ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Collateral drug benefits are hitherto unknown beneficial effects that might lead to repurposing of already marketed drugs. A randomized controlled trial has found liraglutide to be non-inferior to colesevelam in reducing bile acid diarrhea. We hypothesized that this collateral drug benefit of liraglutide could have been detected using observational data. METHODS: We performed a sequence symmetry analysis (SSA). In the SSA, we indexed individuals on the date of the first prescription of GLP1-RA and restricted the analysis to all individuals who had a first prescription of bile acid sequestrants between 365 days prior to until 365 days after the index date. Sequence ratios (SR), that is, the ratio between counts of persons initiating GLP1-RA first versus last, were calculated, and 95% confidence intervals were obtained. We adjusted for prescribing trends using null-effect SR adjustment. RESULTS: We included 158 individuals, with a median age of 58 years. The trend-adjusted SR was 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.70-1.31). When stratifying on the type of GLP1-RA (liraglutide or semaglutide), we found results compatible with the previous trial (SRliraglutide 0.75, 0.51-1.10 and SRsemagltuide 1.23, 0.80-1.89). Since BAS also can be used as a cholesterol lowering drug, we repeated the main analysis while excluded statin users, resulting in a stronger association (SR 0.56, 0.33-0.96). CONCLUSION: Using the SSA methodology, we obtained estimates of a collateral drug benefit that were compatible with trial results. These results support the use of epidemiological analyses of observational data as instrument for detecting collateral drug benefits.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Hypoglycemic Agents , Humans , Middle Aged , Hypoglycemic Agents/adverse effects , Liraglutide/adverse effects , Bile Acids and Salts , Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor , Diarrhea/drug therapy , Diarrhea/epidemiologyABSTRACT
PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the conditions under which the sequence ratio (SR) obtained from a sequence symmetry analysis is an unbiased estimate of the true incidence rate ratio (IRR). METHODS: We simulated cohorts of 1 million individuals who could initiate an exposure drug and experience a very rare, rare, common, or frequent outcome of interest. The outcome rate among exposed individuals was modified by a true incidence rate ratio of 0.2, 0.5, 1.0, 2.0, and 5.0. We further evaluated scenarios where the outcome was fatal and led to immediate censoring or the outcome reduced the rate of initiation of the exposure drug. RESULTS: We found the SR to be close to unbiased for rare, common, and frequent events, except when the true IRR was 5.0 (mean SR 4.94 and 3.74 for common and frequent events). The SR was slightly biased when the outcome was very rare. When the outcome was potentially fatal, the SR was increasingly biased with an increasing probability of death. Likewise, when the outcome reduced the probability of future exposure, the SR was upwards biased. CONCLUSION: The SR is a biased estimate of the incidence rate ratio, when the true IRR is high, the outcome has a high mortality, or when the outcome reduces the probability of future exposure.
Subject(s)
Cognition , Humans , Incidence , Computer Simulation , ProbabilityABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: We aimed to quantify the risk of death following a positive test for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) among individuals with haematological malignancies, stratified by virus variants and type of malignancy. METHODS: Using the Danish nationwide registries, we conducted a population-based cohort study among individuals who received a discharge diagnosis of haematological malignancies during the 5 years prior to testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 (February 2020-April 2023). All individuals were followed for 30 days after a positive test, and overall and time-stratified case fatality risks (CFR) were estimated. RESULTS: We identified 7154 individuals with a history of haematological malignancies who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Among these, we observed 223 deaths, yielding a CFR of 3.1%. The CFR was highest at the beginning of the pandemic (10%) and gradually declined to 1.9% during the period of Omicron BA1/BA2 predominance. The highest CFR was observed among individuals with acute leukaemia (CFR 6.2%, adjusted relative risk 1.95, 95% confidence interval 1.33-2.88) compared to individuals with lymphoma (CFR 3%). CONCLUSIONS: We observed a reduction in the CFR over time, which may be attributed to new treatments, COVID-19 vaccination and the emergence of less aggressive variants.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hematologic Neoplasms , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Cohort Studies , COVID-19 Vaccines , Hematologic Neoplasms/complications , Hematologic Neoplasms/diagnosis , Hematologic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Denmark/epidemiologyABSTRACT
We report two cases of transient significantly elevated plasma cobalamin (B12) in geriatric patients acutely admitted with fever, increased C-reactive protein and X-ray verified pneumonia. Extensive diagnostic workup did not reveal kidney or liver disease, neither any signs of cancer. Furthermore, none of the patients had received therapeutic B12 supplementation prior to admission. In both cases, plasma B12 normalized at an out-patient control few months later. We were not able to identify the reason for the initial B12 elevation in any of the patients, since none of the usually recognized causes were evident. Since both patients had an infection and temporarily elevated B12, we suggest a possible inflammatory response or a vitamin B12 production by the infectious agents as the cause. Both suggestions, however, need further exploration.
Subject(s)
Pneumonia/blood , Vitamin B 12/blood , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Biomarkers/blood , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Hospitalization , Humans , MaleABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of diabetes and coexisting multimorbidity rises worldwide. Treatment of this patient group can be complex. Providing an evidence-based, coherent, and patient-centred treatment of patients with multimorbidity poses a challenge in healthcare systems, which are typically designed to deliver disease-specific care. We propose an intervention comprising multidisciplinary team conferences (MDTs) to address this issue. The MDT consists of medical specialists in five different specialities meeting to discuss multimorbid diabetes patients. This protocol describes a feasibility test of MDTs designed to coordinate care and improve quality of life for people with diabetes and multimorbidity. METHODS: A mixed-methods one-arm feasibility test of the MDT. Feasibility will be assessed through prospectively collected data. We will explore patient perspectives through patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and assess the feasibility of electronic questionnaires. Feasibility outcomes are recruitment, PRO completion, technical difficulties, impact of MDT, and doctor preparation time. During 17 months, up to 112 participants will be recruited. We will report results narratively and by the use of descriptive statistics. The collected data will form the basis for a future large-scale randomised trial. DISCUSSION: A multidisciplinary approach focusing on better management of diabetic patients suffering from multimorbidity may improve functional status, quality of life, and health outcomes. Multimorbidity and diabetes are highly prevalent in our healthcare system, but we lack a solid evidence-based approach to patient-centred care for these patients. This study represents the initial steps towards building such evidence. The concept can be efficiency tested in a randomised setting, if found feasible to intervention providers and receivers. If not, we will have gained experience on how to manage diabetes and multimorbidity as well as organisational aspects, which together may generate hypotheses for research on how to handle multimorbidity in the future. ADMINISTRATIVE INFORMATION: Protocol version: 01 TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05913726 - registration date: 21 June 2023.