How the Orthodox Features of Orthopoxviruses Led to an Unorthodox Mpox Outbreak: What We've Learned, and What We Still Need to Understand.

Orthopoxviruses have repeatedly confounded expectations in terms of the clinical illness they cause and their patterns of spread. Monkeypox virus (MPXV), originally characterized in the late 1950s during outbreaks among captive primates, has been recognized since the 1970s to cause human disease (mpox) in West and Central Africa, where interhuman transmission has largely been associated with nonsexual, close physical contact. In May 2022, a focus of MPXV transmission was detected, spreading among international networks of gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men. The outbreak grew in both size and geographic scope, testing the strength of preparedness tools and public health science alike. In this article we consider what was known about mpox before the 2022 outbreak, what we learned about mpox during the outbreak, and what continued research is needed to ensure that the global public health community can detect, and halt further spread of this disease threat.

Multiple imputation of race and Hispanic ethnicity in national surveillance data for chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis.

BACKGROUND: Disease burden of sexually transmitted infections such as chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis is often compared across age categories, sex categories, and race and ethnicity categories. Missing data may prevent researchers from accurately characterizing health disparities between populations. This article describes the methods used to impute race and Hispanic ethnicity in a large national surveillance data set. METHODS: All US cases of chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis (excluding congenital syphilis) reported through the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) from the year 2019 were included in the analyses. We used fully conditional specification to impute missing race and Hispanic ethnicity data. After imputation, reported case rates were calculated, by disease, for each race and Hispanic ethnicity category using Vintage 2019 Population and Housing Unit Estimates from the US Census. We then used case counts from subsets that contained only complete race and Hispanic ethnicity information to investigate if the confidence intervals from the multiply imputed data included the observed number of cases in each race and Hispanic ethnicity category. RESULTS: Among the 2,553,038 cases reported in 2019, race and Hispanic ethnicity were multiply imputed for 9% of syphilis cases, 22% of gonorrhea cases and 33% of chlamydia cases. In the subset analyses, every non-zero rate of reported cases was contained within the confidence intervals that were calculated from multiply imputed data. CONCLUSIONS: Confidence intervals that account for the uncertainty of the predictions are an advantage of multiple imputation over complete-case analysis because a realistic variance estimate allows for valid hypothesis testing results.

Effects of Rurality on Distance and Time Traveled to Receive Vaccination Against Mpox-New Mexico and Idaho 2022-2023.

ABSTRACT: We compared mpox vaccination access between urban and rural residents who received ≥1 JYNNEOS dose using immunization data in Idaho and New Mexico. Rural residents traveled 5 times farther and 3 times longer than urban residents to receive mpox vaccination. Increasing mpox vaccine availability to health care facilities might increase uptake.

The Congenital Syphilis Prevention Cascade: Reimagining a Missed Prevention Opportunities Framework for Effective Intervention.

ABSTRACT: Congenital syphilis (CS) rates have risen in the United States since 2013. Prevention of CS requires testing and treatment of pregnant and pregnancy-capable persons at high risk for syphilis. We developed a CS Prevention Cascade to assess how effectively testing and treatment interventions reached pregnant persons with a CS outcome.

