Protective effect of height on long-term survival of resectable lung cancer: a new feature of the lung cancer paradox.

INTRODUCTION: Unlike most malignancies, higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with a reduced risk of lung cancer and improved prognosis after surgery. However, it remains controversial whether height, one of determinants of BMI, is associated with survival independently of BMI and other confounders. METHODS: We extracted data on all consecutive patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer included in Epithor, the French Society of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery database, over a 16-year period. Height was analysed as a continuous variable, and then categorised into four or three categories, according to sex-specific quantiles. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the association of height with survival, adjusted for age, tobacco consumption, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), WHO performance status (WHO PS), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, extent of resection, histological type, stage of disease and centre as a random effect, as well as BMI in a further analysis. RESULTS: The study included 61 379 patients. Higher height was significantly associated with better long-term survival after adjustment for other variables (adjusted HR 0.97 per 10 cm higher height, 95% CI 0.95 to 0.99); additional adjustment for BMI resulted in an identical HR. The prognostic impact of height was further confirmed by stratifying by age, ASA class, WHO PS and histological type. When stratifying by BMI class, there was no evidence of a differential association (p=0.93). When stratifying by stage of disease, the prognostic significance of height was maintained for all stages except IIIB-IV. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that height is an independent prognostic factor of resectable lung cancer.

Survival outcomes following urgent lung transplantation in France and the USA.

INTRODUCTION: Lung graft allocation can be based on a score (Lung Allocation Score) as in the USA or sequential proposals combined with a discrete priority model as in France. We aimed to analyse the impact of allocation policy on the outcome of urgent lung transplantation (LT). METHODS: US United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) and French Cristal databases were retrospectively reviewed to analyse LT performed between 2007 and 2017. We analysed the mortality risk of urgent LT by fitting Cox models and adjusted Restricted Mean Survival Time. We then compared the outcome after urgent LT in the UNOS and Cristal groups using a propensity score matching. RESULTS: After exclusion of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/emphysema and redo LT, 3775 and 12 561 patients underwent urgent LT and non-urgent LT in the USA while 600 and 2071 patients underwent urgent LT and non-urgent LT in France. In univariate analysis, urgent LT was associated with an HR for death of 1.24 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.48) in the Cristal group and 1.12 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.19) in the UNOS group. In multivariate analysis, the effect of urgent LT was attenuated and no longer statistically significant in the Cristal database (HR 1.1 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.33)) while it remained constant and statistically significant in the UNOS database (HR 1.12 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.2)). Survival comparison of urgent LT patients between the two countries was significantly different in favour of the UNOS group (1-year survival rates 84.1% (80.9%-87.3%) vs 75.4% (71.8%-79.1%) and 3-year survival rates 66.3% (61.9%-71.1%) vs 62.7% (58.5%-67.1%), respectively). CONCLUSION: Urgent LT is associated with adverse outcome in the USA and in France with a better prognosis in the US score-based system taking post-transplant survival into account. This difference between two healthcare systems is multifactorial.

Rituximab as maintenance therapy for ANCA-associated vasculitides: pooled analysis and long-term outcome of 277 patients included in the MAINRITSAN trials.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the long-term efficacy and safety of azathioprine (AZA), 18-month fixed-schedule rituximab (RTX), 18-month tailored RTX and 36-month RTX in preventing relapses in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis who achieved a complete remission after induction therapy. Patients treated with 36-month RTX received either a fixed or a tailored regimen for the first 18 months and a fixed regimen for the last 18 months (36-month fixed/fixed RTX and 36-month tailored/fixed RTX, respectively). METHODS: The Maintenance of Remission using Rituximab in Systemic ANCA-associated Vasculitis (MAINRITSAN) trials sequentially compared: 18-month fixed-schedule RTX versus AZA (MAINRITSAN); 18-month fixed-schedule RTX versus 18-month tailored-RTX (MAINRITSAN2); and extended therapy to 36 months with four additional RTX infusions after MAINRITSAN2 versus placebo (MAINRITSAN3). Patients were then followed prospectively through month 84 and their data were pooled to analyse relapses and adverse events. The primary endpoint was relapse-free survival at month 84. RESULTS: 277 patients were enrolled and divided in 5 groups: AZA (n=58), 18-month fixed-schedule RTX (n=97), 18-month tailored-RTX (n=40), 36-month tailored/fixed RTX (n=42), 36-month fixed/fixed RTX (n=41). After adjustment for prognostic factors, 18-month fixed-schedule RTX was superior to AZA in preventing major relapses at month 84 (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.71). The 18-month tailored-RTX regimen was associated with an increased risk of major relapse compared with fixed-schedule regimen (HR 2.92, 95% CI 1.43 to 5.96). The risk of major relapse was similar between 36-month fixed/fixed and 18-month fixed-RTX (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.38 to 1.25). CONCLUSIONS: According to these results, it appears that the 84-month remission rate is higher with an 18-month fixed RTX regimen compared with AZA and 18-month tailored RTX. Also, extending RTX to 36 months does not appear to reduce the long-term relapse rate compared with the 18-month fixed RTX regimen. However, as this study was underpowered to make this comparison, further prospective studies are needed to determine the potential long-term benefits of extending treatment in these patients.

