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1.
Am J Public Health ; 114(10): 1071-1080, 2024 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052959

ABSTRACT

Mortality surveillance systems can have limitations, including reporting delays, incomplete reporting, missing data, and insufficient detail on important risk or sociodemographic factors that can impact the accuracy of estimates of current trends, disease severity, and related disparities across subpopulations. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention used multiple data systems during the COVID-19 emergency response-line-level case‒death surveillance, aggregate death surveillance, and the National Vital Statistics System-to collectively provide more comprehensive and timely information on COVID-19‒associated mortality necessary for informed decisions. This article will review in detail the line-level, aggregate, and National Vital Statistics System surveillance systems and the purpose and use of each. This retrospective review of the hybrid surveillance systems strategy may serve as an example for adaptive informational approaches needed over the course of future public health emergencies. (Am J Public Health. 2024;114(10):1071-1080. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2024.307743).


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Humans , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , United States/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Population Surveillance/methods , Pandemics/prevention & control , Vital Statistics , Retrospective Studies
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(1): 148-156, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34932450

ABSTRACT

We compared case definitions for suspected, probable, and confirmed coronavirus disease (COVID-19), as well as diagnostic testing criteria, used in the 25 countries with the highest reported case counts as of October 1, 2020. Of the identified countries, 56% followed World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations for using a combination of clinical and epidemiologic criteria as part of the suspected case definition. A total of 75% of identified countries followed WHO recommendations on using clinical, epidemiologic, and diagnostic criteria for probable cases; 72% followed WHO recommendations to use PCR testing to confirm COVID-19. Finally, 64% of countries used testing eligibility criteria at least as permissive as WHO. We observed marked heterogeneity in testing eligibility requirements and in how countries define a COVID-19 case. This heterogeneity affects the ability to compare case counts, transmission, and vaccine effectiveness, as well as estimates derived from case surveillance data across countries.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccine Efficacy , Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , World Health Organization
3.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(36): 1249-1254, 2021 09 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34499628

ABSTRACT

Although COVID-19 generally results in milder disease in children and adolescents than in adults, severe illness from COVID-19 can occur in children and adolescents and might require hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) support (1-3). It is not known whether the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant,* which has been the predominant variant of SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes COVID-19) in the United States since late June 2021,† causes different clinical outcomes in children and adolescents compared with variants that circulated earlier. To assess trends among children and adolescents, CDC analyzed new COVID-19 cases, emergency department (ED) visits with a COVID-19 diagnosis code, and hospital admissions of patients with confirmed COVID-19 among persons aged 0-17 years during August 1, 2020-August 27, 2021. Since July 2021, after Delta had become the predominant circulating variant, the rate of new COVID-19 cases and COVID-19-related ED visits increased for persons aged 0-4, 5-11, and 12-17 years, and hospital admissions of patients with confirmed COVID-19 increased for persons aged 0-17 years. Among persons aged 0-17 years during the most recent 2-week period (August 14-27, 2021), COVID-19-related ED visits and hospital admissions in the states with the lowest vaccination coverage were 3.4 and 3.7 times that in the states with the highest vaccination coverage, respectively. At selected hospitals, the proportion of COVID-19 patients aged 0-17 years who were admitted to an ICU ranged from 10% to 25% during August 2020-June 2021 and was 20% and 18% during July and August 2021, respectively. Broad, community-wide vaccination of all eligible persons is a critical component of mitigation strategies to protect pediatric populations from SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 illness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Facilities and Services Utilization/trends , Hospitalization/trends , Adolescent , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Severity of Illness Index , United States/epidemiology , Vaccination Coverage/statistics & numerical data
4.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(37): 1284-1290, 2021 Sep 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34529637

