Glucocorticoids as a risk factor for infection and adverse outcomes in non-HIV and non-transplant patients with cryptococcal meningitis.

BACKGROUND: Cryptococcal meningitis (CM), an opportunistic fungal infection affecting immunocompromised hosts, leads to high mortality. The role of previous exposure to glucocorticoids as a risk factor and as an outcome modulator has been observed, but systematic studies are lacking. OBJECTIVE: The primary aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of glucocorticoid use on the clinical outcomes, specifically mortality, of non-HIV and non-transplant (NHNT) patients diagnosed with CM. METHODS: We queried a global research network to identify adult NHNT patients with CM based on ICD codes or recorded specific Cryptococcus CSF lab results with or without glucocorticoid exposure the year before diagnosis. We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to reduce the risk of confounding and analysed outcomes by glucocorticoid exposure. We used a Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. RESULTS: We identified 764 patients with a history of glucocorticoid exposure and 1267 patients without who developed CM within 1 year. After propensity score matching of covariates, we obtained 627 patients in each cohort. The mortality risk in 1 year was greater in patients exposed to prior glucocorticoids (OR: 1.3, CI: 1.2-2.0, p = 0.002). We found an excess of 45 deaths among CM patients with previous glucocorticoid use (7.4% increased absolute risk of dying within 1 year of diagnosis) compared to CM controls without glucocorticoid exposure. Hospitalisation, intensive care unit admission, emergency department visits, stroke and cognitive dysfunction also showed significant, unfavourable outcomes in patients with glucocorticoid-exposed CM compared to glucocorticoid-unexposed CM patients. CONCLUSIONS: Previous glucocorticoid administration in NHNT patients seems to associate with 1-year mortality after CM adjusted for possible confounders related to demographics, comorbidities and additional immunosuppressive medications. Serial CrAg screening might be appropriate for higher-risk patients on glucocorticoids after further cost-benefit analyses.

Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 as a Risk Factor and Outcome Modifier for Cryptococcosis in HIV Negative, Non-transplant Patients, a Propensity Score Match Analysis.

Cryptococcosis is an opportunistic fungal infection of worldwide distribution with significant associated morbidity and mortality. HIV, organ transplantation, malignancy, cirrhosis, sarcoidosis, and immunosuppressive medications are established risk factors for cryptococcosis. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) has been hypothesized as a risk factor and an outcome modifier for cryptococcosis. We aimed to compare outcomes among HIV-negative, non-transplant (NHNT) patients with and without DM2. We queried a global research network to identify NHNT patients (n = 3280). We performed a propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis comparing clinical outcomes among cryptococcosis patients by DM status. We also characterize adults with cryptococcosis and DM2 as the only risk factor. After PSM, NHNT patients with DM2 were more likely to develop cognitive dysfunction [9% vs. 6%, OR 1.6; 95% CI (1.1-2.3); P = 0.01] but had similar mortality, hospitalization, ICU, and stroke risk after acquiring cryptococcosis when compared to NHNT patients without DM2. Pulmonary cryptococcosis was the most common site of infection. Among 44 cryptococcosis patients with DM2 as the only identifiable risk factor for disease, the annual incidence of cryptococcosis was 0.001%, with a prevalence of 0.002%. DM2 is associated with increased cognitive dysfunction risk in NHNT patients with cryptococcosis. It is rare for DM2 to be the only identified risk factor for developing cryptococcosis. Kidney disease, hyperglycemia, and immune dysfunction can increase the risk of cryptococcosis in patients with DM2.

