Improvement in dietary diversity and feeding habits of malnourished under-five children attending supplementary feeding programmmes: a community-based cross-sectional study in Zambia.

A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 390 under-five malnourished children enrolled in the Rainbow Project supplementary feeding programmmes-SFPs. Dietary diversity, feeding habits and nutritional status at admission (T1) and at discharge (T2) were compared. At T1 the diet was monotonous and unbalanced, with a progressive decline in dietary diversity and anthropometric values noted with children's age growth (p < 0.001). Significant improvements were registered at T2: DDS 5.1 ± 1.1 SD vs. 8.3 ± 1.0 SD; meal frequency 3.0 ± 0.6 SD vs. 4.9 ± 0.2 SD; animal-protein consumed 62.8% vs. 90.5%; drinking water treated 41.0% vs. 97.2%. At T1, the risk of having ZMUAC < 2.5SD increased when teenage motherhood (AOR: 5.3; CI: 1.8-15.2; p = 0.002), followed by children's age >2 years (AOR: 1.9; CI: 1.1-3.5; p = 0.020). Children's age was associated with an increased risk of WAZ < 2.5 SD (AOR: 4.9; CI: 2.4-10.4; p < 0.001). When considering inadequate DDS, the variable associated was breastfeeding cessation (AOR: 12.0; CI: 4.6-31.4; p < 0.001). Rainbow's SFPs have proved effective in treating under-five malnourished children, irrespective of the severity of malnutrition.

Reduction of Waiting Times and Patients Leaving Without Being Seen in the Tertiary Pediatric Emergency Department: A Comparative Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: Analyze the effectiveness of an intervention to reduce waiting time and patients leaving without being seen in the pediatric emergency department. METHODS: A comparative observational study was carried out from November 2018 to April 2019.Patients aged 3 months to 17 years were included. The new organizational model consisted of a dedicated outpatients' clinic for nonurgent codes and a fast track for traumatic and surgical emergency cases. RESULTS: The comparative group included 14,822, and the intervention group included 15,585 patients. The new organizational model significantly reduced the numbers of patients who left the ED without being seen from 12.9% to 5.9%. CONCLUSIONS: This new organizational model in the pediatric emergency department could be successfully used to reduce overcrowding, waiting time, and the numbers of patients leaving without being seen. However, more needs to be done by the pediatric services in the community to reduce nonurgent accesses to the emergency department.

Pediatric nurses in pediatricians' offices: a survey for primary care pediatricians.

BACKGROUND: The role played by nurses in caring for children in pediatricians' officies in the community is crucial to ensure integrated care. In Italy, pediatricians are responsible for the health of children aged 0-14 years living in the community. This study aimed to describe Italian primary care pediatricians' opinions about the usefulness of several nursing activities that pediatric nurses could perform in pediatricians' offices. METHODS: An online survey with pediatricians working in primary care in Italy was conducted between April-December 2018. A 40-item questionnaire was used to assess four types of nursing activities: clinical care, healthcare education, disease prevention, and organizational activities. The answers ranged from 1 (not useful at all) to 6 (very useful). Moreover, three open-ended questions completed the questionnaire. RESULTS: Overall, 707 pediatricians completed the online survey. Participants were mainly female (63%), with a mean age of 57.74 (SD = 6.42). The presence of a pediatric nurse within the pediatrician's office was considered very useful, especially for healthcare education (Mean 4.90; SD 1.12) and disease prevention (Mean 4.82; SD 1.11). Multivariate analysis confirmed that pediatricians 'with less working experience', 'having their office in a small town', and 'collaborating with a secretary and other workers in the office' rated the nurse's activities significantly more useful. CONCLUSIONS: A pediatric nurse in the pediatrician's office can significantly contribute to many activities for children and their families in the community. These activities include clinical care, healthcare education, disease prevention, and the organizational processes of the office. Synergic professional activity between pediatricians and pediatric nurses could ensure higher health care standards in the primary care setting.

Access to health care, nutrition and dietary habits among school-age children living in socio-economic inequality contexts: results from the "ForGood: Sport is Well-Being" programme.

