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1.
Nature ; 599(7883): 108-113, 2021 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34551425

ABSTRACT

Throughout the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, countries have relied on a variety of ad hoc border control protocols to allow for non-essential travel while safeguarding public health, from quarantining all travellers to restricting entry from select nations on the basis of population-level epidemiological metrics such as cases, deaths or testing positivity rates1,2. Here we report the design and performance of a reinforcement learning system, nicknamed Eva. In the summer of 2020, Eva was deployed across all Greek borders to limit the influx of asymptomatic travellers infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and to inform border policies through real-time estimates of COVID-19 prevalence. In contrast to country-wide protocols, Eva allocated Greece's limited testing resources on the basis of incoming travellers' demographic information and testing results from previous travellers. By comparing Eva's performance against modelled counterfactual scenarios, we show that Eva identified 1.85 times as many asymptomatic, infected travellers as random surveillance testing, with up to 2-4 times as many during peak travel, and 1.25-1.45 times as many asymptomatic, infected travellers as testing policies that utilize only epidemiological metrics. We demonstrate that this latter benefit arises, at least partially, because population-level epidemiological metrics had limited predictive value for the actual prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 among asymptomatic travellers and exhibited strong country-specific idiosyncrasies in the summer of 2020. Our results raise serious concerns on the effectiveness of country-agnostic internationally proposed border control policies3 that are based on population-level epidemiological metrics. Instead, our work represents a successful example of the potential of reinforcement learning and real-time data for safeguarding public health.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/prevention & control , Carrier State/diagnosis , Carrier State/prevention & control , Machine Learning , Travel Medicine , Travel , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Greece , Humans , Prevalence , Public Health
2.
Nature ; 590(7844): 134-139, 2021 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33348340

ABSTRACT

As countries in Europe gradually relaxed lockdown restrictions after the first wave, test-trace-isolate strategies became critical to maintain the incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at low levels1,2. Reviewing their shortcomings can provide elements to consider in light of the second wave that is currently underway in Europe. Here we estimate the rate of detection of symptomatic cases of COVID-19 in France after lockdown through the use of virological3 and participatory syndromic4 surveillance data coupled with mathematical transmission models calibrated to regional hospitalizations2. Our findings indicate that around 90,000 symptomatic infections, corresponding to 9 out 10 cases, were not ascertained by the surveillance system in the first 7 weeks after lockdown from 11 May to 28 June 2020, although the test positivity rate did not exceed the 5% recommendation of the World Health Organization (WHO)5. The median detection rate increased from 7% (95% confidence interval, 6-8%) to 38% (35-44%) over time, with large regional variations, owing to a strengthening of the system as well as a decrease in epidemic activity. According to participatory surveillance data, only 31% of individuals with COVID-19-like symptoms consulted a doctor in the study period. This suggests that large numbers of symptomatic cases of COVID-19 did not seek medical advice despite recommendations, as confirmed by serological studies6,7. Encouraging awareness and same-day healthcare-seeking behaviour of suspected cases of COVID-19 is critical to improve detection. However, the capacity of the system remained insufficient even at the low epidemic activity achieved after lockdown, and was predicted to deteriorate rapidly with increasing incidence of COVID-19 cases. Substantially more aggressive, targeted and efficient testing with easier access is required to act as a tool to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The testing strategy will be critical to enable partial lifting of the current restrictive measures in Europe and to avoid a third wave.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Testing/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/prevention & control , Carrier State/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Age Distribution , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Carrier State/prevention & control , Carrier State/transmission , Female , France/epidemiology , Health Behavior , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Incidence , Male , Pandemics/statistics & numerical data , Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Physical Distancing , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Time Factors , Treatment Refusal/statistics & numerical data , World Health Organization
3.
J Infect Dis ; 230(2): 485-496, 2024 Aug 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781438

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic carriage of malaria parasites persists even as malaria transmission declines. Low-density infections are often submicroscopic, not detected with rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) or microscopy but detectable by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). METHODS: To characterize submicroscopic Plasmodium falciparum carriage in an area of declining malaria transmission, asymptomatic persons >5 years of age in rural Bagamoyo District, Tanzania, were screened using RDT, microscopy, and PCR. We investigated the size of the submicroscopic reservoir of infection across villages, determined factors associated with submicroscopic carriage, and assessed the natural history of submicroscopic malaria over 4 weeks. RESULTS: Among 6076 participants, P. falciparum prevalences by RDT, microscopy, and PCR were 9%, 9%, and 28%, respectively, with roughly two-thirds of PCR-positive individuals harboring submicroscopic infection. Adult status, female sex, dry season months, screened windows, and bed net use were associated with submicroscopic carriage. Among 15 villages encompassing 80% of participants, the proportion of submicroscopic carriers increased with decreasing village-level malaria prevalence. Over 4 weeks, 23% of submicroscopic carriers (61 of 266) became RDT positive, with half exhibiting symptoms, while half (133 of 266) were no longer parasitemic at the end of 4 weeks. Progression to RDT-positive patent malaria occurred more frequently in villages with higher malaria prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: Microheterogeneity in transmission observed at the village level appears to affect both the size of the submicroscopic reservoir and the likelihood of submicroscopic carriers developing patent malaria in coastal Tanzania.


