International comparison and time trends of first kidney transplant recipient characteristics across Europe: an ERA Registry study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to provide an overview of age, sex and primary renal disease (PRD) distribution among first kidney transplant recipients across Europe. METHOD: The European Renal Association (ERA) Registry database was used to obtain data on patients aged 20 years or older receiving their first kidney transplant between 2010 and 2019 from 12 European countries. The numbers and percentages of recipients in each age, sex and PRD group were calculated by country, donor type and year. RESULTS: In total, 99 543 adults received a first kidney transplant. Overall, 23% of the recipients were 65 years or older, 36% were female, and 21% had glomerulonephritis and 15% diabetes mellitus as PRD. Compared with deceased donor kidney transplant recipients, living donor kidney transplant recipients were less often 65 years or older (13% versus 26%), more often had glomerulonephritis (25% versus 20%) and less often diabetes mellitus (8% versus 17%) as PRD. We found large international differences, which were most prominent for age and PRD and less prominent for sex. Over time, the largest change in recipient characteristics was observed for the percentage of recipients aged 65 years or older, increasing from 18% in 2010 to 28% in 2019 for all countries combined with a similar trend in most countries. CONCLUSION: We observed large differences for age and PRD distribution between recipients of living and deceased donor kidneys and between European countries. Over time, the percentage of older first kidney transplant recipients increased.

Increasing numbers and improved overall survival of patients on kidney replacement therapy over the last decade in Europe: an ERA Registry study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to describe the trends in the incidence, prevalence and survival of patients on kidney replacement therapy (KRT) for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) across Europe from 2008 to 2017. METHODS: Data from renal registries in 9 countries and 16 regions that provided individual patient data to the ERA Registry from 2008 to 2017 were included. These registries cover 34% of the general population in Europe. Crude and standardized incidence and prevalence per million population (pmp) were determined. Trends over time were studied using Joinpoint regression. Survival probabilities were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The standardized incidence of KRT was stable [annual percentage change (APC): -1.48 (-3.15; 0.21)] from 2008 (146.0 pmp) to 2011 (141.6 pmp), followed by a slight increase [APC: 1.01 (0.43; 1.60)] to 148.0 pmp in 2017, although trends in incidence varied across countries. This increase was primarily due to a rise in the incidence of KRT in men older than 65 years. Moreover, as a cause of kidney failure, diabetes mellitus is increasing. The standardized prevalence increased from 2008 (990.0 pmp) to 2017 (1166.8 pmp) [APC: 1.82 (1.75; 1.89)]. Patient survival on KRT improved in the time period 2011-13 compared with 2008-[adjusted HR: 0.94 (0.93; 0.95)]. CONCLUSION: This study showed an overall increase in the incidence and prevalence of KRT for ESKD as well as an increase in the KRT patient survival over the last decade in Europe.

Pregnancy after living kidney donation, a systematic review of the available evidence, and a review of the current guidance.

Understanding and communicating the risk of pregnancy complications post-living kidney donation is imperative as the majority of living kidney donors (LKD) are women of childbearing age. We aimed to identify all original research articles examining complications in post-donation pregnancies and compared the quality and consistency of related guidelines. We searched Embase, MEDLINE, PubMed, society webpages, and guideline registries for English-language publications published up until December 18, 2020. Ninety-three articles were screened from which 16 studies were identified, with a total of 1399 post-donation pregnancies. The outcome of interest, post-donation pregnancy complications, was not calculable, and only a narrative synthesis of the evidence was possible. The absolute risk of pre-eclampsia increased from ~1%-3% pre-donation (lower than the general population) to ~4%-10% post-donation (comparable to the general population). The risks of adverse fetal and neonatal outcomes were no different between post-donation and pre-donation pregnancies. Guidelines and consensus statements were consistent in stating the need to inform LKDs of their post-donation pregnancy risk, however, the depth and scope of this guidance were variable. While the absolute risk of pregnancy complications remains low post-donation, a concerted effort is required to better identify and individualize risk in these women, such that consent to donation is truly informed.

