COVID-19-neutralizing antibodies predict disease severity and survival.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) exhibits variable symptom severity ranging from asymptomatic to life-threatening, yet the relationship between severity and the humoral immune response is poorly understood. We examined antibody responses in 113 COVID-19 patients and found that severe cases resulting in intubation or death exhibited increased inflammatory markers, lymphopenia, pro-inflammatory cytokines, and high anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) antibody levels. Although anti-RBD immunoglobulin G (IgG) levels generally correlated with neutralization titer, quantitation of neutralization potency revealed that high potency was a predictor of survival. In addition to neutralization of wild-type SARS-CoV-2, patient sera were also able to neutralize the recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 mutant D614G, suggesting cross-protection from reinfection by either strain. However, SARS-CoV-2 sera generally lacked cross-neutralization to a highly homologous pre-emergent bat coronavirus, WIV1-CoV, which has not yet crossed the species barrier. These results highlight the importance of neutralizing humoral immunity on disease progression and the need to develop broadly protective interventions to prevent future coronavirus pandemics.

Mapping Neutralizing and Immunodominant Sites on the SARS-CoV-2 Spike Receptor-Binding Domain by Structure-Guided High-Resolution Serology.

Analysis of the specificity and kinetics of neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) elicited by SARS-CoV-2 infection is crucial for understanding immune protection and identifying targets for vaccine design. In a cohort of 647 SARS-CoV-2-infected subjects, we found that both the magnitude of Ab responses to SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) and nucleoprotein and nAb titers correlate with clinical scores. The receptor-binding domain (RBD) is immunodominant and the target of 90% of the neutralizing activity present in SARS-CoV-2 immune sera. Whereas overall RBD-specific serum IgG titers waned with a half-life of 49 days, nAb titers and avidity increased over time for some individuals, consistent with affinity maturation. We structurally defined an RBD antigenic map and serologically quantified serum Abs specific for distinct RBD epitopes leading to the identification of two major receptor-binding motif antigenic sites. Our results explain the immunodominance of the receptor-binding motif and will guide the design of COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutics.

Robust IgM responses following intravenous vaccination with Bacille Calmette-Guérin associate with prevention of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in macaques.

Development of an effective tuberculosis (TB) vaccine has suffered from an incomplete understanding of the correlates of protection against Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). Intravenous (i.v.) vaccination with Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) provides nearly complete protection against TB in rhesus macaques, but the antibody response it elicits remains incompletely defined. Here we show that i.v. BCG drives superior antibody responses in the plasma and the lungs of rhesus macaques compared to traditional intradermal BCG administration. While i.v. BCG broadly expands antibody titers and functions, IgM titers in the plasma and lungs of immunized macaques are among the strongest markers of reduced bacterial burden. IgM was also enriched in macaques that received protective vaccination with an attenuated strain of Mtb. Finally, an Mtb-specific IgM monoclonal antibody reduced Mtb survival in vitro. Collectively, these data highlight the potential importance of IgM responses as a marker and mediator of protection against TB.

Gut microbiota elicits a protective immune response against malaria transmission.

Glycosylation processes are under high natural selection pressure, presumably because these can modulate resistance to infection. Here, we asked whether inactivation of the UDP-galactose:ß-galactoside-α1-3-galactosyltransferase (α1,3GT) gene, which ablated the expression of the Galα1-3Galß1-4GlcNAc-R (α-gal) glycan and allowed for the production of anti-α-gal antibodies (Abs) in humans, confers protection against Plasmodium spp. infection, the causative agent of malaria and a major driving force in human evolution. We demonstrate that both Plasmodium spp. and the human gut pathobiont E. coli O86:B7 express α-gal and that anti-α-gal Abs are associated with protection against malaria transmission in humans as well as in α1,3GT-deficient mice, which produce protective anti-α-gal Abs when colonized by E. coli O86:B7. Anti-α-gal Abs target Plasmodium sporozoites for complement-mediated cytotoxicity in the skin, immediately after inoculation by Anopheles mosquitoes. Vaccination against α-gal confers sterile protection against malaria in mice, suggesting that a similar approach may reduce malaria transmission in humans.

mRNA vaccine-elicited antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 and circulating variants.

