First-Line Venetoclax Combinations in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Randomized trials of venetoclax plus anti-CD20 antibodies as first-line treatment in fit patients (i.e., those with a low burden of coexisting conditions) with advanced chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have been lacking. METHODS: In a phase 3, open-label trial, we randomly assigned, in a 1:1:1:1 ratio, fit patients with CLL who did not have TP53 aberrations to receive six cycles of chemoimmunotherapy (fludarabine-cyclophosphamide-rituximab or bendamustine-rituximab) or 12 cycles of venetoclax-rituximab, venetoclax-obinutuzumab, or venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib. Ibrutinib was discontinued after two consecutive measurements of undetectable minimal residual disease or could be extended. The primary end points were undetectable minimal residual disease (sensitivity, <10-4 [i.e., <1 CLL cell in 10,000 leukocytes]) as assessed by flow cytometry in peripheral blood at month 15 and progression-free survival. RESULTS: A total of 926 patients were assigned to one of the four treatment regimens (229 to chemoimmunotherapy, 237 to venetoclax-rituximab, 229 to venetoclax-obinutuzumab, and 231 to venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib). At month 15, the percentage of patients with undetectable minimal residual disease was significantly higher in the venetoclax-obinutuzumab group (86.5%; 97.5% confidence interval [CI], 80.6 to 91.1) and the venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib group (92.2%; 97.5% CI, 87.3 to 95.7) than in the chemoimmunotherapy group (52.0%; 97.5% CI, 44.4 to 59.5; P<0.001 for both comparisons), but it was not significantly higher in the venetoclax-rituximab group (57.0%; 97.5% CI, 49.5 to 64.2; P = 0.32). Three-year progression-free survival was 90.5% in the venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib group and 75.5% in the chemoimmunotherapy group (hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.32; 97.5% CI, 0.19 to 0.54; P<0.001). Progression-free survival at 3 years was also higher with venetoclax-obinutuzumab (87.7%; hazard ratio for disease progression or death, 0.42; 97.5% CI, 0.26 to 0.68; P<0.001), but not with venetoclax-rituximab (80.8%; hazard ratio, 0.79; 97.5% CI, 0.53 to 1.18; P = 0.18). Grade 3 and grade 4 infections were more common with chemoimmunotherapy (18.5%) and venetoclax-obinutuzumab-ibrutinib (21.2%) than with venetoclax-rituximab (10.5%) or venetoclax-obinutuzumab (13.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Venetoclax-obinutuzumab with or without ibrutinib was superior to chemoimmunotherapy as first-line treatment in fit patients with CLL. (Funded by AbbVie and others; GAIA-CLL13 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02950051; EudraCT number, 2015-004936-36.).

Fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab improves quality of life and geriatric impairments in FCR-unfit patients with CLL.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL)-related symptoms and morbidity related to the advanced age at diagnosis impairs the well-being of older adult patients. Therefore, it is essential to tailor treatment according to geriatric characteristics and aim for an improvement in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) as a primary treatment goal. In the HOVON139/GiVe trial, 12 cycles of fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab (Ven-O) were shown to be effective and tolerable in FCR (fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, rituximab)-unfit patients with CLL (n = 67). However, prolonged venetoclax exposure as consolidation treatment led to increased toxicity with limited effect on minimal residual disease. To assess the impact of geriatric assessment on treatment outcomes and the patients' HRQoL, patient-reported outcomes (PROs), including function, depression, cognition, nutrition, physical performance, muscle parameters, comorbidities, and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer C30 and CLL17 questionnaires were assessed. At baseline, geriatric impairments were present in >90% of patients and ≥2 impairments present in 60% of patients predicted grade ≥3 nonhematological toxicity. During treatment, the number of geriatric impairments diminished significantly and clinically relevant improvements in HRQoL subscales were reached for global health status, physical functioning, role functioning, emotional functioning, fatigue, dyspnea, physical condition or fatigue, and worries or fears related to health and functioning. These improvements were comparable for patients receiving venetoclax consolidation and patients in whom treatment could mostly be discontinued. Collectively, frontline fixed-duration Ven-O improves overall PROs in older, unfit patients with CLL with and without geriatric impairments. This study was registered at EudraCT as 2015-004985-27 and the Netherlands Trial Register as NTR6043.

