Scoring system for diagnosis and pretreatment risk assessment of neuroblastoma using urinary biomarker combinations.

The urinary catecholamine metabolites, homovanillic acid (HVA) and vanillylmandelic acid (VMA), are used for the adjunctive diagnosis of neuroblastomas. We aimed to develop a scoring system for the diagnosis and pretreatment risk assessment of neuroblastoma, incorporating age and other urinary catecholamine metabolite combinations. Urine samples from 227 controls (227 samples) and 68 patients with neuroblastoma (228 samples) were evaluated. First, the catecholamine metabolites vanillactic acid (VLA) and 3-methoxytyramine sulfate (MTS) were identified as urinary marker candidates through comprehensive analysis using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. The concentrations of these marker candidates and conventional markers were then compared among controls, patients, and numerous risk groups to develop a scoring system. Participants were classified into four groups: control, low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk, and the proportional odds model was fitted using the L2-penalized maximum likelihood method, incorporating age on a monthly scale for adjustment. This scoring model using the novel urine catecholamine metabolite combinations, VLA and MTS, had greater area under the curve values than the model using HVA and VMA for diagnosis (0.978 vs. 0.964), pretreatment risk assessment (low and intermediate risk vs. high risk: 0.866 vs. 0.724; low risk vs. intermediate and high risk: 0.871 vs. 0.680), and prognostic factors (MYCN status: 0.741 vs. 0.369, histology: 0.932 vs. 0.747). The new system also had greater accuracy in detecting missing high-risk neuroblastomas, and in predicting the pretreatment risk at the time of screening. The new scoring system employing VLA and MTS has the potential to replace the conventional adjunctive diagnostic method using HVA and VMA.

A New Criterion for Determining a Cutoff Value Based on the Biases of Incidence Proportions in the Presence of Non-differential Outcome Misclassifications.

When conducting database studies, researchers sometimes use an algorithm known as "case definition," "outcome definition," or "computable phenotype" to identify the outcome of interest. Generally, algorithms are created by combining multiple variables and codes, and we need to select the most appropriate one to apply to the database study. Validation studies compare algorithms with the gold standard and calculate indicators such as sensitivity and specificity to assess their validities. As the indicators are calculated for each algorithm, selecting an algorithm is equivalent to choosing a pair of sensitivity and specificity. Therefore, receiver operating characteristic curves can be utilized, and two intuitive criteria are commonly used. However, neither was conceived to reduce the biases of effect measures (e.g., risk difference and risk ratio), which are important in database studies. In this study, we evaluated two existing criteria from perspectives of the biases and found that one of them, called the Youden index always minimizes the bias of the risk difference regardless of the true incidence proportions under nondifferential outcome misclassifications. However, both criteria may lead to inaccurate estimates of absolute risks, and such property is undesirable in decision-making. Therefore, we propose a new criterion based on minimizing the sum of the squared biases of absolute risks to estimate them more accurately. Subsequently, we apply all criteria to the data from the actual validation study on postsurgical infections and present the results of a sensitivity analysis to examine the robustness of the assumption our proposed criterion requires.

Real-world treatment outcomes of metastatic biliary tract cancer patients in Japan: the Tokushukai REAl-world data project 04 (TREAD 04).

OBJECTIVES: To investigate temporal trends in treatment patterns and prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with metastatic biliary tract cancer. METHODS: From the Tokushukai REAl-world Data project, we identified 945 patients with metastatic biliary tract cancer treated with gemcitabine, tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil, gemcitabine plus cisplatin, gemcitabine plus tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil or gemcitabine plus cisplatin and tegafur/gimeracil/oteracil between April 2010 and March 2022. Stratified/conventional Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between overall survival and patient- and tumour-related factors, study period, hospital volume, hospital type and first-line chemotherapy regimen. Using inverse probability of treatment weighting with propensity scores, overall survival was also compared between monotherapy and combination therapy groups. RESULTS: We enrolled 366 patients (199 men; median age, 72 years). Over a median follow-up of 5.2 months, the median overall survival was 7.0 months (95% confidence interval 6.2-9.0), and the median time to treatment failure was 3.5 months (95% confidence interval 3.1-4.5). Median overall survival and time to treatment failure for gemcitabine/tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil/gemcitabine plus cisplatin/gemcitabine plus tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil/gemcitabine plus cisplatin and tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil regimen were 6.2/6.6/7.9/16.2/15.1 and 2.8/3.4/4.1/15.3/7.4 months, respectively. Primary disease site, previous surgery, previous endoscopic procedures and hospital type were identified as significant prognostic factors. Inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis demonstrated that combination therapy had a significantly better prognosis than monotherapy (hazard ratio 0.61, 95% confidence interval 0.43-0.88, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Our real-world data analysis showed that standard care for metastatic biliary tract cancer is widely used in hospitals throughout Japan and verified the survival benefits of combination therapy over monotherapy observed in prior clinical trials. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: UMIN000050590 (http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm).

