Association of Initial Pulseless Electrical Activity Heart Rate and Clinical Outcomes following Adult Non-Traumatic Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

OBJECTIVE: Studies evaluating the prognostic value of the pulseless electrical activity (PEA) heart rate in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients have reported conflicting results. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between the initial PEA heart rate and favorable clinical outcomes for OHCA patients. METHODS: The present post-hoc cohort study used the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium Cardiac Epidemiologic Registry Version 3, which included OHCA patients in seven US and three Canadian sites from April 2011 to June 2015. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge and the secondary outcome was survival with a good functional outcome. For the primary analysis, the patients were separated into eight groups according to their first rhythms and PEA heart rates: (1) initial PEA heart rate of 1-20 beats per minute (bpm); (2) 21-40 bpm; (3) 41-60 bpm; (4) 61-80 bpm; (5) 81-100 bpm; (6) 101-120 bpm; (7) over 120 bpm; (8) initial shockable rhythm (reference category). Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the associations of interest. RESULTS: We identified 17,675 patients (PEA: 7,089 [40.1%]; initial shockable rhythm: 10,797 [59.9%]). Patients with initial PEA electrical frequencies ≤100 bpm were less likely to survive to hospital discharge than patients with initial shockable rhythms (1-20 bpm: adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.15 [95%CI 0.11-0.21]; 21-40 bpm: AOR = 0.21 [0.18-0.25]; 41-60 bpm: AOR = 0.30 [0.25-0.36]; 61-80 bpm: AOR = 0.37 [0.28-0.49]; 81-100 bpm: AOR = 0.55 [0.41-0.65]). However, there were no statistical outcome differences between PEA patients with initial electrical frequencies of >100 bpm and patients with initial shockable rhythms (101-120 bpm: AOR = 0.65 [95%CI 0.42-1.01]; >120 bpm: AOR = 0.72 [95%CI 0.37-1.39]). Similar results were observed for survival with good functional outcomes (101-120 bpm: AOR = 0.60 [95%CI 0.31-1.15]; >120 bpm: AOR = 1.08 [95%CI 0.50-2.28]). CONCLUSIONS: We observed a good association between higher initial PEA electrical frequency and favorable clinical outcomes for OHCA patients. As there is no significant difference in outcomes between patients with initial PEA heart rates of more than 100 bpm and those with initial shockable rhythms, we can hypothesize that these patients could be considered in the same prognostic category.

Accuracy of the Initial Rhythm to Predict a Short No-Flow Time in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

OBJECTIVES: The no-flow time (NFT) can help establish prognosis in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. It is often used as a selection criterion for extracorporeal resuscitation. In patients with an unwitnessed OHCA for whom the NFT is unknown, the initial rhythm has been proposed to identify those more likely to have had a short NFT. Our objective was to determine the predictive accuracy of an initial shockable rhythm for an NFT of 5 minutes or less (NFT ≤ 5). DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. SETTING: Prehospital OHCA in eight U.S. and three Canadian sites. PATIENTS: A total of 28,139 adult patients with a witnessed nontraumatic OHCA were included, of whom 11,228 (39.9%) experienced an emergency medical service-witnessed OHCA (NFT = 0), 695 (2.7%) had a bystander-witnessed OHCA, and an NFT less than or equal to 5, and 16,216 (57.6%) with a bystander-witnessed OHCA and an NFT greater than 5. INTERVENTIONS: Sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios of an initial shockable rhythm to identify patients with an NFT less than or equal to 5 minutes. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The sensitivity of an initial shockable rhythm to identify patients with an NFT less than or equal to 5 was poor (25% [95% CI, 25-26]), but specificity was moderate (70% [95% CI, 69-71]). The positive and likelihood ratios were inverted (negative accuracy) (positive likelihood ratio, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.74-0.79]; negative likelihood ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.10-1.12]). Including only patients with a bystander-witnessed OHCA improved the sensitivity to 48% (95% CI, 45-52), the positive likelihood ratio to 1.45 (95% CI, 1.33-1.58), and the negative likelihood ratio to 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.83), while slightly lowering the specificity to 67% (95% CI, 66-67). CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis demonstrated that the presence of a shockable rhythm at the time of initial assessment was poorly sensitive and only moderately specific for OHCA patients with a short NFT. The initial rhythm, therefore, should not be used as a surrogate for NFT in clinical decision-making.