Proinflammatory cytokines levels in sepsis and healthy volunteers, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha associated sepsis mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a global health challenge associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Detrimental sepsis effects are attributed to excessive inflammation or a "cytokine storm." However, anti-inflammation therapies have failed to lower sepsis mortality. We aim to characterize levels of key inflammatory cytokines in patients with sepsis and compare levels with those in healthy individuals and relate tumor necrosis factor (TNF) α levels to patient characteristics and outcomes. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis. Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science Core Collection databases were searched between 1985 and May 2020. Analysis was restricted to studies in English. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs), controlled trials, cohort studies, case series, and cross-sectional studies that reported mean levels of cytokines in the circulation thought to be relevant for sepsis pathogenesis. We also evaluated concentrations of these cytokines in healthy individuals. The Quality in Prognosis Studies tool was used to assess the methodological quality of included studies. We extracted summary data from published reports. Data analyses were performed using a random-effects model to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals for cytokine levels and mortality. This systematic review is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42020179800). FINDINGS: We identified 3654 records, and 104 studies were included with a total of 3250 participants. The pooled estimated mean TNFα concentration in sepsis patients was 58.4 pg/ml (95% Confidence Interval or CI 39.8-85.8 pg/ml), and in healthy individuals was 5.5 pg/ml (95% CI 3.8-8.0 pg/ml). Pooled estimate means for IL-1ß and IFN-γ in sepsis patients were 21.8 pg/ml and 63.3 pg/ml, respectively. Elevated TNFα concentrations associated with increased 28-day sepsis mortality (p = 0.001). In subgroup analyses, we did not detect an association between TNFα levels and sepsis source, sepsis severity, or sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score. A TNF-α cutoff level ≥14.7 pg/ml separated sepsis patients from healthy individuals with a sensitivity of 82.6%, a specificity of 91.7%, and a likelihood ratio of 9.9. INTERPRETATION: Sepsis mean TNFα concentration is increased approximately 10-fold compared to mean concentration in healthy individuals, and TNFα associated with sepsis mortality but not sepsis severity. The concept that elevated cytokines cause sepsis should be revisited in the context of these data. FUNDING: None.

Cryptococcosis and cryptococcal meningitis: New predictors and clinical outcomes at a United States academic medical centre.

As the diagnosis of cryptococcosis is challenging in low-prevalence settings, uncovering predictive factors can improve early diagnosis and timely treatment. The aim of the study was to relate clinical outcomes to predictive variables for the presence of cryptococcosis. A retrospective case-control study matched by collection date, age and gender at a 1:2 ratio (55 cases and 112 controls) was performed in case patients diagnosed with Cryptococcus infection at the University of Colorado Hospital between 2000 and 2017 (n = 167). A bivariate and a forward, stepwise multivariable logistic regression model were performed to identify predictors of cryptococcosis infection. In an adjusted multivariable model, cryptococcal infection was significantly associated with the presence of respiratory symptoms, hyponatremia, lung disease or corticosteroids. Additionally, cryptococcal meningitis was associated with headaches, corticosteroids or increased CSF protein. Conversely, a reduced risk of cryptococcosis was associated with hypertension or peripheral monocytosis. Cryptococcal meningitis leads to subsequent hearing impairment (16% vs 4% (control), P = .013), muscle weakness (40% vs 20%, P = .021), cognitive deficits (33% vs 6%, P = .0001) or any adverse outcome (84% vs 29%, P = .0001). We uncovered novel clinical predictors for the presence of cryptococcal infection or cryptococcal meningitis. This study in patients at a low-prevalence US medical centre underscores the importance of early diagnosis in this population.

Risk Factors for Cryptococcal Meningitis: A Single United States Center Experience.

Cryptococcal meningitis carries a high mortality. Further understanding of immune suppression factors associated with neuroinvasive infection will improve risk stratification and enhance early diagnosis and treatment with antifungal therapy. The aim of the study was to corroborate established or find novel clinical predictors for cryptococcal meningitis. We performed a matched case-control study of Cryptococcus infection in immunocompromised patients with or without cryptococcal meningitis. Data of all patients with a diagnosis of cryptococcal disease were collected at University of Colorado Hospital between 2000 and 2015 (n = 51). Thirty patients were diagnosed with cryptococcal meningitis. We built a logistic regression model for risk factors associated with cryptococcal meningitis. The single-predictor univariate model found that a positive blood culture, positive serum cryptococcal antigen, current malignancy, and headaches were significantly associated with cryptococcal meningitis (p = 0.02). In the adjusted multivariate model, central nervous system disease was significantly associated with a diagnosis of HIV infection (OR 24.45, 95 % CI 1.62-350.37; p = 0.022) and a positive serum cryptococcal antigen test (OR 42.92, 95 % CI 3.26-555.55; p = 0.0055). In patients with HIV infection or a positive serum cryptococcal antigen, the pretest probability of neuroinvasive Cryptococcus infection is increased and an aggressive diagnostic evaluation should be conducted to exclude infection and consider empiric therapy.

