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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(8): e2307656121, 2024 Feb 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38315821

ABSTRACT

Despite the significant scientific advancement in deciphering the "deaths of despair" narrative, most relevant studies have focused on drug-, alcohol-, and suicide-related (DAS) deaths. This study directly investigated despair as a determinant of death and the temporal variation and racial heterogeneity among individuals. We used psychological distress (PD) as a proxy for despair and drew data from the US National Health Interview Survey-Linked Mortality Files 1997 to 2014, CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) Multiple Cause of Death database 1997 to 2014, CDC bridged-race population files 1997 to 2014, Current Population Survey 1997 to 1999, and the American Community Survey 2000 to 2014. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate mortality hazard ratios of PD and compared age-standardized PD- and DAS-related mortality rates by race/ethnicity and over time. We found that while Whites had a lower prevalence of PD than Blacks and Hispanics throughout the whole period, they underwent distinctive increases in PD-related death and have had a higher PD-related mortality rate than Blacks and Hispanics since the early 2000s. This was predominantly due to Whites' relatively high and increasing vulnerability to PD less the prevalence of PD. Furthermore, PD induced a more pervasive mortality consequence than DAS combined for Whites and Blacks. In addition, PD- and DAS-related deaths displayed a concordant trend among Whites but divergent patterns for Blacks and Hispanics. These findings suggest that 1) DAS-related deaths underestimated the mortality consequence of despair for Whites and Blacks but overestimated it for Hispanics; and 2) despair partially contributed to the DAS trend among Whites but probably not for Blacks and Hispanics.


Subject(s)
Death , Ethnicity , Psychological Distress , Stress, Psychological , Humans , Ethnicity/psychology , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , Hispanic or Latino/psychology , Hispanic or Latino/statistics & numerical data , United States/epidemiology , White/psychology , White/statistics & numerical data , Stress, Psychological/epidemiology , Stress, Psychological/ethnology , Stress, Psychological/mortality , Black or African American/psychology , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data
2.
Rev Med Virol ; 34(1): e2502, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38282398

ABSTRACT

As many as 5%-10% of infants with symptomatic congenital cytomegalovirus (cCMV) disease, or 0.4%-0.8% of all liveborn infants with cCMV infection, die in early infancy in high-income countries. However, estimates are uncertain due to several potential biases that can result from data limitations and study designs. First, infants with cCMV infections who die prior to diagnosis, which usually occurs at 1-4 weeks after birth, may be excluded from both the count of deaths and the denominator of cCMV births, resulting in left truncation and immortal time biases. These 'biases' are features of the data and do not reflect bias on the part of researchers, but understanding the potential existence of threats to validity can help with interpretation of findings. Left truncation of infant deaths occurring prior to diagnosis of cCMV can result in understatement of the burden of infant deaths due to cCMV. Conversely, overestimation of infant deaths associated with symptomatic cCMV may occur in clinical case series owing to greater representation of relatively severely affected infants owing to ascertainment and referral biases. In this review, we summarise the characteristics of 26 studies that reported estimates of cCMV-associated infant deaths, including potential biases or limitations to which those estimates may have been subject. We discuss study designs whose implementation might generate improved estimates of infant deaths attributable to cCMV. More complete estimates of the overall public health impact of cCMV could inform current and future screening, prevention, and vaccine research.


Subject(s)
Cytomegalovirus Infections , Cytomegalovirus , Infant , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Developed Countries , Cytomegalovirus Infections/diagnosis , Infant Mortality , Infant Death , Neonatal Screening
3.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2024 Aug 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39158997

