ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The new classification criteria for the hereditary recurrent fever (HRF) syndrome [cryopyrin-associated periodic syndrome (CAPS), TNF-α receptor-associated periodic syndrome (TRAPS), FMF and mevalonate kinase deficiency] have been published recently. These criteria define two core sets of criteria for each HRF: mixed criteria, including genetic and clinical variables, and clinical criteria, relying on clinical variables only. Our aim was to validate the criteria for HRF in an independent cohort, the JIR Cohort database, an international repository of systemic inflammatory diseases. METHODS: We enrolled patients with HRF, periodic fever, adenitis, pharyngitis and aphthous stomatitis syndrome (PFAPA) and syndrome of undefined recurrent fever (SURF). A score ranging from zero to two was attributed to their respective genotypes: zero (no mutation), one (non-confirmatory genotype) or two (confirmatory genotype). The criteria were applied to all patients based on genotype scoring. The treating physician's diagnosis served as the gold standard for the determination of specificity. RESULTS: We included 455 patients. The classification criteria showed excellent specificity for CAPS and TRAPS (98% specificity each), fair specificity for FMF (88%), but poor specificity for mevalonate kinase deficiency (58%). Sub-analysis showed excellent accuracy of the mixed criteria for all four HRFs. Misclassification was mainly attributable to clinical criteria sets, with false-positive patients in all four HRF clinical criteria sets. CONCLUSION: This study represents the final validation step of the HRF classification criteria as recommended by the ACR. Genetic data appear to be necessary to classify patients with HRF correctly.
Subject(s)
Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/classification , Cohort Studies , Cryopyrin-Associated Periodic Syndromes/classification , Cryopyrin-Associated Periodic Syndromes/genetics , Databases, Factual , Familial Mediterranean Fever/classification , Familial Mediterranean Fever/genetics , Genotype , Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/genetics , Humans , Lymphadenitis/genetics , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/classification , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/genetics , Mutation , Pharyngitis/genetics , Sensitivity and Specificity , Stomatitis, Aphthous/genetics , SyndromeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Different diagnostic and classification criteria are available for hereditary recurrent fevers (HRF)-familial Mediterranean fever (FMF), tumour necrosis factor receptor-associated periodic fever syndrome (TRAPS), mevalonate kinase deficiency (MKD) and cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes (CAPS)-and for the non-hereditary, periodic fever, aphthosis, pharyngitis and adenitis (PFAPA). We aimed to develop and validate new evidence-based classification criteria for HRF/PFAPA. METHODS: Step 1: selection of clinical, laboratory and genetic candidate variables; step 2: classification of 360 random patients from the Eurofever Registry by a panel of 25 clinicians and 8 geneticists blinded to patients' diagnosis (consensus ≥80%); step 3: statistical analysis for the selection of the best candidate classification criteria; step 4: nominal group technique consensus conference with 33 panellists for the discussion and selection of the final classification criteria; step 5: cross-sectional validation of the novel criteria. RESULTS: The panellists achieved consensus to classify 281 of 360 (78%) patients (32 CAPS, 36 FMF, 56 MKD, 37 PFAPA, 39 TRAPS, 81 undefined recurrent fever). Consensus was reached for two sets of criteria for each HRF, one including genetic and clinical variables, the other with clinical variables only, plus new criteria for PFAPA. The four HRF criteria demonstrated sensitivity of 0.94-1 and specificity of 0.95-1; for PFAPA, criteria sensitivity and specificity were 0.97 and 0.93, respectively. Validation of these criteria in an independent data set of 1018 patients shows a high accuracy (from 0.81 to 0.98). CONCLUSION: Eurofever proposes a novel set of validated classification criteria for HRF and PFAPA with high sensitivity and specificity.
Subject(s)
Genetic Predisposition to Disease/epidemiology , Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/classification , Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/genetics , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/classification , Registries , Consensus , Cross-Sectional Studies , Europe , Familial Mediterranean Fever/classification , Familial Mediterranean Fever/epidemiology , Familial Mediterranean Fever/genetics , Female , Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/diagnosis , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/epidemiology , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/genetics , Prevalence , Risk Assessment , Sensitivity and SpecificityABSTRACT
The objective of this work was to develop and validate a set of clinical criteria for the classification of patients affected by periodic fevers. Patients with inherited periodic fevers (familial Mediterranean fever (FMF); mevalonate kinase deficiency (MKD); tumour necrosis factor receptor-associated periodic fever syndrome (TRAPS); cryopyrin-associated periodic syndromes (CAPS)) enrolled in the Eurofever Registry up until March 2013 were evaluated. Patients with periodic fever, aphthosis, pharyngitis and adenitis (PFAPA) syndrome were used as negative controls. For each genetic disease, patients were considered to be 'gold standard' on the basis of the presence of a confirmatory genetic analysis. Clinical criteria were formulated on the basis of univariate and multivariate analysis in an initial group of patients (training set) and validated in an independent set of patients (validation set). A total of 1215 consecutive patients with periodic fevers were identified, and 518 gold standard patients (291 FMF, 74 MKD, 86 TRAPS, 67 CAPS) and 199 patients with PFAPA as disease controls were evaluated. The univariate and multivariate analyses identified a number of clinical variables that correlated independently with each disease, and four provisional classification scores were created. Cut-off values of the classification scores were chosen using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis as those giving the highest sensitivity and specificity. The classification scores were then tested in an independent set of patients (validation set) with an area under the curve of 0.98 for FMF, 0.95 for TRAPS, 0.96 for MKD, and 0.99 for CAPS. In conclusion, evidence-based provisional clinical criteria with high sensitivity and specificity for the clinical classification of patients with inherited periodic fevers have been developed.
Subject(s)
Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/diagnosis , Registries , Adolescent , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Child , Child, Preschool , Cryopyrin-Associated Periodic Syndromes/classification , Cryopyrin-Associated Periodic Syndromes/diagnosis , Evidence-Based Medicine , Familial Mediterranean Fever/classification , Familial Mediterranean Fever/diagnosis , Female , Fever , Hereditary Autoinflammatory Diseases/classification , Humans , Infant , Male , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/classification , Mevalonate Kinase Deficiency/diagnosis , Middle Aged , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , Young AdultABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: Provisional evidence-based classification criteria for hereditary periodic fever (HPF) have been recently developed. However, no consensus on how to combine clinical criteria, laboratory tests, and results of molecular analysis has been reached. The objective of this study is to understand which variables physicians consider important for the classification of patients with HPF. METHODS: Two Delphi surveys were sent to health professionals in the field of autoinflammation. In the first open survey, 124 researchers could list all the variables they consider useful for the diagnosis of each monogenic periodic fever. The variables could be of any type and each researcher could complete the survey for 1 or more diseases. In the second survey, 162 researchers were asked to select, from a list of items coming from the first survey, the 10 top variables and to rank them by assigning a score from 10 to 1. RESULTS: The response rates to the Delphi surveys were 85% for the first session and 87% for the second. The variables selected for each disease (corresponding to the third quartile, considering the total score obtained by the variables after the second Delphi survey) were 21 for mevalonate kinase deficiency, 22 for cryopyrinopathies, 18 for familial Mediterranean fever, and 20 for tumor necrosis factor receptor-associated periodic fever syndrome. A positive genetic test reached the top rank in all the HPF. CONCLUSION: Our process led to the identification of those features considered the most important as candidate variables to be included in a new set of evidence-based classification criteria for HPF.