Inflammation in the early phase after kidney transplantation is associated with increased long-term all-cause mortality.

In the general population, low-grade inflammation has been established as a risk factor for all-cause mortality. We hypothesized that an inflammatory milieu beyond the time of recovery from the surgical trauma could be associated with increased long-term mortality in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). This cohort study included 1044 KTRs. Median follow-up time post-engraftment was 10.3 years. Inflammation was assessed 10 weeks after transplantation by different composite inflammation scores based on 21 biomarkers. We constructed an overall inflammation score and five pathway-specific inflammation scores (fibrogenesis, vascular inflammation, metabolic inflammation, growth/angiogenesis, leukocyte activation). Mortality was assessed with Cox regression models adjusted for traditional risk factors. A total of 312 (29.9%) patients died during the follow-up period. The hazard ratio (HR) for death was 4.71 (95% CI: 2.85-7.81, p < .001) for patients in the highest quartile of the overall inflammation score and HRs 2.35-2.54 (95% CI: 1.40-3.96, 1.52-4.22, p = .001) for patients in the intermediate groups. The results were persistent when the score was analyzed as a continuous variable (HR 1.046, 95% CI: 1.033-1.056, p < .001). All pathway-specific analyses showed the same pattern with HRs ranging from 1.19 to 2.70. In conclusion, we found a strong and consistent association between low-grade systemic inflammation 10 weeks after kidney transplantation and long-term mortality.

Scandiatransplant acceptable mismatch program-10 years with an effective strategy for transplanting highly sensitized patients.

In March 2009, the Scandiatransplant acceptable mismatch program (STAMP) was introduced as a strategy toward improving kidney allocation to highly sensitized patients. Patients with a transplantability score ≤ 2% are potential candidates for the program. Samples are analyzed and acceptable antigens (HLA-A, B, C, DRB1, DRB3/4/5, DQB1, DQA1, DPB1, DPA1) are defined by the local tissue typing laboratory and finally evaluated by a steering committee. In the matching algorithm, patients have the highest priority when the donor's antigens are all among the recipient's own or acceptable HLA antigens. In the period from 2009 to 2020, we have transplanted 278 highly sensitized kidney patients through the program. The graft survival of the STAMP patients was compared with 9002 deceased donor kidney-transplanted patients, transplanted in the same time period. The 10-year graft survival was 73.4% (95% CI: 60.3-90.0) for STAMP and 82.9% (95% CI: 81.6-84.3) for the reference group. (p = .2). In conclusion, the 10-year allograft survival demonstrates that the STAMP allocation algorithm is immunological safe. The program is continuously monitored and evaluated, and the introduction of matching for all HLA loci is a huge improvement to the program and demonstrate technical adaptability as well as clinical flexibility in a de-centralized organization.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate as a measurement of kidney function. / Estimert glomerulær filtrasjonshastighet som mål på nyrefunksjon.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate is an established, routine clinical measurement for kidney function, but the estimate has limitations and cannot be used in all clinical situations. Estimated glomerular filtration rate has a high coefficient of variation, and deviations in the patient's height, weight or muscle mass may result in an imprecise estimate. If an accurate measurement of kidney function is essential, glomerular filtration rate can be measured using an exogenous substance.

Effect of comorbidities on survival in patients >80 years of age at onset of renal replacement therapy: data from the ERA-EDTA Registry.

BACKGROUND: The number of elderly patients on renal replacement therapy (RRT) is increasing. The survival and quality of life of these patients may be lower if they have multiple comorbidities at the onset of RRT. The aim of this study was to explore whether the effect of comorbidities on survival is similar in elderly RRT patients compared with younger ones. METHODS: Included were 9333 patients ≥80 years of age and 48 352 patients 20-79 years of age starting RRT between 2010 and 2015 from 15 national or regional registries submitting data to the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplantation Association Registry. Patients were followed until death or the end of 2016. Survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves and the relative risk of death associated with comorbidities was assessed by Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Patients ≥80 years of age had a greater comorbidity burden than younger patients. However, relative risks of death associated with all studied comorbidities (diabetes, ischaemic heart disease, chronic heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease and malignancy) were significantly lower in elderly patients compared with younger patients. Also, the increase in absolute mortality rates associated with an increasing number of comorbidities was smaller in elderly patients. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities are common in elderly patients who enter RRT, but the risk of death associated with comorbidities is less than in younger patients. This should be taken into account when assessing the prognosis of elderly RRT patients.