Here we report on the antibody and memory B cell responses of a cohort of 20 volunteers who received the Moderna (mRNA-1273) or Pfizer-BioNTech (BNT162b2) vaccine against SARS-CoV-21-4. Eight weeks after the second injection of vaccine, volunteers showed high levels of IgM and IgG anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike protein (S) and receptor-binding-domain (RBD) binding titre. Moreover, the plasma neutralizing activity and relative numbers of RBD-specific memory B cells of vaccinated volunteers were equivalent to those of individuals who had recovered from natural infection5,6. However, activity against SARS-CoV-2 variants that encode E484K-, N501Y- or K417N/E484K/N501-mutant S was reduced by a small-but significant-margin. The monoclonal antibodies elicited by the vaccines potently neutralize SARS-CoV-2, and target a number of different RBD epitopes in common with monoclonal antibodies isolated from infected donors5-8. However, neutralization by 14 of the 17 most-potent monoclonal antibodies that we tested was reduced or abolished by the K417N, E484K or N501Y mutation. Notably, these mutations were selected when we cultured recombinant vesicular stomatitis virus expressing SARS-CoV-2 S in the presence of the monoclonal antibodies elicited by the vaccines. Together, these results suggest that the monoclonal antibodies in clinical use should be tested against newly arising variants, and that mRNA vaccines may need to be updated periodically to avoid a potential loss of clinical efficacy.

Autoantibodies against complement proteins in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome: Prevalence and clinical associations.

Seventy-seven patients with antiphospholipid syndrome were tested for autoantibodies against C1q, C3, FB, FH, and C4bp. Fifty-seven patients had at least one anti-complement antibody. IgM anti-FH positivity was associated with thrombosis when anti-C3 and anti-FB were, negatively or positively, associated with various noncriteria manifestations of antiphospholipid syndrome.

Comparative Evaluation of Commercial Test Kits Cleared for Use in Modified Two-Tiered Testing Algorithms for Serodiagnosis of Lyme Disease.

BACKGROUND: Modified 2-tiered testing (MTTT) for Lyme disease utilizes automatable, high throughput immunoassays (AHTIs) in both tiers without involving western immunoblots, offering performance and practical advantages over standard 2-tiered testing (STTT; first-tier AHTI followed by immunoglobulin M (IgM) and immunoglobulin G (IgG) western immunoblots). For MTTT, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends using AHTI test kits that have been cleared by Food and Drug Administration (FDA) specifically for this intended use. We evaluated performance of FDA-cleared MTTT commercial test kits from 3 manufacturers by comparing with STTT results. METHODS: We performed MTTT (total antibody AHTI with reflex to separate IgM and IgG AHTIs) using test kits from Diasorin, Gold Standard Diagnostics (GSD), and Zeus Scientific on 382 excess serum samples submitted to the clinical laboratory for routine Lyme disease serologic testing in July 2018, measuring agreement between MTTT and STTT using the κ statistic. RESULTS: Overall agreement with STTT was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI], .77-.97) using Diasorin assays (almost perfect agreement), 0.80 (95% CI, .68-.93) using GSD assays (substantial agreement) and 0.79 (95% CI, .68-.90) using Zeus assays (substantial agreement). For detection of IgM reactivity, agreement between MTTT and STTT was 0.70 (.51-.90; substantial), 0.63 (95% CI, .44-.82; substantial) and 0.56 (95% CI, .38-.73; moderate), respectively. For detection of IgG reactivity, MTTT/STTT agreement was 0.73 (95% CI,.58-.88), 0.78 (95% CI, .62-.94), and 0.75 (95% CI, .60-.90), respectively (substantial agreement in all cases). CONCLUSIONS: MTTT results obtained using commercial test kits from 3 different manufacturers had substantial to almost perfect agreement with STTT results overall and moderate to substantial agreement for IgM and IgG detection independently. Commercial MTTT tests can be used broadly for the diagnosis of Lyme disease.

Immunologic Predictors of Vaccine Responsiveness in Patients With Lymphoma and Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia.

Patients with B-cell lymphomas have altered cellular components of vaccine responses due to malignancy and therapy, and the optimal timing of vaccination relative to therapy remains unknown. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 vaccines created an opportunity for new insights in vaccine timing because patients were challenged with a novel antigen across multiple phases of treatment. We studied serologic messenger RNA vaccine response in retrospective and prospective cohorts with lymphoma and chronic lymphocytic leukemia, paired with clinical and research immune parameters. Reduced serologic response was observed more frequently during active treatment, but nonresponse was also common within observation and posttreatment groups. Total immunoglobulin A and immunoglobulin M correlated with successful vaccine response. In individuals treated with anti-CD19-directed chimeric antigen receptor-modified T cells, nonresponse was associated with reduced B and T follicular helper cells. Predictors of vaccine response varied by disease and therapeutic group, and therefore further studies of immune health during and after cancer therapies are needed to individualize vaccine timing.