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Crude and adjusted mortality rates for patients with non-ventilator hospital-acquired pneumonia (NV-HAP) are amongst the highest of all healthcare-associated infections, leading to calls for greater prevention. Patients prone to NV-HAP, however, tend to be severely ill at baseline making it unclear whether their high mortality rates are due to NV-HAP, underlying conditions, or both. METHODS: Two infectious disease physicians conducted detailed medical record reviews on 150 randomly selected adults from 4 hospitals who died in-hospital following an NV-HAP event between April 2016 and May 2021. Reviewers abstracted risk factors, estimated the preventability of NV-HAP, identified causes of death, and adjudicated the preventability of death. RESULTS: Patients' median age was 69.3 (IQR 60.7-77.4) and 43.3% were female. Comorbidities were common: 57% had cancer, 30% chronic kidney disease, 29% chronic lung disease, and 27% heart failure. At least one hospice-eligible condition was present before NV-HAP in 54% and "Do Not Resuscitate" orders in 24%. Most (99%) had difficult-to-modify NV-HAP risk factors: 76% altered mental status, 35% dysphagia, and 27% nasogastric/orogastric tubes. NV-HAP was deemed possibly or probably preventable in 21% and hospital death likely or very likely preventable in 8.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients who die following NV-HAP have multiple, severe underlying comorbidities and difficult-to-modify risk factors for NV-HAP. Only 1 in 5 NV-HAPs that culminated in death and 1 in 12 deaths following NV-HAP were judged potentially preventable. This does not diminish the importance of NV-HAP prevention programs but informs expectations about the potential magnitude of their impact on hospital deaths.

4.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(1): 146-150, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38147069

ABSTRACT

During 2013-2017, the mortality rate ratio for rheumatic heart disease among Indigenous versus non-Indigenous persons in Australia was 15.9, reflecting health inequity. Using excess mortality methods, we found that deaths associated with rheumatic heart disease among Indigenous Australians were probably substantially undercounted, affecting accuracy of calculations based solely on Australian Bureau of Statistics data.


Subject(s)
Rheumatic Heart Disease , Humans , Australia/epidemiology , Rheumatic Heart Disease/mortality , Health Inequities
5.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(1): 136-140, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38147063

ABSTRACT

We assessed tuberculosis (TB) diagnostic delays among patients with TB and COVID-19 in California, USA. Among 58 persons, 43% experienced TB diagnostic delays, and a high proportion (83%) required hospitalization for TB. Even when viral respiratory pathogens circulate widely, timely TB diagnostic workup for at-risk persons remains critical for reducing TB-related illness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Tuberculosis , Humans , Delayed Diagnosis , COVID-19/diagnosis , California/epidemiology , Treatment Outcome , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing
6.
Cancer ; 130(2): 216-223, 2024 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37909872

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The US National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) and Dutch-Belgian NELSON randomized controlled trials have shown significant mortality reductions from low-dose computed tomography (CT) lung cancer screening (LCS). NLST, ITALUNG, and COSMOS trials have provided detailed dosimetry data for LCS. METHODS: LCS trial mortality benefit results, organ dose and effective dose data, and Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation, Report VII (BEIR VII) organ dose-to-cancer-mortality risk data are used to estimate benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios of the NLST, ITALUNG, and COSMOS trials. Data from those trials also are used to estimate benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for longer-term LCS corresponding to scenarios recommended by United States Preventive Services Task Force and the American Cancer Society. RESULTS: Including only screening doses, NLST benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios are 12:1 for males, 19:1 for females, and 16:1 overall. Including both screening and estimated follow-up doses, benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for NLST are 9:1 for males, 13:1 for females, and 12:1 overall. For the ITALUNG trial, the benefit-to-radiation-risk ratio is 58-63:1. For the COSMOS trial, assuming sex-specific mortality benefits like those of the NELSON trial, the benefit-to-radiation-risk ratio is 23:1. Assuming a conservative 20% mortality benefit, annual screening in people 50-79 years old with a 20+ pack-year history of smoking has benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios of 23:1 (with follow-up doses adding 40% to screening doses) to 29:1 (with follow-up adding 10%) based on COSMOS dose data. CONCLUSIONS: Based on linear, no threshold BEIR VII dose-risk estimates, benefit-to-radiation-risk ratios for LCS are highly favorable. Results emphasize the importance of using modern CT technologies, maintaining low diagnostic follow-up rates, and minimizing both screening and diagnostic follow-up doses. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The benefits of lung cancer screening significantly outweigh estimates of future harms associated with exposure to radiation during screening and diagnostic follow-up examinations. Our findings emphasize the importance of lung cancer screening practices using state-of-the-art computed tomography scanners and specialized low-dose lung screening and diagnostic follow-up techniques.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Male , Female , Humans , United States , Middle Aged , Aged , Lung Neoplasms/diagnosis , Early Detection of Cancer/methods , Risk Assessment/methods , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/adverse effects , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Lung , Mass Screening/methods
7.
Cancer ; 2024 Oct 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39370757

