The largest genome-wide association study for breast cancer in Taiwanese Han population.

PURPOSE: Breast cancer is a molecularly heterogeneous disease, and multiple genetic variants contribute to its development and prognosis. Most of previous genome-wide association studies (GWASs) and polygenic risk scores (PRSs) analyses focused on studying breast cancers of Caucasian populations, which may not be applicable to other population. Therefore, we conducted the largest breast cancer cohort of Taiwanese population to fill in the knowledge gap. METHODS: A total of 152,534 Participants recruited by China Medical University Hospital between 2003 and 2019 were filtered by several patient selection criteria and GWAS quality control steps, resulting in the inclusion of 2496 cases and 9984 controls for this study. We then conducted GWAS for all breast cancers and PRS analyses for all breast cancers and the four breast cancer subtypes, including luminal A, luminal B, basal-like, and HER2-enriched. RESULTS: The GWAS analyses identified 113 SNPs, 50 of which were novel. The PRS models for all breast cancers and the luminal A subtype showed positively correlated trends between the PRS and the risk of developing breast cancer. The odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the groups with the highest PRS in all breast cancers and the luminal A subtype were 5.33 (3.79-7.66) and 3.55 (2.13-6.14), respectively. CONCLUSION: In summary, we explored the association of genetic variants with breast cancer in the largest Taiwanese cohort and developed two PRS models that can predict the risk of developing any breast cancer and the luminal A subtype in Taiwanese women.

Prevalence and risk factors of non-tuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary isolates and infection in interstitial lung disease associated with systemic autoimmune disease.

OBJECTIVES: Non-tuberculous mycobacterial (NTM) lung disease (NTM-LD) prevalence is increasing worldwide. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the clinical significance of NTM pulmonary isolates (NTM-PI) and NTM-LD in patients with systemic autoimmune disease (SAD) who had a concurrent interstitial lung disease (ILD) diagnosis. METHODS: We retrospectively identified patients with SAD who had a concurrent ILD diagnosis (SAD-ILD) and from whom clinically indicated sputum specimens were collected for NTM culture between 2003 and 2018 at a tertiary referral hospital. We analysed the prevalence and risk factors of NTM pulmonary isolates (NTM-PI; ≥1 positive culture) and NTM-LD (≥2 positive cultures). RESULTS: This study included 258 patients. Rheumatoid arthritis and Sjögren's syndrome were the most common SADs (32.2% and 26.7%, respectively). The NTM-negative subgroup had 204 patients (79.1%) and the NTM-PI subgroup had 54 patients (20.9%). In the NTM-PI subgroup, 33 patients had one NTM positive set of specimens (NTM 1+, 12.8% of the entire sample) and 21 had NTM-LD (8.1% of the entire sample). In a multivariable analysis, chronic kidney disease (CKD; adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 3.10 [1.53, 6.29]) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; aOR: 2.59 [1.16, 5.78]) were significantly associated with NTM-PI. For NTM-LD, CKD (aOR: 2.79 [1.00, 7.76]) and COPD (aOR: 3.70 [1.23, 10.72]) remained significant risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with SAD-ILD, the NTM-PI and NTM-LD prevalence rates were 20.9% and 8.1%, respectively. COPD and CKD were independent risk factors of both NTM-PI and NTM-LD. Previous use of biological agents was associated with NTM-PI.

Dyslipidemia and coronary artery calcium: From association to development of a risk-prediction nomogram.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The associations between dyslipidemia and coronary artery calcium (CAC) are controversial. We investigated their cross-sectional relationships and developed a predictive scoring system for prognostically significant coronary calcification (PSCC). METHODS AND RESULTS: This study evaluated the lipid profiles and the CAC score (CACS) measured through multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) among Taiwanese adult patients in a tertiary hospital between 2011 and 2016. Patients with CACS higher than 100 were classified as having PSCC. Dyslipidemia for each lipid component was defined based on the clinical cutoffs or the use of the lipid-lowering agents. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association between dyslipidemia and PSCC and the model performance was assessed using calibration plot, discrimination, and a decision curve analysis. Of the 3586 eligible patients, 364 (10.2%) had PSCC. Increased age, male sex, higher body mass index (BMI), and higher level of triglyceride (TG) were associated with PSCC. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of PSCC was 1.15 (0.90-1.47) for dyslipidemia defined by total cholesterol (TC) ≥200 mg/dL, 1.06 (0.83-1.35) for low-density-lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) ≥130 mg/dL, and 1.36 (1.06-1.75) for TG ≥ 200 mg/dL. The positive association between TG ≥ 200 mg/dL and PSCC was not modified by sex. Incorporating hypertriglyceridemia did not significantly improve the predictive performance of the base model comprising of age, sex, BMI, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and fasting glucose. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertriglyceridemia was significantly associated with the prevalent odds of PSCC. Our proposed predictive model may be a useful screening tool for PSCC.