Increased prevalence of the alpha-1-antitrypsin (A1AT) deficiency-related S gene in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1.

Large variation exists in susceptibility to infection with Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV), and disease progression. These observations demonstrate a role for antiretroviral host factors. Several reports describe α1-antitrypsin (A1AT), the most abundant circulating serine protease inhibitor, as a potent suppressor of HIV infection and replication. We identified the normal (M) and most common deficiency-associated (S and Z) isoforms of the A1AT gene in patients infected with HIV from four multicenter cohorts. The level of disease progression in the patients was characterized and the patients were grouped into as elite controllers (EC), long-term non-progressors (LTNP), or progressors (Prog). No significant difference in the distribution of A1AT alleles was observed in the EC, LTNP, or Prog groups. However, significantly increased prevalence of the A1AT deficiency-associated S allele was observed in HIV-infected patients compared to the prevalence of S A1AT in the general population. These results suggest that deficiency in A1AT may be a risk factor for acquisition of HIV infection, but physiological A1AT concentrations do not affect disease progression after infection occurs.

Patients with nontuberculous mycobacterial lung disease exhibit unique body and immune phenotypes.

RATIONALE: Among patients with nontuberculous mycobacterial lung disease is a subset of previously healthy women with a slender body morphotype, often with scoliosis and/or pectus excavatum. We hypothesize that unidentified factors predispose these individuals to pulmonary nontuberculous mycobacterial disease. OBJECTIVES: To compare body morphotype, serum adipokine levels, and whole-blood cytokine responses of patients with pulmonary nontuberculous mycobacteria (pNTM) with contemporary control subjects who are well matched demographically. METHODS: We enrolled 103 patients with pNTM and 101 uninfected control subjects of similar demographics. Body mass index and body fat were quantified. All patients with pNTM and a subset of control subjects were evaluated for scoliosis and pectus excavatum. Serum leptin and adiponectin were measured. Specific cytokines important to host-defense against mycobacteria were measured in whole blood before and after stimulation. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patients with pNTM and control subjects were well matched for age, gender, and race. Patients with pNTM had significantly lower body mass index and body fat and were significantly taller than control subjects. Scoliosis and pectus excavatum were significantly more prevalent in patients with pNTM. The normal relationships between the adipokines and body fat were lost in the patients with pNTM, a novel finding. IFN-γ and IL-10 levels were significantly suppressed in stimulated whole blood of patients with pNTM. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to comprehensively compare body morphotype, adipokines, and cytokine responses between patients with NTM lung disease and demographically matched controls. Our findings suggest a novel, predisposing immunophenotype that should be mechanistically defined.

HIV replication in CD4+ T lymphocytes in the presence and absence of follicular dendritic cells: inhibition of replication mediated by α-1-antitrypsin through altered IκBα ubiquitination.

