Management decision of hospital surge: assessing seasonal upsurge in inpatient medical bed occupancy rate among public acute hospitals in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: There were recurrent upsurges in demand for public hospital services in Hong Kong. An understanding of the contribution of some possible factors for the rise in health care burden would help to inform hospital management strategies. AIM: To evaluate the utilization patterns of hospitalizations in medical wards among public acute hospitals in Hong Kong during surge periods. DESIGN: Retrospective study. METHODS: By extracting the information in press releases between 2014 and 2018, descriptive statistics about medical ward occupancy situation during six surge periods were generated. A time series model was constructed to estimate the occupancy rate at each hospital and assess its relationship with the intensity of seasonal influenza activity, extreme weather, day of week and long holidays. RESULTS: There was a significant increase in the number of admissions to medical wards in all six surge periods. A significant variation in occupancy rate between weekdays and geographic regions was observed. The occupancy rate in 10, out of 15, hospitals was significantly associated with the influenza activity, while there was limited effect of weather on the occupancy rate. A significant holiday effect was observed during Christmas and Chinese New Year, resulting in a lower bed occupancy rate. CONCLUSIONS: A differential burden in public hospitals during surge periods was reported. Contingency bed and staff management shall be tailored to individual hospitals, given their differences in the determinants for inpatient bed occupancy.

Electrical characterizations of biomimetic molecular layers on gold and silicon substrates.

Electrical impedance technology was used to characterize DNA recognition in a monolayer containing single-stranded DNA probes immobilized on a gold substrate using thiol self-assembly chemistry. Recognition of targeted complementary DNA was principally correlated with an eight-fold increase in the conductance of the monolayer and attributed to electron conduction through double helices formed upon the binding of the DNA targets to the probes. The high recognitive sensitivity was possible without the use of the redox labels or large bias voltages required for recognition using cyclic and Osteryoung square wave voltammetry. The impedance technology also provided atomic resolution of a hybrid bimolecular lipid membrane formed by deposition of a phospholipid:cholesterol monolayer onto a hydrophobic alkyl monolayer covalently attached to a silicon substrate via silicon-carbon bonds. Atomic resolution was achieved through preparation of membranes on surfaces approaching atomic flatness and the performance of impedance measurements over precisely defined areas of the surface in contact with solutions. Principally capacitive properties distinguished between the immobilized (octadecyl) and more fluidic (lipid:cholesterol) leaflets of the hybrid membrane. The lipid:cholesterol leaflets were structurally similar to those leaflets in free-standing bimolecular lipid membranes. The hybrid membrane therefore provides a highly stable and physiologically relevant surface for studying biomolecular interactions with membrane surfaces.

Identification of a viral kinase that phosphorylates specific E2Fs and pocket proteins.

The transcription factor E2F and its regulation by pRB and related pocket proteins are central to cell cycle control in higher eukaryotes. Much of our knowledge of this regulation has come from studies using immediate-early proteins of DNA tumor viruses. Previously, we reported that the 72-kDa immediate-early region 1 gene product of the human cytomegalovirus, IE72, transactivates the dihydrofolate reductase promoter through the E2F site and that it physically interacts with E2F1 (M. J. Margolis, S. Pajovic, E. L. Wong, M. Wade, R. Jupp, J. A. Nelson, and J. C. Azizkhan, J. Virol. 69:7759-7767, 1995). In this study, we further characterized the mechanism by which IE72 modulates E2F-dependent transcription. In vitro phosphorylation reactions using gel-purified bacterially expressed proteins revealed that IE72 is a kinase that autophosphorylates and phosphorylates E2F1, -2, and -3 (but not E2F4 or -5) and the RB-related pocket proteins p130 and p107 (but not pRB). The region of IE72 spanning amino acids 173 to 197 shows a high level of homology to the ATP binding sites in over 500 kinases. The kinase-negative protein IE72deltaATP, from which this region has been deleted, cannot activate E2F-dependent transcription. The kinase activity of IE72 is also required for its ability to reduce the association of E2F4 with p107 and p130. Taken together, these data suggest that the kinase activity of IE72 is required for E2F-dependent transcriptional activation and that this is likely to result from phosphorylation of specific members of the E2F and pocket protein families by IE72.

Temporal trends in sexually transmitted infection prevalence and condom use following introduction of the female condom to Madagascar sex workers.