Social frailty is a warring phenomenon in Europe, negatively impacting children's health and nutrition. We present the results of a social programme facilitating access to physical activities for vulnerable children in Italy. 311 school-age children enrolled in the programme between 2015 and 2017 were assessed for health and lifestyle, anthropometric and nutritional status. Data were compared by origin (Italians vs. immigrants) and then immigrants were split into sub-groups: first- and second-generation. Poor socio-economic status exposed children to a lack of access to health services, and drove imbalanced eating behaviour. 20.8% of children were not registered with the National Health Services (immigrants p < .0001); 22% were not fully vaccinated (no differences between groups). A double burden of malnutrition coexisted: overweight was higher for Italians, underweight and poor linear growth for immigrants. Nearly 40% of children had a poor Mediterranean Diet adequacy (KIDMED index). Our findings show that when social programmes, besides their main scope of inclusion and integration, holistically approach their beneficiaries, they can play an important role in monitoring lifestyle conditions and facilitating access to primary health care.

Early assessment of weight velocity can support frontline health workers in predicting malnutrition in HIV-exposed infants: preliminary results from a DREAM cohort in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Children born to HIV-positive mothers are particularly susceptible to malnutrition. Currently, monitoring programs rely on punctual anthropometric measurements to assess child growth. Growth velocities could be an additional tool in identifying critical time windows for prevention and implementation of early intervention for malnutrition. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from 817 HIV exposed but uninfected children extracted from DREAM program database. By using the WHO reference for growth standards, patterns of weight velocity for different intervals of assessment from one to 18 months of age were explored. Odds ratios and multinomial logistic regressions between selected weight velocity Z-scores thresholds and successive malnutrition indices (at 6, 12, 18 months of age) were calculated. RESULTS: Weight velocity was above the standard mean in the first 3 months, then progressively declined over time. In children with normal nutritional status, significant risks of becoming malnourished (mild malnutrition - underweight [OR 10.8; 95% CI: 4.5-26], chronic malnutrition - stunting [OR 8.3; 95% CI: 2-34.9] and acute malnutrition - wasting [OR 11.7; 95% CI: 1.5-90.5]) started when weight velocity Z-scores <0, at all interval ages. Multinomial regression showed that in the first 6 months, the weight velocity decrements strongly impacted on underweight (OR 17.9; 95% CI: 4-80.7), while the risk of Stunting occurred later at 18 months (OR 8.7; 95% CI: 4.3-17.6), with highest impact at the lowest thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: The assessment of weight velocity Z-scores, coupled with the already validated malnutrition indices, can support frontline health workers in early prediction of child malnutrition and performing nutritional counselling in the context of HIV/AIDS and food insecurity.

CMV infection in a cohort of HIV-exposed infants born to mothers receiving antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy and breastfeeding.

Antiretroviral therapy has been shown to reduce rates of congenital CMV infection. Little information is available on the possible impact of antiretroviral therapy on postnatal breastfeeding-associated CMV infection acquisition. A cohort of 89 HIV-infected mothers and their children was studied. Women received antiretroviral therapy from week 25 of gestation until 6 months postpartum or indefinitely if meeting the criteria for treatment. All women were evaluated for CMV IgG presence and CMV DNA in breast milk. Children were tested for CMV infection by either the presence of IgM or the presence of CMV DNA in plasma at 1, 6 and 12 months and by the presence of IgG at 24 months. All mothers had high titers of CMV DNA in breast milk (5.7 log at Month 1 and 5.1 log at Month 6). Cumulative CMV infection rates were 60.3 % at Month 6, 69 % at Month 12 and 96.4 % at Month 24. There was a significant negative correlation between the duration of antiretroviral treatment during pregnancy and levels of CMV DNA in breast milk at Month 1 (P = 0.033). There was a trend for a correlation between high titers of CMV DNA in breast milk at 6 months and CMV infection at 6 months (P = 0.069). In this cohort, more than 95 % of the children had acquired CMV infection by 2 years of age. Besides breastfeeding, which played a major role, also horizontal transmission between 1 and 2 years was certainly relevant in determining CMV infection acquisition.

