Arterial properties in relation to genetic variation in alpha-adducin and the renin-angiotensin system in a White population.

Earlier studies have demonstrated the interaction between ADD1 and ACE in relation to arterial properties. We investigated whether arterial characteristics might also be related to interactions of ADD1 with other renin-angiotensin system genes. Using a family-based sampling frame, we randomly recruited 1064 Flemish subjects (mean age, 43.6 years; 50.4% women). By means of a wall-tracking ultrasound system, we measured the properties of the carotid, femoral and brachial arteries. In multivariate-adjusted analyses, we assessed the multiple gene effects of ADD1 (Gly460Trp), AGT (C-532T and G-6A) and AT1R (A1166C). In ADD1 Trp allele carriers, but not in ADD1 GlyGly homozygotes (P-value for interaction < or =0.014), femoral cross-sectional compliance was significantly higher (0.74 vs 0.65 mm(2) kPa(-1); P=0.020) in carriers of the AT1R C allele than in AT1R AA homozygotes, with a similar trend for femoral distensibility (11.3 vs 10.2 x 10(-3) kPa(-1); P=0.055). These associations were independent of potential confounding factors, including age. Family-based analyses confirmed these results. Brachial diameter (4.35 vs 4.18 mm) and plasma renin activity (PRA) (0.23 vs 0.14 ng ml(-1) h(-1)) were increased (P< or =0.005) in AGT CG haplotype homozygotes compared with non-carriers, whereas the opposite was true for brachial distensibility (12.4 vs 14.4 x 10(-3) kPa(-1); P=0.011). There was no interaction between AGT and any other gene in relation to the measured phenotypes. ADD1 and AT1R interactively determine the elastic properties of the femoral artery. There is a single-gene effect of the AGT promoter haplotypes on brachial properties and PRA.

Arterial structure and function and environmental exposure to cadmium.

OBJECTIVES: Few studies have addressed the effect of cadmium toxicity on arterial properties. METHODS: We investigated the possible association of 24 h urinary cadmium excretion (an index of lifetime exposure) with measures of arterial function in a randomly selected population sample (n = 557) from two rural areas with low and high environmental exposure to cadmium. RESULTS: 24 h urinary cadmium excretion was significantly higher in the high compared with the low exposure group (p<0.001). Even though systolic (p = 0.42), diastolic (p = 0.14) and mean arterial pressure (p = 0.68) did not differ between the high and low exposure groups, aortic pulse wave velocity (p = 0.008), brachial pulse pressure (p = 0.026) and femoral pulse pressure (p = 0.008) were significantly lower in the high exposure group. Additionally, femoral distensibility (p<0.001) and compliance (p = 0.001) were significantly higher with high exposure. Across quartiles of 24 h urinary cadmium excretion (adjusted for sex and age), brachial (p for trend = 0.015) and femoral (p for trend = 0.018) pulse pressure significantly decreased and femoral distensibility (p for trend = 0.008) and compliance (p for trend = 0.007) significantly increased with higher cadmium excretion. After full adjustment, the partial regression coefficients confirmed these associations. Pulse wave velocity (beta = -0.79+/-0.27; p = 0.004) and carotid (beta = -4.20+/-1.51; p = 0.006), brachial (beta = -5.43+/-1.41; p = 0.001) and femoral (beta = -4.72+/-1.74; p = 0.007) pulse pressures correlated negatively, whereas femoral compliance (beta = 0.11+/-0.05; p = 0.016) and distensibility (beta = 1.70+/-0.70; p = 0.014) correlated positively with cadmium excretion. CONCLUSION: Increased cadmium body burden is associated with lower aortic pulse wave velocity, lower pulse pressure throughout the arterial system, and higher femoral distensibility.

Genetic variation and environmental factors in biological and arterial ageing.

