Mixed responses to targeted therapy driven by chromosomal instability through p53 dysfunction and genome doubling.

The phenomenon of mixed/heterogenous treatment responses to cancer therapies within an individual patient presents a challenging clinical scenario. Furthermore, the molecular basis of mixed intra-patient tumor responses remains unclear. Here, we show that patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma harbouring co-mutations of EGFR and TP53, are more likely to have mixed intra-patient tumor responses to EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibition (TKI), compared to those with an EGFR mutation alone. The combined presence of whole genome doubling (WGD) and TP53 co-mutations leads to increased genome instability and genomic copy number aberrations in genes implicated in EGFR TKI resistance. Using mouse models and an in vitro isogenic p53-mutant model system, we provide evidence that WGD provides diverse routes to drug resistance by increasing the probability of acquiring copy-number gains or losses relative to non-WGD cells. These data provide a molecular basis for mixed tumor responses to targeted therapy, within an individual patient, with implications for therapeutic strategies.

Monoamine transporter occupancy of a novel triple reuptake inhibitor in baboons and humans using positron emission tomography.

The selection of a therapeutically meaningful dose of a novel pharmaceutical is a crucial step in drug development. Positron emission tomography (PET) allows the in vivo estimation of the relationship between the plasma concentration of a drug and its target occupancy, optimizing dose selection and reducing the time and cost of early development. Triple reuptake inhibitors (TRIs), also referred to as serotonin-norepinephrine-dopamine reuptake inhibitors, enhance monoaminergic neurotransmission by blocking the action of the monoamine transporters, raising extracellular concentrations of those neurotransmitters. GSK1360707 [(1R,6S)-1-(3,4-dichlorophenyl)-6-(methoxymethyl)-4-azabicyclo[4.1.0]heptane] is a novel TRI that until recently was under development for the treatment of major depressive disorder; its development was put on hold for strategic reasons. We present the results of an in vivo assessment of the relationship between plasma exposure and transporter blockade (occupancy). Studies were performed in baboons (Papio anubis) to determine the relationship between plasma concentration and occupancy of brain serotonin reuptake transporter (SERT), dopamine reuptake transporter (DAT), and norepinephrine uptake transporter (NET) using the radioligands [(11)C]DASB [(N,N-dimethyl-2-(2-amino-4-cyanophenylthio) benzylamine], [(11)C]PE2I [N-(3-iodoprop-2E-enyl)-2ß-carbomethoxy-3ß-(4-methylphenyl)nortropane], and [(11)C]2-[(2-methoxyphenoxy)phenylmethyl]morpholine (also known as [(11)C]MRB) and in humans using [(11)C]DASB and [(11)C]PE2I. In P. anubis, plasma concentrations resulting in half-maximal occupancy at SERT, DAT, and NET were 15.16, 15.56, and 0.97 ng/ml, respectively. In humans, the corresponding values for SERT and DAT were 6.80 and 18.00 ng/ml. GSK1360707 dose-dependently blocked the signal of SERT-, DAT-, and NET-selective PET ligands, confirming its penetration across the blood-brain barrier and blockade of all three monoamine transporters in vivo.

The role of clinical imaging in oncology drug development: progress and new challenges.

In 2008, the role of clinical imaging in oncology drug development was reviewed. The review outlined where imaging was being applied and considered the diverse demands across the phases of drug development. A limited set of imaging techniques was being used, largely based on structural measures of disease evaluated using established response criteria such as response evaluation criteria in solid tumours. Beyond structure, functional tissue imaging such as dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and metabolic measures using [18F]flourodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography were being increasingly incorporated. Specific challenges related to the implementation of imaging were outlined including standardisation of scanning across study centres and consistency of analysis and reporting. More than a decade on the needs of modern drug development are reviewed, how imaging has evolved to support new drug development demands, the potential to translate state-of-the-art methods into routine tools and what is needed to enable the effective use of this broadening clinical trial toolset. In this review, we challenge the clinical and scientific imaging community to help refine existing clinical trial methods and innovate to deliver the next generation of techniques. Strong industry-academic partnerships and pre-competitive opportunities to co-ordinate efforts will ensure imaging technologies maintain a crucial role delivering innovative medicines to treat cancer.

