Medial unicompartmental knee arthroplasty in ACL-deficient knees is a viable treatment option: in vivo kinematic evaluation using a moving fluoroscope.

PURPOSE: Unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA), resulting in similar kinematics to native knees, is functionally superior to total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, ACL deficiency is generally considered to be a contraindication. The main purpose of this study was to investigate if UKA in ACL-deficient knees would result in similar kinematics to conventional UKA with an intact ACL. METHODS: Ten conventional UKA patients were compared to eight ACL-deficient patients with a reduced tibial slope to compensate for instability, resulting from the deficient ACL. Knee kinematics was evaluated with a moving fluoroscope, tracking the knee joint during daily activities. In a standing position (baseline), posterior shift of the femur was observed for ACL-deficient UKA patients, compared to conventional UKA patients. RESULTS: A significant posterior femoral shift in the ACL-deficient group was observed during the first 25% (near extension) of deep knee bend, while there was no difference in kinematic waveforms for all other activities. No significant range of motion differences across different activities between the two UKA groups were detected, except for an increase of medial AP translation in the ACL-deficient group, during deep knee bend and stair descent. CONCLUSION: Despite the posterior femoral shift due to ACL deficiency, both UKA groups showed similar kinematic waveforms, indicating that posterior tibial slope reduction can partially compensate for ACL function. This supported our hypothesis that fixed bearing UKA can be a viable treatment option for selected ACL-deficient patients, allowing patient-specific kinematics. While anteroposterior laxity can be compensated, rotational stability was a prerequisite for this approach. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

The reproducibility of psychiatric evaluations of work disability: two reliability and agreement studies.

BACKGROUND: Expert psychiatrists conducting work disability evaluations often disagree on work capacity (WC) when assessing the same patient. More structured and standardised evaluations focusing on function could improve agreement. The RELY studies aimed to establish the inter-rater reproducibility (reliability and agreement) of 'functional evaluations' in patients with mental disorders applying for disability benefits and to compare the effect of limited versus intensive expert training on reproducibility. METHODS: We performed two multi-centre reproducibility studies on standardised functional WC evaluation (RELY 1 and 2). Trained psychiatrists interviewed 30 and 40 patients respectively and determined WC using the Instrument for Functional Assessment in Psychiatry (IFAP). Three psychiatrists per patient estimated WC from videotaped evaluations. We analysed reliability (intraclass correlation coefficients [ICC]) and agreement ('standard error of measurement' [SEM] and proportions of comparisons within prespecified limits) between expert evaluations of WC. Our primary outcome was WC in alternative work (WCalternative.work), 100-0%. Secondary outcomes were WC in last job (WClast.job), 100-0%; patients' perceived fairness of the evaluation, 10-0, higher is better; usefulness to psychiatrists. RESULTS: Inter-rater reliability for WCalternative.work was fair in RELY 1 (ICC 0.43; 95%CI 0.22-0.60) and RELY 2 (ICC 0.44; 0.25-0.59). Agreement was low in both studies, the 'standard error of measurement' for WCalternative.work was 24.6 percentage points (20.9-28.4) and 19.4 (16.9-22.0) respectively. Using a 'maximum acceptable difference' of 25 percentage points WCalternative.work between two experts, 61.6% of comparisons in RELY 1, and 73.6% of comparisons in RELY 2 fell within these limits. Post-hoc secondary analysis for RELY 2 versus RELY 1 showed a significant change in SEMalternative.work (- 5.2 percentage points WCalternative.work [95%CI - 9.7 to - 0.6]), and in the proportions on the differences ≤ 25 percentage points WCalternative.work between two experts (p = 0.008). Patients perceived the functional evaluation as fair (RELY 1: mean 8.0; RELY 2: 9.4), psychiatrists as useful. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence from non-randomised studies suggests that intensive training in functional evaluation may increase agreement on WC between experts, but fell short to reach stakeholders' expectations. It did not alter reliability. Isolated efforts in training psychiatrists may not suffice to reach the expected level of agreement. A societal discussion about achievable goals and readiness to consider procedural changes in WC evaluations may deserve considerations.

