Gestational diabetes mellitus is associated with greater incidence of dementia during long-term post-partum follow-up.

BACKGROUND: The impact of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) on incident dementia is unknown. Our aim was to evaluate the relationship between GDM and all-cause dementia and the mediating effects of chronic diseases on this relationship. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included women from the UK Biobank who were grouped based on GDM history. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the associations between GDM and dementia. We further analysed the mediating effects of chronic diseases on this relationship and the interactions of covariates. RESULTS: A total of 1292 women with and 204,171 women without a history of GDM were included. During a median follow-up period of 45 years after first birth, 2921 women were diagnosed with dementia. Women with a GDM history had a 67% increased risk of incident dementia (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% confidence interval: 1.03-2.69) compared with those without a GDM history. According to mediation analyses, type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, chronic kidney disease and comorbidities (diagnosed with any two of the three diseases) explained 34.5%, 8.4%, 5.2% and 18.8% of the mediating effect on the relationship. Subgroup analyses revealed that physical activity modified the association between GDM history and dementia (p for interaction = 0.030). Among physically inactive women, GDM was significantly associated with incident dementia; however, this association was not observed among physically active women. CONCLUSIONS: A history of GDM was associated with a greater risk of incident dementia. Type 2 diabetes partially mediated this relationship. Strategies for dementia prevention might be considered for women with a history of GDM.

Nonparametric receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with an imperfect gold standard.

This article addresses the challenge of estimating receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the areas under these curves (AUC) in the context of an imperfect gold standard, a common issue in diagnostic accuracy studies. We delve into the nonparametric identification and estimation of ROC curves and AUCs when the reference standard for disease status is prone to error. Our approach hinges on the known or estimable accuracy of this imperfect reference standard and the conditional independent assumption, under which we demonstrate the identifiability of ROC curves and propose a nonparametric estimation method. In cases where the accuracy of the imperfect reference standard remains unknown, we establish that while ROC curves are unidentifiable, the sign of the difference between two AUCs is identifiable. This insight leads us to develop a hypothesis-testing method for assessing the relative superiority of AUCs. Compared to the existing methods, the proposed methods are nonparametric so that they do not rely on the parametric model assumptions. In addition, they are applicable to both the ROC/AUC analysis of continuous biomarkers and the AUC analysis of ordinal biomarkers. Our theoretical results and simulation studies validate the proposed methods, which we further illustrate through application in two real-world diagnostic studies.

Real-world effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir versus azvudine in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in Beijing: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Two oral antivirals (Nirmatrelvir- ritonavir and Azvudine) are widely used in China practice during the Omicron wave of the pandemic. However, little evidence regarding the real-world effectiveness of these two oral antivirals in in-hospital patients. We aimed to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir versus azvudine among adult hospitalized patients with COVID-19. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data from three Chinese PLA General Hospital medical centres. Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 treated with azvudine or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir from Dec 10, 2022, to February 20, 2023, and did not require invasive ventilation support on admission were eligible for inclusion. RESULTS: After exclusions and propensity-score matching, the final analysis included 486 azvudine recipients and 486 nirmatrelvir-ritonavir recipients. By 28 days of initiation of the antivirus treatment, the crude incidence rate of all-cause death was similar in both types of antivirus treatment (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir group 2.8 events 1000 person-days [95% CI, 2.1-3.6] vs azvudine group 3.4 events/1000 person-days [95% CI, 2.6-4.3], P = 0.38). Landmark analysis showed that all-cause death was lower in the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (3.5%) group than the azvudine (6.8%, P = 0.029) within the initial 10-day admission period, while no significant difference was observed for results between 10 and 28 days follow-up. There was no significant difference between the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir group and the azvudine group in cumulative incidence of the composite disease progression event (8.6% with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir vs. 10.1% with azvudine, HR, 1.22; 95% CI 0.80-1.86, P = 0.43). CONCLUSION: Among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the omicron wave in Beijing, similar in-hospital clinical outcomes on 28 days were observed between patients receiving nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and azvudine. However, it is worth noticing that nirmatrelvir-ritonavir appears to hold an advantage over azvudine in reducing early mortality. Further randomized controlled trials are needed to verify the efficacy of those two antivirus medications especially in early treatment.