Follicular dendritic cells (FDCs) increase HIV replication and virus production in lymphocytes by increasing the activation of NF-κB in infected cells. Because α-1-antitrypsin (AAT) decreases HIV replication in PBMCs and monocytic cells and decreases NF-κB activity, we postulated that AAT might also block FDC-mediated HIV replication. Primary CD4(+) T cells were infected with HIV and cultured with FDCs or their supernatant with or without AAT, and ensuing viral RNA and p24 production were monitored. NF-κB activation in the infected cells was also assessed. Virus production was increased in the presence of FDC supernatant, but the addition of AAT at concentrations >0.5 mg/ml inhibited virus replication. AAT blocked the nuclear translocation of NF-κB p50/p65 despite an unexpected elevation in associated phosphorylated and ubiquitinated IκBα (Ub-IκBα). In the presence of AAT, degradation of cytoplasmic IκBα was dramatically inhibited compared with control cultures. AAT did not inhibit the proteasome; however, it altered the pattern of ubiquitination of IκBα. AAT decreased IκBα polyubiquitination linked through ubiquitin lysine residue 48 and increased ubiquitination linked through lysine residue 63. Moreover, lysine reside 63-linked Ub-IκBα degradation was substantially slower than lysine residue 48-linked Ub-IκBα in the presence of AAT, correlating altered ubiquitination with a prolonged IκBα t(1/2). Because AAT is naturally occurring and available clinically, examination of its use as an inhibitory agent in HIV-infected subjects may be informative and lead to the development of similar agents that inhibit HIV replication using a novel mechanism.

Anakinra authorized to treat severe coronavirus disease 2019; Sepsis breakthrough or time to reflect?

Introduction: The European Medicines Agency (EMA) and the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced conditions for using recombinant human interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (rhIL-1ra) to treat hospitalized patients with Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and risk for progression. These decisions followed publication of the suPAR-guided Anakinra treatment for Validation of the risk and early Management OF seveRE respiratory failure by COVID-19 (SAVE- MORE) phase 3 clinical trial that yielded positive results. Methods: We conducted a literature review and theoretical analysis of IL-1 blockade as a therapy to treat COVID-19. Using a stepwise analysis, we assessed clinical applicability of the SAVE-MORE results and evaluated conceptual support for interleukin-1 suppression as a suitable approach to COVID-19 treatment. This therapeutic approach was then examined as an example of inflammation-suppressing measures used to treat sepsis. Results: Anakinra use as a COVID-19 therapy seems to rely on a view of pathogenesis that incorrectly reflects human disease. Since COVID-19 is an example of sepsis, COVID-19 benefit due to anti-inflammatory therapy contradicts an extensive history of unsuccessful clinical study. Repurposing rhIL-1ra to treat COVID-19 appears to exemplify a cycle followed by inflammation-suppressing sepsis treatments. A landscape of treatment failures is interrupted by a successful clinical trial. However, subsequent confirmatory study fails to replicate the positive data. Discussion: We suggest further experimentation is not a promising pathway to discover game-changing sepsis therapies. A different kind of approach may be necessary.

Previous corticosteroid exposure associates with an increased Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia mortality among HIV-negative patients: a global research network with a follow-up multicenter case-control study.

Background: HIV-negative patients have substantial mortality from Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP). We lack predictors of HIV-negative PJP-associated mortality. Objective: We aim to characterize the role of prior corticosteroid exposure in PJP-related mortality. Methods: We queried a global research network to identify adult HIV-negative patients with PJP with or without corticosteroid exposure in the preceding year before diagnosis (n = 8,021). We performed a propensity score-matched analysis to adjust baseline patient characteristics and analyzed outcomes. We follow-up the results with a multicenter ten years retrospective case-control cohort of HIV-negative patients tested for PJP by PCP Direct Fluorescent Antigen. We used a Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. Results: 1822 HIV-negative propensity-scored matched patients with prior corticosteroid exposure had significantly increased 10 weeks (16% versus 9%, p < 0.0001) and one-year mortality after PJP diagnosis (23% versus 14%, p < 0.0001). (1→3)-ß-D-glucan (197.6 ± 155.8 versus 63 ± 0 pg/ml, p = 0.014), ferritin levels (1227 ± 2486 versus 768 ± 1060 mcg/l, p = 0.047), lymphopenia (1.5 ± 1.5 versus 2.0 ± 1.6 103 cells/µl, p < 0.0001) and hypoxia (SatO2: 86.7% versus 91.6%, p < 0.0001) were higher or worse in those with prior steroid use. Patients who died were more likely to have previously received dexamethasone (35% versus 16%, p < 0.001) or prednisone (49% versus 29%, p < 0.001). Adjusted Cox proportional-hazard model validation showed an independently increased mortality at 10 weeks (HR: 3.7, CI: 1.5-9.2, p = 0.004) and 1 year (HR: 4.5, CI: 2.0-10.4, p < 0.0001) among HIV-negative patients with previous corticosteroid exposure. Conclusion: Preceding corticosteroids in HIV-negative patients with PJP are associated with higher mortality. A higher fungal burden may influence corticosteroid-mediated mortality. Assessment of PJP prophylaxis must become a standard clinical best practice when instituting corticosteroid therapy courses.