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) allowed Americans aged 19-25 years to remain on their parents' health insurance plans until age 26 years (the Dependent Care Expansion [DCE]). Have those with cancer diagnoses benefited? METHODS: The ACE DCE 7-year age range of 19-25 years was compared for changes in cancer survival and mortality before and after enactment of the ACA with groups that were younger and older (in 7-year age spans: ages 12-18 and 26-32 years, respectively). Cancer death data for the entire United States were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and relative survival data of patients who were diagnosed with cancer were obtained from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results regions representing 42%-44% of the country. RESULTS: Joinpoint analysis identified the DCE-eligible cohort as the only age group of the three groups evaluated that have had improvements in both cancer survival and death rate trends after ACA implementation and that 2010, the year the ACA was passed, was the inflection year for both survival and deaths. By 6 years, the relative survival after cancer diagnosis was 2.6 and 3.9 times greater in the DCE-eligible age group than in the younger and older control groups, respectively (both p < .001), and the cancer death rate in the DCE-eligible age group improved 2.1 and 1.5 times greater than in the younger and older control age groups, respectively (both p < .01). CONCLUSIONS: During the first decade of the ACA, eligible young adults with cancer have had significantly improved survival and mortality. Additional policies expanding insurance coverage and enabling earlier cancer diagnosis among young adults are needed. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) Dependent Care Expansion (DCE) that began in the United States in 2011 allowed young adults aged 19-25 years to remain on their parents' health insurance plans until age 26 years. The survival rate at 6 years in young adult patients diagnosed with cancer was 2.6 to 3.9 times greater in the DCE-eligible age group compared with the younger and older age groups, and the rate of deaths from cancer improved 1.5 to 2.1 times more. During the first decade of the ACA, young adults with cancer who were in the eligible group had significantly longer survival and reduced deaths from cancer. Additional policies that expand insurance coverage and allow the diagnosis of cancer sooner are needed in young adults.

8.
HIV Med ; 25(5): 608-613, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38243621

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although HIV-related deaths among people with HIV have dramatically decreased, deaths from other medical conditions and non-medical events have increased. The location of death among people with HIV remains underreported. OBJECTIVES: We reviewed the deaths, causes of death, and reported location of death (i.e. within or outside of medical settings) of all people with HIV with the Southern Alberta Cohort, Calgary, Canada, between 1 January 2010 and 1 January 2022. METHODS: This was a retrospective longitudinal cohort study reviewing all deaths within a comprehensive geographically defined HIV cohort over 11 years. RESULTS: Deaths from HIV-related causes decreased from 52% of all deaths in 2010 to 14% in 2021. In 2021, non-HIV medical deaths increased from 38% to 44%, and non-medical deaths (e.g. violence, suicide, drug overdose) increased from 0.5% to 39%. Of non-medical deaths, 67% resulted from substance use/overdose. Overall, deaths in any medical setting decreased from 91% in 2010 to 39% in 2021; 61% of all deaths occurred in a medical setting (e.g. hospital/emergency department or supported/long-term/hospice care), 27% in a residence, and 9% in the community. CONCLUSION: The shifting causes of death (i.e. fewer HIV-related deaths, more overdose deaths) and location of death (i.e. fewer in medical settings, more at home/in the community) requires close monitoring so future resources can be matched to predicted patient needs.


