Novel prognostic nomogram for predicting recurrence-free survival in medullary thyroid carcinoma.

AIMS: Recently, there have been attempts to improve prognostication and therefore better guide treatment for patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). In 2022, the International MTC Grading System (IMTCGS) was developed and validated using a multi-institutional cohort of 327 patients. The aim of the current study was to build upon the findings of the IMTCGS to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in MTC. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 300 patients with MTC from five centres across the USA, Europe, and Australia were used to develop a prognostic nomogram that included the following variables: age, sex, AJCC stage, tumour size, mitotic count, necrosis, Ki67 index, lymphovascular invasion, microscopic extrathyroidal extension, and margin status. A process of 10-fold cross-validation was used to optimize the model's performance. To assess discrimination and calibration, the area-under-the-curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance-index (C-index), and dissimilarity index (D-index) were calculated. Finally, the model was externally validated using a separate cohort of 87 MTC patients. The model demonstrated very strong performance, with an AUC of 0.94, a C-index of 0.876, and a D-index of 19.06. When applied to the external validation cohort, the model had an AUC of 0.9. CONCLUSIONS: Using well-established clinicopathological prognostic variables, we developed and externally validated a robust multivariate prediction model for RFS in patients with resected MTC. The model demonstrates excellent predictive capability and may help guide decisions on patient management. The nomogram is freely available online at https://nomograms.shinyapps.io/MTC_ML_DFS/.

Calcitonin measurement in aspiration needle washout fluids has higher sensitivity than cytology in detecting medullary thyroid cancer: a retrospective multicentre study.

OBJECTIVE: Only few studies analysed the capability of cytology in detecting medullary thyroid cancer (MTC), and they reported a low accuracy of this diagnostic technique. Recently, calcitonin (CT) measurement in aspiration needle washout (FNA-CT) of thyroid and neck lesions has been reported as a sensitive tool for MTC. The aim of this study is to compare the sensitivity of FNA-CT and cytology in detecting MTC and to assess a cut-off value of FNA-CT for clinical practice. PATIENTS: Thirty-eight MTC lesions from 36 patients were retrospectively studied, diagnosed and treated in four different centres. Furthermore, 52 nonmedullary lesions from subjects undergone biopsy following increased serum CT were collected as a control group. RESULTS: Cytology detected MTC in 21/37 lesions with 56·8% sensitivity. The median FNA-CT value was 2000 pg/ml (range 58-10 000 pg/ml) in MTC and 2·7 pg/ml (range <2-13 pg/ml) in controls (P < 0·001). Using a cut-off of 39·6 pg/ml, MTC lesions could be identified with 100% sensitivity and specificity. As the most important finding, 14 histologically proved MTC lesions could be detected by FNA-CT, despite they were cytologically diagnosed as benign or nonconclusive. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows, as the first in a multicentre series, that FNA-CT sensitivity is higher than that of cytology in diagnosing MTC. To avoid false-negative MTC by cytology, CT measurement in aspiration needle washout is to be performed in all patients undergoing biopsy following high serum CT.

Association of the Genomic Profile of Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma with Tumor Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes in an International Multicenter Study.

