Inequality in 30-day mortality and the wait for surgery after hip fracture: the impact of the regional health care evaluation program in Lazio (Italy).

INTERVENTIONS: that address inequalities in health care are a priority for public health research. We evaluated the impact of the Regional Health Care Evaluation Program in the Lazio region, which systematically calculates and publicly releases hospital performance data, on socioeconomic differences in the quality of healthcare for hip fracture. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: and participants We identified, in the hospital information system, elderly patients hospitalized for hip fracture between 01 January 2006 and 31 December 2007 (period 1) and between 01 January 2009 and 30 November 2010 (period 2). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We used multivariate regression models to test the association between socioeconomic position index (SEP, level I well-off to level III disadvantaged) and outcomes: mortality within 30 days of hospital arrival, median waiting time for surgery and proportion of interventions within 48 h. RESULTS: We studied 11 581 admissions. Lower SEP was associated with a higher risk of 30-day mortality in period 1 (relative risk (RR) = 1.42, P = 0.027), but not in period 2. Disadvantaged people were less likely to undergo intervention within 48 h than well-off persons in period 1 (level II: RR = 0.72, P < 0.001; level III: RR = 0.46, P < 0.001) and period 2 (level II: RR = 0.88, P = 0.037; level III: RR = 0.63, P < 0.001). We observed a higher probability of undergoing intervention within 48 h in period 2 compared with the period 1 for each socioeconomic level. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that a systematic evaluation of health outcome approach, including public disclosure of results, could reduce socioeconomic differences in healthcare through a general improvement in the quality of care.

Socio-demographic differences in adherence to evidence-based drug therapy after hospital discharge from acute myocardial infarction: a population-based cohort study in Rome, Italy.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Adherence to evidence-based drug therapy after acute myocardial infarction has increased over the last decades, but is still unsatisfactory. Our objectives are to set out to analyse patterns of evidence-based drug therapy after acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and evaluating socio-demographic differences. METHODS: A cohort of 3920 AMI patients discharged from hospital in Rome (2006-2007) was selected. Drugs claimed during the 12 months after discharge were retrieved. Drug utilization was defined as density of use (boxes claimed/individual follow-up; chronic use = 6+ boxes/365 days) and therapeutic coverage, calculated through Defined Daily Doses (chronic use: ≥80% of individual follow-up). Patterns of use of single drugs and their combination were described. The association between poly-therapy and gender, age and socio-economic position (small-area composite index based on census data) was analysed through logistic regression, accounting for potential confounders. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Most patients used single drugs: 90·5% platelet aggregation inhibitors (antiplatelets), 60·0%ß-blockers, 78·1% agents acting on the renin-angiotensin system (ACEIs/ARBs), 77·8% HMG CoA reductase inhibitors (statins). Percentages of patients with ≥80% of therapeutic coverage were 81·9% for antiplatelets, 17·8% for ß-blockers, 64·4% for ACEIs/ARBs and 76·1% for statins. The multivariate analysis showed gender and age differences in adherence to poly-therapy (females: OR = 0·84; 95% CI 0·72-0·99; 71-80 years age-group: OR = 0·82; 95% CI 0·68-0·99). No differences were observed with respect to socio-economic position. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: The availability of information systems offers the opportunity to monitor the quality of care and identify weaknesses in public health-care systems. Our results identify specific factors contributing to non-adherence and hence define areas for more targeted health-care interventions. Our results suggest that efforts to improve adherence should focus on women and older patients.

Profiling hospital performance to monitor the quality of care: the case of COPD.

