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1.
Cell ; 182(6): 1460-1473.e17, 2020 09 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32916129

ABSTRACT

The gut microbiome has been implicated in multiple human chronic gastrointestinal (GI) disorders. Determining its mechanistic role in disease has been difficult due to apparent disconnects between animal and human studies and lack of an integrated multi-omics view of disease-specific physiological changes. We integrated longitudinal multi-omics data from the gut microbiome, metabolome, host epigenome, and transcriptome in the context of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) host physiology. We identified IBS subtype-specific and symptom-related variation in microbial composition and function. A subset of identified changes in microbial metabolites correspond to host physiological mechanisms that are relevant to IBS. By integrating multiple data layers, we identified purine metabolism as a novel host-microbial metabolic pathway in IBS with translational potential. Our study highlights the importance of longitudinal sampling and integrating complementary multi-omics data to identify functional mechanisms that can serve as therapeutic targets in a comprehensive treatment strategy for chronic GI diseases. VIDEO ABSTRACT.


Subject(s)
Gastrointestinal Microbiome/genetics , Gene Expression Regulation/genetics , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/metabolism , Metabolome , Purines/metabolism , Transcriptome/genetics , Animals , Bile Acids and Salts/metabolism , Biopsy , Butyrates/metabolism , Chromatography, Liquid , Cross-Sectional Studies , Epigenomics , Feces/microbiology , Female , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/physiology , Gene Expression Regulation/physiology , Host Microbial Interactions/genetics , Humans , Hypoxanthine/metabolism , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/genetics , Irritable Bowel Syndrome/microbiology , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Metabolome/physiology , Mice , Observational Studies as Topic , Prospective Studies , Software , Tandem Mass Spectrometry , Transcriptome/physiology
2.
Nat Immunol ; 20(7): 928-942, 2019 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31061532

ABSTRACT

To define the cell populations that drive joint inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), we applied single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq), mass cytometry, bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) and flow cytometry to T cells, B cells, monocytes, and fibroblasts from 51 samples of synovial tissue from patients with RA or osteoarthritis (OA). Utilizing an integrated strategy based on canonical correlation analysis of 5,265 scRNA-seq profiles, we identified 18 unique cell populations. Combining mass cytometry and transcriptomics revealed cell states expanded in RA synovia: THY1(CD90)+HLA-DRAhi sublining fibroblasts, IL1B+ pro-inflammatory monocytes, ITGAX+TBX21+ autoimmune-associated B cells and PDCD1+ peripheral helper T (TPH) cells and follicular helper T (TFH) cells. We defined distinct subsets of CD8+ T cells characterized by GZMK+, GZMB+, and GNLY+ phenotypes. We mapped inflammatory mediators to their source cell populations; for example, we attributed IL6 expression to THY1+HLA-DRAhi fibroblasts and IL1B production to pro-inflammatory monocytes. These populations are potentially key mediators of RA pathogenesis.


Subject(s)
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/genetics , Arthritis, Rheumatoid/metabolism , Gene Expression Profiling , Synovial Membrane/metabolism , Transcriptome , Arthritis, Rheumatoid/pathology , Autoimmunity/genetics , Biomarkers , Computational Biology/methods , Cross-Sectional Studies , Cytokines/metabolism , Fibroblasts/metabolism , Flow Cytometry , Gene Expression , Gene Expression Profiling/methods , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing , Histocompatibility Antigens Class II/genetics , Histocompatibility Antigens Class II/immunology , Humans , Leukocytes/immunology , Leukocytes/metabolism , Monocytes/immunology , Monocytes/metabolism , Signal Transduction , Single-Cell Analysis/methods , Synovial Membrane/pathology , T-Lymphocyte Subsets/immunology , T-Lymphocyte Subsets/metabolism , Workflow
3.
Nature ; 629(8013): 837-842, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38693262

ABSTRACT

The record of past human adaptations provides crucial lessons for guiding responses to crises in the future1-3. To date, there have been no systematic global comparisons of humans' ability to absorb and recover from disturbances through time4,5. Here we synthesized resilience across a broad sample of prehistoric population time-frequency data, spanning 30,000 years of human history. Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of population decline show that frequent disturbances enhance a population's capacity to resist and recover from later downturns. Land-use patterns are important mediators of the strength of this positive association: farming and herding societies are more vulnerable but also more resilient overall. The results show that important trade-offs exist when adopting new or alternative land-use strategies.