Prospective Evaluation of a Two-Scale Protocol for Prehospital Large Vessel Occlusion Detection.

Background and purposes: Stroke severity scales may expedite prehospital large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke detection, but few are validated for paramedic use. We evaluated the feasibility of introducing the Cincinnati Stroke Triage Assessment Tool (C-STAT) in the field and its capacity to detect LVO stroke.Methods: We performed a prospective paramedic-based study assessing C-STAT in the field on patients currently redirected to two comprehensive stroke centers (CSC), based on a Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS) score of 3/3. C-STAT was administered by on-site paramedics with telephone guidance from trained centralized clinical support paramedics.Results: Between October 2018 and November 2019, C-STAT scores were obtained in 188/218 (86.2%) patients, among which 118/188 (62.8%) were positive. Paramedics reported performing the C-STAT in less than 5 minutes on 170/188 (90.4%) patients and noted no difficulties administering the scale in 151/188 (80.3%). A positive C-STAT identified 51/68 (75%) LVO strokes in the cohort, demonstrating a 43% (95% CI: 38%-48%) positive and 76% (95% CI: 66%-83%) negative predictive value for LVO stroke diagnosis. In a cohort of 100 patients with CPSS 3/3, requiring a positive C-STAT for redirection would decrease CSC patient volume by 37 but miss 9 of 36 LVO strokes.Conclusion: Prehospital administration of the C-STAT was feasible, using a model of minimal paramedic training and real-time telephone guidance. A protocol based on both a CPSS 3/3 and a positive C-STAT would decrease CSC redirected patient volume by one-third but would miss one-quarter of LVO strokes when compared to a CPSS-based protocol.

The moderating role of food cue sensitivity in the behavioral response of children to their neighborhood food environment: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Neighborhood food cues have been inconsistently related to residents' health, possibly due to variations in residents' sensitivity to such cues. This study sought to investigate the degree to which children's predisposition to eat upon exposure to food environment and food cues (external eating), could explain differences in strength of associations between their food consumption and the type of food outlets and marketing strategies present in their neighborhood. METHODS: Data were obtained from 616 6-12 y.o. children recruited into a population-based cross-sectional study in which food consumption was measured through a 24-h food recall and responsiveness to food cues measured using the external eating scale. The proportion of food retailers within 3 km of residence considered as "healthful" was calculated using a Geographical Information System. Neighborhood exposure to food marketing strategies (displays, discount frequency, variety, and price) for vegetables and soft drinks were derived from a geocoded digital marketing database. Adjusted mixed models with spatial covariance tested interaction effects of food environment indicators and external eating on food consumption. RESULTS: In children with higher external eating scores, healthful food consumption was more positively related to vegetable displays, and more negatively to the display and variety of soft drinks. No interactions were observed for unhealthful food consumption and no main effects of food environment indicators were found on food consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Children differ in their responsiveness to marketing-related visual food cues on the basis of their external eating phenotype. Strategies aiming to increase the promotion of healthful relative to unhealthful food products in stores may be particularly beneficial for children identified as being more responsive to food cues.

Prehospital Nitroglycerin in Tachycardic Chest Pain Patients: A Risk for Hypotension or Not?

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association guidelines (AHA) guidelines list tachycardia as a contraindication for the administration of nitroglycerin (NTG), despite limited evidence of adverse events. We sought to determine whether NTG administered for chest pain was a predictor of hypotension (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg) in patients with tachycardia, compared to patients without tachycardia (50≥ heart rate ≤100). METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using patient care reports completed by basic life support (BLS) providers in a large urban Canadian EMS system for the period 2010-2012. We used logistic regression to test the association between post-NTG hypotension and tachycardia, independent of pre-NTG blood pressure, age, sex, and comorbidities. Using identical models, we tested four secondary outcomes (drop in blood pressure, reduced consciousness, bradycardia, and cardiac arrest). RESULTS: The cohort included 10,308 patients who were administered NTG by BLS in the prehospital setting; 2,057 (20%) of patients were tachycardic before NTG administration. Hypotension occurred in 320 of all patients (3.1%): 239 without tachycardia (2.9%) and 81 with tachycardia (3.9%). Compared to non-tachycardic patients, tachycardic patients showed increased adjusted odds of hypotension (AOR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.23-2.08) or of a drop in blood pressure of 30mm Hg or greater (AOR: 1.11; CI: 1.00-1.24). Tachycardia was associated with decreased odds of bradycardia (OR: 0.33; CI: 0.17-0.64). We did not find a significant association between tachycardia and either post-NTG reduced level of consciousness or cardiac arrest. We did find a strong, significant association between pre-NTG blood pressure and post-NTG hypotension (AOR for units of 10mmHg: 0.64; CI: 0.61-0.69). CONCLUSION: Hypotension following prehospital administration of NTG was infrequent in patients with chest pain. However, while the absolute risk of NTG-induced hypotension was low, patients with pre-NTG tachycardia had a significant increase in the relative risk of hypotension. In addition, hypotension occurred most frequently in patients presenting with a lower pre-NTG blood pressure, which may prove to be a more discriminating basis for future guidelines. EMS medical directors should review BLS chest pain protocols to weigh the benefits of NTG administration against its risks.