Subject(s)
Carrier State , Malaria, Falciparum , Plasmodium falciparum , Humans , Tanzania/epidemiology , Female , Malaria, Falciparum/transmission , Malaria, Falciparum/epidemiology , Malaria, Falciparum/parasitology , Male , Adult , Adolescent , Plasmodium falciparum/genetics , Plasmodium falciparum/isolation & purification , Child , Carrier State/transmission , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/parasitology , Young Adult , Child, Preschool , Prevalence , Middle Aged , Rural Population , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Microscopy , Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology , Aged
4.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(21)2021 05 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33972412

ABSTRACT

We analyze data from the fall 2020 pandemic response efforts at the University of Colorado Boulder, where more than 72,500 saliva samples were tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) using qRT-PCR. All samples were collected from individuals who reported no symptoms associated with COVID-19 on the day of collection. From these, 1,405 positive cases were identified. The distribution of viral loads within these asymptomatic individuals was indistinguishable from what has been previously observed in symptomatic individuals. Regardless of symptomatic status, ∼50% of individuals who test positive for SARS-CoV-2 seem to be in noninfectious phases of the disease, based on having low viral loads in a range from which live virus has rarely been isolated. We find that, at any given time, just 2% of individuals carry 90% of the virions circulating within communities, serving as viral "supercarriers" and possibly also superspreaders.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/virology , Carrier State/virology , SARS-CoV-2 , Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Carrier State/diagnosis , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Colorado/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Saliva/virology , Universities , Viral Load , Virion
5.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 17(12): e1009680, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34941865

ABSTRACT

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults are at a higher risk of pneumococcal colonisation and disease, even while receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). To help evaluate potential indirect effects of vaccination of HIV-infected adults, we assessed whether HIV-infected adults disproportionately contribute to household transmission of pneumococci. We constructed a hidden Markov model to capture the dynamics of pneumococcal carriage acquisition and clearance observed during a longitudinal household-based nasopharyngeal swabbing study, while accounting for sample misclassifications. Households were followed-up twice weekly for approximately 10 months each year during a three-year study period for nasopharyngeal carriage detection via real-time PCR. We estimated the effect of participant's age, HIV status, presence of a HIV-infected adult within the household and other covariates on pneumococcal acquisition and clearance probabilities. Of 1,684 individuals enrolled, 279 (16.6%) were younger children (<5 years-old) of whom 4 (1.5%) were HIV-infected and 726 (43.1%) were adults (≥18 years-old) of whom 214 (30.4%) were HIV-infected, most (173, 81.2%) with high CD4+ count. The observed range of pneumococcal carriage prevalence across visits was substantially higher in younger children (56.9-80.5%) than older children (5-17 years-old) (31.7-50.0%) or adults (11.5-23.5%). We estimate that 14.4% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 13.7-15.0) of pneumococcal-negative swabs were false negatives. Daily carriage acquisition probabilities among HIV-uninfected younger children were similar in households with and without HIV-infected adults (hazard ratio: 0.95, 95%CI: 0.91-1.01). Longer average carriage duration (11.4 days, 95%CI: 10.2-12.8 vs 6.0 days, 95%CI: 5.6-6.3) and higher median carriage density (622 genome equivalents per millilitre, 95%CI: 507-714 vs 389, 95%CI: 311.1-435.5) were estimated in HIV-infected vs HIV-uninfected adults. The use of ART and antibiotics substantially reduced carriage duration in all age groups, and acquisition rates increased with household size. Although South African HIV-infected adults on ART have longer carriage duration and density than their HIV-uninfected counterparts, they show similar patterns of pneumococcal acquisition and onward transmission.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Pneumococcal Infections , Adolescent , Adult , Algorithms , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Child , Child, Preschool , Computational Biology , Female , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Markov Chains , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Pneumococcal Infections/complications , Pneumococcal Infections/epidemiology , Pneumococcal Infections/transmission , South Africa/epidemiology , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Young Adult
7.
Med Sci Monit ; 27: e929701, 2021 Jun 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34121087