Subject(s)
Agriculture , Population Dynamics , Social Change , Agriculture/history , Agriculture/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Sectional Studies , History, Ancient , Longitudinal Studies , Population Dynamics/history , Population Dynamics/statistics & numerical data , Resilience, Psychological , Social Change/history , Humans
4.
Nature ; 621(7979): 558-567, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37704720

ABSTRACT

Sustainable Development Goal 2.2-to end malnutrition by 2030-includes the elimination of child wasting, defined as a weight-for-length z-score that is more than two standard deviations below the median of the World Health Organization standards for child growth1. Prevailing methods to measure wasting rely on cross-sectional surveys that cannot measure onset, recovery and persistence-key features that inform preventive interventions and estimates of disease burden. Here we analyse 21 longitudinal cohorts and show that wasting is a highly dynamic process of onset and recovery, with incidence peaking between birth and 3 months. Many more children experience an episode of wasting at some point during their first 24 months than prevalent cases at a single point in time suggest. For example, at the age of 24 months, 5.6% of children were wasted, but by the same age (24 months), 29.2% of children had experienced at least one wasting episode and 10.0% had experienced two or more episodes. Children who were wasted before the age of 6 months had a faster recovery and shorter episodes than did children who were wasted at older ages; however, early wasting increased the risk of later growth faltering, including concurrent wasting and stunting (low length-for-age z-score), and thus increased the risk of mortality. In diverse populations with high seasonal rainfall, the population average weight-for-length z-score varied substantially (more than 0.5 z in some cohorts), with the lowest mean z-scores occurring during the rainiest months; this indicates that seasonally targeted interventions could be considered. Our results show the importance of establishing interventions to prevent wasting from birth to the age of 6 months, probably through improved maternal nutrition, to complement current programmes that focus on children aged 6-59 months.


Subject(s)
Cachexia , Developing Countries , Growth Disorders , Malnutrition , Child, Preschool , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Cachexia/epidemiology , Cachexia/mortality , Cachexia/prevention & control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Growth Disorders/epidemiology , Growth Disorders/mortality , Growth Disorders/prevention & control , Incidence , Longitudinal Studies , Malnutrition/epidemiology , Malnutrition/mortality , Malnutrition/prevention & control , Rain , Seasons
5.
Nature ; 621(7979): 550-557, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37704719

ABSTRACT

Globally, 149 million children under 5 years of age are estimated to be stunted (length more than 2 standard deviations below international growth standards)1,2. Stunting, a form of linear growth faltering, increases the risk of illness, impaired cognitive development and mortality. Global stunting estimates rely on cross-sectional surveys, which cannot provide direct information about the timing of onset or persistence of growth faltering-a key consideration for defining critical windows to deliver preventive interventions. Here we completed a pooled analysis of longitudinal studies in low- and middle-income countries (n = 32 cohorts, 52,640 children, ages 0-24 months), allowing us to identify the typical age of onset of linear growth faltering and to investigate recurrent faltering in early life. The highest incidence of stunting onset occurred from birth to the age of 3 months, with substantially higher stunting at birth in South Asia. From 0 to 15 months, stunting reversal was rare; children who reversed their stunting status frequently relapsed, and relapse rates were substantially higher among children born stunted. Early onset and low reversal rates suggest that improving children's linear growth will require life course interventions for women of childbearing age and a greater emphasis on interventions for children under 6 months of age.


Subject(s)
Developing Countries , Growth Disorders , Adult , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Asia, Southern/epidemiology , Cognition , Cross-Sectional Studies , Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data , Developmental Disabilities/epidemiology , Developmental Disabilities/mortality , Developmental Disabilities/prevention & control , Growth Disorders/epidemiology , Growth Disorders/mortality , Growth Disorders/prevention & control , Longitudinal Studies , Mothers
6.
Nature ; 623(7985): 139-148, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37748514