We followed 1000 sex workers in Madagascar for 18 months to assess whether adding female condoms to male condom distribution led to increased protection levels and decreased sexually transmitted infections (STIs). For months 1-6, participants had access to male condoms only; in the final 12 months, they had access to male and female condoms. We interviewed participants about condom use every two months and tested for chlamydia, gonorrhoea and trichomoniasis every six months. Following six months of male condom distribution, participants used protection in 78% of sex acts with clients. Following female condom introduction, protection at months 12 and 18 rose to 83% and 88%, respectively. Aggregate STI prevalence declined from 52% at baseline to 50% at month 6. With the female condom added, STI prevalence dropped to 41% and 40% at months 12 and 18, respectively. We conclude female condom introduction is associated with increased use of protection to levels that reduce STI risk.

Immunomodulatory effects of a traditional Chinese medicine with potential antiviral activity: a self-control study.

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been used for prevention and treatment of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Hong Kong during the outbreak in spring 2003. We investigated the immunomodulating effects of an innovative TCM regimen derived from two herbal formulas (Sang Ju Yin and Yu Ping Feng San) for treating febrile diseases. Thirty-seven healthy volunteers were given the oral TCM regimen daily for 14 days. Peripheral venous blood samples were taken on days 0, 15 and 29 for hematology, biochemistry and immunology tests, including the measurement of blood lymphocyte subsets and plasma T-helper lymphocyte types 1 and 2 cytokines and receptor. After 3 months, 23 of the volunteers participated in a control study without TCM treatment for the same time course of blood tests. Two volunteers withdrew on day 2, due to headache and dizziness. All others remained well without any side effects. No participants showed significant changes in their blood test results, except that the T-lymphocyte CD4/CD8 ratio increased significantly from 1.31 +/- 0.50 (mean +/- SD) on day 0 to 1.41 +/- 0.63 on day 15 (p < 0.02), and reduced to 1.32 +/- 0.47 on day 29 (p < 0.05). In the control study, there were no changes in the CD4/CD8 ratio. The transient increase in CD4/CD8 ratio was likely due to the TCM intake. We postulate that the administration of the innovative TCM may have beneficial immunomodulatory effects for preventing viral infections including SARS.

Allelic loss on chromosome 11 in hereditary and sporadic tumors related to familial multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1.

Familial multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1 (FMEN1) is an autosomal dominant disorder characterized by tumors of the parathyroid glands, pancreatic islets, and anterior pituitary. The gene for this disease maps to chromosome 11q12-11q13, and allelic loss in this region has been shown in both sporadic and FMEN1-related parathyroid tumors. FMEN1-related pancreatic islet tumors, and rarely in sporadic anterior pituitary tumors. We tested for allelic loss at 7 loci on chromosome 11 in 17 tumors outside the parathyroid. We found loss of heterozygosity in 2 of 2 FMEN1-related benign pancreatic islet tumors but in none of 8 informative sporadic islet tumors (P = 0.02) including 5 malignant gastrinomas. Of 3 islet tumors from patients who had some but not all features of FMEN1, one showed allelic loss for 5 of 5 informative restriction fragment length polymorphisms, and the other 2 retained heterozygosity for all informative markers. A bronchial carcinoid from an FMEN1 patient and 3 sporadic anterior pituitary tumors showed no allelic loss. These data provide new evidence that many sporadic pancreatic islet neoplasms, even when malignant, do not develop through homozygous inactivation of the MEN1 gene.

The use of an herbal formula by hospital care workers during the severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in Hong Kong to prevent severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission, relieve influenza-related symptoms, and improve quality of life: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the efficacy of an herbal formula in the prevention of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) transmission among health care workers. The secondary objectives are to investigate quality of life (QOL) and symptomology changes among supplement users, and to evaluate the safety of this formula. DESIGN: Controlled clinical trial. SETTINGS: Hong Kong during epidemic of SARS. SUBJECTS: Two cohorts of health care workers from 11 hospitals in Hong Kong, 1 using an herbal supplement for a 2-week period (n = 1063) and a control cohort comprising all other health care workers who did not receive the supplement (n = 36,111) were compared prospectively. INTERVENTIONS: Taking an herbal supplement for a 2-week period. OUTCOME MEASURES: SARS attack rates and changes in quality of life and influenza-like symptoms were also examined at three timepoints among herbal supplement users. RESULTS: None of the health care workers who used the supplement subsequently contracted SARS compared to 0.4% of the health care workers who did not use the supplement (p = 0.014). Improvements in influenza-like symptoms and quality of life measurements were also observed among herbal supplement users. Less than 2% reported minor adverse events. CONCLUSION: The results of this pilot study suggest that there is a good potential of using Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) supplements to prevent the spread of SARS.