Natural antibodies targeting LPS in pleural effusions of various etiologies.

Respiratory infection, cancer, and heart failure can cause abnormal accumulation of fluid in the pleural cavity. The immune responses within the cavity are orchestrated by leucocytes that reside in the serosal-associated lymphoid tissue. Natural antibodies (NAbs) are abundant in the serum (S) having a major role in systemic and mucosal immunity; however, their occurrence in pleural fluid (PF) remains an open question. Our aim herein was to detect and measure the levels of NAbs (IgM, IgG, IgA) targeting lipopolysaccharides (LPS) in both the pleural fluid and the serum of 78 patients with pleural effusions (PEs) of various etiologies. The values of anti-LPS NAb activity were extracted through a normalization step regarding the total IgM, IgG, and IgA levels, all determined by in-house ELISA. In addition, the ratios of PF/S values were analyzed further with other critical biochemical parameters from pleural fluids. Anti-LPS NAbs of all Ig classes were detected in most of the samples, while a significant increase of anti-LPS activity was observed in infectious and noninfectious compared with malignant PEs. Multivariate linear regression confirmed a negative correlation of IgM and IgA anti-LPS PF/S ratio with malignancy. Moreover, anti-LPS NAbs PF/S measurements led to increased positive and negative predictive power in ROC curves generated for the discrimination between benign and malignant PEs. Our results highlight the role of anti-LPS NAbs in the pleural cavity and demonstrate the potential translational impact that should be further explored.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Here we describe the detection and quantification of natural antibodies (NAbs) in the human pleural cavity. We show for the first time that IgM, IgG, and IgA anti-LPS natural antibodies are detected and measured in pleural effusions of infectious, noninfectious, and malignant etiologies and provide clinical correlates to demonstrate the translational impact of our findings.

Kinetics of Hepatitis E Virus Infections in Asymptomatic Persons.

To determine the kinetics of hepatitis E virus (HEV) in asymptomatic persons and to evaluate viral load doubling time and half-life, we retrospectively tested samples retained from 32 HEV RNA-positive asymptomatic blood donors in Germany. Close-meshed monitoring of viral load and seroconversion in intervals of ≈4 days provided more information about the kinetics of asymptomatic HEV infections. We determined that a typical median infection began with PCR-detectable viremia at 36 days and a maximum viral load of 2.0 × 104 IU/mL. Viremia doubled in 2.4 days and had a half-life of 1.6 days. HEV IgM started to rise on about day 33 and peaked on day 36; IgG started to rise on about day 32 and peaked on day 53. Although HEV IgG titers remained stable, IgM titers became undetectable in 40% of donors. Knowledge of the dynamics of HEV viremia is useful for assessing the risk for transfusion-transmitted hepatitis E.

Analysis of Suspected Measles Cases with Discrepant Measles-Specific IgM and rRT-PCR Test Results, Japan.

We investigated clinically suspected measles cases that had discrepant real-time reverse transcription PCR (rRT-PCR) and measles-specific IgM test results to determine diagnoses. We performed rRT-PCR and measles-specific IgM testing on samples from 541 suspected measles cases. Of the 24 IgM-positive and rRT-PCR--negative cases, 20 were among children who received a measles-containing vaccine within the previous 6 months; most had low IgG relative avidity indexes (RAIs). The other 4 cases were among adults who had an unknown previous measles history, unknown vaccination status, and high RAIs. We detected viral nucleic acid for viruses other than measles in 15 (62.5%) of the 24 cases with discrepant rRT-PCR and IgM test results. Measles vaccination, measles history, and contact history should be considered in suspected measles cases with discrepant rRT-PCR and IgM test results. If in doubt, measles IgG avidity and PCR testing for other febrile exanthematous viruses can help confirm or refute the diagnosis.

In defense of children's brain: reshuffling the laboratory toolbox for the diagnosis of congenital toxoplasmosis.