Purpose: The prognostic importance of RET and RAS mutations and their relationship to clinicopathologic parameters and outcomes in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) need to be clarified. Experimental Design: A multicenter retrospective cohort study was performed utilizing data from 290 patients with MTC. The molecular profile was determined and associations were examined with clinicopathologic data and outcomes. Results: RET germ line mutations were detected in 40 patients (16.3%). Somatic RET and RAS mutations occurred in 135 (46.9%) and 57 (19.8%) patients, respectively. RETM918T was the most common somatic RET mutation (n = 75). RET somatic mutations were associated with male sex, larger tumor size, advanced American Joint Committee Cancer (AJCC) stage, vascular invasion, and high International Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Grading System (IMTCGS) grade. When compared with other RET somatic mutations, RETM918T was associated with younger age, AJCC (eighth edition) IV, vascular invasion, extrathyroidal extension, and positive margins. RET somatic or germ line mutations were significantly associated with reduced distant metastasis-free survival on univariate analysis, but there were no significant independent associations on multivariable analysis, after adjusting for tumor grade and stage. There were no significant differences in outcomes between RET somatic and RET germ line mutations, or between RETM918T and other RET mutations. Other recurrent molecular alterations included TP53 (4.2%), ARID2 (2.9%), SETD2 (2.9%), KMT2A (2.9%), and KMT2C (2.9%). Among them, TP53 mutations were associated with decreased overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS), independently of tumor grade and AJCC stage. Conclusions: RET somatic mutations were associated with high-grade, aggressive primary tumor characteristics, and decreased distant metastatic-free survival but this relationship was not significant after accounting for tumor grade and disease stage. RETM918T was associated with aggressive primary tumors but was not independently associated with clinical outcomes. TP53 mutation may represent an adverse molecular event associated with decreased OS and DSS in MTC, but its prognostic value needs to be confirmed in future studies.

A Data-Driven Approach to Refine Predictions of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Study.

CONTEXT: The risk stratification of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is crucial in clinical decision making. The most widely accepted method to assess risk of recurrent/persistent disease is described in the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. However, recent research has focused on the inclusion of novel features or questioned the relevance of currently included features. OBJECTIVE: To develop a comprehensive data-driven model to predict persistent/recurrent disease that can capture all available features and determine the weight of predictors. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study, using the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory (ITCO) database (NCT04031339), we selected consecutive cases with DTC and at least early follow-up data (n = 4773; median follow-up 26 months; interquartile range, 12-46 months) at 40 Italian clinical centers. A decision tree was built to assign a risk index to each patient. The model allowed us to investigate the impact of different variables in risk prediction. RESULTS: By ATA risk estimation, 2492 patients (52.2%) were classified as low, 1873 (39.2%) as intermediate, and 408 as high risk. The decision tree model outperformed the ATA risk stratification system: the sensitivity of high-risk classification for structural disease increased from 37% to 49%, and the negative predictive value for low-risk patients increased by 3%. Feature importance was estimated. Several variables not included in the ATA system significantly impacted the prediction of disease persistence/recurrence: age, body mass index, tumor size, sex, family history of thyroid cancer, surgical approach, presurgical cytology, and circumstances of the diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Current risk stratification systems may be complemented by the inclusion of other variables in order to improve the prediction of treatment response. A complete dataset allows for more precise patient clustering.

A Prospective Multicenter Study Examining the Relationship Between Thyroid Cancer Treatment Outcomes and the Presence of Autoimmune Thyroiditis.

Background: There is some controversy on the potential relationship between autoimmune processes and clinicopathologic features as well as prognosis of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), and the evidence is limited by its largely retrospective nature. We examined the relationship between the presence of autoimmune thyroiditis (AT) and 1-year thyroid cancer treatment outcomes in a large multicenter study using prospectively collected data. Methods: We included data from consecutive DTC patients enrolled in the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory (ITCO) database (NCT04031339). We divided the groups according to the presence (AT) or absence (no autoimmune thyroiditis [noAT]) of associated AT. We used propensity score matching to compare the clinical features and outcomes between the two groups at 1-year follow-up. Results: We included data from 4233 DTC patients, including 3172 (75%) females. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk levels were as follows: 51% (2160/4233) low risk, 41.3% (1750/4233) intermediate risk, and 7.6% (323/4233) high risk. There were 1552 patients (36.7%) who had AT. Before propensity score matching, AT patients were significantly younger and had a smaller and bilateral tumor (p < 0.0001). Patients with AT more frequently fell into the low- and intermediate-risk categories, while the ATA high risk was more frequent among noAT patients (p = 0.004). After propensity score matching, patients with AT more frequently showed evidence of disease (structural/biochemical incomplete response) versus excellent/indeterminate response, compared with patients without AT (7.3% vs. 4.5%, p = 0.001), with an odds ratio of 1.86 ([confidence interval: 1.3-2.6], p = 0.0001). However, when considering only structural persistence as the outcome, no statistically significant differences were observed between patients with or without AT (3.4% vs. 2.7%, p = 0.35). The elevated risk associated with the ATA intermediate and high risk at diagnosis remained consistently statistically significant. Conclusions: In this large prospective series, biochemical persistence was more frequent, at 1-year follow-up, in AT patients. However, there was no significant association between the presence of AT and structural persistence of disease. These findings may be explained by the presence of a residual thyroid tissue.