The effect of epidermal growth factor receptor mutation on adjuvant chemotherapy with tegafur/uracil for patients with completely resected, non-lymph node metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (> 2 cm): a multicenter, retrospective, observational study as exploratory analysis of the CSPOR-LC03 study.

BACKGROUND: The use of adjuvant osimertinib for epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutants is expected to expand to earlier stage I in the future, potentially competing with the current standard of care, oral tegafur/uracil (UFT), in Japan. However, the effect of EGFR mutation status on the therapeutic effect of UFT remains unclear. This study was conducted as an exploratory analysis of a retrospective observational study that investigated the real-world data of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in Japan (CSPOR-LC03). METHODS: Between 2008 and 2013, 1812 patients with completely resected adenocarcinoma diagnosed as pathologic stage I (T1 > 2 cm, TNM classification, sixth edition) who have maintained organ function, and no history of other cancers were included. The primary endpoint was the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate, and we compared this rate between four groups classified based on the administration of adjuvant UFT and EGFR mutation status. RESULTS: Of the 933 (51%) patients with EGFR mutations, 394 underwent adjuvant UFT therapy. Of the 879 (49%) patients without EGFR mutations, 393 underwent adjuvant UFT therapy. The 5-year DFS of UFT+/EGFR+ and UFT-/EGFR+ patients were 82.0 and 87.1%, respectively, and those of UFT+/EGFR- and UFT-/EGFR- patients were 80.0 and 86.9%, respectively. DFS was significantly worse in the UFT+ group than in the UFT- group (P = 0.015). Adjuvant UFT therapy was not an independent prognostic factor for DFS, regardless of the EGFR mutation status. CONCLUSION: In pathologic stage I (>2 cm) lung adenocarcinomas with EGFR mutation, the survival benefit of adjuvant UFT was not observed.

Multi-institutional study of osimertinib dose-optimization in non-small cell lung cancer patients with EGFR activating mutation aged 70 years or older ('MONEY' trial).

Osimertinib is the standard of care for patients with epidermal growth factor receptor-activating mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer. Dose-toxicity has been previously reported, but no dose-response data within the range of 20-240 mg daily (mg/d). Thus, the current 80 mg/d dosing might be too high for elderly Japanese patients with an average body weight of only 50 kg, resulting in excessive toxicity and cost. We therefore initiated a study to investigate whether osimertinib at 40 mg/d is non-inferior to 80 mg/d in patients with advanced or recurrent epidermal growth factor receptor-activating mutation-positive non-small cell lung cancer aged ≥70 years, using a regression discontinuity design. Osimertinib is administered at 40 mg/d for body weight ≤50 kg, and 80 mg/d for body weight >50 kg. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival. Sample size is 550 patients, based on a non-inferiority margin of the progression-free survival hazard ratio 1.333, 0.10 one-sided type I error and 80% power.

Importance of circulating leptin and adiponectin in the causal pathways between obesity and the development of colorectal cancer in Japanese men.

BACKGROUND: The mechanistic associations between obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remain unclear. Here, using body mass index (BMI) as an obesity indicator, we decomposed the total effects of obesity on the risk of CRC into: (1) direct effects, which are possibly mediated by unmeasured or currently unknown factors; (2) indirect effects mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin; and (3) indirect effects that are not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin but by hyperinsulinemia and chronic inflammation (assessed via circulating connecting peptide and C-reactive protein, respectively). METHODS: We adopted a causal mediation framework, using data from a large prospective cohort study of 44,271 Japanese men. RESULTS: BMI was not associated with the risk of CRC due to direct and indirect effects that were not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin. By contrast, individuals with BMIs of 25.0-27.4 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.69) and ≥27.5 kg/m2 (risk ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.68) had a higher risk of CRC due to indirect effects of circulating leptin and adiponectin. CONCLUSIONS: Our mediation analyses suggest that the association between BMI and CRC risk may be largely mediated by a pathway involving circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Final analyses of the prospective controlled trial on the efficacy of uracil and tegafur/leucovorin as an adjuvant treatment for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score-based methods (JFMC46-1201).