Effects of Treatment of Coronavirus Disease 2019 With Convalescent Plasma in 25 B-Cell-Depleted Patients.

Twenty-five B-cell-depleted patients (24 following anti-CD19/20 therapy) diagnosed with coronavirus disease 2019 had been symptomatic for a median of 26 days but remained antibody negative. All were treated with convalescent plasma with high neutralizing antibody titers. Twenty-one (84%) recovered, indicating the potential therapeutic effects of this therapy in this particular population.

Perspectives on returning to work of multiple myeloma patients: A qualitative interview study.

OBJECTIVE: Multiple myeloma (MM) is a rare and incurable disease. Because new treatments improved survival rates, return to work (RTW) became more relevant to MM patients of working age. Also, (health care) experts may be confronted with specific obstacles in guiding MM patients' RTW. Therefore, we aimed to qualitatively explore perspectives and experiences of MM patients and (health care) experts regarding RTW and participation at work. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were conducted with patients (N = 9) and (health care) experts (N = 15). Interviews were transcribed verbatim and analysed using thematic analysis. RESULTS: Four themes resulted from the interviews with patients and (health care) experts: (1) severity of diagnosis and treatment impact RTW, (2) step-by-step reintegration facilitates RTW, (3) meaning of work differs between MM patients and experts and (4) lack of tailored counselling by experts. CONCLUSION: Although MM patients' work ability may be limited due to the severity of diagnosis and side effects from treatment, most patients consider RTW important. Both patients and (health care) experts emphasise the benefits from early work ability assessment (in the hospital setting) and specialised RTW counselling, especially in those with physically demanding jobs.

Mycotic aneurysm caused by Clostridium septicum in a patient with colorectal cancer.

A mycotic aneurysm caused by a Clostridium septicum is a rare infection and has a strong association with colorectal cancer. If left untreated, the mortality rate of the first 24 h is high. This case report discusses the optimal treatment of emergency surgery combined with antibiotic treatment to improve survival. We present a fatal case of a 71-year-old male with abscedation of a caecal carcinoma who shortly after developed a mycotic aneurysm of the infrarenal aorta as a result of a C. septicum infection.

Improving Outcome-Driven Care in Multiple Myeloma Using Patient-Reported Outcomes: A Qualitative Evaluation Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Multiple myeloma is an incurable disease with a considerable illness and treatment burden, which negatively impacts patients' quality of life. This study aimed to evaluate the implementation of multiple myeloma care in five Dutch hospitals, related to the three objectives of outcome-driven care, which are defined as (1) providing information for shared decision making in individual patient care, (2) supporting the learning capacity of healthcare professionals and healthcare institutions through benchmarking and (3) developing outcome-driven and patient-centred contracting by health insurers. METHODS: In this qualitative study, semi-structured interviews about experiences with patient-reported outcomes were conducted with patients, healthcare professionals and other stakeholders 2 years after implementation. Data were thematically analysed, and emerging topics were clustered around the three objectives of outcome-driven care. RESULTS: A total of 46 interviews were held (15 with patients, 16 with professionals and 15 with other stakeholders) that showed patients with multiple myeloma were willing to complete patient-reported outcomes, although integration of patient-reported outcomes in shared decision making fell short in clinical practice. Aggregated patient-reported outcomes were considered important for improving quality of care; however, data collection and data exchange are hindered by privacy legislation, limitations of IT systems and a lack of data standards. Patient-reported outcomes were expected to contribute to cost-effective multiple myeloma treatment, yet outcome-driven reimbursement is still lacking. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome-driven multiple myeloma care using patient-reported outcomes is feasible, provided that (1) patient-reported outcomes and shared decision making are integrated into clinical practice, (2) legal and technical obstacles hindering data collection are removed and (3) health insurers adjust their reimbursement plans to facilitate outcome-driven care.

Diagnosis, treatment and supportive management of chronic lymphocytic leukemia: recommendations of the Dutch HOVON CLL working group.