Imbalance of apoptosis and cell proliferation contributes to the development and persistence of emphysema.

BACKGROUND: We postulate that in adults there is an established lung structure maintenance program and that lung alveolar septal cells are undergoing both continuous apoptosis and proliferation. Whereas lung cell apoptosis has been recognized in human emphysema, little is known about cell proliferation. METHODS: Using a novel rat model of emphysema, induced by intratracheal instillation of cigarette smoke extract (CSE), we investigated the dynamics of emphysematous lung destruction. Emphysematous lung destruction was determined by measuring mean linear intercept and destructive index. Lung injury and repair were assessed by immunohistochemistry and Western blot analysis for active caspase-3 and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) after 4, 8, and 12 weeks of CSE instillations. RESULTS: The emphysematous lung tissue destruction was present at 4 weeks of CSE treatment and progressed to 8 weeks. Spontaneous repair began at 12 weeks. Treatment with a peroxisome proliferator activated receptor (PPAR)α+γ agonist or granulocyte and macrophage-colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF) for 4 weeks prevented the progression of emphysematous lung destruction and decreased the number of caspase-3-positive cells. CONCLUSION: Apoptosis and cell proliferation occur in this new model of emphysema. Treatment with a PPARα+γ agonist or GM-CSF can inhibit the progression of emphysematous alveolar septal destruction by decreasing alveolar cell apoptosis.

Chasing the Ghost: Hyperinflammation Does Not Cause Sepsis.

Sepsis is infection sufficient to cause illness in the infected host, and more severe forms of sepsis can result in organ malfunction or death. Severe forms of Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19), or disease following infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are examples of sepsis. Following infection, sepsis is thought to result from excessive inflammation generated in the infected host, also referred to as a cytokine storm. Sepsis can result in organ malfunction or death. Since COVID-19 is an example of sepsis, the hyperinflammation concept has influenced scientific investigation and treatment approaches to COVID-19. However, decades of laboratory study and more than 100 clinical trials designed to quell inflammation have failed to reduce sepsis mortality. We examine theoretical support underlying widespread belief that hyperinflammation or cytokine storm causes sepsis. Our analysis shows substantial weakness of the hyperinflammation approach to sepsis that includes conceptual confusion and failure to establish a cause-and-effect relationship between hyperinflammation and sepsis. We conclude that anti-inflammation approaches to sepsis therapy have little chance of future success. Therefore, anti-inflammation approaches to treat COVID-19 are likewise at high risk for failure. We find persistence of the cytokine storm concept in sepsis perplexing. Although treatment approaches based on the hyperinflammation concept of pathogenesis have failed, the concept has shown remarkable resilience and appears to be unfalsifiable. An approach to understanding this resilience is to consider the hyperinflammation or cytokine storm concept an example of a scientific paradigm. Thomas Kuhn developed the idea that paradigms generate rules of investigation that both shape and restrict scientific progress. Intrinsic features of scientific paradigms include resistance to falsification in the face of contradictory data and inability of experimentation to generate alternatives to a failing paradigm. We call for rejection of the concept that hyperinflammation or cytokine storm causes sepsis. Using the hyperinflammation or cytokine storm paradigm to guide COVID-19 treatments is likewise unlikely to provide progress. Resources should be redirected to more promising avenues of investigation and treatment.

Seasonal variations and risk factors of Streptococcus pyogenes infection: a multicenter research network study.