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) has not been well established. Using propensity score matching, we previously reported that the 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was significantly higher in patients treated with uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) against surgery alone. We report the final results, including updated 5-year overall survival (OS) rates and risk factor analysis outcomes. METHODS: In total, 1902 high-risk stage II CC patients with T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, and/or < 12 dissected lymph nodes were enrolled in this prospective, non-randomized controlled study based on their self-selected treatment. Oral UFT/LV therapy was administered for six months after surgery. RESULTS: Of the 1880 eligible patients, 402 in Group A (surgery alone) and 804 in Group B (UFT/LV) were propensity score-matched. The 5-year DFS rate was significantly higher in Group B than in Group A (P = 0.0008). The 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between groups. The inverse probability of treatment weighting revealed significantly higher 5-year DFS (P = 0.0006) and 5-year OS (P = 0.0122) rates in group B than in group A. Multivariate analyses revealed that male sex, age ≥ 70 years, T4, < 12 dissected lymph nodes, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were significant risk factors for DFS and/or OS. CONCLUSION: The follow-up data from our prospective non-randomized controlled study revealed a considerable survival advantage in DFS offered by adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV administered for six months over surgery alone in individuals with high-risk stage II CC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCTs031180155 (date of registration: 25/02/2019), UMIN Clinical Trials Registry: UMIN000007783 (date of registration: 18/04/2012).

Valid instrumental variable selection method using negative control outcomes and constructing efficient estimator.

In observational studies, instrumental variable (IV) methods are commonly applied when there are unmeasured covariates. In Mendelian randomization, constructing an allele score using many single nucleotide polymorphisms is often implemented; however, estimating biased causal effects by including some invalid IVs poses some risks. Invalid IVs are those IV candidates that are associated with unobserved variables. To solve this problem, we developed a novel strategy using negative control outcomes (NCOs) as auxiliary variables. Using NCOs, we are able to select only valid IVs and exclude invalid IVs without knowing which of the instruments are invalid. We also developed a new two-step estimation procedure and proved the semiparametric efficiency of our estimator. The performance of our proposed method was superior to some previous methods through simulations. Subsequently, we applied the proposed method to the UK Biobank dataset. Our results demonstrate that the use of an auxiliary variable, such as an NCO, enables the selection of valid IVs with assumptions different from those used in previous methods.

Excess risk of cardiovascular events in patients in the United States vs. Japan with chronic kidney disease is mediated mainly by left ventricular structure and function.

While patients receiving dialysis therapy in the United States are more likely to develop cardiovascular disease (CVD) than those in Japan, direct comparisons of patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) are rare. To study this, we compared various outcomes in patients with predialysis CKD using data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and CKD Japan Cohort (CKD-JAC) studies and determined mediators of any differences. Candidate mediators included left ventricular (LV) indices assessed by echocardiography. Among 3125 CRIC and 1097 CKD-JAC participants, the mean LV mass index (LVMI) and ejection fraction (EF) were 55.7 and 46.6 g/m2 and 54% and 65%, respectively (both significant). The difference in body mass index (32 and 24 kg/m2, respectively) largely accounted for the differences in LVMI and C-reactive protein levels across cohorts. Low EF and high LVMI were significantly associated with subsequent CVD in both cohorts. During a median follow-up of five years, CRIC participants were at higher risk for CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 3.66 [2.74-4.89]) and death (4.69 [3.05-7.19]). A three-fold higher C-reactive protein concentration and higher phosphate levels in the United States cohort were moderately strong mediators of the differences in CVD. However, echocardiographic parameters were stronger mediators than these laboratory measures. LVMI, EF and their combination mediated the observed difference in CVD (27%, 50%, and 57%, respectively) and congestive heart failure (33%, 62%, and 70%, respectively). Thus, higher LV mass and lower EF, even in the normal range, were found to be predictive of CVD in CKD.

De novo ARF3 variants cause neurodevelopmental disorder with brain abnormality.

