Artificial Intelligence for Pre-operative Diagnosis of Malignant Thyroid Nodules Based on Sonographic Features and Cytology Category.

BACKGROUND: Current diagnosis and classification of thyroid nodules are susceptible to subjective factors. Despite widespread use of ultrasonography (USG) and fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) to assess thyroid nodules, the interpretation of results is nuanced and requires specialist endocrine surgery input. Using readily available pre-operative data, the aims of this study were to develop artificial intelligence (AI) models to classify nodules into likely benign or malignant and to compare the diagnostic performance of the models. METHODS: Patients undergoing surgery for thyroid nodules between 2010 and 2020 were recruited from our institution's database into training and testing groups. Demographics, serum TSH level, cytology, ultrasonography features and histopathology data were extracted. The training group USG images were re-reviewed by a study radiologist experienced in thyroid USG, who reported the relevant features and supplemented with data extracted from existing reports to reduce sampling bias. Testing group USG features were extracted solely from existing reports to reflect real-life practice of a non-thyroid specialist. We developed four AI models based on classification algorithms (k-Nearest Neighbour, Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes) and evaluated their diagnostic performance of thyroid malignancy. RESULTS: In the training group (n = 857), 75% were female and 27% of cases were malignant. The testing group (n = 198) consisted of 77% females and 17% malignant cases. Mean age was 54.7 ± 16.2 years for the training group and 50.1 ± 17.4 years for the testing group. Following validation with the testing group, support vector machine classifier was found to perform best in predicting final histopathology with an accuracy of 89%, sensitivity 89%, specificity 83%, F-score 94% and AUROC 0.86. CONCLUSION: We have developed a first of its kind, pilot AI model that can accurately predict malignancy in thyroid nodules using USG features, FNAC, demographics and serum TSH. There is potential for a model like this to be used as a decision support tool in under-resourced areas as well as by non-thyroid specialists.

Twenty-year perspective on blunt traumatic diaphragmatic injury in level 1 trauma centre: Early versus delayed diagnosis injury patterns and outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: Blunt traumatic diaphragmatic injury (TDI) is typically associated with severe trauma and concomitant injuries. It is a diagnostic challenge in the setting of blunt trauma and can be easily overlooked especially in the acute phase often dominated by concurrent injuries. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of patients with blunt-TDI identified from a level 1 trauma registry. Variables associated with early versus delayed diagnosis as well as non-survivor and survivor groups were collected to examine factors associated with delayed diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 155 patients were included (mean age 46 ± 20, 60.6% male). Diagnosis was made <24 h in 126 (81.3%), and >24 h in 29 (18.7%). Of the delayed diagnosis group, 14 (48%) were diagnosed >7 days. Overall, 27 (21.4%) patients had a diagnostic initial CXR and 64 (50.8%) had a diagnostic initial CT. Fifty-eight (37.4%) patients were diagnosed intraoperatively. Of the delayed diagnosis group, 22 (75.9%) had no initial signs on CXR or CT, 15 (52%) of this group had persistent pleural-effusions/elevated-hemidiaphragm leading to further investigation and diagnosis. No significant difference in survival was observed between early and delayed diagnoses, no clinically significant injury patterns to predict delayed diagnoses were noted. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of TDI is challenging. Without frank signs of herniation of abdominal contents on CXR or CT, the diagnosis is often not made on initial imaging. In patients with the evidence of blunt traumatic injury in the lower-chest/upper-abdomen, a high degree of clinical suspicion should be held and follow-up CXRs/CTs arranged.

Preoperative serum calcitonin may improve initial surgery for medullary thyroid cancer in patients with indeterminate cytology.

