Blood Test for Breast Cancer Screening through the Detection of Tumor-Associated Circulating Transcripts.

Liquid biopsy has been emerging for early screening and treatment monitoring at each cancer stage. However, the current blood-based diagnostic tools in breast cancer have not been sufficient to understand patient-derived molecular features of aggressive tumors individually. Herein, we aimed to develop a blood test for the early detection of breast cancer with cost-effective and high-throughput considerations in order to combat the challenges associated with precision oncology using mRNA-based tests. We prospectively evaluated 719 blood samples from 404 breast cancer patients and 315 healthy controls, and identified 10 mRNA transcripts whose expression is increased in the blood of breast cancer patients relative to healthy controls. Modeling of the tumor-associated circulating transcripts (TACTs) is performed by means of four different machine learning techniques (artificial neural network (ANN), decision tree (DT), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM)). The ANN model had superior sensitivity (90.2%), specificity (80.0%), and accuracy (85.7%) compared with the other three models. Relative to the value of 90.2% achieved using the TACT assay on our test set, the sensitivity values of other conventional assays (mammogram, CEA, and CA 15-3) were comparable or much lower, at 89%, 7%, and 5%, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of TACTs were appreciably consistent across the different breast cancer stages, suggesting the potential of the TACTs assay as an early diagnosis and prediction of poor outcomes. Our study potentially paves the way for a simple and accurate diagnostic and prognostic tool for liquid biopsy.

Application of Queueing Theory to the Analysis of Changes in Outpatients' Waiting Times in Hospitals Introducing EMR.

OBJECTIVES: This research used queueing theory to analyze changes in outpatients' waiting times before and after the introduction of Electronic Medical Record (EMR) systems. METHODS: We focused on the exact drawing of two fundamental parameters for queueing analysis, arrival rate (λ) and service rate (µ), from digital data to apply queueing theory to the analysis of outpatients' waiting times. We used outpatients' reception times and consultation finish times to calculate the arrival and service rates, respectively. RESULTS: Using queueing theory, we could calculate waiting time excluding distorted values from the digital data and distortion factors, such as arrival before the hospital open time, which occurs frequently in the initial stage of a queueing system. We analyzed changes in outpatients' waiting times before and after the introduction of EMR using the methodology proposed in this paper, and found that the outpatients' waiting time decreases after the introduction of EMR. More specifically, the outpatients' waiting times in the target public hospitals have decreased by rates in the range between 44% and 78%. CONCLUSIONS: It is possible to analyze waiting times while minimizing input errors and limitations influencing consultation procedures if we use digital data and apply the queueing theory. Our results verify that the introduction of EMR contributes to the improvement of patient services by decreasing outpatients' waiting time, or by increasing efficiency. It is also expected that our methodology or its expansion could contribute to the improvement of hospital service by assisting the identification and resolution of bottlenecks in the outpatient consultation process.