ACL substitution may improve kinematics of PCL-retaining total knee arthroplasty.

PURPOSE: One of the key factors responsible for altered kinematics and joint stability following contemporary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is resection of the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL). However, ACL retention can present several technical challenges, and in some cases may not be viable due to an absent or nonfunctional ACL. Therefore, the goal of this research was to investigate whether substitution of the ACL through an anterior post mechanism could improve kinematic deficits of contemporary posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) retaining implants. METHODS: Kinematic analysis of different implant types was done using KneeSIM, a previously established dynamic simulation tool. Walking, stair-ascent, chair-sit, and deep knee bend were simulated for an ACL-substituting (PCL-retaining) design, a bi-cruciate-retaining and ACL-sacrificing (PCL-retaining) implant, as well as the native knee. The motion of the femoral condyles relative to the tibia was recorded for kinematic comparisons. RESULTS: The ACL-substituting and ACL-retaining implants provided similar kinematic improvements over the ACL-sacrificing implant, by reducing posterior femoral shift in extension and preventing paradoxical anterior sliding. During all simulated activities, the ACL-sacrificing implant showed between 7 and 8 mm of posterior shift in extension in contrast to the ACL-retaining implant and the ACL-substituting design, which showed overall kinematic trends similar to the native knee. CONCLUSION: The absence of ACL function has been linked to abnormal kinematics and joint stability in patients with contemporary TKA. ACL-substituting implants could be a valuable treatment option capable of overcoming the limitations of contemporary TKA, particularly when retaining the native ACL is not feasible or is challenging.

Cadaver-Specific Models for Finite-Element Analysis of Iliopsoas Impingement in Dual-Mobility Hip Implants.

BACKGROUND: Joint dislocation is a major cause of failure in total hip arthroplasty. Dual-mobility implants provide a femoral head diameter that can match the native hip size for greater stability against dislocation. However, such large heads are prone to impingement against surrounding soft tissues. To address this concern, the concept of an anatomically contoured dual-mobility implant was evaluated using cadaver-specific finite-element analysis (FEA). METHODS: The stiffness of 10 iliopsoas tendons was measured and also 3D bone models, contact pressure, and iliopsoas tendon stress were evaluated for 2 implant designs according to a previous cadaveric experiment. The iliopsoas interaction with an anatomically contoured and conventional dual-mobility implant was analyzed throughout hip flexion. RESULTS: The tensile test of cadaveric iliopsoas tendons revealed an average linear stiffness of 339.4 N/mm, which was used as an input for the FEA. Tendon-liner contact pressure and tendon von Mises stress decreased with increasing hip flexion for both implants. Average contact pressure and von Mises stresses were lower in the anatomically contoured design compared with the conventional implant across all specimens and hip flexion angles. CONCLUSIONS: This study was built upon a previous cadaver study showing reduced tenting of the iliopsoas tendon for an anatomically contoured design compared with a conventional dual-mobility implant. The present cadaver-specific FEA study found reduced tendon-liner contact pressure and tendon stresses with contoured dual-mobility liners. Anatomical contoured design may be a solution to avoid anterior soft-tissue impingement when using hip prostheses with large femoral heads.

Return-to-work coordination programmes for improving return to work in workers on sick leave.