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, a cluster outbreak caused by an imported case from Hubei Province was reported in Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China. Ten patients from 2 families and 1 hospital were involved in the transmission. MATERIAL AND METHODS We conducted an epidemiological investigation to identify the cluster transmission of COVID-19. The demographic, epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and cluster characteristics were described and analyzed. RESULTS From January 27 to February 13, 2020, a total of 10 individuals were confirmed to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 by the nucleic acid testing of nasopharyngeal swabs from 2 families and 1 hospital. Among the confirmed cases, 7 had atypical clinical symptoms and 3 were asymptomatic. The median times from onset to diagnosis and to discharge were 3.5 days (range, 1-5 days) and 19.5 days (range, 16-38 days), respectively. There were 4 patients whose exposure dates were 1, 3, 3, and 2 days earlier than the onset dates of their previous-generation cases, respectively. Four prevention and control measures were effectively used to interrupt the disease transmission. CONCLUSIONS SARS-CoV-2 can be easily transmitted within families and in hospitals, and asymptomatic patients could act as a source of disease transmission. The results of this outbreak at the early epidemic stage support the recommendation that individuals with confirmed COVID-19 and all their close contacts should be subjected to medical quarantined observation and nucleic acid screening as early as possible, even if they do not have any symptoms. Meanwhile, people in high-risk areas should improve their protective measures.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Infections/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Carrier State/prevention & control , Carrier State/transmission , Pandemics/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/virology , COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing/methods , China/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Middle Aged , Quarantine/methods , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Young Adult
8.
Am Fam Physician ; 103(8): 465-472, 2021 04 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33856162

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 is the novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19. The spectrum of asymptomatic, presymptomatic, and symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 transmission presents challenges for evaluating SARS-CoV-2 test performance for diagnostic or screening purposes and for interpreting test results. Molecular and antigen tests can detect current SARS-CoV-2 infection and are used to diagnose COVID-19. Clinicians should consider a test's characteristics, test timing in relation to symptom onset, and the pretest probability of disease when interpreting results. Molecular and antigen SARS-CoV-2 tests both have high specificity. However, antigen tests generally have lower sensitivity and thus greater potential for false-negative results. Pretest probability of disease should be based on a patient's exposure to someone with a confirmed or probable case, signs or symptoms of COVID-19, local or population-specific COVID-19 prevalence, and presence of an alternative diagnosis. Using a leaf plot is an efficient way to visualize posttest probability of disease based on estimated pretest probability and the test's sensitivity and specificity. A negative molecular or antigen test result might not rule out SARS-CoV-2 infection when pretest probability is high, depending on the test's sensitivity. A symptom-based approach is preferred over a test-based approach for discontinuing isolation precautions for most patients with COVID-19 because prolonged shedding of viral RNA does not necessarily correlate with infectivity. Antibody tests might help identify past SARS-CoV-2 infection if performed two to four weeks after symptom onset; however, because of uncertainty about the extent and durability of postinfection or vaccine-induced immunity, they should not yet be used to infer immunity or guide discontinuation of personal protective measures.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Infections , COVID-19 Testing/methods , COVID-19 , Carrier State , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/immunology , COVID-19/physiopathology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing/methods , COVID-19 Serological Testing/methods , Carrier State/transmission , Carrier State/virology , Contact Tracing/methods , Diagnostic Errors , Disease Transmission, Infectious/prevention & control , Humans , Predictive Value of Tests
9.
Nihon Koshu Eisei Zasshi ; 68(8): 550-558, 2021 Aug 11.
Article in Japanese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33994491