ABSTRACT

Post-acute infection syndromes may develop after acute viral disease1. Infection with SARS-CoV-2 can result in the development of a post-acute infection syndrome known as long COVID. Individuals with long COVID frequently report unremitting fatigue, post-exertional malaise, and a variety of cognitive and autonomic dysfunctions2-4. However, the biological processes that are associated with the development and persistence of these symptoms are unclear. Here 275 individuals with or without long COVID were enrolled in a cross-sectional study that included multidimensional immune phenotyping and unbiased machine learning methods to identify biological features associated with long COVID. Marked differences were noted in circulating myeloid and lymphocyte populations relative to the matched controls, as well as evidence of exaggerated humoral responses directed against SARS-CoV-2 among participants with long COVID. Furthermore, higher antibody responses directed against non-SARS-CoV-2 viral pathogens were observed among individuals with long COVID, particularly Epstein-Barr virus. Levels of soluble immune mediators and hormones varied among groups, with cortisol levels being lower among participants with long COVID. Integration of immune phenotyping data into unbiased machine learning models identified the key features that are most strongly associated with long COVID status. Collectively, these findings may help to guide future studies into the pathobiology of long COVID and help with developing relevant biomarkers.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral , Herpesvirus 4, Human , Hydrocortisone , Lymphocytes , Myeloid Cells , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , Biomarkers/blood , Cross-Sectional Studies , Herpesvirus 4, Human/immunology , Hydrocortisone/blood , Immunophenotyping , Lymphocytes/immunology , Machine Learning , Myeloid Cells/immunology , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome/diagnosis , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome/immunology , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome/physiopathology , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome/virology , SARS-CoV-2/immunology
7.
Nature ; 602(7895): 51-57, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35110758

ABSTRACT

The Dog Aging Project is a long-term longitudinal study of ageing in tens of thousands of companion dogs. The domestic dog is among the most variable mammal species in terms of morphology, behaviour, risk of age-related disease and life expectancy. Given that dogs share the human environment and have a sophisticated healthcare system but are much shorter-lived than people, they offer a unique opportunity to identify the genetic, environmental and lifestyle factors associated with healthy lifespan. To take advantage of this opportunity, the Dog Aging Project will collect extensive survey data, environmental information, electronic veterinary medical records, genome-wide sequence information, clinicopathology and molecular phenotypes derived from blood cells, plasma and faecal samples. Here, we describe the specific goals and design of the Dog Aging Project and discuss the potential for this open-data, community science study to greatly enhance understanding of ageing in a genetically variable, socially relevant species living in a complex environment.


Subject(s)
Aging/physiology , Dogs/physiology , Information Dissemination , Pets/physiology , Aging/drug effects , Aging/genetics , Animals , Biomarkers , Built Environment , Clinical Trials, Veterinary as Topic , Cross-Sectional Studies , Data Collection , Dogs/genetics , Female , Frailty/veterinary , Gene-Environment Interaction , Genome-Wide Association Study , Goals , Healthy Aging/drug effects , Humans , Inflammation/veterinary , Informed Consent , Life Style , Longevity/drug effects , Longevity/genetics , Longevity/physiology , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Models, Animal , Multimorbidity , Pets/genetics , Privacy , Sirolimus/pharmacology
8.
Nature ; 600(7890): 713-719, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34880502

ABSTRACT

Cigarette smoking constitutes a leading global cause of morbidity and preventable death1, and most active smokers report a desire or recent attempt to quit2. Smoking-cessation-induced weight gain (SCWG; 4.5 kg reported to be gained on average per 6-12 months, >10 kg year-1 in 13% of those who stopped smoking3) constitutes a major obstacle to smoking abstinence4, even under stable5,6 or restricted7 caloric intake. Here we use a mouse model to demonstrate that smoking and cessation induce a dysbiotic state that is driven by an intestinal influx of cigarette-smoke-related metabolites. Microbiome depletion induced by treatment with antibiotics prevents SCWG. Conversely, fecal microbiome transplantation from mice previously exposed to cigarette smoke into germ-free mice naive to smoke exposure induces excessive weight gain across diets and mouse strains. Metabolically, microbiome-induced SCWG involves a concerted host and microbiome shunting of dietary choline to dimethylglycine driving increased gut energy harvest, coupled with the depletion of a cross-regulated weight-lowering metabolite, N-acetylglycine, and possibly by the effects of other differentially abundant cigarette-smoke-related metabolites. Dimethylglycine and N-acetylglycine may also modulate weight and associated adipose-tissue immunity under non-smoking conditions. Preliminary observations in a small cross-sectional human cohort support these findings, which calls for larger human trials to establish the relevance of this mechanism in active smokers. Collectively, we uncover a microbiome-dependent orchestration of SCWG that may be exploitable to improve smoking-cessation success and to correct metabolic perturbations even in non-smoking settings.


