High accuracy model for HBsAg loss based on longitudinal trajectories of serum qHBsAg throughout long-term antiviral therapy.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss is the optimal outcome for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) but this rarely occurs with currently approved therapies. We aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model for HBsAg loss on treatment using longitudinal data from a large, prospectively followed, nationwide cohort. DESIGN: CHB patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues as antiviral treatment were enrolled from 50 centres in China. Quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) testing was prospectively performed biannually per protocol. Longitudinal discriminant analysis algorithm was used to estimate the incidence of HBsAg loss, by integrating clinical data of each patient collected during follow-up. RESULTS: In total, 6792 CHB patients who had initiated antiviral treatment 41.3 (IQR 7.6-107.6) months before enrolment and had median qHBsAg 2.9 (IQR 2.3-3.3) log10IU/mL at entry were analysed. With a median follow-up of 65.6 (IQR 51.5-84.7) months, the 5-year cumulative incidence of HBsAg loss was 2.4%. A prediction model integrating all qHBsAg values of each patient during follow-up, designated GOLDEN model, was developed and validated. The AUCs of GOLDEN model were 0.981 (95% CI 0.974 to 0.987) and 0.979 (95% CI 0.974 to 0.983) in the training and external validation sets, respectively, and were significantly better than those of a single qHBsAg measurement. GOLDEN model identified 8.5%-10.4% of patients with a high probability of HBsAg loss (5-year cumulative incidence: 17.0%-29.1%) and was able to exclude 89.6%-91.5% of patients whose incidence of HBsAg loss is 0. Moreover, the GOLDEN model consistently showed excellent performance among various subgroups. CONCLUSION: The novel GOLDEN model, based on longitudinal qHBsAg data, accurately predicts HBsAg clearance, provides reliable estimates of functional hepatitis B virus (HBV) cure and may have the potential to stratify different subsets of patients for novel anti-HBV therapies.

Novel, high accuracy models for hepatocellular carcinoma prediction based on longitudinal data and cell-free DNA signatures.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Current hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk scores do not reflect changes in HCC risk resulting from liver disease progression/regression over time. We aimed to develop and validate two novel prediction models using multivariate longitudinal data, with or without cell-free DNA (cfDNA) signatures. METHODS: A total of 13,728 patients from two nationwide multicenter prospective observational cohorts, the majority of whom had chronic hepatitis B, were enrolled. aMAP score, as one of the most promising HCC prediction models, was evaluated for each patient. Low-pass whole-genome sequencing was used to derive multi-modal cfDNA fragmentomics features. A longitudinal discriminant analysis algorithm was used to model longitudinal profiles of patient biomarkers and estimate the risk of HCC development. RESULTS: We developed and externally validated two novel HCC prediction models with a greater accuracy, termed aMAP-2 and aMAP-2 Plus scores. The aMAP-2 score, calculated with longitudinal data on the aMAP score and alpha-fetoprotein values during an up to 8-year follow-up, performed superbly in the training and external validation cohorts (AUC 0.83-0.84). The aMAP-2 score showed further improvement and accurately divided aMAP-defined high-risk patients into two groups with 5-year cumulative HCC incidences of 23.4% and 4.1%, respectively (p = 0.0065). The aMAP-2 Plus score, which incorporates cfDNA signatures (nucleosome, fragment and motif scores), optimized the prediction of HCC development, especially for patients with cirrhosis (AUC 0.85-0.89). Importantly, the stepwise approach (aMAP -> aMAP-2 -> aMAP-2 Plus) stratified patients with cirrhosis into two groups, comprising 90% and 10% of the cohort, with an annual HCC incidence of 0.8% and 12.5%, respectively (p <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: aMAP-2 and aMAP-2 Plus scores are highly accurate in predicting HCC. The stepwise application of aMAP scores provides an improved enrichment strategy, identifying patients at a high risk of HCC, which could effectively guide individualized HCC surveillance. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this multicenter nationwide cohort study, we developed and externally validated two novel hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk prediction models (called aMAP-2 and aMAP-2 Plus scores), using longitudinal discriminant analysis algorithm and longitudinal data (i.e., aMAP and alpha-fetoprotein) with or without the addition of cell-free DNA signatures, based on 13,728 patients from 61 centers across mainland China. Our findings demonstrated that the performance of aMAP-2 and aMAP-2 Plus scores was markedly better than the original aMAP score, and any other existing HCC risk scores across all subsets, especially for patients with cirrhosis. More importantly, the stepwise application of aMAP scores (aMAP -> aMAP-2 -> aMAP-2 Plus) provides an improved enrichment strategy, identifying patients at high risk of HCC, which could effectively guide individualized HCC surveillance.