Temporal trends in the quality of deceased donor kidneys and kidney transplant outcomes in Europe: an analysis by the ERA-EDTA Registry.

BACKGROUND: We investigated 10-year trends in deceased donor kidney quality expressed as the kidney donor risk index (KDRI) and subsequent effects on survival outcomes in a European transplant population. METHODS: Time trends in the crude and standardized KDRI between 2005 and 2015 by recipient age, sex, diabetic status and country were examined in 24 177 adult kidney transplant recipients in seven European countries. We determined 5-year patient and graft survival probabilities and the risk of death and graft loss by transplant cohort (Cohort 1: 2005-06, Cohort 2: 2007-08, Cohort 3: 2009-10) and KDRI quintile. RESULTS: The median crude KDRI increased by 1.3% annually, from 1.31 [interquartile range (IQR) 1.08-1.63] in 2005 to 1.47 (IQR 1.16-1.90) in 2015. This increase, i.e. lower kidney quality, was driven predominantly by increases in donor age, hypertension and donation after circulatory death. With time, the gap between the median standardized KDRI in the youngest (18-44 years) and oldest (>65 years) recipients widened. There was no difference in the median standardized KDRI by recipient sex. The median standardized KDRI was highest in Austria, the Netherlands and the Basque Country (Spain). Within each transplant cohort, the 5-year patient and graft survival probability were higher for the lowest KDRIs. There was no difference in the patient and graft survival outcomes across transplant cohorts, however, over time the survival probabilities for the highest KDRIs improved. CONCLUSIONS: The overall quality of deceased donor kidneys transplanted between 2005 and 2015 has decreased and varies between age groups and countries. Overall patient and graft outcomes remain unchanged.

The association of living donor source with patient and graft survival among kidney transplant recipients in the ERA-EDTA Registry - a retrospective study.

In this study we aimed to compare patient and graft survival of kidney transplant recipients who received a kidney from a living-related donor (LRD) or living-unrelated donor (LUD). Adult patients in the ERA-EDTA Registry who received their first kidney transplant in 1998-2017 were included. Ten-year patient and graft survival were compared between LRD and LUD transplants using Cox regression analysis. In total, 14 370 patients received a kidney from a living donor. Of those, 9212 (64.1%) grafts were from a LRD, 5063 (35.2%) from a LUD and for 95 (0.7%), the donor type was unknown. Unadjusted five-year risks of death and graft failure (including death as event) were lower for LRD transplants than for LUD grafts: 4.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.7-4.6) and 10.8% (95% CI: 10.1-11.5) versus 6.5% (95% CI: 5.7-7.4) and 12.2% (95% CI: 11.2-13.3), respectively. However, after adjusting for potential confounders, associations disappeared with hazard ratios of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.87-1.13) for patient survival and 1.03 (95% CI: 0.94-1.14) for graft survival. Unadjusted risk of death-censored graft failure was similar, but after adjustment, it was higher for LUD transplants (1.19; 95% CI: 1.04-1.35). In conclusion, patient and graft survival of LRD and LUD kidney transplant recipients was similar, whereas death-censored graft failure was higher in LUD. These findings confirm the importance of both living kidney donor types.

Intrauterine growth restriction, preterm birth and risk of end-stage renal disease during the first 50 years of life.

