ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Differences in clinical presentation of acute ischemic stroke between men and women may affect prehospital identification of anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (aLVO). We assessed sex differences in diagnostic performance of 8 prehospital scales to detect aLVO. METHODS: We analyzed pooled individual patient data from 2 prospective cohort studies (LPSS [Leiden Prehospital Stroke Study] and PRESTO [Prehospital Triage of Patients With Suspected Stroke Study]) conducted in the Netherlands between 2018 and 2019, including consecutive patients ≥18 years suspected of acute stroke who presented within 6 hours after symptom onset. Ambulance paramedics assessed clinical items from 8 prehospital aLVO detection scales: Los Angeles Motor Scale, Rapid Arterial Occlusion Evaluation, Cincinnati Stroke Triage Assessment Tool, Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale, Prehospital Acute Stroke Severity, gaze-face-arm-speech-time, Conveniently Grasped Field Assessment Stroke Triage, and Face-Arm-Speech-Time Plus Severe Arm or Leg Motor Deficit. We assessed the diagnostic performance of these scales for identifying aLVO at prespecified cut points for men and women. RESULTS: Of 2358 patients with suspected stroke (median age, 73 years; 47% women), 231 (10%) had aLVO (100/1114 [9%] women and 131/1244 [11%] men). The area under the curve of the scales ranged from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.65-0.75) to 0.77 (95% CI, 0.73-0.82) in women versus 0.69 (95% CI, 0.64-0.73) to 0.75 (95% CI, 0.71-0.79) in men. Positive predictive values ranged from 0.23 (95% CI, 0.20-0.27) to 0.29 (95% CI, 0.26-0.31) in women versus 0.29 (95% CI, 0.24-0.33) to 0.37 (95% CI, 0.32-0.43) in men. Negative predictive values were similar (0.95 [95% CI, 0.94-0.96] to 0.98 [95% CI, 0.97-0.98] in women versus 0.94 [95% CI, 0.93-0.95] to 0.96 [95% CI, 0.94-0.97] in men). Sensitivity of the scales was slightly higher in women than in men (0.53 [95% CI, 0.43-0.63] to 0.76 [95% CI, 0.68-0.84] versus 0.49 [95% CI, 0.40-0.57] to 0.63 [95% CI, 0.55-0.73]), whereas specificity was lower (0.79 [95% CI, 0.76-0.81] to 0.87 [95% CI, 0.84-0.89] versus 0.82 [95% CI, 0.79-0.84] to 0.90 [95% CI, 0.88-0.91]). Rapid arterial occlusion evaluation showed the highest positive predictive values in both sexes (0.29 in women and 0.37 in men), reflecting the different event rates. CONCLUSIONS: aLVO scales show similar diagnostic performance in both sexes. The rapid arterial occlusion evaluation scale may help optimize prehospital transport decision-making in men as well as in women with suspected stroke.
Subject(s)
Arterial Occlusive Diseases , Brain Ischemia , Emergency Medical Services , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Female , Male , Aged , Sex Characteristics , Prospective Studies , Stroke/diagnosis , Triage , Arterial Occlusive Diseases/diagnosis , Brain Ischemia/diagnosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Endovascular treatment for anterior circulation ischaemic stroke is effective and safe within a 6 h window. MR CLEAN-LATE aimed to assess efficacy and safety of endovascular treatment for patients treated in the late window (6-24 h from symptom onset or last seen well) selected on the basis of the presence of collateral flow on CT angiography (CTA). METHODS: MR CLEAN-LATE was a multicentre, open-label, blinded-endpoint, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done in 18 stroke intervention centres in the Netherlands. Patients aged 18 years or older with ischaemic stroke, presenting in the late window with an anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion and collateral flow on CTA, and a neurological deficit score of at least 2 on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale were included. Patients who were eligible for late-window endovascular treatment were treated according to national guidelines (based on clinical and perfusion imaging criteria derived from the DAWN and DEFUSE-3 trials) and excluded from MR CLEAN-LATE enrolment. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive endovascular treatment or no endovascular treatment (control), in addition to best medical treatment. Randomisation was web based, with block sizes ranging from eight to 20, and stratified by centre. The primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days after randomisation. Safety outcomes included all-cause mortality at 90 days after randomisation and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage. All randomly assigned patients who provided deferred consent or died before consent could be obtained comprised the modified intention-to-treat population, in which the primary and safety outcomes were assessed. Analyses were adjusted for predefined confounders. Treatment effect was estimated with ordinal logistic regression and reported as an adjusted common odds ratio (OR) with a 95% CI. This trial was registered with the ISRCTN, ISRCTN19922220. FINDINGS: Between Feb 2, 2018, and Jan 27, 2022, 535 patients were randomly assigned, and 502 (94%) patients provided deferred consent or died before consent was obtained (255 in the endovascular treatment group and 247 in the control group; 261 [52%] females). The median mRS score at 90 days was lower in the endovascular treatment group than in the control group (3 [IQR 2-5] vs 4 [2-6]), and we observed a shift towards better outcomes on the mRS for the endovascular treatment group (adjusted common OR 1·67 [95% CI 1·20-2·32]). All-cause mortality did not differ significantly between groups (62 [24%] of 255 patients vs 74 [30%] of 247 patients; adjusted OR 0·72 [95% CI 0·44-1·18]). Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage occurred more often in the endovascular treatment group than in the control group (17 [7%] vs four [2%]; adjusted OR 4·59 [95% CI 1·49-14·10]). INTERPRETATION: In this study, endovascular treatment was efficacious and safe for patients with ischaemic stroke caused by an anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion who presented 6-24 h from onset or last seen well, and who were selected on the basis of the presence of collateral flow on CTA. Selection of patients for endovascular treatment in the late window could be primarily based on the presence of collateral flow. FUNDING: Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium, Dutch Heart Foundation, Stryker, Medtronic, Cerenovus, Top Sector Life Sciences & Health, and the Netherlands Brain Foundation.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Female , Humans , Male , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/drug therapy , Brain Ischemia/diagnostic imaging , Brain Ischemia/surgery , Computed Tomography Angiography , Netherlands , Intracranial Hemorrhages/etiology , Ischemic Stroke/complications , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The value of administering intravenous alteplase before endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke has not been studied extensively, particularly in non-Asian populations. METHODS: We performed an open-label, multicenter, randomized trial in Europe involving patients with stroke who presented directly to a hospital that was capable of providing EVT and who were eligible for intravenous alteplase and EVT. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive EVT alone or intravenous alteplase followed by EVT (the standard of care). The primary end point was functional outcome on the modified Rankin scale (range, 0 [no disability] to 6 [death]) at 90 days. We assessed the superiority of EVT alone over alteplase plus EVT, as well as noninferiority by a margin of 0.8 for the lower boundary of the 95% confidence interval for the odds ratio of the two trial groups. Death from any cause and symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage were the main safety end points. RESULTS: The analysis included 539 patients. The median score on the modified Rankin scale at 90 days was 3 (interquartile range, 2 to 5) with EVT alone and 2 (interquartile range, 2 to 5) with alteplase plus EVT. The adjusted common odds ratio was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62 to 1.15; P = 0.28), which showed neither superiority nor noninferiority of EVT alone. Mortality was 20.5% with EVT alone and 15.8% with alteplase plus EVT (adjusted odds ratio, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.84 to 2.30). Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage occurred in 5.9% and 5.3% of the patients in the respective groups (adjusted odds ratio, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.60 to 2.81). CONCLUSIONS: In a randomized trial involving European patients, EVT alone was neither superior nor noninferior to intravenous alteplase followed by EVT with regard to disability outcome at 90 days after stroke. The incidence of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage was similar in the two groups. (Funded by the Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium and others; MR CLEAN-NO IV ISRCTN number, ISRCTN80619088.).
Subject(s)
Ischemic Stroke/drug therapy , Thrombectomy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Combined Modality Therapy , Endovascular Procedures , Europe , Female , Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use , Humans , Infusions, Intravenous , Male , Middle Aged , Severity of Illness Index , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/therapeutic use , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Prediction models are often externally validated with data from a single study or cohort. However, the interpretation of performance estimates obtained with single-study external validation is not as straightforward as assumed. We aimed to illustrate this by conducting a large number of external validations of a prediction model for functional outcome in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients. METHODS: We used data from the Subarachnoid Hemorrhage International Trialists (SAHIT) data repository (n = 11,931, 14 studies) to refit the SAHIT model for predicting a dichotomous functional outcome (favorable versus unfavorable), with the (extended) Glasgow Outcome Scale or modified Rankin Scale score, at a minimum of three months after discharge. We performed leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation to mimic the process of multiple single-study external validations. Each study represented one cluster. In each of these validations, we assessed discrimination with Harrell's c-statistic and calibration with calibration plots, the intercepts, and the slopes. We used random effects meta-analysis to obtain the (reference) mean performance estimates and between-study heterogeneity (I2-statistic). The influence of case-mix variation on discriminative performance was assessed with the model-based c-statistic and we fitted a "membership model" to obtain a gross estimate of transportability. RESULTS: Across 14 single-study external validations, model performance was highly variable. The mean c-statistic was 0.74 (95%CI 0.70-0.78, range 0.52-0.84, I2 = 0.92), the mean intercept was -0.06 (95%CI -0.37-0.24, range -1.40-0.75, I2 = 0.97), and the mean slope was 0.96 (95%CI 0.78-1.13, range 0.53-1.31, I2 = 0.90). The decrease in discriminative performance was attributable to case-mix variation, between-study heterogeneity, or a combination of both. Incidentally, we observed poor generalizability or transportability of the model. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate two potential pitfalls in the interpretation of model performance with single-study external validation. With single-study external validation. (1) model performance is highly variable and depends on the choice of validation data and (2) no insight is provided into generalizability or transportability of the model that is needed to guide local implementation. As such, a single single-study external validation can easily be misinterpreted and lead to a false appreciation of the clinical prediction model. Cross-validation is better equipped to address these pitfalls.
