ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: There are no studies assessing the evolution and patterns of genetic studies performed at diagnosis in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients. Such studies could help to identify potential gaps in our present diagnostic practices, especially in the context of increasingly complex procedures and classifications. METHODS: The REALMOL study (NCT05541224) evaluated the evolution, patterns, and clinical impact of performing main genetic and molecular studies performed at diagnosis in 7285 adult AML patients included in the PETHEMA AML registry (NCT02607059) between 2000 and 2021. RESULTS: Screening rates increased for all tests across different time periods (2000-2007, 2008-2016, and 2017-2021) and was the most influential factor for NPM1, FLT3-ITD, and next-generation sequencing (NGS) determinations: NPM1 testing increased from 28.9% to 72.8% and 95.2% (p < .001), whereas FLT3-ITD testing increased from 38.1% to 74.1% and 95.9% (p < .0001). NGS testing was not performed between 2000-2007 and only reached 3.5% in 2008-2016, but significantly increased to 72% in 2017-2021 (p < .001). Treatment decision was the most influential factor to perform karyotype (odds ratio [OR], 6.057; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.702-7.802), and fluorescence in situ hybridation (OR, 2.273; 95% CI, 1.901-2.719) studies. Patients ≥70 years old or with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≥2 were less likely to undergo these diagnostic procedures. Performing genetic studies were associated with a favorable impact on overall survival, especially in patients who received intensive chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: This unique study provides relevant information about the evolving landscape of genetic and molecular diagnosis for adult AML patients in real-world setting, highlighting the increased complexity of genetic diagnosis over the past 2 decades.
Subject(s)
High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Nucleophosmin , Registries , fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase 3 , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/genetics , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/diagnosis , Middle Aged , Male , Female , Aged , Adult , fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase 3/genetics , Aged, 80 and over , Genetic Testing/statistics & numerical data , Genetic Testing/methods , Young Adult , Adolescent , MutationABSTRACT
Chronic myelomonocytic leukaemia (CMML) is a rare haematological disorder characterized by monocytosis and dysplastic changes in myeloid cell lineages. Accurate risk stratification is essential for guiding treatment decisions and assessing prognosis. This study aimed to validate the Artificial Intelligence Prognostic Scoring System for Myelodysplastic Syndromes (AIPSS-MDS) in CMML and to assess its performance compared with traditional scores using data from a Spanish registry (n = 1343) and a Taiwanese hospital (n = 75). In the Spanish cohort, the AIPSS-MDS accurately predicted overall survival (OS) and leukaemia-free survival (LFS), outperforming the Revised-IPSS score. Similarly, in the Taiwanese cohort, the AIPSS-MDS demonstrated accurate predictions for OS and LFS, showing superiority over the IPSS score and performing better than the CPSS and molecular CPSS scores in differentiating patient outcomes. The consistent performance of the AIPSS-MDS across both cohorts highlights its generalizability. Its adoption as a valuable tool for personalized treatment decision-making in CMML enables clinicians to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from different therapeutic interventions. Future studies should explore the integration of genetic information into the AIPSS-MDS to further refine risk stratification in CMML and improve patient outcomes.
Subject(s)
Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic , Leukemia , Myelodysplastic Syndromes , Humans , Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/diagnosis , Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/genetics , Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/drug therapy , Prognosis , Artificial Intelligence , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/drug therapy , Risk AssessmentABSTRACT
Treatment options for patients with secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) and AML with myeloid-related changes (AMLMRC) aged 60 to 75 years are scarce and unsuitable. A pivotal trial showed that CPX-351 improved complete remission with/without incomplete recovery (CR/CRi) and overall survival (OS) as compared with standard "3+7" regimens. We retrospectively analyze outcomes of 765 patients with sAML and AML-MRC aged 60 to 75 years treated with intensive chemotherapy, reported to the PETHEMA registry before CPX-351 became available. The CR/CRi rate was 48%, median OS was 7.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.7-8.5) and event-free survival (EFS) 2.7 months (95% CI: 2-3.3), without differences between intensive chemotherapy regimens and AML type. Multivariate analyses identified age ≥70 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥1 as independent adverse prognostic factors for CR/CRi and OS, while favorable/intermediate cytogenetic risk and NPM1 were favorable prognostic factors. Patients receiving allogeneic stem cell transplant (HSCT), autologous HSCT, and those who completed more consolidation cycles showed improved OS. This large study suggests that classical intensive chemotherapy could lead to similar CR/CRi rates with slightly shorter median OS than CPX-351.