Clinical outcomes following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: The minute-by-minute impact of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

AIMS: The time-dependent prognostic role of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients has not been described with great precision, especially for neurologic outcomes. Our objective was to assess the association between bystander CPR, emergency medical service (EMS) response time, and OHCA patients' outcomes. METHODS: This cohort study used the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium Cardiac Epidemiologic Registries. Bystander-witnessed adult OHCA treated by EMS were included. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge and secondary outcome was survival with a good neurologic outcome (modified Rankin scale 0-2). Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the associations and interactions between bystander CPR, EMS response time and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Out of 229,637 patients, 41,012 were included (18,867 [46.0%] without bystander CPR and 22,145 [54.0%] with bystander CPR). Bystander CPR was independently associated with higher survival (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.70 [95%CI 1.61-1.80]) and survival with a good neurologic outcome (AOR = 1.87 [95%CI 1.70-2.06]), while longer EMS response times were independently associated with lower survival to hospital discharge (each additional minute of EMS response time: AOR = 0.92 [95%CI 0.91-0.93], p < 0.001) and lower survival with a good neurologic outcome (AOR = 0.88 [95%CI 0.86-0.89], p < 0.001). There was no interaction between bystander CPR and EMS response time's association with survival (p = 0.12) and neurologic outcomes (p = 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: Although bystander CPR is associated with an immediate increase in odds of survival and of good neurologic outcome for OHCA patients, it does not influence the negative association between longer EMS response time and survival and good neurologic outcome.

Can a Shockable Initial Rhythm Identify Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients with a Short No-flow Time?

AIMS: Initial shockable rhythms may be a marker of shorter duration between collapse and initiation of cardiopulmonary resuscitation, known as no-flow time (NFT), for patients suffering an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Eligibility for extracorporeal resuscitation is conditional on a short NFT. Patients with an unwitnessed OHCA could be candidate for extracorporeal resuscitation despite uncertain NFT if an initial shockable rhythm is a reliable stand-in. Herein, we sought to describe the sensitivity and specificity of an initial shockable rhythm for predicting a NFT of five minutes or less. METHODS: Using a registry of OHCA in Montreal, Canada, adult patients who experienced a witnessed non-traumatic OHCA, but who did not receive bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, were included. The sensitivity and specificity of an initial shockable rhythm for predicting a NFT of five minute or less were calculated. The association between the NFT and the presence of a shockable rhythm was evaluated using a multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 2450 patients were included, of whom 863 (35%) had an initial shockable rhythm and 1085 (44%) a NFT of five minutes or less. The sensitivity of an initial shockable rhythm to predict a NFT of five minutes or less was 36% (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 33-39), specificity was 66% (95%CI 63-68), the positive likelihood ratio was 1.05 (95%CI 0.94-1.17) and the negative likelihood ratio of 0.97 (95%CI 0.92-1.03). The probabilities of observing a shockable rhythm stayed stable up to 15 minutes, while the probabilities of observing a PEA lowered rapidly initially. Longer NFT were associated with lower odds of observing an initial shockable rhythm (adjusted odds ratio = 0.97 [95%CI 0.94-0.99], p = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: An initial shockable rhythm is a poor predictor of a short NFT, despite there being an association between the NFT and the presence of a shockable rhythm.

Electrical rhythm degeneration in adults with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest according to the no-flow and bystander low-flow time.