For decades, an immunosorbent agglutination assay (ISAGA) has been considered the gold standard method for the detection of Toxoplasma gondii-specific IgM in infants for the diagnosis of congenital toxoplasmosis (CT). The Toxoplasma IgM ISAGA was consistently reported as having superior sensitivity. Unfortunately, the commercial kit for the detection of Toxoplasma IgM ISAGA will no longer be available in 2024 and alternatives will only be available at a handful of reference laboratories as in-house or laboratory-developed tests. In a recent study, S. Arkhis, C. Rouges, N. Dahane, H. Guegan, et al. (J Clin Microbiol 62:e01222-23, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1128/jcm.01222-23), reported that the performance of the PLATELIA Toxo IgM was comparable to that of the ISAGA method for the diagnosis of CT. A second study revealing similar results supports the PLATELIA Toxo IgM as the new gold standard for the detection of T. gondii-specific IgM in infants. Although the laboratory toolbox for CT diagnosis has been reshuffled successfully, it is by universally implementing all available serological and molecular tools at the earliest possible time during gestation that we can best defend children's brain from the potential harm caused by trans-placentally transmitted T. gondii.

Diagnostic accuracy of commercially available serological tests for the detection of measles and rubella viruses: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Measles and rubella serological diagnoses are done by IgM detection. The World Health Organization Global Measles and Rubella Laboratory Network previously endorsed Siemens Enzygnost enzyme-linked immunosorbant assay kits, which have been discontinued. A recommended replacement has not been determined. We aimed to search for suitable replacements by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis of IgM detection methods that are currently available for measles and rubella. A systematic literature search was performed in Medline, Embase, Global Health, Cochrane Central, and Scopus on March 22 and on 27 September 2023. Studies reporting measles and/or rubella IgM detection with terms around diagnostic accuracy were included. Risk of bias was assessed using QUADAS tools. Meta-DiSc and R were used for statistical analysis. Clinical samples totalling 5,579 from 28 index tests were included in the measles meta-analysis. Sensitivity and specificity of the individual measles studies ranged from 0.50 to 1.00 and 0.53 to 1.00, respectively. Pooled sensitivity and specificity of all measles IgM detection methods were 0.94 (CI: 0.90-0.97) and 0.94 (CI: 0.91-0.97), respectively. Clinical samples totalling 4,983 from 15 index tests were included in the rubella meta-analysis. Sensitivity and specificity of the individual rubella studies ranged from 0.78 to 1.00 and 0.52 to 1.00, respectively. Pooled sensitivity and specificity of all rubella IgM detection methods were 0.97 (CI: 0.93-0.98) and 0.96 (CI: 0.93-0.98), respectively. Although more studies would be ideal, our results may provide valuable information when selecting IgM detection methods for measles and/or rubella.

Performance of two modified two-tier algorithms for the serologic diagnosis of Lyme disease.

We compared the performance of a new modified two-tier testing (MTTT) platform, the Diasorin Liaison chemiluminescent immunoassay (CLIA), to the Zeus enzyme-linked immunoassay (ELISA) MTTT and to Zeus ELISA/Viramed immunoblot standard two-tier testing (STTT) algorithm. Of 537 samples included in this study, 91 (16.9%) were positive or equivocal by one or more screening tests. Among these 91 samples, only 57 samples were concordant positive by first-tier screening tests, and only 19 of 57 were concordant by the three second-tier methods. For IgM results, positive percent agreement (PPA) was 68.1% for Diasorin versus 89.4% for Zeus compared to immunoblot. By contrast, the PPA for IgG for both Diasorin and Zeus was 100%. Using a 2-out-of-3 consensus reference standard, the PPAs for IgM were 75.6%, 97.8%, and 95.6% for Diasorin, Zeus, and immunoblot, respectively. The difference between Zeus MTTT and Diasorin MTTT for IgM detection was significant (P = 0.0094). PPA for both Diasorin and Zeus MTTT IgG assays was 100% but only 65.9% for immunoblot STTT (P = 0.0005). In total, second-tier positive IgM and/or IgG results were reported for 57 samples by Diasorin MTTT, 63 by Zeus MTTT, and 54 by Viramed STTT. While Diasorin CLIA MTTT had a much more rapid, automated, and efficient workflow, Diasorin MTTT was less sensitive for the detection of IgM than Zeus MTTT and STTT including in 5 early Lyme cases that were IgM negative but IgG positive. IMPORTANCE: The laboratory diagnosis of Lyme disease relies upon the detection of antibodies to Borrelia species. Standard two tier testing (STTT) methods rely upon immunoblots which have clinical and technical limitations. Modified two-tier testing (MTTT) methods have recently become available and are being widely adopted. There are limited independent data available assessing the performance of MTTT and STTT methods.