A Sore Subject? An Examination of National Case-Based Chancroid Surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Chancroid has been a nationally notifiable condition in the United States since 1944, with cases reported to Centers Disease Control and Prevention through the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Although frequently reported during the 1940s, <20 cases have been reported annually since 2011. We assessed the performance and utility of national case-based chancroid surveillance. METHODS: We reviewed the literature to contextualize chancroid surveillance through National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. We then assessed 4 system attributes, including data quality, sensitivity, usefulness, and representativeness: we reviewed chancroid cases reported during 2011-2020, conducted interviews with (a) sexually transmitted disease programs reporting ≥1 case in 2019 or 2020 (n = 9) and (b) Centers Disease Control and Prevention subject matter experts (n = 10), and reviewed published communicable disease reporting laws. RESULTS: Chancroid diagnostic testing is limited, which affects the surveillance case definition. National case-based surveillance has poor data quality; of the 2019 and preliminary 2020 cases (n = 14), only 3 were verified by jurisdictions as chancroid cases. Sexually transmitted disease programs report the system has low sensitivity given limited clinician knowledge and resources; experts report the system is not useful in guiding national control efforts. Review of reporting laws revealed it is not representative, as chancroid is not a reportable condition nationwide. CONCLUSIONS: Critical review of system attributes suggest that national case-based chancroid surveillance data have limited ability to help describe and monitor national trends, and chancroid's inclusion on the national notifiable list might need to be reconsidered. Alternative strategies might be needed to monitor national chancroid burden.

Substance Use Among Persons with Syphilis During Pregnancy - Arizona and Georgia, 2018-2021.

Despite universal prenatal syphilis screening recommendations and availability of effective antibiotic treatment, syphilis prevalence during pregnancy and the incidence of congenital syphilis have continued to increase in the United States (1,2). Concurrent increases in methamphetamine, injection drug, and heroin use have been described in women with syphilis (3). CDC used data on births that occurred during January 1, 2018-December 31, 2021, from two states (Arizona and Georgia) that participate in the Surveillance for Emerging Threats to Pregnant People and Infants Network (SET-NET) to describe the prevalence of substance use among pregnant persons with syphilis by congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (defined as delivery of a stillborn or live-born infant meeting the surveillance case definition for probable or confirmed congenital syphilis). The prevalence of substance use (e.g., tobacco, alcohol, cannabis, illicit use of opioids, and other illicit, nonprescription substances) in persons with a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (48.1%) was nearly double that among those with a noncongenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (24.6%). Persons with a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome were six times as likely to report illicit use of opioids and four times as likely to report using other illicit, nonprescription substances during pregnancy than were persons with a noncongenital syphilis pregnancy outcome. Approximately one half of persons who used substances during pregnancy and had a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome had late or no prenatal care. Tailored interventions should address barriers and facilitators to accessing screening and treatment for syphilis among persons who use substances. The need for syphilis screening and treatment should be addressed at any health care encounter during pregnancy, especially among persons who use substances.

Vital Signs: Missed Opportunities for Preventing Congenital Syphilis - United States, 2022.

Introduction: Congenital syphilis cases in the United States increased 755% during 2012-2021. Syphilis during pregnancy can lead to stillbirth, miscarriage, infant death, and maternal and infant morbidity; these outcomes can be prevented through appropriate screening and treatment. Methods: A cascading framework was used to identify and classify missed opportunities to prevent congenital syphilis among cases reported to CDC in 2022 through the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Data on testing and treatment during pregnancy and clinical manifestations present in the newborn were used to identify missed opportunities to prevent congenital syphilis. Results: In 2022, a total of 3,761 cases of congenital syphilis in the United States were reported to CDC, including 231 (6%) stillbirths and 51 (1%) infant deaths. Lack of timely testing and adequate treatment during pregnancy contributed to 88% of cases of congenital syphilis. Testing and treatment gaps were present in the majority of cases across all races, ethnicities, and U.S. Census Bureau regions. Conclusions and implications for public health practice: Addressing missed opportunities for prevention, primarily timely testing and appropriate treatment of syphilis during pregnancy, is important for reversing congenital syphilis trends in the United States. Implementing tailored strategies addressing missed opportunities at the local and national levels could substantially reduce congenital syphilis.

Surveillance for Disseminated Gonococcal Infections, Active Bacterial Core Surveillance (ABCs)-United States, 2015-2019.