AIMS: For out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients, the influence of the delay before the initiation of resuscitation, termed the no-flow time (NFT), and duration of bystander-only resuscitation low-flow time (BLFT) on the type of electrical rhythm observed has not been well described. The objective of this study is to determine the relationship between NFT, BLFT and the likelihood of a shockable rhythm over time. METHODS: Using a North American prospective registry (2005-2015; mostly urban settings), we selected adult (18 years and over) patients who experienced a witnessed OHCA from a suspected cardiac etiology. Patients with an emergency medical services witnessed OHCA were only included in sensitivity analyses. The association between the NFT, BLFT and the presence of a shockable rhythm was evaluated using a multivariable logistic regression adjusting for the registry version, age, sex, and public location. RESULTS: A total of 229,632 patients were logged in the registry, 50,957 of whom were included. Of these, 17,704 (34.7%) had an initial shockable rhythm. After the first minute, a significant decrease over time in the occurrence of shockable rhythm is observed but is slower when bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) is provided (each supplemental minute of BLFT: adjusted odds ratio = 0.95, 95 %CI = 0.94-0.95; each supplemental minute of NFT: adjusted odds ratio = 0.91, 95 %CI = 0.90-0.91]). CONCLUSIONS: In this large observational study, we were able to demonstrate that longer NFT were associated with lower odds of shockable presenting rhythms. Bystander CPR significantly mitigates the degradation of shockable rhythms over time, strengthening the need to improve bystander CPR rates around the world.

Prognostic impact of the conversion to a shockable rhythm from a non-shockable rhythm for patients suffering from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

OBJECTIVE: For patients suffering from an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), having an initial shockable rhythm is a marker of good prognosis. It has been suggested as one of the main prognosticating factors for the selection of patients for extracorporeal resuscitation (E-CPR). However, the prognostic implication of converting from a non-shockable to a shockable rhythm, as compared to having an initial shockable rhythm, remains uncertain, especially among patients that can otherwise be considered eligible for E-CPR. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between the initial rhythm and its subsequent conversion and survival following an OHCA, for the general population and for E-CPR candidates. METHODS: This study used a registry of OHCA in Montreal, Canada. Adult patients suffering from a non-traumatic OHCA for whom the initial rhythm was known were included. The association between the initial rhythm and its subsequent conversion or not and survival to discharge was assessed using a multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 6681 included patients, 1788 (27%) had an initial shockable rhythm, 1749 (26%) had pulseless electrical activity (PEA) and no subsequent shockable rhythm, 295 (4%) had PEA and a subsequent shockable rhythm, 2694 (40%) had asystole and no subsequent shockable rhythm, and 155 (2%) asystole and a subsequent shockable rhythm. As compared to patients having an initial shockable rhythm, patients in all other groups had significantly lower odds of survival to hospital discharge (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). Univariate analyses were performed for E-CPR candidates. Among these 556 (8%) patients, more patients with an initial shockable rhythm survived than patients in all other groups (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). CONCLUSIONS: The initial rhythm remains a much better prognostic marker than subsequent rhythms for all patients suffering from an OHCA, including in the subset of potential E-CPR candidates.

The prognostic significance of repeated prehospital shocks for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival.

OBJECTIVES: Patients suffering from an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) associated with an initial shockable rhythm have a better prognosis than their counterparts. The implications of recurrent or refractory malignant arrhythmia in such context remain unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate the association between the number of prehospital shocks delivered and survival to hospital discharge among patients in OHCA. METHODS: This cohort study included adult patients with an initial shockable rhythm over a 5-year period from a registry of OHCA in Montreal, Canada. The relationship between the number of prehospital shocks delivered and survival to discharge was described using dynamic probabilities. The association between the number of prehospital shocks delivered and survival to discharge was assessed using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 1,788 patients (78% male with a mean age of 64 years) were included in this analysis, of whom 536 (30%) received treatments from an advanced care paramedic. A third of the cohort (583 patients, 33%) survived to hospital discharge. The probability of survival was highest with the first shock (33% [95% confidence interval 30%-35%]), but decreased to 8% (95% confidence interval 4%-13%) following nine shocks. A higher number of prehospital shocks was independently associated with lower odds of survival (adjusted odds ratio=0.88 [95% confidence interval 0.85-0.92], p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Survival remains possible even after a high number of shocks for patients suffering from an OHCA with an initial shockable rhythm. However, requiring more shocks is independently associated with worse survival.