Subject(s)
Gastrointestinal Microbiome , Smoking Cessation , Weight Gain , Animals , Cross-Sectional Studies , Dysbiosis/etiology , Dysbiosis/metabolism , Dysbiosis/pathology , Mice , Models, Animal , Smoking/metabolism , Smoking/pathology
9.
Nature ; 590(7844): 146-150, 2021 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33142304

ABSTRACT

In late 2019, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first detected in China and has since caused a pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The first case of COVID-19 in New York City was officially confirmed on 1 March 2020 followed by a severe local epidemic1. Here, to understand seroprevalence dynamics, we conduct a retrospective, repeated cross-sectional analysis of anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies in weekly intervals from the beginning of February to July 2020 using more than 10,000 plasma samples from patients at Mount Sinai Hospital in New York City. We describe the dynamics of seroprevalence in an 'urgent care' group, which is enriched in cases of COVID-19 during the epidemic, and a 'routine care' group, which more closely represents the general population. Seroprevalence increased at different rates in both groups; seropositive samples were found as early as mid-February, and levelled out at slightly above 20% in both groups after the epidemic wave subsided by the end of May. From May to July, seroprevalence remained stable, suggesting lasting antibody levels in the population. Our data suggest that SARS-CoV-2 was introduced in New York City earlier than previously documented and describe the dynamics of seroconversion over the full course of the first wave of the pandemic in a major metropolitan area.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral/blood , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , COVID-19 Serological Testing/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/immunology , Epidemiological Monitoring , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Adolescent , Adult , Ambulatory Care/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/virology , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , New York City/epidemiology , Spike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus/immunology , Time Factors , Urban Population/statistics & numerical data , Young Adult
10.
Development ; 150(10)2023 05 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37249125

ABSTRACT

Tissue patterning during embryonic development is remarkably precise. Here, we numerically determine the impact of the cell diameter, gradient length and the morphogen source on the variability of morphogen gradients. We show that the positional error increases with the gradient length relative to the size of the morphogen source, and with the square root of the cell diameter and the readout position. We provide theoretical explanations for these relationships, and show that they enable high patterning precision over developmental time for readouts that scale with expanding tissue domains, as observed in the Drosophila wing disc. Our analysis suggests that epithelial tissues generally achieve higher patterning precision with small cross-sectional cell areas. An extensive survey of measured apical cell areas shows that they are indeed small in developing tissues that are patterned by morphogen gradients. Enhanced precision may thus have led to the emergence of pseudostratification in epithelia, a phenomenon for which the evolutionary benefit had so far remained elusive.


Subject(s)
Drosophila Proteins , Drosophila , Animals , Cross-Sectional Studies , Drosophila/metabolism , Drosophila Proteins/genetics , Drosophila Proteins/metabolism , Embryonic Development , Cell Size , Body Patterning/genetics , Gene Expression Regulation, Developmental , Models, Biological , Drosophila melanogaster/genetics
11.
Brief Bioinform ; 25(4)2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007595

ABSTRACT

Biomedical research now commonly integrates diverse data types or views from the same individuals to better understand the pathobiology of complex diseases, but the challenge lies in meaningfully integrating these diverse views. Existing methods often require the same type of data from all views (cross-sectional data only or longitudinal data only) or do not consider any class outcome in the integration method, which presents limitations. To overcome these limitations, we have developed a pipeline that harnesses the power of statistical and deep learning methods to integrate cross-sectional and longitudinal data from multiple sources. In addition, it identifies key variables that contribute to the association between views and the separation between classes, providing deeper biological insights. This pipeline includes variable selection/ranking using linear and nonlinear methods, feature extraction using functional principal component analysis and Euler characteristics, and joint integration and classification using dense feed-forward networks for cross-sectional data and recurrent neural networks for longitudinal data. We applied this pipeline to cross-sectional and longitudinal multiomics data (metagenomics, transcriptomics and metabolomics) from an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) study and identified microbial pathways, metabolites and genes that discriminate by IBD status, providing information on the etiology of IBD. We conducted simulations to compare the two feature extraction methods.