ABSTRACT

Objectives There is little evidence supporting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from presymptomatic or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals in Japan, where the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection is lower than that in other developed countries. This study aimed to determine whether SARS-CoV-2 transmission can occur from presymptomatic or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals.Methods We surveyed all directors of Japanese public health centers for index cases and secondary patients who possibly contracted SARS-CoV-2 infection from a presymptomatic or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected individual who came under their care before June 20, 2020. The professional staff at the centers routinely perform contact tracing of infected persons based on the guidelines of the Infection Control Act. Four authors independently reviewed reports of 9 index cases of SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals with 17 secondary patients from 8 prefectures and examined the cases to determine whether transmission from a SARS-CoV-2-infected individual in the presymptomatic or asymptomatic state occurred.Results We reported 7 index cases with 13 secondary patients. 1) An elderly woman acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection from her sustained asymptomatic granddaughter at home, 2) 4 guests and 1 accompanying child waiting at a hair salon acquired infection from the presymptomatic female hair stylist, 3) 2 inpatients acquired infection from a presymptomatic nurse while providing nursing care in close contact, 4) an elderly couple acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection from their presymptomatic relative who was in the 50s during household care at their home, 5) a man acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection from a presymptomatic adult neighbor in an enclosed space with poor ventilation, 6) a presymptomatic man had transmitted infection to another man at a coffee shop while having a discussion on business, and 7) a man in his 50s acquired SARS-CoV-2 infection from a presymptomatic man during 50 minutes of close contact at their office and in a car. These secondary patients had no other likely routes of infection. The interval between the date of symptom onset in the presymptomatic index case and the secondary patient ranged from 2 to 6 days. The incidence rates at the time these infections occurred in the corresponding prefectures ranged from 0.00 to 6.56 cases/1 million person-days.Conclusion We report the first case of SARS-CoV-2 transmission from a sustained asymptomatic index case in Japan. All secondary patients came into close contact with presymptomatic index cases in areas with poor ventilation.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/transmission , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Contact Tracing , SARS-CoV-2 , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Infectious Disease Incubation Period , Japan/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Young Adult
10.
J Infect Dis ; 221(11): 1782-1794, 2020 05 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31150539

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical testing detects a fraction of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) carriers. Detecting a greater proportion could lead to increased use of infection prevention and control measures but requires resources. Therefore, it is important to understand the impact of detecting increasing proportions of CRE carriers. METHODS: We used our Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst-generated agent-based model of adult inpatient healthcare facilities in Orange County, California, to explore the impact that detecting greater proportions of carriers has on the spread of CRE. RESULTS: Detecting and placing 1 in 9 carriers on contact precautions increased the prevalence of CRE from 0% to 8.0% countywide over 10 years. Increasing the proportion of detected carriers from 1 in 9 up to 1 in 5 yielded linear reductions in transmission; at proportions >1 in 5, reductions were greater than linear. Transmission reductions did not occur for 1, 4, or 5 years, varying by facility type. With a contact precautions effectiveness of ≤70%, the detection level yielding nonlinear reductions remained unchanged; with an effectiveness of >80%, detecting only 1 in 5 carriers garnered large reductions in the number of new CRE carriers. Trends held when CRE was already present in the region. CONCLUSION: Although detection of all carriers provided the most benefits for preventing new CRE carriers, if this is not feasible, it may be worthwhile to aim for detecting >1 in 5 carriers.


Subject(s)
Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae/isolation & purification , Carrier State/diagnosis , Enterobacteriaceae Infections/transmission , Infection Control/methods , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Contact Tracing , Enterobacteriaceae Infections/diagnosis , Enterobacteriaceae Infections/epidemiology , Enterobacteriaceae Infections/prevention & control , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Nursing Homes/statistics & numerical data , Prevalence
11.
Infect Immun ; 88(4)2020 03 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32014891

ABSTRACT

Streptococcus pyogenes (group A Streptococcus [GAS]) is a human pathogen responsible for a wide range of diseases. Asymptomatic carriage of GAS in the human pharynx is commonplace and a potential reservoir for GAS transmission. Early studies showed that GAS transmission correlated with high bacterial burdens during the acute symptomatic phase of the disease. Human studies and the nonhuman primate model are generally impractical for investigation of the bacterial mechanisms contributing to GAS transmission and persistence. To address this gap, we adapted an infant mouse model of pneumococcal colonization and transmission to investigate factors that influence GAS transmission and persistence. The model recapitulated the direct correlation between GAS burden and transmission during the acute phase of infection observed in humans and nonhuman primates. Furthermore, our results indicate that the ratio of colonized to uncolonized hosts influences the rates of GAS transmission and persistence. We used the model to test the hypothesis that capsule production influences GAS transmission and persistence in a strain-dependent manner. We detected significant differences in rates of transmission and persistence between capsule-positive (emm3) and capsule-negative (emm87) GAS strains. Capsule was associated with higher levels of GAS shedding, independent of the strain background. In contrast to the capsule-positive emm3 strain, restoring capsule production in emm87 GAS did not increase transmissibility, and the absence of capsule enhanced persistence only in the capsule-negative (emm87) strain background. These data suggest that strain background (capsule positive versus capsule negative) influences the effect of capsule in GAS transmission and persistence and that as-yet-undefined factors are required for the transmission of capsule-negative emm types.