Comparative outcomes data are widely used to monitor quality of care in the cardiovascular area; little is available in the respiratory field. We applied validated methods to compare hospital outcomes for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation. From the hospital information system, we selected all hospital admissions for COPD exacerbation in Rome (for 2001-2005). Vital status within 30 days was obtained from the municipality mortality register. Each hospital was compared to a pool of hospitals with the lowest adjusted mortality rate (the benchmark). Age, sex and several potential clinical predictors were covariates in logistic regression analysis. 12,756 exacerbated COPD patients were analysed (mean age 74 yrs, 71% males). Diabetes, hypertension, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure and arrhythmia were the most common coexisting conditions. The average crude mortality in the benchmark group was 3.8%; in the remaining population it was 7.5% (range 5.2-17.2%). In comparison with the benchmark, the relative risk of 30-day mortality varied widely across the hospitals (range 1.5-5.9%). A large variability in 30-day mortality after COPD exacerbation exists even considering patients' characteristics. Although these results do not detect mechanisms related to worse outcomes, they may be useful to stimulate providers to revision and improvement of COPD care management.

Traffic-related air pollution in relation to respiratory symptoms, allergic sensitisation and lung function in schoolchildren.

BACKGROUND: Urban air pollution can trigger asthma exacerbations, but the effects of long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution on lung function or onset of airway disease and allergic sensitisation in children is less clear. METHODS: All 2107 children aged 9-14 years from 40 schools in Rome in 2000-1 were included in a cross-sectional survey. Respiratory symptoms were assessed on 1760 children by parental questionnaires (response rate 83.5%). Allergic sensitisation was measured by skin prick tests and lung function was measured by spirometry on 1359 children (77.2%). Three indicators of traffic-related air pollution exposure were assessed: self-reported heavy traffic outside the child's home; the measured distance between the child's home and busy roads; and the residential nitrogen dioxide (NO2) levels estimated by a land use regression model (R2 = 0.69). RESULTS: There was a strong association between estimated NO2 exposure per 10 microg/m3 and lung function, especially expiratory flows, in linear regression models adjusted for age, gender, height and weight: -0.62% (95% CI -1.05 to -0.19) for forced expiratory volume in 1 s as a percentage of forced vital capacity, -62 ml/s (95% CI -102 to -21) for forced expiratory flow between 25% and 75% of forced vital capacity and -85 ml/s (95% CI -135 to -35) for peak expiratory flow. The other two exposure indicators showed similar but weaker associations. The associations appeared stronger in girls, older children, in children of high socioeconomic status and in those exposed to parental smoking. Although lifetime asthma was not an effect modifier, there was a suggestion of a larger effect on lung function in subjects with a positive prick test. Multiple logistic regression models did not suggest a consistent association between traffic-related air pollution exposure and prevalence of respiratory symptoms or allergic sensitisation. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that residential traffic-related air pollution exposure is associated with reduced expiratory flows in schoolchildren.

Does temperature modify the association between air pollution and mortality? A multicity case-crossover analysis in Italy.

Adverse health effects of particulate matter <10 microm in aerodynamic diameter (PM(10)) and high temperatures are well known, but the extent of their interaction on mortality is less clear. This paper describes effect modification of temperature in the PM(10)-mortality association and tests the hypothesis that higher PM(10) effects in summer are due to enhanced exposure to particles. All deaths of residents of nine Italian cities between 1997 and 2004 were selected. The case-crossover approach was adopted to estimate the effect of PM(10) on mortality by season and temperature level. Three strata of temperature corresponding to low, medium, and high "ventilation" were identified, and the interaction between PM(10) and temperature within each stratum was examined. Season and temperature levels strongly modified the PM(10)-mortality association: for a 10-microg/m(3) variation in PM(10), a 2.54% increase in risk of death in summer (95% confidence interval: 1.31, 3.78) compared with 0.20% (95% confidence interval: -0.08, 0.49) in winter. Analysis of the interaction between PM(10) and temperature within temperature strata resulted in positive but, in most cases, nonstatistically significant coefficients. The authors found much higher PM(10) effects on mortality during warmer days. The hypothesis that such an effect is attributable to enhanced exposure to particles in summer could not be rejected.

The impact on risk-factor analysis of different mortality outcomes in COPD patients.