Effects of entecavir and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate on the incidence and severity of COVID-19 in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Whether different anti-hepatitis B virus (HBV) drugs have different effects on COVID-19 is controversial. We aimed to evaluate the incidence of COVID-19 in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving anti-HBV treatment, and to compare the impact of entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on the severity of COVID-19. METHODS: CHB outpatients were enrolled from December 2022 to February 2023. Questionnaires were used to collect whether subjects were currently or previously had COVID-19 within the past 2 months, and the information of symptoms, duration, and severity if infected. RESULTS: Six hundred thirty CHB patients were enrolled, 64.3% (405/630) patients were currently or previously had COVID-19. No COVID-19 patient required hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, oxygen support or died. Majority of patients reported mild (32.8% [133/405]) and moderate (48.1% [195/405]) symptoms. After propensity score matching, 400 matched patients were obtained (ETV: 238; TDF: 162), among which the incidences of COVID-19 were comparable between ETV and TDF-treated patients (60.1% [143/238] vs. 64.2% [104/162], p = 0.468). The proportion of patients complicated with any symptom caused by COVID-19 were also similar (ETV vs. TDF: 90.9% [130/143] vs. 91.3% [95/104], p = 1.000). In addition, the severity of overall symptom was comparable between ETV and TDF-treated patients, in terms of proportion of patients complicated with severe symptom (9.8% vs. 8.7%, p = 0.989), symptom duration (4.3 vs. 4.3 days, p = 0.927), and symptom severity score (4.1 vs. 4.0, p = 0.758). Subgroup analysis supported these results. CONCLUSIONS: During the current pandemic, the vast majority of CHB patients experienced non-severe COVID-19, and ETV and TDF did not affect COVID-19 severity differently.

Association of Serum Hepatitis B Virus RNA With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Under Nucleos(t)ide Analogues Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Whether serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA associates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients has not been fully elucidated. METHODS: We enrolled 2974 patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) from a prospective, observational CHB cohort to investigate the effect of serum HBV RNA, measured at study entry (baseline), on HCC development, using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 4.4 years, 90 patients developed HCC. Patients with detectable baseline HBV RNA (n = 2072) exhibited significantly higher HCC risk than those with undetectable level (5-year HCC incidence estimated by Kaplan-Meier method: 4.1% versus 1.8%, P = .009; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 2.21, P = .005). HBV RNA levels of 609-99 999 and ≥100 000 copies/mL were associated with incrementally increasing HCC risk (aHR = 2.15 and 3.05, respectively; P for trend = .003), compared to undetectable level (<609 copies/mL). Moreover, patients with single-detectable either HBV DNA or RNA and double-detectable DNA and RNA had 1.57- and 4.02-fold higher HCC risk, respectively, than those with double-undetectable DNA and RNA (P for trend = .001). CONCLUSIONS: High-level HBV RNA is associated with increased HCC risk in NAs-treated patients. Achieving undetectable HBV RNA may contribute to better clinical outcomes, indicating it could be a valuable endpoint of anti-HBV treatment.

Real-life impact of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and entecavir therapy on lipid profile, glucose, and uric acid in chronic hepatitis B patients.

The impact of long-term nucleos(t)ide analogs treatment on host metabolism is a concern. Hence, we conducted this study to compare the effect of entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) on metabolic parameters among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. In this real-life retrospective study, 2030 CHB outpatients treated with ETV or TDF at Nanfang Hospital, China, were included. For treatment-naïve patients, pretreatment and semiannual metabolic parameters were collected. For treatment-experienced patients, metabolic parameters were collected at the first visit. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the effects of potential confounding factors. Among 122 treatment-naïve patients and 1908 treatment-experienced patients, ETV-treated patients were older with a higher percentage of metabolic syndrome. After PSM, the characteristics were comparable between the two groups. For treatment-naïve patients, four lipid parameters, including total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), high-density lipoprotein, and triglyceride levels showed a decreasing trend during the 42-month TDF treatment, while they remained relatively stable or increased during ETV treatment. At Month 30, the levels of TC and LDL among TDF-treated patients were significantly lower than those among ETV-treated patients (TC: 4.7 mmol/L vs. 3.9 mmol/L, p = 0.004; LDL: 3.0 mmol/L vs. 2.4 mmol/L, p = 0.009). For treatment-experienced patients, we also observed lower levels of lipid parameters in patients with different durations of TDF treatment. The levels of glucose and uric acid were similar among ETV- and TDF-treated patients. TDF has a lipid-lowering effect in CHB patients, which provides a basis for the selection of antiviral drugs for aging CHB patients.