Arterial ageing is a complex continuously distributed phenotype, which comes about through the interaction between inherited susceptibility, life-style and environmental factors. We used an integrated approach combining methods from genetics, molecular biology and population sciences to study the role of genetic variation and environmental factors in biological ageing. The discussed work comprises four population based studies of which two had a prospective design and two integrated recently developed biomolecular markers of ageing with classical epidemiological tools. The striking variability in the age of the manifestation of cardiovascular diseases is not fully explained by conventional risk factors. Variation in biological age has been suggested. The initial telomere length of a person is mainly determined by genetic factors. In this regard, we noticed robust correlations in telomere length between fathers and daughters, between mothers and both sons and daughters, and among siblings. X-linked inheritance of telomere length is the most likely explanation for these findings. Telomere length shortens with each cell division, and exposition to harmful environmental factors results in shorter telomere length as we observed in smokers. Telomere length correlated with the distensibility of the carotid artery and oxidative stress and inflammation are major determinants of arterial and biological ageing. In this context, selenium a component of antioxidant enzymes such as glutathione peroxidase, correlated inversely with blood pressure in the population at large. Oxidative stress and inflammation are major determinants of arterial and biological ageing. If telomeres are indeed causally involved in the pathogenesis of arterial ageing, this might provide new avenues for future preventive and therapeutic strategies.

Intra-erythrocyte cation concentrations in relation to the C1797T beta-adducin polymorphism in a general population.

Genetic variability in the ADD1 (Gly460Trp) and ADD2 (C1797T) subunits of the cytoskeleton protein adducin plays a role in the pathogenesis of hypertension, possibly via changes in intracellular cation concentrations. ADD2 1797CC homozygous men have decreased erythrocyte count and hematocrit. We investigated possible association between intra-erythrocyte cations and the adducin polymorphisms. In 259 subjects (mean age 47.7 years), we measured intra-erythrocyte Na(+) [iNa], K(+) [iK] and Mg(2+) [iMg], serum cations and adducin genotypes. Genotype frequencies (ADD1: GlyGly 61.5%, Trp 38.5%; ADD2: CC 80.4%, T 19.6%) complied with Hardy-Weinberg proportions. In men, ADD2 CC homozygotes (n=100) compared to T-carriers (n=23) had slightly lower iK (85.8 versus 87.5 mmol/l cells; P=0.107), higher iMg (1.92 versus 1.80 mmol/l cells; P=0.012), but similar iNa (6.86 versus 6.88 mmol/l cells; P=0.93). In men, iK, iMg and iNa did not differ according to ADD1 genotypes. In men, iK (R(2)=0.128) increased with age and serum Na(+), but decreased with serum total calcium and the daily intake of alcohol. iMg (R(2)=0.087) decreased with age, but increased with serum total calcium. After adjustment for these covariates (P

[Hypertension as a source of cognitive regression, or dementia]. / Hypertensie als bron van cognitieve regressie, respectievelijk dementie.

Cognitive deterioration and its sequelae of vascular or Alzheimer's dementia is rapidly increasing all over the world. This is primarily caused by the worldwide increase of the ageing population. Additional causes may be sought in factors such as genetics and a habitually unhealthy life style. The significance of high blood pressure in the process leading to cognitive deterioration is relatively unknown. However, timely detection and treatment of hypertension seems to contribute to the preservation of cognition. Experience has shown that this applies in particular to dihydropyridine calcium antagonists. Medical care tends to make insufficient use of the existing possibilities for treating hypertension.