Background: Streptococcus pyogenes, or Group A Streptococcus (GAS), causes acute pharyngitis and necrotizing fasciitis. Seasonal variations in GAS infections are not robustly characterized. We assessed seasonal variations and risk factors of GAS pharyngitis and ICD-10-diagnosed necrotizing fasciitis. Methods: From the period 2010-2019, we conducted a case-control study using laboratory-confirmed cases of GAS pharyngitis and a descriptive observational study of necrotizing fasciitis using ICD-10 codes. Data were collected from TriNetX, a federated research network. We extracted seasonal (quarterly) incidence rates. We used an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to assess seasonal variations. Demographic characteristics and 1-month outcomes were compared among adults with or without GAS pharyngitis. Results: We identified 224,471 adults with GAS pharyngitis (test-positive) and 546,142 adults without it (test-negative). GAS pharyngitis adults were younger (25.3 versus 30.2 years of age, p < 0.0001), more likely to be Hispanic individuals (10% versus 8%, p < 0.0001) and slightly more likely to be Black or African American individuals (14% versus 13%, p < 0.0001). Propensity score matching found that adults with test-positive cases of GAS pharyngitis had a higher risk of acute rheumatic fever while having no significant differences in risk of intensive care unit admission and mortality compared with test-negative cases. GAS pharyngitis average incidence peaked in the winter while dipping in the summer (0.32 versus 0.18 and 4.07 versus 1.78 per 1000 adults and pediatric patients, respectively). Necrotizing fasciitis diagnoses were highest during summer (0.032 per 1000 adults). There was a significant ARIMA seasonal variation in the time series analysis for adult and pediatric GAS pharyngitis (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.014, respectively). Necrotizing fasciitis diagnosis was not associated with seasonal variation (p = 0.861). Conclusion: Peaks in GAS pharyngitis occur in the winter months. ICD code-based necrotizing fasciitis did not show a quarterly seasonal variation.

alpha1-Antitrypsin monotherapy induces immune tolerance during islet allograft transplantation in mice.

Human pancreatic islet transplantation offers diabetic patients tight glucose control but has low graft survival rates. The immunosuppressive drugs that are administered to graft recipients lack the antiinflammatory benefits of corticosteroids because of their diabetogenic effects. The serum protease inhibitor alpha1-antitrypsin (AAT) possesses antiinflammatory properties and reduces cytokine-mediated islet damage. In the present study, diabetic mice were grafted with allogeneic islets and treated with AAT monotherapy (n = 24). After 14 days of treatment, mice remained normoglycemic and islet allografts were functional for up to 120 treatment-free days. After graft removal and retransplantation, mice accepted same-strain islets but rejected third-strain islets, thus confirming that specific immune tolerance had been induced. Explanted grafts exhibited a population of T regulatory cells in transplant sites. According to RT-PCR, grafts contained high levels of mRNA for foxp3, cytotoxic T lymphocyte antigen-4, TGF-beta, IL-10, and IL-1 receptor antagonist; expression of proinflammatory mediators was low or absent. After implantation of skin allografts, AAT-treated mice had greater numbers of foxp3-positive cells in draining lymph nodes (DLNs) compared with control treatment mice. Moreover, dendritic cells in DLNs exhibited an immature phenotype with decreased CD86 activation marker. Although the number of CD3 transcripts decreased in the DLNs, AAT did not affect IL-2 activity in vitro. Thus, AAT monotherapy provides allografts with antiinflammatory conditions that favor development of antigen-specific T regulatory cells. Because AAT treatment in humans is safe, its use during human islet transplantation may be considered.

Association between cytokine levels, sepsis severity and clinical outcomes in sepsis: a quantitative systematic review protocol.