Subject(s)
Cause of Death , HIV Infections , Humans , HIV Infections/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Longitudinal Studies , Alberta/epidemiology , Young Adult , Aged
9.
Br J Psychiatry ; 224(1): 3-5, 2024 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37850424

ABSTRACT

High mortality rates and poor outcomes from eating disorders, especially anorexia nervosa, are largely preventable and require urgent action. A national strategy to address this should include prevention; early detection; timely access to integrated physical and psychological treatments; safe management of emergencies; suicide prevention; and investment in training, services and research.


Subject(s)
Anorexia Nervosa , Bulimia Nervosa , Feeding and Eating Disorders , Humans , Feeding and Eating Disorders/therapy , Anorexia Nervosa/psychology , Suicide Prevention , Bulimia Nervosa/psychology
10.
Psychol Med ; 54(8): 1610-1619, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38112104

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Deaths from suicides, drug poisonings, and alcohol-related diseases ('deaths of despair') are well-documented among working-age Americans, and have been hypothesized to be largely specific to the U.S. However, support for this assertion-and associated policies to reduce premature mortality-requires tests concerning these deaths in other industrialized countries, with different institutional contexts. We tested whether the concentration and accumulation of health and social disadvantage forecasts deaths of despair, in New Zealand and Denmark. METHODS: We used nationwide administrative data. Our observation period was 10 years (NZ = July 2006-June 2016, Denmark = January 2007-December 2016). We identified all NZ-born and Danish-born individuals aged 25-64 in the last observation year (NZ = 1 555 902, Denmark = 2 541 758). We ascertained measures of disadvantage (public-hospital stays for physical- and mental-health difficulties, social-welfare benefit-use, and criminal convictions) across the first nine years. We ascertained deaths from suicide, drugs, alcohol, and all other causes in the last year. RESULTS: Deaths of despair clustered within a population segment that disproportionately experienced multiple disadvantages. In both countries, individuals in the top 5% of the population in multiple health- and social-service sectors were at elevated risk for deaths from suicide, drugs, and alcohol, and deaths from other causes. Associations were evident across sex and age. CONCLUSIONS: Deaths of despair are a marker of inequalities in countries beyond the U.S. with robust social-safety nets, nationwide healthcare, and strong pharmaceutical regulations. These deaths cluster within a highly disadvantaged population segment identifiable within health- and social-service systems.


Subject(s)
Suicide , Humans , Male , Adult , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Middle Aged , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , New Zealand/epidemiology , Social Vulnerability , Cause of Death , Drug Overdose/mortality , Alcohol-Related Disorders/mortality , Alcohol-Related Disorders/epidemiology
11.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(3): 192-205, 2024 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38100203

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Despite declining TB notifications in Southern Africa, TB-related deaths remain high. We describe patient- and population-level trends in TB-related deaths in Eswatini over a period of 11 years. METHODS: Patient-level (retrospective cohort, from 2009 to 2019) and population-level (ecological analysis, 2009-2017) predictors and rates of TB-related deaths were analysed in HIV-negative and HIV-coinfected first-line TB treatment cases and the population of the Shiselweni region. Patient-level TB treatment data, and population and HIV prevalence estimates were combined to obtain stratified annual mortality rates. Multivariable Poisson regressions models were fitted to identify patient-level and population-level predictors of deaths. RESULTS: Of 11,883 TB treatment cases, 1302 (11.0%) patients died during treatment: 210/2798 (7.5%) HIV-negative patients, 984/8443 (11.7%) people living with HIV (PLHIV), and 108/642 (16.8%) patients with unknown HIV-status. The treatment case fatality ratio remained above 10% in most years. At patient-level, fatality risk was higher in PLHIV (aRR 1.74, 1.51-2.02), and for older age and extra-pulmonary TB irrespective of HIV-status. For PLHIV, fatality risk was higher for TB retreatment cases (aRR 1.38, 1.18-1.61) and patients without antiretroviral therapy (aRR 1.70, 1.47-1.97). It decreases with increasing higher CD4 strata and the programmatic availability of TB-LAM testing (aRR 0.65, 0.35-0.90). At population-level, mortality rates decreased 6.4-fold (-147/100,000 population) between 2009 (174/100,000) and 2017 (27/100,000), coinciding with a decline in TB treatment cases (2785 in 2009 to 497 in 2017). Although the absolute decline in mortality rates was most pronounced in PLHIV (-826/100,000 vs. HIV-negative: -23/100,000), the relative population-level mortality risk remained higher in PLHIV (aRR 4.68, 3.25-6.72) compared to the HIV-negative population. CONCLUSIONS: TB-related mortality rapidly decreased at population-level and most pronounced in PLHIV. However, case fatality among TB treatment cases remained high. Further strategies to reduce active TB disease and introduce improved TB therapies are warranted.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Tuberculosis , Humans , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Eswatini , Risk Factors , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology
12.
Epilepsia ; 65(5): 1394-1405, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38441332