Response to antihypertensive therapy in older patients with sustained and nonsustained systolic hypertension. Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur) Trial Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The goal of the present study was to assess the effect of antihypertensive therapy on clinic (CBP) and ambulatory (ABP) blood pressures, on ECG voltages, and on the incidence of stroke and cardiovascular events in older patients with sustained and nonsustained systolic hypertension. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients who were >/=60 years old, with systolic CBP of 160 to 219 mm Hg and diastolic CBP of <95 mm Hg, were randomized into the double-blind placebo-controlled Systolic Hypertension in Europe (Syst-Eur) Trial. Treatment consisted of nitrendipine, with the possible addition of enalapril, hydrochlorothiazide, or both. Patients enrolled in the Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring Side Project were classified according to daytime systolic ABP into 1 of 3 subgroups: nonsustained hypertension (<140 mm Hg), mild sustained hypertension (140 to 159 mm Hg), and moderate sustained hypertension (>/=160 mm Hg). At baseline, patients with nonsustained hypertension had smaller ECG voltages (P<0.001) and, during follow-up, a lower incidence of stroke (P<0.05) and of cardiovascular complications (P=0.01) than other groups. Active treatment reduced ABP and CBP in patients with sustained hypertension but only CBP in patients with nonsustained hypertension (P<0.001). The influence of active treatment on ECG voltages (P<0.05) and on the incidence of stroke (P<0.05) and cardiovascular events (P=0.06) was more favorable than that of placebo only in patients with moderate sustained hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with sustained hypertension had higher ECG voltages and rates of cardiovascular complications than did patients with nonsustained hypertension. The favorable effects of active treatment on these outcomes were only statistically significant in patients with moderate sustained hypertension.

The pulse pressure-to-stroke index ratio predicts cardiovascular events and death in uncomplicated hypertension.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the prognostic power of the pulse pressure-to-stroke index (PP-to-SVi) ratio for cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with uncomplicated hypertension. BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of pulse pressure (PP) has been studied repeatedly, but few data are available on the PP-to-SVi ratio. METHODS: Invasive hemodynamic measurements, including brachial intra-arterial pressure and stroke index by the direct oxygen Fick method, were performed in the period 1972 to 1982 in 192 patients with uncomplicated hypertension; their outcome was ascertained in 1994. RESULTS: Age at baseline averaged 37 +/- 12 years; brachial artery pressure was 165 mm Hg +/- 30/89 +/- 17 mm Hg; PP averaged 76 mm Hg +/- 18 mm Hg, and the PP-to-SVi ratio was 1.67 mm Hg/(ml/m2) +/- 0.73 mm Hg/(ml/m2). During 3,057 patient years of follow-up, 19 patients died, and 44 experienced at least one fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event. Cox regression analysis revealed that the PP-to-SVi ratio was a significant predictor of fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and of all-cause mortality after control for age and gender (p < 0.01). Its predictive power persisted after additional adjustment for mean arterial pressure and heart rate. Each 0.75-mm Hg/(ml/m2) increase in the PP-to-SVi ratio was independently associated with a 79% increase in the risk of a cardiovascular event (p = 0.01) and a 2.05-fold greater risk of all-cause mortality (p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The PP-to-SVi ratio is a significant and independent predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality in selected patients with uncomplicated hypertension.

Context-dependency of the relation between left ventricular mass and AGT gene variants.

In the European Project on Genes in Hypertension (EPOGH), we investigated in three populations to what extent in a family-based study, left ventricular mass (LVM) was associated with the C-532T and G-6A polymorphisms in the angiotensinogen (AGT) gene. We randomly recruited 221 nuclear families (384 parents and 440 offspring) in Cracow (Poland), Novosibirsk (Russia), and Mirano (Italy). Echocardiographic LVM was indexed to body surface area, adjusted for covariables, and subjected to multivariate analyses, using generalized estimating equations and quantitative transmission disequilibrium tests in a population-based and family-based approach, respectively. We found significant differences between the two Slavic centres and Mirano in left ventricular mass index (LVMI) (94.9 vs 80.4 g/m2), sodium excretion (229 vs 186 mmol/day), and the prevalence of the AGT -6A (55.7 vs 40.6%) and -532T (16.8 vs 9.4%) alleles. In population-based as well as in family-based analyses, we observed positive associations of LVMI and mean wall thickness (MWT) with the -532T allele in Slavic, but not in Italian male offspring. Furthermore, in Slavic male offspring, LVMI and MWT were significantly higher in carriers of the -532T/-6A haplotype than in those with the -532C/-6G or -532C/-6A allele combinations. In women, LVMI was neither associated with single AGT gene variants nor with the haplotypes (0.19 < P <0.98). In Slavic offspring carrying the AGT -532C/-6G or -532C/-6A haplotypes, LVMI significantly increased with higher sodium excretion (+3.5 g/m2/100 mmol; P=0.003), whereas such association was not present in -532T/-6A haplotype carriers (P-value for interaction 0.04). We found a positive association between LVMI and the AGT -532T allele due to increased MWT. This relation was observed in Slavic male offspring. It was therefore dependent on gender, age and ecogenetic context, and in addition it appeared to be modulated by the trophic effects of salt intake on LVM.