Prognostic value of automated assessment of interstitial lung disease on CT in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Stratifying the risk of death in SSc-related interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) is a challenging issue. The extent of lung fibrosis on high-resolution CT (HRCT) is often assessed by a visual semiquantitative method that lacks reliability. We aimed to assess the potential prognostic value of a deep-learning-based algorithm enabling automated quantification of ILD on HRCT in patients with SSc. METHODS: We correlated the extent of ILD with the occurrence of death during follow-up, and evaluated the additional value of ILD extent in predicting death based on a prognostic model including well-known risk factors in SSc. RESULTS: We included 318 patients with SSc, among whom 196 had ILD; the median follow-up was 94 months (interquartile range 73-111). The mortality rate was 1.6% at 2 years and 26.3% at 10 years. For each 1% increase in the baseline ILD extent (up to 30% of the lung), the risk of death at 10 years was increased by 4% (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI 1.01, 1.07, P = 0.004). We constructed a risk prediction model that showed good discrimination for 10-year mortality (c index 0.789). Adding the automated quantification of ILD significantly improved the model for 10-year survival prediction (P = 0.007). Its discrimination was only marginally improved, but it improved prediction of 2-year mortality (difference in time-dependent area under the curve 0.043, 95% CI 0.002, 0.084, P = 0.040). CONCLUSION: The deep-learning-based, computer-aided quantification of ILD extent on HRCT provides an effective tool for risk stratification in SSc. It might help identify patients at short-term risk of death.

Advantages and Challenges of Platform Trials for Disease Modifying Therapies in Parkinson's Disease.

Traditional drug development in Parkinson's disease (PD) faces significant challenges because of its protracted timeline and high costs. In response, innovative master protocols are emerging and designed to address multiple research questions within a single overarching protocol. These trials may offer advantages such as increased efficiency, agility in adding new treatment arms, and potential cost savings. However, they also present organizational, methodological, funding, regulatory, and sponsorship challenges. We review the potential of master protocols, focusing on platform trials, for disease modifying therapies in PD. These trials share a common control group and allow for the termination or addition of treatment arms during a trial with non-predetermined end. Specific issues exist for a platform trial in the PD field considering the heterogeneity of patients in terms of phenotype, genotype and staging, the confounding effects of symptomatic treatments, and the choice of outcome measures with no consensus on a non-clinical biomarker to serve as a surrogate and the slowness of PD progression. We illustrate these aspects using the examples of the main PD platform trials currently in development with each one targeting distinct goals, populations, and outcomes. Overall, platform trials hold promise in expediting the evaluation of potential therapies for PD. However, it remains to be proven whether these theoretical benefits will translate into increased production of high-quality trial data. Success also depends on the willingness of pharmaceutical companies to engage in such trials and whether this approach will ultimately hasten the identification and licensing of effective disease-modifying drugs. © 2024 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Do machine learning methods lead to similar individualized treatment rules? A comparison study on real data.