Subject(s)
Bacterial Capsules/metabolism , Bacterial Load , Disease Transmission, Infectious , Streptococcal Infections/microbiology , Streptococcal Infections/transmission , Streptococcus pyogenes/growth & development , Virulence Factors/metabolism , Animals , Animals, Newborn , Carrier State/microbiology , Carrier State/transmission , Disease Models, Animal , Mice
12.
J Virol ; 93(21)2019 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31434730

ABSTRACT

Senecavirus A (SVA) is a picornavirus that causes acute vesicular disease (VD), that is clinically indistinguishable from foot-and-mouth disease (FMD), in pigs. Notably, SVA RNA has been detected in lymphoid tissues of infected animals several weeks following resolution of the clinical disease, suggesting that the virus may persist in select host tissues. Here, we investigated the occurrence of persistent SVA infection and the contribution of stressors (transportation, immunosuppression, or parturition) to acute disease and recrudescence from persistent SVA infection. Our results show that transportation stress leads to a slight increase in disease severity following infection. During persistence, transportation, immunosuppression, and parturition stressors did not lead to overt/recrudescent clinical disease, but intermittent viremia and virus shedding were detected up to day 60 postinfection (p.i.) in all treatment groups following stress stimulation. Notably, real-time PCR and in situ hybridization (ISH) assays confirmed that the tonsil harbors SVA RNA during the persistent phase of infection. Immunofluorescence assays (IFA) specific for double-stranded RNA (dsRNA) demonstrated the presence of double-stranded viral RNA in tonsillar cells. Most importantly, infectious SVA was isolated from the tonsil of two animals on day 60 p.i., confirming the occurrence of carrier animals following SVA infection. These findings were supported by the fact that contact piglets (11/44) born to persistently infected sows were infected by SVA, demonstrating successful transmission of the virus from carrier sows to contact piglets. Results here confirm the establishment of persistent infection by SVA and demonstrate successful transmission of the virus from persistently infected animals.IMPORTANCE Persistent viral infections have significant implications for disease control strategies. Previous studies demonstrated the persistence of SVA RNA in the tonsil of experimentally or naturally infected animals long after resolution of the clinical disease. Here, we showed that SVA establishes persistent infection in SVA-infected animals, with the tonsil serving as one of the sites of virus persistence. Importantly, persistently infected carrier animals shedding SVA in oral and nasal secretions or feces can serve as sources of infection to other susceptible animals, as evidenced by successful transmission of SVA from persistently infected sows to contact piglets. These findings unveil an important aspect of SVA infection biology, suggesting that persistently infected pigs may function as reservoirs for SVA.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/veterinary , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical/veterinary , Picornaviridae Infections/veterinary , Picornaviridae/pathogenicity , Swine Diseases/transmission , Animals , Carrier State/pathology , Carrier State/transmission , Carrier State/virology , Chronic Disease , Female , Palatine Tonsil/virology , Picornaviridae Infections/pathology , Picornaviridae Infections/transmission , Picornaviridae Infections/virology , Recurrence , Stress, Physiological , Swine , Swine Diseases/pathology , Swine Diseases/virology , Viremia/pathology , Viremia/transmission , Viremia/veterinary , Viremia/virology , Virus Shedding
13.
Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis ; 39(9): 1703-1709, 2020 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32333221

ABSTRACT

Pharyngeal carriage is the reservoir for Neisseria meningitidis in the population and the first step in disease transmission. Especially in young infants and adolescents, N. meningitidis can cause serious invasive infection with high fatality rates and high rates of long-term sequelae among survivors. The aim of this study was to determine N. meningitidis colonization rates in asymptomatic health care professionals at a tertiary university pediatric hospital and to identify risk factors for carriage. This cross-sectional meningococcal carriage survey was conducted between April and October 2018 at the Medical University of Vienna. Individuals working as nurses, pediatricians, or medical students were enrolled. Oropharyngeal swabs were directly plated onto selective agar plates and conventional culture was used for bacterial identification. Meningococcal isolates were further characterized using whole-genome sequencing. A total of 437 oropharyngeal specimens were collected. Overall, meningococcal carriage prevalence was 1.14% (5/437), with 0.7% (3/437) for capsular genotype B, and 0.5% (2/437) for capsular genotype W. Mean age of carriers was significantly lower than of non-carriers (24.2 vs. 35.8; p = 0.004). The highest carriage rate of 4.4% (4/91) was found in the age group 18-25. Carriage was negatively associated with age and timespan working in pediatrics. This is the first study evaluating the prevalence of Neisseria meningitidis carriage in health care professionals working in Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine. Carriage was in general lower than expected for all age groups, implicating a low risk of meningococcal transmission via this population.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/epidemiology , Meningococcal Infections/epidemiology , Neisseria meningitidis/isolation & purification , Occupational Diseases/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Austria/epidemiology , Carrier State/microbiology , Carrier State/transmission , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Health Personnel , Hospitals, Pediatric , Humans , Male , Meningococcal Infections/microbiology , Meningococcal Infections/transmission , Middle Aged , Neisseria meningitidis/genetics , Occupational Diseases/microbiology , Pharynx/microbiology , Prevalence , Surveys and Questionnaires , Universities , Young Adult
14.
Epidemiol Infect ; 148: e132, 2020 07 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32611465