Brain exposure of osimertinib in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation non-small cell lung cancer and brain metastases: A positron emission tomography and magnetic resonance imaging study.

Brain metastases (BMs) are associated with poor prognosis in epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive (EGFRm) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Osimertinib is a third-generation, irreversible, EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor that potently and selectively inhibits EGFR-sensitizing and T790M resistance mutations with efficacy in EGFRm NSCLC including central nervous system (CNS) metastases. The open-label phase I positron emission tomography (PET) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) study (ODIN-BM) assessed [11 C]osimertinib brain exposure and distribution in patients with EGFRm NSCLC and BMs. Three dynamic 90-min [11 C]osimertinib PET examinations were acquired together with metabolite-corrected arterial plasma input functions at: baseline, after first oral osimertinib 80 mg dose, and after greater than or equal to 21 days of osimertinib 80 mg q.d. treatment. Contrast-enhanced MRI was performed at screening and after 25-35 days of osimertinib 80 mg q.d.; treatment effect was assessed per CNS Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) 1.1 and per volumetric changes in total BM using a novel analysis approach. Four patients (aged 51-77 years) completed the study. At baseline, ~1.5% injected radioactivity reached the brain (IDmax[brain] ) 22 min (median, Tmax[brain] ) after injection. Total volume of distribution (VT ) in whole brain was numerically higher compared with the BM regions. After a single oral osimertinib 80 mg dose, there was no consistent decrease in VT in whole brain or BMs. After greater than or equal to 21 days' daily treatment, VT in whole brain and BMs were numerically higher versus baseline. MRI revealed 56%-95% reduction in total BMs volume after 25-35 days of osimertinib 80 mg q.d. treatment. The [11 C]osimertinib crossed the blood-brain and brain-tumor barriers and had a high, homogeneous brain distribution in patients with EGFRm NSCLC and BMs.

Safety and Pharmacokinetics of HTL0018318, a Novel M1 Receptor Agonist, Given in Combination with Donepezil at Steady State: A Randomized Trial in Healthy Elderly Subjects.

INTRODUCTION: HTL0018318 is a selective muscarinic M1 receptor partial agonist under development for the symptomatic treatment of dementias, including Alzheimer's disease. Clinically, HTL0018318 would likely be used alone or in conjunction with cholinesterase inhibitors (e.g. donepezil). OBJECTIVE: We investigated the safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics of HTL0018318 given alone and in combination with donepezil. METHODS: This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in 42 (to deliver 36 with combination treatment) healthy elderly subjects investigating the effects of oral HTL0018318 15 and 25 mg given alone and combined with donepezil 10 mg at steady state on adverse events (AEs), vital signs, saliva production, sleep quality, pulmonary function, subjective feelings, and pharmacokinetics. RESULTS: AEs were reported by lower percentages of subjects after HTL0018318 alone than after donepezil alone. There was no increase in the percentage of subjects reporting AEs after co-administration than after donepezil alone. Supine systolic blood pressure was 1.6 mmHg (95% confidence interval [CI] -3.1 to -0.1) lower after HTL0018318 alone than after combination treatment. This was comparable with results from placebo alone: 1.7 mmHg (95% CI -3.2 to 0.2) lower than with combination treatment. Supine pulse rate was 3.3 bpm (95% CI 1.5-5.1) higher after HTL0018318 alone than with co-administration. HTL0018318 and donepezil did not meaningfully affect each other's pharmacokinetics. CONCLUSION: HTL0018318 was well tolerated when given alone and in combination with donepezil. HTL0018318 and donepezil do not demonstrate pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic interactions, indicating that HTL0018318 can be safely administered in combination with donepezil. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Netherlands Trial register identifier NL5915, registered on 28 October 2016.

Safety, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of Gln-1062, a prodrug of galantamine.