Identifying patients who benefit from a treatment is a key aspect of personalized medicine, which allows the development of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Many machine learning methods have been proposed to create such rules. However, to what extent the methods lead to similar ITRs, that is, recommending the same treatment for the same individuals is unclear. In this work, we compared 22 of the most common approaches in two randomized control trials. Two classes of methods can be distinguished. The first class of methods relies on predicting individualized treatment effects from which an ITR is derived by recommending the treatment evaluated to the individuals with a predicted benefit. In the second class, methods directly estimate the ITR without estimating individualized treatment effects. For each trial, the performance of ITRs was assessed by various metrics, and the pairwise agreement between all ITRs was also calculated. Results showed that the ITRs obtained via the different methods generally had considerable disagreements regarding the patients to be treated. A better concordance was found among akin methods. Overall, when evaluating the performance of ITRs in a validation sample, all methods produced ITRs with limited performance, suggesting a high potential for optimism. For non-parametric methods, this optimism was likely due to overfitting. The different methods do not lead to similar ITRs and are therefore not interchangeable. The choice of the method strongly influences for which patients a certain treatment is recommended, drawing some concerns about their practical use.

Estimating individualized treatment effects using an individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: One key aspect of personalized medicine is to identify individuals who benefit from an intervention. Some approaches have been developed to estimate individualized treatment effects (ITE) with a single randomized control trial (RCT) or observational data, but they are often underpowered for the ITE estimation. Using individual participant data meta-analyses (IPD-MA) might solve this problem. Few studies have investigated how to develop risk prediction models with IPD-MA, and it remains unclear how to combine those methods with approaches used for ITE estimation. In this article, we compared different approaches using both simulated and real data with binary and time-to-event outcomes to estimate the individualized treatment effects from an IPD-MA in a one-stage approach. METHODS: We compared five one-stage models: naive model (NA), random intercept (RI), stratified intercept (SI), rank-1 (R1), and fully stratified (FS), built with two different strategies, the S-learner and the T-learner constructed with a Monte Carlo simulation study in which we explored different scenarios with a binary or a time-to-event outcome. To evaluate the performance of the models, we used the c-statistic for benefit, the calibration of predictions, and the mean squared error. The different models were also used on the INDANA IPD-MA, comparing an anti-hypertensive treatment to no treatment or placebo ( N = 40 237 , 836 events). RESULTS: Simulation results showed that using the S-learner led to better ITE estimation performances for both binary and time-to-event outcomes. None of the risk models stand out and had significantly better results. For the INDANA dataset with a binary outcome, the naive and the random intercept models had the best performances. CONCLUSIONS: For the choice of the strategy, using interactions with treatment (the S-learner) is preferable. For the choice of the method, no approach is better than the other.

Risk factors for thromboembolic events in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 pneumonia in a general ward and requiring treatment with oxygen.

PURPOSE: To assess risk factors for arterial and venous thromboses (AVT) in patients hospitalized in general wards for COVID-19 pneumonia and requiring oxygen therapy. METHODS: Our study was based on three randomized studies conducted as part of the CORIMUNO-19 platform in France between 27 March and 26 April 2020. Adult inpatients with COVID-19 pneumonia requiring at least 3 l/min of oxygen but not ventilation were randomized to receive standard care alone or standard care plus biologics. Patients were followed up for 3 months, and adverse events were documented. Risk factor for AVT and bleeding was identified by analyzing clinical, laboratory, and treatment data at baseline among the 315 patients with complete datasets. A Fine and Gray model was used to take account of competing events. RESULTS: During the 3-month follow-up period, 39 AVT occurred in 38 (10%) of the 388 patients: 26 deep vein thromboses and/or pulmonary embolisms in 25 (6%) patients, and 14 arterial thrombotic events in 13 (3%) patients. A history of diabetes at inclusion [sHR (95% CI) = 2.65 (1.19-5.91), P = .017] and the C-reactive protein (CRP) level (sHR = 1 [1-1.01], P = .049) were significantly associated with an elevated risk of thrombosis. Obesity was not associated with a higher risk of thrombosis (sHR = 1.01 [0.4-2.57], P = .98). The CRP level and diabetes were not risk factors for hemorrhage. CONCLUSION: Among patients hospitalized in general wards for COVID-19 pneumonia during the first wave of the epidemic, diabetes (but not obesity) and a high CRP level were risk factors for AVT. The use of higher doses of anticoagulant in these high-risk patients could be considered.