Levels of bone markers in a population of infants exposed in utero and during breastfeeding to tenofovir within an Option B+ programme in Malawi.

OBJECTIVES: No data are available on bone metabolism in infants exposed to tenofovir during breastfeeding. We investigated bone metabolism markers in the first year of life in infants from mothers who received tenofovir, lamivudine and efavirenz during pregnancy and 12 months of breastfeeding in a national Option B+ programme in Malawi. METHODS: Serum samples collected at 6 and 12 months in tenofovir-exposed infants and in a small sample of tenofovir-unexposed infants from the same clinical centre were analysed in batches for levels of bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP; marker of bone formation) and of C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX; marker of bone resorption). RESULTS: Overall, 136 tenofovir-exposed infants were evaluated. No infant had at either timepoint CTX values above the upper normal limit, while most of them had at 6 and 12 months levels of BAP above the upper normal limit for the age range. Levels of bone markers showed no differences by gender and no association with growth parameters. Tenofovir-unexposed and -exposed children had similar mean levels of bone markers at 6 months (CTX: 0.62 versus 0.55 ng/mL, P = 0.122; BAP: 384 versus 362 U/L, P = 0.631). CONCLUSIONS: No significant association between treatment with tenofovir and CTX or BAP levels was found. The high levels of BAP, coupled to the normal levels observed for CTX, might reflect primarily skeletal growth. Potential negative effects of prolonged exposure to tenofovir through breastfeeding cannot however be excluded and longitudinal studies that evaluate bone mineralization status in children enrolled in Option B+ programmes are warranted.

Schistosoma haematobium infection, health and nutritional status in school-age children in a rural setting in Northern Senegal.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the occurrence of urinary schistosomiasis in school children in a rural village of Northern Senegal, and to evaluate the impact of this parasitic infection on children's health, growth, and nutritional status. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was carried out on 465 children resident in the village of Kassak Nord, in Senegal, in an area which is highly endemic for Schistosoma haematobium. Data on health, nutritional status and urinary schistosomiasis were collected. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of urinary schistosomiasis in school children in Kassak was 47.4%. As for malnutrition, 29.7% of children were malnourished (BMI-for-age Z-score [BAZ] <-2) and 14.5% had a significant linear growth retardation (height-for-age Z-score [HAZ] <-2). Children with urinary schistosomiasis showed lower mean BAZ and HAZ than uninfected children (HAZ positives -0.7±1.4 vs. HAZ negatives -0.4±1.4, P=0.004; BAZ positives -1.5±1 vs. BAZ negatives -1.3±1.1, P=0.03). It was also found that infected children were at greater risk of malnutrition (BAZ<-2; OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.01-2.26). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study support the hypothesis that urinary schistosomiasis affects negatively childhood health and nutritional status and are of importance for planning intervention aimed to monitoring and control Urinary Schistosomiasis and malnutrition.

Laboratory confirmation of clinically diagnosed malaria in a cohort of HIV-infected mothers and their children in Malawi.

To avoid overdiagnosis, accuracy in the identification of true malaria cases is of critical importance. Samples (either whole blood, dried blood spots or plasma/serum) collected at the time of clinically diagnosed malaria episodes in a cohort of Malawian HIV-infected mothers and their children were retrospectively tested with the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for HRP-2 (histidine-rich protein 2) detection. There were 55 and 56 clinically diagnosed cases of malaria in mothers and children, respectively, with samples available for testing. Rates of laboratory-confirmed episodes were 20% (11 of 55) in mothers and 16.1% (9 of 56) in children. Hemoglobin was lower in children with confirmed malaria compared to those with clinical malaria diagnosis. The results of our study support the widespread use of rapid diagnostic tests.

A pharmacogenetics study in Mozambican patients treated with nevirapine: full resequencing of TRAF3IP2 gene shows a novel association with SJS/TEN susceptibility.