BACKGROUND: Disseminated gonococcal infections (DGIs) are thought to be uncommon; surveillance is limited, and case reports are analyzed retrospectively or in case clusters. We describe the population-level burden of culture-confirmed DGIs through the Active Bacterial Core surveillance (ABCs) system. METHODS: During 2015-2016, retrospective surveillance was conducted among residents in 2 ABCs areas and prospectively in 3 ABCs areas during 2017-2019. A DGI case was defined as isolation of Neisseria gonorrhoeae from a normally sterile site. A case report form was completed for each case and antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) was performed on available isolates. RESULTS: During 2015-2019, 77 DGI cases were identified (a rate of 0.13 cases per 100 000 population) and accounted for 0.06% of all reported gonorrhea cases in the 3 surveillance areas. Most DGI cases were male (64%), non-Hispanic Black (68%), and ranged from 16 to 67 years of age; blood (55%) and joint (40%) were the most common sterile sites. Among 29 isolates with AST results during 2017-2019, all were susceptible to ceftriaxone. CONCLUSIONS: DGI is an infrequent complication of N gonorrhoeae; because it can quickly develop antimicrobial resistance, continued DGI surveillance, including monitoring trends in antimicrobial susceptibility, could help inform DGI treatment recommendations.

Primary and Secondary Syphilis Among Men Who Have Sex With Men and Women, 2010 to 2019.

ABSTRACT: The relative proportion of cases of primary and secondary syphilis among men who have sex with men and women reported through national case report data from 2010 to 2019 seemed stable overall and were stratified by race/ethnicity, region, and age group, but case counts increased.

Sexual Risk Behaviors Among Persons Diagnosed With Primary and Secondary Syphilis Who Reported High-Risk Substance Use: Data From the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System, 2018.

BACKGROUND: Recent increases in high-risk substance use (HRSU; i.e., injection drug use, heroin, methamphetamine, crack/cocaine) have coincided with rising primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis rates. To further understand these trends, we examined sexual risk behaviors among women, men who have sex with women only (MSW), and men who have sex with men (MSM) who were diagnosed with P&S syphilis in 2018 and reported HRSU. METHODS: Data on HRSU and sexual risk behaviors among persons with P&S syphilis were drawn from syphilis case reports in 2018 from the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Persons with P&S syphilis were asked about sexual risk behaviors in the past 12 months including exchange sex for drugs/money, sex while intoxicated and/or high on drugs, sex with a person who injects drugs (PWID), sex with an anonymous partner, and number of sex partners. We describe percentages and adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) for women, MSW, and MSM reporting these behaviors by age, race/Hispanic ethnicity, type of drug used, and incarceration history (both in the past 12 months). RESULTS: Among 19,634 persons diagnosed with P&S syphilis in 2018 with information on HRSU, 29.3% of women, 22.7% of MSW, and 12.4% of MSM reported HRSU. Among those reporting HRSU, percentages reporting exchange sex ranged from 17% to 35% (highest for women), whereas reports of anonymous sex ranged from 44% to 71% (highest for MSM). In this population, sexual risk behaviors were more commonly reported among those with a recent incarceration history than those without such history. Among those reporting injection drug use or heroin use, percentages reporting sex with a PWID ranged from 51% to 77%. In adjusted models, HRSU was significantly associated with one or more sexual risk behaviors for women (aPR, 2.63 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 2.39-2.90]; MSW: aPR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.31-1.46]; and MSM: aPR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.26-1.34]). CONCLUSIONS: Collaborative partnerships across the US public health system could help address barriers to timely clinical care among persons diagnosed with P&S syphilis who report HRSU.

Reported Neurologic, Ocular, and Otic Manifestations Among Syphilis Cases-16 States, 2019.