Can efficacy and safety data from clinical trials of rituximab in RA be extrapolated? Insights from 1984 patients from the AIR-PR Registry.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether the efficacy and safety data from drug-registration trials can be extrapolated to real-life RA patients receiving RTX. METHODS: The AIR-PR registry is a French multicentre, prospective cohort of RA patients treated with RTX in a real-life setting. We compared treatment responses at 12 months and serious AEs between eligible and non-eligible patients, by retrieving the eligibility criteria of the three rituximab-registration trials. We determined critical eligibility criteria and modelled the benefit-risk ratio according to the number of fulfilled critical eligibility criteria. RESULTS: Among 1984 RA patients, only 9-12% fulfilled all eligibility criteria. Non-eligible patients had less EULAR response at 12 months (40.3% vs 46.9%, p= 0.044). Critical inclusion criteria included SJC ≥ 4, TJC ≥ 4, CRP ≥ 15 mg/l, and RF positivity. Critical exclusion criteria were age >80 years, RA-associated systemic diseases, ACR functional class IV, other DMARD than methotrexate, and prednisone > 10 mg/day. Only 20.8% fulfilled those critical eligibility criteria. During the first year, serious AEs occurred for 182 (9.2%) patients, (70.3% serious infections) and patients with ≥1 critical exclusion criterion were at higher risk (HR 3.03; 95%CI 2.25-4.06; for ≥ 3 criteria vs 0). The incremental risk-benefit ratio decreased with the number of unmet critical inclusion criteria and of fulfilled exclusion criteria. CONCLUSION: Few real-life RA patients were eligible for the drug-registration trials. Non-eligible patients had lower chance of response, and higher risk of serious AEs. Efficacy and safety data obtained from those trials may not be generalizable to RA patients receiving RTX in real-world clinical practice.

Strategies to safely rule out pulmonary embolism in COVID-19 outpatients: a multicenter retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to define a safe strategy to exclude pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 outpatients, without performing CT pulmonary angiogram (CTPA). METHODS: COVID-19 outpatients from 15 university hospitals who underwent a CTPA were retrospectively evaluated. D-Dimers, variables of the revised Geneva and Wells scores, as well as laboratory findings and clinical characteristics related to COVID-19 pneumonia, were collected. CTPA reports were reviewed for the presence of PE and the extent of COVID-19 disease. PE rule-out strategies were based solely on D-Dimer tests using different thresholds, the revised Geneva and Wells scores, and a COVID-19 PE prediction model built on our dataset were compared. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), failure rate, and efficiency were calculated. RESULTS: In total, 1369 patients were included of whom 124 were PE positive (9.1%). Failure rate and efficiency of D-Dimer > 500 µg/l were 0.9% (95%CI, 0.2-4.8%) and 10.1% (8.5-11.9%), respectively, increasing to 1.0% (0.2-5.3%) and 16.4% (14.4-18.7%), respectively, for an age-adjusted D-Dimer level. D-dimer > 1000 µg/l led to an unacceptable failure rate to 8.1% (4.4-14.5%). The best performances of the revised Geneva and Wells scores were obtained using the age-adjusted D-Dimer level. They had the same failure rate of 1.0% (0.2-5.3%) for efficiency of 16.8% (14.7-19.1%), and 16.9% (14.8-19.2%) respectively. The developed COVID-19 PE prediction model had an AUC of 0.609 (0.594-0.623) with an efficiency of 20.5% (18.4-22.8%) when its failure was set to 0.8%. CONCLUSIONS: The strategy to safely exclude PE in COVID-19 outpatients should not differ from that used in non-COVID-19 patients. The added value of the COVID-19 PE prediction model is minor. KEY POINTS: • D-dimer level remains the most important predictor of pulmonary embolism in COVID-19 patients. • The AUCs of the revised Geneva and Wells scores using an age-adjusted D-dimer threshold were 0.587 (95%CI, 0.572 to 0.603) and 0.588 (95%CI, 0.572 to 0.603). • The AUC of COVID-19-specific strategy to rule out pulmonary embolism ranged from 0.513 (95%CI: 0.503 to 0.522) to 0.609 (95%CI: 0.594 to 0.623).

Injectable long acting antiretroviral for HIV treatment and prevention: perspectives of potential users.

BACKGROUND: The use of long acting injectable (LAA) antiretroviral drugs may be an alternative option for HIV treatment and prevention. Our study focused on patient perspectives to understand which individuals, among people with HIV (PWH) and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) users, would constitute the preferential target for such treatments in terms of expectations, tolerability, adherence and quality of life. METHODS: The study consisted in one self-administrated questionnaire. Data collected included lifestyle issues, medical history, perceived benefits and inconveniences of LAA. Groups were compared using Wilcoxon rank tests or Fisher's exact test. RESULTS: In 2018, 100 PWH and 100 PrEP users were enrolled. Overall, 74% of PWH and 89% of PrEP users expressed interest for LAA with a significantly higher rate for PrEP users (p = 0.001). No characteristics were associated with acceptance of LAA in both groups in term of demographics, lifestyle or comorbidities. CONCLUSION: PWH and PrEP users expressed a high level of interest in LAA, since a large majority seems to be in favor of this new approach. Further studies should be conducted to better characterize targeted individuals.