An optimal Golgi transport system is important for mammalian cells. The adenosine diphosphate (ADP) ribosylation factors (ARF) are key proteins for regulating cargo sorting at the Golgi network. In this family, ARF3 mainly works at the trans-Golgi network (TGN), and no ARF3-related phenotypes have yet been described in humans. We here report the clinical and genetic evaluations of two unrelated children with de novo pathogenic variants in the ARF3 gene: c.200A > T (p.Asp67Val) and c.296G > T (p.Arg99Leu). Although the affected individuals presented commonly with developmental delay, epilepsy and brain abnormalities, there were differences in severity, clinical course and brain lesions. In vitro subcellular localization assays revealed that the p.Arg99Leu mutant localized to Golgi apparatus, similar to the wild-type, whereas the p.Asp67Val mutant tended to show a disperse cytosolic pattern together with abnormally dispersed Golgi localization, similar to that observed in a known dominant negative variant (p.Thr31Asn). Pull-down assays revealed that the p.Asp67Val had a loss-of-function effect and the p.Arg99Leu variant had increased binding of the adaptor protein, Golgi-localized, γ-adaptin ear-containing, ARF-binding protein 1 (GGA1), supporting the gain of function. Furthermore, in vivo studies revealed that p.Asp67Val transfection led to lethality in flies. In contrast, flies expressing p.Arg99Leu had abnormal rough eye, as observed in the gain-of-function variant p.Gln71Leu. These data indicate that two ARF3 variants, the possibly loss-of-function p.Asp67Val and the gain-of-function p.Arg99Leu, both impair the Golgi transport system. Therefore, it may not be unreasonable that they showed different clinical features like diffuse brain atrophy (p.Asp67Val) and cerebellar hypoplasia (p.Arg99Leu).

The Efficacy of Ramelteon to Prevent Postoperative Delirium After General Anesthesia in the Elderly: A Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: Postoperative delirium is common and serious in elderly patients. Several drugs have been proposed as potential prophylactic agents for postoperative delirium. Studies on melatonin receptor agonists showed heterogeneity in age, cognitive function, anesthesia, surgery, interventions, methodologies for assessing outcomes, and results. Our objective was to examine the effect of ramelteon to prevent postoperative delirium in elderly patients, including those with dementia. DESIGN: A stratified, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial (UMIN000028436, jRCTs031180054). SETTING: Tertiary medical center. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged older than or equal to 65 years undergoing elective surgery under general anesthesia. INTERVENTION: Ramelteon (8 mg orally) or placebo (lactose) for six nights (the preoperative night and five consecutive nights from postoperative day 1 to 5) at around 9 P.M. MEASUREMENTS: Patients were screened for postoperative delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit twice daily until the sixth postoperative day. Patients with positive results were referred to a consultant psychiatrist to establish the diagnosis of delirium. RESULTS: A total of 108 patients were randomly assigned to receive ramelteon (n = 55) or placebo (n = 53). Most of the patients' characteristics were reasonably well-balanced between the two groups. The stratified log-rank test showed no significant difference in preventing postoperative delirium between ramelteon and placebo (χ2 = 0.30, degrees of freedom = 1, p = 0.60). The Cox proportional hazard ratio for ramelteon compared to placebo was 1.40 (95% confidence interval: 0.40-4.85, χ2 for likelihood ratio test = 0.29, degrees of freedom = 1, p = 0.60). CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in the incidence of postoperative delirium between ramelteon and placebo after general anesthesia in elderly patients.

Regional Disparities in Transvenous Lead Extraction for Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device Infection in Japan　- A Descriptive Study Using the National Database Open Data.

BACKGROUND: Because the penetration of transvenous lead extraction (TLE) for cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) infection has not been investigated in Japan, we conducted a population-based, retrospective, descriptive study to evaluate regional disparities in the use of TLE for CIED infection and the potential undertreatment of CIED infection using a nationwide insurance claims database.Methods and Results: Patients who underwent CIED implantation or generator exchange and TLE between April 2018 and March 2020 were identified. Moreover, the penetration ratio of TLE for CIED infection in each prefecture was estimated. CIED implantation and TLE were most prevalent in the age categories of 80-89 years (40.3%) and 80-89 years (36.9%), respectively. There was no correlation between the number of CIED implantations and that of TLE (rho=-0.087, 95% confidence interval -0.374 to 0.211, P=0.56). The median penetration ratio was 0.00 (interquartile range 0.00-1.29). Of the 47 prefectures, 6, comprising Okinawa, Miyagi, Okayama, Fukuoka, Tokyo, and Osaka, showed a penetration ratio ≥2.00. CONCLUSIONS: Our study data indicated great regional disparities in the penetration of TLE and potential undertreatment of CIED infection in Japan. Additional measures are needed to address these issues.