BACKGROUND: To limit long-term sick leave and associated consequences, insurers, healthcare providers and employers provide programmes to facilitate disabled people's return to work. These programmes include a variety of coordinated and individualised interventions. Despite the increasing popularity of such programmes, their benefits remain uncertain. We conducted a systematic review to determine the long-term effectiveness of return-to-work coordination programmes compared to usual practice in workers at risk for long-term disability. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of return-to-work coordination programmes versus usual practice for workers on sick leave or disability. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; 2016, Issue 11), MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL and PsycINFO up to 1 November 2016. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that enrolled workers absent from work for at least four weeks and randomly assigned them to return-to-work coordination programmes or usual practice. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently screened titles, abstracts and full-text articles for study eligibility; extracted data; and assessed risk of bias from eligible trials. We contacted authors for additional data where required. We conducted random-effects meta-analyses and used the GRADE approach to rate the quality of the evidence. MAIN RESULTS: We identified 14 studies from nine countries that enrolled 12,568 workers. Eleven studies focused on musculoskeletal problems, two on mental health and one on both. Most studies (11 of 14) followed workers 12 months or longer. Risk of bias was low in 10 and high in 4 studies, but findings were not sensitive to their exclusion.We found no benefits for return-to-work coordination programmes on return-to-work outcomes.For short-term follow-up of six months, we found no effect on time to return to work (hazard ratio (HR) 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1.88, low-quality evidence), cumulative sickness absence (mean difference (MD) -16.18 work days per year, 95% CI -32.42 to 0.06, moderate-quality evidence), the proportion of participants at work at end of the follow-up (risk ratio (RR) 1.06, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.30, low-quality evidence) or on the proportion of participants who had ever returned to work, that is, regardless of whether they had remained at work until last follow-up (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.19, very low-quality evidence).For long-term follow-up of 12 months, we found no effect on time to return to work (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.66, low-quality evidence), cumulative sickness absence (MD -14.84 work days per year, 95% CI -38.56 to 8.88, low-quality evidence), the proportion of participants at work at end of the follow-up (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.15, low-quality evidence) or on the proportion of participants who had ever returned to work (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.09, moderate-quality evidence).For very long-term follow-up of longer than 12 months, we found no effect on time to return to work (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.17, low-quality evidence), cumulative sickness absence (MD 7.00 work days per year, 95% CI -15.17 to 29.17, moderate-quality evidence), the proportion of participants at work at end of the follow-up (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.07, low-quality evidence) or on the proportion of participants who had ever returned to work (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.02, low-quality evidence).We found only small benefits for return-to-work coordination programmes on patient-reported outcomes. All differences were below the minimal clinically important difference (MID). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Offering return-to-work coordination programmes for workers on sick leave for at least four weeks results in no benefits when compared to usual practice. We found no significant differences for the outcomes time to return to work, cumulative sickness absence, the proportion of participants at work at end of the follow-up or the proportion of participants who had ever returned to work at short-term, long-term or very long-term follow-up. For patient-reported outcomes, we found only marginal effects below the MID. The quality of the evidence ranged from very low to moderate across all outcomes.

Determining 3D Kinematics of the Hip Using Video Fluoroscopy: Guidelines for Balancing Radiation Dose and Registration Accuracy.

BACKGROUND: Video fluoroscopy is a technique currently used to retrieve the in vivo three-dimensional kinematics of human joints during activities of daily living. Minimization of the radiation dose absorbed by the subject during the measurement is a priority and has not been thoroughly addressed so far. This issue is critical for the motion analysis of the hip joint, because of the proximity of the gonads. The aims of this study were to determine the x-ray voltage and the irradiation angle that minimize the effective dose and to achieve the best compromise between delivered dose and accuracy in motion retrieval. METHODS: Effective dose for a fluoroscopic study of the hip was estimated by means of Monte Carlo simulations and dosimetry measurements. Accuracy in pose retrieval for the different viewing angles was evaluated by registration of simulated radiographs of a hip prosthesis during a prescribed virtual motion. RESULTS: Absorbed dose can be minimized to about one-sixth of the maximum estimated values by irradiating at the optimal angle of 45° from the posterior side and by operating at 80 kV. At this angle, accuracy in retrieval of internal-external rotation is poorer compared with the other viewing angles. CONCLUSION: The irradiation angle that minimizes the delivered dose does not necessarily correspond to the optimal angle for the accuracy in pose retrieval, for all rotations. For some applications, single-plane fluoroscopy may be a valid lower dose alternative to the dual-plane methods, despite their better accuracy.