ABSTRACT

Hubei province in China has had the most confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and has reported sustained transmission of the disease. Although Lu'an city is adjacent to Hubei province, its community transmission was blocked at the early stage, and the impact of the epidemic was limited. Therefore, we summarised the overall characteristics of the entire epidemic course in Lu'an to help cities with a few imported cases better contain the epidemic. A total of 69 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 11 asymptomatic carriers were identified in Lu'an during the epidemic from 12 January to 21 February 2020. Fifty-two (65.0%) cases were male, and the median age was 40 years. On admission, 56.5% of cases had a fever as the initial symptom, and pneumonia was present in 89.9% of cases. The mean serial interval and the mean duration of hospitalisation were 6.5 days (95% CI: 4.8-8.2) and 18.2 days (95% CI: 16.8-19.5), respectively. A total of 16 clusters involving 60 cases (17 first-generation cases and 43 secondary cases) were reported during the epidemic. We observed that only 18.9% (7/37) index cases resulted in community transmission during the epidemic in Lu'an, indicating that the scale of the epidemic was limited to a low level in Lu'an city. An asymptomatic carrier caused the largest cluster, involving 13 cases. Spread of COVID-19 by asymptomatic carriers represents an enormous challenge for countries responding to the pandemic.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/virology , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/prevention & control , Pandemics/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/prevention & control , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , COVID-19 , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Child , Child, Preschool , China/epidemiology , Cities/epidemiology , Cluster Analysis , Coronavirus Infections/transmission , Female , Fever , Humans , Infant , Length of Stay , Male , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Viral/transmission , Population Surveillance/methods , Time Factors , Young Adult
15.
Bull Math Biol ; 82(3): 42, 2020 03 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32172448

ABSTRACT

Asymptomatic individuals in the context of malarial disease are subjects who carry a parasite load, but do not show clinical symptoms. A correct understanding of the influence of asymptomatic individuals on transmission dynamics will provide a comprehensive description of the complex interplay between the definitive host (female Anopheles mosquito), intermediate host (human), and agent (Plasmodium parasite). The goal of this article is to conduct a rigorous mathematical analysis of a new compartmentalized malaria model accounting for asymptomatic human hosts for the purpose of calculating the basic reproductive number ([Formula: see text]) and determining the bifurcations that might occur at the onset of disease-free equilibrium. A point of departure of this model from others appearing in the literature is that the asymptomatic compartment is decomposed into two mutually disjoint sub-compartments by making use of the naturally acquired immunity of the population under consideration. After deriving the model, a qualitative analysis is carried out to classify the stability of the equilibria of the system. Our results show that the dynamical system is locally asymptotically stable provided that [Formula: see text]. However, this stability is not global, owning to the occurrence of a sub-critical bifurcation in which additional non-trivial sub-threshold equilibrium solutions appear in response to a specified parameter being perturbed. To ensure that the model does not undergo a backward bifurcation, we demand an auxiliary parameter denoted [Formula: see text] in addition to the threshold constraint [Formula: see text]. The authors hope that this qualitative analysis will fill in the gaps of what is currently known about asymptomatic malaria and aid in designing strategies that assist the further development of malaria control and eradication efforts.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/epidemiology , Malaria/epidemiology , Models, Biological , Animals , Anopheles/parasitology , Carrier State/immunology , Carrier State/transmission , Computer Simulation , Endemic Diseases/prevention & control , Endemic Diseases/statistics & numerical data , Female , Host-Parasite Interactions/immunology , Humans , Immunity, Innate , Malaria/immunology , Malaria/transmission , Mathematical Concepts , Mosquito Vectors/parasitology , Plasmodium/growth & development , Plasmodium/pathogenicity
16.
Allergol Immunopathol (Madr) ; 48(5): 500-506, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32771236