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to characterize changes in health care utilization and mortality for people with epilepsy (PWE) during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study using linked, individual-level, population-scale anonymized health data from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage databank. We identified PWE living in Wales during the study "pandemic period" (January 1, 2020-June 30, 2021) and during a "prepandemic" period (January 1, 2016-December 31, 2019). We compared prepandemic health care utilization, status epilepticus, and mortality rates with corresponding pandemic rates for PWE and people without epilepsy (PWOE). We performed subgroup analyses on children (<18 years old), older people (>65 years old), those with intellectual disability, and those living in the most deprived areas. We used Poisson models to calculate adjusted rate ratios (RRs). RESULTS: We identified 27 279 PWE who had significantly higher rates of hospital (50.3 visits/1000 patient months), emergency department (55.7), and outpatient attendance (172.4) when compared to PWOE (corresponding figures: 25.7, 25.2, and 87.0) in the prepandemic period. Hospital and epilepsy-related hospital admissions, and emergency department and outpatient attendances all reduced significantly for PWE (and all subgroups) during the pandemic period. RRs [95% confidence intervals (CIs)] for pandemic versus prepandemic periods were .70 [.69-.72], .77 [.73-.81], .78 [.77-.79], and .80 [.79-.81]. The corresponding rates also reduced for PWOE. New epilepsy diagnosis rates decreased during the pandemic compared with the prepandemic period (2.3/100 000/month cf. 3.1/100 000/month, RR = .73, 95% CI = .68-.78). Both all-cause deaths and deaths with epilepsy recorded on the death certificate increased for PWE during the pandemic (RR = 1.07, 95% CI = .997-1.145 and RR = 2.44, 95% CI = 2.12-2.81). When removing COVID deaths, RRs were .88 (95% CI = .81-.95) and 1.29 (95% CI = 1.08-1.53). Status epilepticus rates did not change significantly during the pandemic (RR = .95, 95% CI = .78-1.15). SIGNIFICANCE: All-cause non-COVID deaths did not increase but non-COVID deaths associated with epilepsy did increase for PWE during the COVID-19 pandemic. The longer term effects of the decrease in new epilepsy diagnoses and health care utilization and increase in deaths associated with epilepsy need further research.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Epilepsy , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , Epilepsy/epidemiology , Epilepsy/mortality , Female , Male , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Adolescent , Child , Adult , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Wales/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Status Epilepticus/mortality , Status Epilepticus/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Infant , Pandemics , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Intellectual Disability/epidemiology , Intellectual Disability/mortality , Aged, 80 and over
13.
Liver Int ; 2024 Sep 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39287155