Human cytomegalovirus seropositivity and its influence on oral rotavirus vaccine immunogenicity: a specific concern for HIV-exposed-uninfected infants.

Oral rotavirus vaccines demonstrate diminished immunogenicity in low-income settings where human cytomegalovirus infection is acquired early in childhood and modulates immunity. We hypothesized that human cytomegalovirus infection around the time of vaccination may influence immunogenicity. We measured plasma human cytomegalovirus-specific immunoglobulin M antibodies in rotavirus vaccinated infants from 6 weeks to 12 months old and compared rotavirus immunoglobulin A antibody titers between human cytomegalovirus seropositive and seronegative infants. There was no evidence of an association between human cytomegalovirus serostatus at 9 months and rotavirus-specific antibody titers at 12 months (geometric mean ratio 1.01, 95% CI: 0.70, 1.45; P = 0.976) or fold-increase in RV-IgA titer between 9 and 12 months (risk ratio 0.999, 95%CI: 0.66, 1.52; P = 0.995) overall. However, HIV-exposed-uninfected infants who were seropositive for human cytomegalovirus at 9 months old had a 63% reduction in rotavirus antibody geometric mean titers at 12 months compared to HIV-exposed-uninfected infants who were seronegative for human cytomegalovirus (geometric mean ratio 0.37, 95% CI: 0.17, 0.77; P = 0.008). While the broader implications of human cytomegalovirus infections on oral rotavirus vaccine response might be limited in the general infant population, the potential impact in the HIV-exposed-uninfected infants cannot be overlooked. This study highlights the complexity of immunological responses and the need for targeted interventions to ensure oral rotavirus vaccine efficacy, especially in vulnerable subpopulations.

Assessment of the 2023 ACR/EULAR antiphospholipid syndrome classification criteria in a Chinese cohort: Impact on clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effectiveness of the 2023 ACR/EULAR criteria for antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) in a Chinese cohort, and compare them with the Sapporo and revised Sapporo criteria. METHODS: A cohort comprising 436 patients diagnosed with APS and 514 control subjects was enrolled, including 83 with seronegative APS and 86 classified as antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) carriers. We assessed IgG and IgM anticardiolipin antibodies (aCL) and anti-ß2-glycoprotein I (aß2GPI) antibodies using ELISA, along with a systematic collection of lupus anticoagulant data. Subsequently, we compared the sensitivity and specificity across the three classification criteria. RESULTS: The 2023 ACR/EULAR criteria exhibited improved specificity at 98 %, surpassing the revised Sapporo (90 %) and original Sapporo (91 %) criteria. However, this came with decreased sensitivity at 82 %, in contrast to higher sensitivities in the revised Sapporo (98 %) and Sapporo (91 %) criteria. Examining individual components sheds light on the scoring system's rationale within the new criteria. The inclusion of microvascular thrombosis, cardiac valve disease, and thrombocytopenia improved the identification of nine patients previously classified as "probable APS". Insufficient scoring in 78 previously diagnosed APS individuals was linked to traditional risk factor evaluations for thrombotic events, the emphasis on determining whether obstetric events are linked to severe preeclampsia (PEC) or placental insufficiency (PI), and the lower scores assigned to IgM aCL and/or aß2GPI antibody. Seronegative APS remained a challenge, as non-criteria aPL and other methods were not included. CONCLUSIONS: The new criteria presented notable advancements in specificity. This study provides detailed insights into the strengths and possible challenges of the 2023 ACR/EULAR criteria, enhancing our understanding of their impact on clinical practice.

Dengue virus transmission risk in blood donation: Evidence from Thailand.

Individuals infected with dengue virus (DENV) often show no symptoms, which raises the risk of DENV transfusion transmission (TT-DENV) in areas where the virus is prevalent. This study aimed to determine the evidence of DENV infection in blood donors from different geographic regions of Thailand. A cross-sectional study was conducted on blood donor samples collected from the Thai Red Cross National Blood Center and four regional blood centers between March and September 2020. Screening for DENV nonstructural protein 1 (NS1), anti-DENV immunoglobulin G (IgG), and IgM antibodies was performed on residual blood from 1053 donors using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits. Positive NS1 and IgM samples indicating acute infection were verified using four different techniques, including quantitative real-time (q) RT-PCR, nested PCR, virus isolation in C6/36 cells, and mosquito amplification. DENV IgG seropositivity was identified in 89% (938/1053) of blood donors. Additionally, 0.4% (4/1053) and 2.1% (22/1053) of Thai blood donors tested positive for NS1 and IgM, respectively. The presence of asymptomatic dengue virus infection in healthy blood donors suggests a potential risk of transmission through blood transfusion, posing a concern for blood safety.