Repeat conformation heterogeneity in cerebellar ataxia, neuropathy, vestibular areflexia syndrome.

Cerebellar ataxia, neuropathy, vestibular areflexia syndrome (CANVAS) is a late-onset, slow-progressing multisystem neurodegenerative disorder. Biallelic AAGGG repeat expansion in RFC1 has been identified as causative of this disease, and repeat conformation heterogeneity (ACAGG repeat) was also recently implied. To molecularly characterize this disease in Japanese patients with adult-onset ataxia, we accumulated and screened 212 candidate families by an integrated approach consisting of flanking PCR, repeat-primed PCR, Southern blotting and long-read sequencing using Sequel II, GridION or PromethION. We identified 16 patients from 11 families, of whom seven had ACAGG expansions [(ACAGG)exp/(ACAGG)exp] (ACAGG homozygotes), two had ACAGG and AAGGG expansions [(ACAGG)exp/(AAGGG)exp] (ACAGG/AAGGG compound heterozygotes) and seven had AAGGG expansions [(AAGGG)exp/(AAGGG)exp] (AAGGG homozygotes). The overall detection rate was 5.2% (11/212 families including one family having two expansion genotypes). Long-read sequencers revealed the entire sequence of both AAGGG and ACAGG repeat expansions at the nucleotide level of resolution. Clinical assessment and neuropathology results suggested that patients with ACAGG expansions have similar clinical features to previously reported patients with homozygous AAGGG expansions, although motor neuron involvement was more notable in patients with ACAGG expansions (even if one allele was involved). Furthermore, a later age of onset and slower clinical progression were implied in patients with ACAGG/AAGGG compound heterozygous expansions compared with either ACAGG or AAGGG homozygotes in our very limited cohort. Our study clearly shows the occurrence of repeat conformation heterogeneity, with possible different impacts on the affected nervous systems. The difference in disease onset and progression between compound heterozygotes and homozygotes might also be suspected but with very limited certainty due to the small sample number of cases in our study. Studies of additional patients are needed to confirm this.

Prognostic factors in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer after curative resection: a post hoc analysis of the JFMC46-1201 trial.

PURPOSE: The goal of the current study was to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in high-risk stage II colon cancer. METHODS: The subjects were patients with histologically confirmed stage II colon cancer undergoing R0 resection who met at least one of the following criteria: T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, mucinous carcinoma, and < 12 examined lymph nodes. Patients self-selected surgery alone or a 6-month oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) regimen. Serum CEA mRNA at ≥ 24 h after surgery and < 2 weeks after registration was also examined as a potential prognostic factor for stage II colon cancer. This study is registered with UMIN-CTR (protocol ID: UMIN000007783). RESULTS: 1880 were included in the analysis to identify prognostic factors for DFS and OS in patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer. In multivariate analyses, gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (POAC) emerged as significant independent prognostic factors for DFS. Similarly, multivariate analysis showed that age, gender, depth of tumor invasion, perforation/penetration, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and POAC were significant independent prognostic factors for OS. Univariate analyses showed no significant difference in DFS or OS for CEA mRNA-positive and mRNA-negative cases. CONCLUSION: This study showed that gender, depth of tumor invasion, extent of lymph node dissection, number of examined lymph nodes, and lack of use of POAC were significant independent prognostic factors in stage II colon cancer.