The aim of the present study was to analyse the role of potential selection processes and their impact when evaluating risk factors for 30-day mortality among patients hospitalised for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). A cohort of 26,039 patients aged > or = 35 yrs and hospitalised with COPD were enrolled. A 30-day follow-up was carried out using both the cause mortality register (CMR) and the hospital discharge register (HDR). Individual and hospital factors associated with 30-day mortality were studied using both mortality outcomes. The 30-day mortality rate was 1.21.1,000 patient-days(-1) (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.29) using the CMR, and 1.06.1,000 patient-days(-1) (95% CI 0.98-1.13) using the HDR. Male patients, the most poorly educated, those who resided outside Rome and those who had more than one hospitalisation in the previous 2 yrs were more likely to die after discharge than when hospitalised. The most frequent cause of in-hospital death was respiratory disease and after discharge, heart disease. Older age, male sex, comorbidities, previous hospitalisations for respiratory failure, and admission to a ward not appropriate to treat respiratory diseases were the most important predictors of 30-day mortality. Using in-hospital 30-day mortality provides a significantly different estimate of the role of specific risk factors.

Comparison between various indices of exposure to traffic-related air pollution and their impact on respiratory health in adults.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of different indices of traffic-related air pollution (self-report of traffic intensity, distance from busy roads from geographical information system (GIS), area-based emissions of particulate matter (PM), and estimated concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)) from a land-use regression model) with respiratory health in adults. METHODS: A sample of 9488 25-59-year-old Rome residents completed a self-administered questionnaire on respiratory health and various risk factors, including education, occupation, housing conditions, smoking, and traffic intensity in their area of residence. The study used GIS to calculate the distance between their home address and the closest high-traffic road. For each subject, PM emissions in the area of residence as well as estimated NO2 concentrations as assessed by a land-use regression model (R(2) value = 0.69), were available. Generalised estimating equations (GEE) were used to analyse the association between air pollution measures and prevalence of "ever" chronic bronchitis, asthma, and rhinitis taking into account the effects of age, gender, education, smoking habits, socioeconomic position, and the correlation of variables for members of the same family. RESULTS: Three hundred and ninety seven subjects (4% of the study population) reported chronic bronchitis, 472 (5%) asthma, and 1227 (13%) rhinitis. Fifteen per cent of subjects reported living in high traffic areas, 11% lived within 50 m of a high traffic road, and 28% in areas with estimated NO2 greater than 50 microg/m(3). Prevalence of asthma was associated only with self-reported traffic intensity whereas no association was found for the other more objective indices. Rhinitis, on the other hand, was strongly associated with all traffic-related indicators (eg, OR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.22 for 10 microg/m(3) NO2, especially among non-smokers. CONCLUSIONS: Indices of exposure to traffic-related air pollution are consistently associated with an increased risk of rhinitis in adults, especially among non-smokers. The results for asthma are weak, possibly due to ascertainment problems.

The concurrent COPD mortality doubles the mortality estimate from COPD as underlying cause in Lazio, Italy.

BACKGROUND: In Lazio region (Italy), mortality data are currently available from the death cause registry (DCR), which reports only underlying causes. Mortality due to other causes, defined concurrent mortality, are need to appropriately estimate the health impact from chronic diseases. The aims of the study were to estimate concurrent mortality from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), using hospital discharge registry (HDR), to discuss the validity and limits of this method, and to compare underlying and concurrent mortality from COPD in the Lazio region. METHODS: A mortality study was carried out for residents who died in 1996-2000 with COPD listed as the underlying cause of death and those who died in the hospital with a different underlying cause of death listed but with a discharge diagnosis of COPD. Age-standardized mortality rates were obtained for males and females separately, using the direct method. A random sample of death certificates was used to validate concurrent causes of death as defined from discharge diagnoses. RESULTS: Age-standardised mortality for COPD as underlying cause of death was 3.68/10,000 in male and 2.29/10,000 in female residents. Mortality increased slightly in the study period for women, but no trend was evident. Age-standardised mortality for COPD as concurrent cause of death was 2.39/10,000 in male and 1.31/10,000 in female residents. The positive predictive value for concurrent COPD mortality was 54.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Concurrent COPD mortality contributed 62.3% to the whole mortality. The estimates of concurrent COPD mortality were comparable to those reported in other countries, though using hospital data may overestimate the real concurrent mortality as estimated from death certificates.