Chinese trial on isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly. Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China) Collaborative Group.

BACKGROUND: In 1988, the Systolic Hypertension in China (Syst-China) Collaborative Group initiated the placebo-controlled Syst-China trial to investigate whether antihypertensive drug treatment could reduce the incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke in older Chinese patients with isolated systolic hypertension. OBJECTIVES: To explore (1) whether the benefits of active treatment were evenly distributed across 4 strata, prospectively defined according to sex and previous cardiovascular complications, and (2) whether the morbidity and mortality results were influenced by age, level of systolic or diastolic blood pressure (BP), smoking or drinking habits, or diabetes mellitus at enrollment. METHODS: Eligible patients had to be 60 years or older with a sitting systolic BP of 160 to 219 mm Hg and diastolic BP less than 95 mm Hg. After stratification for center, sex, and previous cardiovascular complications, 1253 patients were assigned to active treatment starting with nitrendipine (10-40 mg/d), with the possible addition of captopril (12.5-50.0 mg/d), and/or hydrochlorothiazide (12.5-50 mg/d). In the 1141 control patients, matching placebos were used similarly. RESULTS: Male sex, previous cardiovascular complications, older age, higher systolic BP or lower diastolic BP, living in northern China, smoking, and diabetes mellitus significantly and independently increased the risk of 1 or more of the following end points: total or cardiovascular mortality, all fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular end points, all strokes, and all cardiac end points. In the placebo-control group diabetes raised the risk of all end points 2- to 3-fold (P< or =.05). However, active treatment reduced the excess risk associated with diabetes to a nonsignificant level (P values ranging from .12-.86) except for cardiovascular mortality (P = .04). Cox regression with adjustments applied for significant covariates suggested that active treatment may reduce total mortality more (P = .06) in women and stroke more (P = .07) in men and that it may provide better protection against cardiac end points in nonsmokers than smokers (P = .04). Otherwise, the benefits of active treatment were equally manifest, regardless of the enrollment characteristics of the patients, and regardless of whether active treatment consisted of only nitrendipine or of nitrendipine associated with other active drugs. CONCLUSIONS: In elderly Chinese patients with isolated systolic hypertension, stepwise antihypertensive drug treatment, starting with the dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker nitrendipine, improved prognosis. The benefit was particularly evident in diabetic patients; for cardiac end points it tended to be larger in nonsmokers. Otherwise, the benefit of active treatment was not significantly influenced by the characteristics of the patients at enrollment in the trial.

Blood pressure, cognitive functions, and prevention of dementias in older patients with hypertension.

The prevalence and incidence of degenerative and vascular dementias increase exponentially with age, from 70 years onward. In view of the increasing longevity of humans, both varieties are bound to evolve into a major problem worldwide. According to several longitudinal studies, hypertension appears to predispose individuals to the development of cognitive impairment and ensuing dementia, after a period varying from a few years to several decades. Antihypertensive drug treatment, according to preliminary evidence, may serve to reduce the rates of such events. Such findings await to be confirmed by formal therapeutic trials against a backdrop of "historical" observational sources.

Reference values for self-recorded blood pressure: a meta-analysis of summary data.