Association of water intake and hydration status with risk of kidney stone formation based on NHANES 2009-2012 cycles.

OBJECTIVE: Evaluating the association of water intake and hydration status with nephrolithiasis risk at the population level. DESIGN: It is a cross-sectional study in which daily total plain water intake and total fluid intake were estimated together with blood osmolality, urine creatinine, urine osmolality, urine flow rate (UFR), free water clearance (FWC) and urine/blood osmolality ratio (Uosm:Bosm). The associations of fluid intake and hydration markers with nephrolithiasis were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. SETTING: General US population. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 8195 adults aged 20 years or older from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey 2009-2012 cycles. RESULTS: The population medians (interquartile ranges, IQR) for daily total plain water intake and total fluid intake were 807 (336-1481) and 2761 (2107-3577) ml/d, respectively. The adjusted OR (95 % CI) of nephrolithiasis for each IQR increase in total plain water intake and total fluid intake were 0·92 (95 % CI 0·79, 1·06) and 0·84 (95 % CI 0·72, 0·97), respectively. The corresponding OR of nephrolithiasis for UFR, blood osmolality, Uosm:Bosm and urine creatinine were 0·87 (95 % CI 0·76, 0·99), 1·18 (95 % CI 1·06, 1·32), 1·38 (95 % CI 1·17, 1·63) and 1·27 (95 % CI 1·11, 1·45), respectively. A linear protective relationship of fluid intake, UFR and FWC with nephrolithiasis risk was observed. Similarly, positive dose-response associations of nephrolithiasis risk with markers of insufficient hydration were identified. Encouraging a daily water intake of >2500 ml/d and maintaining a urine output of 2 l/d was associated with a lower prevalence of nephrolithiasis. CONCLUSION: This study verified the beneficial role of general water intake recommendations in nephrolithiasis prevention in the general US population.

Particulate Air Pollution and Progression to Kidney Failure With Replacement Therapy: An Advanced CKD Registry-Based Cohort Study in Taiwan.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Limited evidence concerns fine particulate matter (with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5µm [PM2.5]) exposure and the risk for kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). This study assessed whether PM2.5 exposure was associated with progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) to KFRT. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 6,628 adult patients with CKD were recruited from the Advanced CKD Program in Taiwan between 2003 and 2015. EXPOSURE: Satellite-based spatiotemporal models were used to calculate each individual's 1-year PM2.5 exposure before the date of enrollment into the Advanced CKD Program. OUTCOMES: Time to KFRT (defined as initiation of maintenance hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, or kidney transplantation) and time to all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable proportional hazard regression analyses were used to estimate the association of PM2.5 with KFRT and all-cause mortality. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore dose-response relationships. RESULTS: The study population included 6,628 adult patients with CKD who were aged 20 to 90 years. 941 KFRT events and 1,653 deaths occurred during follow-up. The adjusted HR for progression to KFRT was 1.19 (95% CI, 1.08-1.31) per 7.8µg/m3 greater PM2.5, an amount spanning the interquartile range. There was evidence of a dose-response relationship (adjusted HRs of 1.16 [95% CI, 0.90-1.51], 1.19 [95% CI, 0.94-1.52], and 1.42 [95% CI, 1.12-1.80] for low, medium, and high PM2.5 levels). There was no significant association between PM2.5 and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.95-1.08]). LIMITATIONS: Misclassification of PM2.5 exposure assessment and the potential for residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that long-term exposure to PM2.5 is associated with increased risk for progression to KFRT in patients with CKD.