BACKGROUND: Low birth weight (LBW) is associated with a higher risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The relative impacts of absolute birth weight, birth weight in relation to gestational age and preterm birth are, however, uncertain. METHODS: The Medical Birth Registry of Norway has since 1967 recorded data on all births. All patients with ESRD since 1980 have been registered in the Norwegian Renal Registry. Data from these registries were linked. All individuals registered in the Medical Birth Registry were included and the development of ESRD was used as endpoint in Cox regression statistics. LBW and LBW for gestational age [small for gestational age (SGA)] according to the 10th percentiles were used as the main predictor variables. RESULTS: Of the 2 679 967 included subjects, 1181 developed ESRD. Compared with subjects without LBW, subjects with LBW had an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for ESRD of 1.61 (1.38-1.98). SGA had an aHR of 1.44 (1.22- 1.70). Further analyses showed that as compared with subjects who had none of the risk factors LBW, SGA and preterm birth, subjects with one risk factor had an aHR of 1.05 (0.84-1.31), subjects with two risk factors had an aHR of 1.67 (1.40-1.98) and subjects with three risk factors had an aHR of 2.96 (1.84-4.76). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that LBW was associated with increased risk for ESRD during the first 50 years. Our analyses add to previous knowledge showing that only subjects with at least two of the risk factors LBW, SGA or preterm birth have increased risk.

Five decades with grandparent donors: The Norwegian strategy and experience.

Living donors (LDs) are preferred over DDs for renal transplantation in children due to superior GS. Oslo University Hospital has never restricted living donation by upper age. The aim of this study was to investigate long-term outcomes using grandparents (GPLD) compared to PLD. Retrospective nationwide review in the period 1970-2017. First renal graft recipients using a GPLD were compared to PLD kidney recipients for long-term renal function and GS. 278 children (≤18 years) received a first renal transplant: 27/251 recipients with a GPLD/PLD. GPLD (median 59 (42-74) years) were significantly older than PLD (median 41 (23-65) years, (P < .001). Median DRAD was 52 (38-70) vs 28 (17-48) years, respectively. GS from GPLD and PLD had a 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival of 100%, 100%, and 90% vs 93%, 82%, and 72%, respectively (P = .6). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for gender, donor age, recipient age, and year of transplant, this finding was similar (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.34-2.84, P = .97). Five-year eGFR was 47.3 and 59.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the GPLD and PLD groups (P = .028), respectively. In this nationwide retrospective analysis, GS for pediatric renal recipients using GPLD was comparable to PLD. Renal function assessed as eGFR was lower in the GPLD group. The GPLD group was significantly older than the PLD group, but overall this did not impact transplant outcome. Based on these findings, older age alone should not exclude grandparent donations.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients With Systemic Sclerosis (Scleroderma) Requiring Renal Replacement Therapy in Europe: Results From the ERA-EDTA Registry.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Data for outcomes of patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) secondary to systemic sclerosis (scleroderma) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) are limited. We examined the incidence and prevalence of ESRD due to scleroderma in Europe and the outcomes among these patients following initiation of RRT. STUDY DESIGN: Registry study of incidence and prevalence and a matched cohort study of clinical outcomes. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients represented in any of 19 renal registries that provided data to the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Registry between 2002 and 2013. PREDICTOR: Scleroderma as the identified cause of ESRD. OUTCOMES: Incidence and prevalence of ESRD from scleroderma. Recovery from RRT dependence, patient survival after ESRD, and graft survival after kidney transplantation. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Incidence and prevalence were calculated using population data from the European Union and standardized to population characteristics in 2005. Patient and graft survival were compared with 2 age- and sex-matched control groups without scleroderma: (1) diabetes mellitus as the cause of ESRD and (2) conditions other than diabetes mellitus as the cause of ESRD. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression. RESULTS: 342 patients with scleroderma (0.14% of all incident RRT patients) were included. Between 2002 and 2013, the range of adjusted annual incidence and prevalence rates of RRT for ESRD due to scleroderma were 0.11 to 0.26 and 0.73 to 0.95 per million population, respectively. Recovery of independent kidney function was greatest in the scleroderma group (7.6% vs 0.7% in diabetes mellitus and 2.0% in other primary kidney diseases control group patients, both P<0.001), though time required to achieve recovery was longer. The 5-year survival probability from day 91 of RRT among patients with scleroderma was 38.9% (95% CI, 32.0%-45.8%), whereas 5-year posttransplantation patient survival and 5-year allograft survival were 88.2% (95% CI, 75.3%-94.6%) and 72.4% (95% CI, 55.0%-84.0%), respectively. Adjusted mortality from day 91 on RRT was higher among patients with scleroderma than observed in both control groups (HRs of 1.25 [95% CI, 1.05-1.48] and 2.00 [95% CI, 1.69-2.39]). In contrast, patient and graft survival after kidney transplantation did not differ between patients with scleroderma and control groups. LIMITATIONS: No data for extrarenal manifestations, treatment, or recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Survival of patients with scleroderma who receive dialysis for more than 90 days was worse than for those with other causes of ESRD. Patient survival after transplantation was similar to that observed among patients with ESRD due to other conditions. Patients with scleroderma had a higher rate of recovery from RRT dependence than controls.