Management of patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is changing due to considerable advances in the therapeutic armamentarium, and new therapies will possibly continue to emerge in the near future. Therefore, the CLL working group of the Dutch-Belgium Haemato-Oncology Cooperative Group for Adults in the Netherlands (HOVON) necessitated revising the Dutch CLL guidelines. The current guideline is based on the expert opinion of the HOVON CLL working group members and focusses on well-designed clinical trials taking into account efficacy with special emphasis on toxicity, treatment duration and treatment intensity. This article provides recommendations on diagnosis, treatment strategies in front-line and relapsed setting and provides supportive care measurements during novel-based therapies as well as for infectious CLL-related complications. The recommendations presented here are intended to provide guidance for the management of CLL patients in the Netherlands, and take into account the availability of treatment strategies at the time of this publication.

Venetoclax consolidation after fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (HOVON 139/GiVe): primary endpoint analysis of a multicentre, open-label, randomised, parallel-group, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Fixed-duration 12 cycles of venetoclax plus obinutuzumab is established as first-line treatment for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. We aimed to determine the activity and safety of 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation after fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for previously untreated patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia who were unfit for fludarabine-based treatment, and whether this could be guided by minimal residual disease status. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, randomised, parallel-group, phase 2 trial (HOVON 139/GiVe) at 25 hospitals in the Netherlands. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with previously untreated chronic lymphocytic leukaemia, had an ECOG performance status of 0-2, and were unfit for fludarabine-based treatment. All patients received two debulking cycles of intravenous obinutuzumab (100 mg on day 1, 900 mg on day 2, and 1000 mg on days 8, 15, and day 1 of cycle two), followed by fixed-duration venetoclax plus obinutuzumab for 12 cycles (six cycles of intravenous obinutuzumab 1000 mg on day 1 and 12 during 28-day cycles of oral venetoclax, starting with a 5-week ramp-up and then 400 mg once daily until completion of cycle 12). Patients were then randomly assigned (1:1) by minimal residual disease status in peripheral blood, to receive either 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation irrespective of minimal residual disease or venetoclax consolidation only if minimal residual disease was detected at randomisation. The primary endpoint was undetectable minimal residual disease in bone marrow and no progressive disease 3 months after end of consolidation treatment (or corresponding timepoint) by intention-to-treat. Safety was assessed in all patients who received at least one dose of any study drug. This is the primary endpoint analysis of this trial, which is ongoing and is registered with EudraCT (2015-004985-27). FINDINGS: Between Oct 28, 2016, and May 31, 2018, 70 patients were enrolled, of whom 67 (47 [70%] men and 20 [30%] women) received fixed-duration treatment and 62 were randomly assigned to receive 12 cycles of venetoclax consolidation (n=32) or minimal residual disease-guided venetoclax consolidation (n=30; one of whom was minimal residual disease positive at randomisation). Median follow-up was 35·2 months (IQR 31·5-41·3). 16 (50% [95% CI 32-68]) of 32 patients in the consolidation group and 16 (53% [34-72]) of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group met the primary endpoint of undetectable minimal residual disease in bone marrow and no progressive disease. 22 (69%) of 32 patients in the venetoclax consolidation group and 11 (37%) of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group had any adverse event (grade 2-4; mainly infections). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were infection (two [6%] of 32 patients in the consolidation group and one [3%] of 30 in the minimal residual disease-guided consolidation group) and neutropenia (two [6%] and two [7%]). There were no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Consolidation with venetoclax 12-cycle treatment increases the duration of known side-effects and does not prevent the loss of minimal residual disease response and subsequent risk of disease relapse. FUNDING: F Hoffmann-La Roche.

Ixazomib, Daratumumab, and Low-Dose Dexamethasone in Frail Patients With Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma: The Hovon 143 Study.