Valproic acid as adjuvant treatment for convulsive status epilepticus: a randomised clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Generalised convulsive status epilepticus (GCSE) is a medical emergency. Guidelines recommend a stepwise strategy of benzodiazepines followed by a second-line anti-seizure medicine (ASM). However, GCSE is uncontrolled in 20-40% patients and is associated with protracted hospitalisation, disability, and mortality. The objective was to determine whether valproic acid (VPA) as complementary treatment to the stepwise strategy improves the outcomes of patients with de novo established GCSE. METHODS: This was a multicentre, double-blind, randomised controlled trial in 244 adults admitted to intensive care units for GCSE in 16 French hospitals between 2013 and 2018. Patients received standard care of benzodiazepine and a second-line ASM (except VPA). Intervention patients received a 30 mg/kg VPA loading dose, then a 1 mg/kg/h 12 h infusion, whilst the placebo group received an identical intravenous administration of 0.9% saline as a bolus and continuous infusion. Primary outcome was proportion of patients discharged from hospital by day 15. The secondary outcomes were seizure control, adverse events, and cognition at day 90. RESULTS: A total of 126 (52%) and 118 (48%) patients were included in the VPA and placebo groups. 224 (93%) and 227 (93%) received a first-line and a second-line ASM before VPA or placebo infusion. There was no between-group difference for patients hospital-discharged at day 15 [VPA, 77 (61%) versus placebo, 72 (61%), adjusted relative risk 1.04; 95% confidence interval (0.89-1.19); p = 0.58]. There were no between-group differences for secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: VPA added to the recommended strategy for adult GCSE is well tolerated but did not increase the proportion of patients hospital-discharged by day 15. TRIAL REGISTRATION NO: NCT01791868 (ClinicalTrials.gov registry), registered: 15 February 2012.

Kidney Histopathology Can Predict Kidney Function in ANCA-Associated Vasculitides with Acute Kidney Injury Treated with Plasma Exchanges.

BACKGROUND: Data from the PEXIVAS trial challenged the role of plasma exchange (PLEX) in ANCA-associated vasculitides (AAV). We aimed to describe kidney biopsy from patients with AAV treated with PLEX, evaluate whether histopathologic findings could predict kidney function, and identify which patients would most benefit from PLEX. METHODS: We performed a multicenter, retrospective study on 188 patients with AAV and AKI treated with PLEX and 237 not treated with PLEX. The primary outcome was mortality or KRT at 12 months (M12). RESULTS: No significant benefit of PLEX for the primary outcome was found. To identify patients benefitting from PLEX, we developed a model predicting the average treatment effect of PLEX for an individual depending on covariables. Using the prediction model, 223 patients had a better predicted outcome with PLEX than without PLEX, and 177 of them had >5% increased predicted probability with PLEX compared with without PLEX of being alive and free from KRT at M12, which defined the PLEX-recommended group. Risk difference for death or KRT at M12 was significantly lower with PLEX in the PLEX-recommended group (-15.9%; 95% CI, -29.4 to -2.5) compared with the PLEX not recommended group (-4.8%; 95% CI, 14.9 to 5.3). Microscopic polyangiitis, MPO-ANCA, higher serum creatinine, crescentic and sclerotic classes, and higher Brix score were more frequent in the PLEX-recommended group. An easy to use score identified patients who would benefit from PLEX. The average treatment effect of PLEX for those with recommended treatment corresponded to an absolute risk reduction for death or KRT at M12 of 24.6%. CONCLUSIONS: PLEX was not associated with a better primary outcome in the whole study population, but we identified a subset of patients who could benefit from PLEX. However, these findings must be validated before utilized in clinical decision making.

O-RADS MRI Classification of Indeterminate Adnexal Lesions: Time-Intensity Curve Analysis Is Better Than Visual Assessment.