Subject(s)
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Humans , Middle Aged , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Disease-Free Survival , Cytarabine , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/diagnosis , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Remission InductionABSTRACT
The most important challenges in acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) is preventing early death and reducing long-term events, such as second neoplasms (s-NPLs). We performed a retrospective analysis of 2670 unselected APL patients, treated with PETHEMA "chemotherapy based" and "chemotherapy free" protocols. Only de novo APL patients who achieved complete remission (CR) and completed the three consolidation cycles were enrolled into the analysis. Out of 2670 APL patients, there were 118 (4.4%) who developed s-NPLs with the median latency period (between first CR and diagnosis of s-NPL) of 48.0 months (range 2.8-231.1): 43.3 (range: 2.8-113.9) for s-MDS/AML and 61.7 (range: 7.1-231.1) for solid tumour. The 5-year CI of all s-NPLs was of 4.43% and 10 years of 7.92%. Among s-NPLs, there were 58 cases of s-MDS/AML, 3 cases of other hematological neoplasms, 57 solid tumours and 1 non-identified neoplasm. The most frequent solid tumour was colorectal, lung and breast cancer. Overall, the 2-year OS from diagnosis of s-NPLs was 40.6%, with a median OS of 11.1 months. Multivariate analysis identified age of 35 years (hazard ratio = 0.2584; p < 0.0001) as an independent prognostic factor for s-NPLs. There were no significant differences in CI of s-NPLs at 5 years between chemotherapy-based vs chemotherapy-free regimens (hazard ratio = 1.09; p = 0.932). Larger series with longer follow-up are required to confirm the potential impact of ATO+ATRA regimens to reduce the incidence of s-NPLs after front-line therapy for APL.
Subject(s)
Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute , Neoplasms, Second Primary , Humans , Adult , Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/diagnosis , Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/drug therapy , Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/epidemiology , Tretinoin , Neoplasms, Second Primary/drug therapy , Incidence , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Risk Factors , Pathologic Complete Response , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic useABSTRACT
Prognostic impact of non-MPN driver gene mutations in primary myelofibrosis. MIPSS70: Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System.
Subject(s)
Primary Myelofibrosis , Humans , Prognosis , Primary Myelofibrosis/diagnosis , Primary Myelofibrosis/genetics , Mutation , Janus Kinase 2/genetics , Gene FrequencyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Ruxolitinib is approved for patients with polycythemia vera (PV) who are resistant/intolerant to hydroxyurea, but its impact on preventing thrombosis or disease-progression is unknown. METHODS: A retrospective, real-world analysis was performed on the outcomes of 377 patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea from the Spanish Registry of Polycythemia Vera according to subsequent treatment with ruxolitinib (n = 105) or the best available therapy (BAT; n = 272). Survival probabilities and rates of thrombosis, hemorrhage, acute myeloid leukemia, myelofibrosis, and second primary cancers were calculated according to treatment. To minimize biases in treatment allocation, all results were adjusted by a propensity score for receiving ruxolitinib or BAT. RESULTS: Patients receiving ruxolitinib had a significantly lower rate of arterial thrombosis than those on BAT (0.4% vs 2.3% per year; P = .03), and this persisted as a trend after adjustment for the propensity to have received the drug (incidence rate ratio, 0.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-1.3; P = .09). There were no significant differences in the rates of venous thrombosis (0.8% and 1.1% for ruxolitinib and BAT, respectively; P = .7) and major bleeding (0.8% and 0.9%, respectively; P = .9). Ruxolitinib exposure was not associated with a higher rate of second primary cancers, including all types of neoplasia, noncutaneous cancers, and nonmelanoma skin cancers. After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, there were no differences in survival or progression to acute leukemia or myelofibrosis between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that ruxolitinib treatment for PV patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea may reduce the incidence of arterial thrombosis. LAY SUMMARY: Ruxolitinib is better than other available therapies in achieving hematocrit control and symptom relief in patients with polycythemia vera who are resistant/intolerant to hydroxyurea, but we still do not know whether ruxolitinib provides an additional benefit in preventing thrombosis or disease progression. We retrospectively studied the outcomes of 377 patients with resistance/intolerance to hydroxyurea from the Spanish Registry of Polycythemia Vera according to whether they subsequently received ruxolitinib (n = 105) or the best available therapy (n = 272). Our findings suggest that ruxolitinib could reduce the incidence of arterial thrombosis, but a disease-modifying effect could not be demonstrated for ruxolitinib in this patient population.