INTRODUCTION: It is widely assumed that sepsis is a life-threatening systemic inflammation caused by a dysregulated host response to infection mediated by an increase in multiple proinflammatory cytokines. The levels of key proinflammatory cytokines tumour necrosis factor, interleukin-1ß and interferon γ are poorly characterised during sepsis. We believe this project will produce a 'gold-standard' document to which other reports on cytokine levels will be compared. The objective of this systematic review will be to identify key cytokine circulating levels in patients with sepsis and assess the association between these levels and morbidity and mortality outcomes related to sepsis. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We would include reports of any design except for case reports. Sepsis patients will comprise those with a diagnosis of sepsis, severe sepsis or septic shock. The primary exposure is levels of three proinflammatory cytokines. The primary outcome is mortality at 28 or 30 days. Study subjects can be of any age, sex or ethnicity. Studies will be restricted to the English language. Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science Core Collection will be searched for eligible studies. A database search will include studies from 1985 to May 2020. Two reviewers will independently screen and select studies, assess methodological quality and extract data. A meta-analysis will be performed, if possible, and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment Development and Evaluation Summary of Findings presented. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Formal ethical approval is not required as data will be extracted from existing literature. This systematic review will be disseminated through a peer-reviewed publication and at conference meetings. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42020179800.

Increased mortality associated with uncontrolled diabetes mellitus in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis: a single US cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for bacterial infections, but its role in cryptococcosis is unclear. The study aimed to determine whether uncontrolled diabetes (HbA1c >7%) was an independent risk factor for mortality in cryptococcosis. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study partially matched by age and gender was performed in patients tested for Cryptococcus infection at the University of Colorado Hospital from 2000 to 2019. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify mortality predictors. Cox proportional hazard model was used for survival analysis. RESULTS: We identified 96 cases of cryptococcosis and 125 controls. Among cases, cryptococcal meningitis (49.0%) and pneumonia (36.5%) constituted most infections. Cases with pulmonary cryptococcosis with uncontrolled diabetes had a higher mortality at 10 weeks (50% versus 7%, p = 0.006) and 1 year (66.7% versus 13.8%, p = 0.005) compared to pulmonary cases with controlled or no diabetes. Unadjusted Cox proportional hazard model found an increased rate of death for uncontrolled diabetes at 10 weeks [hazard ratio 8.4, confidence interval (CI): 1.4-50.8, p = 0.02] and 1 year (hazard ratio 7.0, CI: 1.7-28.4, p = 0.007) among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly increased odds of 10 weeks [odds ratio (OR) = 4.3, CI: 1.1-16.5, p = 0.035] and 1 year (OR = 5.0, CI: 1.4-18.3, p = 0.014) mortality for uncontrolled diabetes among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. After adjustment for gender, age, and case/control, for every 1% increase in HbA1c levels, the odds of pulmonary cryptococcosis mortality at 1 year increased by 11% (OR = 1.6, CI 95%: 1.1-2.3, p = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Uncontrolled diabetes is associated with worse outcomes in pulmonary cryptococcosis, including a 4-fold and 6-fold increased odds of death at 10 weeks and 1 year, respectively. Glucose control interventions should be explored to improve clinical outcomes in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis.

Diagnostic Utility of a Ferritin-to-Procalcitonin Ratio to Differentiate Patients With COVID-19 From Those With Bacterial Pneumonia: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: There is an urgent need for accurate, rapid, inexpensive biomarkers that can differentiate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from bacterial pneumonia. We assess the role of the ferritin-to-procalcitonin (F/P) ratio to classify pneumonia cases into those due to COVID-19 vs those due to bacterial pathogens. METHODS: This multicenter case-control study compared patients with COVID-19 with those with bacterial pneumonia, admitted between March 1 and May 31, 2020. Patients with COVID-19 and bacterial pneumonia co-infection were excluded. The F/P in patients with COVID-19 vs with bacterial pneumonia were compared. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis determined the sensitivity and specificity of various cutoff F/P values for COVID-19 vs bacterial pneumonia. RESULTS: A total of 242 COVID-19 pneumonia cases and 34 bacterial pneumonia controls were included. Patients with COVID-19 pneumonia had a lower mean age (57.1 vs 64.4 years; P = .02) and a higher body mass index (30.74 vs 27.15 kg/m2; P = .02) compared with patients with bacterial pneumonia. Cases and controls had a similar proportion of women (47% vs 53%; P = .5), and COVID-19 patients had a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus (32.6% vs 12%; P = .01). The median F/P was significantly higher in patients with COVID-19 (4037.5) compared with the F/P in bacterial pneumonia (802; P < .001). An F/P ≥877, used to diagnose COVID-19, resulted in a sensitivity of 85% and a specificity of 56%, with a positive predictive value of 93.2% and a likelihood ratio of 1.92. In multivariable analyses, an F/P ≥877 was associated with greater odds of identifying a COVID-19 case (odds ratio, 11.27; 95% CI, 4-31.2; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: An F/P ≥877 increases the likelihood of COVID-19 pneumonia compared with bacterial pneumonia.