Influenza outbreaks and hospital bed occupancy in Rome (Italy): current management does not accommodate for seasonal variations in demand.

OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to assess how different hospital wards react to influenza epidemics, and whether related specialties cooperate in coping with winter bed crises. STUDY DESIGN: The Lazio Hospital Information System (HIS) dataset from July 1998 to June 2001 was used for the study. The HIS collects data on all hospital discharges. We considered diagnosis-related groups (DRG) as the reason for hospital stay and used DRG to classify admissions as influenza related or influenza unrelated. Time series analysis of daily bed occupancy in different specialty areas by influenza-related and influenza-unrelated cases was performed. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to take the effect of short-term and seasonal bed occupancy into account on influenza-related occupancy. RESULTS: Influenza-related bed occupancy ranges from 770 patients/day during the influenza season to 525 patients/day during the rest of the year. Daily occupancy by influenza-related cases represents 2.8% of total hospital occupancy and 7% of general medicine occupancy during the influenza season. When comparing the influenza season with the rest of the year, general medicine occupancy by influenza-related cases increases by 51% versus the 25-32% increase in other specialty wards. Little change in daily occupancy by influenza-unrelated cases was observed in all specialties when comparing the influenza season with the rest of the year. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital specialty wards react poorly and single handedly to a minor and predictable burden. Any winter bed crisis in the Lazio region is probably the result of defective management of available beds more than excess in demand.

Heroin maintenance for chronic heroin dependents.

BACKGROUND: Many medications have been used for stabilizing heroin users: Methadone, Buprenorphine and LAAM. The present review focus on the prescription of heroin to heroin dependents. OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and acceptability of heroin maintenance versus methadone or other substitution treatments for opioid dependence, in retaining patients in treatment; reducing the use of illicit substances and improving health and social functioning. SEARCH STRATEGY: The Cochrane Central Register of Trials (CENTRAL) issue 1, 2005; MEDLINE 1966-2005, EMBASE 1980-2005 and CINAHL till 2005 (on OVID) were searched. There was no language or publication year restrictions. Many researchers were contacted for information. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials of heroin (alone or combined with methadone) maintenance treatment compared with any other pharmacological treatments for heroin dependents. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: The trials were independently assessed for inclusion and methodological quality by the reviewers. Data were extracted independently and double checked. Studies were not pooled together because of heterogeneity. MAIN RESULTS: 2400 references were obtained and 20 studies were eligible, 4 met the inclusion criteria for a total of 577 patients. The studies could not be analysed cumulatively because of heterogeneity of interventions and outcomes. Retention in treatment: no groups difference was found in two studies; one study (N=96) found RR=2.82 (95% CI 1.70-4.68) favouring heroin; one study (N=235) found RR 0.79 (95%CI 0.68-0.90) favouring methadone. Relapse to illegal heroin use (self- reported): in one study people using heroin in treatment was 64% (heroin group)and 59% (methadone group); in the other study the RR of heroin use was 0.33 (95%CI 0.15-0.72) favouring heroin. Criminal offence: one study showed the potential of heroin prescription in reducing the risk of being charged RR 0.32 (95% CI 0.14-0.78). Social functioning: two studies did not show statistical difference between intervention groups, and two studies considered criminal offence and social functioning as part of a multidomain outcome measure showing improvements among those treated with heroin plus methadone over those on methadone only. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: No definitive conclusions about the overall effectiveness of heroin prescription is possible. Results favouring heroin treatment come from studies conducted in countries where easily accessible Methadone Maintenance Treatment at effective dosages is available. In those studies heroin prescription was addressed to patients who had failed previous methadone treatments. The present review contains information about ongoing trials which results will be integrated as soon as available.