Subject(s)
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Neoplasms, Second Primary , Polycythemia Vera , Primary Myelofibrosis , Thrombosis , Hemorrhage/chemically induced , Humans , Hydroxyurea/adverse effects , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Neoplasms, Second Primary/drug therapy , Nitriles , Polycythemia Vera/drug therapy , Primary Myelofibrosis/drug therapy , Pyrazoles , Pyrimidines , Retrospective Studies , Thrombosis/chemically induced , Thrombosis/drug therapy , Thrombosis/prevention & controlABSTRACT
Available data have proved insufficient to develop consensus recommendations on the prevention of thrombosis and bleeding in myelofibrosis (MF). We evaluated the incidence and risk factors of vascular complications in 1613 patients from the Spanish Myelofibrosis Registry. Over a total of 6981 patient-years at risk, 6.4% of the study population had at least one thrombotic event after MF diagnosis, amounting to an incidence rate of 1.65 per 100 patient-years. Prior history of thrombosis, the JAK2 mutation, and the intermediate-2/high-risk International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) categories conferred an increased thrombotic risk after adjustment for the risk-modifying effect of anti-thrombotic and cytoreductive treatments. History of thrombosis and the JAK2 mutation allowed us to pinpoint a group of patients at higher risk of early thrombosis. No decreased incidence of thrombosis was observed while patients were on anti-thrombotic or cytoreductive treatment. An increased risk of venous thrombosis was found during treatment with immunomodulatory agents. A total of 5.3% of patients had at least one episode of major bleeding, resulting in an incidence rate of 1.5 events per 100 patient-years. Patients in the intermediate-2/high-risk IPSS categories treated with anti-coagulants had an almost sevenfold increased risk of major bleeding. These findings should prove useful for guiding decision-making in clinical practice.
Subject(s)
Primary Myelofibrosis , Thrombocythemia, Essential , Thrombosis , Humans , Primary Myelofibrosis/complications , Primary Myelofibrosis/drug therapy , Primary Myelofibrosis/genetics , Thrombocythemia, Essential/genetics , Thrombosis/epidemiology , Thrombosis/etiology , Thrombosis/diagnosis , Hemorrhage/diagnosis , Registries , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
Thrombosis and haemorrhage are frequent in patients with essential thrombocythaemia (ET). The 2016 revised International Prognostic Score for Thrombosis in Essential Thrombocythaemia-thrombosis (r-IPSET-t) score stratifies patients into very-low- (VLR), low- (LR), intermediate- (IR) and high-risk (HR) groups. We validated the r-IPSET-t in the biggest population of patients with ET (n = 1381) to date and found it to be a better fit than the earlier IPSET-t score. With an average follow-up of 87.7 months, there were 0.578 thrombotic events/person-year and 0.286 bleeding events/person-year after diagnosis. The 10-year thrombosis-free survival was 88% and 99% for the r-IPSET-t LR and VLR groups (p < 0.001). Cytoreduction was a thrombotic risk factor in younger patients (aged <60 years, hazard ratio 9.49, p = 0.026; aged ≥60 years, hazard ratio 1.04, p = 0.93). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, anti-aggregation after diagnosis was protective for thrombosis (hazard ratio 0.31, p = 0.005) but a risk factor for major bleeding (hazard ratio 10.56, p = 0.021). Of the IPSET-t HR and LR groups, 132/780 and 249/301 were re-classified as LR and VLR respectively (p < 0.001). The European LeukemiaNET (ELN) does not recommend aspirin for VLR patients but in this real-life analysis 83.1% of VLR patients received it. Our results validate the r-IPSET-t score as more predictive for thrombosis than the ELN-recommended IPSET-t and raise concerns about unnecessary cytoreductive and anti-aggregative therapy.