Is Distance to the Nearest Registered Public Automated Defibrillator Associated with the Probability of Bystander Shock for Victims of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest?

Introduction Rapid access to defibrillation is a key element in the management of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs). Public automated external defibrillators (PAEDs) are becoming increasingly available, but little information exists regarding the relation between the proximity to the arrest and their usage in urban areas. METHODS: This study is a retrospective, observational, cross-sectional analysis of non-traumatic OHCA during a 24-month period in the greater Montreal area (Quebec, Canada). Using logistic regression, bystander shock odds are described with regards to distance from the OHCA scene to the nearest PAED, adjusted for prehospital care arrival delay and time of day, and stratifying for type of location. RESULTS: Out of a total of 2,443 OHCA victims identified, 77 (3%) received bystander PAED shock, 622 (26%) occurred out-of-home, and 743 (30%) occurred during business hours. When controlling for time (business hours versus other hours) and minimum response delay for prehospital care arrival, a marginal negative association was found between bystander shock and distance to the nearest PAED in logged meters (aOR=0.80; CI, 0.64-0.99) for out-of-home cardiac arrests. No significant association was found between distance and bystander shock for at-home arrests. Out-of-home victims had significantly higher odds of receiving bystander shock up to 175 meters of distance to a PAED inclusively (aOR=2.52; CI, 1.07-5.89). CONCLUSION: For out-of-home cardiac arrests, proximity to a PAED was associated with bystander shock in the greater Montreal area. Strategies aiming to increase accessibility and use of these life-saving devices could further expand this advantage by assisting bystanders in rapidly locating nearby PAEDs. Neves Briard J , de Montigny L , Ross D , de Champlain F , Segal E . Is distance to the nearest registered public automated defibrillator associated with the probability of bystander shock for victims of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest? Prehosp Disaster Med. 2018;33(2):153-159.

Impact of the direct transfer to percutaneous coronary intervention-capable hospitals on survival to hospital discharge for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

AIMS: Patients suffering from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) are frequently transported to the closest hospital. Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is often indicated following OHCA. This study's primary objective was to determine the association between being transported to a PCI-capable hospital and survival to discharge for patients with OHCA. The additional delay to hospital arrival which could offset a potential increase in survival associated with being transported to a PCI-capable center was also evaluated. METHODS: This study used a registry of OHCA in Montreal, Canada. Adult patients transported to a hospital following a non-traumatic OHCA were included. Hospitals were dichotomized based on whether PCI was available on-site or not. The effect of hospital type on survival to discharge was assessed using a multivariable logistic regression. The added prehospital delay which could offset the increase in survival associated with being transported to a PCI-capable center was calculated using that regression. RESULTS: A total of 4922 patients were included, of whom 2389 (48%) were transported to a PCI-capable hospital and 2533 (52%) to a non-PCI-capable hospital. There was an association between being transported to a PCI-capable center and survival to discharge (adjusted odds ratio = 1.60 [95% confidence interval 1.25-2.05], p < .001). Increasing the delay from call to hospital arrival by 14.0 min would offset the potential benefit of being transported to a PCI-capable center. CONCLUSIONS: It could be advantageous to redirect patients suffering from OHCA patients to PCI-capable centers if the resulting expected delay is of less than 14 min.

Potential impact of a prehospital redirection system for refractory cardiac arrest.

AIM: A change in prehospital redirection practice could potentially increase the proportion of E-CPR eligible patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) transported to extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (E-CPR) capable centers. The objective of this study was to quantify this potential increase of E-CPR candidates transported to E-CPR capable centers. METHODS: Adults with non-traumatic OHCA refractory to 15min of resuscitation were selected from a registry of adult OHCA collected between 2010 and 2015 in Montreal, Canada. Using this cohort, three simulation scenarios allowing prehospital redirection to E-CPR centers were created. Stringent eligibility criteria for E-CPR and redirection for E-CPR (e.g. age <60years old, initial shockable rhythm) were used in the first scenario, intermediate eligibility criteria (e.g. age <65years old, at least one shock given) in the second scenario and inclusive eligibility criteria (e.g. age <70years old, initial rhythm ≠ asystole) in the third scenario. All three scenarios were contrasted with equivalent scenarios in which patients were transported to the closest hospital. Proportions were compared using McNemar's test. RESULTS: The proportion of E-CPR eligible patients transported to E-CPR capable centers increased in each scenario (stringent criteria: 48 [24.5%] vs 155 patients [79.1%], p<0.001; intermediate criteria: 81 [29.6%] vs 262 patients [95.6%], p<0.001; inclusive criteria: 238 [23.9%] vs 981 patients [98.5%], p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A prehospital redirection system could significantly increase the number of patients with refractory OHCA transported to E-CPR capable centers, thus increasing their access to this potentially life-saving procedure, provided allocated resources are planned accordingly.