Case report: Dramatic response to pralsetinib in an elderly patient with advanced RET-fusion positive papillary thyroid carcinoma.

We are recently faced with a progressive evolution of the therapeutic paradigm for radioiodine refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (RAI-R DTC), since the advent of tissue agnostic inhibitors. Thus, tumor genotype assessment is always more relevant and is playing a crucial role into clinical practice. We report the case of an elderly patient with advanced papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) harboring RET-CCDC6 fusion with four co-occurring mutations involving PI3KCA, TP53, and hTERT mutations, treated with pralsetinib under a compassionate use program. Despite the high histological grade and the coexistence of aggressive RET co-mutations, an impressive metabolic and structural tumor response has been obtained, together with a patient's prolonged clinical benefit. A timely comprehensive molecular testing of those cases wild-type for the common thyroid carcinoma BRAF V600E-like and RAS-like driver mutations may uncover actionable gene rearrangements that can be targeted by highly selective inhibitors with great potential benefit for the patients.

International Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Grading System: A Validated Grading System for Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is an aggressive neuroendocrine tumor (NET) arising from the calcitonin-producing C cells. Unlike other NETs, there is no widely accepted pathologic grading scheme. In 2020, two groups separately developed slightly different schemes (the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center and Sydney grade) on the basis of proliferative activity (mitotic index and/or Ki67 proliferative index) and tumor necrosis. Building on this work, we sought to unify and validate an internationally accepted grading scheme for MTC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Tumor tissue from 327 patients with MTC from five centers across the United States, Europe, and Australia were reviewed for mitotic activity, Ki67 proliferative index, and necrosis using uniform criteria and blinded to other clinicopathologic features. After reviewing different cutoffs, a two-tiered consensus grading system was developed. High-grade MTCs were defined as tumors with at least one of the following features: mitotic index ≥ 5 per 2 mm2, Ki67 proliferative index ≥ 5%, or tumor necrosis. RESULTS: Eighty-one (24.8%) MTCs were high-grade using this scheme. In multivariate analysis, these patients demonstrated decreased overall (hazard ratio [HR] = 11.490; 95% CI, 3.118 to 32.333; P < .001), disease-specific (HR = 8.491; 95% CI, 1.461 to 49.327; P = .017), distant metastasis-free (HR = 2.489; 95% CI, 1.178 to 5.261; P = .017), and locoregional recurrence-free (HR = 2.114; 95% CI, 1.065 to 4.193; P = .032) survivals. This prognostic power was maintained in subgroup analyses of cohorts from each of the five centers. CONCLUSION: This simple two-tiered international grading system is a powerful predictor of adverse outcomes in MTC. As it is based solely on morphologic assessment in conjunction with Ki67 immunohistochemistry, it brings the grading of MTCs in line with other NETs and can be readily applied in routine practice. We therefore recommend grading of MTCs on the basis of mitotic count, Ki67 proliferative index, and tumor necrosis.

Real-World Performance of the American Thyroid Association Risk Estimates in Predicting 1-Year Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Outcomes: A Prospective Multicenter Study of 2000 Patients.