Steven-Johnson Syndrome (SJS) and Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis (TEN) are severe adverse drug reactions, characterized by extensive epidermal detachment and erosions of mucous membrane. SJS/TEN is one of the most serious adverse reactions to Nevirapine (NVP) treatment, commonly used in developing countries as first-line treatment of human immunodeficiency virus infection. In the last years TRAF3IP2 gene variants had been described as associated with susceptibility to several diseases such as psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis. We hypothesized that this gene, involved in immune response and in NF-κB activation, could also be implicated in the SJS/TEN susceptibility. We performed a full resequencing of TRAF3IP2 gene in a population of patients treated with NVP. Twenty-seven patients with NVP-induced SJS/TEN and 78 controls, all from Mozambique, were enrolled. We identified eight exonic and three intronic already described variants. The case/control association analysis highlighted an association between the rs76228616 SNP in exon 2 and the SJS/TEN susceptibility. In particular, the variant allele (C) resulted significantly associated with a higher risk to develop SJS/TEN (p = 0.012 and OR = 3.65 (95% CI 1.33-10.01)). A multivariate analysis by logistic regression confirmed its significant contribution (p = 0.027, OR = 4.39 (95% CI 1.19-16.23)). In conclusion, our study suggests that a variant in TRAF3IP2 gene could be involved in susceptibility to SJS/TEN.

Malnutrition decreases the odds of attaining motor milestones in HIV exposed children: results from a paediatric DREAM cohort.

OBJECTIVE: HIV and malnutrition are the two major causes of infant mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa. The study describes the impact of malnutrition on motor milestone development in HIV-exposed children. DESIGN: Randomized community intervention trial (SMAC, Safe Milk for African Children). SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Growth, motor development, and malnutrition were assessed in a sample of 76 HIV-exposed children, aged 0-24 months, at the Blantyre Dream Centre in Malawi. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We assessed growth and selected motor milestone achievement in agreement with WHO/UNICEF criteria. Odds ratios and 95%confidence intervals were calculated according to motor milestones and malnutrition indices. Multivariable logistic regression was performed with 18 months data. RESULTS: High rates of malnutrition were observed. Underweight increased by 6.7/9.2 and 3.2/5.5 the odds of not standing alone and not walking alone at 15 and 18 months. Stunting increased by 9.7 the odds of not standing alone at 11 months and by 6.1 the odds of not walking alone at 18 months. Wasting increased by 5.5/10.3 the odds for not walking with assistance at 12 and 18 months. Low weight for age was associated with delay in walking at 18 months (HR=2.9). CONCLUSION: Malnutrition in HIV-exposed children decreases the likelihood of adequate development.

Vaccine Hesitancy, Knowledge, and COVID-19 Vaccination in a Sample of Italian and Albanian Healthcare Students Attending an University in Albania.

BACKGROUND: Vaccine hesitancy (VH) has increased over the past decade with large geographical variations between countries, posing a threat to global public health. This phenomenon is growing in the general population as well as among healthcare workers (HCWs), who are the most reliable source of vaccine-related information for patients. Special attention must therefore be paid to medical students, who are the future HCWs. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study (November 2022-January 2023) on all the Albanian and Italian students attending medical science courses at the Catholic University "Our Lady of Good Counsel" (Tirane, Albania) to investigate VH and the factors contributing to it (using the Vaccination Attitude Examination Scale-VAX), including COVID-19 vaccination. Vaccine knowledge was assessed using the Zingg and Siegrist Scale. Students were asked to voluntarily answer an anonymous questionnaire. RESULTS: 689 questionnaires were collected (58.8% Albanians, 72.3% female; 70.4% aged 20-25 years; 70.4% attending the Medicine and Surgery course). Generally, students showed low VH, especially Italians (p < 0.001); however, some hesitancy was observed regarding the potential long-term effects of vaccines, especially among Albanians (p < 0.05). The results also showed a significant difference in vaccine knowledge scores between different course years (χ2 = 90.058; df = 40; p = < 0.001) and different degree courses (χ2 = 89.932; df = 40; p = < 0.001). With regard to COVID-19 vaccination, being of Albanian origin significantly increases the risk of not being vaccinated (OR = 7.215; 95%CI 3.816-13.640, p < 0.001), highlighting possible differences in vaccine coverage and policy between the two countries. CONCLUSION: Vaccine hesitancy should be addressed at early stages during medical sciences courses, in order to protect future healthcare workers, to preserve essential health services, and reduce the risk of further pandemics.