Background The MRI Ovarian-Adnexal Reporting and Data System (O-RADS) enables risk stratification of sonographically indeterminate adnexal lesions, partly based on time-intensity curve (TIC) analysis, which may not be universally available. Purpose To compare the diagnostic accuracy of visual assessment with that of TIC assessment of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI scans to categorize adnexal lesions as benign or malignant and to evaluate the influence on the O-RADS MRI score. Materials and Methods The European Adnex MR Study Group, or EURAD, database, a prospective multicenter study of women undergoing MRI for indeterminate adnexal lesions between March 2013 and March 2018, was queried retrospectively. Women undergoing surgery for an adnexal lesion with solid tissue were included. Solid tissue enhancement relative to outer myometrium was assessed visually and with TIC. Contrast material washout was recorded. Lesions were categorized according to the O-RADS MRI score with visual and TIC assessment. Per-lesion diagnostic accuracy was calculated. Results A total of 320 lesions (207 malignant, 113 benign) in 244 women (mean age, 55.3 years ± 15.8 [standard deviation]) were analyzed. Sensitivity for malignancy was 96% (198 of 207) and 76% (157 of 207) for TIC and visual assessment, respectively. TIC was more accurate than visual assessment (86% [95% CI: 81, 90] vs 78% [95% CI: 73, 82]; P < .001) for benign lesions, predominantly because of higher specificity (95% [95% CI: 92, 98] vs 76% [95% CI: 68, 81]). A total of 21% (38 of 177) of invasive lesions were rated as low risk visually. Contrast material washout and high-risk enhancement (defined as earlier enhancement than in the myometrium) were highly specific for malignancy for both TIC (97% [95% CI: 91, 99] and 94% [95% CI: 90, 97], respectively) and visual assessment (97% [95% CI: 92, 99] and 93% [95% CI: 88, 97], respectively). O-RADS MRI score was more accurate with TIC than with visual assessment (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.87 [95% CI: 0.83, 0.90] vs 0.73 [95% CI: 0.68, 0.78]; P < .001). Conclusion Time-intensity curve analysis was more accurate than visual assessment for achieving optimal diagnostic accuracy with the Ovarian-Adnexal Reporting and Data System MRI score. Clinical trial registration no. NCT01738789 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Vargas and Woo in this issue. An earlier incorrect version appeared online. This article was corrected on March 7, 2022.

Effect of interleukin-6 receptor antagonists in critically ill adult patients with COVID-19 pneumonia: two randomised controlled trials of the CORIMUNO-19 Collaborative Group.

BACKGROUND: Our objective was to determine whether anti-interleukin (IL)-6 receptors improve outcomes of critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. We report on two cohort-embedded, investigator-initiated, multicentre, open-label, Bayesian randomised controlled clinical trials. METHODS: Patients were randomly assigned to receive either usual care (UC) or UC+tocilizumab (TCZ) 8 mg·kg-1 (TOCI-2 trial) or UC or UC+sarilumab (SARI) 200 mg (SARI-2 trial), both intravenously on day 1 and, if clinically indicated, on day 3. RESULTS: Between 31 March and 20 April 2020, 97 patients were randomised in the TOCI-2 trial, to receive UC (n=46) or UC+TCZ (n=51). At day 14, numbers of patients who did not need noninvasive ventilation (NIV) or mechanical ventilation (MV) and were alive with TCZ or UC were similar (47% versus 42%; median posterior hazard ratio (HR) 1.19, 90% credible interval (CrI) 0.71-2.04), with a posterior probability of HR >1 of 71.4%. Between 27 March and 4 April 2020, 91 patients were randomised in the SARI-2 trial, to receive UC (n=41) or UC+SARI (n=50). At day 14, numbers of patients who did not need NIV or MV and were alive with SARI or UC were similar (38% versus 33%; median posterior HR 1.05, 90% CrI 0.55-2.07), with a posterior probability of HR >1 of 54.9%. Overall, the risk of death up to day 90 was: UC+TCZ 24% versus UC 30% (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.30-1.49) and UC+SARI 29% versus UC 39% (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.35-1.58). Both TCZ and SARI increased serious infectious events. CONCLUSION: In critically ill patients with COVID-19, anti-IL-6 receptors did not significantly increase the number of patients alive without any NIV or MV by day 14.