Subject(s)
Thrombocythemia, Essential , Thrombosis , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Humans , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Thrombocythemia, Essential/diagnosis , Thrombosis/diagnosis , Thrombosis/epidemiology , Thrombosis/etiologyABSTRACT
Patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) are prone to the development of second cancers, but the factors associated with these events have been poorly explored. In an international nested case-control study, we recruited 647 patients with carcinoma, nonmelanoma skin cancer, hematological second cancer, and melanoma diagnosed concurrently or after MPN diagnosis. Up to 3 control patients without a history of cancer and matched with each case for center, sex, age at MPN diagnosis, date of diagnosis, and MPN disease duration were included (n = 1234). Cases were comparable to controls for MPN type, driver mutations and cardiovascular risk factors. The frequency of thrombosis preceding MPN was similar for cases and controls (P = .462). Thrombotic events after MPN and before second cancer were higher in cases than in controls (11.6% vs 8.1%; P = .013), because of a higher proportion of arterial thromboses (6.2% vs 3.7%; P = .015). After adjustment for confounders, the occurrence of arterial thrombosis remained independently associated with the risk of carcinoma (odds ratio, 1.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-3.41), suggesting that MPN patients experiencing arterial events after MPN diagnosis deserve careful clinical surveillance for early detection of carcinoma. This study was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03745378.
Subject(s)
Arteries/pathology , Myeloproliferative Disorders/pathology , Neoplasms, Second Primary/pathology , Philadelphia Chromosome , Thrombosis/pathology , Case-Control Studies , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Multivariate AnalysisABSTRACT
Hematological control, incidence of complications, and need for cytoreduction were studied in 453 patients with low-risk polycythemia vera (PV) treated with phlebotomies alone. Median hematocrit value decreased from 54% at diagnosis to 45% at 12 months, and adequate hematocrit control over time (< 45%) was observed in 36%, 44%, and 32% of the patients at 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively. More than 5 phlebotomies per year in the maintenance phase were required in 19% of patients. Worsening thrombocytosis, age > 60 years, and microvascular symptoms constituted the main indications for starting cytoreduction. Median duration without initiating cytoreduction was significantly longer in patients younger than 50 years (< 0.0001). The incidence rate of thrombosis under phlebotomies alone was 0.8% per year and the estimated probability of thrombosis at 10 years was 8.5%. The probability of arterial thrombosis was significantly higher in patients with arterial hypertension whereas there was a trend to higher risk of venous thrombosis in cases with high JAK2V617F allele burden. Rates of major bleeding and second primary neoplasm were low. With a median follow-up of 9 years, survival probability at 10 years was 97%, whereas the probability of myelofibrosis at 10 and 20 years was 7% and 20%, respectively. Progression to acute myeloid leukemia was documented in 3 cases (1%). Current management of low-risk PV patients is associated with low rate of thrombosis and long survival. New treatment strategies are needed for improving hematological control and, in the long term, reducing progression to myelofibrosis.