BACKGROUND: Syphilis can cause neurologic, ocular, or otic manifestations, possibly resulting in permanent disability or death. In 2018, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began collecting syphilis clinical manifestation data via the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. We present the first reported US syphilis neurologic, ocular, and otic manifestation prevalence estimates. METHODS: We reviewed 2019 National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System data to identify jurisdictions reporting 70% or greater of syphilis cases 15 years or older with clinical manifestation data (considered "complete reporting"). Among these jurisdictions, we determined reported neurologic, ocular, and otic manifestation prevalence, stratified by demographic, behavioral, and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: Among 41,187 syphilis cases in 16 jurisdictions with complete reporting, clinical manifestations were infrequently reported overall: neurologic (n = 445, 1.1%), ocular (n = 461, 1.1%), otic (n = 166, 0.4%), any (n = 807, 2.0%). Reported clinical manifestation prevalence was highest among cases 65 years or older (neurologic, 5.1%; ocular, 3.5%; otic, 1.2%) and those reporting injection drug use (neurologic: 2.8%; ocular: 3.4%; otic: 1.6%). Although reported neurologic and ocular manifestation prevalence was slightly higher among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected versus HIV-negative persons, approximately 40% of cases with manifestations were HIV-negative. Reported otic manifestation prevalence was similar regardless of HIV status. When stratifying by HIV status and syphilis stage, reported prevalence was highest among HIV-infected persons with unknown duration/late syphilis (neurologic, 3.0%; ocular, 2.3%; otic, 0.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Reported neurologic, ocular, and otic manifestation prevalence was low among syphilis cases, but these data are likely an underestimate given potential underreporting. Reported clinical manifestation frequency, including among HIV-negative persons, emphasizes the importance of evaluating all syphilis cases for signs/symptoms of neurosyphilis, ocular syphilis, and otosyphilis.

Identification of United States Counties at Elevated Risk for Congenital Syphilis Using Predictive Modeling and a Risk Scoring System, 2018.

BACKGROUND: The persistence of congenital syphilis (CS) remains an important concern in the United States. We use the 2018 data to refine a previous predictive model that identifies US counties at elevated risk for CS in 2018. METHODS: Using county-level socioeconomic and health-related data from various sources, we developed a logistic regression predictive model to identify county-level factors associated with a county having had 1 or more CS case reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System in 2018. We developed a risk scoring algorithm, identified the optimal risk score cutpoint to identify counties at elevated risk, and calculated the live birth to CS case ratio for counties by predicted risk level to compare counties at elevated risk with counties not at elevated risk. RESULTS: We identified several county-level factors associated with a county having 1 or more CS case in 2018 (area under the curve, 88.6%; Bayesian information criterion, 1551.1). Using a risk score cutoff of 8 or higher (sensitivity, 83.2%; specificity, 79.4%), this model captured 94.7% (n = 1,253) of CS cases born in 2018 and identified 850 (27%) counties as being at elevated risk for CS. The live birth to CS case ratio was lower in counties identified as at elevated risk (2,482) compared with counties categorized as not at elevated risk (10,621). CONCLUSIONS: Identifying which counties are at highest risk for CS can help target prevention efforts and interventions. The relatively low live birth to CS case ratio in elevated risk counties suggests that implementing routine 28-week screening among pregnant women in these counties may be an efficient way to target CS prevention efforts.

Predicting Emergence of Primary and Secondary Syphilis Among Women of Reproductive Age in US Counties.

BACKGROUND: Syphilis, a sexually transmitted infection that can cause severe congenital disease when not treated during pregnancy, is on the rise in the United States. Our objective was to identify US counties with elevated risk for emergence of primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis among women of reproductive age. METHODS: Using syphilis case reports, we identified counties with no cases of P&S syphilis among women of reproductive age in 2017 and 1 case or more in 2018. Using county-level syphilis and sociodemographic data, we developed a model to predict counties with emergence of P&S syphilis among women and a risk score to identify counties at elevated risk. RESULTS: Of 2451 counties with no cases of P&S syphilis among women of reproductive age in 2017, 345 counties (14.1%) had documented emergence of syphilis in 2018. Emergence was predicted by the county's P&S syphilis rate among men; violent crime rate; proportions of Black, White, Asian, and Hawaiian/Pacific Islander persons; urbanicity; presence of a metropolitan area; population size; and having a neighboring county with P&S syphilis among women. A risk score of 20 or more identified 75% of counties with emergence. CONCLUSIONS: Jurisdictions can identify counties at elevated risk for emergence of syphilis in women and tailor prevention efforts. Prevention of syphilis requires multidisciplinary collaboration to address underlying social factors.