Longitudinal lipid trends and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD: a 13-year observational cohort study.

Studies on the effects of longitudinal lipid trajectories on end-stage renal disease (ESRD) development and deaths among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are limited. We conducted a registry-based prospective study using data from a 13-year multidisciplinary pre-ESRD care program. The final study population comprised 4,647 patients with CKD. Using group-based trajectory modeling, we dichotomized longitudinal trajectories of total cholesterol (T-CHO), triglyceride (TG), LDL cholesterol (LDL-C), and HDL cholesterol (HDL-C). Time to ESRD or death was analyzed using multiple Cox regression. At baseline, higher levels of T-CHO and LDL-C were associated with rapid progression to ESRD, whereas only HDL-C was positively associated with all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.20; 95% CI, 1.06-1.36; P-value, 0.005]. Compared with those with a normal T-CHO trajectory, the fully adjusted HR of patients with a high T-CHO trajectory for ESRD risk was 1.21 (P-value, 0.019). Subgroup analysis showed that a high TG trajectory was associated with a 49% increase in mortality risk in CKD patients without diabetes (P-value for interaction, 0.012). In contrast to what was observed based on baseline HDL-C, patients with a trajectory of frequent hypo-HDL cholesterolemia had higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.53; P-value, 0.014). Thus, only T-CHO, both at baseline and over the longitudinal course, demonstrated a significant potential risk of incident ESRD. The inconsistency in the observed directions of association between baseline levels and longitudinal trajectories of HDL-C warrants further research to unveil specific pathogenic mechanisms underlying the HDL-C metabolism in patients with CKD.

First-year estimated glomerular filtration rate variability after pre-end-stage renal disease program enrollment and adverse outcomes of chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Scarce evidence associates the first-year estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) variability and longitudinal change scales concomitantly to the risk of developing end-stage renal disease (ESRD), acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and death following pre-ESRD program enrollment in chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 5092 CKD patients receiving multidisciplinary care between 2003 and 2015 with careful ascertainment of ESRD, ACS and death during the follow-up. First-year eGFR variability and longitudinal change scales that were based on all first-year eGFR measurements included coefficient of variation of eGFR (eGFR-CV), percent change (eGFR-PC), absolute difference (eGFR-AD), slope (eGFR-slope) and area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 786 incident ESRD, 292 ACS and 410 death events occurred during the follow-up. In the multiple Cox regression, the fully adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of progression to ESRD for each unit change in eGFR-CV, eGFR-PC, eGFR-AD, eGFR-slope, eGFR-AUC were 1.03 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.04], 1.04 (1.03-1.04), 1.16 (1.14-1.18), 1.16 (1.14-1.17) and 1.04 (1.03-1.04), respectively. The adjusted HRs for incident ESRD comparing the extreme with the reference quartiles of eGFR-CV, eGFR-PC, eGFR-AD, eGFR-slope and eGFR-AUC were 2.67 (95% CI 2.11-3.38), 8.34 (6.33-10.98), 19.08 (11.89-30.62), 13.08 (8.32-20.55) and 6.35 (4.96-8.13), respectively. Similar direction of the effects on the risk of developing ACS and mortality was observed. In the 2 × 2 risk matrices, patients with the highest quartile of eGFR-CV and concomitantly with the most severely declining quartiles of any other longitudinal eGFR change scale had the highest risk of all outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The dynamics of eGFR changes, both overall variability and longitudinal changes, over the first year following pre-ESRD program enrollment are crucial prognostic factors for the risk of progression to ESRD, ACS and deaths among patients with CKD. A risk matrix combining the first-year eGFR variability and longitudinal change scales following pre-ESRD enrollment is a novel approach for risk characterization in CKD care. Randomized trials in CKD may be required to ascertain comparable baseline eGFR dynamics.

Association Between Positive Cultures During Admission and 1-Year Mortality in Patients With Cancer Receiving Perioperative Intensive Care.