ABSTRACT

The reasons for the relative resistance of children to certain infections such as that caused by coronavirus SARS-CoV2 are not yet fully clear. Deciphering these differences can provide important information about the pathogenesis of the disease. Regarding the SARS-CoV2 virus, children are at the same risk of infection as the general population of all ages, with the most serious cases being found in infants. However, it has been reported that the disease is much less frequent than in adults and that most cases are benign or moderate (even with high viral loads), provided there are no other risk factors or underlying diseases. It is not clear why they have lower morbidity and virtually no mortality. A series of findings, relationships and behavioral patterns between the infectious agent and the child host may account for the lower incidence and a greatly attenuated clinical presentation of the disease in children.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus/pathogenicity , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/pathology , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/pathology , Adult , Age Factors , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 , COVID-19 , Carrier State/transmission , Carrier State/virology , Child , Coinfection/epidemiology , Coinfection/immunology , Coinfection/pathology , Coronavirus Infections/immunology , Coronavirus Infections/transmission , Humans , Immune System , Life Style , Melatonin/immunology , Melatonin/metabolism , Pandemics , Peptidyl-Dipeptidase A/immunology , Peptidyl-Dipeptidase A/metabolism , Pneumococcal Vaccines/immunology , Pneumonia, Viral/immunology , Pneumonia, Viral/transmission , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/immunology , Respiratory Tract Infections/pathology , SARS-CoV-2
17.
J Clin Microbiol ; 57(9)2019 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31270182

ABSTRACT

We sought here to investigate the patterns of Staphylococcus aureus carriage in the first year of life, its determinants, and the dynamics of transmission between mothers and infants. A prospective longitudinal cohort study of S. aureus carriage among mothers and their infants was performed, including monthly screenings from pregnancy/birth through the first year of the infant's life. Medical and lifestyle data were collected. Infant S. aureus carriage was detected from rectal and nasal swabs, and maternal carriage was detected from nasal and vaginal swabs. Multivariate analysis and a nonlinear mixed model (NLMIXED) were used to determine the predictors of carriage and S. aureus persistence. Of the 671 women recruited, 130 women carried S. aureus at recruitment (19.3%); they and their 132 infants were included in the study. A total of 93% of the infants acquired S. aureus sometime during the first year of life; 64% of these infants acquired the maternal strain, mostly (66%) during the first month of life. We observed that 70 women (52.50%) and 17 infants (14%) carried S. aureus persistently. Early acquisition of S. aureus carriage was associated with longer duration of initial carriage and was the most significant predictor of S. aureus persistence, while day care center attendance was negatively associated with persistent carriage. Methicillin-resistant S. aureus was carried by two infants for only 1 month each and not by any of the mothers. Early acquisition of S. aureus, mostly from the mother, is thus an important determinant of carriage persistence in infancy.


Subject(s)
Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/microbiology , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical , Staphylococcal Infections/epidemiology , Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology , Staphylococcus aureus/isolation & purification , Adult , Carrier State/transmission , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Nasal Mucosa/microbiology , Prospective Studies , Rectum/microbiology , Staphylococcal Infections/transmission , Vagina/microbiology , Young Adult
18.
J Med Virol ; 91(8): 1489-1498, 2019 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30883792

ABSTRACT

The long-term persistence of immunity following universal infant immunization against hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the need for a subsequent booster dose in adolescence remain under debate. With data derived from Long'an County, Guangxi, China, we reported previously that the prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) among adults born from 1987 to 1993 increases with age, although these individuals had received a first dose of the vaccine within 24 hours of birth. Here, we sought the source of transmission by comparison of genotypes among their family members using phylogenetic analysis of complete HBV S gene sequences. For comparison, we screened 2199 vaccinated individuals aged 5 to 17 in Cang Wu County and 1592 vaccinated individuals aged 3 to 7 in Ling Shan County in Guangxi for HBsAg carriers and investigate their family members. In total, 50 asymptomatic HBsAg carriers who were vaccinated at birth and 152 family members were analyzed. The results showed that 25% (95% CI: 6.0-44.0) of the HBsAg-positive children had not acquired their HBV infection from their mothers. This phenomenon showed a trend that increases with age. Antibody escape mutations were detected in 22.9% (95% CI: 11.0-34.8) of the isolates. In conclusion, a booster dose may be necessary for adolescence who were vaccinated at birth in highly endemic countries.