Subject(s)
Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/physiopathology , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/diagnosis , Prognosis , Female , Reproducibility of Results , Glasgow Outcome Scale , Male , Models, Statistical , Middle AgedABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage suitable for endovascular coiling and neurosurgical clip-reconstruction, the aneurysm treatment decision-making process could be improved by considering heterogeneity of treatment effect and durability of treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a tool to predict individualized treatment benefit of endovascular coiling compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction. METHODS: We used randomized data (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial, n = 2143) to develop models to predict 2-month functional outcome and to predict time-to-rebleed-or-retreatment. We modeled for heterogeneity of treatment effect by adding interaction terms of treatment with prespecified predictors and with baseline risk of the outcome. We predicted outcome with both treatments and calculated absolute treatment benefit. We described the patient characteristics of patients with ≥ 5% point difference in the predicted probability of favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Score 0-2) and of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. Model performance was expressed with the c-statistic and calibration plots. We performed bootstrapping and leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation and pooled cluster-specific c-statistics with random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: The pooled c-statistics were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.69-0.75) for the prediction of 2-month favorable functional outcome and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.63-0.71) for prediction of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. We found no significant interaction between predictors and treatment. The average predicted benefit in favorable functional outcome was 6% (95% CI: 3-10%) in favor of coiling, but 11% (95% CI: 9-13%) for no rebleed or retreatment in favor of clip-reconstruction. 134 patients (6%), young and in favorable clinical condition, had negligible functional outcome benefit of coiling but had a ≥ 5% point benefit of clip-reconstruction in terms of durability of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: We show that young patients in favorable clinical condition and without extensive vasospasm have a negligible benefit in functional outcome of endovascular coiling - compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction - while at the same time having a substantially lower probability of retreatment or rebleeding from neurosurgical clip-reconstruction - compared to endovascular coiling. The SHARP prediction tool ( https://sharpmodels.shinyapps.io/sharpmodels/ ) could support and incentivize a multidisciplinary discussion about aneurysm treatment decision-making by providing individualized treatment benefit estimates.
Subject(s)
Aneurysm, Ruptured , Embolization, Therapeutic , Endovascular Procedures , Intracranial Aneurysm , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/surgery , Intracranial Aneurysm/complications , Intracranial Aneurysm/surgery , Treatment Outcome , Aneurysm, Ruptured/complications , Aneurysm, Ruptured/surgeryABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) is a severe complication of reperfusion therapy for ischemic stroke. Multiple models have been developed to predict sICH or intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) after reperfusion therapy. We provide an overview of published models and validate their ability to predict sICH in patients treated with endovascular treatment in daily clinical practice. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search to identify models either developed or validated to predict sICH or ICH after reperfusion therapy (intravenous thrombolysis and/or endovascular treatment) for ischemic stroke. Models were externally validated in the MR CLEAN Registry (n=3180; Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands). The primary outcome was sICH according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. Model performance was evaluated with discrimination (c-statistic, ideally 1; a c-statistic below 0.7 is considered poor in discrimination) and calibration (slope, ideally 1, and intercept, ideally 0). RESULTS: We included 39 studies describing 40 models. The most frequently used predictors were baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS; n=35), age (n=22), and glucose level (n=22). In the MR CLEAN Registry, sICH occurred in 188/3180 (5.9%) patients. Discrimination ranged from 0.51 (SPAN-100 [Stroke Prognostication Using Age and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale]) to 0.61 (SITS-SICH [Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage] and STARTING-SICH [STARTING Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage]). Best calibrated models were IST-3 (intercept, -0.15 [95% CI, -0.01 to -0.31]; slope, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.50-1.09]), SITS-SICH (intercept, 0.15 [95% CI, -0.01 to 0.30]; slope, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.38-0.87]), and STARTING-SICH (intercept, -0.03 [95% CI, -0.19 to 0.12]; slope, 0.56 [95% CI, 0.35-0.76]). CONCLUSIONS: The investigated models to predict sICH or ICH discriminate poorly between patients with a low and high risk of sICH after endovascular treatment in daily clinical practice and are, therefore, not clinically useful for this patient population.