Personalised functional imaging-guided multitarget continuous theta burst stimulation for post-stroke aphasia: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Continuous theta burst stimulation (cTBS), a form of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS), targeting the language network in the right hemisphere of post-stroke aphasia (PSA) patients shows promising results in clinical trials. However, existing PSA studies have focused on single-target rTMS, leaving unexplored the potential benefits of multitarget brain stimulation. Consequently, there is a need for a randomised clinical trial aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of cTBS targeting on multiple critical nodes in the language network for PSA. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a prospective, multicentre, double-blind, two-arm parallel-group, sham-controlled randomised trial. The study will include a total of 60 participants who will be randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to either the active cTBS group or the sham cTBS group. Using precision resting-state functional MRI for each participant, we will map personalised language networks and design personalised targets in the inferior frontal gyrus, superior temporal gyrus and superior frontal gyrus. Participants will undergo a 3-week cTBS intervention targeting the three personalised targets, coupled with speech and language therapy. The primary outcome is the change in the Western Aphasia Battery-Revised aphasia quotient score among participants after a 3-week treatment. Secondary outcomes include Boston Diagnostic Aphasia Examination severity ratings, Token Test and the Chinese-version of the Stroke and Aphasia Quality of Life Scale 39-generic version. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has been approved by the ethics committees of Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Hebei General Hospital and Affiliated Hospital of Chengde Medical University. The findings of this study will be reported in peer-reviewed scientific journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study has been registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05957445).

Associations Between Onset Age of Orthostatic Hypotension and Incident Myocardial Infarction, Stroke, and Dementia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The associations of age at orthostatic hypotension onset with incident myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and dementia remain unknown. This study aimed to examine whether younger onset age of orthostatic hypotension was associated with higher risks of incident MI, stroke, and dementia. METHODS: Data were obtained from the UK Biobank. Information on the diagnosis of orthostatic hypotension, MI, stroke, and dementia was collected at baseline (2006-2010) and follow-ups (median = 13 years). The propensity score matching method and the Cox proportional hazard models were employed. RESULTS: A total of 448 374 adults (mean age: 56.8 ±â€…8.1 years), of whom 3 795 had orthostatic hypotension, were included. orthostatic hypotension patients exhibited higher risks of developing MI, stroke, and dementia than non-orthostatic hypotension participants. Importantly, among orthostatic hypotension patients, younger onset age (per 10-year decrement) was significantly associated with high risks of MI (HR = 3.15, 95% CI: 2.54-3.90, p < .001), stroke (HR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.33-2.23, p < .001), and dementia (HR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.02-1.57, p = .034). After propensity score matching, orthostatic hypotension patients had significantly higher risks of MI, stroke, and dementia than matched controls among all onset age groups, and the HRs gradually increased with descending onset age. CONCLUSIONS: Younger onset age of orthostatic hypotension was associated with higher risks of incident MI, stroke, and dementia, underscoring the necessity to pay additional attention to the cardiovascular health and neurocognitive status of individuals diagnosed with orthostatic hypotension at younger ages to attenuate subsequent risks of incident cardiovascular diseases and dementia.

Association between Age at Diagnosis of Hyperlipidemia and Subsequent Risk of Dementia.

OBJECTIVES: The relationship between age at diagnosis of hyperlipidemia and dementia remains unclear. We examined whether younger age at diagnosis of hyperlipidemia is associated with higher risk of subsequent dementia. DESIGN: A longitudinal population-based study with a median follow-up of 12.8 years. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We analyzed data on a sample of 489,642 participants in the United Kingdom. METHODS: This study was based on the UK Biobank. Information on hyperlipidemia and dementia diagnoses was collected at baseline (2006-2010) and follow-up [median = 12.8 years, interquartile range (IQR): 12.1-13.6 years]. Propensity score matching method and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between age at diagnosis of hyperlipidemia and dementia. RESULTS: Among 489,642 participants (mean age: 56.9 ± 8.1 years; female: 54.7%), 114,112 (23.3%) were diagnosed with hyperlipidemia. Younger age at diagnosis of hyperlipidemia (per 10-year decrease) was significantly associated with higher risks of all-cause dementia [hazard ratio (HR), 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07-1.18; P < .001], Alzheimer's disease (AD) (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.14-1.31; P < .001), and vascular dementia (VD) (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.27; P < .001). After propensity score matching, patients with hyperlipidemia diagnosed before 50 years had the highest HR for all-cause dementia (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.15-1.86; P = .002), followed by patients diagnosed between 50 and 69 years (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.12-1.31; P < .001) and then patients diagnosed aged 70 years and older (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.84-1.06; P = .302). Similar results were observed for AD and VD. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: A dose-response relationship between age at hyperlipidemia diagnosis and risk of dementia was found in the longitudinal cohort study, with younger age at diagnosis of hyperlipidemia being associated with higher subsequent risk.