Subject(s)
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Polycythemia Vera , Primary Myelofibrosis , Thrombosis , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/complications , Middle Aged , Phlebotomy/adverse effects , Polycythemia Vera/complications , Polycythemia Vera/diagnosis , Polycythemia Vera/surgery , Primary Myelofibrosis/diagnosis , Registries , Thrombosis/complications , Thrombosis/etiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Options to treat elderly patients (≥65 years old) newly diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) include intensive and attenuated chemotherapy, hypomethylating agents with or without venetoclax, and supportive care. This multicenter, randomized, open-label, phase 3 trial was designed to assess the efficacy and safety of a fludarabine, cytarabine, and filgrastim (FLUGA) regimen in comparison with azacitidine (AZA). METHODS: Patients (n = 283) were randomized 1:1 to FLUGA (n = 141) or AZA (n = 142). Response was evaluated after cycles 1, 3, 6, and 9. Measurable residual disease (MRD) was assessed after cycle 9. When MRD was ≥0.01%, patients continued with the treatment until relapse or progressive disease. Patients with MRD < 0.01% suspended treatment to enter the follow-up phase. RESULTS: The complete remission (CR) rate after 3 cycles was significantly better in the FLUGA arm (18% vs 9%; P = .04), but the CR/CR with incomplete recovery rate at 9 months was similar (33% vs 29%; P = .41). There were no significant differences between arms in early mortality at 30 or 60 days. Hematologic toxicities were more frequent with FLUGA, especially during induction. The 1-year overall survival (OS) rate and the median OS were superior with AZA versus FLUGA: 47% versus 27% and 9.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.6-14 months) versus 4.1 months (95% CI, 2.7-5.5 months; P = .005), respectively. The median event-free survival was 4.9 months (95% CI, 2.8-7 months) with AZA and 3 months (95% CI, 2.5-3.5 months) with FLUGA (P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: FLUGA achieved more remissions after 3 cycles, but the 1-year OS rate was superior with AZA. However, long-term outcomes were disappointing in both arms (3-year OS rate, 10% vs 5%). This study supports the use of an AZA backbone for future combinations in elderly patients with AML.
Subject(s)
Cytarabine , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute , Aged , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Azacitidine , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/therapy , Remission Induction , Treatment Outcome , Vidarabine/analogs & derivativesABSTRACT
The present study assessed the criteria for initiating cytoreduction and response to conventional therapies in 1446 patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET), 267 (17%) of which were CALR-mutated. In low risk patients, time from diagnosis to cytoreduction was shorter in CALR-positive than in the other genotypes (2·8, 3·2, 7·4 and 12·5 years for CALR, MPL, JAK2V617F and TN, respectively, P < 0·0001). A total of 1104 (76%) patients received cytoreductive treatment with hydroxycarbamide (HC) (n = 977), anagrelide (n = 113), or others (n = 14). The estimated cumulative rates of complete haematological response (CR) at 12 months were 40 % and 67% in CALR and JAK2V617F genotypes, respectively. Median time to CR was 192 days for JAK2V617F, 343 for TN, 433 for MPL, and 705 for CALR genotypes (P < 0·0001). Duration of CR was shorter in CALR-mutated ET than in the remaining patients (P = 0·003). In CALR-positive patients, HC and anagrelide had similar efficacy in terms of response rates and duration. CALR-mutated patients developed resistance/intolerance to HC more frequently (5%, 23%, 27% and 15% for JAK2V617F, CALR, MPL and TN, respectively; P < 0·0001). In conclusion, conventional cytoreductive agents are less effective in CALR-mutated ET, highlighting the need for new treatment modalities and redefinition of haematologic targets for patients with this genotype.
