Laparoscopic cholecystectomy critical view of safety (LC-CVS): a multi-national validation study of an objective, procedure-specific assessment using video-based assessment (VBA).

BACKGROUND: A novel 6-item objective, procedure-specific assessment for laparoscopic cholecystectomy incorporating the critical view of safety (LC-CVS OPSA) was developed to support trainee formative and summative assessments. The LC-CVS OPSA included two retraction items (fundus and infundibulum retraction) and four CVS items (hepatocystic triangle visualization, gallbladder-liver separation, cystic artery identification, and cystic duct identification). The scoring rubric for retraction consisted of poor (frequently outside of defined range), adequate (minimally outside of defined range) and excellent (consistently inside defined range) and for CVS items were "poor-unsafe", "adequate-safe", or "excellent-safe". METHODS: A multi-national consortium of 12 expert LC surgeons applied the OPSA-LC CVS to 35 unique LC videos and one duplicate video. Primary outcome measure was inter-rater reliability as measured by Gwet's AC2, a weighted measure that adjusts for scales with high probability of random agreement. Analysis of the inter-rater reliability was conducted on a collapsed dichotomous scoring rubric of "poor-unsafe" vs. "adequate/excellent-safe". RESULTS: Inter-rater reliability was high for all six items ranging from 0.76 (hepatocystic triangle visualization) to 0.86 (cystic duct identification). Intra-rater reliability for the single duplicate video was substantially higher across the six items ranging from 0.91 to 1.00. CONCLUSIONS: The novel 6-item OPSA LC CVS demonstrated high inter-rater reliability when tested with a multi-national consortium of LC expert surgeons. This brief instrument focused on safe surgical practice was designed to support the implementation of entrustable professional activities into busy surgical training programs. Instrument use coupled with video-based assessments creates novel datasets with the potential for artificial intelligence development including computer vision to drive assessment automation.

A multi-national, video-based qualitative study to refine training guidelines for assigning an "unsafe" score in laparoscopic cholecystectomy critical view of safety.

BACKGROUND: The critical view of safety (CVS) was incorporated into a novel 6-item objective procedure-specific assessment for laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC-CVS OPSA) to enhance focus on safe completion of surgical tasks and advance the American Board of Surgery's entrustable professional activities (EPAs) initiative. To enhance instrument development, a feasibility study was performed to elucidate expert surgeon perspectives regarding "safe" vs. "unsafe" practice. METHODS: A multi-national consortium of 11 expert LC surgeons were asked to apply the LC-CVS OPSA to ten LC videos of varying surgical difficulty using a "safe" vs. "unsafe" scale. Raters were asked to provide written rationale for all "unsafe" ratings and invited to provide additional feedback regarding instrument clarity. A qualitative analysis was performed on written responses to extract major themes. RESULTS: Of the 660 ratings, 238 were scored as "unsafe" with substantial variation in distribution across tasks and raters. Analysis of the comments revealed three major categories of "unsafe" ratings: (a) inability to achieve the critical view of safety (intended outcome), (b) safe task completion but less than optimal surgical technique, and (c) safe task completion but risk for potential future complication. Analysis of reviewer comments also identified the potential for safe surgical practice even when CVS was not achieved, either due to unusual anatomy or severe pathology preventing safe visualization. Based upon findings, modifications to the instructions to raters for the LC-CVS OPSA were incorporated to enhance instrument reliability. CONCLUSIONS: A safety-based LC-CVS OPSA has the potential to significantly improve surgical training by incorporating CVS formally into learner assessment. This study documents the perspectives of expert biliary tract surgeons regarding clear identification and documentation of unsafe surgical practice for LC-CVS and enables the development of training materials to improve instrument reliability. Learnings from the study have been incorporated into rater instructions to enhance instrument reliability.