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Endovascular Procedures , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Tissue Plasminogen Activator/therapeutic use , Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use , Ischemic Stroke/drug therapy , Risk Factors , Stroke/epidemiology , Intracranial Hemorrhages/epidemiology , Cerebral Hemorrhage/complications , Treatment Outcome , Brain Ischemia/drug therapy , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effectsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The Heidelberg Bleeding Classification, developed for computed tomography, is also frequently used to classify intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) on magnetic resonance imaging. Additionally, the presence of any ICH is frequently used as (safety) outcome measure in clinical stroke trials that evaluate acute interventions. We assessed the interobserver agreement on the presence of any ICH and the type of ICH according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification on magnetic resonance imaging in patients treated with reperfusion therapy. METHODS: We used 300 magnetic resonance imaging scans including susceptibility-weighted imaging or T2*-weighted gradient echo imaging of ischemic stroke patients within 1 week after reperfusion therapy. Six observers, blinded to clinical characteristics except for suspected location of the infarction, independently rated ICH according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification in random pairs. Percent agreement and Cohen's kappa (κ) were estimated for the presence of any ICH (yes/no), and for agreement on the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification class 1 and 2. For the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification class 1 and 2, weighted κ was estimated to take the degree of disagreement into account. RESULTS: In 297 of 300 scans, the quality of scans was sufficient to score ICH. Observers agreed on the presence or absence of any ICH in 264 of 297 scans (88.9%; κ 0.78 [95% CI, 0.71-0.85]). There was agreement on the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification class 1 and 2 and no ICH in class 1 and 2 in 226 of 297 scans (76.1%; κ 0.63 [95% CI, 0.56-0.69]; weighted κ 0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.93]). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of any ICH can be reliably scored on magnetic resonance imaging and can, therefore, be used as (safety) outcome measure in clinical stroke trials that evaluate acute interventions. Agreement of ICH types according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification is substantial and disagreements are small.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Brain Ischemia/diagnostic imaging , Brain Ischemia/therapy , Observer Variation , Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnostic imaging , Intracranial Hemorrhages/pathology , Stroke/therapy , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Cerebral HemorrhageABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: It is unknown if ambulance paramedics adequately assess neurological deficits used for prehospital stroke scales to detect anterior large-vessel occlusions. We aimed to compare prehospital assessment of these stroke-related deficits by paramedics with in-hospital assessment by physicians. METHODS: We used data from 2 prospective cohort studies: the LPSS (Leiden Prehospital Stroke Study) and PRESTO study (Prehospital Triage of Patients With Suspected Stroke). In both studies, paramedics scored 9 neurological deficits in stroke code patients in the field. Trained physicians scored the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at hospital presentation. Patients with transient ischemic attack were excluded because of the transient nature of symptoms. Spearman rank correlation coefficient (rs) was used to assess correlation between the total prehospital assessment score, defined as the sum of all prehospital items, and the total NIHSS score. Correlation, sensitivity and specificity were calculated for each prehospital item with the corresponding NIHSS item as reference. RESULTS: We included 2850 stroke code patients. Of these, 1528 had ischemic stroke, 243 intracranial hemorrhage, and 1079 stroke mimics. Correlation between the total prehospital assessment score and NIHSS score was strong (rs=0.70 [95% CI, 0.68-0.72]). Concerning individual items, prehospital assessment of arm (rs=0.68) and leg (rs=0.64) motor function correlated strongest with corresponding NIHSS items, and had highest sensitivity (arm 95%, leg 93%) and moderate specificity (arm 71%, leg 70%). Neglect (rs=0.31), abnormal speech (rs=0.50), and gaze deviation (rs=0.51) had weakest correlations. Neglect and gaze deviation had lowest sensitivity (52% and 66%) but high specificity (84% and 89%), while abnormal speech had high sensitivity (85%) but lowest specificity (65%). CONCLUSIONS: The overall prehospital assessment of stroke code patients correlates strongly with in-hospital assessment. Prehospital assessment of neglect, abnormal speech, and gaze deviation differed most from in-hospital assessment. Focused training on these deficits may improve prehospital triage.
Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Physicians , Stroke , Humans , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Paramedics , Prospective Studies , Triage/methods , HospitalsABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The CYP2C19 enzyme converts clopidogrel into an active metabolite. Carriers of CYP2C19 loss-of-function (LOF) variants with a history of ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) using clopidogrel may have a higher risk of recurrent stroke. To study the implications of genetic CYP2C19 heterogeneity in treatment of cerebral ischemia, knowledge about the prevalence of CYP2C19 LOF variants within the population is important. We investigated the frequency of CYP2C19 LOF variants in patients with non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or TIA in the Dutch population. METHODS: We performed a single-center observational study with a cross-sectional design in a Dutch thrombectomy-capable stroke center. We included all patients presenting with non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or TIA. We determined the frequency of CYP2C19 LOF variants in the full cohort. Additionally, we compared the frequency of CYP2C19 LOF variants in two subgroups: patients with first-ever non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or TIA versus patients with recurrent ischemic stroke or TIA using clopidogrel because of a history of ischemic stroke or TIA. RESULTS: We enrolled 410 patients between January 1, 2021, and July 1, 2021. 109 (26.6%) patients were carriers of CYP2C19 LOF variants. We found no difference in the frequency of CYP2C19 LOF variants between patients with first-ever ischemic stroke or TIA versus patients with recurrent ischemic stroke or TIA using clopidogrel (25.9 vs. 31.9%, respectively, p = 0.31). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: About a quarter of patients with non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke or TIA in the Dutch population carry a CYP2C19 LOF variant. This is lower than estimates found in studies with Asian populations but similar to estimates found among Caucasian patients in other parts of the world.