Clinic accessibility and clinic-level predictors of the geographic variation in 2009 pandemic influenza vaccine coverage in Montreal, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Nineteen mass vaccination clinics were established in Montreal, Canada, as part of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1p vaccination campaign. Although approximately 50% of the population was vaccinated, there was a considerable variation in clinic performance and community vaccine coverage. OBJECTIVE: To identify community- and clinic-level predictors of vaccine uptake, while accounting for the accessibility of clinics from the community of residence. METHODS: All records of influenza A/H1N1p vaccinations administered in Montreal were obtained from a vaccine registry. Multivariable regression models, specifically Bayesian gravity models, were used to assess the relationship between vaccination rates and clinic accessibility, clinic-level factors, and community-level factors. RESULTS: Relative risks compare the vaccination rates at the variable's upper quartile to the lower quartile. All else being equal, clinics in areas with high violent crime rates, high residential density, and high levels of material deprivation tended to perform poorly (adjusted relative risk [ARR]: 0·917, 95% CI [credible interval]: 0·915, 0·918; ARR: 0·663, 95% CI: 0·660, 0·666, ARR: 0·649, 95% CI: 0·645, 0·654, respectively). Even after controlling for accessibility and clinic-level predictors, communities with a greater proportion of new immigrants and families living below the poverty level tended to have lower rates (ARR: 0·936, 95% CI: 0·913, 0·959; ARR: 0·918, 95% CI: 0·893, 0·946, respectively), while communities with a higher proportion speaking English or French tended to have higher rates (ARR: 1·034, 95% CI: 1·012, 1·059). CONCLUSION: In planning future mass vaccination campaigns, the gravity model could be used to compare expected vaccine uptake for different clinic location strategies.

Predictors of the timing of vaccination uptake: The 2009 influenza pandemic (H1N1) in Montreal.

BACKGROUND: In response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, Canada undertook the largest vaccination campaign in its history. The effort mobilized thousands of healthcare workers, cost many hundreds of millions of dollars, and vaccinated more than 40% of the population. Despite the large investment in mass vaccination internationally, little is known about the factors that drive the timing of vaccination uptake. PURPOSE: Data from 2009 were used to investigate three potential determinants of vaccination uptake in Montreal, Canada. METHODS: Poisson regression was used to analyze daily vaccination before and after a telephone intervention targeting households in 12 of the city's 29 health neighborhoods. The effect of an eligibility strategy based on risk groups, and of weather, on uptake was then estimated. Data were analyzed in 2013. RESULTS: Considerable variation in daily mass vaccination was observed, with the peak day (30,204 individuals) accounting for nearly five times the uptake of the slowest day (6298 individuals). No evidence was found that the telephone intervention led to a significant increase in vaccination. Daily vaccination was associated significantly with weather conditions, including mean temperature (relative risk [RR]=1.28, 95% CI=1.12, 1.46) and heavy precipitation (RR=0.63, 95% CI=0.45, 0.89), even after accounting for changes to eligibility, which also were associated with increased vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Considerable temporal variation in uptake can occur during mass vaccination efforts. Targeted interventions to increase vaccination should be evaluated further, as a large intervention had no observable effect. Mass vaccination campaigns should, however, attempt to optimize priority sequences and account for weather when estimating vaccine demand.

A spatial analysis of the physical and social environmental correlates of discarded needles.

The role that the urban environment plays in influencing drug users' injection and needle disposal decisions is poorly understood. We identified potential attractors and deterrents of needle discarding, and then used a geographic information system (GIS) to quantify these factors for a neighborhood in Montréal, Canada. In multivariate logistic regression, discarded needles were found to have more associations with physical factors than with social factors. Visual exposure and proximity to a single-room occupancy hotel, a pay phone, an adult service or a pawnshop were important physical environmental predictors. These findings are discussed in relation to developing public health and urban design-based harm reduction approaches to needle discarding in public space.