Personalized prescription feedback to reduce antibiotic overuse in primary care: rationale and design of a nationwide pragmatic randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance has become a serious worldwide public health problem and is associated with antibiotic overuses. Whether personalized prescription feedback to high antibiotic prescribers using routinely collected data can lower antibiotic use in the long run is unknown. METHODS: We describe the design and rationale of a nationwide pragmatic randomized controlled trial enrolling 2900 primary care physicians in Switzerland with high antibiotic prescription rates based on national reimbursement claims data. About 1450 physicians receive quarterly postal and online antibiotic prescription feedback over 24 months allowing a comparison of the individual prescription rates with peers. Initially, they also receive evidence based treatment guidelines. The 1450 physicians in the control group receive no information. The primary outcome is the amount of antibiotics prescribed over a one year-period, measured as defined daily doses per 100 consultations. Other outcomes include the amount of antibiotics prescribed to specific age groups (<6, 6 to 18, 19 to 65, >65 years), to male and female patients, in addition to prescriptions of specific antibiotic groups. Further analyses address disease-specific quality indicators for outpatient antibiotic prescriptions, the acceptance of the intervention, and the impact on costs. DISCUSSION: This trial investigates whether continuous personalized prescription feedback on a health system level using routinely collected health data reduces antibiotic overuse. The feasibility and applicability of a web-based interface for communication with primary care physicians is further assessed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinTrials.gov NCT01773824 (Date registered: August 24, 2012).

Use of a structured functional evaluation process for independent medical evaluations of claimants presenting with disabling mental illness: rationale and design for a multi-center reliability study.

BACKGROUND: Work capacity evaluations by independent medical experts are widely used to inform insurers whether injured or ill workers are capable of engaging in competitive employment. In many countries, evaluation processes lack a clearly structured approach, standardized instruments, and an explicit focus on claimants' functional abilities. Evaluation of subjective complaints, such as mental illness, present additional challenges in the determination of work capacity. We have therefore developed a process for functional evaluation of claimants with mental disorders which complements usual psychiatric evaluation. Here we report the design of a study to measure the reliability of our approach in determining work capacity among patients with mental illness applying for disability benefits. METHODS/DESIGN: We will conduct a multi-center reliability study, in which 20 psychiatrists trained in our functional evaluation process will assess 30 claimants presenting with mental illness for eligibility to receive disability benefits [Reliability of Functional Evaluation in Psychiatry, RELY-study]. The functional evaluation process entails a five-step structured interview and a reporting instrument (Instrument of Functional Assessment in Psychiatry [IFAP]) to document the severity of work-related functional limitations. We will videotape all evaluations which will be viewed by three psychiatrists who will independently rate claimants' functional limitations. Our primary outcome measure is the evaluation of claimant's work capacity as a percentage (0 to 100 %), and our secondary outcomes are the 12 mental functions and 13 functional capacities assessed by the IFAP-instrument. Inter-rater reliability of four psychiatric experts will be explored using multilevel models to estimate the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Additional analyses include subgroups according to mental disorder, the typicality of claimants, and claimant perceived fairness of the assessment process. DISCUSSION: We hypothesize that a structured functional approach will show moderate reliability (ICC ≥ 0.6) of psychiatric evaluation of work capacity. Enrollment of actual claimants with mental disorders referred for evaluation by disability/accident insurers will increase the external validity of our findings. Finding moderate levels of reliability, we will continue with a randomized trial to test the reliability of a structured functional approach versus evaluation-as-usual.