Subject(s)
Calreticulin/genetics , Genotype , Hydroxyurea/administration & dosage , Mutation, Missense , Quinazolines/administration & dosage , Registries , Thrombocythemia, Essential , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Amino Acid Substitution , Child , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Janus Kinase 2/genetics , Male , Middle Aged , Spain , Thrombocythemia, Essential/drug therapy , Thrombocythemia, Essential/geneticsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: In patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET), after the JAK2V617F driver mutation, mutations in CALR are common (classified as type 1, 52-bp deletion or type 2, 5-bp insertion). CALR mutations have generally been associated with a lower risk of thrombosis. This study aimed to confirm the impact of CALR mutation type on thrombotic risk. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated 983 ET patients diagnosed in Spanish and Polish hospitals. RESULTS: With 7.5 years of median follow-up from diagnosis, 155 patients (15.8%) had one or more thrombotic event. The 5-year thrombosis-free survival (TFS) rate was 83.8%, 91.6% and 93.9% for the JAK2V617F, CALR-type 1 and CALR-type 2 groups, respectively (P = .002). Comparing CALR-type 1 and CALR-type 2 groups, TFS for venous thrombosis was lower in CALR-type 1 (P = .046), with no difference in TFS for arterial thrombosis observed. The cumulative incidence of thrombosis was significantly different comparing JAK2V617F vs CALR-type 2 groups but not JAK2V617F vs CALR-type 1 groups. Moreover, CALR-type 2 mutation was a statistically significant protective factor for thrombosis with respect to JAK2V617F in multivariate logistic regression (OR: 0.45, P = .04) adjusted by age. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that CALR mutation type has prognostic value for the stratification of thrombotic risk in ET patients.
Subject(s)
Calreticulin/genetics , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Mutation , Thrombocythemia, Essential/complications , Thrombocythemia, Essential/genetics , Thrombosis/etiology , Follow-Up Studies , Genetic Association Studies , Humans , Incidence , Janus Kinase 2/genetics , Odds Ratio , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Thrombocythemia, Essential/diagnosis , Thrombocythemia, Essential/mortality , Thrombosis/diagnosis , Thrombosis/mortalityABSTRACT
Accurate prognostic tools are crucial to assess the risk/benefit ratio of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) in patients with myelofibrosis (MF). We aimed to evaluate the performance of the Myelofibrosis Transplant Scoring System (MTSS) and identify risk factors for survival in a multicenter series of 197 patients with MF undergoing allo-HCT. After a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 47% of patients had died, and the estimated 5-year survival rate was 51%. Projected 5-year risk of nonrelapse mortality and relapse incidence was 30% and 20%, respectively. Factors independently associated with increased mortality were a hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (HCT-CI) ≥3 and receiving a graft from an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor or cord blood, whereas post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PT-Cy) was associated with improved survival. Donor type was the only parameter included in the MTSS model with independent prognostic value for survival. According to the MTSS, 3-year survival was 62%, 66%, 37%, and 17% for low-, intermediate-, high-, and very high-risk groups, respectively. By pooling together the low- and intermediate-risk groups, as well as the high- and very high-risk groups, we pinpointed 2 categories: standard risk and high risk (25% of the series). Three-year survival was 62% in standard-risk and 25% in high-risk categories (P < .001). We derived a risk score based on the 3 independent risk factors for survival in our series (donor type, HCT-CI, and PT-Cy). The corresponding 5-year survival for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories was 79%, 55%, and 32%, respectively (P < .001). In conclusion, the MTSS model failed to clearly delineate 4 prognostic groups in our series but may still be useful to identify a subset of patients with poor outcome. We provide a simple prognostic scoring system for risk/benefit considerations before transplantation in patients with MF.