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cirrhosis continues to be the most common cause of chronic liver disease-related deaths globally, which puts significant strain on global health. This report aims to investigate the patterns of cirrhosis in China, the United States, India and worldwide from 1990 to 2019 through an epidemiological analysis of the disease utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 database. METHODS: Download the GBD database's statistics on liver cirrhosis deaths and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for the years 1990-2019 worldwide as well as for China, the United States and India. Utilize techniques like age-period-cohort interaction, decomposition analysis, study of health inequities, Joinpoint model and Bayesian Average Annual Percentage Change model to process the data. RESULTS: The main age group affected by cirrhosis disease, according to the results, is 50-69 years old. According to the Joinpoint model, there has been a negative worldwide Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) in the burden of cirrhosis between 1990 and 2019. Only the USA's AAPC is positive out of the three nations that were evaluated (albeit its 95% confidence interval spans 0). These are China, India and the United States. Forecasting models indicate that the prevalence of cirrhosis will keep rising in the absence of government action. According to decomposition analysis, the main factors contributing to the rising burden of cirrhosis are population ageing and size, whereas changes in the disease's epidemiology slow the disease's growth. Research on health disparities indicates that, between 1990 and 2019, there was a downward trend in health disparities between various locations. CONCLUSION: Health organizations across different areas should take aggressive measures to address the worrisome prevalence of cirrhosis.

14.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 26(9): 3998-4010, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38957939

ABSTRACT

AIM: Our study aims to provide an updated estimate of age- and sex-specific deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with high body mass index (BMI) from 1990 to 2019 at the global, regional and national levels, and to forecast the global burden of disease attributed to high BMI from 2020 to 2035. METHODS: We used the data for the number of deaths, DALYs, age-standardized rate (per 100 000 population), percentage change and population attributable fraction from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to examine the disease burden attributable to high BMI. We further applied an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict the disease burden for the period 2020-2035. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the deaths and DALYs attributable to high BMI increased by 148% and 155.86% for men, and by 111.67% and 121.78% for women, respectively. In 2019, high BMI directly accounted for 8.52% [95% uncertainty intervals (UI) 0.05, 0.12] of all-cause deaths and 5.89% (95% UI 0.04, 0.08) of global DALYs. The highest death rates were observed in men aged 65-69 and women aged 75-79. The highest DALY rates were observed in the age group of 60-64 for both sexes. In 2019, the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates were observed in the Central Asia region [163.15 (95% UI 107.72, 223.58) per 100 000 people] and the Oceania region [4643.33 (95% UI 2835.66, 6902.6) per 100 000 people], respectively. Fiji [319.08 (95% UI 213.77, 444.96) per 100 000 people] and Kiribati [10 000.58 (95% UI 6266.55, 14159.2) per 100 000 people] had the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates, respectively. In 2019, the highest age-standardized rates of high BMI-related deaths and DALYs were observed in the middle-high socio-demographic index quintile and in the middle socio-demographic index quintile. The age-standardized deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI are projected to increase in both sexes from 2020 to 2035. The death rates are projected to rise from 62.79 to 64.31 per 100 000 people, while the DALY rates are projected to rise from 1946 to 2099.54 per 100 000 people. CONCLUSIONS: High BMIs significantly contribute to the global disease burden. The projected rise in deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI by 2035 highlights the critical need to address the impact of obesity on public health. Our study provides policymakers with up-to-date and comprehensive information.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Global Burden of Disease , Obesity , Humans , Male , Global Burden of Disease/trends , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Adult , Obesity/epidemiology , Obesity/mortality , Disability-Adjusted Life Years/trends , Global Health/statistics & numerical data , Forecasting , Aged, 80 and over , Young Adult , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Cause of Death , Adolescent , Mortality/trends , Overweight/epidemiology , Overweight/mortality
15.
Br J Clin Pharmacol ; 90(4): 996-1015, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38009544