The number of patients with cancer being admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) is increasing worldwide, and these patients are vulnerable to infection. This study aimed to address the long-term impact of positive cultures during admission on 1-year mortality among patients with cancer who received perioperative intensive care. This retrospective cohort study enrolled adult patients with cancer who were admitted to ICUs and received surgery during 2011 to 2016 at a tertiary hospital in central Taiwan. Cancer-related data were retrieved from the cancer registry, and data during ICU admissions were obtained from the electronic medical records. We compared the survival curves between patients with and without positive clinical cultures using log-rank test and used a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to evaluate the influence of positive clinical cultures on 1-year mortality. A total of 638 patients were included for analyses, and 37.9% of them had positive cultures during the index admission. In-hospital mortality was 9.1%, while 1-year mortality was 21.0%. Compared with patients who survived, patients who died were significantly more likely to have positive cultures (59.7% vs 32.1%), to have a higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores (median 21.8 vs 19.0), and to receive mechanical ventilation (86.6% vs 77.4%). Survival analysis found that positive cultures of blood, the respiratory tract, the urinary tract, or the skin and soft tissue were associated with an increased 1-year mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis found that positive cultures of blood, the respiratory tract, the urinary tract, or the skin and soft tissue (hazard ratio: 1.621; 95% confidence interval: 1.087-2.419) were significantly associated with 62.1% increased hazards of death within 1 year after the ICU admission. A positive culture during admission was associated with a worsened long-term survival among patients with cancer who received perioperative intensive care. Further studies are needed to confirm this association.

Type of adjuvant chemotherapy and treatment frequency in survival outcome of patients with colorectal liver metastases who underwent liver metastasectomy: an 8-year cohort study in Taiwan.

PURPOSE: The role of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in treating patients who have colorectal liver metastases (CLM) and undergo liver metastasectomy (LMS) is unclear in this patient population. We aimed to compare the mortality of patients receiving different ACT (i.e., oxaliplatin-based, irinotecan-based, and 5-fluorouracil-only (5FU)) and different treatment frequencies. METHODS: We included 2583 patients with CLM who underwent LMS (including synchronous LMS [SLMS] and metachronous LMS [MLMS]) in this retrospective cohort study. We used Cox proportional hazard model to obtain hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality. The reference group was 5FU-only ACT when comparing ACT type and the reference group was treatment for ≤ 3 times when comparing ACT frequency. RESULTS: In SLMS patients, oxaliplatin-based ACT (HR = 0.78) and receiving ACT for ≥ 4 times (4-6 times, HR = 0.61; 7-9 times, HR = 0.69; 10-12 times, HR = 0.66) were associated with lower risk of mortality. In MLMS patients, oxaliplatin-based ACT (HR = 0.52), irinotecan-based ACT (HR = 0.64), and receiving ACT for 10-12 times (HR = 0.65) were associated with lower risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In SLMS and MLMS patients, patients who received oxaliplatin-based ACT were more likely to survive than patients who received 5FU-only ACT. In MLMS patients, patients who received irinotecan-based ACT were also more likely to survive than those who received 5FU-only ACT. We recommend a course of at least four to six times of ACT after LMS in this patient population.

Association of a bundled intervention with surgical site infections among patients undergoing cardiac, hip, or knee surgery.

