Anticipating future SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern through ab initio quantum mechanical modeling

Evolved SARS-CoV-2 variants are currently challenging the efficacy of first-generation vaccines, largely through the emergence of spike protein mutants. Among these variants, Delta is presently the most concerning. We employ an ab initio quantum mechanical model based on Density Functional Theory to characterize the spike protein Receptor Binding Domain (RBD) interaction with host cells and gain mechanistic insight into SARS-CoV-2 evolution. The approach is illustrated via a detailed investigation of the role of the E484K RBD mutation, a signature mutation of the Beta and Gamma variants. The simulation is employed to: predict the depleting effect of the E484K mutation on binding the RBD with select antibodies; identify residue E484 as a weak link in the original interaction with the human receptor hACE2; and describe SARS-CoV-2 Wuhan strand binding to the bat Rhinolophus macrotis ACE2 as more optimized than the human counterpart. Finally, we predict the hACE2 binding efficacy of a hypothetical E484K mutation added to the Delta variant RBD, identifying a potential future variant of concern. Results can be generalized to other mutations, and provide useful information to complement existing experimental datasets of the interaction between randomly generated libraries of hACE2 and viral spike mutants. We argue that ab initio modeling is at the point of being aptly employed to inform and predict events pertinent to viral and general evolution.

Discovery of SARS-CoV-2 Mpro Peptide Inhibitors from Modelling Substrate and Ligand Binding

The main protease (Mpro) of SARS-CoV-2 is central to its viral lifecycle and is a promising drug target, but little is known concerning structural aspects of how it binds to its 11 natural cleavage sites. We used biophysical and crystallographic data and an array of classical molecular mechanics and quantum mechanical techniques, including automated docking, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, linear-scaling DFT, QM/MM, and interactive MD in virtual reality, to investigate the molecular features underlying recognition of the natural Mpro substrates. Analyses of the subsite interactions of modelled 11-residue cleavage site peptides, ligands from high-throughput crystallography, and designed covalently binding inhibitors were performed. Modelling studies reveal remarkable conservation of hydrogen bonding patterns of the natural Mpro substrates, particularly on the N-terminal side of the scissile bond. They highlight the critical role of interactions beyond the immediate active site in recognition and catalysis, in particular at the P2/S2 sites. The binding modes of the natural substrates, together with extensive interaction analyses of inhibitor and fragment binding to Mpro, reveal new opportunities for inhibition. Building on our initial Mpro-substrate models, computational mutagenesis scanning was employed to design peptides with improved affinity and which inhibit Mpro competitively. The combined results provide new insight useful for the development of Mpro inhibitors.