The time to offer treatments for COVID-19.

Background: COVID-19 has several overlapping phases. Treatments to date have focused on the late stage of disease in hospital. Yet, the pandemic is by propagated by the viral phase in out-patients. The current public health strategy relies solely on vaccines to prevent disease.Methods: We searched the major national registries, pubmed.org, and the preprint servers for all ongoing, completed and published trial results.Results: As of 2/15/2021, we found 111 publications reporting findings on 14 classes of agents, and 9 vaccines. There were 62 randomized controlled studies, the rest retrospective observational analyses. Only 21 publications dealt with outpatient care. Remdesivir and high titer convalescent plasma have emergency use authorization for hospitalized patients in the U.S.A. There is also support for glucocorticoid treatment of the COVID-19 respiratory distress syndrome. Monoclonal antibodies are authorized for outpatients, but supply is inadequate to treat all at time of diagnosis. Favipiravir, ivermectin, and interferons are approved in certain countries.Expert Opinion: Vaccines and antibodies are highly antigen specific, and new SARS-Cov-2 variants are appearing. We call on public health authorities to authorize treatments with known low-risk and possible benefit for outpatients in parallel with universal vaccination.

The Importance of Understanding the Stages of COVID-19 in Treatment and Trials.

COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, continues to be a major health problem since its first description in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. Multiple drugs have been tried to date in the treatment of COVID-19. Critical to treatment of COVID-19 and advancing therapeutics is an appreciation of the multiple stages of this disease and the importance of timing for investigation and use of various agents. We considered articles related to COVID-19 indexed on PubMed published January 1, 2020-November 15, 2020, and considered papers on the medRxiv preprint server. We identified relevant stages of COVID-19 including three periods: pre-exposure, incubation, and detectable viral replication; and five phases: the viral symptom phase, the early inflammatory phase, the secondary infection phase, the multisystem inflammatory phase, and the tail phase. This common terminology should serve as a framework to guide when COVID-19 therapeutics being studied or currently in use is likely to provide benefit rather than harm.

HIV infection is associated with reduced serum alpha-1-antitrypsin concentrations.

PURPOSE: Several observations suggest the presence of HIV-suppressive factors in the fluid phase of blood. Alpha-1-antitrypsin (AAT), the most abundant serine protease inhibitor in the circulation, has potent anti-HIV activity in vitro, and may function as an endogenous HIV suppressor. Therefore, we assessed serum AAT concentrations for association with HIV infection. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, serum AAT concentrations were measured in 66 persons with HIV infection and in 45 healthy persons (Controls). In the HIV-infected group, antiretroviral therapy (ART) use was assessed and CD4+ T cell levels and plasma HIV RNA were quantified. RESULTS: Median AAT concentration was significantly lower in the HIV-infected group (1.64 mg/mL) in comparison with Controls (1.94 mg/mL; p=0.001). AAT reduction was most pronounced in the HIV-infected subgroup with CD4+ T cell levels > 200 cells/µL in comparison with Controls (p < 0.01). Serum AAT concentrations < 1.0 mg/mL are clinically significant, and concentrations below this level were identified in 4.5% of the HIV-infected group and in no Control subjects. No association between AAT levels and viral load or use of ART was observed in HIV-infected subjects. CONCLUSION: The association between reduced serum AAT concentration and HIV infection is consistent with a role for AAT as an endogenous HIV suppressor.