Preoperative hemoglobin levels, extended resections and the body mass index influence survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

PURPOSE: The negative influence of perioperative transfusion of packed red blood cells on the prognosis of various malignancies is the focus of recent research interest. The development of a propensity score for the prediction of perioperative transfusion of packed red blood cells (pRBCs) and the identification of independent risk factors for survival, that can either be known prior to or during surgery in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic head cancer are the two objectives of this study. METHODS: Logistic regression analyses and Cox regression modeling were used to identify independent risk factors for perioperative transfusion of pRBCs and to determine individual risk factors for patient survival. A total of 101 adult patients who underwent surgery between 01/01/2016 and 12/31/2020 were investigated in a single-center retrospective analysis. RESULTS: Preoperative hemoglobin levels (OR: 0.472, 95%-CI: 0.312-0.663, p < 0.001) and extended resections (OR: 4.720, 95%-CI: 1.819-13.296, p = 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for perioperative transfusion of pRBCs, enabling the prediction of pRBC transfusion with high sensitivity and specificity (AUROC: 0.790). The logit of the derived propensity model for the transfusion of pRBCs (HR: 9.231, 95%CI: 3.083-28.118, p < 0.001) and preoperative Body Mass Index (BMI) (HR, 0.925; 95%-CI: 0.870-0.981, p = 0.008) were independent risk factors for survival. CONCLUSIONS: Low preoperative hemoglobin levels, low BMI values, and extended resections are significant risk factors for survival that can be known and thus potentially be influenced prior to or during surgery. Patient blood management programs and prehabilitation programs should strive to increase preoperative hemoglobin levels and improve preoperative malnutrition.

Proposal of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Graded Morbidity after Liver Resection for Colorectal Metastases.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic models to predict individual early postoperative morbidity after liver resection for colorectal liver metastases (CLM) are not available but could enable optimized preoperative patient selection and postoperative surveillance for patients at greater risk of complications. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic model for the prediction of morbidity after liver resection graded according to Dindo. METHODS: N = 679 cases of primary liver resection for CLM were retrospectively analyzed using univariable and multivariable ordinal regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis was utilised to assess the sensitivity and specificity of predictions and their potential usefulness as prognostic models. Internal validation of the score was performed using data derived from 129 patients. RESULTS: The final multivariable regression model revealed lower preoperative levels, a greater number of units of intraoperatively transfused packed red blood cells (pRBCs), longer duration of surgery, and larger metastases to independently influence postoperatively graded morbidity. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the multivariable regression model is able to predict each individual grade of postoperative morbidity with high sensitivity and specificity. The areas under the receiver operating curves (AUROC) for all of these predictions of individual grades of morbidity were > 0.700, indicating potential usefulness as a predictive model. Moreover, a consistent concordance in Grades I, II, IV, and V according to the classification proposed by Dindo et al. was observed in the internal validation. CONCLUSION: This study proposes a prognostic model for the prediction of each grade of postoperative morbidity after liver resection for CLM with high sensitivity and specificity using pre- and intraoperatively available variables.

Low-dose steroids do make a difference: Independent risk factors for impaired linear growth after pediatric liver transplantation.

Growth failure persists after pediatric liver transplantation and impairs pediatric development and quality of life. Steroid dose minimization attempts to prevent growth impairment, yet long-term assessment in pediatric liver recipients is lacking. We identified risk factors for impaired linear growth after pediatric liver transplantation, with a special focus on low-dose steroid therapy. This is a single-center retrospective analysis of height development in pediatric liver recipients up to 5 years after transplantation. Risk factors for impaired linear growth (height Z-scores≤-2) at transplantation, after two (n = 347) and five years (n = 210) were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. At transplantation, growth retardation was found in 52.2%, predominantly younger children. Height Z-scores improved from -2.23 to -1.40 (SE 0.11; 95%CI 0.74-1.16; p < .001) two years and -1.19 (SE 0.07;0.08-0.34; p = .017) five years post-transplant. Multivariate analysis showed previous growth impairment (OR=1.484; 95%-CI=1.107-1.988; p = .004), graft loss (49.006;2.232-1076; p = .006), and prolonged cold ischemic time (1.034;1.007-1.061; p = .011) as main long-term risk factors; steroid use was a significant predictor of 2-year but not 5-year growth impairment. In univariate analysis, impaired growth after 2 and 5 years was associated with continuous low-dose (2.5 mg/m2 BSA) steroid therapy (OR=3.323;1.578-6.996; p < .001/OR=8.352;1.089-64.07; p = .006)and graft loss (OR=2.513;1.395-4.525; p = .003/OR=3.378;1.815-7.576; p < .001). Furthermore, indication and era of transplantation affected growth. Our results show significant catch-up growth after pediatric liver transplantation, yet growth failure strongly affects particularly young liver recipients. The main influenceable long-term risk factor is pre-existing growth failure, emphasizing the importance of early aggressive nutritional therapy. Moreover, low-dose steroid therapy might impair growth and should therefore be critically questioned in long-term immunosuppression.