Subject(s)
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Primary Myelofibrosis , Humans , Primary Myelofibrosis/therapy , Prognosis , Transplantation Conditioning , Transplantation, Homologous , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Thirty to forty percent of patients with Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) have an adverse clinical evolution. The increased understanding of DLBCL biology has shed light on the clinical evolution of this pathology, leading to the discovery of prognostic factors based on gene expression data, genomic rearrangements and mutational subgroups. Nevertheless, additional efforts are needed in order to enable survival predictions at the patient level. In this study we investigated new machine learning-based models of survival using transcriptomic and clinical data. METHODS: Gene expression profiling (GEP) of in 2 different publicly available retrospective DLBCL cohorts were analyzed. Cox regression and unsupervised clustering were performed in order to identify probes associated with overall survival on the largest cohort. Random forests were created to model survival using combinations of GEP data, COO classification and clinical information. Cross-validation was used to compare model results in the training set, and Harrel's concordance index (c-index) was used to assess model's predictability. Results were validated in an independent test set. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-three and sixty-four patients were included in the training and test set, respectively. Initially we derived and validated a 4-gene expression clusterization that was independently associated with lower survival in 20% of patients. This pattern included the following genes: TNFRSF9, BIRC3, BCL2L1 and G3BP2. Thereafter, we applied machine-learning models to predict survival. A set of 102 genes was highly predictive of disease outcome, outperforming available clinical information and COO classification. The final best model integrated clinical information, COO classification, 4-gene-based clusterization and the expression levels of 50 individual genes (training set c-index, 0.8404, test set c-index, 0.7942). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that DLBCL survival models based on the application of machine learning algorithms to gene expression and clinical data can largely outperform other important prognostic variables such as disease stage and COO. Head-to-head comparisons with other risk stratification models are needed to compare its usefulness.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics , Computational Biology/methods , Gene Expression Profiling/methods , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/mortality , Adaptor Proteins, Signal Transducing/genetics , Baculoviral IAP Repeat-Containing 3 Protein/genetics , Female , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic , Humans , Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/genetics , Male , Microarray Analysis , Middle Aged , Prognosis , RNA-Binding Proteins/genetics , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis , Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Superfamily, Member 9/genetics , Unsupervised Machine Learning , bcl-X Protein/geneticsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The obesity/overweight may have an influence on APL outcomes. METHODS: This is the biggest multicentre analysis on 1320 APL patients treated with AIDA-induction and risk-adapted consolidation between 1996 and 2012. Patients body mass index (BMI) was classified as underweight (<18.5 kg/m2 ), normal (18.5-25 kg/m2 ), overweight (25-29.9 kg/m2 ), and obese (≥30 kg/m2 ) according to the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Relationship between male gender, older age, and other known laboratory abnormalities in overweight/obese patients was significant. The induction mortality rate was significantly higher in APL with BMI ≥25 vs BMI <25 (10% vs 6%; P = .04). APL patients with BMI ≥25 had a trend to lower OS (74% vs 80%; P = .06). However, in the multivariate analysis, BMI did not retain the independent predictive value (P = .46). There was no higher incidence of differentiation syndrome with BMI ≥25, but there was a trend in obese. There was no difference in relapse rate according to the BMI. In summary, overweight/obesity does not represent an independent risk factor for APL outcomes. The influence of obesity in APL patients treated with chemotherapy-free regimens remains to be established.
Subject(s)
Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Asparaginase/adverse effects , Asparaginase/therapeutic use , Body Mass Index , Female , Humans , Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/drug therapy , Leukemia, Promyelocytic, Acute/mortality , Male , Mercaptopurine/adverse effects , Mercaptopurine/therapeutic use , Methotrexate/adverse effects , Methotrexate/therapeutic use , Middle Aged , Obesity , Population Surveillance , Prednisone/adverse effects , Prednisone/therapeutic use , Prognosis , Recurrence , Treatment Outcome , Vincristine/adverse effects , Vincristine/therapeutic use , Young AdultABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Inv(3)(q21.3q26.2)/t(3;3)(q21.3;q26.2) is a rare poor prognosis cytogenetic abnormality present in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and other myeloid neoplasms. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcome of a cohort of 61 patients with newly diagnosed AML with inv(3)/t(3;3) treated with homogeneous intensive chemotherapy protocols conducted by the Spanish PETHEMA and CETLAM cooperative groups between 1999 and 2017. METHODS: In this retrospective study the main clinical and biologic parameters were collected. The complete response (CR) rate, the cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) and the overall survival (OS) were calculated. An analysis of prognostic factors for survival was performed. RESULTS: Sixty-one patients received induction and only 18 (29%) achieved CR (median age, 46 years). Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT) was performed in 36 patients (59%), 15 with active disease. One- and 4-year CIR were 52% and 56%. One- and 4-year OS probabilities were 41% and 13%. By multivariate analysis monosomal karyotype (MK) was associated with poorer OS (HR 2.0, P = .017). CONCLUSION: Inv(3)/t(3;3) AML is a poor prognosis entity with low response to standard chemotherapy and to alloHSCT because of frequent and early relapse. MK was associated with a poorer prognosis. Improved therapeutic strategies are clearly needed.