Background: One of the most widely used risk stratification systems for estimating individual patients' risk of persistent or recurrent differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. The 2015 ATA version, which has increased the number of patients considered at low or intermediate risk, has been validated in several retrospective, single-center studies. The aims of this study were to evaluate the real-world performance of the 2015 ATA risk stratification system in predicting the response to treatment 12 months after the initial treatment and to determine the extent to which this performance is affected by the treatment center in which it is used. Methods: A prospective cohort of DTC patients collected by the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory web-based database was analyzed. We reviewed all records present in the database and selected consecutive cases that satisfied inclusion criteria: (i) histological diagnosis of DTC, with the exclusion of noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features; (ii) complete data of the initial treatment and pathological features; and (iii) results of 1-year follow-up visit (6-18 months after the initial treatment), including all data needed to classify the estimated response to treatment. Results: The final cohort was composed of 2071 patients from 40 centers. The ATA risk of persistent/recurrent disease was classified as low in 1109 patients (53.6%), intermediate in 796 (38.4%), and high in 166 (8.0%). Structural incomplete responses were documented in only 86 (4.2%) patients: 1.5% in the low-risk, 5.7% in the intermediate-risk, and 14.5% in the high-risk group. The baseline ATA risk class proved to be a significant predictor of structural persistent disease, both for intermediate-risk (odds ratio [OR] 4.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.59-8.43) and high-risk groups (OR 16.48; CI 7.87-34.5). Individual center did not significantly influence the prediction of the 1-year disease status. Conclusions: The ATA risk stratification system is a reliable predictor of short-term outcomes in patients with DTC in real-world clinical settings characterized by center heterogeneity in terms of size, location, level of care, local management strategies, and resource availability.

Does the Site of Origin of the Microcarcinoma with Respect to the Thyroid Surface Matter? A Multicenter Pathologic and Clinical Study for Risk Stratification.

It is unclear whether the site of origin of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (mPTC) with respect to the thyroid surface has an influence on clinicopathologic parameters. The objectives of the study were to: (i) Accurately measure the mPTC distance from the thyroid surface; (ii) analyze whether this distance correlates with relevant clinicopathologic parameters; and (iii) investigate the impact of the site of origin of the mPTC on risk stratification. Clinicopathologic features and BRAF mutational status were analyzed and correlated with the site of origin of the mPTC in a multicenter cohort of 298 mPTCs from six Italian medical institutions. Tumors arise at a median distance of 3.5 mm below the surface of the thyroid gland. Statistical analysis identified four distinct clusters. Group A, mPTC: size ≥ 5 mm and distance of the edge of the tumor from the thyroid capsule = 0 mm; group B, mPTC: size ≥ 5 mm and distance of the edge of the tumor from the thyroid capsule > 0 mm; group C, mPTC: size < 5 mm and distance of the edge of the tumor from the thyroid capsule = 0 mm; and group D, mPTC: size < 5 mm and distance of the edge of the tumor from the thyroid capsule > 0 mm. Univariate analysis demonstrates significant differences between the groups: Group A shows the most aggressive features, and group D the most indolent ones. By multivariate analysis, group A tumors are characterized by tall cell histotype, BRAF V600E mutation, tumor fibrosis, aggressive growth with invasive features, vascular invasion, lymph node metastases, and intermediate ATA risk. The mPTC clinicopathologic features vary according to the tumor size and distance from the thyroid surface. A four-group model may be useful for risk stratification and to refine the selection of nodules to be targeted for fine needle aspiration.

[Heart and thyroid interactions]. / Interazioni cuore-tiroide.