'As a surgeon, I am obliged to every single patient': evaluation of focus group discussions with transplantation physicians on the allocation of donor organs.

INTRODUCTION: Organ transplantation is the last resort for many patients. The ubiquitous shortage of suitable donor organs raises the question of best-justifiable allocation worldwide. This study investigates how physicians would allocate donor organs. METHODS: Focus group discussions with a total of 12 transplant surgeons and 2 other transplant-related physicians were held at the annual conference of the German Transplantation Society (Oct 2019). Three groups discussed aspects of 'egalitarianism', 'effectiveness/benefit', 'medical urgency', 'own fault', 'medical background' and 'socio-demographic status'. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: It was observed that physicians often find themselves confronted with conflicts between (a) trying to advocate for their individual patients versus (b) seeing the systemic perspective and understanding the global impact of their decisions at the same time. The groups agreed that due to the current shortage of donor organs in the German allocation system, transplanted patients are often too sick at the point of transplantation and that a better balance between urgency and effectiveness is needed. The aspects of 'effectiveness' and 'urgency' were identified as the most challenging issues and thus were the main focus of debate. The dilemmas physicians find themselves in become increasingly severe, the larger the shortage of suitable donor organs is.

Public preferences for the allocation of donor organs for transplantation: Focus group discussions.

BACKGROUND: Deceased donor organs are scarce resources because of a large supply-and-demand mismatch. This scarcity leads to an ethical dilemma, forcing priority-setting of how these organs should be allocated and whom to leave behind. OBJECTIVE: To explore public preferences for the allocation of donor organs in regard to ethical aspects of distributive justice. METHODS: Focus groups were facilitated between November and December 2018 at Hannover Medical School. Participants were recruited locally. Transcripts were assessed with content analysis using the deductive framework method. All identified and discussed criteria were grouped according to the principles of distributive justice and reported following the COREQ statement. RESULTS: Six focus groups with 31 participants were conducted. Overall, no group made a final decision of how to allocate donor organ; however, we observed that not only a single criterion/principle but rather a combination of criteria/principles is relevant. Therefore, the public wants to allocate organs to save as many lives as possible by both maximizing success for and also giving priority to urgent patients considering the best compatibility. Age, waiting time, reciprocity and healthy lifestyles should be used as additional criteria, while sex, financial status and family responsibility should not, based on aspects of equality. CONCLUSIONS: All participants recognized the dilemma that prioritizing one patient might cause another one to die. They discussed mainly the unclear trade-offs between effectiveness/benefit and medical urgency and did not establish an agreement about their importance. The results suggest a need of preference studies to elucidate public preferences in organ allocation.

Regression analyses of questionnaires in bedside teaching.

BACKGROUND: Students' ratings of bedside teaching courses are difficult to evaluate and to comprehend. Validated systematic analyses of influences on students' perception and valuation of bedside teaching can serve as the basis for targeted improvements. METHODS: Six hundred seventy-two observations were conducted in different surgical departments. Survey items covered the categories teacher's performance, student's self-perception and organizational structures. Relevant factors for the student overall rating were identified by multivariable linear regression after exclusion of variable correlations > 0.500. The main target for intervention was identified by the 15% worst overall ratings via multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: According to the students the success of bedside teaching depended on their active participation and the teacher's explanations of pathophysiology. Further items are both relevant to the overall rating and a possible negative perception of the session. In comparison, negative perception of courses (worst 15%) is influenced by fewer variables than overall rating. Variables that appear in both calculations show slight differences in their weighing for their respective endpoints. CONCLUSION: Relevant factors for overall rating and negative perception in bedside teaching can be identified by regression analyses of survey data. Analyses provide the basis for targeted improvement.

Ventilation after pancreaticoduodenectomy increases perioperative mortality: Identification of risk factors and their relevance in Germany that do not apply in England.