Analysis of Dual Mobility Liner Rim Damage Using Retrieved Components and Cadaver Models.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess the retentive rim of retrieved dual mobility liners for visible evidence of deformation from femoral neck contact and to use cadaver models to determine if anterior soft tissue impingement could contribute to such deformation. METHODS: Fifteen surgically retrieved polyethylene liners were assessed for evidence of rim deformation. The average time in vivo was 31.4 months, and all patients were revised for reasons other than intraprosthetic dislocation. Liner interaction with the iliopsoas was studied visually and with fluoroscopy in cadaver specimens using a dual mobility system different than the retrieval study. For fluoroscopic visualization, a metal wire was sutured to the iliopsoas and wires were also embedded into grooves on the outer surface of the liner and the inner head. RESULTS: All retrievals showed evidence of femoral neck contact. The cadaver experiments showed that liner motion was impeded by impingement with the iliopsoas tendon in low flexion angles. When observing the hip during maximum hyperextension, 0°, 15°, and 30° of flexion, there was noticeable tenting of the iliopsoas caused by impingement with the liner. CONCLUSION: Liner rim deformation resulting from contact with the femoral neck likely begins during early in vivo function. The presence of deformation is indicative of a mechanism inhibiting mobility of the liner. The cadaver studies showed that liner motion could be impeded because of its impingement with the iliopsoas. Such soft tissue impingement may be one mechanism by which liner motion is routinely inhibited, which can result in load transfer from the neck to the rim.

Cruciate Retaining Implant With Biomimetic Articular Surface to Reproduce Activity Dependent Kinematics of the Normal Knee.

Alterations in normal knee kinematics following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) arise in part from the non-anatomic articular geometry of contemporary implants. In this study, the kinematics of a novel posterior cruciate-retaining (CR) implant with anatomic (biomimetic) articular surface, were compared to that of contemporary CR implants during various simulated activities. Across different simulated activities the biomimetic-CR mimicked normal kinematic patterns more closely than contemporary CR implants. In particular, during deep knee bend and chair-sit, the biomimetic-CR showed medial pivot motion, while other CR implants showed abnormal motion including lateral pivot or no pivot, and paradoxical anterior sliding. Further in vivo and clinical studies are needed to determine whether such biomimetic implants can truly help to achieve a more normal feeling knee and improved patient satisfaction.

Regaining Native Knee Kinematics Following Joint Arthroplasty: A Novel Biomimetic Design with ACL and PCL Preservation.

Lack of ACL and non-anatomic articular surfaces in contemporary total knee implants result in kinematic abnormalities. We hypothesized that such abnormalities may be addressed with a biomimetic bi-cruciate retaining (BCR) design having anatomical articular surfaces. We used dynamic computer simulations to compare kinematics among the biomimetic BCR, a contemporary BCR and cruciate-retaining implant for activities of daily living. During simulated deep knee bend, chair-sit and walking, the biomimetic BCR implant showed activity dependent kinematics similar to healthy knees in vivo. Restoring native knee geometry together with ACL preservation provided these kinematic improvements over contemporary ACL-preserving and ACL-sacrificing implants. Further clinical studies are required to determine if such biomimetic implants can result in more normal feeling knees and improve quality of life for active patients.

Predictors of acute and persisting ischemic brain lesions in patients randomized to carotid stenting or endarterectomy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We investigated predictors for acute and persisting periprocedural ischemic brain lesions among patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis randomized to stenting or endarterectomy in the International Carotid Stenting Study. METHODS: We assessed acute lesions on diffusion-weighted imaging 1 to 3 days after treatment in 124 stenting and 107 endarterectomy patients and lesions persisting on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery after 1 month in 86 and 75 patients, respectively. RESULTS: Stenting patients had more acute (relative risk, 8.8; 95% confidence interval, 4.4-17.5; P<0.001) and persisting lesions (relative risk, 4.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-11.1; P=0.005) than endarterectomy patients. Acute lesion count was associated with age (by trend), male sex, and stroke as the qualifying event in stenting; high systolic blood pressure in endarterectomy; and white matter disease in both groups. The rate of conversion from acute to persisting lesions was lower in the stenting group (relative risk, 0.4; 95% confidence interval, 0.2-0.8; P=0.007), and was only predicted by acute lesion volume. CONCLUSIONS: Stenting caused more acute and persisting ischemic brain lesions than endarterectomy. However, the rate of conversion from acute to persisting lesions was lower in the stenting group, most likely attributable to lower acute lesion volumes. Clinical Trial Registration -URL: www.isrctn.org. Unique identifier: ISRCTN25337470.