Development and preliminary validation of the Sjögren's Tool for Assessing Response (STAR): a consensual composite score for assessing treatment effect in primary Sjögren's syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a composite responder index in primary Sjögren's syndrome (pSS): the Sjögren's Tool for Assessing Response (STAR). METHODS: To develop STAR, the NECESSITY (New clinical endpoints in primary Sjögren's syndrome: an interventional trial based on stratifying patients) consortium used data-driven methods based on nine randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and consensus techniques involving 78 experts and 20 patients. Based on reanalysis of rituximab trials and the literature, the Delphi panel identified a core set of domains with their respective outcome measures. STAR options combining these domains were proposed to the panel for selection and improvement. For each STAR option, sensitivity to change was estimated by the C-index in nine RCTs. Delphi rounds were run for selecting STAR. For the options remaining before the final vote, a meta-analysis of the RCTs was performed. RESULTS: The Delphi panel identified five core domains (systemic activity, patient symptoms, lachrymal gland function, salivary gland function and biological parameters), and 227 STAR options combining these domains were selected to be tested for sensitivity to change. After two Delphi rounds, a meta-analysis of the 20 remaining options was performed. The candidate STAR was then selected by a final vote based on metrological properties and clinical relevance. CONCLUSION: The candidate STAR is a composite responder index that includes all main disease features in a single tool and is designed for use as a primary endpoint in pSS RCTs. The rigorous and consensual development process ensures its face and content validity. The candidate STAR showed good sensitivity to change and will be prospectively validated by the NECESSITY consortium in a dedicated RCT.

Management of severe renal disease in anti-neutrophil-cytoplasmic-antibody-associated vasculitis: the place of rituximab and plasma exchange?

OBJECTIVE: The optimal induction therapy for severe glomerulonephritis of ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) is debated. We compared the efficacy of glucocorticoid and rituximab (RTX) or CYC induction therapy for severe AAV-related glomerulonephritis and evaluated the potential benefit of plasma exchange (PE) as adjunct therapy to CYC. METHODS: This retrospective, multicentre study included AAV patients with severe renal active disease (serum creatinine level ≥350 µmol/l and/or estimated glomerular filtration ratio ≤15 ml/min/1.73 m2). Propensity-score analysis was used to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2017, 153 patients with AAV-related glomerulonephritis were studied (96 [60%] men; mean [s.d.] age 63 [13.1] years): 19 (12%) were treated with RTX and 134 (88%) with CYC. Remission rates did not differ between RTX- and CYC-treated groups. Although more patients with RTX than CYC were dialysis-free at month (M) 12 (79% vs 68%), the difference was not significant after adjustment. Among 134 patients with CYC-treated glomerulonephritis, 76 (57%) also had PE. M3 and M6 remission rates were comparable for weighted CYC groups with or without PE. For weighted groups, the dialysis-free survival rate with CYC was higher with than without PE at M6 (72% vs 64%; odds ratio 2.58) and M12 (74% vs 60%; odds ratio 2.78) reaching statistical significance at M12. CONCLUSION: We could not find any difference between RTX and CYC as induction therapy for patients with severe AAV-related glomerulonephritis. In patients receiving CYC induction regimen, the addition of PE conferred short-term benefits with higher dialysis-free rate at M12.

Evaluation of the usefulness of ultrasound measurement of the lower uterine segment before delivery of women with a prior cesarean delivery: a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: The main reason to avoid trial of labor after cesarean delivery is the possibility of uterine rupture. Identifying women at risk is thus an important aim, for it would enable women at low risk to proceed with a secure planned vaginal birth. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of proposing mode of delivery based on the ultrasound measurement of the lower uterine segment thickness on a composite outcome of maternal-fetal mortality and morbidity, compared with usual management, among pregnant women with a previous cesarean delivery. STUDY DESIGN: This multicenter, randomized, controlled, parallel-group, unmasked trial was conducted at 8 referral university hospitals with a neonatal intensive care unit and enrolled 2948 women at 36 weeks 0 days to 38 weeks 6 days of gestation with 1 previous low transverse cesarean delivery and no contraindication to trial of labor. Women in the study group had their lower uterine segment thickness measured by ultrasound. Those with measurements >3.5 mm, were encouraged to choose a planned vaginal delivery, and those with measurements ≤3.5 mm, were encouraged to choose a planned repeat cesarean delivery. This measurement was not taken in the control group; their mode of delivery was decided according to standard management. The primary outcome was a composite criterion comprising maternal mortality, uterine rupture, uterine dehiscence, hysterectomy, thromboembolic disease, transfusion, endometritis, perinatal death, or neonatal encephalopathy. Prespecified secondary outcomes were repeat cesarean deliveries, elective or after trial of labor. RESULTS: The study group included 1472 women, and the control group included 1476 women. These groups were similar at baseline. The primary outcome occurred in 3.4% of the study group and 4.3% of the control group (relative risk, 0.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.54-1.13: risk difference, -1.0%; 95% confidence interval, -2.4 to 0.5). The uterine rupture rate in the study group was 0.4% and in the control group 0.9% (relative risk, 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.15-1.19). The planned cesarean delivery rate was 16.4% in the study group and 13.7% in the control group (relative risk, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.47), whereas the rates of cesarean delivery during labor were 25.1% and 25.0% (relative risk, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.14) in the study and control groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: Ultrasound measurements of lower uterine segment thickness did not result in a statistically significant lower frequency of maternal and perinatal adverse outcomes than standard management. However, because this study was underpowered, further research should be encouraged.