Thyroid dysfunction is a quite common clinical condition in the general population and often completely misunderstood. Thyroid hormones play a crucial role in the cardiovascular (CV) system contributing to the control of cardiac function and peripheral hemodynamics. In addition, they are involved in the regulation of glucose, lipid and coagulation homeostasis, further affecting CV risk stratification. The aim of the present article is to systematically review and summarize the available evidence on the possible association between thyroid dysfunction and CV morbidity and mortality. Overt hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism significantly increase CV risk through either direct (on myocardial cell and coronary flow) and indirect (influencing the peripheral vascular system, lipid and glucose metabolism and coagulation homeostasis) mechanisms. Less clear is the contribution of subclinical conditions of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism to the stratification of CV risk. Treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism seems to guarantee greater benefits, especially in younger subjects at low CV risk. On the other hand, the treatment of subclinical hyperthyroidism allows greater advantages in older patients with a greater burden of associated comorbidities.

Outcome and molecular characteristics of non-invasive encapsulated follicular variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma with oncocytic features.

PURPOSE: In 2016, non-invasive encapsulated follicular variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma (NI-EFVPTC) was renamed as noninvasive thyroid follicular neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP). However, as the study cohort did not mention tumors with oncocytic features, such lesions are still labeled by some as FVPTC. It is therefore crucial to evaluate the outcome and molecular profile of oncocytic NI-EFVPTC. METHODS: A multi-institutional clinico-pathologic review was conducted to select 61 patients having oncocytic NI-EFVPTC. A detailed molecular profile was carried out in 15 patients. RESULTS: Oncocytic NI-EFVPTCs predominantly affected women in their 50s. There was no distant metastasis, lymph node metastases, or structural recurrence in the entire cohort. Among patients with ≥5 years of FU, all 33 individuals did not recur with a median FU of 10.2 years. Oncocytic NI-EFVPTC commonly had RAS (33%) mutations, a high frequency of mitochondrial DNA mutations (67%) and multiple chromosomal gains/losses (53%). No fusion genes were detected. CONCLUSIONS: Oncocytic NI-EFVPTC, when stringently selected for, lacks metastasis at presentation and follows an extremely indolent clinical course, even when treated conservatively with lobectomy alone without RAI therapy. These tumors share a similar mutational profile as NIFTP, FVPTC, and follicular neoplasm and are predominantly RAS-related. Like Hurthle cell neoplasms, they harbor a high frequency of mitochondrial DNA mutations, which contribute to the oncocytic cytomorphology. However, they lack the widespread chromosomal alterations observed in Hurthle cell carcinoma. Consideration should be given to include oncocytic NI-EFVPTCs as NIFTP in order to avoid overtreatment of these highly indolent tumors.

Screening of Cushing's syndrome in outpatients with type 2 diabetes: results of a prospective multicentric study in Italy.

CONTEXT: Cushing's syndrome may remain unrecognized among patients referred for metabolic syndrome; thus, a proactive screening has been suggested in certain patient populations with features of the disorder. However, conflicting data have been reported on the prevalence of Cushing's syndrome in patients with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to evaluate the prevalence of unsuspected Cushing's syndrome among outpatients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a cross-sectional prospective study in 24 diabetes clinics across Italy. PATIENTS: Between June 2006 and April 2008, 813 patients with known type 2 diabetes without clinically overt hypercortisolism were evaluated. Follow-up of the study was closed in September 2010. Patients were not selected for characteristics conferring a higher pretest probability of hypercortisolism. Patients underwent a first screening step with the 1-mg overnight dexamethasone suppression test. RESULTS: Forty patients failed to suppress serum cortisol less than 5.0 µg/dl (138 nmol/liter) and underwent a standard 2-d, 2-mg dexamethasone suppression test, after which six patients (0.6% of the overall series) failed to suppress cortisol less than 1.8 µg/dl (50 nmol/liter), receiving a definitive diagnosis of Cushing's syndrome that was adrenal dependent in five patients. Four patients were cured, being able to discontinue, or reduce, the glucose-lowering agents. CONCLUSIONS: The present data do not support widespread screening of patients with type 2 diabetes for Cushing's syndrome; however, the disorder is less rare than previously thought when considering epidemiology of type 2 diabetes. Our results support a case-finding approach in patients with uncontrolled diabetes and hypertension despite appropriate treatment.