BACKGROUND: Pre-operative risk factors for post-operative ventilation and their influence on survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for malignancy are unknown. METHODS: Totally 391 patients operated in Hannover, Germany were investigated with multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression modeling to identify independent risk factors for post-operative ventilation ≥6 h, patient survival and 90-day mortality. And 84 patients operated in Birmingham, United Kingdom were analyzed to assess the external relevance of findings. RESULTS: Longer operations, history of thrombosis, intra-operative blood transfusion, lower estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and higher values of the age at operation divided by the Horovitz Quotient independently increased the risk of post-operative ventilation ≥ 6 h in German patients (n = 108; 27.6%) (P<0.050). Blood transfusion and lower pre-operative eGFR levels increased the risk of early death in German patients significantly and independently of established prognostic factors. A history of thrombosis and lower eGFR levels were also independent significant risk factors for 90-day mortality in German patients but not in English patients. None of the English patients received post-operative ventilation. Significantly more German patients were >75 years, had a history of thrombosis, received blood transfusions, and had significantly worse lung function parameters. pT4 tumors were detected in 18 German patients (4.6%), but not in the English patients. CONCLUSIONS: Identified risk factors for post-operative ventilation are clinically relevant in Germany but not in England and may be used to lower mortality risk. The German and the English cohorts displayed significant differences in the approach to patient selection and early post-operative extubation.

Prediction of survival after left-sided pancreatic resection for adenocarcinoma: Introduction of a new prognostic score.

BACKGROUND: Due to the clinically unapparent course the entity of left-sided pancreatic adenocarcinoma is often diagnosed at advanced stages, resulting in small numbers of patients qualifying for pancreatectomy. This study strives to develop a prognostic model for survival after left-sided pancreatic resection. METHODS: A total of 54 patients were analyzed. Pre- and intra-operative predictive factors for 18-month mortality were identified with multivariable binary logistic regression analysis and compiled into a prognostic model. The applicability was evaluated by assessment of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The model was internally validated applying a randomized backwards bootstrapping analysis. RESULTS: The 18-month mortality rate was 74.1% (n = 40). Mean survival was 19.1 months. A prognostic model for 18-month mortality after left sided-pancreatectomy showed an AUROC >0.800: 18-month mortality risk in% = Exp(Y) / (1 + Exp(Y)) with y= -0.927 + (1.724, if CA 19-9 elevated, otherwise 0) + (1.212 × number of intra-operative transfused packed red blood cells) + (2.771, if prior abdominal surgery, otherwise 0) - (3.612, if gastric resection, otherwise 0) This model was internally validated in 40 randomized backwards bootstrapping steps with AUROCs ranging from 0.757 to 0.971. CONCLUSIONS: The 18-month mortality risk for patients after left-sided pancreatectomy for adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic body can be assessed with the number of intra-operatively transfused packed red blood cells, elevated CA 19-9 levels, additional gastric resection and prior abdominal surgeries in the patient's history.

Longterm calcineurin inhibitor therapy and brain function in patients after liver transplantation.

Calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) frequently induce neurological complications early after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). We hypothesize that longterm CNI therapy after OLT causes dose-dependent cognitive dysfunction and alteration of brain structure. In this study, 85 OLT patients (20 with CNI-free, 35 with CNI low-dose, and 30 with standard-dose CNI immunosuppression) underwent psychometric testing and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging approximately 10 years after OLT to assess brain function and structural brain alterations. A total of 33 healthy patients adjusted for age, sex, and education served as controls. Patients receiving CNI showed a significantly worse visuospatial/constructional ability compared with controls (P ≤ 0.04). Furthermore, patients on low-dose CNI therapy had an overall impaired cognitive function compared with controls (P = 0.01). The tacrolimus total dose and mean trough level were negatively correlated to cognitive function. CNI doses had been adjusted in 91% of the patients in the low-dose and CNI-free groups in the past due to CNI-induced kidney damage. Patients treated with CNI showed significantly more white matter hyperintensities (WMH) than patients on CNI-free immunosuppression and controls (P < 0.05). Both the mean cyclosporine A and tacrolimus trough levels correlated significantly with WMH. In conclusion, longterm CNI therapy carries a risk of cognitive dysfunction especially in patients who already showed nephrotoxic side effects indicating an increased susceptibility of these patients against toxic CNI effects. This subgroup of patients might benefit from a change to CNI-free immunosuppression. Liver Transplantation 24 56-66 2018 AASLD.

Side effects and efficacy of renal sparing immunosuppression in pediatric liver transplantation-A single center matched cohort study.

