Trial of a Preferential Phosphodiesterase 4B Inhibitor for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) inhibition is associated with antiinflammatory and antifibrotic effects that may be beneficial in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: In this phase 2, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we investigated the efficacy and safety of BI 1015550, an oral preferential inhibitor of the PDE4B subtype, in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Patients were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive BI 1015550 at a dose of 18 mg twice daily or placebo. The primary end point was the change from baseline in the forced vital capacity (FVC) at 12 weeks, which we analyzed with a Bayesian approach separately according to background nonuse or use of an antifibrotic agent. RESULTS: A total of 147 patients were randomly assigned to receive BI 1015550 or placebo. Among patients without background antifibrotic use, the median change in the FVC was 5.7 ml (95% credible interval, -39.1 to 50.5) in the BI 1015550 group and -81.7 ml (95% credible interval, -133.5 to -44.8) in the placebo group (median difference, 88.4 ml; 95% credible interval, 29.5 to 154.2; probability that BI 1015550 was superior to placebo, 0.998). Among patients with background antifibrotic use, the median change in the FVC was 2.7 ml (95% credible interval, -32.8 to 38.2) in the BI 1015550 group and -59.2 ml (95% credible interval, -111.8 to -17.9) in the placebo group (median difference, 62.4 ml; 95% credible interval, 6.3 to 125.5; probability that BI 1015550 was superior to placebo, 0.986). A mixed model with repeated measures analysis provided results that were consistent with those of the Bayesian analysis. The most frequent adverse event was diarrhea. A total of 13 patients discontinued BI 1015550 treatment owing to adverse events. The percentages of patients with serious adverse events or severe adverse events were similar in the two trial groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this placebo-controlled trial, treatment with BI 1015550, either alone or with background use of an antifibrotic agent, prevented a decrease in lung function in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim; 1305-0013 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04419506.).

Multi-modal body part segmentation of infants using deep learning.

BACKGROUND: Monitoring the body temperature of premature infants is vital, as it allows optimal temperature control and may provide early warning signs for severe diseases such as sepsis. Thermography may be a non-contact and wireless alternative to state-of-the-art, cable-based methods. For monitoring use in clinical practice, automatic segmentation of the different body regions is necessary due to the movement of the infant. METHODS: This work presents and evaluates algorithms for automatic segmentation of infant body parts using deep learning methods. Based on a U-Net architecture, three neural networks were developed and compared. While the first two only used one imaging modality (visible light or thermography), the third applied a feature fusion of both. For training and evaluation, a dataset containing 600 visible light and 600 thermography images from 20 recordings of infants was created and manually labeled. In addition, we used transfer learning on publicly available datasets of adults in combination with data augmentation to improve the segmentation results. RESULTS: Individual optimization of the three deep learning models revealed that transfer learning and data augmentation improved segmentation regardless of the imaging modality. The fusion model achieved the best results during the final evaluation with a mean Intersection-over-Union (mIoU) of 0.85, closely followed by the RGB model. Only the thermography model achieved a lower accuracy (mIoU of 0.75). The results of the individual classes showed that all body parts were well-segmented, only the accuracy on the torso is inferior since the models struggle when only small areas of the skin are visible. CONCLUSION: The presented multi-modal neural networks represent a new approach to the problem of infant body segmentation with limited available data. Robust results were obtained by applying feature fusion, cross-modality transfer learning and classical augmentation strategies.

Decline in forced vital capacity as a surrogate for mortality in patients with pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Surrogate endpoints enable determination of meaningful treatment effects more efficiently than applying the endpoint of ultimate interest. We used data from trials of nintedanib in subjects with pulmonary fibrosis to assess decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) as a surrogate for mortality. METHODS: Data from the nintedanib and placebo groups of trials in subjects with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, other forms of progressive pulmonary fibrosis, and pulmonary fibrosis due to systemic sclerosis (NCT00514683, NCT01335464, NCT01335477, NCT01979952, NCT02999178, NCT02597933) were pooled. Using joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data, we assessed the association between decline in FVC % predicted and time to death over 52 weeks. The rate of change in FVC % predicted and the current value of FVC % predicted were modelled longitudinally and estimates applied as predictors in time-to-event models. RESULTS: Among 2583 subjects with pulmonary fibrosis, both a greater rate of decline in FVC % predicted and a lower current value of FVC % predicted were associated with an increased risk of death over 52 weeks (HR 1.79 [95% CI: 1.57, 2.03] and HR 1.24 [1.17, 1.32] per 5-percentage point decrease, respectively). Associations between the rate of change in FVC % predicted and the risk of death were consistent between patients with IPF and other ILDs. CONCLUSION: Data from clinical trials in subjects with pulmonary fibrosis of diverse aetiology demonstrate a strong association between decline in FVC % predicted and mortality over 52 weeks, supporting FVC decline as a surrogate for mortality in these patients.

Cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease using olodaterol and other long-acting beta2-agonists.

PURPOSE: We examined the effect of olodaterol on the risk of myocardial ischaemia, cardiac arrhythmia, and all-cause mortality compared with use of other long-acting beta2-agonists (LABAs). Channelling bias was also explored. METHODS: This Danish population-based cohort study used data linked from registries of hospital diagnoses, outpatient dispensings, and deaths. It included patients (aged ≥40 years) with a diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who initiated olodaterol or another LABA. Using matching and propensity score (PS) stratification, we calculated adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) using Poisson regression, followed by several additional analyses to evaluate and control channelling bias. RESULTS: The IRRs of cardiac arrhythmias or myocardial ischaemia among users of olodaterol (n = 14 239) compared to users of other LABAs (n = 51 167) ranged from 0.96 to 1.65 in various analyses, although some estimates had low precision. Initial analysis suggested an increased risk for death with olodaterol compared with other LABAs (IRR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.44-1.84). Because olodaterol prescribing was associated with COPD severity, the mortality association was attenuated by using different methods of tighter confounding control: the IRRs were 1.26 (95% CI, 0.97-1.64) among LABA-naïve LABA/LAMA users without recent COPD hospitalisation; 1.27 (95% CI, 1.03-1.57) in a population with additional trimming from the tails of the PS distribution; and 1.32 (95% CI, 1.19-1.48) after applying overlap-weights analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Olodaterol users had a similar risk for cardiac arrhythmias or myocardial ischaemia as other LABA users. The observed excess all-cause mortality associated with olodaterol use could be due to uncontrolled channelling bias.

A Setup for Camera-Based Detection of Simulated Pathological States Using a Neonatal Phantom.

Premature infants are among the most vulnerable patients in a hospital. Due to numerous complications associated with immaturity, a continuous monitoring of vital signs with a high sensitivity and accuracy is required. Today, wired sensors are attached to the patient's skin. However, adhesive electrodes can be potentially harmful as they can damage the very thin immature skin. Although unobtrusive monitoring systems using cameras show the potential to replace cable-based techniques, advanced image processing algorithms are data-driven and, therefore, need much data to be trained. Due to the low availability of public neonatal image data, a patient phantom could help to implement algorithms for the robust extraction of vital signs from video recordings. In this work, a camera-based system is presented and validated using a neonatal phantom, which enabled a simulation of common neonatal pathologies such as hypo-/hyperthermia and brady-/tachycardia. The implemented algorithm was able to continuously measure and analyze the heart rate via photoplethysmography imaging with a mean absolute error of 0.91 bpm, as well as the distribution of a neonate's skin temperature with a mean absolute error of less than 0.55 °C. For accurate measurements, a temperature gain offset correction on the registered image from two infrared thermography cameras was performed. A deep learning-based keypoint detector was applied for temperature mapping and guidance for the feature extraction. The presented setup successfully detected several levels of hypo- and hyperthermia, an increased central-peripheral temperature difference, tachycardia and bradycardia.

The detailed clinical objectives approach to designing clinical trials and choosing estimands.

Objective setting is a necessary early step in the development of a clinical trial. ICH E9(R1) notes that the clinical objectives of a trial lead directly to the choice of estimands but barely discusses objectives themselves. Indeed, there is very little guidance anywhere in literature about objectives in clinical trials. This article identifies the substantial overlap between description of estimands and high quality definitions of objectives. It consequently shows that the estimand is decided by the precise choice of trial objective, and that therefore estimand decisions should be made at the objective level. The Detailed Clinical Objectives approach is proposed to support this. It emphasises clarity, specificity and a clinical focus when choosing and documenting objectives. Template text and examples are included to provide guidance on how it can be used in real trials. Finally, we describe objective-driven trial design, emphasising how strong objective setting establishes an important foundation for rigorous trial design discussions, logistical and operational decision-making during trial preparations, and clear communication of results and conclusions at the end of the trial. Highlighting the distinctions between objectives and estimands, we note how an objective-based framework can build on the ICH E9(R1) estimand framework to address many of its unanswered questions.