[Health Promotion and care of immigrant population in the eighth Municipality of Rome: the experience of the Medicine Service of Solidarity and the University Hospital of Tor Vergata]. / Promozione della salute e cura delle malattie dei cittadini immigrati nell'VIII Municipio di Roma: l'esperienza del Servizio di Medicina Solidale e dell'Azienda Ospedaliera Policlinico Tor Vergata.

The VIII Municipality of Rome is characterized by a high poverty rate, by the presence of many immigrant communities and by the lack of health services available to vulnerable social groups. In 2005 , the " Servizio di Medicina Solidale" of the University Hospital of "Tor Vergata", for the first time intervened in this Municipality regarding Immigrant Health. The paper describes the activities and organization of this service from January 2005 to December 2007. It demonstrates a complex epidemiological picture of 2,374 immigrants, characterized by a young population, mostly women with reproductive health issues, followed by children with infectious and nutritional problems and, ultimately, adults who accessed the service, firstly for gastroenterological problems, secondly for cardiovascular problems and finally for dysmetabolic disorders. The paper describes the culture-centered actions of Health Promotion and Health Education in order to improve health awareness and promote integration of immigrants. The study indicates that the limited number of hospital admissions ( n.20) with respect to the number of outpatient visits (n.70.000) in the first seven years of the service " Medicina Solidale" has significantly reduced the number of unnecessary admissions to emergency wards. In conclusion it is notable that the cost of such intervention results eight times inferior to emergency admissions and further confirms that a Community medicine approach is sustainable.

Interventions to increase uptake of influenza vaccination in pregnancy: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Maternal influenza vaccination has been introduced in several countries to prevent influenza-related morbidity and mortality in pregnant women, fetuses, and infants too young to be vaccinated. OBJECTIVES: To analyze the available randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on the effectiveness of pregnant women-focused interventions to increase influenza vaccination uptake during pregnancy. SEARCH STRATEGY: Medline, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Trial were searched on August 25, 2021. SELECTION CRITERIA: RCTs assessing the effectiveness of pregnant women-focused interventions in increasing influenza vaccination among pregnant women were included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two independent reviewers extracted data. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to estimate pooled odds ratios (ORs). MAIN RESULTS: Seven RCTs were selected. Overall, the interventions had a significant effect in increasing influenza vaccination during pregnancy compared with standard care (OR 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.25-2.54; P = 0.001; I2  = 67%). However, subgroup analysis suggested that influenza vaccination uptake only was associated with educational interventions (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.93-3.81; P < 0.001; I2  = 0%). CONCLUSIONS: We found that several educational interventions for pregnant women can effectively increase influenza vaccination uptake in this population. Specifically, pamphlets, websites, and brief one-to-one education can be effective tools. REGISTRATION: CRD42021269478.

Serological Evaluation for Measles among Italian and Foreign Medical Students in a University Hospital in Rome.

BACKGROUND: Measles infection in the hospital setting is a major issue. Despite the availability of an effective vaccine, measles outbreaks continue to occur in some European countries. We aimed to evaluate the immunological status of medical students attending the Tor Vergata Polyclinic (PTV). METHODS: Measles antibodies titers were assessed by venipuncture on a sample of 2717 medical students who underwent annual health surveillance visits from January 2021 to March 2023. Subjects showing serum IgG values above 1.0 S/CO were considered serologically protected. Personal data, country of origin, and main demographic characteristic were also collected. RESULTS: 66.7% (1467 Italian and 346 foreign) of medical students showed protective IgG antibodies levels. Female students were serologically immune more frequently than males (68.6% vs. 63.3%; p < 0.01 at Chi2). The mean antibody titer was 1.72 S/CO, significantly higher in females than males (1.67 vs. 1.75, respectively; p < 0.05), and significantly related to age (p < 0.01). Albanian students, who were the largest foreign population in our study, showed a low serological protection rate (40/90: 44.4%). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of serologically non-immune students is high, raising concerns about the possible risk of hospital transmission. Substantial differences in the rate of immunity have been found between subjects coming from different parts of Europe and the world. Pre-training assessment of all medical students and vaccination of susceptible individuals is highly recommended, particularly for those from low immunization rate countries.