Assessing a drop box programme: a spatial analysis of discarded needles.

BACKGROUND: Distributing sterile injection equipment to injection drug users is one of few proven ways of lowering the transmission rate of blood borne viruses. Distribution of equipment has also been linked to increased needle discarding, which is a public health risk for both injectors and their host communities. Drop boxes (anonymous and public-access sharps containers) are a promising and increasingly popular means of reducing unsafe disposal, yet there is little empirical research to support or guide their implementation. METHODS: Using a dataset containing the locations of 7274 discarded needles and syringes collected monthly in the non-park open spaces of a 2.5km(2) neighbourhood of Montréal, Canada for a period of five years, we compared levels of discards before and after the installation of 12 drop boxes. We used quasi-Poisson regression to test the effects of drop boxes on monthly counts of collected discards for areas within a walking distance of 25, 50, 100 and 200m of a drop box. We adjusted for known time-dependent covariates linearly and unknown time-dependent covariates using a smoothing function. RESULTS: We found strong evidence of reduced discarding following the installation of drop boxes; drop boxes were associated with reductions of up to 98% (95% CI: 72-100%) and significant reductions for areas up to 200m from a drop box. Reductions were inversely proportional to walking distance from drop boxes. No measure of weather or use of needle exchange programmes (NEPs) had a consistent relationship with discard counts. CONCLUSION: Our research suggests that IDUs changed their needle-disposal behaviour in response to increased safe disposal options. In addition to being relatively low-threshold, economical and rapid, drop boxes appear to be a highly effective intervention to reduce discarded needles.

Residential address errors in public health surveillance data: a description and analysis of the impact on geocoding.

The residential addresses of persons with reportable communicable diseases are used increasingly for spatial monitoring and cluster detection, and public health may direct interventions based upon the results of routine spatial surveillance. There has been little assessment, however, of the quality of address data in reportable disease notifications and of the corresponding impact of these errors on geocoding and routine public health practices. The objectives of this study were to examine address errors for a selected reportable disease in a large urban center in Canada and to assess the impact of identified errors on geocoding and the estimated spatial distribution of the disease. We extracted data for all notifications of campylobacteriosis from the Montreal public health department from 1995 to 2008 and used an address verification algorithm to determine the validity of the residential address for each case and to suggest corrections for invalid addresses. We assessed the types of address errors as well as the resulting positional errors, calculating the distance between the original address and the correct address as well as changes in disease density. Address errors and missing addresses were prevalent in the public health records (10% and 5%, respectively) and they influenced the observed distribution of campylobacteriosis in Montreal, with address correction changing case location by a median of 1.1 km. Further examination of the extent of address errors in public health data is essential, as is the investigation of how these errors impact routine public health functions.

The spatial epidemiology of cocaine, methamphetamine and 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA) use: a demonstration using a population measure of community drug load derived from municipal wastewater.

AIMS: To determine the utility of community-wide drug testing with wastewater samples as a population measure of community drug use and to test the hypothesis that the association with urbanicity would vary for three different stimulant drugs of abuse. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Single-day samples were obtained from a convenience sample of 96 municipalities representing 65% of the population of the State of Oregon. MEASUREMENTS: Chemical analysis of 24-hour composite influent samples for benzoylecgonine (BZE, a cocaine metabolite), methamphetamine and 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA). The distribution of community index drug loads accounting for total wastewater flow (i.e. dilution) and population are reported. FINDINGS: The distribution of wastewater-derived drug index loads was found to correspond with expected epidemiological drug patterns. Index loads of BZE were significantly higher in urban areas and below detection in many rural areas. Conversely, methamphetamine was present in all municipalities, with no significant differences in index loads by urbanicity. MDMA was at quantifiable levels in fewer than half the communities, with a significant trend towards higher index loads in more urban areas. CONCLUSION; This demonstration provides the first evidence of the utility of wastewater-derived community drug loads for spatial analyses. Such data have the potential to improve dramatically the measurement of the true level and distribution of a range of drugs. Drug index load data provide information for all people in a community and are potentially applicable to a much larger proportion of the total population than existing measures.