Composite endpoints in COPD: clinically important deterioration in the UPLIFT trial.

BACKGROUND: Assessments of lung function, exacerbations and health status are common measures of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) progression and treatment response in clinical trials. We hypothesised that a composite endpoint could more holistically assess clinically important deterioration (CID) in a COPD clinical trial setting. METHODS: A composite endpoint was tested in a post hoc analysis of 5652 patients with Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2-4 COPD from the 4-year UPLIFT study. Patients received tiotropium 18 µg or placebo. RESULTS: The composite endpoint included time to first confirmed decrease in trough forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) ≥100 mL, confirmed increase in St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) total score ≥ 4 units, or moderate/severe exacerbation. Most patients (> 80%) experienced CID, with similar incidence among GOLD subgroups. Most confirmed trough FEV1 (74.6-81.6%) and SGRQ (72.3-78.1%) deteriorations were sustained across the study and in all GOLD subgroups. Patients with CID more frequently experienced subsequent exacerbation (hazard ratio [HR] 1.79; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.67, 1.92) or death (HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.06, 1.39) by Month 6. CID was responsive to bronchodilator treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Composite endpoints provide additional information on COPD progression and treatment effects in clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00144339 .

On estimands and the analysis of adverse events in the presence of varying follow-up times within the benefit assessment of therapies.

The analysis of adverse events (AEs) is a key component in the assessment of a drug's safety profile. Inappropriate analysis methods may result in misleading conclusions about a therapy's safety and consequently its benefit-risk ratio. The statistical analysis of AEs is complicated by the fact that the follow-up times can vary between the patients included in a clinical trial. This paper takes as its focus the analysis of AE data in the presence of varying follow-up times within the benefit assessment of therapeutic interventions. Instead of approaching this issue directly and solely from an analysis point of view, we first discuss what should be estimated in the context of safety data, leading to the concept of estimands. Although the current discussion on estimands is mainly related to efficacy evaluation, the concept is applicable to safety endpoints as well. Within the framework of estimands, we present statistical methods for analysing AEs with the focus being on the time to the occurrence of the first AE of a specific type. We give recommendations which estimators should be used for the estimands described. Furthermore, we state practical implications of the analysis of AEs in clinical trials and give an overview of examples across different indications. We also provide a review of current practices of health technology assessment (HTA) agencies with respect to the evaluation of safety data. Finally, we describe problems with meta-analyses of AE data and sketch possible solutions.

Randomized, phase 2 trial of low-dose cytarabine with or without volasertib in AML patients not suitable for induction therapy.

Treatment outcomes for older patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) have remained dismal. This randomized, phase 2 trial in AML patients not considered suitable for intensive induction therapy compared low-dose cytarabine (LDAC) with or without volasertib, a highly potent and selective inhibitor of polo-like kinases. Eighty-seven patients (median age 75 years) received LDAC 20 mg twice daily subcutaneously days 1-10 or LDAC + volasertib 350 mg IV days 1 + 15 every 4 weeks. Response rate (complete remission and complete remission with incomplete blood count recovery) was higher for LDAC + volasertib vs LDAC (31.0% vs 13.3%; odds ratio, 2.91; P = .052). Responses in the LDAC + volasertib arm were observed across all genetic groups, including 5 of 14 patients with adverse cytogenetics. Median event-free survival was significantly prolonged by LDAC + volasertib compared with LDAC (5.6 vs 2.3 months; hazard ratio, 0.57; 95% confidence interval, 0.35-0.92; P = .021); median overall survival was 8.0 vs 5.2 months, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.40-1.00; P = .047). LDAC + volasertib led to an increased frequency of adverse events that was most pronounced for neutropenic fever/infections and gastrointestinal events; there was no increase in the death rate at days 60 + 90. This study was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00804856.

Evaluation of the effects of olodaterol on exercise endurance in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: results from two 6-week crossover studies.