Using herbal medicine as a means of prevention experience during the SARS crisis.

At the peak of the SARS epidemic in Hong Kong, hospital workers were under high risks of contraction of the infection. Herbal preparations had been used historically in China to treat influenza-like diseases. During the SARS outbreak, herbal preparations had been used jointly with standard modern treatment in China. As a means to protect the at-risk hospital workers, an innovative herbal formula was created and consumed by 3160 of them in two weeks. During the two weeks, symptoms and adverse effects were close monitored; 37 of them had their serum checked for immunological responses. The results showed that none of the herb consumers contracted the infection, compared to 0.4% among the non-consumers. Adverse effects had been infrequent and mild. There were hardly any influenza-like symptoms and the quality of life improved. In the group who volunteered to have their immunological state checked, significant boosting effects were found. It was concluded that there might be a good indication for using suitable herbal preparations as a means of preventing influenza-like infection. The mode of preventive effect could be treatment of the infection at its very early stage instead of producing a period of higher immunological ability, as in the case of vaccination.

Successful revascularisation of near total amputation of the upper limb after ten hours of warm ischaemia.

Near total amputation of the upper limb if unsalvageable would cause severe disability. However, delayed revascularisation can be life threatening. We report two cases of revascularisation of the upper limb following near total amputation that was successful and functional after a warm ischaemic time of ten hours. The first was a traction avulsion injury of the arm leaving major nerves contused but in continuity. The second was a sharp injury through the mid-forearm attached by only a bridge of skin. Attempting revascularisation of a proximal injury beyond 6 hours, in selected cases is worthwhile.

Shoulder arthrodesis in brachial plexus injuries--a review of six cases.

Shoulder arthrodesis is a secondary reconstructive option for patients with brachial plexus injuries requiring a stable shoulder. This study was undertaken to evaluate the clinical and radiological outcomes of shoulder fusion in six patients with flail upper limbs following complete brachial plexus injuries. The shoulder was fused in 30 degrees abduction, 30 degrees internal rotation and 30 degrees flexion via a direct lateral approach by using a 4.5 mm reconstruction plate without bone grafting. The average follow-up was 10.3 months. Radiological union was obtained in all patients. Five patients (83%) had relief of pain after the shoulder fusion. Improvement of function was observed in all patients with a mean improvement of 56.6 degrees (range 30 degrees-75 degrees) and 47.5 degrees (range 30 degrees-60 degrees) active flexion and abduction respectively. One patient developed humeral fracture distal to the plate and the fracture eventually healed with a splint. Successful stable fusion of the shoulder in patients with brachial plexus injuries requires rigid fixation with a single 4.5 mm reconstruction plate, protection of bone healing with a triangular abduction brace for 12 weeks and functional trapezius, levator scapulae, serratus anterior and rhomboid muscles for optimizing the functional result.

Female condom introduction and sexually transmitted infection prevalence: results of a community intervention trial in Kenya.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the impact on sexually transmitted infection (STI) prevalence of a female condom introduction and risk-reduction program at Kenyan agricultural sites. DESIGN: We conducted a cluster-randomized trial to determine whether a replicable, community-level intervention would reduce STI prevalence. METHODS: Six matched pairs of tea, coffee and flower plantations were identified. The six intervention sites received an information/motivation program with free distribution of female and male condoms, and six control sites received only male condoms and related information. Participants were tested for cervical gonorrhea and chlamydia by ligase chain reaction on urine specimens, and vaginal trichomoniasis by culture, at baseline, 6 and 12 months. RESULTS: Participants at intervention (n = 969) and control sites (n = 960) were similar; baseline STI prevalence was 23.9%. Consistent male condom use was more than 20% at 12 months. Consistent female condom use was reported by 11 and 7% of intervention site women at 6 and 12 months. Unadjusted STI prevalence was 16.5 and 17.4% at 6 months, and 18.3 and 18.5% at 12 months, at the intervention and control sites, respectively. Logistic regression models confirmed the null effect of the female condom intervention. CONCLUSIONS: Female condom introduction did not enhance STI prevention at these sites. It is unclear which aspects of the intervention -- STI education, condom promotion, case management -- were associated with decreased STI prevalence from baseline to follow-up.