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough infection surveillance helps monitor trends in disease incidence and severe outcomes in fully vaccinated persons, including the impact of the highly transmissible B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Reported COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths occurring among persons aged ≥18 years during April 4-July 17, 2021, were analyzed by vaccination status across 13 U.S. jurisdictions that routinely linked case surveillance and immunization registry data. Averaged weekly, age-standardized incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for cases among persons who were not fully vaccinated compared with those among fully vaccinated persons decreased from 11.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.8-15.8) to 4.6 (95% CI = 2.5-8.5) between two periods when prevalence of the Delta variant was lower (<50% of sequenced isolates; April 4-June 19) and higher (≥50%; June 20-July 17), and IRRs for hospitalizations and deaths decreased between the same two periods, from 13.3 (95% CI = 11.3-15.6) to 10.4 (95% CI = 8.1-13.3) and from 16.6 (95% CI = 13.5-20.4) to 11.3 (95% CI = 9.1-13.9). Findings were consistent with a potential decline in vaccine protection against confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and continued strong protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and death. Getting vaccinated protects against severe illness from COVID-19, including the Delta variant, and monitoring COVID-19 incidence by vaccination status might provide early signals of changes in vaccine-related protection that can be confirmed through well-controlled vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/therapy , Humans , Incidence , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
5.
PLoS Med ; 15(9): e1002658, 2018 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30216354

ABSTRACT

In a Perspective on the research article from Jacobson and colleagues, Amitabh Suthar and colleagues from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention discuss the importance of and considerations for developing real-time and large-scale reporting systems for tracking and controlling antimicrobial resistance.


Subject(s)
Drug Resistance, Microbial , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/microbiology , Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Humans , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , National Health Programs/trends , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy
6.
Bull World Health Organ ; 96(2): 110-121E, 2018 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29403114

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To respond to the World Health Assembly call for dissemination of lessons learnt from countries that have begun implementing the International Health Regulations, 2005 revision; IHR (2005). METHODS: In November 2015, we conducted a systematic search of the following online databases and sources: PubMed®, Embase®, Global Health, Scopus, World Health Organization (WHO) Global Index Medicus, WHO Bulletin on IHR Implementation and the International Society for Disease Surveillance. We included identified studies and reports summarizing national experience in implementing any of the IHR (2005) core capacities or their components. We excluded studies that were theoretical or referred to IHR (1969). Qualitative systematic review methodology, including meta-ethnography, was used for qualitative synthesis. FINDINGS: We analysed 51 articles from 77 countries representing all WHO Regions. The meta-syntheses identified a total of 44 lessons learnt across the eight core capacities of IHR (2005). Major themes included the need to mobilize and sustain political commitment; to adapt global requirements based on local sociocultural, epidemiological, health system and economic contexts; and to conduct baseline and follow-up assessments to monitor the status of IHR (2005) implementation. CONCLUSION: Although experiences of IHR (2005) implementation covered a wide global range, more documentation from Africa and Eastern Europe is needed. We did not find specific areas of weakness in monitoring IHR (2005); sustained monitoring of all core capacities is required to ensure effective systems. These lessons learnt could be adapted by countries in the process of meeting IHR (2005) requirements.


Subject(s)
Communicable Disease Control , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Global Health , International Cooperation/legislation & jurisprudence , Public Health/legislation & jurisprudence , Sentinel Surveillance , Social Control, Formal , World Health Organization
7.
PLoS Med ; 14(12): e1002469, 2017 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29232374

ABSTRACT

In a Perspective, Amitabh Suthar and Till Bärnighausen discuss progress made so far in reducing HIV-related mortality in South Africa and keys towards further population mortality reductions going forward.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Adult , Anti-Retroviral Agents , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active , Humans , Models, Theoretical , South Africa
8.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 17(1): 6, 2017 01 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28052771

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although domestic HIV/AIDS financing is increasing, international HIV/AIDS financing has plateaued. Providing incentives for the health system (i.e. performance-based financing [PBF]) may help countries achieve more with available resources. We systematically reviewed effects of PBF on HIV/AIDS service delivery to inform WHO guidelines. METHODS: PubMed, WHO Index Medicus, conference databases, and clinical trial registries were searched in April 2015 for randomised trials, comparative contemporaneous studies, or time-series studies. Studies evaluating PBF in people with HIV were included when they reported service quality, access, or cost. Meta-analyses were not possible due to limited data. This study is registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42015023207. RESULTS: Four studies, published from 2009 to 2015 and including 173,262 people, met the eligibility criteria. All studies were from Sub-Saharan Africa. PBF did not improve individual testing coverage (relative risk [RR], 1.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89 to 1.13), improved couples testing coverage (RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.20), and improved pregnant women testing coverage (RR 1.29, 95% CI 1.28-1.30). PBF improved coverage of antiretrovirals in pregnant women (RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.50 to 1.59), infants (RR 1.92, 95% CI 1.84 to 2.01), and adults (RR 1.74, 1.64 to 1.85). PBF reduced attrition (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.96) and treatment failure (odds ratio 0.55, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.97). Potential harms were not reported. CONCLUSIONS: Although the limited data suggests PBF positively affected HIV service access and quality, critical health system and governance knowledge gaps remain. More research is needed to inform national policymaking.


Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care/economics , HIV Infections/economics , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/drug therapy , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/economics , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/prevention & control , Adult , Africa South of the Sahara , Anti-HIV Agents/economics , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Communicable Disease Control/economics , Female , Financing, Organized/economics , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Health Services Accessibility/economics , Humans , Pregnancy , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Reimbursement, Incentive/economics , Universal Health Insurance/economics
9.
J Infect Dis ; 212(9): 1351-60, 2015 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26310309

ABSTRACT

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection includes acute, early, chronic, and late stages. Acute HIV infection lasts approximately 3 weeks and early HIV infection, which includes acute HIV infection, lasts approximately 7 weeks. Many testing and blood screening algorithms detect HIV antibodies about 3 weeks after HIV infection. Incidence estimates are based on results of modeling, cohort studies, surveillance, and/or assays. Viral load is the key modifiable risk factor for HIV transmission and peaks during acute and early HIV infection. Empirical evidence characterizing the impact of acute and early HIV infection on the spread of the HIV epidemic are limited. Time trends of HIV prevalence collected from concentrated and generalized epidemics suggest that acute and early HIV infection may have a limited role in population HIV transmission. Collectively, these data suggest that acute and early HIV infection is relatively short and does not currently require fundamentally different programmatic approaches to manage the HIV/AIDS epidemic in most settings. Research and surveillance will inform which epidemic contexts and phases may require tailored strategies for these stages of HIV infection.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/diagnosis , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/transmission , Acute Disease , Biomarkers/blood , HIV Antibodies/blood , Humans , Incidence , Models, Theoretical , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Viral Load
10.
PLoS Med ; 12(3): e1001795, 2015 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25757228

ABSTRACT

In light of new treatment regimens for hepatitis C, Amitabh Suthar and Anthony Harries outline a wider public health approach for tackling the disease.


Subject(s)
Developing Countries , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C/prevention & control , Public Health , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Hepatitis C/drug therapy , Hepatitis C/transmission , Hepatitis C/virology , Humans , Income
12.
Curr HIV/AIDS Rep ; 11(4): 487-95, 2014 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25472886

ABSTRACT

Vietnam has a concentrated HIV epidemic, with the highest HIV prevalence being observed among people who inject drugs (PWID). Based on its experience scaling-up robust HIV interventions, Vietnam aims to further strengthen its response by harnessing the preventive benefits of antiretroviral therapy (ART). Mathematical modelling suggests that prioritizing key populations for earlier access to ART, combined with other prevention interventions, may have significant impact on the epidemic, cost-effectively reducing new HIV infections and deaths. Pilot studies are being conducted to assess feasibility and acceptability of expansion of HIV testing and counselling (HTC) and early ART among key populations and to demonstrate innovative service delivery models to address challenges in uptake of services across the care cascade. Earlier access of key populations to combination prevention interventions, combined with sustained political commitment and supportive environment for key populations, are essential for maximum impact of ART on the HIV epidemic in Vietnam.


Subject(s)
Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Anti-Retroviral Agents/economics , HIV/pathogenicity , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Humans , Models, Theoretical , Vietnam/epidemiology
13.
PLoS Med ; 10(8): e1001496, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23966838