Characteristics of ischemic brain lesions after stenting or endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid artery stenosis: results from the international carotid stenting study-magnetic resonance imaging substudy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In a substudy of the International Carotid Stenting Study (ICSS), more patients had new ischemic brain lesions on diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) after stenting (CAS) than after endarterectomy (CEA). In the present analysis, we compared characteristics of diffusion-weighted MRI lesions. METHODS: Number, individual and total volumes, and location of new diffusion-weighted MRI lesions were compared in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis randomized to CAS (n=124) or CEA (n=107) in the ICSS-MRI substudy. RESULTS: CAS patients had higher lesion numbers than CEA patients (1 lesion, 15% vs 8%; 2-5 lesions, 19% vs 5%; >5 lesions, 16% vs 4%). The overall risk ratio for the expected lesion count with CAS versus CEA was 8.8 (95% confidence interval, 4.4-17.5; P<0.0001) and significantly increased among patients with lower blood pressure at randomization, diabetes mellitus, stroke as the qualifying event, left-side stenosis, and if patients were treated at centers routinely using filter-type protection devices during CAS. Individual lesions were smaller in the CAS group than in the CEA group (P<0.0001). Total lesion volume per patient did not differ significantly. Lesions in the CAS group were more likely to occur in cortical areas and subjacent white matter supplied by leptomeningeal arteries than lesions in the CEA group (odds ratio, 4.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.7-10.2; P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with patients undergoing CEA, patients treated with CAS had higher numbers of periprocedural ischemic brain lesions, and lesions were smaller and more likely to occur in cortical areas and subjacent white matter. These findings may reflect differences in underlying mechanisms of cerebral ischemia.

Choi response criteria for prediction of survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with anti-angiogenic therapies.

OBJECTIVE: Anti-angiogenic drugs cause a reduction in tumour density (Choi criteria) first and then in size [Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumours (RECIST)]. The prognostic significance of changes in tumour density in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) is unknown and was assessed in this study. METHODS: The prognostic significance of partial response (PR) as opposed to non-response [stable disease (SD) + progressive (PD)] to anti-angiogenic therapy was assessed in patients with mRCC separately for both criteria using the log-rank test and Cox regression models. RESULTS: Both criteria were applied to 35 patients. The response was identical for all eight patients with PR and most patients with PD (10/12) when using the RECIST and Choi criteria. Adding tumour density information, 14 patients with SD were re-categorised as having PR (7), SD (4), and PD (3). Patients with PR (Choi) were progression free significantly longer [hazard ratio (HR) 0.24; 95 % CI 0.10-0.57; P = 0.001] and had better overall survival (HR 0.36; 95 % CI 0.15-0.89; P = 0.026) compared to patients with SD or PD. The predictive value of PR according to RECIST was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: In mRCC, the Choi criteria separate prognostic groups better when compared with RECIST. This may allow early discrimination of patients benefiting from continued treatment.

Moving fluoroscopy-based analysis of THA kinematics during unrestricted activities of daily living.

Introduction: Knowledge of the accurate in-vivo kinematics of total hip arthroplasty (THA) during activities of daily living can potentially improve the in-vitro or computational wear and impingement prediction of hip implants. Fluoroscopy- based techniques provide more accurate kinematics compared to skin marker-based motion capture, which is affected by the soft tissue artefact. To date, stationary fluoroscopic machines allowed the measurement of only restricted movements, or only a portion of the whole motion cycle. Methods: In this study, a moving fluoroscopic robot was used to measure the hip joint motion of 15 THA subjects during whole cycles of unrestricted activities of daily living, i.e., overground gait, stair descent, chair rise and putting on socks. Results: The retrieved hip joint motions differed from the standard patterns applied for wear testing, demonstrating that current pre-clinical wear testing procedures do not reflect the experienced in-vivo daily motions of THA. Discussion: The measured patient-specific kinematics may be used as input to in vitro and computational simulations, in order to investigate how individual motion patterns affect the predicted wear or impingement.