Immunosuppressive combination therapy with MMF can reduce CNI associated nephrotoxicity. We investigated effectiveness and safety of de novo MMF-tacrolimus based immunosuppression after pLTx. Patients after pLTx receiving immunosuppression with MMF/tacrolimus (MMF/TAC) were compared to retrospectively selected age- and diagnosis-matched patients with tacrolimus monotherapy (TAC) and cyclosporine/prednisolone therapy (CSA) (19 patients each, n = 57). Effectiveness, renal function and side effects were analyzed for 1 year after pLTx. Tacrolimus reduction in combination therapy (0.7 µg/L over the year) was lower than aspired (2 µg/L). Acute BPAR occurred equally in MMF/TAC and TAC groups (31.6% each), being slightly higher in CSA group (42.1%; OR = 1.5; 95% CI = 0.42-5.44; P = .5). GFR deteriorated comparably in all 3 groups (P < .01 each) without significant differences between the groups. Septicemia was detected significantly more often in MMF/TAC (73.6%) than in TAC (31.6%) (OR 4.17; 1.07-16.27; P = .04). EBV reactivation occurred more often in CSA patients (84.2%) than in MMF/TAC (47.4%; OR 5.16; 0.98-27.19; P = .05) and TAC patients (52.6%; OR 8.16; 1.48-44.89; P = .02) the same was true for other viral infections (47.4% (CSA) vs 15.8% (TAC); OR 4.21; 0.95-18.55; P = .05). Our study does not provide additional evidence for a benefit of initial use of MMF/TAC over TAC regarding renal function, but raises concerns regarding a potentially increased risk of serious infections under MMF/TAC compared to TAC monotherapy at equivalent renal outcome; our study is, however, limited by the minor CNI reduction in combination therapy.

Renal cell cancer after kidney transplantation.

PURPOSE: This study aims to identify modifiable risk factors for de novo renal cell carcinoma (RCC) after kidney transplantation in a matched-pair approach matching for unmodifiable factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One thousand six hundred fifty-five adults who underwent kidney transplantation in the period 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2012 were analyzed. Patients with RCC after kidney transplantation were matched in a 1:2 ratio with those without RCC using the indication for transplantation, age at transplantation (± 10 years), recipient sex (male/female), number of received transplants, living organ donor transplantation (yes/no), and time of follow-up in days as matching criteria. The paired t test was used to compare continuous variables and the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for categorical variables. Multivariable conditional logistic regression modeling was used to identify independent risk factors for RCC. RESULTS: In matched-pair analysis, a total number of 26 incident cases with RCC after kidney transplantation could be matched. Post-transplant RCC was significantly associated with longer durations of pre-transplant hemodialysis (p = 0.007) and post-transplant immunosuppression with cyclosporine (p = 0.029) and/or mycophenolate mofetil (p = 0.020) and with larger proportions of post-transplant time on mycophenolate mofetil (p = 0.046) and/or prednisolone medication (p = 0.042). Multivariable conditional logistic regression modeling revealed a significant risk increasing multiplicative factor interaction between the duration of pre-transplant dialysis (years) and the time of prednisolone usage (percent/100). Cyclosporine A usage and mycophenolate mofetil usage were also revealed as independent, significant risk factors for RCC development. CONCLUSIONS: Longer pre-transplant dialysis, cyclosporine-based protocols and/or intensified immunosuppression with additional mycophenolate mofetil, and larger proportions of time of prednisolone treatment during follow-up increase de novo RCC risk.

Hangzhou criteria are more accurate than Milan criteria in predicting long-term survival after liver transplantation for HCC in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Milan criteria are used for patient selection in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Hangzhou criteria have been shown in China to enable access to liver transplantation for more patients when compared to Milan criteria without negative effects on long-term survival. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the Hangzhou criteria in a German cohort. METHODS: One hundred fifty-nine patients transplanted for HCC between 1975 and 2010 were investigated. Patients were categorized into four groups depending on the fulfillment of Milan and Hangzhou criteria. General and tumor baseline characteristics were compared. Overall and tumor-free survival rates were investigated with the Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: One-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates for patients fulfilling Milan criteria (n = 68) were 89.7, 83.7, 75.8, and 62.1%, respectively, versus 89.8, 82.2, 75.2, and 62.6% for patients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria (n = 109) (p = 0.833). When comparing patients exceeding Milan or Hangzhou criteria, survival rates were 75.3, 53.2, 48.1, and 41.1% versus 63.3, 31.4, 26.9, and 22.1%, respectively (p = 0.019). The comparison of tumor-free survival rates in patients fulfilling Milan or Hangzhou criteria was statistically not significant (p = 0.785), whereas the comparison of the groups exceeding the criteria showed significantly worse survival for patients outside Hangzhou criteria (p = 0.007). The proportion of patients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria (68.6%) was significantly larger as compared to the proportion fulfilling Milan criteria (42.8%) (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Hangzhou criteria are more accurate in predicting long-term survival after liver transplantation for HCC in Germany. Deployment of the Hangzhou criteria for patient selection could enlarge the pool of transplantable patients.