Subject(s)
Cytochrome P-450 CYP2C19 , Gene Frequency , Ischemic Attack, Transient , Ischemic Stroke , Loss of Function Mutation , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Clopidogrel/therapeutic use , Cross-Sectional Studies , Cytochrome P-450 CYP2C19/genetics , Genotype , Ischemic Attack, Transient/drug therapy , Ischemic Attack, Transient/epidemiology , Ischemic Attack, Transient/genetics , Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology , Ischemic Stroke/genetics , Loss of Function Mutation/genetics , Netherlands/epidemiologyABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) in the general population is 3%. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) can be prevented by screening for UIAs followed by monitoring and, if needed, preventive neurosurgical or endovascular treatment of identified UIAs. Therefore, we developed a diagnostic model for presence of UIAs in the general population to help identify persons at high risk of having UIAs. METHODS: Between 2005-2015, participants from the population-based Rotterdam Study underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging at 1.5 Tesla, on which presence of incidental UIAs was evaluated. We developed a multivariable logistic regression model using candidate diagnostic markers that were selected based on the literature, including sex, age, hypertension, smoking, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, alcohol, and their interactions. We corrected for overfitting using bootstrapping. Model performance was assessed with discrimination, calibration, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). RESULTS: 5835 persons were included (55.0% women, mean age 64.9 ± 10.9 years) with a 2.2% UIA prevalence. Sex, age, hypertension, smoking, diabetes, and interactions of sex with age, hypertension, and smoking were independent diagnostic markers. The resulting model had a c-statistic of 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 - 0.68) and 56% sensitivity, 52% specificity, 98% PPV, and 3% NPV for UIA presence at a cut-off value of 4%. Because of interactions with sex, additional models for men and women separately were developed. The model for men had a c-statistic of 0.70 (95% CI 0.62 - 0.78) with age, hypertension, and smoking as diagnostic markers and comparable additional performance values as for the full model. The model for women had a c-statistic of 0.58 (95% CI 0.52 - 0.63) with smoking as the only diagnostic marker. CONCLUSION: Our diagnostic model had insufficient performance to help identify persons at high risk of having UIAs in the general population. Rather, it provides insight in risk factors contributing to UIA risk and shows that these may be in part sex-specific.
ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) b0 may be able to substitute T2*-weighted gradient echo (GRE) or susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI) in case of comparable detection of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), thereby reducing MRI examination time. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of DWI b0 compared to T2*GRE or SWI for detection of ICH after reperfusion therapy for ischemic stroke. METHODS: We pooled 300 follow-up MRI scans acquired within 1 week after reperfusion therapy. Six neuroradiologists each rated DWI images (b0 and b1000; b0 as index test) of 100 patients and, after a minimum of 4 weeks, T2*GRE or SWI images (reference standard) paired with DWI images of the same patients. Readers assessed the presence of ICH (yes/no) and type of ICH according to the Heidelberg Bleeding Classification. We determined the sensitivity and specificity of DWI b0 for detection of any ICH, and the sensitivity for detection of hemorrhagic infarction (HI1 & HI2) and parenchymal hematoma (PH1 & PH2). RESULTS: We analyzed 277 scans of ischemic stroke patients with complete image series and sufficient image quality (median age 65 years [interquartile range, 54-75], 158 [57%] men). For detection of any ICH on DWI b0, the sensitivity was 62% (95% CI: 50-76) and specificity 96% (95% CI: 93-99). The sensitivity of DWI b0 was 52% (95% CI: 28-68) for detection of hemorrhagic infarction and 84% (95% CI: 70-92) for parenchymal hematoma. CONCLUSION: DWI b0 is inferior for detection of ICH compared to T2*GRE/SWI, especially for smaller and more subtle hemorrhages. Follow-up MRI protocols should include T2*GRE/SWI for detection of ICH after reperfusion therapy.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Direct transportation to a thrombectomy-capable intervention center is beneficial for patients with ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion (LVO), but can delay intravenous thrombolytics (IVT). The aim of this modeling study was to estimate the effect of prehospital triage strategies on treatment delays and overtriage in different regions. METHODS: We used data from two prospective cohort studies in the Netherlands: the Leiden Prehospital Stroke Study and the PRESTO study. We included stroke code patients within 6 h from symptom onset. We modeled outcomes of Rapid Arterial oCclusion Evaluation (RACE) scale triage and triage with a personalized decision tool, using drip-and-ship as reference. Main outcomes were overtriage (stroke code patients incorrectly triaged to an intervention center), reduced delay to endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), and delay to IVT. RESULTS: We included 1798 stroke code patients from four ambulance regions. Per region, overtriage ranged from 1-13% (RACE triage) and 3-15% (personalized tool). Reduction of delay to EVT varied by region between 24 ± 5 min (n = 6) to 78 ± 3 (n = 2), while IVT delay increased with 5 (n = 5) to 15 min (n = 21) for non-LVO patients. The personalized tool reduced delay to EVT for more patients (25 ± 4 min [n = 8] to 49 ± 13 [n = 5]), while delaying IVT with 3-14 min (8-24 patients). In region C, most EVT patients were treated faster (reduction of delay to EVT 31 ± 6 min (n = 35), with RACE triage and the personalized tool. CONCLUSIONS: In this modeling study, we showed that prehospital triage reduced time to EVT without disproportionate IVT delay, compared to a drip-and-ship strategy. The effect of triage strategies and the associated overtriage varied between regions. Implementation of prehospital triage should therefore be considered on a regional level.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Emergency Medical Services , Stroke , Humans , Triage , Brain Ischemia/diagnosis , Prospective Studies , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/drug therapy , Fibrinolytic Agents/therapeutic use , Thrombolytic Therapy , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) are case-mix adjusted mortality rates per hospital and are used to evaluate quality of care. However, acute care is increasingly organized on a regional level, with more severe patients admitted to specialized hospitals. We hypothesize that the current case-mix adjustment insufficiently captures differences in case-mix between non-specialized and specialized hospitals. We aim to improve the SMR by adding proxies of disease severity to the model and by calculating a regional SMR (RSMR) for acute cerebrovascular disease (CVD) and myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS: We used data from the Dutch National Basic Registration of Hospital Care. We selected all admissions from 2016 to 2018. SMRs and RSMRs were calculated by dividing the observed in-hospital mortality by the expected in-hospital mortality. The expected in-hospital mortality was calculated using logistic regression with adjustment for age, sex, socioeconomic status, severity of main diagnosis, urgency of admission, Charlson comorbidity index, place of residence before admission, month/year of admission, and in-hospital mortality as outcome. RESULTS: The IQR of hospital SMRs of CVD was 0.85-1.10, median 0.94, with higher SMRs for specialized hospitals (median 1.12, IQR 1.00-1.28, 71%-SMR > 1) than for non-specialized hospitals (median 0.92, IQR 0.82-1.07, 32%-SMR > 1). The IQR of RSMRs was 0.92-1.09, median 1.00. The IQR of hospital SMRs of MI was 0.76-1.14, median 0.98, with higher SMRs for specialized hospitals (median 1.00, IQR 0.89-1.25, 50%-SMR > 1 versus median 0.94, IQR 0.74-1.11, 44%-SMR > 1). The IQR of RSMRs was 0.90-1.08, median 1.00. Adjustment for proxies of disease severity mostly led to lower SMRs of specialized hospitals. CONCLUSION: SMRs of acute regionally organized diseases do not only measure differences in quality of care between hospitals, but merely measure differences in case-mix between hospitals. Although the addition of proxies of disease severity improves the model to calculate SMRs, real disease severity scores would be preferred. However, such scores are not available in administrative data. As a consequence, the usefulness of the current SMR as quality indicator is very limited. RSMRs are potentially more useful, since they fit regional organization and might be a more valid representation of quality of care.
Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction , Humans , Hospital Mortality , Hospitals , Hospitals, Special , HospitalizationABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Digital technologies such as mobile apps and robotics have the potential to involve stroke patients better in the care process and to promote self-management. However, barriers exist that constrain the adoption and acceptance of technology in clinical practice. Examples of barriers are privacy concerns, challenges regarding usability, and the perception that there is no need for health-related technology. To address these barriers, co-design can be used to enable patients to reflect on their experiences of a service and to tailor digital technologies to the needs and preferences of end users regarding content and usability. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to explore the perspectives of stroke patients toward how digital health technology could support self-management regarding health and well-being, as well as integrated stroke care. METHODS: A qualitative study was conducted to understand patient perspectives. Data were collected in co-design sessions during the ValueCare study. Patients from a Dutch hospital who experienced an ischemic stroke (n=36) within the past 18 months were invited to participate. Data collection took place between December 2020 and April 2021 via one-to-one telephone interviews. A short self-report questionnaire was used to collect data on sociodemographics, disease-specific information, and technology use. All interviews were audio-taped and transcribed verbatim. The interview data were analyzed using a thematic approach. RESULTS: Patients held mixed attitudes toward digital health technologies. Some patients viewed digital technology as a convenient product or service, while others expressed no desire or need to use technology for self-management or care. Digital features suggested by stroke patients included (1) information about the causes of stroke, medication, prognosis, and follow-up care; (2) an online library with information regarding stroke-related health and care issues; (3) a personal health record by which patients can retrieve and manage their own health information; and (4) online rehabilitation support to empower patients to exercise at home. Regarding the user interface of future digital health technology, patients emphasized the need for easy-to-use and simple designs. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke patients mentioned credible health information, an online library with stroke-related health and care information, a personal health record, and online rehabilitation support as the main features to include in future digital health technologies. We recommend that developers and designers of digital health for stroke care listen to the "voice of the stroke patients" regarding both functionality and the characteristics of the interface. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.1186/s12877-022-03333-8.
Subject(s)
Mobile Applications , Self-Management , Stroke , Humans , Digital Technology , Qualitative Research , Stroke/therapyABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: The beneficial effect of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) on clinical outcome is assumed to be caused by reduced follow-up infarct volume (FIV), which could serve as an early imaging endpoint. However, the effect of EVT on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was poorly explained by FIV. NIHSS at 5-7 days could be a more specific measure of the effect of reperfusion therapy, as opposed to the mRS at 3 months. Therefore, we aimed to assess to what extent the effect of EVT on NIHSS is explained by FIV. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used data from the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands; n = 500) trial to evaluate the mediating role of FIV within 1 week in the relationship between EVT and baseline adjusted NIHSS at 5-7 days. RESULTS: Larger FIVs were associated with higher NIHSS after treatment (adjusted beta-coefficient (aß) 0.47;95%CI 0.39-0.55). EVT was associated with smaller FIVs (ß -0.35;95%CI-0.64 to -0.06) and lower NIHSS (ß -0.63;95%CI-0.90 to -0.35). After adjustment for FIV, the effect of EVT on NIHSS decreased (aß -0.47;95%CI-0.72 to -0.23), indicating that effect of EVT on neurologic deficit is partially mediated by FIV. Reduction of FIV explained 34% (95%CI;5%-93%) of the effect of EVT on the NIHSS at 5-7 days. CONCLUSIONS: Larger FIV was significantly associated with larger neurological deficits after treatment. Reduced infarct volume after EVT explains one third of treatment benefit in terms of neurological deficit. This suggests that FIV is of interest as an imaging biomarker of stroke treatment effect.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Endovascular Procedures , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Humans , Ischemic Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Ischemic Stroke/therapy , Brain Ischemia/diagnostic imaging , Brain Ischemia/therapy , Treatment Outcome , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Stroke/therapy , Thrombectomy/adverse effects , Thrombectomy/methods , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Endovascular Procedures/methods , InfarctionABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Prediction models for outcome of patients with acute ischemic stroke who will undergo endovascular treatment have been developed to improve patient management. The aim of the current study is to provide an overview of preintervention models for functional outcome after endovascular treatment and to validate these models with data from daily clinical practice. METHODS: We systematically searched within Medline, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science, to include prediction models. Models identified from the search were validated in the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) registry, which includes all patients treated with endovascular treatment within 6.5 hours after stroke onset in the Netherlands between March 2014 and November 2017. Predictive performance was evaluated according to discrimination (area under the curve) and calibration (slope and intercept of the calibration curve). Good functional outcome was defined