INTRODUCTION: Gln-1062 (MEMOGAIN) is an intranasally administered lipophilic prodrug of galantamine. Based on high brain-to-blood concentrations observed in pre-clinical studies, Gln-1062 is expected to have superior cognitive efficacy compared to oral galantamine. METHODS: Forty-eight healthy elderly subjects were randomized 12:4 to Gln-1062 (5.5, 11, or 22 mg, b.i.d., for 7 days) or placebo. Safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics were assessed repeatedly. Pharmacokinetics were compared with 16 mg oral galantamine. RESULTS: Gln-1062 up to 22 mg, b.i.d., was well tolerated. Gln-1062 plasma concentrations increased immediately following dosing (median Tmax of 0.5 hour [range 0.5-1.0]). Cmax and AUC0-last increased in a dose-linear manner over all three dose levels. Gln-1062 was rapidly cleaved into galantamine. Gln-1062 significantly improved adaptive tracking (sustained attention) with 1.95% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.630-3.279, P = 0.0055) compared to placebo after correction for individual baseline performance. DISCUSSION: Gln-1062 was considered to be safe and caused fewer gastrointestinal side effects than oral galantamine. Gln-1062 behaved pharmacokinetically as expected and improved performance on cognitive tests.

Characterisation of the pharmacodynamic effects of the P2X7 receptor antagonist JNJ-54175446 using an oral dexamphetamine challenge model in healthy males in a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multiple ascending dose trial.

BACKGROUND: This is the first report of the pharmacodynamic (PD) effects of the selective, potent and brain-penetrant P2X7 receptor (P2X7R) antagonist JNJ-54175446. Activation of the P2X7R, an adenosine triphosphate-gated ion channel, leads to the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, which have been linked to neuroinflammation and play a role in the pathogenesis of mood disorders. Previous clinical studies with JNJ-54175446 demonstrated peripheral target engagement of JNJ-54175446 by assessing ex vivo lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-stimulated cytokine production. Blood-brain barrier penetration and a clear dose-receptor occupancy relationship was demonstrated using positron emission tomography. AIMS: The objectives of this double-blind, placebo-controlled, translational study were to assess the safety and tolerability of administering multiple doses of JNJ-54175446 and to explore its PD effects using a dexamphetamine challenge. METHODS: Subjects (N = 64) were randomised to either JNJ-54175446 (50-450 mg; n = 48) or placebo (n = 16) and underwent a baseline oral 20 mg dexamphetamine challenge followed by 11 consecutive days q.d. dosing with JNJ-54175446/placebo and a randomised crossover dexamphetamine/placebo challenge. RESULTS: At all doses tested, JNJ-54175446 was well tolerated and suppressed the ex vivo LPS-induced release of cytokines. At doses ⩾100 mg, JNJ-54175446 attenuated dexamphetamine-induced increases in locomotion and enhanced the mood-elevating effects of dexamphetamine, suggesting that a dose that is approximately twice as high is needed to obtain a central PD response compared to the dose needed for maximum peripheral occupancy. CONCLUSION: Overall, the observed pharmacological profile of JNJ-54175446 in the dexamphetamine challenge paradigm is compatible with a potential mood-modulating effect.

Evaluation of the Novel PET Tracer [11C]HACH242 for Imaging the GluN2B NMDA Receptor in Non-Human Primates.

PURPOSE: There are currently no positron emission tomography (PET) radiotracers for the GluN2B (NR2B) binding sites of brain N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptors. In rats, the GluN2B antagonist Ro25-6981 reduced the binding of N-((5-(4-fluoro-2-[11C]methoxyphenyl)pyridin-3-yl)methyl)cyclopentanamin ([11C]HACH242). This paper reports the evaluation of [11C]HACH242 PET in non-human primates at baseline and following administration of the GluN2B negative allosteric modulator radiprodil. PROCEDURES: Eight 90-min dynamic [11C]HACH242 PET scans were acquired in three male anaesthetised rhesus monkeys, including a retest session of subject 1, at baseline and 10 min after intravenous 10 mg/kg radiprodil. Standardised uptake values (SUV) were calculated for 9 brain regions. Arterial blood samples were taken at six timepoints to characterise pharmacokinetics in blood and plasma. Reliable input functions for kinetic modelling could not be generated due to variability in the whole-blood radioactivity measurements. RESULTS: [11C]HACH242 entered the brain and displayed fairly uniform uptake. The mean (± standard deviation, SD) Tmax was 17 ± 7 min in baseline scans and 24 ± 15 min in radiprodil scans. The rate of radioligand metabolism in plasma (primarily to polar metabolites) was high, with mean parent fractions of 26 ± 10 % at 20 min and 8 ± 5 % at 85 min. Radiprodil increased [11C]HACH242 whole-brain SUV in the last PET frame by 25 %, 1 %, 3 and 17 % for subjects 1, 2, 3 and retest of subject 1, respectively. The mean brain to plasma ratio was 5.4 ± 2.6, and increased by 39 to 110 % in the radiprodil condition, partly due to lower parent plasma radioactivity of -11 to -56 %. CONCLUSIONS: The present results show that [11C]HACH242 has a suitable kinetic profile in the brain and low accumulation of lipophilic radiometabolites. Radiprodil did not consistently change [11C]HACH242 brain uptake. These findings may be explained by variations in cerebral blood flow, a low fraction of specifically bound tracer, or interactions with endogenous NMDA receptor ligands at the binding site. Further experiments of ligand interactions are necessary to facilitate the development of radiotracers for in vivo imaging of the ionotropic NMDA receptor.