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Compare by occurrence era and age group how opioid-related deaths (ORDs) and their counterpart evolved in Scotland vs. England and Wales during 2006-2020. For Scotland, compare coimplication rates between ORDs and non-ORDs for any benzodiazepine, cocaine or gabapentin/pregabalin, and consider whether coimplication in ORDs depended on opioid-specificity. METHODS: Cross-tabulations of drug misuse deaths (DMDs) obtained by 3 yearly occurrence era (2006-2008 to 2018-2020) and age group (under 25, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55+ years) for England and Wales and subdivided by whether at least 1 opiate was mentioned on death certificate (DMD-Os or not); and of Scotland's opioid-related deaths (ORDs vs. non-ORDs) together with (i) coimplication by any benzodiazepine, cocaine or gabapentin/pregabalin; and (ii) opioid-specificity of ORDs. ORD is defined by heroin/morphine, methadone or buprenorphine being implicated in DMD. RESULTS: Per era between 2012-2014 and 2018-2020, Scotland's ORDs increased by 54% and non-ORDs by 34%. Increase in DMD-Os in England and Wales was more modest. Cocaine was implicated in 83% of Scotland's 2690 non-ORDs during 2006-2020; and any benzodiazepine in 53% of 8409 ORDs. However, in 2018-2020, coimplication rates in 2926 ORDs (880 non-ORDs) were 81% (33%) for any benzodiazepine, 30% (74%) for cocaine and 38% (22%) for gabapentin/pregabalin. Coimplication rate in 2018-2020 for any benzodiazepine was lowest at 70% (616/877) for heroin/morphine ORDs; and, by age group, at 66% (160/241) for ORDs aged 55+ years. CONCLUSIONS: Drug testing to inform users, shared intelligence between police and public health for earlier detection of changes in supply and monitoring of prescribed daily-dose of methadone are urgent.


Subject(s)
Cocaine , Opioid-Related Disorders , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Heroin/therapeutic use , Wales/epidemiology , Gabapentin , Pregabalin/therapeutic use , Methadone/therapeutic use , Morphine , Scotland/epidemiology , England/epidemiology , Benzodiazepines/adverse effects , Cocaine/therapeutic use , Opioid-Related Disorders/drug therapy
16.
Med Mycol ; 62(5)2024 May 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684477

ABSTRACT

The epidemiological dynamics of paracoccidioidomycosis (PCM) has been changing over the years. We analyzed secondary public data from the Hospital Information System of the Brazilian Unified Health System (SIH/SUS), focusing on PCM-related hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths. In the period between 2010 and 2019, 396 hospitalizations and 30 deaths were related to PCM among 7 073 334 hospitalizations registered in Rio de Janeiro. We highlight the rising rates, reflecting the increase in the number of acute forms previously reported. Urgent public health policies are essential to prevent poor outcomes related to this neglected mycosis.


Epidemiology of paracoccidioidomycosis has been changing in endemic areas. We analyzed secondary data on hospitalizations in Rio de Janeiro, an important endemic area. There is a trend on increasing rates of hospitalizations and in-hospital deaths mainly in the Metropolitan belt.


Subject(s)
Hospital Mortality , Hospitalization , Paracoccidioidomycosis , Brazil/epidemiology , Humans , Paracoccidioidomycosis/epidemiology , Paracoccidioidomycosis/mortality , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Female , Adult , Aged , Adolescent , Young Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Aged, 80 and over
17.
Prev Med ; 179: 107796, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38070711

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and recent studies have found that CRC patients are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to investigate competing causes of death and prognostic factors among a large cohort of CRC patients and to describe cardiovascular-specific mortality in relation to the US standard population. METHODS: This registry-based cohort study identified patients diagnosed with CRC between 1973 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database in the US. Cumulative mortality functions, conditional standardized mortality ratios, and cause-specific hazard ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 563,298 eligible CRC patients included in this study, 407,545 died during the follow-up period. CRC was the leading cause of death, accounting for 49.8% of all possible competing causes of death. CVD was the most common non-cancer cause of death, accounting for 17.8% of total mortality. This study found that CRC patients have a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular-specific mortality compared to the US standard population, with the risk increasing with age and extended survival time. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the need to develop multidisciplinary prevention and management strategies for CRC and CVD to improve CRC patients' survival and quality of life.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Colorectal Neoplasms , Humans , Cohort Studies , Quality of Life , Routinely Collected Health Data , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Risk Factors
18.
Prev Med ; 181: 107920, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38423303