BACKGROUND: Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) is rare, with poorer outcomes than differentiated thyroid cancer. We aimed to identify areas for improvement in the pre-operative evaluation of patients with possible MTC in a high-volume endocrine surgery unit in accordance with current practice guidelines. We hypothesised that the selective use of serum calcitonin (sCT) as a biomarker for possible MTC could guide the extent of initial surgical management. METHODS: We recruited MTC patients between 2000 and 2020 from the Monash University Endocrine Surgery Unit database. Demographics, tumour characteristics, pre-operative evaluation, operative management, and outcomes were analysed. RESULTS: Of 1454 thyroid cancer patients, 43 (3%) had MTC. Pre-operatively, 36 (84%) patients with MTC confirmed on cytology (28, 65%), elevated sCT (6, 14%) or RET mutation (2, 4%). Of these 36 patients, 31 (86%) had optimal extent of thyroidectomy and lymph node dissection (LND). Five (14%) had less than total thyroidectomy due to nerve injury. Thirty-four patients had compartmental LND. In the 12 (27%) patients with indeterminate or non-diagnostic cytology, 5 had elevated sCT and were managed as above. None of the remaining seven had LND, thus potentially suboptimal surgery. CONCLUSION: Our findings reflect the rarity of MTC, and the challenges of pre-operative diagnosis. The addition of sCT may improve surgical planning in patients with indeterminate cytology.

Frail patients having vascular surgery during the early COVID-19 pandemic experienced high rates of adverse perioperative events and amputation.

BACKGROUND: Frailty predicts adverse perioperative outcomes and increased mortality in patients having vascular surgery. Frailty assessment is a potential tool to inform resource allocation, and shared decision-making about vascular surgery in the resource constrained COVID-19 pandemic environment. This cohort study describes the prevalence of frailty in patients having vascular surgery and the association between frailty, mortality and perioperative outcomes. METHODS: The COVID-19 Vascular Service in Australia (COVER-AU) prospective cohort study evaluates 30-day and six-month outcomes for consecutive patients having vascular surgery in 11 Australian vascular units, March-July 2020. The primary outcome was mortality, with secondary outcomes procedure-related outcomes and hospital utilization. Frailty was assessed using the nine-point visual Clinical Frailty Score, scores of 5 or more considered frail. RESULTS: Of the 917 patients enrolled, 203 were frail (22.1%). The 30 day and 6 month mortality was 2.0% (n = 20) and 5.9% (n = 35) respectively with no significant difference between frail and non-frail patients (OR 1.68, 95%CI 0.79-3.54). However, frail patients stayed longer in hospital, had more perioperative complications, and were more likely to be readmitted or have a reoperation when compared to non-frail patients. At 6 months, frail patients had twice the odds of major amputation compared to non-frail patients, after adjustment (OR 2.01; 95% CI 1.17-3.78), driven by a high rate of amputation during the period of reduced surgical activity. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight that older, frail patients, experience potentially preventable adverse outcomes and there is a need for targeted interventions to optimize care, especially in times of healthcare stress.

High prevalence of early arch reobstruction after arch repair in patients with anomalous right subclavian artery.

OBJECTIVES: Having an anomalous right subclavian artery has been quoted to be a risk factor for early and late adverse events. We wanted to determine the rate of adverse outcomes in patients who have undergone arch repair with an associated anomalous right subclavian artery. METHODS: The follow-up of 76 patients, with an anomalous right subclavian artery, who underwent arch repair at a single institution for various indications between 1981 and 2017 was reviewed. RESULTS: There were 12 patient deaths. Twenty-three patients required an aortic arch reintervention (17 surgeries, 2 of which were indicated for bronchial obstruction). At last follow-up, 8 of 54 surviving patients (15%) had arch reobstruction (peak gradient >25 mmHg or reintervention). Freedom from aortic arch obstruction at 10 and 15 years was 51% [95% confidence interval (CI) 36-65%] and 35% (95% CI 19-51%), respectively. Neither the complete resection of the adjacent ridge nor the detachment and reimplantation of the anomalous subclavian vessel seemed to have an impact on the rate of reobstruction [hazard ratio (HR) 1.6, 95% CI 0.77-3.5; P = 0.2 and HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.083-4.5; P = 0.6, respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with an anomalous right subclavian artery are at risk of arch reobstruction necessitating reintervention but long-term follow-up was unable to demonstrate the mechanism of this obstruction in patients with this anomaly.