Statistical approach to quality assessment in liver transplantation.

PURPOSE: This study investigated the utility of retrospective two one-sided cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts combined with multivariable regression analysis in liver transplantation for transplant center benchmarking. METHODS: One thousand seven hundred and forty-nine consecutive adult primary liver transplants (January 1, 1983 to December 31, 2012) were analyzed retrospectively with two one-sided CUSUM chart analysis of 90-day mortality. RESULTS: Three eras and two subseries in latest era 3 were identified due to graphically delineated relevant shifts in mean 90-day mortality. Delineation of eras 1, 2, and 3 coincided with relevant changes in allocation policies. CUSUM analysis detected a resurgence of higher mean 90-day mortality in era 3 after results had improved continuously over 25 years. In era 3, two subseries were identified with improving mean 90-day mortality rates from 15.4% in subseries 1 to 8.9% in the following subseries 2. The quantitative influence of independent risk factors on 90-day mortality differed markedly between all identified eras and subseries as assessed with multivariable regression analysis deployed on era-specific subcohorts. CONCLUSION: The assessed methodology is able to identify meaningful center-specific eras and subseries of liver transplantation with striking alterations of the significance and weight of outcome drivers for post-transplant 90-day mortality over time. This warrants the introduction of prospective risk-adjusted two one-sided CUSUM chart analysis into quality management in liver transplantation in Germany with the goal to obtain alarm signals as early as possible.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for kidney function 1 year after combined pancreas and kidney transplantation using pre-transplant donor and recipient variables.

PURPOSE: The widening gap between demand and supply of organs for transplantation provides extraordinary challenges for ethical donor organ allocation rules. The transplant community is forced to define favorable recipient/donor combinations for simultaneous kidney-pancreas transplantation. The aim of this study is the development of a prognostic model for the prediction of kidney function 1 year after simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplantation using pre-transplant donor and recipient variables with subsequent internal and external validation. METHODS: Included were patients with end-stage renal failure due to diabetic nephropathy. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was applied for prognostic model design with retrospective data from Hannover Medical School, Germany (01.01.2000-31.12.2011) followed by prospective internal validation (01 Jan. 2012-31 Dec. 2015). Retrospective data from another German transplant center in Kiel was retrieved for external model validation via the initially derived logit link function. RESULTS: The developed prognostic model is able to predict kidney graft function 1 year after transplantation ≥ KDIGO stage III with high areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the development cohort (0.943) as well as the internal (0.807) and external validation cohorts (0.784). CONCLUSION: The proposed validated model is a valuable tool to optimize present allocation rules with the goal to prevent transplant futility. It might be used to support donor organ acceptance decisions for individual recipients.

Prognostic factors for long-term survival after adult liver transplantation.

PURPOSE: Prognostic factors for survival ≥ 15 years and life years lost after liver transplantation are largely unknown. METHODS: One thousand six hundred thirty primary adult liver transplants between 1983 and 2014 were analyzed. Risk factors for survival were identified with multivariable Cox regression and subsequently tested for their relevance as prognostic factors for observed 15-year survival using multivariable logistic regression and c statistics. The difference of life expectancy between a matched national reference population and survival in patients with post-transplant survival ≥ 15 years was calculated. RESULTS: Survival of ≥ 15 years was observed in 361 patients (22%). Sixty-nine adults died after more than 15 years losing a median of 15 years of life expectancy. One of those patients lived longer while 292 patients still have the chance to survive longer than their normal life expectancy. The indication primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and later eras of transplantation were identified as significant independent protective factors while recipient age > 36.8 years, graft loss due to initial non-function or thrombosis, the indications hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), hepatitis-C-virus-related cirrhosis (HCV-cirrhosis) and all other indications, donor age > 53 years, the number of surgical complications, and operative durations > 4.5 h were identified as significant independent risk factors limiting survival. All of these factors except the duration of operation had also a significant independent influence on observed 15-year survival (AUROC = 0.739). CONCLUSIONS: Recipients can exceptionally live longer than their normal life expectancy. Older recipients and patients with the indications HCC, HCV-cirrhosis, or other indications except PSC, should be transplanted with younger donor organs.