Sexual Dysfunction in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: Prevalence and Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND: Sexual dysfunction (SD) is an increasingly serious global problem that has adverse effects on the physical and mental health of patients. AIM: This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of SD and its related factors in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS: A total of 673 outpatients with CHB from October 2019 to December 2020 were included in the analysis. Demographic and clinical information was collected at enrolment. The Arizona Sexual Experiences Scale was used to evaluate SD. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome measure was the prevalence of SD in CHB patients and its associated factors. Secondary outcomes were the corresponding scores in five domains of ASEX: drive, arousal, lubrication and/or erection, orgasm and satisfaction from orgasm. RESULTS: The average age of patients was 47.0 years, with 85.6% male and 88.1% with cirrhosis. The SD prevalence was 25.4% and was increased with the decrease in liver function reserve (Child-Pugh A vs Child-Pugh B: 24.6% vs 44.8%, P = .016), the progression of liver fibrosis (FIB-4 < 1.45, 1.45-3.25, and > 3.25: 21.3%, 26.5%, and 34.4%, respectively; P < .001), and the aggravation of depression (without, mild, and moderate to severe: 18.1%, 33.6%, and 34.2%, respectively; P < .001). In multivariate analysis, SD was independently correlated with female sex (OR: 5.627, 95% CI: 3.501 - 9.044, P < .001), liver fibrosis (OR: 1.730, 95% CI: 1.054 - 2.842, P = .030), depression (OR: 2.290, 95% CI: 1.564 - 3.354, P < .001), and frequent diarrhea and/or upper respiratory tract infection/urinary system infection (OR: 2.162, 95% CI: 1.313-3.560, P = .002). CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: This study revealed the current situation of SD in CHB patients in China, and appealed to clinicians to pay attention to the physical and mental health of the CHB patients. STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS: This study has a large sample size and detailed demographic and clinical data. It evaluated the relationship between SD and liver function reserve and liver fibrosis degree, and compared gender differences of SD. However, this study is a cross-sectional study design and does not include healthy controls. The effects of conflicts between the couple, SD in a partner, antidepressants and hormone changes on SD were not analyzed. CONCLUSION: SD in CHB patients was highly prevalent, and its prevalence increased significantly with the deterioration of liver function reserve, liver fibrosis and depression. Additional longitudinal studies are needed to further explore its causality. Xingmei L, Siru Z, Junhua Y, et al. Sexual Dysfunction in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: Prevalence and Risk Factors. J Sex Med 2022;19:207-215.

Antibody response and safety of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in chronic hepatitis B patients with and without cirrhosis.

Background: The immune response and safety of inactivated severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccines among patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), especially those with cirrhosis, are not clear. Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines among CHB patients with and without cirrhosis. Patients and methods: A total of 643 CHB patients who received two doses of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (BBIBP-CorV and CoronaVac) were enrolled. Serum samples were collected and tested for SARS-CoV-2 S-receptor-binding domain (S-RBD) immunoglobulin G (IgG) at enrollment. Data on adverse events (AEs) within 7 days after the second dose were obtained using a questionnaire. Results: A total of 416 non-cirrhotic and 227 cirrhotic patients were included in the analysis. Cirrhotic patients had lower antibody titers than non-cirrhotic patients after adjusting for age, sex, and time interval (2.45 vs. 2.60 ng/ml, p = 0.034). Furthermore, the study revealed that cirrhotic patients demonstrated a slower rate of seropositivity increase, with the highest rate being recorded at week 4 and reaching 94.7%. On the other hand, among non-cirrhotic patients, the seropositivity rate peak was observed at week 2 and reached 96.0%. In addition, cirrhotic patients displayed a more rapid decline in the seropositivity rate, dropping to 54.5% after ≥16 weeks, while non-cirrhotic patients exhibited a decrease to 67.2% after the same time period. The overall incidence of AEs was low (18.4%), and all AEs were mild and self-limiting. In addition, 16.0% of participants had mild liver function abnormalities, and half of them returned to normality within the next 6 months without additional therapy. The participants who experienced liver function abnormalities showed a higher seropositivity rate and antibody titer than those who did not (91.6% vs. 79.5%, p = 0.005; 2.73 vs. 2.41 ng/ml, p < 0.001). Conclusion: Cirrhotic CHB patients had lower antibody titers to inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines than non-cirrhotic patients. The vaccines were generally well tolerated in both non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic CHB patient groups. Patients with abnormal liver function may have a better antibody response than those without.