Quantification of human brain PDE4 occupancy by GSK356278: A [11C](R)-rolipram PET study.

We characterized the relationship between the plasma concentration of the phospodiesterase (PDE)-4 inhibitor GSK356278 and occupancy of the PDE4 enzyme in the brain of healthy volunteers, using the positron emission tomography (PET) tracer [11C](R)-rolipram. To this end, PET scans were acquired in eight male volunteers before and at 3 and 8 h after a single 14 mg oral dose of GSK356278. A metabolite-corrected arterial input function was used in conjunction with the dynamic PET emission data to estimate volumes of distribution (VT) from a two-tissue compartment model. The administration of GSK356278 reduced [11C](R)-rolipram whole brain VT by 17% at 3 h post-dose (p = 0.01) and by 4% at 8 h post-dose. The mean plasma Cmax was 42.3 ng/ml, leading to a PDE4 occupancy of 48% at Tmax. The in vivo affinity of GSK356278 was estimated as EC50 = 46 ± 3.6 ng/ml. We present the first report of a direct estimation of PDE4 blockade in the living human brain. In vivo affinity of GSK356278 for the PDE4, estimated in this early phase study, was combined with GSK356278 safety and tolerability data to decide on a therapeutic dose for future clinical development.

First in human evaluation of [18F]PK-209, a PET ligand for the ion channel binding site of NMDA receptors.

BACKGROUND: Efforts to develop suitable positron emission tomography (PET) tracers for the ion channel site of human N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptors have had limited success. [18F]PK-209 is a GMOM derivative that binds to the intrachannel phencyclidine site with high affinity and selectivity. Primate PET studies have shown that the volume of distribution in the brain was reduced by administration of the NMDA receptor antagonist MK-801, consistent with substantial specific binding. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate [18F]PK-209 in 10 healthy humans by assessing test-retest reproducibility and binding specificity following intravenous S-ketamine administration (0.5 mg âˆ™ kg-1). Five healthy subjects underwent a test-retest protocol, and five others a baseline-ketamine protocol. In all cases dynamic, 120-min PET scans were acquired together with metabolite-corrected arterial plasma input functions. Additional input functions were tested based on within-subject and population-average parent fractions. RESULTS: Best fits of the brain time-activity curves were obtained using an irreversible two-tissue compartment model with additional blood volume parameter. Mean test-retest variability of the net rate of influx Ki varied between 7 and 24% depending on the input function. There were no consistent changes in [18F]PK-209 PET parameters following ketamine administration, which may be a consequence of the complex endogenous ligand processes that affect channel gating. CONCLUSIONS: The molecular interaction between [18F]PK-209 and the binding site within the NMDA receptor ion channel is insufficiently reproducible and specific to be a reliable imaging agent for its quantification. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT 2014-001735-36. Registered 28 April 2014.

Human Dosimetry of the N-Methyl-d-Aspartate Receptor Ligand 11C-GMOM.