Measles vaccine uptake among Italian medical students compared to the pre-COVID-19 era.

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely affected health systems worldwide and raised the issue of vaccine hesitancy. In 2022, the World Health Organization reported an outbreak of measles infection among people over 20 years of age in the European Region. Previous studies found low rates of measles immunization among Italian healthcare workers (HCWs) and medical students. Vaccine hesitancy is a relevant cause of low immunization rate among HCWs and the general population. We aim to evaluate the measles vaccine uptake among medical students of a large teaching hospital, compared to the pre-pandemic period. This is a retrospective observational study, that evaluated the immune status and the vaccine acceptance rate for measles in medical students at the University of Tor Vergata, Rome, who underwent occupational health surveillance from 1 January to 1 December 2022. We also compared the data with the results of a pre-pandemic survey conducted in 2018. Vaccine uptake among unprotected medical students was 59.5%. The data showed no significant difference in vaccine uptake compared with the pre-COVID-19 period. Conversely, the rate of serologically immune subjects to measles increased from 89.66% in 2018 to 97.45% in 2022 as a result of the recent mandatory vaccination policy. Despite efforts to tackle vaccine hesitancy during the COVID-19 pandemic, measles vaccine uptake is still low among young adults starting their medical training, and their compliance with free workplace vaccination offers is suboptimal. Occupational health services should raise awareness among workers and work together to implement strategies to achieve comprehensive measles vaccination coverage among occupational health workers.

A novel, integrated approach for understanding and investigating Healthcare Associated Infections: A risk factors constellation analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are major public health threats in upper- and lower-middle-income countries. Electronic health records (EHRs) are an invaluable source of data for achieving different goals, including the early detection of HAIs and AMR clusters within healthcare settings; evaluation of attributable incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs); and implementation of governance policies. In Italy, the burden of HAIs is estimated to be 702.53 DALYs per 100,000 population, which has the same magnitude as the burden of ischemic heart disease. However, data in EHRs are usually not homogeneous, not properly linked and engineered, or not easily compared with other data. Moreover, without a proper epidemiological approach, the relevant information may not be detected. In this retrospective observational study, we established and engineered a new management system on the basis of the integration of microbiology laboratory data from the university hospital "Policlinico Tor Vergata" (PTV) in Italy with hospital discharge forms (HDFs) and clinical record data. All data are currently available in separate EHRs. We propose an original approach for monitoring alert microorganisms and for consequently estimating HAIs for the entire period of 2018. METHODS: Data extraction was performed by analyzing HDFs in the databases of the Hospital Information System. Data were compiled using the AREAS-ADT information system and ICD-9-CM codes. Quantitative and qualitative variables and diagnostic-related groups were produced by processing the resulting integrated databases. The results of research requests for HAI microorganisms and AMR profiles sent by the departments of PTV from 01/01/2018 to 31/12/2018 and the date of collection were extracted from the database of the Complex Operational Unit of Microbiology and then integrated. RESULTS: We were able to provide a complete and richly detailed profile of the estimated HAIs and to correlate them with the information contained in the HDFs and those available from the microbiology laboratory. We also identified the infection profile of the investigated hospital and estimated the distribution of coinfections by two or more microorganisms of concern. Our data were consistent with those in the literature, particularly the increase in mortality, length of stay, and risk of death associated with infections with Staphylococcus spp, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Clostridioides difficile, Candida spp., and Acinetobacter baumannii. Even though less than 10% of the detected HAIs showed at least one infection caused by an antimicrobial resistant bacterium, the contribution of AMR to the overall risk of increased mortality was extremely high. CONCLUSIONS: The increasing availability of health data stored in EHRs represents a unique opportunity for the accurate identification of any factor that contributes to the diffusion of HAIs and AMR and for the prompt implementation of effective corrective measures. That said, artificial intelligence might be the future of health data analysis because it may allow for the early identification of patients who are more exposed to the risk of HAIs and for a more efficient monitoring of HAI sources and outbreaks. However, challenges concerning codification, integration, and standardization of health data recording and analysis still need to be addressed.