Subject(s)
Asymptomatic Diseases/epidemiology , Carrier State/epidemiology , Family Health , Hepatitis B virus/isolation & purification , Hepatitis B/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Animals , Carrier State/transmission , Child , Child, Preschool , China/epidemiology , Disease Transmission, Infectious , Female , Genotype , Genotyping Techniques , Hepatitis B/transmission , Hepatitis B virus/classification , Hepatitis B virus/genetics , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Molecular Epidemiology , Phylogeny , Prevalence , Sequence Analysis, DNA
19.
Microb Pathog ; 116: 241-245, 2018 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29410122

ABSTRACT

Escherichia coli (E. coli) is a normal flora of gastrointestinal tracts of humans and warm-blooded animals including dogs that has close vicinity with humans. Because the inter-species transmission of E. coli between pets and human beings, within a household, obtaining more information about the epidemiology, genetics, virulence factors, and antibiotic resistance of E. coli from dogs and their owners will help to control the inter-species transmission and treatment of E. coli infections. In this study we characterize and compare the antibiotic resistance and virulence profiles of fecal E. coli isolates from dogs and their owners. A total of 149 commensal E. coli isolates comprised 62 isolates from dogs, 56 isolates from their owners and 31 isolates from humans with no pet as control were collected. Extracted DNA was assessed for the presence of antibiotic resistance genes cmlA (chloramphenicol), sulI (sulfamethoxazole), floR (florfenicol) and blaCTX-M1 (cefotaxime) and virulence genes (papA, ompT, hlyD, traT, tsh and cnf1). To determine the extent of genetic relatedness of isolates, RAPD-PCR was performed. sulI and traT genes were the most dominant resistance profile and the most prevalent virulence gene in all groups, respectively, while hlyD had the lowest frequency among investigated virulence genes. Based on RAPD-PCR analysis clonal sharing between dogs and their owners were observed in 2/28 (7.1%) potential within-household clone-sharing pairs. Allowing dog to lick on owner's face, dog sex (female dogs), dog's sexual status (intact dogs) and times of disposing the feces (≥twice a day) were associated with a higher percentage of RAPD profile similarity (P < 0.05). The current study did not show an obvious evidence to prove considerable transmission of fecal E. coli from dogs to their owners. But in two households, there were relationship between isolates from dogs and their owners.


Subject(s)
Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Escherichia coli Infections/microbiology , Escherichia coli Infections/veterinary , Escherichia coli/drug effects , Escherichia coli/pathogenicity , Genetic Variation , Virulence Factors/analysis , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Animals , Carrier State/microbiology , Carrier State/transmission , Carrier State/veterinary , Dogs , Escherichia coli/classification , Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Escherichia coli Infections/transmission , Female , Genes, Bacterial , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Molecular Typing , Random Amplified Polymorphic DNA Technique , Surveys and Questionnaires , Virulence Factors/genetics , Young Adult
20.
Malar J ; 17(1): 6, 2018 01 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29304809

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: As the prevalence of the malaria has been decreasing in many endemic countries including Myanmar, malaria elimination in Greater Mekong Region was targeted not later than 2030. The relevance of molecular and serological tools to identify residual transmission remains to be established in this setting. METHODS: One-year cohort study was conducted and sera samples were collected in every 3 months with active and passive case detection for clinical malaria episodes by RDT, microscopy and molecular method. The sera were used to detect the malaria antibody against PfMSP1-19, PvAMA1, PvDBPII and PvMSP1-19 by protein microarray. RESULTS: Among the recruited 1182 participants, there was no RDT positive case for malaria infection although two vivax infections were detected by microscopy in initial collection. Molecular methods detected the asymptomatic cases of 28/1182 (2.37%) in first, 5/894 (0.42%) in second, 12/944 (1.02%) in third, 6/889 (0.51%) in fourth collection, respectively. Seropositivity rates against the PfMSP1-19, PvMSP1-19, PvAMA1 and PvDBPII were 73/270 (27.0%), 85/270 (31.5%), 65/270 (24.1%) and 160/270 (59.3%), respectively. PfMSP1-19 and PvMSP1-19 showed high and stable antigenicity in acute and subacute samples but declining in 1-year history samples. No cross reactivity of PfMSP1-19 and PvMSP1-19 between the two species and higher seropositivity among the asymptomatic carriers were observed. Mapping data indicated serological surveillance can detect the geographical pattern of malaria infection under low transmission setting. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support that PfMSP1-19 and PvMSP1-19 are suggested for serosurveillance of the malaria especially in low transmission setting for further necessary actions have to be carried out to eliminate the malaria.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Protozoan/blood , Disease Transmission, Infectious , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/transmission , Serologic Tests/methods , Adolescent , Adult , Carrier State/epidemiology , Carrier State/transmission , Chromatography, Affinity , Cohort Studies , Epidemiological Monitoring , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Microarray Analysis , Microscopy , Middle Aged , Myanmar/epidemiology , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Prevalence , Protein Array Analysis , Young Adult
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