Associations of age at diagnosis of breast cancer with incident myocardial infarction and heart failure: A prospective cohort study.

Background: The associations of age at diagnosis of breast cancer with incident myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF) remain unexamined. Addressing this problem could promote understanding of the cardiovascular impact of breast cancer. Methods: Data were obtained from the UK Biobank. Information on the diagnosis of breast cancer, MI, and HF was collected at baseline and follow-ups (median = 12.8 years). The propensity score matching method and Cox proportional hazards models were employed. Results: A total of 251,277 female participants (mean age: 56.8 ± 8.0 years), of whom 16,241 had breast cancer, were included. Among breast cancer participants, younger age at diagnosis (per 10-year decrease) was significantly associated with elevated risks of MI (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.56, p<0.001) and HF (HR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.18-1.46, p<0.001). After propensity score matching, breast cancer patients with younger diagnosis age had significantly higher risks of MI and HF than controls without breast cancer. Conclusions: Younger age at diagnosis of breast cancer was associated with higher risks of incident MI and HF, underscoring the necessity to pay additional attention to the cardiovascular health of breast cancer patients diagnosed at younger age to conduct timely interventions to attenuate the subsequent risks of incident cardiovascular diseases. Funding: This study was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82373665 and 81974490), the Nonprofit Central Research Institute Fund of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (2021-RC330-001), and the 2022 China Medical Board-open competition research grant (22-466).

Comprehensive Nomograms Using Routine Biomarkers Beyond Eosinophil Levels: Enhancing Predictability of Corticosteroid Treatment Outcomes in AECOPD.

Purpose: Patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) exhibit heterogeneous responses to corticosteroid treatment. We aimed to determine whether combining eosinophil levels with other routine clinical indicators can enhance the predictability of corticosteroid treatment outcomes and to come up with a scoring system. Patients and Methods: Consecutive patients admitted with AECOPD receiving corticosteroid treatment between July 2013 and March 2022 at Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Data on patients' demographics, smoking status, hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, comorbidities, blood laboratory tests, in-hospital treatment and clinical outcomes were collected. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and backward logistic regression were used for predictor selection, and predictive nomograms were developed. The discrimination and calibration of the nomograms were assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Internal validation was performed using the 500-bootstrap method, and clinical utility was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Among the 3254 patients included, 804 (24.7%) had treatment failure. A nomogram of eosinophils, platelets, C-reactive protein (CRP), low density lipoprotein cholesterol, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed to predict treatment failure for patients with a smoking history. For patients without a smoking history, a nomogram of CRP, PNI, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed. Although the AUCs of these two nomograms were only 0.644 and 0.647 respectively, they were significantly superior to predictions based solely on blood eosinophil levels. Conclusion: We developed easy-to-use comprehensive nomograms utilizing readily available clinical biomarkers related to inflammation, nutrition and immunity, offering modestly enhanced predictive value for treatment outcomes in corticosteroid-treated patients with AECOPD. Further investigations into novel biomarkers and additional patient data are imperative to optimize the predictive performance.