IMPORTANCE: Previous studies suggested that a bundled intervention was associated with lower rates of Staphylococcus aureus surgical site infections (SSIs) among patients having cardiac or orthopedic operations. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the implementation of an evidence-based bundle is associated with a lower risk of S. aureus SSIs in patients undergoing cardiac operations or hip or knee arthroplasties. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Twenty hospitals in 9 US states participated in this pragmatic study; rates of SSIs were collected for a median of 39 months (range, 39-43) during the preintervention period (March 1, 2009, to intervention) and a median of 21 months (range, 14-22) during the intervention period (from intervention start through March 31, 2014). INTERVENTIONS: Patients whose preoperative nares screens were positive for methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) or methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) were asked to apply mupirocin intranasally twice daily for up to 5 days and to bathe daily with chlorhexidine-gluconate (CHG) for up to 5 days before their operations. MRSA carriers received vancomycin and cefazolin or cefuroxime for perioperative prophylaxis; all others received cefazolin or cefuroxime. Patients who were MRSA-negative and MSSA-negative bathed with CHG the night before and morning of their operations. Patients were treated as MRSA-positive if screening results were unknown. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was complex (deep incisional or organ space) S. aureus SSIs. Monthly SSI counts were analyzed using Poisson regression analysis. RESULTS: After a 3-month phase-in period, bundle adherence was 83% (39% full adherence; 44% partial adherence). Overall, 101 complex S. aureus SSIs occurred after 28,218 operations during the preintervention period and 29 occurred after 14,316 operations during the intervention period (mean rate per 10,000 operations, 36 for preintervention period vs 21 for intervention period, difference, -15 [95% CI, -35 to -2]; rate ratio [RR], 0.58 [95% CI, 0.37 to 0.92]). The rates of complex S. aureus SSIs decreased for hip or knee arthroplasties (difference per 10,000 operations, -17 [95% CI, -39 to 0]; RR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.29 to 0.80]) and for cardiac operations (difference per 10,000 operations, -6 [95% CI, -48 to 8]; RR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.47 to 1.57]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this multicenter study, a bundle comprising S. aureus screening, decolonization, and targeted prophylaxis was associated with a modest, statistically significant decrease in complex S. aureus SSIs.

Surgical site infections and cellulitis after abdominal hysterectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To identify risk factors for and outcomes of surgical site infections and cellulitis after abdominal hysterectomies. STUDY DESIGN: We used logistic regression analysis to analyze data from a case-control study of 1104 patients undergoing abdominal hysterectomies at a university hospital between Jan. 1, 2007 and Dec. 30, 2010. RESULTS: Factors significantly associated with surgical site infections and with cellulitis were: pulmonary disease, operations done in Main Operating Room East, and seroma. Body mass index >35, no private insurance, and fluid and electrolyte disorders were risk factors for surgical site infections. The mean prophylactic dose of cefazolin was significantly higher for controls than for patients with surgical site infections. Preoperative showers with Hibiclens (Molnlycke Health Care US, LLC, Norcross, GA) and cefazolin prophylaxis were associated with a significantly decreased cellulitis risk. Surgical site infections and cellulitis were significantly associated with readmissions and return visits and surgical site infections were associated with reoperations. CONCLUSION: Preoperative showers, antimicrobial prophylaxis, surgical techniques preventing seromas, and the operating room environment may affect the risk of surgical site infections and cellulitis after abdominal hysterectomies.

A cluster of exertional rhabdomyolysis affecting a Division I Football team.

OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for exertional rhabdomyolysis (ER) among collegiate football athletes. We hypothesized that a back squat workout triggered ER in some players, and that the risk of ER was altered by players' characteristics or other exposures. DESIGN: Case report and case-control study. SETTING: National Collegiate Athletic Association Division I Football Program and an academic medical center. PARTICIPANTS: National Collegiate Athletic Association Division I football players. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES: Characteristics, performance during the implicated workout, and exposures of players. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Exertional rhabdomyolysis was the primary outcome; the hypotheses were formulated before data were collected. RESULTS: Initial serum creatine kinase and creatinine values ranged from 96,987 to 331,044 U/L and from 1.0 to 3.4 mg/dL, respectively. The risk of ER increased as the time and number of sets needed to complete 100 back squats increased [odds ratio (OR), 1.11; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.19; P = 0.0051 and OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.09-1.63; P = 0.0056, respectively]. Affected players were significantly more likely than unaffected players to report that they went to muscle failure (P = 0.006), did not think they could complete the workout (P = 0.02), and performed extra squats (P = 0.02) during the back squat assignment. For athletes playing skilled or semiskilled positions, the risk of ER increased as the percent body weight lifted increased [OR (corresponding to a 10% increase), 1.77; 95% CI, 1.06-2.94; P = 0.0292]. Drinking protein shakes after the implicated workout was associated with a decreased risk (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.96; P = 0.0284); the odds decreased about 30% per shake. CONCLUSIONS: Percent body weight lifted, the number of sets, and time needed to complete 100 back squats were significantly associated with increased risk of ER. Affected athletes were more likely to report going to muscle failure, thinking they could complete the workout, and performing extra squats during the back squat assignment. Consuming protein shakes after the implicated workout was associated with a decreased risk. Clinicians, athletes, and athletic program staff must know risk factors for ER and early symptoms of ER.