Predicting trends in HIV-1 sexual transmission in sub-Saharan Africa through the Drug Resource Enhancement Against AIDS and Malnutrition model: antiretrovirals for 5 reduction of population infectivity, incidence and prevalence at the district level.

BACKGROUND: The use of antiretrovirals to reduce the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has been evaluated in mathematical models as potential strategies for curtailing the epidemic. Cohort data from the Drug Resource Enhancement Against AIDS and Malnutrition (DREAM) Program was used to generate a realistic model for the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: Two combined stochastic models were developed: patient and epidemic models. Models were combined using virus load as a parameter of infectivity. DREAM data that assessed patient care in Mozambique and Malawi were used to generate measures of infectivity, survival, and adherence. The Markov chain prediction model was used for the analysis of disease progression in treated and untreated patients. A partnership model was used to assess the probability that an infected individual would transmit HIV. RESULTS: Data from 26565 patients followed up from January 2002 through July 2009 were analyzed with the model; 63% of patients were female, the median age was 35 years, and the median observation time was 25 months. In the model, a 5-fold reduction in infectivity (from 1.6% to 0.3%) occurred within 3 years when triple ART was used. The annual incidence of HIV infection declined from 7% to 2% in 2 years, and the prevalence was halved, from 12% to 6%, in 11 years. Mortality in HIV-infected individuals declined by 50% in 5 years. A cost analysis demonstrated economic efficiency after 4 years. CONCLUSIONS: Our model, based on patient data, supports the hypothesis that treatment of all infected individuals translates into a drastic reduction in incident HIV infections. A targeted implementation strategy with massive population coverage is feasible in sub-Saharan Africa.

[Health and disability in the elderly: old paradigms and future prospects]. / Salute e disabilità nell'anziano, tra vecchi paradigmi ed un nuovo sorprendente futuro.

The projections regarding the ageing of the Italian population are cause for great concern; however, the ageing scenario may actually be interpreted in a more optimistic way. Theories formulated in the 80s envisaging a decline of mortality, morbidity and disability in the elderly are now confirmed and prefigure an unexpected decrease in disability rates in the elderly population. The aim of this review is to attempt to explain the reasons for this by analyzing the role played by the various determinants of health, in particular social isolation, which are likely to play an important role in the future as well.

COVID-19 vaccination in pregnancy and postpartum.

AIM: To identify whether COVID-19 vaccines should be administered in pregnant and breastfeeding women by reviewing the guidance and other evidence. METHODS: We reviewed the COVID-19 vaccination guidance for pregnant and breastfeeding women published to date and evidence from preclinical experimental and observational clinical studies, and discuss their implications. RESULTS: Pregnant women were excluded from the initial phase 3 clinical trials of COVID-19 vaccines resulting in limited data on their efficacy and safety during pregnancy and postpartum. As a result, since December 2020, there has been conflicting advice from public health, governmental, and professional authorities on this matter. From the end of 2020 up to now, some consensus guidance has been published with a prevalent precautionary approach on the administration of vaccines in pregnant women, in breastfeeding ones, or for those who are planning a pregnancy (either spontaneously or with assisted technologies). After the first few months of vaccine administration in some countries, more permissiveness seems to prevail, although with inconsistencies. At the moment, the results obtained by preclinical experimental and observational clinical studies suggest that the risks of the maternal COVID-19 outweigh the undocumented and hypothetical risks of the COVID-19 vaccines in pregnancy. Also, until two viral vector COVID-19 vaccines were associated with very rare thromboembolic events, all guidance had agreed that all approved COVID-19 vaccines could be administered in pregnancy. Actually, some concern has been expressed. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 vaccines administered in pregnancy can reduce the risk of severe COVID-19 and their serious consequences for mothers and their offspring. However, many aspects remain to be clarified.