Epidemiologic and Clinical Features of Mpox in Transgender and Gender-Diverse Adults - United States, May-November 2022.

As of November 9, 2022, a total of 28,730 cases of monkeypox (mpox) had been reported in the United States,* primarily among adult cisgender men reporting recent male-to-male sexual contact (1). Transgender and gender-diverse persons, who constitute an estimated 0.5% of the U.S. adult population,† face unique health disparities and barriers to care (2-4). However, data on the epidemiologic and clinical features of Monkeypox virus infections in this population are limited (5). CDC analyzed U.S. case surveillance data on mpox cases in transgender and gender-diverse adults reported during May 17-November 4, 2022. During this period, 466 mpox cases in transgender and gender-diverse adults were reported, accounting for 1.7% of reported cases among adults. Most were in transgender women (43.1%) or gender-diverse persons (42.1%); 14.8% were in transgender men. Among 374 (80.3%) mpox cases in transgender and gender-diverse adults with information available on sexual or close intimate contact, 276 (73.8%) reported sexual or close intimate contact with a cisgender male partner during the 3 weeks preceding symptom onset. During the ongoing outbreak, transgender and gender-diverse persons have been disproportionately affected by mpox. Members of this population frequently reported recent sexual or close intimate contact with cisgender men, who might be in sexual networks experiencing the highest incidence of mpox. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring public health prevention and outreach efforts to transgender and gender-diverse communities and could guide strategies to reduce mpox transmission.

Demographic and Clinical Characteristics of Mpox in Persons Who Had Previously Received 1 Dose of JYNNEOS Vaccine and in Unvaccinated Persons - 29 U.S. Jurisdictions, May 22-September 3, 2022.

As of November 14, 2022, monkeypox (mpox) cases had been reported from more than 110 countries, including 29,133 cases in the United States.* Among U.S. cases to date, 95% have occurred among males (1). After the first confirmed U.S. mpox case on May 17, 2022, limited supplies of JYNNEOS vaccine (Modified Vaccinia Ankara vaccine, Bavarian Nordic) were made available to jurisdictions for persons exposed to mpox. JYNNEOS vaccine was approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2019 as a 2-dose series (0.5 mL per dose, administered subcutaneously) to prevent smallpox and mpox disease.† On August 9, 2022, FDA issued an emergency use authorization to allow administration of JYNNEOS vaccine by intradermal injection (0.1 mL per dose) (2). A previous report on U.S. mpox cases during July 31-September 3, 2022, suggested that 1 dose of vaccine offers some protection against mpox (3). This report describes demographic and clinical characteristics of cases occurring ≥14 days after receipt of 1 dose of JYNNEOS vaccine and compares them with characteristics of cases among unvaccinated persons with mpox and with the vaccine-eligible vaccinated population in participating jurisdictions. During May 22-September 3, 2022, among 14,504 mpox cases reported from 29 participating U.S. jurisdictions,§ 6,605 (45.5%) had available vaccination information and were included in the analysis. Among included cases, 276 (4.2%) were among persons who had received 1 dose of vaccine ≥14 days before illness onset. Mpox cases that occurred in these vaccinated persons were associated with lower percentage of hospitalization (2.1% versus 7.5%), fever, headache, malaise, myalgia, and chills, compared with cases in unvaccinated persons. Although 1 dose of JYNNEOS vaccine offers some protection from disease, mpox infection can occur after receipt of 1 dose, and the duration of protection conferred by 1 dose is unknown. Providers and public health officials should therefore encourage persons at risk for acquiring mpox to complete the 2-dose vaccination series and provide guidance and education regarding nonvaccine-related prevention strategies (4).