PURPOSE: Frail patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma have an inferior outcome, mainly because of a high discontinuation rate due to toxicity. We designed a phase II trial specifically for frail patients, evaluating the efficacy and tolerability of ixazomib-daratumumab-low-dose-dexamethasone (Ixa-Dara-dex). METHODS: Sixty-five patients, who were frail according to the International Myeloma Working Group frailty index, were treated with nine induction cycles Ixa-Dara-dex followed by maintenance with Ixa-Dara for a maximum of 2 years. RESULTS: The overall response rate on induction therapy was 78%. After a median follow-up of 22.9 months, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 13.8 months and 12-month overall survival (OS) was 78%. Median PFS and 12-month OS were 21.6 months and 92% in patients who were frail based on age > 80 years alone, versus 13.8 months and 78%, and 10.1 months and 70% in patients who were frail based on additional frailty parameters either ≤ 80 or > 80 years of age, respectively. In 51% of patients, induction therapy had to be discontinued prematurely, of which 6% because of noncompliance to study treatment, 9% because of toxicity, and 9% because of death (8% within 2 months, of which 80% because of toxicity). Quality of life improved during induction treatment, being clinically meaningful already after three induction cycles. CONCLUSION: Ixa-Dara-dex lead to a high response rate and improved quality of life. However, treatment discontinuation because of toxicity and early mortality, negatively influencing PFS and OS, remains a concern in frail patients. The outcome was heterogeneous across frail subpopulations. This should be taken into account in the design and interpretation of future studies in frail patients, to pave the way for more precise treatment guidance.

Distinct immune composition in lymph node and peripheral blood of CLL patients is reshaped during venetoclax treatment.

Morbidity and mortality due to immunosuppression remain among the foremost clinical challenges in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Although immunosuppression is considered to originate within the lymph node (LN) microenvironment, alterations in T and natural killer (NK) cells have almost exclusively been studied in peripheral blood (PB). Whereas chemoimmunotherapy further deteriorates immune function, novel targeted agents like the B-cell lymphoma 2 inhibitor venetoclax potentially spare nonmalignant lymphocytes; however, the effects of venetoclax on nonleukemic cells have not been explored. We address these unresolved issues using a comprehensive analysis of nonmalignant lymphocytes in paired LN and PB samples from untreated CLL patients, and by analyzing the effects of venetoclax-based treatment regimens on the immune system in PB samples from previously untreated and relapsed/refractory patients. CLL-derived LNs contained twice the amount of suppressive regulatory T cells (Tregs) and CLL supportive follicular T helper (Tfh) cells compared with PB. This was accompanied by a low frequency of cytotoxic lymphocytes. The expression of PD-1 by CD8+ T cells was significantly higher in LN compared with PB. Venetoclax-based treatment led to deep responses in the majority of patients, but also to decreased absolute numbers of B, T, and NK cells. Tfh cell, Treg, and PD-1+ CD8+ T cell numbers were reduced more than fivefold after venetoclax-based therapy, and overproduction of inflammatory cytokines was reduced. Furthermore, we observed restoration of NK cell function. These data support the notion that the immunosuppressive state in CLL is more prominent within the LN. Venetoclax-based regimens reduced the immunosuppressive footprint of CLL, suggesting immune recovery after the elimination of leukemic cells.

Homocysteine levels and the risk of osteoporotic fracture.

BACKGROUND: Very high plasma homocysteine levels are characteristic of homocystinuria, a rare autosomal recessive disease accompanied by the early onset of generalized osteoporosis. We therefore hypothesized that mildly elevated homocysteine levels might be related to age-related osteoporotic fractures. METHODS: We studied the association between circulating homocysteine levels and the risk of incident osteoporotic fracture in 2406 subjects, 55 years of age or older, who participated in two separate prospective, population-based studies. In the Rotterdam Study, there were two independent cohorts: 562 subjects in cohort 1, with a mean follow-up period of 8.1 years; and 553 subjects in cohort 2, with a mean follow-up period of 5.7 years. In the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, there was a single cohort of 1291 subjects, with a mean follow-up period of 2.7 years. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used for analysis of the risk of fracture, with adjustment for age, sex, body-mass index, and other characteristics that may be associated with the risk of fracture or with increased homocysteine levels. RESULTS: During 11,253 person-years of follow-up, osteoporotic fractures occurred in 191 subjects. The overall multivariable-adjusted relative risk of fracture was 1.4 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 1.6) for each increase of 1 SD in the natural-log-transformed homocysteine level. The risk was similar in all three cohorts studied, and it was also similar in men and women. A homocysteine level in the highest age-specific quartile was associated with an increase by a factor of 1.9 in the risk of fracture (95 percent confidence interval, 1.4 to 2.6). The associations between homocysteine levels and the risk of fracture appeared to be independent of bone mineral density and other potential risk factors for fracture. CONCLUSIONS: An increased homocysteine level appears to be a strong and independent risk factor for osteoporotic fractures in older men and women.