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Effective national and global HIV responses require a significant expansion of HIV testing and counselling (HTC) to expand access to prevention and care. Facility-based HTC, while essential, is unlikely to meet national and global targets on its own. This article systematically reviews the evidence for community-based HTC. METHODS AND FINDINGS: PubMed was searched on 4 March 2013, clinical trial registries were searched on 3 September 2012, and Embase and the World Health Organization Global Index Medicus were searched on 10 April 2012 for studies including community-based HTC (i.e., HTC outside of health facilities). Randomised controlled trials, and observational studies were eligible if they included a community-based testing approach and reported one or more of the following outcomes: uptake, proportion receiving their first HIV test, CD4 value at diagnosis, linkage to care, HIV positivity rate, HTC coverage, HIV incidence, or cost per person tested (outcomes are defined fully in the text). The following community-based HTC approaches were reviewed: (1) door-to-door testing (systematically offering HTC to homes in a catchment area), (2) mobile testing for the general population (offering HTC via a mobile HTC service), (3) index testing (offering HTC to household members of people with HIV and persons who may have been exposed to HIV), (4) mobile testing for men who have sex with men, (5) mobile testing for people who inject drugs, (6) mobile testing for female sex workers, (7) mobile testing for adolescents, (8) self-testing, (9) workplace HTC, (10) church-based HTC, and (11) school-based HTC. The Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale and the Cochrane Collaboration's "risk of bias" tool were used to assess the risk of bias in studies with a comparator arm included in pooled estimates. 117 studies, including 864,651 participants completing HTC, met the inclusion criteria. The percentage of people offered community-based HTC who accepted HTC was as follows: index testing, 88% of 12,052 participants; self-testing, 87% of 1,839 participants; mobile testing, 87% of 79,475 participants; door-to-door testing, 80% of 555,267 participants; workplace testing, 67% of 62,406 participants; and school-based testing, 62% of 2,593 participants. Mobile HTC uptake among key populations (men who have sex with men, people who inject drugs, female sex workers, and adolescents) ranged from 9% to 100% (among 41,110 participants across studies), with heterogeneity related to how testing was offered. Community-based approaches increased HTC uptake (relative risk [RR] 10.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.27-18.08), the proportion of first-time testers (RR 1.23, 95% CI 1.06-1.42), and the proportion of participants with CD4 counts above 350 cells/µl (RR 1.42, 95% CI 1.16-1.74), and obtained a lower positivity rate (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.37-0.96), relative to facility-based approaches. 80% (95% CI 75%-85%) of 5,832 community-based HTC participants obtained a CD4 measurement following HIV diagnosis, and 73% (95% CI 61%-85%) of 527 community-based HTC participants initiated antiretroviral therapy following a CD4 measurement indicating eligibility. The data on linking participants without HIV to prevention services were limited. In low- and middle-income countries, the cost per person tested ranged from US$2-US$126. At the population level, community-based HTC increased HTC coverage (RR 7.07, 95% CI 3.52-14.22) and reduced HIV incidence (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.02), although the incidence reduction lacked statistical significance. No studies reported any harm arising as a result of having been tested. CONCLUSIONS: Community-based HTC achieved high rates of HTC uptake, reached people with high CD4 counts, and linked people to care. It also obtained a lower HIV positivity rate relative to facility-based approaches. Further research is needed to further improve acceptability of community-based HTC for key populations. HIV programmes should offer community-based HTC linked to prevention and care, in addition to facility-based HTC, to support increased access to HIV prevention, care, and treatment. REVIEW REGISTRATION: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD42012002554 Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/diagnosis , Mass Screening/methods , Female , Humans , Male
14.
Bull World Health Organ ; 91(1): 46-56, 2013 Jan 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23397350

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether integrating antiretroviral therapy (ART) into antenatal care (ANC) and maternal and child health (MCH) clinics could improve programmatic and patient outcomes. METHODS: The authors systematically searched PubMed, Embase, African Index Medicus and LiLACS for randomized controlled trials, prospective cohort studies, or retrospective cohort studies comparing outcomes in ANC or MCH clinics that had and had not integrated ART. The outcomes of interest were ART coverage, ART enrolment, ART retention, mortality and transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). FINDINGS: Four studies met the inclusion criteria. All were conducted in ANC clinics. Increased enrolment of pregnant women in ART was observed in ANC clinics that had integrated ART (relative risk, RR: 2.09; 95% confidence interval, CI; 1.78-2.46; I(2): 15%). Increased ART coverage was also noted in such clinics (RR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.05-1.79; I(2): 83%). Sensitivity analyses revealed a trend for the national prevalence of HIV infection to explain the heterogeneity in the size of the effect of ART integration on ART coverage (P = 0.13). Retention in ART was similar in ANC clinics with and without ART integration. CONCLUSION: Although few data were available, ART integration in ANC clinics appears to lead to higher rates of ART enrolment and ART coverage. Rates of retention in ART remain similar to those observed in referral-based models.