The Burden of and Trends in Pelvic Inflammatory Disease in the United States, 2006-2016.

BACKGROUND: Pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) is an infection of the upper genital tract that has important reproductive consequences to women. We describe the burden of and trends in PID among reproductive-aged women in the United States during 2006-2016. METHODS: We used data from 2 nationally representative probability surveys collecting self-reported PID history (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, National Survey of Family Growth); 5 datasets containing International Classification of Diseases, Ninth/Tenth Revision codes indicating diagnosed PID (Healthcare Utilization Project; National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, emergency department component; National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey; National Disease Therapeutic Index; MarketScan); and data from a network of sexually transmitted infection (STI) clinics (Sexually Transmitted Disease Surveillance Network). Trends during 2006-2016 were estimated overall, by age group and, if available, race/ethnicity, region, and prior STIs. RESULTS: An estimated 2 million reproductive-aged women self-reported a history of PID. Three of 4 nationally representative data sources showed overall declines in a self-reported PID history, and PID emergency department and physician office visits, with small increases observed in nearly all data sources starting around 2015. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of PID in the United States is high. Despite declines in burden over time, there is evidence of an increase in recent years.

Prevalence of Self-reported Neurologic and Ocular Symptoms in Early Syphilis Cases.

BACKGROUND: Neurosyphilis, a complication of syphilis, can occur at any stage of infection. Measuring the prevalence of neurosyphilis is challenging, and there are limited data on the prevalence of neurologic or ocular symptoms among patients with syphilis. We sought to describe the prevalence of neurologic and/or ocular symptoms among early syphilis (ES) cases and the clinical management of symptomatic cases enrolled in the STD Surveillance Network (SSuN) Neuro/Ocular Syphilis Surveillance project. METHODS: Persons diagnosed with ES were selected for interviews based on current health department protocols in 5 participating SSuN jurisdictions from November 2016 through October 2017. All interviewed ES cases were screened for self-reported neurologic and/or ocular symptoms. Additional clinical information on diagnostic testing and treatment for cases concerning for neurosyphilis/ocular syphilis was obtained from providers. RESULTS: Among 9123 patients with ES who were interviewed, 151 (1.7%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4%-1.9%) reported ≥ 1 neurologic or ocular symptom. Of the 53 (35%) who underwent lumbar puncture, 22 (42%) had documented abnormal cerebrospinal fluid, of which 21 (95%) were treated for neurosyphilis/ocular syphilis. Among the remaining 98 symptomatic patients with no documented lumbar puncture (65%), 12 (12%) were treated for and/or clinically diagnosed with neurosyphilis/ocular syphilis. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a low prevalence of self-reported neurologic and/or ocular symptoms in interviewed ES cases. Approximately one-third of ES cases who self-reported symptoms underwent further recommended diagnostic evaluation. Understanding barriers to appropriate clinical evaluation is important to ensuring appropriate management of patients with possible neurologic and/or ocular manifestations of syphilis.

Trends in Nationally Notifiable Sexually Transmitted Disease Case Reports During the US COVID-19 Pandemic, January to December 2020.