Subject(s)
Deep Learning , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/classification , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/genetics , Longitudinal Studies , Discriminant Analysis , Metabolomics/methods , Computational Biology/methods
12.
Nat Rev Neurosci ; 22(6): 372-384, 2021 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33911229

ABSTRACT

Childhood socio-economic status (SES), a measure of the availability of material and social resources, is one of the strongest predictors of lifelong well-being. Here we review evidence that experiences associated with childhood SES affect not only the outcome but also the pace of brain development. We argue that higher childhood SES is associated with protracted structural brain development and a prolonged trajectory of functional network segregation, ultimately leading to more efficient cortical networks in adulthood. We hypothesize that greater exposure to chronic stress accelerates brain maturation, whereas greater access to novel positive experiences decelerates maturation. We discuss the impact of variation in the pace of brain development on plasticity and learning. We provide a generative theoretical framework to catalyse future basic science and translational research on environmental influences on brain development.


Subject(s)
Brain/growth & development , Environment , Social Class , Adolescent , Adult Survivors of Child Adverse Events , Adverse Childhood Experiences , Animals , Bibliometrics , Brain/embryology , Cerebral Cortex/cytology , Cerebral Cortex/growth & development , Cerebral Cortex/ultrastructure , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Learning/physiology , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Minority Groups , Nerve Net , Neuronal Plasticity , Neurosciences , Organ Size , Pregnancy , Stress, Physiological
13.
Nature ; 581(7808): 310-315, 2020 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32433607

ABSTRACT

Microbiome community typing analyses have recently identified the Bacteroides2 (Bact2) enterotype, an intestinal microbiota configuration that is associated with systemic inflammation and has a high prevalence in loose stools in humans1,2. Bact2 is characterized by a high proportion of Bacteroides, a low proportion of Faecalibacterium and low microbial cell densities1,2, and its prevalence varies from 13% in a general population cohort to as high as 78% in patients with inflammatory bowel disease2. Reported changes in stool consistency3 and inflammation status4 during the progression towards obesity and metabolic comorbidities led us to propose that these developments might similarly correlate with an increased prevalence of the potentially dysbiotic Bact2 enterotype. Here, by exploring obesity-associated microbiota alterations in the quantitative faecal metagenomes of the cross-sectional MetaCardis Body Mass Index Spectrum cohort (n = 888), we identify statin therapy as a key covariate of microbiome diversification. By focusing on a subcohort of participants that are not medicated with statins, we find that the prevalence of Bact2 correlates with body mass index, increasing from 3.90% in lean or overweight participants to 17.73% in obese participants. Systemic inflammation levels in Bact2-enterotyped individuals are higher than predicted on the basis of their obesity status, indicative of Bact2 as a dysbiotic microbiome constellation. We also observe that obesity-associated microbiota dysbiosis is negatively associated with statin treatment, resulting in a lower Bact2 prevalence of 5.88% in statin-medicated obese participants. This finding is validated in both the accompanying MetaCardis cardiovascular disease dataset (n = 282) and the independent Flemish Gut Flora Project population cohort (n = 2,345). The potential benefits of statins in this context will require further evaluation in a prospective clinical trial to ascertain whether the effect is reproducible in a randomized population and before considering their application as microbiota-modulating therapeutics.


Subject(s)
Dysbiosis/epidemiology , Dysbiosis/prevention & control , Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/pharmacology , Bacteroides/isolation & purification , Cohort Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Faecalibacterium/isolation & purification , Feces/microbiology , Female , Humans , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/administration & dosage , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/microbiology , Male , Obesity/microbiology , Prevalence
14.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(13): e2205448120, 2023 03 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36940322

ABSTRACT

Little is known about brain aging or dementia in nonindustrialized environments that are similar to how humans lived throughout evolutionary history. This paper examines brain volume (BV) in middle and old age among two indigenous South American populations, the Tsimane and Moseten, whose lifestyles and environments diverge from those in high-income nations. With a sample of 1,165 individuals aged 40 to 94, we analyze population differences in cross-sectional rates of decline in BV with age. We also assess the relationships of BV with energy biomarkers and arterial disease and compare them against findings in industrialized contexts. The analyses test three hypotheses derived from an evolutionary model of brain health, which we call the embarrassment of riches (EOR). The model hypothesizes that food energy was positively associated with late life BV in the physically active, food-limited past, but excess body mass and adiposity are now associated with reduced BV in industrialized societies in middle and older ages. We find that the relationship of BV with both non-HDL cholesterol and body mass index is curvilinear, positive from the lowest values to 1.4 to 1.6 SDs above the mean, and negative from that value to the highest values. The more acculturated Moseten exhibit a steeper decrease in BV with age than Tsimane, but still shallower than US and European populations. Lastly, aortic arteriosclerosis is associated with lower BV. Complemented by findings from the United States and Europe, our results are consistent with the EOR model, with implications for interventions to improve brain health.