Relevant prognostic factors influencing outcome of patients after surgical resection of distal cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) is a rare but over the last decade increasing malignancy and is associated with poor prognosis. According to the present knowledge curative surgery is the only chance for long term survival. This study was performed to evaluate prognostic factors for the outcome of patients undergoing curative surgery for distal cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: 75 patients who underwent surgery between January 2000 and December 2014 for DCC in curative intention were analysed retrospectively. Potential prognostic factors for survival were investigated including the extent of surgery using purposeful selection of covariates in multivariable Cox regression modeling. RESULTS: Preoperative biliary stenting (Hazard ratio (HR): 2.530; 95%-CI: 1.146-6.464, p = 0.020), the extent of surgery in case of positive histological venous invasion (HR: 1.209; 95%-CI: 1.017-1.410, p = 0.032), lymph node staging (HR: 2.183; 95%-CI: 1.250-3.841, p = 0.006), perineural invasion (HR: 2.118; 95%-CI: 1.147-4.054, p = 0.016) and postoperative complications graded in points according to Clavien-Dindo (HR: 1.395; 95%-CI: 1.148-1.699, p = 0.001) were indentified as independent significant risk factors for survival. Patients receiving preoperative biliary stenting showed prolonged duration between onset of symptoms and date of operation (p = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative biliary stenting reduces survival possibly due to delayed surgery. The extent of surgery is not an independent risk factor for survival except for patients with concomitant histological venous invasion. Oncological factors and postoperative surgical complications are independent prognostic factors for survival.

Decreased superficial surgical site infections, shortened hospital stay, and improved quality of life due to incisional negative pressure wound therapy after reversal of double loop ileostomy.

This single-center prospective, controlled observational study investigates the impact of incisional negative pressure wound therapy on wound healing processes and its potency to prevent superficial surgical site infections (SSSI) after reversal of a double loop ileostomy. Furthermore, this study gains insight in socioeconomic aspects, like duration of hospital stay and, for the first time, patient's quality of life during the incisional negative pressure wound treatment. To address this question, an interventional group of 24 patients treated with incisional negative pressure wound therapy (Prevena incisional wound management system, KCI, Germany) and a respective control cohort of 25 patients treated with a standard sterile dressing were observed for 30 days in the postoperative course. Postoperative incisional negative pressure wound therapy resulted in statistically significant decreasing duration of hospital stay (6 days vs. 9 days, p = 0.019) and lower rates of SSSIs (12.5% vs. 20.0%, p = 0.478) in accordance with a not statistically significant decreased necessity of postoperative antibiotic therapy (12.5% vs. 36%, p = 0.051). To survey subjective items of well-being and quality of life, all patients were asked to answer a questionnaire. Patients of both groups noticed increasing quality of life after reversal of their ileostomy. However, patients treated with an incisional negative pressure wound therapy had a superior improvement of a variety of subjective items, resulting in an overall much better satisfaction with the course of wound healing. Our findings suggest, that incisional negative pressure wound therapy seems to be a reasonable therapeutic option to reduce incidence of SSSIs and to have a beneficial impact to patient's quality of life, as well as, socio-economic aspects.

High resource utilization in liver transplantation-how strongly differ costs between the care sectors and what are the main cost drivers?: a retrospective study.

To control treatment pathways of transplant patients across healthcare sectors, a profound knowledge of the underlying cost structure is necessary. The aim of this study was to analyze the resource utilization of patients undergoing liver transplantation. Data on resource utilization for 182 liver-transplanted patients was investigated retrospectively. The observational period started with the entry on the waiting list and ended up to 3 years after transplantation. Median treatment cost was 144 424€. During waiting time, median costs amounted to 9466€; 72% of costs were attributed to inpatient care, 3% to outpatient care, and 26% to pharmaceuticals. During the first year after transplantation, median costs of 105 566€ were calculated; 83% were allocated for inpatient and 1% outpatient care, 14% for drugs, and 1% for rehabilitative care. During follow-up after the first year of transplantation, median costs amounted to 20 115€; 75% of these were caused by pharmaceuticals, 21% by inpatient, 4% by outpatient, and <1% by rehabilitative services. Subgroup analyses (e.g., for labMELD scores) were done. Costs incurred by inpatient care and pharmaceuticals are the dominating cost factors. These findings encourage a debate on challenges and improvements for cost-efficient clinical management between different healthcare sectors.