At risk of undertriage? Testing the performance and accuracy of the emergency severity index in older emergency department patients.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We test predictive validity, interrater reliability, and diagnostic accuracy of the Emergency Severity Index in older emergency department (ED) patients and identify reasons for inadequate triage. METHODS: We analyzed data of patients aged 65 years or older who were included in a prospective, single-center cohort study. Predictive validity was assessed by investigating associations of resources, disposition, length of stay, and mortality with Emergency Severity Index levels. Diagnostic accuracy was tested by calculating sensitivity and specificity of Emergency Severity Index level 1 for the prediction of a lifesaving intervention. For the assessment of interrater reliability, 2 experts independently reviewed the triage nurses' notes. Agreement was estimated as raw agreement and as Cohen's weighted κ. RESULTS: In total, 519 older patients were included. Emergency Severity Index level was associated with resource consumption (Spearman's ρ=-0.449; 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.519 to -0.379), disposition (Kendall's τ=-0.452; 95% CI -0.516 to -0.387), ED length of stay (Kruskal-Wallis χ(2)=92.5; df=4; P<.001), and mortality (log-rank χ(2)=37.04; df=3; P<.001). The sensitivity of the Emergency Severity Index to predict lifesaving interventions was 0.462 (95% CI 0.232 to 0.709), and the specificity was 0.998 (95% CI 0.989 to 1.000). Interrater reliability between experts was high (raw agreement 0.917, 95% CI 0.894 to 0.944; Cohen's weighted κ(w)=0.934, 95% CI 0.913 to 0.954). Undertriage occurred in 117 cases. Main reasons were neglect of high-risk situations and failure to appropriately interpret vital signs. CONCLUSION: In our study, older patients were at risk for undertriage. However, our results suggest that the Emergency Severity Index is reliable and valid for triage of older patients.

Growth and community responses of alpine dwarf shrubs to in situ CO2 enrichment and soil warming.

• Rising CO2 concentrations and the associated global warming are expected to have large impacts on high-elevation ecosystems, yet long-term multifactor experiments in these environments are rare. • We investigated how growth of dominant dwarf shrub species (Vaccinium myrtillus, Vaccinium gaultherioides and Empetrum hermaphroditum) and community composition in the understorey of larch and pine trees responded to 9 yr of CO2 enrichment and 3 yr of soil warming at the treeline in the Swiss Alps. • Vaccinium myrtillus was the only species that showed a clear positive effect of CO2 on growth, with no decline over time in the annual shoot growth response. Soil warming stimulated V. myrtillus growth even more than elevated CO2 and was accompanied by increased plant-available soil nitrogen (N) and leaf N concentrations. Growth of Vaccinium gaultherioides and E. hermaphroditum was not influenced by warming. Vascular plant species richness declined in elevated CO2 plots with larch, while the number of moss and lichen species decreased under warming. • Ongoing environmental change could lead to less diverse plant communities and increased dominance of the particularly responsive V. myrtillus in the studied alpine treeline. These changes are the consequence of independent CO2 and soil warming effects, a result that should facilitate predictive modelling approaches.

Decision curve analysis revisited: overall net benefit, relationships to ROC curve analysis, and application to case-control studies.