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Although prior literature documented socioeconomic inequalities in deaths of despair among working age population, it is unclear whether and how (a) the link between socioeconomic status and deaths of despair differs by age (b) each measure of socioeconomic status has independent effects on deaths of despair. This study aims to reduce these knowledge gaps. METHODS: Using data from a large scale nationally representative linked dataset (2011 Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohorts), this study employed Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models to estimate the link between socioeconomic status and deaths of despair due to suicide, drug overdose, and alcoholic liver disease among working age population (N = 4,076,530). Age stratified analysis was conducted to examine age heterogeneity. RESULTS: Socioeconomic status, such as housing tenure, employment status, household income, and education level, was associated with deaths of despair among working age population. Age differences in the association between socioeconomic status and deaths of despair were found. While education level was pronounced for deaths of despair for younger adults, a combination of socioeconomic status was significantly associated with deaths of despair for those in late adulthood. CONCLUSIONS: Socioeconomic inequalities in deaths of despair are manifest among Canadian working age population. This study lends support the social and health policies aimed at reducing gaps in mortalities.


Subject(s)
Social Class , Suicide , Adult , Humans , Canada/epidemiology , Employment , Educational Status , Socioeconomic Factors
19.
Prev Med ; 181: 107917, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38408647

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Firearms are now the number one killer of children and adolescents in the United States. Firearm homicides among Black male youth are the driver of this increase. Prevention requires a multi-faceted life course approach. Academic achievement has been identified as a protective factor. Early childhood education, which is linked to later achievement, is thus an intervention area of interest. Conceptualizing the potential links between early childhood education and reduced risk for youth firearm homicide is important for guiding policy advocacy and informing future research. METHODS: This paper presents a conceptual model linking early childhood education to reduced risk for firearm homicide. Each link in the model is discussed, and a corresponding review of the literature is presented. The need for anti-racist policies to strengthen the impact of early childhood education is highlighted. RESULTS: Early education and firearm homicide research are each well-established but largely disconnected. There are clear immediate benefits of early childhood education; however, these effects wane with time, particularly for youth of color. At the same time, juvenile delinquency-a major risk factor for firearm homicide-is influenced by educational inequities. CONCLUSIONS: Effective interventions to reduce firearm homicides among Black male youth in the United States are needed. Early childhood education shows promise as an intervention. However, to have an impact, this education needs to be accessible and affordable for all, particularly families of color and low income. Societal structures and policies must also better support the positive gains seen through early childhood education to avoid dissipation.


Subject(s)
Academic Success , Firearms , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Humans , Male , Educational Status , Homicide/prevention & control , United States , Black or African American
20.
Int J Legal Med ; 138(2): 639-649, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37934209

ABSTRACT

Forensic autopsy is an important tool for the proper management of non-natural deaths in minors. However, it seems that autopsy in minors is a practice which may not be performed routinely. In this framework, we conducted a study analyzing autopsies of minors (under 18 years of age in Italy) performed at the Institute of Forensic Medicine in Milan in the period 2001-2019. For the period 2015-2019, we extrapolated all deaths due to non-natural causes in minors to investigate how many and which of these deaths were not subjected to forensic autopsy. Of the total, 344 minors (235 males and 109 females) underwent autopsies, with an overall downward trend of about 80% since 2004. Most autopsies occurred between the ages of 0 and 1 year, and the fewest between the ages of 5 and 9 years. The place of death was home in most cases, and accidental death was most common, followed by natural death, suicide, and homicide, with prevalence varying by age group. Blunt force trauma predominated among accidental death in all age groups, followed by asphyxia. Similar findings were observed for suicides, although there was a more differentiated pattern for suicides between the ages of 15 and 17 years. Among homicides, blunt force trauma, asphyxia, and gunshot wounds were fairly evenly distributed across all age groups. Between 2015 and 2019, a total of 86 minors died of a non-natural cause, and a forensic autopsy was performed in only 33 cases (38%). Our data shows that fewer and fewer autopsies are being performed over the last years, which indicates a dangerous lack of forensic investigation of children and adolescent deaths, with enormous implications for prevention of child abuse.


Subject(s)
Suicide , Wounds, Gunshot , Wounds, Nonpenetrating , Child , Male , Adolescent , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Retrospective Studies , Asphyxia , Taboo , Cause of Death , Autopsy , Homicide
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