High tacrolimus clearance - a risk factor for development of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in the transplanted kidney: a retrospective single-center cohort study.

Patients with high tacrolimus clearance are more likely to experience transient under-immunosuppression in case of a missed or delayed dose. We wanted to investigate the association between estimated tacrolimus clearance and development of graft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) in kidney transplant recipients. Associations between estimated tacrolimus clearance [daily tacrolimus dose (mg)/trough concentration (µg/l)] and changes in IFTA biopsy scores from week 7 to 1-year post-transplantation were investigated. Data from 504 patients transplanted between 2009 and 2013 with paired protocol biopsies (7 weeks + 1-year post-transplant) were included. There were no differences in baseline biopsy scores (7 weeks) in patients with different estimated tacrolimus clearance. Increasing tacrolimus clearance was significantly associated with increased ci + ct score of ≥2 at 1 year, odds ratio of 1.67 (95% CI; 1.11-2.51). In patients without fibrosis (ci + ct ≤ 1) at 7 weeks (n = 233), increasing tacrolimus clearance was associated with development of de novo IFTA (i + t ≤ 1 and ci + ct ≥ 2) at 1 year, odds ratio of 2.01 (95% CI; 1.18-3.50) after adjusting for confounders. High tacrolimus clearance was significantly associated with development of IFTA the first year following renal transplantation.

Evaluation of tools for annual capture of adherence to immunosuppressive medications after renal transplantation - a single-centre open prospective trial.

Annual assessment of adherence would strengthen long-term outcome assessments from registry data. The objective of this study was to evaluate tools suitable for annual routine capture of adherence data in renal transplant recipients. A single-centre open prospective trial included 295 renal transplant recipients on tacrolimus. Two-thirds of the patients were included 4 weeks post-transplant, randomized 1:1 to intensive or single-point adherence assessment in the early phase and 1-year post-transplant. One-third were included 1-year post-transplant during a cross-sectional investigation. Adherence was assessed using multiple methods: The "Basel Assessment of Adherence to Immunosuppressive Medication Scale" (BAASIS© ) questionnaire was used to assess self-reported adherence. The treating clinician scored patient's adherence and tacrolimus trough-concentration variability was calculated. In the analyses, the data from the different tools were dichotomized (adherent/nonadherent). The BAASIS© overall response rate was over 80%. Intensive BAASIS© assessment early after transplantation increased the chance of capturing a nonadherence event, but did not influence the 1-year adherence prevalence. The adherence tools generally captured different populations. Combining the tools, the nonadherence prevalence at 1 year was 38%. The different tools identified to a large degree different patients as nonadherent. Combining these tools is feasible for annual capture of adherence status.

International comparison of trends in patients commencing renal replacement therapy by primary renal disease.