Observational study to predict the efficacy and optimal duration of nivolumab treatment in patients with previously treated advanced or recurrent non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors, including nivolumab, are essential agents for treating non-small cell lung cancer. However, predictive markers are currently lacking, especially using factors based on patient-reported outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study of 244 patients with advanced or recurrent non-small cell lung cancer treated with second- or later-line nivolumab from August 2016 to December 2017. Patient-reported outcomes, including quality of life, were evaluated by the EQ-5D-5L before and during nivolumab treatment. To predict the efficacy of nivolumab during the early treatment phase, we also analyzed the patients' clinical characteristics, responses and immune-related adverse events at 9 weeks of therapy. The primary endpoint was the disease control rate at 25 weeks after the initiation of nivolumab. RESULTS: The objective response and disease control rates at 25 weeks were 18.5 and 41.2%, respectively. The emergence of immune-related adverse events at 9 weeks did not significantly affect the disease control rate at 6 months. The response at 9 weeks and patient-reported quality of life were potentially predictive of disease control at week 25. Disease control on week 9 and patients-reported outcomes were potential predictive factors for the overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study found no new baseline factors predicting the outcome of nivolumab treatment in patients with non-small cell lung cancer, but response to nivolumab was a robust predictor of overall efficacy. In addition, patient-perceived quality of life could predict the durable efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Effect of Nudge-Based Intervention on Adherence to Physician Visit Recommendations and Early Health Outcomes among Individuals Identified with Chronic Kidney Disease in Screens.

BACKGROUND: Although CKD screening programs have been provided in many settings, little is known as to how we can effectively translate those screening programs into improved health. METHODS: We conducted a randomized clinical trial on national health screening for CKD in Japan between April 2018 and March 2019. A total of 4011 participants in CKD screening programs aged 40-63 years were randomly assigned to two interventions or the control, with a ratio of 2:2:1, respectively: (1) the nudge-based letter that contained a message on the basis of behavioral economics, (2) the clinical letter including general information about CKD risks, and (3) the control (informed only of the screening results). The main outcome was adherence to a recommended physician visit within 6 months of the intervention. The secondary outcomes were eGFR, proteinuria, and BP 1 year after the intervention. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, the probability of undergoing a recommended physician visit was higher among participants who received the nudge-based letter (19.7% for the intervention group versus 15.8% for the control; difference, +3.9 percentage points [pp]; 95% CI, +0.8 to +7.0; P=0.02) and the clinical letter (19.7% versus 15.8%; difference, +3.9 pp; 95% CI, +0.8 to +7.0; P=0.02). We found no evidence that interventions were associated with improved early health outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The behavioral economics intervention tested in this large RCT had limited effect on changing behavior or improving health outcomes. Although the approach has promise, this study demonstrates the challenge of developing behavioral interventions that improve the effectiveness of CKD screening programs.Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trial Registry, UMIN000035230.

TITE-gBOIN-ET: Time-to-event generalized Bayesian optimal interval design to accelerate dose-finding accounting for ordinal graded efficacy and toxicity outcomes.

One of the primary objectives of an oncology dose-finding trial for novel therapies, such as molecular-targeted agents and immune-oncology therapies, is to identify an optimal dose (OD) that is tolerable and therapeutically beneficial for subjects in subsequent clinical trials. These new therapeutic agents appear more likely to induce multiple low or moderate-grade toxicities than dose-limiting toxicities. Besides, for efficacy, evaluating the overall response and long-term stable disease in solid tumors and considering the difference between complete remission and partial remission in lymphoma are preferable. It is also essential to accelerate early-stage trials to shorten the entire period of drug development. However, it is often challenging to make real-time adaptive decisions due to late-onset outcomes, fast accrual rates, and differences in outcome evaluation periods for efficacy and toxicity. To solve the issues, we propose a time-to-event generalized Bayesian optimal interval design to accelerate dose finding, accounting for efficacy and toxicity grades. The new design named "TITE-gBOIN-ET" design is model-assisted and straightforward to implement in actual oncology dose-finding trials. Simulation studies show that the TITE-gBOIN-ET design significantly shortens the trial duration compared with the designs without sequential enrollment while having comparable or higher performance in the percentage of correct OD selection and the average number of patients allocated to the ODs across various realistic settings.