BACKGROUND: Two replicate, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 6-week crossover studies assessed the effect of the once-daily long-acting ß2-agonist olodaterol 5 µg and 10 µg on constant work-rate cycle endurance in patients with moderate to very severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. METHODS: Patients received placebo, olodaterol 5 µg once daily (QD) and olodaterol 10 µg QD in a randomised order for 6 weeks each, with a 2-week washout period in between. The primary end point was change in endurance time during constant work-rate cycle ergometry to symptom limitation at 75 % maximal work capacity after 6 weeks of treatment (2 h post-dose), based on log10-transformed data. Key secondary end points were inspiratory capacity at isotime and intensity of breathing discomfort at isotime. RESULTS: 151 and 157 patients were randomised and treated in Studies 1222.37 and 1222.38, respectively, with 147 and 154 being included in the full analysis sets. Mean endurance time at week 6 was increased compared to placebo by 14.0 % (Study 1222.37; p < 0.001) and 11.8 % (Study 1222.38; p < 0.01) with olodaterol 5 µg, and by 13.8 % (Study 1222.37; p < 0.001) and 10.5 % (Study 1222.38; p < 0.01) with olodaterol 10 µg. Inspiratory capacity at isotime increased with olodaterol 5 µg (Study 1222.37, 0.182 L, p < 0.0001; Study 1222.38, 0.084 L, p < 0.05) and 10 µg (Study 1222.37, 0.174 L; Study 1222.38, 0.166 L; both studies, p < 0.0001), and breathing discomfort was significantly reduced in Study 1222.37 (olodaterol 5 µg, 0.77 Borg units, p < 0.001; olodaterol 10 µg, 0.63 Borg units, p < 0.01) but not Study 1222.38. CONCLUSIONS: These studies provide further characterisation of the efficacy of olodaterol, showing that improvements in airflow (forced expiratory volume in 1 s) are associated with increases in inspiratory capacity and improvements in exercise endurance time. TRIAL REGISTRATIONS: NCT01040130 (1222.37) and NCT01040793 (1222.38).

Effects of tiotropium + olodaterol versus tiotropium or placebo by COPD disease severity and previous treatment history in the OTEMTO® studies.

BACKGROUND: As lung function declines rapidly in the early stages of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the effects of bronchodilators in patients with moderate disease and those who have not previously received maintenance therapy are of interest. OTEMTO® 1 and 2 were two replicate, 12-week, Phase III studies investigating the benefit of tiotropium + olodaterol on lung function and quality of life in patients with moderate to severe disease. Post hoc analyses were performed to assess the benefits for patients according to disease severity and treatment history. METHODS: Four subgroup analyses were performed: Global initiative for chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 2/3, GOLD A/B/C/D, treatment naive/not treatment naive and receiving inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) at baseline/not receiving ICS at baseline. Primary end points were change in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) area under the curve from 0 to 3 h response, change in trough FEV1 and St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) total score. Transition Dyspnoea Index (TDI) focal score was a secondary end point, and SGRQ and TDI responder analyses were further end points; all were assessed at 12 weeks. RESULTS: In all subgroups, patients receiving tiotropium + olodaterol responded better overall than those receiving tiotropium monotherapy. Improvements with tiotropium + olodaterol over placebo or tiotropium monotherapy were noted across GOLD 2/3 and GOLD A/B/C/D; however, improvements in SGRQ total score were most evident in the GOLD B subgroup. Moreover, lung-function outcomes were generally greater in those patients who had been receiving previous long-acting bronchodilator and/or ICS maintenance treatment. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that tiotropium + olodaterol should be considered as a treatment option in patients with moderate COPD who are initiating maintenance therapy, as well as those with more severe disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01964352 and NCT02006732 .

Faldaprevir, pegylated interferon, and ribavirin for treatment-naïve HCV genotype-1: pooled analysis of two phase 3 trials.