Risk factors for 5-year complications after midurethral sling surgery for stress urinary incontinence: a retrospective cohort study from Taiwan.

Midurethral sling surgery is the current gold standard worldwide for stress urinary incontinence (SUI) surgery, with over 90% of surgeons worldwide using the midurethral sling for SUI between 2008 and 2018. However, concerns surround mesh-related adverse events associated with the midurethral sling. The decision to use the midurethral sling for surgical treatment has become a challenging one for clinicians, surgeons and patients. We sought to determine the factors for 5-year complications after midurethral sling surgery, to improve the clinical decision-making process. Records were reviewed from a total of 1961 female patients who underwent their first midurethral sling surgery for SUI between 2003 and 2018 at a single teaching hospital in Taiwan. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model calculated the hazard ratios of risk factors for surgical complications, after adjusting for confounders. Surgical complications (i.e., secondary surgery and urinary retention) occurred in 93 (4.7%) patients within 5 years following the index operations. These patients were more likely to be older, to have a history of menopausal syndrome within 1 year prior to the index operation, a medication history of oral antidiabetic drug use, hormone replacement therapy (HRT), slower average flow rate, and longer voiding time compared with patients without surgical complications. In the multivariate analysis, HRT (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.787; 95% confidence interval, 1.011-3.158, p = 0.04) was significantly associated with surgical complications at 5 years, after adjusting for age, gender, diabetes, menopause syndrome, average flow rate, and sling type. Our findings suggest that a medication history of HRT may be a risk factor associated with surgical complications, especially urinary retention, at 5 years in women undergoing midurethral sling surgery for SUI.

Age-specific percentile-based prostate-specific antigen cutoff values predict the risk of prostate cancer: A single hospital observation.

Background: Testing for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is often recommended for men with a potential risk of prostate cancer (PCa) before requiring advanced examination. However, the best PSA cutoff value remains controversial. Object: We compared the predictive performance of age-specific percentile-based PSA thresholds with a conventional cutoff of >4 ng/mL for the risk of PCa. Methods: We included men who received PSA measurements between 2003 and 2017 in a medical center in Taiwan. Logistic regression modeling was used to assess the association between age-specific percentile-based PSA thresholds and PCa risk in age subgroups. We further applied C-statistic and decision curve analysis to compare the predictive performance of age-specific percentile-based PSA with that of a conventional cutoff PSA. Results: We identified 626 patients with PCa and 40 836 patients without PCa. The slope of PSA in patients >60-year-old was almost 3 times that of those <60-year-old (0.713 vs 0.259). The risk effect sizes of the 75th percentile PSA cutoff (<60-year-old: 2.19; 60-70-year-old: 4.36; >70-year-old: 5.84 ng/mL) were comparable to those observed based on the conventional cutoff in all age groups. However, the discrimination performance of the 75th percentile PSA cutoff was better than that of the conventional cutoff among patients aged <60-year-old (C-statistic, 0.783 vs. 0.729, p < 0.05). The 75th percentile cutoffs also correctly identified an additional 2 patients with PCa for every 100 patients with PSA screening at the threshold probability of 20%. Conclusions: Our data support the use of the 75th percentile PSA cutoff to facilitate individualized risk assessment, particularly for patients aged <60-year-old.