as a score of 0-2 or 0-3 on the modified Rankin Scale depending on the model. RESULTS: After screening 3468 publications, 19 models were included in this validation. Variables included in the models mainly addressed clinical and imaging characteristics at baseline. In the validation cohort of 3156 patients, discriminative performance ranged from 0.61 (SPAN-100 [Stroke Prognostication Using Age and NIH Stroke Scale]) to 0.80 (MR PREDICTS). Best-calibrated models were THRIVE (The Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events; intercept -0.06 [95% CI, -0.14 to 0.02]; slope 0.84 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95]), THRIVE-c (intercept 0.08 [95% CI, -0.02 to 0.17]; slope 0.71 [95% CI, 0.65-0.77]), Stroke Checkerboard score (intercept -0.05 [95% CI, -0.13 to 0.03]; slope 0.97 [95% CI, 0.88-1.08]), and MR PREDICTS (intercept 0.43 [95% CI, 0.33-0.52]; slope 0.93 [95% CI, 0.85-1.01]). CONCLUSIONS: The THRIVE-c score and MR PREDICTS both showed a good combination of discrimination and calibration and were, therefore, superior in predicting functional outcome for patients with ischemic stroke after endovascular treatment within 6.5 hours. Since models used different predictors and several models had relatively good predictive performance, the decision on which model to use in practice may also depend on simplicity of the model, data availability, and the comparability of the population and setting.
Subject(s)
Endovascular Procedures , Ischemic Stroke/surgery , Models, Cardiovascular , Registries , Humans , Ischemic Stroke/physiopathology , Predictive Value of TestsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: The usefulness of prehospital scales for identifying anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (aLVO) in patients with suspected stroke may vary depending on the severity of their presentation. The performance of these scales across the spectrum of deficit severity is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of 8 prehospital scales for identifying aLVO across the spectrum of deficit severity. METHODS: We used data from the PRESTO study (Prehospital Triage of Patients With Suspected Stroke Symptoms), a prospective observational study comparing prehospital stroke scales in detecting aLVO in suspected stroke patients. We used the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, assessed in-hospital, as a proxy for the Clinical Global Impression of stroke severity during prehospital assessment by paramedics. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and the difference in aLVO probabilities with a positive or negative prehospital scale test (ΔPaLVO) for each scale for mild (NIHSS 0-4), intermediate (NIHSS 5-9), moderate (NIHSS 10-14), and severe deficits (NIHSS≥15). RESULTS: Among 1033 patients with suspected stroke, 119 (11.5%) had an aLVO, of whom 19 (16.0%) had mild, 25 (21.0%) had intermediate, 30 (25.2%) had moderate, and 45 (37.8%) had severe deficits. The scales had low sensitivity and positive predictive value in patients with mild-intermediate deficits, and poor specificity, negative predictive value, and accuracy with moderate-severe deficits. Positive results achieved the highest ΔPaLVO in patients with mild deficits. Negative results achieved the highest ΔPaLVO with severe deficits, but the probability of aLVO with a negative result in the severe range was higher than with a positive test in the mild range. CONCLUSIONS: Commonly-used prehospital stroke scales show variable performance across the range of deficit severity. Probability of aLVO remains high with a negative test in severely affected patients. Studies reporting prehospital stroke scale performance should be appraised in the context of the NIHSS distribution of their samples.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Emergency Medical Services , Stroke , Humans , Triage/methods , Sensitivity and Specificity , Stroke/diagnosis , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Severity of Illness Index , Brain Ischemia/diagnosisABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Blinded outcome assessment in trials with prospective randomized open blinded end point design is challenging. Unblinding can result in misclassified outcomes and biased treatment effect estimates. An outcome adjudication committee assures blinded outcome assessment, but the added value for trials with prospective randomized open blinded end point design and subjective outcomes is unknown. We aimed to assess the degree of misclassification of modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores by a central assessor and its impact on treatment effect estimates in a stroke trial with prospective randomized open blinded end point design. METHODS: We used data from the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands). The primary outcome was the mRS at 90 days. Standardized, algorithm-based telephone interviews to assess the mRS were conducted from a central location by an experienced research nurse, unaware but not formally blinded to treatment allocation (central assessor). Masked reports of these interviews were adjudicated by a blinded outcome committee. Misclassification was defined as an incorrect classification of the mRS by the central assessor. The effect of endovascular treatment on the mRS was assessed with multivariable ordinal logistic regression. RESULTS: In MR CLEAN, 53/500 (10.6%) of the mRS scores were misclassified. The degree and direction of misclassification did not differ between treatment arms (P=0.59). Benefit of endovascular treatment was shown on the mRS when scored by the central assessor (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.16-2.21]) and the outcome adjudication committee (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.21-2.20]). CONCLUSIONS: Misclassification by the central assessor was small, randomly distributed over treatment arms, and did not affect treatment effect estimates. This study suggests that the added value of a blinded outcome adjudication committee is limited in a stroke trial with prospective randomized open blinded end point design applying standardized, algorithm-based outcome assessment by a central assessor, who is unaware but not formally blinded to treatment allocation. Registration: URL: https://www.isrctn.com; Unique identifier: ISRCTN10888758.