The impact of the summer 2003 heat waves on mortality in four Italian cities.

This study evaluates the impact of the 2003 heat wave on cause-specific mortality and the role of demographic characteristics and socioeconomic conditions that may have increased the risk of mortality in four Italian cities: Bologna, Milan, Rome and Turin. Daily mortality counts, for the resident population by age, sex and cause of death were considered. Daily excess mortality was calculated as the difference between the number of deaths observed and the smoothed average. The impact of heat on health is measured in terms of maximum apparent temperature. The greatest excess in mortality was observed in the north west of Italy (Turin, +23% and Milan, +23%). The old (75-84 years) and the very old (85+ years) were the age groups most affected, and when stratifying by sex, the increase in mortality seemed to be greater among females. The greatest excess in mortality was registered in those with low socioeconomic status in Rome (+17.8%) and in those with lower education levels in Turin (+43%). The analysis of cause-specific mortality not only confirms results from previous studies of an increase in heat-related mortality by respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, but also shows a significant excess in mortality for diseases of the central nervous system and for metabolic/endocrine disorders. Results from 2003 highlight the necessity of targeting future prevention programmes at the susceptible sub-groups identified. The introduction of warning systems alongside efficient preventive plans and the monitoring of mortality during heat waves may represent a valid tool for the reduction of heat-related deaths.

The impact of the summer 2003 heat waves on mortality in four Italian cities.

This study evaluates the impact of the 2003 heat wave on cause-specific mortality and the role of demographic characteristics and socioeconomic conditions that may have increased the risk of mortality in four Italian cities: Bologna, Milan, Rome and Turin. Daily mortality counts, for the resident population by age, sex and cause of death were considered. Daily excess mortality was calculated as the difference between the number of deaths observed and the smoothed average. The impact of heat on health is measured in terms of maximum apparent temperature. The greatest excess in mortality was observed in the north west of Italy (Turin, +23% and Milan, +23%). The old (75-84 years) and the very old (85+ years) were the age groups most affected, and when stratifying by sex, the increase in mortality seemed to be greater among females. The greatest excess in mortality was registered in those with low socioeconomic status in Rome (+17.8%) and in those with lower education levels in Turin (+43%). The analysis of cause-specific mortality not only confirms results from previous studies of an increase in heat-related mortality by respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, but also shows a significant excess in mortality for diseases of the central nervous system and for metabolic/endocrine disorders. Results from 2003 highlight the necessity of targeting future prevention programmes at the susceptible sub-groups identified. The introduction of warning systems alongside efficient preventive plans and the monitoring of mortality during heat waves may represent a valid tool for the reduction of heat-related deaths.

Changes in survival among people with AIDS in Lazio, Italy from 1993 to 1998. Lazio AIDS Surveillance Collaborative Group.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate temporal changes in survival of persons with AIDS (PWA) diagnosed in Lazio, Italy. DESIGN: Longitudinal study of 2862 PWA registered at the AIDS Surveillance System in the period 1 January 1993 to 30 June 1997 and followed for vital status up to 31 May 1998. METHODS: Hazard ratios (HR) of death were calculated by year of diagnosis and by year of follow-up, adjusting for gender, age, modality of exposure, CD4 cell count at diagnosis, and AIDS-defining illness, using the Cox proportional regression model. RESULTS: In the period 1 January 1993 to 31 May 1998, 1914 PWA died. The multivariate model showed a decrease of the risk of death for patients diagnosed from 1995 onward compared with patients diagnosed in 1993 [1995: HR 0.82; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.73-0.93; 1996: HR 0.44; 95% CI 0.38-0.51; first semester of 1997: HR 0.47; 95% CI 0.37-0.59]. The model with the year of follow-up modeled as time-dependent variable showed a statistically significant decline in the risk of death starting from the first quarter of 1997 (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.48-0.80) and reached the minimum in the first two quarters of 1998 (first quarter: HR 0.13; 95% CI 0.08-0.21; second quarter: HR 0.14, 95% CI 0.08-0.25). There was a small difference in the magnitude of the risk estimates among genders, with a slower improvement in survival among females [first semester of 1997 for males HR was 0.51 (95% CI 0.39-0.66) whereas for females HR was 0.80 (95% CI 0.51-1.27)]. CONCLUSIONS: Survival of PWA in a population-based study improved significantly in the era when highly active antiretroviral therapy became available, but such improvement is not homogeneous among genders.

Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke is associated with lower plasma beta-carotene levels among nonsmoking women married to a smoker.

We evaluated the association between exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) from husbands who smoke and plasma levels of antioxidant vitamins among nonsmoking women. A total of 1249 women from four areas in Italy answered a self-administered questionnaire, reported their diets on a food frequency questionnaire, had a medical examination, and gave their blood for alpha and beta-carotene, retinol, L-ascorbic acid, alpha-tocopherol, and lycopene determinations. Urinary cotinine was used to evaluate the level of recent exposure to ETS. After adjusting for study center, age and education, we found no association between ETS exposure and daily nutrient intake of beta-carotene, retinol, L-ascorbic acid, and alpha-tocopherol. However, we found an inverse dose-response relationship between intensity of current husband's smoke and concentrations of plasma beta-carotene and L-ascorbic acid. The associations remained even after controlling for daily beta-carotene and vitamin C intake and for other potential confounders (vitamin supplementation, alcohol consumption, and body mass index). Moreover, when urinary cotinine was considered as the exposure variable, a significant inverse association with plasma beta-carotene was found. The findings may be of interest to explain the biological mechanism that link ETS exposure with lung cancer and ischemic heart diseases.

Indices of nonspecific bronchial responsiveness in a pediatric population.

A cross-sectional survey of the prevalence of asthma and bronchial hyperreactivity among schoolchildren (7 to 11 years old) was carried out in three areas of the Latium region (Central Italy). Out of 1,777 children tested with methacholine challenge (MCT), 15.1 percent had a 20 percent fall in FEV1 after a provocative concentration (PC20FEV1) of 4 mg/ml of methacholine or less; 69.7 percent had a PC20FEV1 less than 64.0 mg/ml, whereas 50.3 percent were nonresponders. Two continuous measures of bronchial responsiveness, the slope (percentage of change in FEV1 per mg/ml of methacholine) and the area under the dose response curve, were calculated in order to avoid the loss of information in nonresponders. Applying a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the three estimators did not show any statistically significant difference in their overall performance in detecting asthma (ROC areas: PC20FEV1 = 0.683, slope = 0.681, area = 0.702 or asthma-like symptoms. The log transformation of slope, having a unimodal and slightly skewed shape, is an appealing continuous measure of bronchial responsiveness useful for epidemiologic studies. The final choice of an appropriate estimator of the concentration-response curve to methacholine, however, depends upon both the statistical tests or the modelling procedures to be used and clarification of the prognostic value of different indices of bronchial responsiveness.

Risk factors for overdose mortality: a case-control study within a cohort of intravenous drug users.

Overdose mortality is the major adverse health effect of drug injection. The potential determinants of overdose death are poorly understood; the aim of this study was to investigate risk factors for overdose mortality among intravenous drug users (IVDU). A cohort of 4200 IVDU attending methadone treatment centres in Rome during the period 1980-1988, was enrolled. Data were collected from clinical records. Vital status and cause of death were ascertained as of 31 December 1988. A matched case-control analysis within the cohort was performed to identify risk factors of death from overdose. All overdose deaths were included as cases and four controls, matched on year of birth and sex, were selected for each case from among the cohort members still alive at the time of death of the corresponding case. In all, 81 deaths from overdose were identified as cases and compared with 324 controls. A high risk of overdose death occurred among subjects who left treatment compared with those still in treatment (odds ratio [OR] = 3.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.82-6.90). The OR was particularly elevated in the first 12 months after drop-out compared with those retained in treatment (OR = 7.98, 95% CI: 3.40-18.73). The risk of overdose death was higher for unmarried compared with married people (OR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.31-4.68); a higher risk of overdose death was also associated with lower educational status and younger age at first drug use, but such association was not statistically significant.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Multiple imputation method for estimating incidence of HIV infection. The Multicenter Prospective HIV Study.