Résumé OBJECTIF: Déterminer si l'intégration de la thérapie antirétrovirale (TAR) dans les établissements de soins prénataux (ESP) et de santé maternelle et infantile (SMI) pourrait améliorer les résultats du programme et la santé du patient. MÉTHODES: Les auteurs ont systématiquement recherché via PubMed, Embase, African Index Medicus et LILACS des essais contrôlés randomisés, des études de cohorte prospectives et des études de cohorte rétrospectives comparant les résultats des cliniques ESP ou SMI ayant ou n'ayant pas intégré la TAR. Les résultats pris en compte comprenaient la couverture, la participation et la rétention de la TAR, ainsi que la mortalité et la transmission du virus d'immunodéficience humaine (VIH). RÉSULTATS: Quatre études répondaient aux critères d'inclusion. Toutes ont été menées dans des cliniques ESP. Une participation accrue des femmes enceintes à la TAR a été observée dans les cliniques ESP qui l'avaient intégrée (risque relatif, RR: 2,09; intervalle de confiance IC à 95%: 1,78 à 2,46; I: 15%). Une couverture plus importante de la TAR a également été notée dans ces cliniques (RR: 1,37; IC à 95%: 1,05 à 1,79; I: 83%). Les analyses de sensibilité ont révélé une tendance à la prévalence nationale de l'infection par le VIH pour expliquer l'hétérogénéité de la taille de l'effet de l'intégration de la TAR sur sa couverture (P = 0,13). La rétention de la TAR était similaire dans les cliniques ESP avec ou sans intégration de la TAR. CONCLUSION: Bien que peu de données aient été disponibles, l'intégration de la TAR dans les cliniques ESP semblait entraîner une augmentation des taux de participation et de couverture de la TAR. Les taux de rétention de la TAR restent semblables à ceux qui sont observés dans les modèles de référence.


Resumen OBJETIVO: Determinar si la integración del tratamiento antirretroviral (TAR) en la atención prenatal (APN) y la salud materno-infantil (SMI) podría mejorar los resultados programáticos y del paciente. MÉTODOS: Partiendo de las bases de datos PubMed, Embase, Index Medicus de la Región de África y LiLACS, los autores realizaron búsquedas sistemáticas de ensayos controlados aleatorizados, estudios de cohortes prospectivos o estudios de cohortes retrospectivos en los que se compararon los resultados en clínicas de APN o SMI que habían y que no habían integrado el TAR. Los resultados de interés fueron la cobertura del TAR, la inclusión en el TAR, la retención en el TAR, la mortalidad y la transmisión del virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH). RESULTADOS: Cuatro estudios cumplieron los criterios de inclusión. Todos ellos se realizaron en clínicas de APN. Se observó un aumento de la inclusión de mujeres embarazadas en el TAR en aquellas clínicas de APN que se habían integrado el TAR (riesgo relativo, RR: 2,09, intervalo de confianza del 95%, IC; 1,78-2,46; I: 15%). En estas clínicas también se observó un aumento de la cobertura del TAR (RR: 1,37; IC del 95%: 1,05­1,79; I: 83%). Los análisis de sensibilidad revelaron una tendencia en la prevalencia nacional de la infección por el VIH para explicar la heterogeneidad en la magnitud del efecto de la integración del TAR sobre la cobertura del TAR (P=0,13). La retención en el TAR fue similar en las clínicas de APN con y sin integración del TAR. CONCLUSIÓN: A pesar de la escasez de los datos disponibles, la integración del TAR en las clínicas de APN parece traducirse en mayores tasas de inclusión en el TAR y de cobertura del TAR. Las tasas de retención en el TAR siguen siendo similares a las observadas en los modelos basados en derivaciones médicas.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/drug therapy , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical/prevention & control , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/drug therapy , Prenatal Care , Female , HIV Infections/transmission , Humans , Maternal-Child Health Centers/organization & administration , Pregnancy
15.
Public Health Rep ; 138(3): 428-437, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36960828