BACKGROUND: The widespread clinical use of self-recorded blood pressure measurement is limited by the lack of generally accepted reference values. The purpose of this study was therefore to perform a meta-analysis of summary data in an attempt to determine an operational threshold for self-recorded blood pressures. STUDIES AND METHODS: Seventeen studies, including a total of 5422 subjects, were reviewed. Eight of these 17 studies included both normotensive and untreated hypertensive subjects, while the other 9 reports included normotensive subjects only. Within each study an operational cutoff point between normotension and hypertension was derived by means of the mean+2 SDs and the 95th percentiles of the self-recorded blood pressure in normotensive subjects. These 2 methods were contrasted with 2 other techniques that have been applied in the literature to calculate (1) the self-recorded pressures equivalent to a conventional pressure of 140 mm Hg systolic and 90 mm Hg diastolic by means of regression analysis and (2) the self-recorded blood pressures at the percentiles corresponding to a conventional pressure of 140/90 mm Hg. The latter 2 methods were applied in untreated subjects not selected on the basis of their blood pressure. RESULTS: With weighting for the number of subjects included in the various studies, the self-recorded blood pressure averaged 115/71 mm Hg in normotensive persons and 119/74 mm Hg in untreated subjects not selected on the basis of their blood pressure. The reference values for self-recorded blood pressures determined by the mean+2 SDs (137/89 mm Hg) or the 95th percentile (135/86 mm Hg) of the distribution in normotensive subjects were concordant within 2/3 mm Hg, whereas the cutoff points derived with the regression and percentile methods were considerably lower, ie, 125/79 and 129/84 mm Hg, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Until the relationship between self-recorded pressure and the incidence of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is further clarified by prospective studies, a mean self-recorded blood pressure above 135 mm Hg systolic or 85 mm Hg diastolic may be considered hypertensive.

Pulse pressure not mean pressure determines cardiovascular risk in older hypertensive patients.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines for the management of hypertension rest almost completely on the measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressure. However, the arterial blood pressure wave is more correctly described as consisting of a pulsatile (pulse pressure) and a steady (mean pressure) component. OBJECTIVE: To explore the independent roles of pulse pressure and mean pressure as determinants of cardiovascular prognosis in older hypertensive patients. METHODS: This meta-analysis, based on individual patient data, pooled the results of the European Working Party on High Blood Pressure in the Elderly trial (n = 840), the Systolic Hypertension in Europe Trial (n = 4695), and the Systolic Hypertension in China Trial (n = 2394). The relative hazard rates associated with pulse pressure and mean pressure were calculated using Cox regression analysis, with stratification for the 3 trials and with adjustments for sex, age, previous cardiovascular complications, smoking, and treatment group. RESULTS: A 10-mm Hg wider pulse pressure increased the risk of major cardiovascular complications; after controlling for mean pressure and the other covariates, the increase in risk ranged from approximately 13% for all coronary end points (P = .02) to nearly 20% for cardiovascular mortality (P = .001). In a similar analysis, mean pressure predicted the incidence of cardiovascular complications but only after removal of pulse pressure as an explanatory variable from the model. Furthermore, the probability of a major cardiovascular end point increased with higher systolic blood pressure; at any given level of systolic blood pressure, it also increased with lower diastolic blood pressure, suggesting that the wider pulse pressure was driving the risk of major complications. CONCLUSIONS: In older hypertensive patients, pulse pressure not mean pressure is the major determinant of cardiovascular risk. The implications of these findings for the management of hypertensive patients should be further investigated in randomized controlled outcome trials in which the pulsatile component of blood pressure is differently affected by antihypertensive drug treatment.