INTRODUCTION & AIM: Faldaprevir is a potent once-daily (q.d.) hepatitis C virus (HCV) NS3/4A protease inhibitor. The STARTVerso1 and STARTVerso2 phase 3 studies evaluated faldaprevir plus peginterferon alfa-2a/ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) in treatment-naïve patients with chronic HCV genotype-1 infection. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients were randomized 1:2:2 to receive placebo, faldaprevir 120 mg q.d. (12 or 24 weeks) or faldaprevir 240 mg q.d. (12 weeks) all with PegIFN/RBV (24-48 weeks). Faldaprevir 120 mg for 12 weeks only (STARTVerso1 only) required early treatment success (ETS, HCV RNA < 25 IU/mL at week 4 and undetected at week 8). All faldaprevir-treated patients with ETS stopped PegIFN/RBV at week 24. Primary endpoint: sustained virologic response 12 weeks post-treatment (SVR12). RESULTS: SVR12 rates were significantly higher for patients treated with faldaprevir 120 or 240 mg (72% and 73%, respectively) compared with placebo (50%); estimated differences (adjusted for trial, race, and genotype-1 subtype) faldaprevir 120 mg 24% (95% CI: 17-31%, P < 0.0001), faldaprevir 240 mg 23% (95% CI: 16-30%, P < 0.0001). Subgroup analyses consistently showed higher SVR12 rates for patients receiving faldaprevir compared with placebo. The incidence of adverse events (AEs) was similar in faldaprevir 120-mg and placebo groups and slightly higher in the faldaprevir 240-mg group. Serious Aes were reported in 6%, 7%, and 8% of patients in placebo, faldaprevir 120-mg, and faldaprevir 240-mg groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: Addition of faldaprevir to PegIFN/RBV increased SVR12 in patients with HCV genotype-1, and was well tolerated. Faldaprevir 120 mg is effective in the treatment of HCV genotype-1. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01343888 and NCT01297270.

Efficacy and safety of faldaprevir, deleobuvir, and ribavirin in treatment-naive patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis.

Patients with advanced hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection represent an unmet need. The HCV NS3/4A inhibitor, faldaprevir, was evaluated in combination with the nonnucleoside NS5B inhibitor, deleobuvir, with or without ribavirin in treatment-naive patients with HCV genotype 1 infection in the SOUND-C2 study. Here, the efficacy and safety of this interferon-free regimen in a subset of patients with advanced liver fibrosis, including those with compensated cirrhosis, were assessed. Patients (n=362) were randomized to once-daily faldaprevir with either twice-daily (BID) or three-times-daily (TID) deleobuvir for 16 (TID16W), 28 (TID28W and BID28W), or 40 (TID40W) weeks with or without ribavirin (TID28W-NR). Patients were classified according to fibrosis stage (F0 to F2 versus F3 to F4) and the presence of cirrhosis (yes/no). In total, 85 (24%) patients had advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (F3 to F4) and 33 (9%) had cirrhosis. Within each treatment arm, differences in rates of sustained virologic response 12 weeks after completion of treatment (SVR12) between patients with mild to moderate fibrosis (F0 to F2) versus F3 to F4 did not show a consistent pattern and were not statistically significant (63% versus 47% for TID16W, 53% versus 76% for TID28W, 48% versus 67% for TID40W, 70% versus 67% for BID28W, and 40% versus 36% for TID28W-NR, respectively; P > 0.05 for each arm). The most frequent adverse events in patients with/without cirrhosis were gastrointestinal and skin events, which were mostly mild or moderate in intensity. The degree of liver fibrosis did not appear to affect the probability of achieving SVR12 following treatment with the interferon-free regimen of faldaprevir, deleobuvir, and ribavirin. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under registration no. NCT01132313.).

Estimating the effect of nintedanib on forced vital capacity in children and adolescents with fibrosing interstitial lung disease using a Bayesian dynamic borrowing approach.

BACKGROUND: The rarity of childhood interstitial lung disease (chILD) makes it challenging to conduct powered trials. In the InPedILD trial, among 39 children and adolescents with fibrosing ILD, there was a numerical benefit of nintedanib versus placebo on change in forced vital capacity (FVC) over 24 weeks (difference in mean change in FVC % predicted of 1.21 [95% confidence interval: -3.40, 5.81]). Nintedanib has shown a consistent effect on FVC across populations of adults with different diagnoses of fibrosing ILD. METHODS: In a Bayesian dynamic borrowing analysis, prespecified before data unblinding, we incorporated data on the effect of nintedanib in adults and the data from the InPedILD trial to estimate the effect of nintedanib on FVC in children and adolescents with fibrosing ILD. The data from adults were represented as a meta-analytic predictive (MAP) prior distribution with mean 1.69 (95% credible interval: 0.49, 3.08). The adult data were weighted according to expert judgment on their relevance to the efficacy of nintedanib in chILD, obtained in a formal elicitation exercise. RESULTS: Combined data from the MAP prior and InPedILD trial analyzed within the Bayesian framework resulted in a median difference between nintedanib and placebo in change in FVC % predicted at Week 24 of 1.63 (95% credible interval: -0.69, 3.40). The posterior probability for superiority of nintedanib versus placebo was 95.5%, reaching the predefined success criterion of at least 90%. CONCLUSION: These findings, together with the safety data from the InPedILD trial, support the use of nintedanib in children and adolescents with fibrosing ILDs.