Subject(s)
Aging , Cardiovascular System , Humans , United States , Cross-Sectional Studies , Brain , South America
15.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(28): e2221158120, 2023 07 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37399412

ABSTRACT

Does public remembrance of past atrocities lead to decreased support for far-right parties today? Initiatives commemorating past atrocities aim to make visible the victims and crimes committed against them. This runs counter to revisionist actors who attempt to downplay or deny atrocities and victims. Memorials for victims might complicate such attempts and reduce support for revisionist actors. Yet, little empirical evidence exists on whether that happens. In this study, we examine whether exposure to local memorials that commemorate victims of atrocities reduces support for a revisionist far-right party. Our empirical case is the Stolpersteine ("stumbling stones") memorial in Berlin, Germany. It commemorates victims and survivors of Nazi persecution in front of their last freely chosen place of residence. We employ time-series cross-sectional analyses and a discontinuity design using a panel dataset that matches the location and date of placement of new Stolpersteine with the election results from seven elections (2013 to 2021) at the level of polling station areas. We find that, on average, the presence of Stolpersteine is associated with a 0.96%-point decrease in the far-right vote share in the following election. Our study suggests that local memorials that make past atrocities visible have implications for political behavior in the present.


Subject(s)
National Socialism , Violence , Cross-Sectional Studies , Germany , Crime
16.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(9): e2215840120, 2023 02 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36802439

ABSTRACT

Biomarkers developed from DNA methylation (DNAm) data are of growing interest as predictors of health outcomes and mortality in older populations. However, it is unknown how epigenetic aging fits within the context of known socioeconomic and behavioral associations with aging-related health outcomes in a large, population-based, and diverse sample. This study uses data from a representative, panel study of US older adults to examine the relationship between DNAm-based age acceleration measures in the prediction of cross-sectional and longitudinal health outcomes and mortality. We examine whether recent improvements to these scores, using principal component (PC)-based measures designed to remove some of the technical noise and unreliability in measurement, improve the predictive capability of these measures. We also examine how well DNAm-based measures perform against well-known predictors of health outcomes such as demographics, SES, and health behaviors. In our sample, age acceleration calculated using "second and third generation clocks," PhenoAge, GrimAge, and DunedinPACE, is consistently a significant predictor of health outcomes including cross-sectional cognitive dysfunction, functional limitations and chronic conditions assessed 2 y after DNAm measurement, and 4-y mortality. PC-based epigenetic age acceleration measures do not significantly change the relationship of DNAm-based age acceleration measures to health outcomes or mortality compared to earlier versions of these measures. While the usefulness of DNAm-based age acceleration as a predictor of later life health outcomes is quite clear, other factors such as demographics, SES, mental health, and health behaviors remain equally, if not more robust, predictors of later life outcomes.


Subject(s)
Aging , Epigenesis, Genetic , Humans , Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Aging/genetics , DNA Methylation , Biomarkers , Acceleration
17.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(37): e2217144120, 2023 09 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37669363

ABSTRACT

Multiple ecological forces act together to shape the composition of microbial communities. Phyloecology approaches-which combine phylogenetic relationships between species with community ecology-have the potential to disentangle such forces but are often hard to connect with quantitative predictions from theoretical models. On the other hand, macroecology, which focuses on statistical patterns of abundance and diversity, provides natural connections with theoretical models but often neglects interspecific correlations and interactions. Here, we propose a unified framework combining both such approaches to analyze microbial communities. In particular, by using both cross-sectional and longitudinal metagenomic data for species abundances, we reveal the existence of an empirical macroecological law establishing that correlations in species-abundance fluctuations across communities decay from positive to null values as a function of phylogenetic dissimilarity in a consistent manner across ecologically distinct microbiomes. We formulate three variants of a mechanistic model-each relying on alternative ecological forces-that lead to radically different predictions. From these analyses, we conclude that the empirically observed macroecological pattern can be quantitatively explained as a result of shared population-independent fluctuating resources, i.e., environmental filtering and not as a consequence of, e.g., species competition. Finally, we show that the macroecological law is also valid for temporal data of a single community and that the properties of delayed temporal correlations can be reproduced as well by the model with environmental filtering.