The methylguanidine derivative 11C-GMOM (11C-labeled N-(2-chloro-3-thiomethylphenyl)-N'-(3-methoxyphenyl)-N'-methylguanidine) has been used successfully to quantify N-methyl-d-aspartate (NMDA) receptor binding in humans. The purpose of the present study was to estimate the 11C-GMOM radiation dose in healthy humans. Methods: After 11C-GMOM injection, 3 female and 2 male subjects underwent 10 consecutive whole-body PET scans in approximately 77 min. Seven source organs were defined manually, scaled to a sex-specific reference, and residence times were calculated for input into OLINDA/EXM software. Accepted tissue-weighting factors were used to calculate the effective dose. Results: The mean absorbed radiation doses in source organs ranged from 7.7 µGy·MBq-1 in the brain to 12.7 µGy·MBq-1 in the spleen. The effective dose (±SD) was 4.5 ± 0.5 µSv·MBq-1Conclusion: The effective dose of 11C-GMOM is at the lower end of the range seen for other 11C-labeled ligands, allowing for serial PET scanning in a single subject.

In vivo occupancy of the 5-HT1A receptor by a novel pan 5-HT1(A/B/D) receptor antagonist, GSK588045, using positron emission tomography.

5-hydroxytryptamine 1 (5-HT1) receptor blockade in combination with serotonin reuptake inhibition may provide a more rapid elevation of synaptic 5-HT compared to serotonin reuptake alone, by blocking the inhibitory effect of 5-HT1 receptor activation on serotonin release. GSK588045 is a novel compound with antagonist activity at 5-HT1A/1B/1D receptors and nanomolar affinity for the serotonin transporter, which was in development for the treatment of depression and anxiety. Here we present the results of an in vivo assessment of the relationship between plasma exposure and 5-HT1A receptor occupancy. Six Cynomolgus monkeys (Macaca fascicularis) were scanned using the PET ligand [(11)C]WAY100635 before and after dosing with GSK588045 (0.03, 0.1 and 0.3 mg/kg 60 min i.v. infusion). Data was quantified using a simplified reference tissue model, with the cerebellar time-activity curve used as an input function. Plasma levels of GSK588045 were measured, and the EC50 of GSK588045 for 5-HT1A receptor occupancy was estimated. An Emax model described the relationship between the GSK588045 plasma concentration and 5-HT1A receptor occupancy data well. EC50 estimates (and 95% confidence intervals) for raphe nuclei and the frontal cortex were 6.99 (2.48 to 11.49) and 7.80 (2.84 to 12.76) ng/ml respectively. GSK588045 dose dependently blocked the signal of the PET ligand [(11)C]WAY100635, confirming its brain entry and occupancy of 5-HT1A receptors in the primate brain. The estimated EC50 at the post-synaptic heteroreceptors and somatodendritic autoreceptors is similar. 5-HT1 receptor blockade by compounds such as GSK588045 may provide a faster alternate mechanism of antidepressant and anxiolytic action than standard SSRI treatment.

Testing the effects of Δ9-THC and D-cycloserine on extinction of conditioned fear in humans.

Preclinical evidence implicates several neurotransmitter systems in the extinction of conditioned fear. These results are of great interest, because the reduction of acquired fear associations is critical in therapies for anxiety disorders. We tested whether findings with respect to the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) and cannabinoid receptor (CB) systems in animals carry over to healthy human subjects. To that end, we administered selected doses of D-cycloserine (partial NMDA receptor agonist, 250 mg), delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC, CB(1) receptor agonist, 10 mg), or placebo prior to the extinction session of a 3-day conditioning protocol. D-cycloserine did not affect within-session extinction, or the retention of extinction in healthy human participants, in contrast with patient data but in line with previous reports in healthy volunteers. During extinction training, Δ9-THC reduced conditioned skin conductance responses, but not fear-potentiated startle. This effect was not retained at the retention test 2 days later, suggesting it was dependent on acute effects of the drug. Our findings implicate that facilitation of the CB(1) or NMDA system with the substances used in this study does not affect conditioned fear extinction lastingly in healthy humans. The apparent discrepancy between these findings and the results from (pre-)clinical trials is discussed in terms of room for improvement in these systems in healthy volunteers, and the lack of specificity of THC as a CB(1) agonist.

Radiation dose estimates for carbon-11-labelled PET tracers.