Expression and characterization of CD4-IgG2, a novel heterotetramer that neutralizes primary HIV type 1 isolates.

CD4-IgG2 is a novel fusion protein comprising human IgG2 in which the Fv portions of both heavy and light chains have been replaced by the V1 and V2 domains of human CD4. This tetrameric protein is being developed as an immunoprophylactic agent to reduce the probability of infection following HIV-1 exposure, in settings such as occupational or perinatal exposure to the virus. CD4-IgG2 has been expressed in Chinese hamster ovary cells and is secreted as a fully assembled heterotetramer. The protein binds with nanomolar affinity to purified gp120 from both a laboratory-adapted strain and a primary isolate of HIV-1. Pharmacokinetic studies in rabbits demonstrated that CD4-IgG2 has a plasma terminal half-life greater than 1 day, compared with 15 min for soluble CD4 (sCD4). CD4-IgG2 does not bind to Fc receptors on the surface of U937 monocyte/macrophage cells. Compared to molecules that incorporate the Fc portion of IgG1, CD4-IgG2 has less potential to mediate functions such as antibody-dependent enhancement of infection or transplacental transmission of HIV-1. When tested in a virus-free HIV-1 envelope glycoprotein-mediated cell fusion assay, the tetrameric CD4-IgG2 molecule inhibited syncytium formation more effectively than monomeric sCD4 or a dimeric CD4-gamma 2 fusion protein. This suggests the protein will block cell-to-cell transmission of HIV-1. Moreover, CD4-IgG2 effectively neutralized a panel of laboratory-adapted strains and primary isolates of HIV-1, including strains with different tropisms and isolated from different stages of the disease, at concentrations that should be readily achieved in vivo.

Prospective evaluation of patients refused admission to an intensive care unit: triage, futility and outcome.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate factors associated with decisions to refuse ICU admission and to assess the outcome of refused patients. DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective, descriptive evaluation in a multi-disciplinary intensive care unit, university referral hospital. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS: All adult emergency referrals over a 7-month period. INTERVENTIONS: The number of beds available at the time of referral, the patient's age, gender, diagnosis, mortality probability model score and hospital survival were documented. The outcome of the referral and the reason for refusal were recorded. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Of 624 patients 388 were admitted and 236 (38%) refused. Reasons for refusal were triage (n=104), futility (n=82) and inappropriate referral (too well; n=50). The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) for refused and admitted groups was 1.24 (95% CI 1.05-1.46) and 0.93 (0.78-1.09) respectively. The SMR ratio (refused SMR/admitted SMR) was highest in the middle range of illness (1.95, 1.19-3.20). Inappropriate referrals had a better than expected outcome despite refusal, with a SMR ratio of 0.39 (0.11-0.99). Excluding inappropriate referrals, multivariate analysis demonstrated that refusal was associated with older age, diagnostic group and severity of illness. Triage decisions were associated with a diagnosis of sepsis, and futility decisions with greater severity of illness and recent cardiac arrest. CONCLUSIONS: Refusal of admission to our ICU is common. Excess mortality of patients refused is most marked in the middle range of severity of illness. Age, diagnostic group, and severity of illness are important in decision making. Strategies should be developed to create admission criteria that would identify patients in the middle range of severity of illness who should benefit most from ICU care.

Immunomodulatory effects of yun zhi and danshen capsules in health subjects--a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover study.

Immunostimulating polysaccharides extracted from the Chinese medicinal plant Yun Zhi (Coriolus versicolor) have been found to enhance various immunological functions, and Danshen (Salvia miltiorrhiza) to show beneficial effects on the circulatory system. In the present clinical study, we investigated if regular consumption of Yun Zhi and Danshen capsules could improve cellular immunity in healthy subjects. One hundred healthy subjects were recruited to take Yun Zhi (50 mg/kg body weight) plus Danshen (20 mg/kg body weight) or placebo capsules daily for four successive months and, after a 2-month wash-out period, crossover to take placebo or Yun Zhi plus Danshen capsules for four successive months. Flow cytometry was used to assess the lymphocyte subtypes and concentration of T helper (Th) cell cytokines in culture supernatant. Gene expression of cytokines and cytokine receptors of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) was analyzed by cDNA expression array. Results showed that regular oral consumption of Yun Zhi-Danshen capsules could significantly elevate PBMC gene expression of interleukin (IL)-2 receptor, increase the percentage and absolute counts of T helper cell and ratio of CD4(+) (T helper)/CD8(+) (T suppressor and cytotoxic T) cell, and significantly enhance the ex vivo production of typical Th1 cytokine interferon-gamma from PBMC activated by phytohemagglutinin and lipopolysaccharide (all p<0.005). Such consumption had no adverse effects on liver and renal functions, and the biochemical bone profile. Therefore, regular consumption of Yun Zhi and Danshen could be beneficial for immunological functions by potential enhancement of cell-mediated immunity in healthy subjects without any adverse effects.