BACKGROUND: CD4+ T-lymphocyte (CD4) and platelet counts are good predictors of the 'maturity' of HIV infection and can be used to impute the date of infection/seroconversion in individuals for whom this date is unknown. METHODS: Data from the Italian Seroconversion Study were used to develop a Weibull regression model for time since seroconversion as a function of the haematologic markers. The model was used to impute time since HIV infection/seroconversion in individuals from a prevalent cohort, recruited through the Lazio regional HIV surveillance system. RESULTS: The range of the imputed calendar times of infection/seroconversion in 2599 HIV prevalent individuals was 1972-1992; the earliest seroconversions occurred among injecting drug users (IDU). The peak of incidence was reached in 1986 with 340 seroconversions. Among males, the estimated median time from seroconversion to HIV diagnosis was shorter in IDU (30 months) as compared to non-IDU (36 months). This difference was smaller for females (26.6 versus 28.4 in IDU and non-IDU, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: This method permits the estimation of population-based curves of HIV incidence, using data from surveillance. The results support the hypotheses of an early spread of the epidemic among IDU in the Lazio region, and of shorter lead times in this population.

Effects of environment and passive smoking on the respiratory health of children.

A cross-sectional survey was conducted to evaluate the possible effects of outdoor air pollution and of parental smoking on the respiratory health of children. A total of 3092 primary schoolchildren living in two polluted areas (an industrial town, Civitavecchia, and the city of Rome) and in a rural area, were chosen. A self-administered questionnaire was filled in by the parents of 2929 children (94.2%). A broad spectrum of respiratory symptoms and illnesses were taken as outcome variables. The frequency of most outcome variables was higher among children from the polluted areas than among those growing up in the non-polluted area (e.g. asthma: odds ratio (OR) = 1.4 for Civitavecchia, OR = 1.3 for Rome). Exposure to any passive smoking increased OR of having night cough (OR = 1.8), snoring (OR = 1.4), and respiratory infections during the first 2 years of life (OR = 1.3). A further increase in risk was observed in children whose mothers smoked or if both parents were smokers (asthma, OR = 1.5). When the separate and joint effects of the two exposures were studied, the patterns of OR did not suggest synergism between the two factors. The study indicates that both air pollution and passive smoking cause an increase in respiratory symptoms in children, although there would seem to be no additional effects of the two exposures together.

Prevalence of HIV-1 infection in 18 year old men in Tuscany. The Toscana Collaborative Group.

BACKGROUND: The main route of transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) is sexual contact. A high proportion of young adults is exposed to this mode of transmission. Therefore it is important to assess the level of HIV-1 prevalence among 18 year olds in Italy. METHODS: Available blood samples taken at the physical examination of the military draft visit in Tuscany, Italy, have been tested in an anonymous unlinked fashion for HIV-1 infection in 1990 and 1991. RESULTS: In the 2 years, 4478 and 4959 men were tested, respectively, representing 91.7% of all subjects included in the draft lists. Prevalence of HIV-1 infection was 1.12 per 1000 (95%CI: 0.36-2.61 per 1000) in 1990 and 0.20 per 1000 (95% CI: 0.01-1.12) in 1991. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of HIV-1 infection in the 18 year old male population in Tuscany is close to or below 1/1000. Evidence of the presence of HIV-1 infection in this population should prompt the implementation of adequate prevention programmes among adolescents.