ABSTRACT

Early during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) leveraged an existing surveillance system infrastructure to monitor COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States. Given the time needed to report individual-level (also called line-level) COVID-19 case and death data containing detailed information from individual case reports, CDC designed and implemented a new aggregate case surveillance system to inform emergency response decisions more efficiently, with timelier indicators of emerging areas of concern. We describe the processes implemented by CDC to operationalize this novel, multifaceted aggregate surveillance system for collecting COVID-19 case and death data to track the spread and impact of the SARS-CoV-2 virus at national, state, and county levels. We also review the processes established to acquire, process, and validate the aggregate number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States at the county and jurisdiction levels during the pandemic. These processes include time-saving tools and strategies implemented to collect and validate authoritative COVID-19 case and death data from jurisdictions, such as web scraping to automate data collection and algorithms to identify and correct data anomalies. This topical review highlights the need to prepare for future emergencies, such as novel disease outbreaks, by having an event-agnostic aggregate surveillance system infrastructure in place to supplement line-level case reporting for near-real-time situational awareness and timely data.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , United States/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.
16.
PLoS Med ; 9(7): e1001270, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22911011

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is the strongest risk factor for developing tuberculosis and has fuelled its resurgence, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. In 2010, there were an estimated 1.1 million incident cases of tuberculosis among the 34 million people living with HIV worldwide. Antiretroviral therapy has substantial potential to prevent HIV-associated tuberculosis. We conducted a systematic review of studies that analysed the impact of antiretroviral therapy on the incidence of tuberculosis in adults with HIV infection. METHODS AND FINDINGS: PubMed, Embase, African Index Medicus, LILACS, and clinical trial registries were systematically searched. Randomised controlled trials, prospective cohort studies, and retrospective cohort studies were included if they compared tuberculosis incidence by antiretroviral therapy status in HIV-infected adults for a median of over 6 mo in developing countries. For the meta-analyses there were four categories based on CD4 counts at antiretroviral therapy initiation: (1) less than 200 cells/µl, (2) 200 to 350 cells/µl, (3) greater than 350 cells/µl, and (4) any CD4 count. Eleven studies met the inclusion criteria. Antiretroviral therapy is strongly associated with a reduction in the incidence of tuberculosis in all baseline CD4 count categories: (1) less than 200 cells/µl (hazard ratio [HR] 0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.07 to 0.36), (2) 200 to 350 cells/µl (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.60), (3) greater than 350 cells/µl (HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.63), and (4) any CD4 count (HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.44). There was no evidence of hazard ratio modification with respect to baseline CD4 count category (p = 0.20). CONCLUSIONS: Antiretroviral therapy is strongly associated with a reduction in the incidence of tuberculosis across all CD4 count strata. Earlier initiation of antiretroviral therapy may be a key component of global and national strategies to control the HIV-associated tuberculosis syndemic. REVIEW REGISTRATION: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD42011001209 Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/prevention & control , Adult , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , HIV Infections/immunology , Humans , Quality Assurance, Health Care/standards , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Tuberculosis/complications
17.
Bull World Health Organ ; 90(2): 128C-138C, 2012 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22423164

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether cotrimoxazole reduces mortality in adults receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in low- and middle-income countries through a systematic review and meta-analysis. METHODS: PubMed and Embase were searched for randomized controlled trials and prospective and retrospective cohort studies that compared mortality or morbidity in HIV-infected individuals aged ≥ 13 years on cotrimoxazole and ART and on ART alone. The Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale was used to assess selection, confounding and measurement bias. Publication bias was assessed using Egger's and Begg's tests. Sensitivity analysis was performed because the I-squared statistic indicated substantial heterogeneity in study results. A random-effects model was used for meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Nine studies were included. Begg and Egger P-values for the seven that reported the effect of cotrimoxazole on mortality were 0.29 and 0.49, respectively, suggesting no publication bias. The I-squared statistic was 93.2%, indicating high heterogeneity in study results. The sensitivity analysis showed that neither the follow-up duration nor the percentage of individuals with World Health Organization stage 3 or 4 HIV disease at baseline explained the heterogeneity. The summary estimate of the effect of cotrimoxazole on the incidence rate of death was 0.42 (95% confidence interval: 0.29-0.61). Since most studies followed participants for less than 1 year, it was not possible to determine whether cotrimoxazole can be stopped safely after ART-induced immune reconstitution. CONCLUSION: Cotrimoxazole significantly increased survival in HIV-infected adults on ART. Further research is needed to determine the optimum duration of cotrimoxazole treatment in these patients.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/mortality , Trimethoprim, Sulfamethoxazole Drug Combination/therapeutic use , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Confidence Intervals , Global Health , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Humans , Mortality/trends , Odds Ratio , Statistics as Topic , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
18.
J Infect Dis ; 213(12): 2021-2, 2016 06 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27020094
19.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 29(10): 1807-1809, 2022 09 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35666140