BACKGROUND: To describe changes in reported sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) during the US coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, we compared the weekly number of reported nationally notifiable STDs in 2020 to 2019. METHODS: We reviewed cases of chlamydia, gonorrhea, and primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis reported to the US National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System in 2020. For each STD, we compare the number of 2020 cases reported for a given Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) week to the number of 2019 cases reported in the same week, expressing 2020 cases as a percentage of 2019 cases. We also calculated the percent difference between 2020 and 2019 cumulative case totals as of MMWR week 50 (week of December 9). RESULTS: During MMWR weeks 1 to 11 (week of December 29, 2019-March 11, 2020), the weekly number of cases of STDs reported in 2020 as a percentage of the cases in the same week in 2019 was similar. However, 2020 numbers were much lower than 2019 numbers in week 15 (week of April 8; chlamydia, 49.8%; gonorrhea, 71.2%; and P&S syphilis, 63.7%). As of week 50, the 2020 cumulative totals compared with 2019 were 14.0% lower for chlamydia, 7.1% higher for gonorrhea, and 0.9% lower for P&S syphilis. CONCLUSIONS: During March-April 2020, national case reporting for STDs dramatically decreased compared with 2019. However, resurgence in reported gonorrhea and syphilis cases later in the year suggests STD reporting may have increased in 2020, underscoring the importance of continued STD prevention and care activities.

Why Are Rates of Reported Chlamydia Changing in the United States? Insights From the National Job Training Program.

BACKGROUND: In 2010 to 2017, rates of reported chlamydia decreased among young Black women but increased for White women and all men. Because chlamydia case rates can be influenced by changes in prevalence, screening, and other factors, we compared chlamydia prevalence trends in a sentinel population with national case rate trends to understand potential drivers of case rate trends. METHODS: Chlamydia prevalence was calculated annually among 16- to 24-year-old entrants to the National Job Training Program (NJTP) in 2010 to 2017. An expectation-maximization-based maximum likelihood approach was used to adjust for misclassification due to imperfect test sensitivity and specificity. Models were stratified by sex, age, and race/ethnicity. A statistically significant trend in prevalence was defined as nonoverlapping 95% confidence intervals comparing 2010 and 2017. Trends in chlamydia prevalence were compared with trends in case rates using percentage change over time; relative changes ≥10% were considered meaningful. RESULTS: Among NJTP entrants in 2010 to 2017, chlamydia prevalence was stable for all Black women, whereas case rates decreased for adolescents (-12%) and were stable for 20- to 24-year-olds (-4%). Among adolescent White women, prevalence was stable, whereas case rates increased (+30%). For White women aged 20 to 24 years, prevalence increased +62% and case rates increased +43%. Trends in prevalence differed from trends in case rates for all subgroups of men. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence trends in this sentinel population differed from national case rate trends for Black women, White women, and men, suggesting potential decreased screening among Black women aged 16 to 19 years, increased prevalence among White women aged 20 to 24 years, and increased screening among men.

Can Diagnostic Codes in Health Care Claims Data Identify Confirmed Chlamydial and Gonococcal Infections? A Retrospective Cohort Study, 2003 to 2017.

BACKGROUND: Because most sources of administrative claims data do not contain laboratory result data, researchers rely on diagnosis codes to identify cases of disease. The validity of using diagnosis codes to identify chlamydial and gonococcal infections in administrative claims data remains largely uninvestigated. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using OptumLabs Data Warehouse, which includes deidentified medical (inpatient and outpatient) claims and laboratory test results. Among males and females aged 15 to 39 years during the period 2003-2017, we identified chlamydia and gonorrhea test results and corresponding diagnosis codes. Using test results as the criterion standard, we calculated the sensitivity and specificity of chlamydia and gonorrhea diagnosis codes to identify laboratory-confirmed infections. RESULTS: We identified 9.7 million chlamydia and gonorrhea test results among 3.1 million enrollees. Of the 176,241 positive chlamydia test results, only 11,515 had a corresponding diagnosis code, for a sensitivity of 6.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.4-6.7) and a specificity of 99.5 (95% CI, 99.5-99.5). Corresponding diagnosis codes were identified for 8056 of the 31,766 positive gonorrhea test results, for a sensitivity of 25.4 (95% CI, 24.9-25.8) and a specificity of 99.7 (95% CI, 99.7-99.7). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that using only International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth Revisions, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes to identify chlamydial and gonococcal infections substantially underestimates the burden of these diseases and inaccurately classifies laboratory-confirmed infections.