Accessibility, quality of care and prenatal care use in the Philippines.

The patterns and determinants of prenatal care are examined through the use of a randomly selected sample of 3000 rural and urban women who were studied prospectively during pregnancy and at three or four days postpartum. A large number of policy factors were found to influence the choice of most frequently used type of traditional, modern public or modern private prenatal care and the number of visits to each type of care, but few affected the first month of visit. The quality of care provided, accessibility to this care, and insurance available to the mother all had important effects on prenatal patterns. Large differences exist in the set of feasible policy options for improving prenatal care in urban and rural areas.

Measuring condom use: asking "do you or don't you" isn't enough.

This article compares cross-sectional measures of condom use among 2,269 female sex workers in Cameroon randomly assigned to receive one of five different questionnaires measuring condom use. We found that the level of reported condom use varied depending on the type of survey questions used. Measures based on 2-week coital logs or the past 10 acts categorized more women as "100%" or "0%" users than always-to-never scales categorized women as "always" or "never" users. Consistency of use also varied by type of partner. Internal consistency of responses was high. Future studies should assess differences in prospective measures of condom use and the level of association between various measures and infection with sexually transmitted disease.

PIP: Three methods of measuring condom use among a cross-sectional sample of 2269 female sex workers in Cameroon are compared with regard to the differences in the distribution of use. The methods compared are: 1) reported frequency of use, employing questions with always-to-never response scales; 2) calculated percentage of use based on questions asking for the number of acts protected by condoms during the last act, the last 5 acts, and the last 10 acts; and 3) percentage of coital acts protected by condoms as reported in a retrospective coital act log. The findings showed that the type of survey questions used to obtain the data influenced the levels of reported condom use. Measures based on 2-week coital logs or the past 10 acts categorized women as "100%" or "0%" users more frequently than always-to-never scales categorized women as "always" or "never" users. The type of partner also affected the data on consistency of use. Internal consistency of responses was high. Comparison of the differences in prospective measures of condom use should be taken up in future studies. The association between various measures and infection with sexually transmitted diseases should also be evaluated.

Inflammatory state of type II diabetic patients with chronic ulcers in response to herbal treatment.

BACKGROUND: Type II diabetic patients easily develop ulcers over their feet which heal with great difficulties and not infrequently, end up in amputations. In the quest for innovative means to avoid amputation, herbal medicine has been used in China to heal ulcers. METHOD: A randomized placebo controlled clinical trial involving 80 patients was conducted to test whether a herbal formula taken orally could help to preserve the ulcerated leg. Other parameters measured included granulation maturation time, skin temperature and circulation, and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α). RESULTS: showed a 85% limb rescue with the herbal treatment group showing superiority over placebo group. TNF-α decline was observed with gradual ulcer healing and the herbal supplement group showed a more impressive decline (p=0.037).

A prospective study assessing the effects of introducing the female condom in a sex worker population in Mombasa, Kenya.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact and costs of adding female condoms to a male condom promotion and distribution peer education programme for sex workers in Mombasa, Kenya. DESIGN: A 12 month, prospective study of 210 female sex workers. METHODS: We interviewed participants about their sexual behaviour every 2 months for a total of seven times and introduced female condoms after the third interview. We also collected cost data and calculated the cost and cost effectiveness of adding the female condom component to the existing programme. RESULTS: Introduction of the female condom in an HIV/AIDS prevention project targeting sex workers led to small, but significant, increases in consistent condom use with all sexual partners. However, there was a high degree of substitution of the female condom for male condoms. The cost per additional consistent condom user at a programme level is estimated to be 2160 dollars (1169 pounds sterling, 1711 euros) (95% CI: 1338 to 11 179). CONCLUSIONS: The female condom has some potential for reducing unprotected sex among sex workers. However, given its high cost, and the marginal improvements seen here, governments should limit promotion of the female condom in populations that are already successfully using the male condom. More research is needed to identify effective methods of encouraging sex workers to practise safer sex with their boyfriends.