrial fibrillation patients. The 5-year rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events was 27.1%. In the propensity score-matched cohorts (n=45 each), Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly higher incidence of cardiac death in the CE group than in the non-CE group (hazard ratio, 9.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-76.5; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Atrial fibrillation is the most frequent cause of CE. Patients with CE represent a high-risk subgroup of patients with acute myocardial infarction and require close follow-up.

Reciprocal expression of MRTF-A and myocardin is crucial for pathological vascular remodelling in mice.

Myocardin-related transcription factor (MRTF)-A is a Rho signalling-responsive co-activator of serum response factor (SRF). Here, we show that induction of MRTF-A expression is key to pathological vascular remodelling. MRTF-A expression was significantly higher in the wire-injured femoral arteries of wild-type mice and in the atherosclerotic aortic tissues of ApoE(-/-) mice than in healthy control tissues, whereas myocardin expression was significantly lower. Both neointima formation in wire-injured femoral arteries in MRTF-A knockout (Mkl1(-/-)) mice and atherosclerotic lesions in Mkl1(-/-); ApoE(-/-) mice were significantly attenuated. Expression of vinculin, matrix metallopeptidase 9 (MMP-9) and integrin ß1, three SRF targets and key regulators of cell migration, in injured arteries was significantly weaker in Mkl1(-/-) mice than in wild-type mice. In cultured vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs), knocking down MRTF-A reduced expression of these genes and significantly impaired cell migration. Underlying the increased MRTF-A expression in dedifferentiated VSMCs was the downregulation of microRNA-1. Moreover, the MRTF-A inhibitor CCG1423 significantly reduced neointima formation following wire injury in mice. MRTF-A could thus be a novel therapeutic target for the treatment of vascular diseases.

Report of the American Heart Association (AHA) Scientific Sessions 2016, New Orleans.

The American Heart Association (AHA) Scientific Sessions 2016 were held on November 12-16 at the Ernest N. Morial Convention Center, New Orleans, LA. This 5-day event featured cardiovascular clinical practice covering all aspects of basic, clinical, population, and translational content. One of the hot topics at AHA 2016 was precision medicine. The key presentations and highlights from the AHA Scientific Sessions 2016, including "precision medicine" as one of the hot topics, are herein reported.

The Current Status of Cardiovascular Medicine in Japan　- Analysis of a Large Number of Health Records From a Nationwide Claim-Based Database, JROAD-DPC.

BACKGROUND: Since cardiovascular disease accounts for one-quarter of deaths in the Japanese population, we developed a nationwide database using the administrative case-mix Diagnostic Procedure Combination (DPC) system (ie, theJapaneseRegistryOfAll cardiac and vascularDiseases (JROAD)-DPC) to reveal the current status of cardiovascular medicine in Japan.Methods and Results:The JROAD-DPC database included 704,593 health records' data of 2012 from 610 certificated hospitals of the Japanese Circulation Society. The 35,824 patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and 108,665 patients with heart failure (HF) were admitted to hospitals. Increased hospital case volume was associated with reduced in-hospital mortality rates for both AMI and HF (P for trend <0.001). Although there was little variation among AMI patients in terms of aspirin use at discharge (median prescription rate, 83.0%; interquartile range [IQR], 76.9-88.0%), there were wide variations in the proportions of patients prescribed ß-blockers (BB) and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI)/angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARB) at discharge (BB, 41.4%, IQR 27.6-55.7%; ACEI/ARB, 52.0%, IQR 40.3-62.3%). In patients with HF, there were between-hospital variations in medications at discharge (BB, 38.1%, IQR, 27.8-47.6%; ACEI/ARB, 41.0%, IQR 31.7-49.1%). CONCLUSIONS: A nationwide administrative database of patients with cardiovascular diseases (JROAD-DPC) provided useful information that will contribute to improved quality of medical care, especially in the aging society of Japan, where HF has become an important health problem. (Circ J 2016; 80: 2327-2335).