What level of D-dimers can safely exclude pulmonary embolism in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency department?

OBJECTIVES: To identify which level of D-dimer would allow the safe exclusion of pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted on the COVID database of Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP). COVID-19 patients who presented at the ED of AP-HP hospitals between March 1 and May 15, 2020, and had CTPA following D-dimer dosage within 48h of presentation were included. The D-dimer sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated for different D-dimer thresholds, as well as the false-negative and failure rates, and the number of CTPAs potentially avoided. RESULTS: A total of 781 patients (mean age 62.0 years, 53.8% men) with positive RT-PCR for SARS-Cov-2 were included and 60 of them (7.7%) had CTPA-confirmed PE. Their median D-dimer level was significantly higher than that of patients without PE (4,013 vs 1,198 ng·mL-1, p < 0.001). Using 500 ng·mL-1, or an age-adjusted cut-off for patients > 50 years, the sensitivity and the NPV were above 90%. With these thresholds, 17.1% and 31.5% of CTPAs could have been avoided, respectively. Four of the 178 patients who had a D-dimer below the age-adjusted cutoff had PE, leading to an acceptable failure rate of 2.2%. Using higher D-dimer cut-offs could have avoided more CTPAs, but would have lowered the sensitivity and increased the failure rate. CONCLUSION: The same D-Dimer thresholds as those validated in non-COVID outpatients should be used to safely rule out PE. KEY POINTS: • The median D-dimer level was significantly higher in COVID-19 patients with PE as compared to those without PE (4,013 ng·mL-1 vs 1,198 ng·mL-1 respectively, p < 0.001). • Using 500 ng·mL-1, or an age-adjusted D-dimer cut-off to exclude pulmonary embolism, the sensitivity and negative predictive value were above 90%. • Higher cut-offs would lead to a reduction in the sensitivity below 85% and an increase in the failure rate, especially for patients under 50 years.

Personalization of renal replacement therapy initiation: a secondary analysis of the AKIKI and IDEAL-ICU trials.

BACKGROUND: Trials comparing early and delayed strategies of renal replacement therapy in patients with severe acute kidney injury may have missed differences in survival as a result of mixing together patients at heterogeneous levels of risks. Our aim was to evaluate the heterogeneity of treatment effect on 60-day mortality from an early vs a delayed strategy across levels of risk for renal replacement therapy initiation under a delayed strategy. METHODS: We used data from the AKIKI, and IDEAL-ICU randomized controlled trials to develop a multivariable logistic regression model for renal replacement therapy initiation within 48 h after allocation to a delayed strategy. We then used an interaction with spline terms in a Cox model to estimate treatment effects across the predicted risks of RRT initiation. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1107 patients (619 and 488 in the AKIKI and IDEAL-ICU trial respectively). In the pooled sample, we found evidence for heterogeneous treatment effects (P = 0.023). Patients at an intermediate-high risk of renal replacement therapy initiation within 48 h may have benefited from an early strategy (absolute risk difference, - 14%; 95% confidence interval, - 27% to - 1%). For other patients, we found no evidence of benefit from an early strategy of renal replacement therapy initiation but a trend for harm (absolute risk difference, 8%; 95% confidence interval, - 5% to 21% in patients at intermediate-low risk). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified a clinically sound heterogeneity of treatment effect of an early vs a delayed strategy of renal replacement therapy initiation that may reflect varying degrees of kidney demand-capacity mismatch.