Subject(s)
Chromosome Inversion , Chromosomes, Human, Pair 3 , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/genetics , Translocation, Genetic , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Combined Modality Therapy , Female , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Humans , Karyotyping , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy , Male , Middle Aged , Remission Induction , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis , Transplantation, Homologous , Treatment Outcome , Young AdultABSTRACT
One out of ten patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) develop a second cancer (SC): in such patients we aimed at assessing the survival impact of SC itself and of MPN-specific therapies. Data were therefore extracted from an international nested case-control study, recruiting 798 patients with SC diagnosed concurrently or after the MPN. Overall, 2995 person-years (PYs) were accumulated and mortality rate (MR) since SC diagnosis was 5.9 (5.1-6.9) deaths for every 100 PYs. A "poor prognosis" SC (stomach, esophagus, liver, pancreas, lung, ovary, head-and-neck or nervous system, osteosarcomas, multiple myeloma, aggressive lymphoma, acute leukemia) was reported in 26.3% of the patients and was the cause of death in 65% of them (MR 11.0/100 PYs). In contrast, patients with a "non-poor prognosis" SC (NPPSC) incurred a MR of 4.6/100 PYs: 31% of the deaths were attributed to SC and 15% to MPN evolution. At multivariable analysis, death after SC diagnosis was independently predicted (HR and 95% CI) by patient age greater than 70 years (2.68; 1.88-3.81), the SC prognostic group (2.57; 1.86-3.55), SC relapse (1.53; 10.6-2.21), MPN evolution (2.72; 1.84-4.02), anemia at SC diagnosis (2.32; 1.49-3.59), exposure to hydroxyurea (1.89; 1.26-2.85) and to ruxolitinib (3.63; 1.97-6.71). Aspirin was protective for patients with a NPPSC (0.60; 0.38-0.95). In conclusion, SC is a relevant cause of death competing with MPN evolution. Prospective data are awaited to confirm the role of cytoreductive and anti-platelet drugs in modulating patient survival after the occurrence of a SC.
Subject(s)
Hematologic Neoplasms/mortality , Myeloproliferative Disorders/mortality , Neoplasms, Second Primary/mortality , Age Factors , Aged , Case-Control Studies , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Survival RateABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL) is the most frequent lymphoproliferative disorder in western countries and is characterized by a remarkable clinical heterogeneity. During the last decade, multiple genomic studies have identified a myriad of somatic events driving CLL proliferation and aggressivity. Nevertheless, and despite the mounting evidence of inherited risk for CLL development, the existence of germline variants associated with clinical outcomes has not been addressed in depth. METHODS: Exome sequencing data from control leukocytes of CLL patients involved in the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) was used for genotyping. Cox regression was used to detect variants associated with clinical outcomes. Gene and pathways level associations were also calculated. RESULTS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms in PPP4R2 and MAP3K4 were associated with earlier treatment need. A gene-level analysis evidenced a significant association of RIPK3 with both treatment need and survival. Furthermore, germline variability in pathways such as apoptosis, cell-cycle, pentose phosphate, GNα13 and Nitric oxide was associated with overall survival. CONCLUSION: Our results support the existence of inherited conditionants of CLL evolution and points towards genes and pathways that may results useful as biomarkers of disease outcome. More research is needed to validate these findings.