BACKGROUND: Decision curve analysis has been introduced as a method to evaluate prediction models in terms of their clinical consequences if used for a binary classification of subjects into a group who should and into a group who should not be treated. The key concept for this type of evaluation is the "net benefit", a concept borrowed from utility theory. METHODS: We recall the foundations of decision curve analysis and discuss some new aspects. First, we stress the formal distinction between the net benefit for the treated and for the untreated and define the concept of the "overall net benefit". Next, we revisit the important distinction between the concept of accuracy, as typically assessed using the Youden index and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the concept of utility of a prediction model, as assessed using decision curve analysis. Finally, we provide an explicit implementation of decision curve analysis to be applied in the context of case-control studies. RESULTS: We show that the overall net benefit, which combines the net benefit for the treated and the untreated, is a natural alternative to the benefit achieved by a model, being invariant with respect to the coding of the outcome, and conveying a more comprehensive picture of the situation. Further, within the framework of decision curve analysis, we illustrate the important difference between the accuracy and the utility of a model, demonstrating how poor an accurate model may be in terms of its net benefit. Eventually, we expose that the application of decision curve analysis to case-control studies, where an accurate estimate of the true prevalence of a disease cannot be obtained from the data, is achieved with a few modifications to the original calculation procedure. CONCLUSIONS: We present several interrelated extensions to decision curve analysis that will both facilitate its interpretation and broaden its potential area of application.

Statistical model for postoperative apnea-hypopnea index after multilevel surgery for sleep-disordered breathing.

The objective of the study was to formulate a statistical model for postoperative apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) 3 and 12 months after multilevel surgery using the predictors preoperative AHI, body mass index (BMI) and age. The study design was a prospective cohort study. Data of 144 patients were collected prospectively 3 and 12 months after multilevel surgery for obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) or upper airway resistance syndrome with excessive daytime sleepiness. The primary endpoint postoperative AHI and the secondary endpoint success according to the Sher criteria (postoperative AHI <20 h and >50% reduction of preoperative AHI) were modeled with multiple linear and logistic regression using the predictors preoperative AHI, BMI, age and the indicator whether the patient had undergone a tonsillectomy. Preoperative AHI and tonsillectomy had a highly significant positive influence on postoperative AHI after 3 months, whereas the influence of preoperative BMI was only marginally significant but numerically rather large. Age was not a significant decisive factor. The success according to the Sher criteria was highly significantly determined by the circumstance whether the patient had undergone a tonsillectomy, but not by the other predictors preoperative BMI or age. The responder rate with and without tonsillectomy was 58 and 19%, respectively. The odds ratio to be a responder if a tonsillectomy was conducted was 5.7. This study provides statistical models predicting postoperative AHI and success according to the Sher criteria after multilevel surgery for OSAS.

Is ACL deficiency always a contraindication for medial UKA? Kinematic and kinetic analysis of implanted and contralateral knees.

BACKGROUND: Prevalence of knee osteoarthritis increases because life expectancy continues to rise with an active patient population. Hence, the concept of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) has regained popularity as a treatment option for unicompartmental knee osteoarthritis. Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) deficiency is widely considered as a contraindication for UKA, however, there are conflicting reports. If otherwise indicated, some surgeons consider UKA for ACL-deficient patients using a modified surgical technique, with a reduction of posterior tibial slope. RESEARCH QUESTION: The purpose of this study was to evaluate outcomes in UKA patients with ACL deficiency in comparison to a conventional UKA group (intact ACL) by the measurement of knee kinematics and kinetics. METHODS: Ten patients with conventional UKA and an intact ACL and eight patients with an ACL-deficient UKA and a reduced posterior tibial slope relative to the native knee were recruited. Three-dimensional joint kinematics of the knee were measured, using skin markers and an infrared optical motion capture system. Ground reaction forces (GRF) were measured with force plates in all three directions. Level walking, ramp descent and stair descent were analyzed, comparing implanted and contralateral native knees and the two UKA groups. RESULTS: No significant differences in kinetics and kinematics were observed between conventional UKA and ACL-deficient UKA groups for any of the activities. However, some asymmetries in GRF between the implanted and contralateral side were present for the ACL-deficient group, during level walking (unloading rate) and stair descent (stance time). SIGNIFICANCE: Promising outcomes of the ACL-deficient UKA group suggest that ACL deficiency may not always be a contraindication. Therefore, ACL-deficient UKA could be an alternative treatment option to total knee arthroplasty for an appropriate surgeon selected patient population.