ABSTRACT

During the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) supplemented traditional COVID-19 case and death reporting with COVID-19 aggregate case and death surveillance (ACS) to track daily cumulative numbers. Later, as public health jurisdictions (PHJs) revised the historical COVID-19 case and death data due to data reconciliation and updates, CDC devised a manual process to update these records in the ACS dataset for improving the accuracy of COVID-19 case and death data. Automatic data transfer via an application programming interface (API), an intermediary that enables software applications to communicate, reduces the time and effort in transferring data from PHJs to CDC. However, APIs must meet specific content requirements for use by CDC. As of March 2022, CDC has integrated APIs from 3 jurisdictions for COVID-19 ACS. Expanded use of APIs may provide efficiencies for COVID-19 and other emergency response planning efforts as evidenced by this proof-of-concept. In this article, we share the utility of APIs in COVID-19 ACS.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Public Health , Software , United States/epidemiology
20.
Antivir Ther ; 27(3): 13596535221102690, 2022 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35593031

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We assessed the prevalence of acquired HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) and associated factors among patients receiving first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Rwanda. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 702 patients receiving first-line ART for at least 6 months with last viral load (VL) results ≥1000 copies/mL. Blood plasma samples were subjected to VL testing; specimens with unsuppressed VL were genotyped to identify HIVDR-associated mutations. Data were analysed using STATA/SE. RESULTS: Median time on ART was 86.4 months (interquartile range [IQR], 44.8-130.2 months), and median CD4 count at ART initiation was 311 cells/mm3 (IQR, 197-484 cells/mm3). Of 414 (68.2%) samples with unsuppressed VL, 378 (88.3%) were genotyped. HIVDR included 347 (90.4%) non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor- (NNRTI), 291 (75.5%) nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor- (NRTI) and 13 (3.5%) protease inhibitor (PI) resistance-associated mutations. The most common HIVDR mutations were K65R (22.7%), M184V (15.4%) and D67N (9.8%) for NRTIs and K103N (34.4%) and Y181C/I/V/YC (7%) for NNRTIs. Independent predictors of acquired HIVDR included current ART regimen of zidovudine + lamivudine + nevirapine (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 3.333 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.022-10.870]; p = 0.046) for NRTI resistance and current ART regimen of tenofovir + emtricitabine + nevirapine (aOR, 0.148 [95% CI: 0.028-0.779]; p = 0.025), zidovudine + lamivudine + efavirenz (aOR, 0.105 [95% CI: 0.016-0.693]; p = 0.020) and zidovudine + lamivudine + nevirapine (aOR, 0.259 [95% CI: 0.084-0.793]; p = 0.019) for NNRTI resistance. History of ever switching ART regimen was associated with NRTI resistance (aOR, 2.53 [95% CI: 1.198-5.356]; p = 0.016) and NNRTI resistance (aOR, 3.23 [95% CI: 1.435-7.278], p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of acquired HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) was high among patient failing to re-suppress VL and was associated with current ART regimen and ever switching ART regimen. The findings of this study support the current WHO guidelines recommending that patients on an NNRTI-based regimen should be switched based on a single viral load test and suggests that national HIV VL monitoring of patients receiving ART has prevented long-term treatment failure that would result in the accumulation of TAMs and potential loss of efficacy of all NRTI used in second-line ART as the backbone in combination with either dolutegravir or boosted PIs.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , HIV-1 , Adult , Anti-HIV Agents/pharmacology , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-Retroviral Agents/pharmacology , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cross-Sectional Studies , Drug Resistance, Viral/genetics , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV-1/genetics , Humans , Lamivudine/therapeutic use , Nevirapine/therapeutic use , Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors/pharmacology , Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Rwanda/epidemiology , Viral Load , Zidovudine/therapeutic use
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