Etanercept for steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease: A single center experience.

BACKGROUND: Acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) is an important complication of allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). High dose glucocorticosteroids, are currently recommended as first-line treatment for grade II-IV aGVHD resulting in overall complete responses (CR) in 40%-50% of patients. No standard second-line regimen has been established. Different options have been reported, including anti-TNFα antibodies. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the outcome of 15 patients with steroid-refractory (SR) aGVHD treated with etanercept at our institution. Patients were transplanted for a hematological malignancy and received either a myeloablative or a non-myeloablative conditioning regimen. Prophylaxis of GVHD consisted of cyclosporin A and mycophenolic acid. RESULTS: Acute GVHD was diagnosed at a median of 61 days post-transplantation. All patients had grade III aGVHD of the gut. Second-line treatment with etanercept was started at a median of 13 days after initiation of first-line therapy. Overall response rate was 53%, with CR in 3 patients and PR in 5 patients. Median overall survival after initiation of treatment with etanercept was 66 days (range 5-267) for the entire group. Median overall survival was 99 days (range 47-267 days) for responders and 17 days (range 5-66 days) for non-responders (p<0.01). Nevertheless, all patients died. Causes of death were progressive GVHD in 7 patients (47%), infection in 6 patients (40%), cardiac death in 1 patient (6.7%) and relapse in 1 patient (6,7%). CONCLUSION: Second-line treatment with etanercept does induce responses in SR-aGVHD of the gut but appears to be associated with poor long-term survival even in responding patients.

Use of statins and fracture: results of 4 prospective studies and cumulative meta-analysis of observational studies and controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: The 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors (statins) are widely used for the treatment of hyperlipidemia, and recent in vitro and animal data suggest that statins promote bone formation and increase bone strength. METHODS: To determine whether statin use is associated with a reduced risk for fracture, we analyzed statin use and fracture rates in 4 large prospective studies (the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures, the Fracture Intervention Trial, the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study, and the Rotterdam Study). We searched MEDLINE through January 2002 and abstracts from major scientific meetings and performed a cumulative meta-analysis of published and unpublished observational studies and clinical trials. The meta-analysis included 8 observational studies and 2 clinical trials that reported statin use and documented fracture outcomes. RESULTS: After adjustment for multiple factors, including age, body mass index, and estrogen use, we found a trend toward fewer hip fractures (relative hazards [RHs], 0.19-0.62) and, to a lesser extent, nonspine fractures (RHs, 0.49-0.95) among statin users in each of the 4 prospective studies. The meta-analysis of observational studies was consistent with these findings. The summary odds ratio (OR) for statin use and hip fracture was 0.43 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.25-0.75), whereas that for nonspine fracture was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.55-0.88). The meta-analysis of clinical trial results did not support a protective effect with statin use for hip fracture (summary OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.48-1.58) or nonspine fracture (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.83-1.26). CONCLUSIONS: Observational studies suggest that the risk for hip and nonspine fractures is lower among older women taking statin medications for hyperlipidemia, but post hoc analyses of cardiovascular trials do not. Controlled trials specifically designed to test the effect of statins on skeletal metabolism and fracture are needed.

Thiazide diuretics and the risk for hip fracture.