A Physical Phantom for the Simulation of Neonatal Thermoregulation.

Preterm infants are at an increased health risk due to their low maturity. To monitor their health, vital signs are measured using contact-based methods. The adhesive sensors used to detect body temperature can damage the sensitive skin of neonates. Thus, a subject of current research is non-invasive measurement methods based on infrared thermography. In this context, thermal phantoms can be used to develop contactless temperature measurement systems and, furthermore, investigate the thermal behavior of preterm infants. In this work, an improved thermal phantom is introduced to simulate the thermoregulation of a premature infant. The shape and size are adapted to the body of a premature infant in the 29th week of pregnancy. The phantom consists of a 3D-printed frame to which carbon fiber heating elements and Pt1000 temperature sensors are attached. The frame is enclosed by a thermally conductive skin layer made of a silicone boron nitride mixture. Ball joints allow the body parts to tilt and rotate, enabling the phantom to model different body postures. Using PI controllers, the thermal phantom can achieve desired temperatures in 13 different areas of the body while maintaining a homogeneous temperature distribution on the skin surface. In addition, pathological temperature scenarios such as a central-peripheral temperature difference or a change in body temperature can be simulated with a maximum deviation of ± 0.4 °C.

Design of a phase III, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of BI 1015550 in patients with progressive pulmonary fibrosis (FIBRONEER-ILD).

INTRODUCTION: Progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) includes any diagnosis of progressive fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, disease progression appears comparable between PPF and IPF, suggesting a similar underlying pathology relating to pulmonary fibrosis. Following positive results in a phase II study in IPF, this phase III study will investigate the efficacy and safety of BI 1015550 in patients with PPF (FIBRONEER-ILD). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: In this phase III, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients are being randomised 1:1:1 to receive BI 1015550 (9 mg or 18 mg) or placebo twice daily over at least 52 weeks, stratified by background nintedanib use. Patients must be diagnosed with pulmonary fibrosis other than IPF that is progressive, based on predefined criteria. Patients must have forced vital capacity (FVC) ≥45% predicted and haemoglobin-corrected diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide ≥25% predicted. Patients must be receiving nintedanib for at least 12 weeks, or not receiving nintedanib for at least 8 weeks, prior to screening. Patients on stable treatment with permitted immunosuppressives (eg, methotrexate, azathioprine) may continue their treatment throughout the trial. Patients with clinically significant airway obstruction or other pulmonary abnormalities, and those using immunosuppressives that may confound FVC results (cyclophosphamide, tocilizumab, mycophenolate, rituximab) or high-dose steroids will be excluded. The primary endpoint is absolute change from baseline in FVC (mL) at week 52. The key secondary endpoint is time to the first occurrence of any acute ILD exacerbation, hospitalisation for respiratory cause or death, over the duration of the trial. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The trial is being carried out in accordance with the ethical principles of the Declaration of Helsinki, the International Council on Harmonisation Guideline for Good Clinical Practice and other local ethics committees. The study results will be disseminated at scientific congresses and in peer-reviewed publications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05321082.