Subject(s)
Advisory Committees/standards , Brain Ischemia/classification , Ischemic Stroke/classification , Aged , Brain Ischemia/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Netherlands/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Single-Blind Method , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) is a serious complication after endovascular treatment for ischemic stroke. We aimed to identify determinants of its occurrence and location. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from the Dutch MR CLEAN trial (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) and MR CLEAN registry. We included adult patients with a large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation who underwent endovascular treatment within 6.5 hours of stroke onset. We used univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify determinants of overall sICH occurrence, sICH within infarcted brain tissue, and sICH outside infarcted brain tissue. RESULTS: SICH occurred in 203 (6%) of 3313 included patients and was located within infarcted brain tissue in 50 (25%), outside infarcted brain tissue in 23 (11%), and both within and outside infarcted brain tissue in 116 (57%) patients. In 14 patients (7%), data on location were missing. Prior antiplatelet use, baseline systolic blood pressure, baseline plasma glucose levels, post-endovascular treatment modified treatment in cerebral ischemia score, and duration of procedure were associated with all outcome parameters. In addition, determinants of sICH within infarcted brain tissue included history of myocardial infarction (adjusted odds ratio, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.06-2.56]) and poor collateral score (adjusted odds ratio, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.02-1.95]), whereas determinants of sICH outside infarcted brain tissue included level of occlusion on computed tomography angiography (internal carotid artery or internal carotid artery terminus compared with M1: adjusted odds ratio, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.16-2.78]). CONCLUSIONS: Several factors, some potentially modifiable, are associated with sICH occurrence. Further studies should investigate whether modification of baseline systolic blood pressure or plasma glucose level could reduce the risk of sICH. In addition, determinants differ per location of sICH, supporting the hypothesis of varying underlying mechanisms. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.isrctn.com/; Unique identifier: ISRCTN10888758.
Subject(s)
Brain Ischemia , Endovascular Procedures , Ischemic Stroke , Stroke , Blood Glucose , Brain Ischemia/diagnostic imaging , Brain Ischemia/surgery , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Endovascular Procedures/methods , Humans , Intracranial Hemorrhages/complications , Intracranial Hemorrhages/diagnostic imaging , Intracranial Hemorrhages/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/surgery , Thrombectomy/adverse effects , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: Diagnosing autoimmune encephalitis (AIE) is difficult in patients with less fulminant diseases such as epilepsy. However, recognition is important, as patients require immunotherapy. This study aims to identify antibodies in patients with focal epilepsy of unknown etiology, and to create a score to preselect patients requiring testing. METHODS: In this prospective, multicenter cohort study, adults with focal epilepsy of unknown etiology, without recognized AIE, were included, between December 2014 and December 2017, and followed for 1 year. Serum, and if available cerebrospinal fluid, were analyzed using different laboratory techniques. The ACES score was created using factors favoring an autoimmune etiology of seizures (AES), as determined by multivariate logistic regression. The model was externally validated and evaluated using the Concordance (C) statistic. RESULTS: We included 582 patients, with median epilepsy duration of 8 years (interquartile range = 2-18). Twenty patients (3.4%) had AES, of whom 3 had anti-leucine-rich glioma inactivated 1, 3 had anti-contactin-associated protein-like 2, 1 had anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor, and 13 had anti-glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay concentrations >10,000IU/ml). Risk factors for AES were temporal magnetic resonance imaging hyperintensities (odds ratio [OR] = 255.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 19.6-3332.2, p < 0.0001), autoimmune diseases (OR = 13.31, 95% CI = 3.1-56.6, p = 0.0005), behavioral changes (OR 12.3, 95% CI = 3.2-49.9, p = 0.0003), autonomic symptoms (OR = 13.3, 95% CI = 3.1-56.6, p = 0.0005), cognitive symptoms (OR = 30.6, 95% CI = 2.4-382.7, p = 0.009), and speech problems (OR = 9.6, 95% CI = 2.0-46.7, p = 0.005). The internally validated C statistic was 0.95, and 0.92 in the validation cohort (n = 128). Assigning each factor 1 point, an antibodies contributing to focal epilepsy signs and symptoms (ACES) score ≥ 2 had a sensitivity of 100% to detect AES, and a specificity of 84.9%. INTERPRETATION: Specific signs point toward AES in focal epilepsy of unknown etiology. The ACES score (cutoff ≥ 2) is useful to select patients requiring antibody testing. ANN NEUROL 2021;89:698-710.