Efficacy of different drug classes used to initiate antihypertensive treatment in black subjects: results of a randomized trial in Johannesburg, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Thiazides are recommended to initiate antihypertensive drug treatment in black subjects. OBJECTIVE: To test the efficacy of this recommendation in a South African black cohort. METHODS: Men and women (N = 409), aged 18 to 70 years, with a mean ambulatory daytime diastolic blood pressure between 90 and 114 mm Hg, were randomized to 13 months of open-label treatment starting with the nifedipine gastrointestinal therapeutic system (30 mg/d, n = 233), sustained-release verapamil hydrochloride (240 mg/d, n = 58), hydrochlorothiazide (12.5 mg/d, n = 58), or enalapril maleate (10 mg/d, n = 60). If the target of reducing daytime diastolic blood pressure below 90 mm Hg was not attained, the first-line drugs were titrated up and after 2 months other medications were added to the regimen. RESULTS: While receiving monotherapy (2 months, n = 366), the patients' systolic and diastolic decreases in daytime blood pressure averaged 22/14 mm Hg for nifedipine, 17/11 mm Hg for verapamil, 12/8 mm Hg for hydrochlorothiazide, and 5/3 mm Hg for enalapril. At 2 months the blood pressure of more patients treated with nifedipine was controlled: 133 (63.3%, P

Subgroup and per-protocol analysis of the randomized European Trial on Isolated Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly.

BACKGROUND: In 1989, the European Working Party on High Blood Pressure in the Elderly started the double-blind, placebo-controlled, Systolic Hypertension in Europe Trial to test the hypothesis that antihypertensive drug treatment would reduce the incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension. This report addresses whether the benefit of antihypertensive treatment varied according to sex, previous cardiovascular complications, age, initial blood pressure (BP), and smoking or drinking habits in an intention-to-treat analysis and explores whether the morbidity and mortality results were consistent in a per-protocol analysis. METHODS: After stratification for center, sex, and cardiovascular complications, 4695 patients 60 years of age or older with a systolic BP of 160 to 219 mm Hg and diastolic BP less than 95 mm Hg were randomized. Active treatment consisted of nitrendipine (10-40 mg/d), with the possible addition of enalapril maleate (5-20 mg/d) and/or hydrochlorothiazide (12.5-25 mg/d), titrated or combined to reduce the sitting systolic BP by at least 20 mm Hg, to below 150 mm Hg. In the control group, matching placebo tablets were employed similarly. RESULTS: In the intention-to-treat analysis, male sex, previous cardiovascular complications, older age, higher systolic BP, and smoking at randomization were positively and independently correlated with cardiovascular risk. Furthermore, for total (P = .009) and cardiovascular (P = .09) mortality, the benefit of antihypertensive drug treatment weakened with advancing age; for total mortality (P = .05), the benefit increased with higher systolic BP at entry, while for fatal and nonfatal stroke (P = .01), it was most evident in nonsmokers (92.5% of all patients). In the perprotocol analysis, active treatment reduced total mortality by 24% (P = .05), reduced all fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular end points by 32% (P<.001), reduced all strokes by 44% (P = .004), reduced nonfatal strokes by 48% (P = .005), and reduced all cardiac end points, including sudden death, by 26% (P = .05). CONCLUSIONS: In elderly patients with isolated systolic hypertension, stepwise antihypertensive drug treatment, starting with the dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker nitrendipine, improves prognosis. The per-protocol analysis suggested that treating 1000 patients for 5 years would prevent 24 deaths, 54 major cardiovascular end points, 29 strokes, or 25 cardiac end points. The effects of antihypertensive drug treatment on total and cardiovascular mortality may be attenuated in very old patients.

Blood pressure response to renal nerve stimulation in patients undergoing renal denervation: a feasibility study.

During renal sympathetic denervation (RDN), no mapping of renal nerves is performed and there is no clear end point of RDN. We hypothesized high-frequency renal nerve stimulation (RNS) may increase blood pressure (BP), and this increase is significantly blunted after RDN. The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of RNS in patients undergoing RDN. Eight patients with resistant hypertension undergoing RDN were included. A quadripolar catheter was positioned at four different sites in either renal artery. RNS was performed during 1 min with a pacing frequency of 20 Hz. After all patients successfully underwent RDN, RNS was repeated at the site of maximum BP response before RDN in either renal artery. Mean age was 66 years. During RNS, BP increased significantly from 108/55 to 132/68 mm Hg (P < 0.001). After RDN, systolic BP response at the site of maximum response to RNS was significantly blunted (+43.1 vs +9.3 mm Hg, P = 0.002). In three patients, a systolic BP increase >10 mm Hg was observed after RDN. In conclusion, RNS resulted in an acute temporary BP increase. This response was significantly blunted after RDN. RNS may potentially serve as an end point for RDN.