INTRODUCTION: Carbon-11-labelled positron emission tomography (PET) tracers commonly used in biomedical research expose subjects to ionising radiation. Dosimetry is the measurement of radiation dose, but also commonly refers to the estimation of health risk associated with ionising radiation. This review describes radiation dosimetry of carbon-11-labelled molecules in the context of current PET research and the most widely used regulatory guidelines. METHODS: A MEDLINE literature search returned 42 articles; 32 of these were based on human PET data dealing with radiation dosimetry of carbon-11 molecules. Radiation burden expressed as effective dose and maximum absorbed organ dose was compared between tracers. RESULTS: All but one of the carbon-11-labelled PET tracers have an effective dose under 9 µSv/MBq, with a mean of 5.9 µSv/MBq. Data show that serial PET scans in a single subject are feasible for the majority of radiotracers. CONCLUSION: Although differing in approach, the two most widely used regulatory frameworks (those in the USA and the EU) do not differ substantially with regard to the maximum allowable injected activity per PET study. The predictive validity of animal dosimetry models is critically discussed in relation to human dosimetry. Finally, empirical PET data are related to human dose estimates based on homogenous distribution, generic models and maximum cumulated activities. Despite the contribution of these models to general risk estimation, human dosimetry studies are recommended where continued use of a new PET tracer is foreseen.

Within-subject comparison of [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO and [(11)C]raclopride sensitivity to acute amphetamine challenge in healthy humans.

[(11)C]PHNO is a D(2)/D(3) agonist positron emission tomography radiotracer, with higher in vivo affinity for D(3) than for D(2) receptors. As [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO is an agonist, its in vivo binding is expected to be more affected by acute fluctuations in synaptic dopamine than that of antagonist radiotracers such as [(11)C]raclopride. In this study, the authors compared the effects of an oral dose of the dopamine releaser amphetamine (0.3 mg/kg) on in vivo binding of [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO and [(11)C]raclopride in healthy subjects, using a within-subjects, counterbalanced, open-label design. In the dorsal striatum, where the density of D(3) receptors is negligible and both tracers predominantly bind to D(2) receptors, the reduction of [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO binding potential (BP(ND)) was 1.5 times larger than that of [(11)C]raclopride. The gain in sensitivity associated with the agonist [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO implies that ∼65% of D(2) receptors are in the high-affinity state in vivo. In extrastriatal regions, where [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO predominantly binds to D(3) receptors, the amphetamine effect on [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO BP(ND) was even larger, consistent with the higher affinity of dopamine for D(3). This study indicates that [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO is superior to [(11)C]raclopride for studying acute fluctuations in synaptic dopamine in the human striatum. [(11)C]-(+)-PHNO also enables measurement of synaptic dopamine in D(3) regions.

Prediction of repeat-dose occupancy from single-dose data: characterisation of the relationship between plasma pharmacokinetics and brain target occupancy.

Positron emission tomography (PET) is used in drug development to assist dose selection and to establish the relationship between blood and tissue pharmacokinetics (PKs). We present a new biomathematical approach that allows prediction of repeat-dose (RD) brain target occupancy (TO) using occupancy data obtained after administration of a single dose (SD). A PET study incorporating a sequential adaptive design was conducted in 10 healthy male adults who underwent 4 PET scans with [(11)C]DASB ([(11)C]N,N-dimethyl-2-(2-amino-4-cyanophenylthio) benzylamine): 1 at baseline, 2 after 20 mg SD of the 5-hydroxytryptamine transporter (5-HTT) inhibitor duloxetine, and 1 after 4 days daily administration of 20 mg duloxetine. An adaptive design was used to select optimal times after SD for measurement of occupancy. Both direct and indirect PK/TO models were fitted to the SD data to characterise the model parameters and then applied to a predicted RD duloxetine plasma time course to predict the 5-HTT occupancy after RD. Repeat-dose prediction from the indirect model (OC(50)=2.62±0.93 ng/mL) was significantly better (P<0.05) than that from the direct model (OC(50)=2.29±1.11 ng/mL). This approach increases the value of SD occupancy studies that are performed as part of first time in human drug development programmes by providing an estimate of the dose required to achieve the desired TO at RD.