Malaria and other infections induce polyreactive antibodies that impact SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity estimations in endemic settings.

Anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seroprevalence is used to estimate the proportion of individuals within a population previously infected, to track viral transmission, and to monitor naturally and vaccine-induced immune protection. However, in sub-Saharan African settings, antibodies induced by higher exposure to pathogens may increase unspecific seroreactivity to SARS-CoV-2 antigens, resulting in false positive responses. To investigate the level and type of unspecific seroreactivitiy to SARS-CoV-2 in Africa, we measured immunoglobulin G (IgG), IgA, and IgM to a broad panel of antigens from different pathogens by Luminex in 602 plasma samples from African and European subjects differing in coronavirus disease 2019, malaria, and other exposures. Seroreactivity to SARS-CoV-2 antigens was higher in prepandemic African than in European samples and positively correlated with antibodies against human coronaviruses, helminths, protozoa, and especially Plasmodium falciparum. African subjects presented higher levels of autoantibodies, a surrogate of polyreactivity, which correlated with P. falciparum and SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Finally, we found an improved sensitivity in the IgG assay in African samples when using urea as a chaotropic agent. In conclusion, our data suggest that polyreactive antibodies induced mostly by malaria are important mediators of the unspecific anti-SARS-CoV-2 responses, and that the use of dissociating agents in immunoassays could be useful for more accurate estimates of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in African settings.

Major low-energy trauma results in non-specific immunoglobulin generation without evidence for specific autoantibody production: A prospective cohort study.

Cellular debris resulting from large trauma might overwhelm the scavenger mechanisms and lead to autoimmune reactions. We analysed whether a major well-defined trauma in humans induces laboratory signs of transient autoimmunity in the months after the insult. We included 50 patients with pertrochanteric femur fracture undergoing intramedullary nail osteosynthesis in a prospective cohort study and followed them at 3-4 days, 6 weeks, 12 weeks and 12 months postoperatively. By standard techniques, we assessed levels of total immunoglobulins, anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA), anti-cardiolipin antibodies, anti-dsDNA antibodies and anti-C1q antibodies, as well as antibodies against cytomegalovirus (CMV) as a control. Blood leukocyte differential and lymphocyte subpopulations were determined at baseline and in the first two postoperative samples. The mean age of the patients reached 80.1 years, and 23 (46%) completed all visits. Serum concentrations of total IgG, IgM and IgA increased at all follow-up time points. The ANA fluorescence light intensity units increased at 12 weeks and 12 months postoperatively (p < 0.0001), but the proportion of ANA-positive patients did not change (35%). The values of anti-C1q mildly increased at all follow-up visits, but not the ratio to total IgG. Anti-dsDNA remained negative in all patients, and anti-cardiolipin IgG/IgM antibodies did not change. Anti-CMV IgG antibodies increased significantly at all follow-up visits, without change in the ratio to total IgG. Flow cytometry showed an increased proportion of B-cells 3-4 days postoperatively. In conclusion, major musculoskeletal trauma in elderly patients induces a generalized non-specific increase in immunoglobulin production without laboratory signs for enhanced systemic autoimmunity.

Models for predicting the risk of illness in leprosy contacts in Brazil: Leprosy prediction models in Brazilian contacts.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop and validate predictive models that assess the risk of leprosy development among contacts, contributing to an enhanced understanding of disease occurrence in this population. METHODS: A cohort of 600 contacts of people with leprosy treated at the National Reference Center for Leprosy and Health Dermatology at the Federal University of Uberlândia (CREDESH/HC-UFU) was followed up between 2002 and 2022. The database was divided into two parts: two-third to construct the disease risk score and one-third to validate this score. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to construct the disease score. RESULTS: Of the four models constructed, model 3, which included the variables anti-phenolic glycolipid I immunoglobulin M positive, absence of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccine scar and age ≥60 years, was considered the best for identifying a higher risk of illness, with a specificity of 89.2%, a positive predictive value of 60% and an accuracy of 78%. CONCLUSIONS: Risk prediction models can contribute to the management of leprosy contacts and the systematisation of contact surveillance protocols.