Multivariate meta-analysis using individual participant data.

When combining results across related studies, a multivariate meta-analysis allows the joint synthesis of correlated effect estimates from multiple outcomes. Joint synthesis can improve efficiency over separate univariate syntheses, may reduce selective outcome reporting biases, and enables joint inferences across the outcomes. A common issue is that within-study correlations needed to fit the multivariate model are unknown from published reports. However, provision of individual participant data (IPD) allows them to be calculated directly. Here, we illustrate how to use IPD to estimate within-study correlations, using a joint linear regression for multiple continuous outcomes and bootstrapping methods for binary, survival and mixed outcomes. In a meta-analysis of 10 hypertension trials, we then show how these methods enable multivariate meta-analysis to address novel clinical questions about continuous, survival and binary outcomes; treatment-covariate interactions; adjusted risk/prognostic factor effects; longitudinal data; prognostic and multiparameter models; and multiple treatment comparisons. Both frequentist and Bayesian approaches are applied, with example software code provided to derive within-study correlations and to fit the models.

The -665 C>T polymorphism in the eNOS gene predicts cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in white Europeans.

We recently identified rs3918226 as a hypertension susceptibility locus (-665 C>T), TT homozygosity being associated with higher hypertension risk. T compared with C allele transfected cells had lower endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) expression. In the family-based Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes (50.9% women; mean age 40.3 years), we investigated whether 32 TT homozygotes had worse outcomes than 2787 C allele carriers. Over 15 years (median), total and cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular and coronary events amounted to 269 (9.5%), 98 (3.5%), 247 (8.8%) and 120 (4.3%), respectively. While accounting for family clusters, the hazard ratios associated with TT homozygosity were 4.11 (P=0.0052) for cardiovascular mortality (4 deaths), 2.75 (P=0.0067) for cardiovascular events (7 endpoints) and 3.10 (P=0.022) for coronary events (4 endpoints). With adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, these hazard ratios were 6.01 (P=0.0003), 2.64 (P=0.0091) and 2.89 (P=0.010), respectively. Analyses unadjusted for blood pressure and antihypertensive treatment produced consistent results. For all fatal plus nonfatal cardiovascular events, the positive predictive value, attributable risk and population-attributable risk associated with TT homozygosity were 21.9, 61.5 and 2.0%, respectively. In conclusion, TT homozygosity at the position -665 in the eNOS promoter predicts adverse outcomes, independent of blood pressure and other risk factors.

Prevalence and prognostic relevance of cardiac involvement in ANCA-associated vasculitis: eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis and granulomatosis with polyangiitis.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the prevalence and prognostic relevance of cardiac involvement in an ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) population of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) patients. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of fifty EGPA and forty-one GPA patients in sustained remission without previous in-depth cardiac screening attending our clinical immunology outpatient department. Cardiac screening included clinical evaluation, ECG, 24-hour Holter registration, echocardiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) with coronary angiography and endomyocardial biopsy upon indication. Fifty age-, sex- and cardiovascular risk factor-matched control subjects were randomly selected from a population study. Long-term outcome was assessed using all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: A total of 91 AAV-patients (age 60±11, range 63-87years) were compared to 50-matched control subjects (age 60±9years, range 46-78years). ECG and echocardiography demonstrated cardiac abnormalities in 62% EGPA and 46% GPA patients vs 20% controls (P<0.001 and P=0.014, respectively). A total of 69 AAV-patients underwent additional CMR, slightly increasing the prevalence of cardiac involvement to 66% in EGPA and 61% in GPA patients. After a mean follow-up of 53±18months, presence of cardiac involvement using ECG and echocardiography in AAV-patients showed increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (Log-rank P=0.015 and Log-rank P=0.021, respectively). CONCLUSION: Cardiac involvement in EGPA and GPA patients with sustained remission is high, even if symptoms are absent and ECG is normal. Moreover, cardiac involvement is a strong predictor of (cardiovascular) mortality. Therefore, risk stratification using cardiac imaging is recommended in all AAV-patients, irrespective of symptoms or ECG abnormalities.