Subject(s)
Metagenome , Microbiota , Phylogeny , Cross-Sectional Studies , Metagenomics
18.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(20): e2216798120, 2023 05 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37155868

ABSTRACT

Brain scans acquired across large, age-diverse cohorts have facilitated recent progress in establishing normative brain aging charts. Here, we ask the critical question of whether cross-sectional estimates of age-related brain trajectories resemble those directly measured from longitudinal data. We show that age-related brain changes inferred from cross-sectionally mapped brain charts can substantially underestimate actual changes measured longitudinally. We further find that brain aging trajectories vary markedly between individuals and are difficult to predict with population-level age trends estimated cross-sectionally. Prediction errors relate modestly to neuroimaging confounds and lifestyle factors. Our findings provide explicit evidence for the importance of longitudinal measurements in ascertaining brain development and aging trajectories.


Subject(s)
Aging , Brain , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Longitudinal Studies , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Neuroimaging , Magnetic Resonance Imaging
19.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(33): e2303491120, 2023 08 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37549280

ABSTRACT

The formation of myelin, the fatty sheath that insulates nerve fibers, is critical for healthy brain function. A fundamental open question is what impact being born has on myelin growth. To address this, we evaluated a large (n = 300) cross-sectional sample of newborns from the Developing Human Connectome Project (dHCP). First, we developed software for the automated identification of 20 white matter bundles in individual newborns that is well suited for large samples. Next, we fit linear models that quantify how T1w/T2w (a myelin-sensitive imaging contrast) changes over time at each point along the bundles. We found faster growth of T1w/T2w along the lengths of all bundles before birth than right after birth. Further, in a separate longitudinal sample of preterm infants (N = 34), we found lower T1w/T2w than in full-term peers measured at the same age. By applying the linear models fit on the cross-section sample to the longitudinal sample of preterm infants, we find that their delay in T1w/T2w growth is well explained by the amount of time they spent developing in utero and ex utero. These results suggest that white matter myelinates faster in utero than ex utero. The reduced rate of myelin growth after birth, in turn, explains lower myelin content in individuals born preterm and could account for long-term cognitive, neurological, and developmental consequences of preterm birth. We hypothesize that closely matching the environment of infants born preterm to what they would have experienced in the womb may reduce delays in myelin growth and hence improve developmental outcomes.


Subject(s)
Premature Birth , White Matter , Infant , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , White Matter/diagnostic imaging , Cross-Sectional Studies , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Infant, Premature , Myelin Sheath , Brain/diagnostic imaging
20.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(6): e2215067120, 2023 02 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36719912

ABSTRACT

The spillover of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from humans to white-tailed deer (WTD) and its ability to transmit from deer to deer raised concerns about the role of WTD in the epidemiology and ecology of the virus. Here, we present a comprehensive cross-sectional study assessing the prevalence, genetic diversity, and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in WTD in the State of New York (NY). A total of 5,462 retropharyngeal lymph node samples collected from free-ranging hunter-harvested WTD during the hunting seasons of 2020 (Season 1, September to December 2020, n = 2,700) and 2021 (Season 2, September to December 2021, n = 2,762) were tested by SARS-CoV-2 real-time RT-PCR (rRT-PCR). SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in 17 samples (0.6%) from Season 1 and in 583 samples (21.1%) from Season 2. Hotspots of infection were identified in multiple confined geographic areas of NY. Sequence analysis of SARS-CoV-2 genomes from 164 samples demonstrated the presence of multiple SARS-CoV-2 lineages and the cocirculation of three major variants of concern (VOCs) (Alpha, Gamma, and Delta) in WTD. Our analysis suggests the occurrence of multiple spillover events (human to deer) of the Alpha and Delta lineages with subsequent deer-to-deer transmission and adaptation of the viruses. Detection of Alpha and Gamma variants in WTD long after their broad circulation in humans in NY suggests that WTD may serve as a wildlife reservoir for VOCs no longer circulating in humans. Thus, implementation of continuous surveillance programs to monitor SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in WTD is warranted, and measures to minimize virus transmission between humans and animals are urgently needed.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Deer , Animals , Humans , Animals, Wild , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Cross-Sectional Studies , RNA, Viral/genetics , COVID-19/epidemiology
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