AIM: To examine international time trends in the incidence of renal replacement therapy (RRT) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) by primary renal disease (PRD). METHODS: Renal registries reporting on patients starting RRT per million population for ESRD by PRD from 2005 to 2014, were identified by internet search and literature review. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of the time trends was computed using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: There was a significant decrease in the incidence of RRT for ESRD due to diabetes mellitus (DM) in Europe (AAPC = -0.9; 95%CI -1.3; -0.5) and to hypertension/renal vascular disease (HT/RVD) in Australia (AAPC = -1.8; 95%CI -3.3; -0.3), Canada (AAPC = -2.9; 95%CI -4.4; -1.5) and Europe (AAPC = -1.1; 95%CI -2.1; -0.0). A decrease or stabilization was observed for glomerulonephritis in all regions and for autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) in all regions except for Malaysia and the Republic of Korea. An increase of 5.2-16.3% was observed for DM, HT/RVD and ADPKD in Malaysia and the Republic of Korea. CONCLUSION: Large international differences exist in the trends in incidence of RRT by primary renal disease. Mapping of these international trends is the first step in defining the causes and successful preventative measures of CKD.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate in stable older kidney transplant recipients-are present algorithms valid? A national cross-sectional cohort study.

Several equations have been developed for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but none were developed based on data from elderly kidney transplant recipients (KTR). The primary aim of this study was to evaluate different creatinine-based equations in stable elderly KTR. A national cross-sectional study was performed using data from 263 consecutive kidney transplant recipients 60 years or older who performed a routine GFR measurement one year after engraftment. GFR was measured by iohexol clearance calculation based on two samples. eGFR was calculated from a range of different creatinine-based equations using information obtained at the time of GFR measurement. Bias, precision, and accuracy were evaluated for each equation. All equations apart from Nankivell had accuracy (P30) > 80%. The BIS1, FAS, LMRCR , and Cockcroft & Gault equations in recipients older than 70 years and the FAS, LMRCR , and MDRD in recipients 60-69 years old had nonsignificant bias. The CKD-EPI had significant bias in both groups. If one should choose a single equation for follow-up of individual CKD progression in all recipients ≥ 60 years, the FAS or LMRCR equations are probably the best alternatives.

Access to kidney transplantation in European adults aged 75-84 years and related outcomes: an analysis of the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association Registry.

To what extent access to, and allocation of kidney transplants and survival outcomes in patients aged ≥75 years have changed over time in Europe is unclear. We included patients aged ≥75-84 years (termed older adults) receiving renal replacement therapy in thirteen European countries between 2005 and 2014. Country differences and time trends in access to, and allocation of kidney transplants were examined. Survival outcomes were determined by Cox regression analyses. Between 2005 and 2014, 1392 older adult patients received 1406 transplants. Access to kidney transplantation varied from ~0% (Slovenia, Greece and Denmark) to ~4% (Norway and various Spanish regions) of all older adult dialysis patients, and overall increased from 0.3% (2005) to 0.9% (2014). Allocation of kidney transplants to older adults overall increased from 0.8% (2005) to 3.2% (2014). Seven-year unadjusted patient and graft survival probabilities were 49.1% (95% confidence interval, 95% CI: 43.6; 54.4) and 41.7% (95% CI: 36.5; 46.8), respectively, with a temporal trend towards improved survival outcomes. In conclusion, in the European dialysis population aged ≥75-84 years access to kidney transplantation is low, and allocation of kidney transplants remains a rare event. Though both are increasing with time and vary considerably between countries. The trend towards improved survival outcomes is encouraging. This information can aid informed decision-making regarding treatment options.

Lifetime risk of renal replacement therapy in Europe: a population-based study using data from the ERA-EDTA Registry.