Prediction of cardiac structure and function by repeated clinic and ambulatory blood pressure.

We performed imaging echocardiography, Doppler velocimetry, and repeated clinic and ambulatory blood pressure measurements in 74 hypertensive individuals to clarify why reports differ on the strength of the relationships of left ventricular characteristics with clinic blood pressure, on the superiority of ambulatory over clinic pressure, and on the importance of day-time and nighttime pressures. Clinic pressure was measured five times with an automated device and five times with the conventional technique on 2 different days. The partial correlation coefficients of left ventricular mass and wall thickness with the first automated systolic and diastolic clinic pressures amounted to .38 to .45 (P < .001), improved with increasing numbers of measurements, and reached .56 to .58 for the average of 10 automated pressure determinations. Similar trends were observed for conventional clinic pressures. Average 24-hour pressures were significantly related to mass and wall thickness (partial r = .50 to .61, P < .001) and explained 3% to 6% (systolic) and 5% to 12% (diastolic) of the variance of cardiac structure in addition to the first automated or conventional clinic pressure (P < .05). However, when 10 clinic measurements were averaged, only diastolic 24-hour pressure added information over and above clinic pressure (P < .05); the additional explained variance was larger with regard to the conventional (+4% for mass and +7% for wall thickness) rather than the automated (+3% for wall thickness only) pressures. Mass and wall thickness were more closely related to day-time than nighttime pressures and were not independently related to day-night differences in pressure, except when men and women were considered separately; the results were similar when four different definitions of day and night were applied. Finally, the weak association of left ventricular diastolic function with blood pressure did not improve on repeated clinic or ambulatory blood pressure measurements. In conclusion, increasing numbers of measurements strengthen the relationships of clinic pressure with left ventricular mass and wall thickness and, conversely, diminish the additional predictive power of 24-hour blood pressure. The importance of nighttime pressure and of the nighttime pressure fall does not seem to depend on the definition of day and night but differs in men and women.

Prognostic value of invasive hemodynamic measurements at rest and during exercise in hypertensive men.

In 1994, we ascertained the outcome of 143 hypertensive men in whom invasive hemodynamic measurements were performed at rest and during graded bicycle exercise during the period 1972-1982 to assess (1) which of the hemodynamic components of blood pressure is associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events and total mortality, and (2) whether the hemodynamic response to dynamic exercise adds prognostic precision to the data at rest. During 2186 patient years of follow-up, 38 patients suffered at least one fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event and 17 patients died. Cox regression analysis showed that systolic pressure and systemic vascular resistance measured at rest, during submaximal exercise (50 W), and at peak effort were significant (P < .01) predictors of the age-adjusted incidence of cardiovascular events and total mortality. However, exercise blood pressure did not significantly predict the incidence of cardiovascular events over and above pressure at rest; by contrast, exercise systemic vascular resistance added prognostic precision to vascular resistance at rest (P < .01). As for total mortality, systolic pressure and systemic vascular resistance at peak exercise carried prognostic information that was independent of the results at rest (P < .05); this was not the case for measurements during submaximal exercise. We conclude that the prognostic importance of blood pressure is related to systemic vascular resistance. The prognostic precision of exercise pressure, on top of pressure at rest, is limited. Exercise systemic vascular resistance, however, provides prognostic information beyond that available from measurements at rest, particularly for the incidence of cardiovascular events.