Effect of Postoperative Prolonged sedation with Dexmedetomidine after successful reperfusion with Endovascular Thrombectomy on long-term prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke (PPDET): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is a standard treatment for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with large vessel occlusion. Hypertension and increased blood pressure variability within the first 24 h after successful reperfusion are related to a higher risk of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage and higher mortality. AIS patients might suffer from ischemia-reperfusion injury following reperfusion, especially within 24 h. Dexmedetomidine (DEX), a sedative commonly used in EVT, can stabilize hemodynamics by inhibiting the sympathetic nervous system and alleviate ischemia-reperfusion injury through anti-inflammatory and antioxidative properties. Postoperative prolonged sedation for 24 h with DEX might be a potential pharmacological approach to improve long-term prognosis after EVT. METHODS: This single-center, open-label, prospective, randomized controlled trial will include 368 patients. The ethics committee has approved the protocol. After successful reperfusion (modified thrombolysis in cerebral infarction scores 2b-3, indicating reperfusion of at least 50% of the affected vascular territory), participants are randomly assigned to the intervention or control group. In the intervention group, participants will receive 0.1~1.0 µg/kg/h DEX for 24 h. In the control group, participants will receive an equal dose of saline for 24 h. The primary outcome is the functional outcome at 90 days, measured with the categorical scale of the modified Rankin Scale, ranging from 0 (no symptoms) to 6 (death). The secondary outcome includes (1) the changes in stroke severity between admission and 24 h and 7 days after EVT, measured by the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (ranging from 0 to 42, with higher scores indicating greater severity); (2) the changes in ischemic penumbra volume/infarct volume between admission and 7 days after EVT, measured by neuroimaging scan; (3) the length of ICU/hospital stay; and (4) adverse events and the all-cause mortality rate at 90 days. DISCUSSION: This randomized clinical trial is expected to verify the hypothesis that postoperative prolonged sedation with DEX after successful reperfusion may promote the long-term prognosis of patients with AIS and may reduce the related socio-economic burden. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04916197. Prospectively registered on 7 June 2021.

Associations of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir treatment with death and clinical improvement in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 during the Omicron wave in Beijing, China: a multicentre, retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir has mainly been shown in non-hospitalized patients with mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The real-world effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir urgently needs to be determined using representative in-hospital patients with COVID-19 during the Omicron wave of the pandemic. METHODS: We performed a multicentre, retrospective study in five Chinese PLA General Hospital medical centers in Beijing, China. Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 from 10 December 2022 to 20 February 2023 were eligible for inclusion. A 1:1 propensity score matching was performed between the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir group and the control group. RESULTS: 1010 recipients of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and 1010 matched controls were finally analyzed after matching. Compared with matched controls, the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir group had a lower incidence rate of all-cause death (4.6/1000 vs. 6.3/1000 person-days, p = 0.013) and a higher incidence rate of clinical improvement (47.6/1000 vs. 45.8/1000 person-days, p = 0.012). Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with a 22% lower all-cause mortality and a 14% higher incidence of clinical improvement. Initiation of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir within 5 days after symptom onset was associated with a 50% lower mortality and a 26% higher clinical improvement rate. By contrast, no significant associations were identified among patients receiving nirmatrelvir-ritonavir treatment more than 5 days after symptom onset. Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was also associated with a 50% increase in survival days and a 12% decrease in days to clinical improvement. CONCLUSION: Among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 during the Omicron wave in Beijing, China, the early initiation of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with clinical benefits of lowering mortality and improving clinical recovery.

Relationships of Residential Distance to Major Traffic Roads with Dementia Incidence and Brain Structure Measures: Mediation Role of Air Pollution.

Background: Uncertainty exists regarding the operating pathways between near-roadway exposure and dementia incidence. We intend to examine relationships between proximity to major roadways with dementia incidence and brain MRI structure measures, and potential mediation roles of air and noise pollution. Methods: The cohort study was based on the UK Biobank. Baseline survey was conducted from 2006 to 2010, with linkage to electronic health records conducted for follow-up. Residential distance to major roadways was ascertained residential address postcode. A land use regression model was applied for estimating traffic-related air pollution at residence. Dementia incidence was ascertained using national administrative databases. Brain MRI measures were derived as image-derived phenotypes, including total brain, white matter, gray matter, and peripheral cortical gray matter. Results: We included 460,901 participants [mean (SD) age: 57.1 (8.1) years; men: 45.7%]. Compared with individuals living >1,000 m from major traffic roads, living ≤1,000 m was associated with a 13% to 14% higher dementia risk, accounting for 10% of dementia cases. Observed association between residential distance and dementia was substantially mediated by traffic-related air pollution, mainly nitrogen dioxide (proportion mediated: 63.6%; 95% CI, 27.0 to 89.2%) and PM2.5 (60.9%, 26.8 to 87.0%). The shorter residential distance was associated with smaller volumes of brain structures, which was also mediated by traffic-related air pollutants. No significant mediation role was observed of noise pollution. Conclusions: The shorter residential distance to major roads was associated with elevated dementia incidence and smaller brain structure volumes, which was mainly mediated by traffic-related air pollution.