Background: Upcoming KDIGO guidelines for the evaluation of living kidney donors are expected to move towards a personal risk-based evaluation of potential donors. We present the age and sex-specific lifetime risk of renal replacement therapy (RRT) for end-stage renal disease in 10 European countries. Methods: We defined lifetime risk of RRT as the cumulative incidence of RRT up to age 90 years. We obtained RRT incidence rates per million population by 5-year age groups and sex using data from the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Registry, and used these to estimate the cumulative incidence of RRT, adjusting for competing mortality risk. Results: Lifetime risk of RRT varied from 0.44% to 2.05% at age 20 years and from 0.17% to 1.59% at age 70 years across countries, and was twice as high in men as in women. Lifetime RRT risk decreased with age, ranging from an average of 0.77% to 0.44% in 20- to- 70-year-old women, and from 1.45% to 0.96% in 20- to- 70-year-old men. The lifetime risk of RRT increased slightly over the past decade, more so in men than in women. However, it appears to have stabilized or even decreased slightly in more recent years. Conclusions: The lifetime risk of RRT decreased with age, was lower in women as compared with men of equal age and varied considerably throughout Europe. Given the substantial differences in lifetime risk of RRT between the USA and Europe, country-specific estimates should be used in the evaluation and communication of the risk of RRT for potential living kidney donors.

Total inflammation in early protocol kidney graft biopsies does not predict progression of fibrosis at one year post-transplant.

INTRODUCTION: There is an uncertainty whether total inflammation in early protocol kidney graft biopsies is associated with fibrosis progression. We investigated whether total inflammation, both in fibrotic and non-fibrotic areas, at week 6 would predict fibrosis progression at one yr post-transplant. METHODS: We included 156 single adult ABO compatible kidney recipients with adequate week 6 and one yr transplant protocol biopsies (312 biopsies). Biopsies were scored according to the current Banff criteria. In addition, fibrosis and inflammation in fibrotic and non-fibrotic areas were scored in a 10-grade semi-quantitative eyeballing system from 0% to 100%. RESULTS: Fibrosis increased significantly from week 6 to one yr both by the 10-grade scoring system from 0.69 ± 1.07 to 1.45 ± 1.86, (mean ± SD), p < 0.001 and by Banff interstitial fibrosis (ci) scoring 0.81 ± 0.65 to 1.13 ± 0.87, p < 0.001. The 10-grade scoring system detected a larger proportion of fibrosis progressors than the Banff scoring 40.4% vs. 35.5%, p < 0.001. No significant positive association was found between inflammation at week 6 and progression of fibrosis in either of the scoring systems. CONCLUSIONS: Total inflammation in kidney transplant biopsies at week 6 did not predict progression of fibrosis at one yr post-transplant.

Mortality risk in post-transplantation diabetes mellitus based on glucose and HbA1c diagnostic criteria.

Current diagnostic criteria for post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) are either fasting plasma glucose ≥7.0 mmol/l (≥126 mg/dl) or postchallenge plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/l (≥200 mg/dl) 2 h after glucose administration [oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) criterion]. In this retrospective cohort study of 1632 renal transplant recipients (RTRs) without known diabetes mellitus at the time of transplantation, we estimated mortality hazard ratios for patients diagnosed with PTDM by either conventional glucose criteria or the proposed glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) criterion [HbA1c ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol)]. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 311 patients died. Compared with nondiabetic patients and after adjustment for confounders, patients diagnosed with PTDM based on chronic hyperglycaemia early after transplantation (manifest PTDM) or by the OGTT criterion at 10 weeks post-transplant suffered a higher mortality risk (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.06-2.38, P = 0.02 and HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.04-2.38, P = 0.03, respectively). In contrast, patients diagnosed with PTDM by the HbA1c criterion at 10 weeks or between 10 weeks and 1 year post-transplant were not associated with mortality (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.61-1.51, P = 0.86 and 1.58, 95% CI 0.74-3.36, P = 0.24 respectively). After adjustment for confounders and competing risks, only patients with manifest PTDM had a significantly higher cardiovascular mortality risk (subdistributional HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.19-4.47, P < 0.001). Since many cases with PTDM were only identified by the OGTT, we recommend monitoring fasting plasma glucose early after renal transplantation followed by an OGTT at 2-3 months post-transplant in patients without overt diabetes mellitus.