BACKGROUND: Since most hip fractures are related to osteoporosis, treating accelerated bone loss can be an important strategy to prevent hip fractures. Thiazides have been associated with reduced age-related bone loss by decreasing urinary calcium excretion. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between dose and duration of thiazide diuretic use and the risk for hip fracture and to study the consequences of discontinuing use. DESIGN: Prospective population-based cohort study. SETTING: The Rotterdam Study. PARTICIPANTS: 7891 individuals 55 years of age and older. MEASUREMENTS: Hip fractures were reported by the general practitioners and verified by trained research assistants. Details of all dispensed drugs were available on a day-to-day basis. Exposure to thiazides was divided into 7 mutually exclusive categories: never use, current use for 1 to 42 days, current use for 43 to 365 days, current use for more than 365 days, discontinuation of use since 1 to 60 days, discontinuation of use since 61 to 120 days, and discontinuation of use since more than 120 days. RESULTS: 281 hip fractures occurred. Relative to nonuse, current use of thiazides for more than 365 days was statistically significantly associated with a lower risk for hip fracture (hazard ratio, 0.46 [95% CI, 0.21 to 0.96]). There was no clear dose dependency. This lower risk disappeared approximately 4 months after thiazide use was discontinued. CONCLUSIONS: Thiazide diuretics protect against hip fracture, but this protective effect disappears within 4 months after use is discontinued.

Osteoporosis in men and women: a story about bone mineral density thresholds and hip fracture risk.

In postmenopausal women, the T score for bone mineral density (BMD) is a well-accepted diagnostic criterion for osteoporosis. It is also used to assess fracture risk. However, it is unclear whether in elderly men similar BMD thresholds should be used. Different hypotheses have been proposed for the relation of BMD with hip fracture risk in men. In this study, we tested those hypotheses using a mathematical model and we compared the calculated results with observed prospective data from the Rotterdam study. In the model, we combined the observed femoral neck BMD distribution for men and women with previously derived hip fracture risk functions based on age and BMD. For men, we tested different hypotheses for the relation of BMD with hip fracture risk. The relation of BMD with hip fracture risk is similar in men and women (scenario 1) or the relative risk (RR) per standard deviation (SD) decrease of BMD is either larger or smaller in men than in women (scenario 2a and 2b), or, at a similar absolute fracture risk, men have a higher BMD (scenario 3). In the prospective data, men with a hip fracture had an average BMD that was 0.070 g/cm2 higher than women with a hip fracture. The calculated results from the first scenario were consistent with those data and were also consistent with the observed hip fracture incidence and the observed female-to-male (F/M) risk ratio (1.7). When the RR for each SD decrease of BMD was assumed to be either larger or smaller in men than in women (second scenario), the calculated average BMD difference in men and women became respectively smaller or larger than observed. When men would have a higher fracture risk at similar BMD levels (third scenario), the calculated total number of hip fractures increased and even exceeded that in women, with an F/M risk ratio of 0.94 in our example. In women, a larger proportion of hip fractures occurs at a T score below -2.5 than in men using the same absolute BMD threshold, but using a male-specific T score largely solves this diagnostic problem. Taken together, the average hip fracture risk in men is much lower than in women but appeared to be similar at the same BMD. Therefore, we propose the use of the same absolute BMD thresholds for decisions about interventions.

The incidence of vertebral fractures in men and women: the Rotterdam Study.

Vertebral fractures are considered the most common fractures in osteoporosis. Nevertheless, little is known about the epidemiology of these fractures, especially in men. Therefore, the incidence of vertebral fractures was studied in 3469 men and women from the Rotterdam Study. Spinal radiographs were obtained at baseline and again after a mean follow-up of 6.3 years. The follow-up radiographs were scored for vertebral fractures using the McCloskey-Kanis assessment method. Whenever a vertebral fracture was detected, the radiograph was compared with the baseline radiograph. If this fracture was not already present at baseline, it was considered an incident fracture. The incidence increased strongly with age, ranging from 7.8/1,000 person years (PY) at ages 55-65 years to 19.6/1,000 PY at ages over 75 years for women, and 5.2-9.3/1,000 PY for men, respectively. Analyses repeated in strata of presence or absence of prevalent vertebral fractures showed that both in men and in women, the increase in incidence with age was almost exclusively observed in subjects with one or more prevalent fractures present at baseline. For both genders, the incidence of vertebral fractures doubled per SD decrease in lumbar spine or femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). This study shows that overall, the incidence of vertebral fractures is higher in women-than in men. In both genders, the incidence increases with age. Furthermore, the presence of a prevalent vertebral fracture and a low BMD are strong independent predictors of incident vertebral fractures in men and women.