Incidence, Clinical Characteristics, and Predictors of Cardiovascular Immune-Related Adverse Events Associated with Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular immune-related adverse events (CV-irAEs) associated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) may have been underreported given that most previous reports were retrospective. We aimed to evaluate the incidence, clinical characteristics, and predictors of CV-irAEs and determine the feasibility of serial cardiac monitoring using a combination of B-type natriuretic peptide, cardiac troponin T, and electrocardiogram for the prediction of future symptomatic (grade ≥2) CV-irAEs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective observational study that included 129 consecutive patients with non-small-cell lung cancer who received ICI monotherapy at a single center. Serial cardiac monitoring was performed during ICI monotherapy. RESULTS: A total of 35 (27%) patients developed any grade ≥1 CV-irAEs with a median time of onset of 72 (interquartile range 44-216) days after ICI treatment initiation. Multivariate Fine-Gray regression analysis showed that prior acute coronary syndrome (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.15 (95% [CI], 2.03-4.91), prior heart failure hospitalization (adjusted HR 1.65 [95% CI, 1.17-2.33]), and achievement of disease control (adjusted HR 1.91, [95% CI, 1.16-3.14]) were significantly associated with grade ≥1 CV-irAEs. Serial cardiac monitoring revealed that patients with preceding grade 1 CV-irAEs were associated with a significantly higher risk of onset of grade ≥2 CV-irAEs compared with those without preceding grade 1 CV-irAEs (HR: 6.17 [95% CI, 2.97-12.83]). CONCLUSION: CV-irAEs were more common than previously recognized and have several predictors. Moreover, serial cardiac monitoring may be feasible for the prediction of future grade ≥2 CV-irAEs.

Prospective observational study of the efficacy of oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score matching (JFMC46-1201).

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colon cancer (CC) has not been well established. We compared the effects of surgery with and without oral uracil and tegafur plus leucovorin (UFT/LV) in patients with high-risk stage II CC, adjusting for potential risk factors. METHODS: We enrolled patients with histologically confirmed stage II colon adenocarcinoma with at least one of the following conditions: T4 disease, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, or < 12 dissected lymph nodes. Patients chose to be non-randomized or randomized to undergo surgery alone (NR-Group S or R-Group S) or surgery followed by 6 months of UFT/LV (NR-Group U or R-Group U). The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) after adjusting for previously reported risk factors using propensity score matching (1:2) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) in the non-randomized arm. RESULTS: Overall, 1,902 (98%) and 36 (2%) patients were enrolled in the non-randomized and randomized arms, respectively. There were too few patients in the randomized arm and these were therefore excluded from the analysis. Of the 1,902 patients, 402 in NR-Group S and 804 in NR-Group U were propensity score-matched. The 3-year DFS rate (95% confidence interval) was significantly higher in NR-Group U (80.9% [77.9%-83.4%]) than in NR-Group S (74.0% [69.3%-78.0%]) (hazard ratio, 0.64 [0.50-0.83]; P = 0.0006). The 3-year overall survival rate was not significantly different between NR-Group S and NR-Group U. Significantly higher 3-year DFS (P = 0.0013) and overall survival (P = 0.0315) rates were observed in NR-Group U compared with NR-Group S using IPTW. CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV showed a significant survival benefit over surgery alone in patients with high-risk stage II CC characterized by at least one of the following conditions: T4 disease, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, or < 12 dissected lymph nodes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials: jRCTs031180155 (date of registration: 25/02/2019) (UMIN Clinical Trials Registry: UMIN000007783 , date of registration: 18/04/2012).

Randomized Phase II Study of Gemcitabine Monotherapy vs. Gemcitabine with an EPA-Enriched Oral Supplement in Advanced Pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is often associated with cachexia. It had been reported that eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) improve cachexia. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of gemcitabine with an EPA-enriched oral supplement in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. METHODS: This open-label phase II study consisted of patients (pts) who were randomly categorized into the EPA group (1,000 mg/m2 gemcitabine was administered on day 1, 8, and 15, every 4 weeks while an EPA-enriched oral supplement (prosure®, EPA 1.056 mg per pack) was taken daily at the maximum of two packs or the gemcitabine monotherapy group with an allocation ratio of 2:1. The primary endpoint was the evaluation of the 1-year survival estimating 10% addition. RESULTS: Randomized 68 pts were examined (EPA: 45, gemcitabine: 23). The 1-year survival probability of the EPA group was 35% while the gemcitabine group was 19%. The median survival times were 8.2 and 9.7 mo, respectively. The hazard ratio for EPA group was 0.79 [95% CI 0.46-1.37]; (P = 0.40). The toxicities were mild and insignificant in both groups. More beneficial effects of EPA in survival were observed in men, pancreatic body-tail and low C-reactive protein patients. CONCLUSION: An EPA-enriched oral supplement may be effective in advanced pancreatic cancer.