Effect of Nintedanib on Progression of Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease Over 100 Weeks: Data From a Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: In the SENSCIS trial, participants with systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) were randomized to receive nintedanib or placebo until the last participant reached week 52 but for 100 weeks or less. Nintedanib reduced the rate of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) (ml/year) over 52 weeks by 44% (41 ml [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 2.9-79.0]) versus placebo. We investigated the effect of nintedanib over the whole SENSCIS trial. METHODS: The annual rate of decline in FVC (ml/year) over the whole trial was assessed descriptively using 1) on-treatment data plus off-treatment data from participants who prematurely discontinued treatment (intent-to-treat analysis) and 2) only on-treatment data to assess the effect of nintedanib in participants who remained on treatment. RESULTS: In the intent-to-treat analysis, the adjusted mean (SE) annual rate of decline in FVC over 100 weeks was -54.9 (11.1) and -88.8 (10.9) ml/year in the nintedanib (n = 287) and placebo (n = 288) groups, respectively (difference 34.0 ml/year [95% CI: 3.4-64.5]). In the on-treatment analysis, the adjusted mean (SE) annual rate of decline in FVC over 100 weeks was -55.1 (12.3) and -94.0 (11.7) ml/year in the nintedanib (n = 286) and placebo (n = 288) groups, respectively (difference 38.9 ml/year [95% CI: 5.6-72.1]). The adverse event profile of nintedanib over 100 weeks was consistent with that observed over 52 weeks. CONCLUSION: Nintedanib provides a sustained benefit on slowing the progression of SSc-ILD over 100 weeks, with adverse events that are manageable for most patients.

Plain language summary: Clinical study of BI 1015550 as a potential treatment for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

WHAT IS THIS SUMMARY ABOUT?: This plain language summary describes the main findings from a trial in people with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (also called IPF) that was recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine. IPF is a rare disease, where the lungs become more and more scarred, with breathing and oxygen uptake becoming increasingly difficult. This trial looked at the medication BI 1015550 as a potential treatment for IPF. It compared BI 1015550 to placebo (a dummy drug that does not contain any active ingredients) to investigate the effectiveness of the drug in treating people with IPF. The study also looked at the additional medical issues (referred to as adverse events) reported during the study. Some participants took approved treatments to reduce scarring (nintedanib or pirfenidone), and some did not. WHAT WERE THE RESULTS?: Overall, 147 people with IPF from 22 countries took part in the trial. The results showed that BI 1015550 prevented lung function from decreasing in people with IPF. There was no difference in the percentage of patients with medical issues rated as severe by the study physician with BI 1015550 or placebo. However, more people treated with BI 1015550 had diarrhoea. Among those treated with BI 1015550, 13 participants stopped their treatment due to medical issues, whereas treatment was not stopped due to medical issues for any participants treated with placebo. WHAT DO THE RESULTS MEAN?: These results provide evidence that BI 1015550 prevents lung function from worsening in people with IPF. Further clinical studies will be conducted in the future to test BI 1015550 in a larger group of people with IPF and other forms of lung scarring that get worse over time, and for a longer time period.

Meta-Analysis of Effect of Nintedanib on Reducing FVC Decline Across Interstitial Lung Diseases.

INTRODUCTION: The effect of nintedanib on slowing the rate of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) has been investigated in randomized placebo-controlled trials in subjects with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), other progressive fibrosing interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), and ILD associated with systemic sclerosis (SSc-ILD). We assessed the consistency of the effect of nintedanib on the rate of decline in FVC over 52 weeks across four placebo-controlled phase III trials. METHODS: We used data on FVC decline from the INPULSIS-1 and INPULSIS-2 trials in subjects with IPF, the INBUILD trial in subjects with progressing fibrosing ILDs other than IPF, and the SENSCIS trial in subjects with SSc-ILD. In each trial, the primary endpoint was the annual rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) assessed over 52 weeks. We performed fixed effect and random effects meta-analyses based on the relative treatment effect of nintedanib versus placebo on the rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) over 52 weeks. Heterogeneity of the relative treatment effect of nintedanib across populations was assessed using the I2 statistic, τ2 and corresponding p value from a Q test for heterogeneity. RESULTS: The combined analysis comprised 1257 subjects treated with nintedanib and 1042 subjects who received placebo. Nintedanib reduced the rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) over 52 weeks by 51.0% (95% CI 39.1, 63.0) compared with placebo. The relative effect (95% CI) was the same using the fixed effect and random effects models. There was no evidence of heterogeneity in the relative treatment effect of nintedanib across the populations studied (I2 = 0%, τ2 = 0, p = 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: A meta-analysis of data from four placebo-controlled trials demonstrated that nintedanib approximately halved the rate of decline in FVC over 52 weeks across subjects with different forms of pulmonary fibrosis, with no evidence of heterogeneity in its relative treatment effect across patient populations.