Cardiothoracic ratio values and trajectories are associated with risk of requiring dialysis and mortality in chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic role of the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains undetermined. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 3117 patients with CKD aged 18-89 years who participated in an Advanced CKD Care Program in Taiwan between 2003 and 2017 with a median follow up of 1.3(0.7-2.5) and 3.3(1.8-5.3) (IQR) years for outcome of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and overall death, respectively. We developed a machine learning (ML)-based algorithm to calculate the baseline and serial CTRs, which were then used to classify patients into trajectory groups based on latent class mixed modelling. Association and discrimination were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses and C-statistics, respectively. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) age of 3117 patients is 69.5 (59.2-77.4) years. We create 3 CTR trajectory groups (low [30.1%], medium [48.1%], and high [21.8%]) for the 2474 patients with at least 2 CTR measurements. The adjusted hazard ratios for ESRD, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in patients with baseline CTRs ≥0.57 (vs CTRs <0.47) are 1.35 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.72), 2.89 (1.78-4.71), and 1.50 (1.22-1.83), respectively. Similarly, greater effect sizes, particularly for cardiovascular mortality, are observed for high (vs low) CTR trajectories. Compared with a reference model, one with CTR as a continuous variable yields significantly higher C-statistics of 0.719 (vs 0.698, P = 0.04) for cardiovascular mortality and 0.697 (vs 0.693, P < 0.001) for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the real-world prognostic value of the CTR, as calculated by a ML annotation tool, in CKD. Our research presents a methodological foundation for using machine learning to improve cardioprotection among patients with CKD.

An enlarged heart occurs during various medical conditions and can result in early death. However, it is unclear whether this is also the case in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Although the size of the heart can be measured on chest X-rays, this process is time consuming. We used artificial intelligence to quantify the heart size of 3117 CKD patients based on their chest X-rays within hours. We found that CKD patients with an enlarged heart were more likely to develop end-stage kidney disease or die. This could improve monitoring of CKD patients with an enlarged heart and improve their care.

Risk of All-Cause Mortality, Cardiovascular Disease Mortality, and Cancer Mortality in Patients With Bullous Pemphigoid.

IMPORTANCE: The role of bullous pemphigoid (BP) in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality remains controversial, and analyses of causes of death among patients with BP based on individual data remain lacking. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk of all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and cancer mortality in patients with BP. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study identified patients who received a diagnosis of and treatment for BP during their dermatology clinic visits at a tertiary medical center in central Taiwan between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017. Controls were patients without BP and were individually matched to cases (4:1) according to age, sex, and date of the dermatology clinic visit. Data were analyzed from March 6, 2019, to April 2, 2021. EXPOSURES: Bullous pemphigoid was confirmed pathologically with typical direct immunofluorescence findings or clinically with typical clinical presentation, positive findings of an anti-basement membrane zone antibody test, and corticosteroid use for at least 28 cumulative days. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Mortality outcomes confirmed by the National Death Registry. RESULTS: Of 252 patients with BP and 1008 matched control patients (N = 1260), 685 (54.4%) were men and the median age was 78.0 (IQR, 70.3-84.8) years. Patients with BP had higher CVD mortality at 1 year (20 [7.9%] vs 13 [1.3%]), 3 years (28 [11.1%] vs 24 [2.4%]), and 5 years (31 [12.3%] vs 39 [3.9%]) compared with matched control patients. After adjusting for potential confounding variables, patients with BP had a 5-fold higher risk of CVD mortality at 1 year (hazard ratio [HR], 5.29 [95% CI, 2.40-11.68]), 3 years (HR, 5.79 [95% CI, 3.11-10.78]), and 5 years (HR, 4.95 [95% CI, 2.88-8.51]). Subgroup analyses revealed that the CVD mortality risk associated with BP was higher in patients without a history of hypertension (HR, 7.28 [95% CI, 3.87-13.69]) or CVD (HR, 6.59 [95% CI, 3.40-12.79]) and in patients without prior diuretic use (HR, 5.75 [95% CI, 3.15-10.50]) compared with matched control patients. In addition, all-cause mortality associated with BP was higher in patients without prior corticosteroid use than in control patients (HR 5.65 [95% CI, 4.19-7.61]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this cohort study suggest that BP was associated with a 5-fold higher risk of CVD mortality, particularly in patients without underlying hypertension or CVD or those without prior corticosteroid or diuretic use. Future studies should investigate the benefits of routine monitoring and timely management of CVD symptoms and signs in patients with BP.

Associations between Myocardial Diastolic Dysfunction and Cardiovascular Mortality in Chronic Kidney Disease: A Large Single-Center Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The clinical burden and prognostic role of diastolic dysfunction (DD), on the basis of the latest (2016) American Society of Echocardiography guidelines, remain unclear in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Moreover, risk mapping of concomitant systolic dysfunction and DD to evaluate the hazard of cardiovascular (CV) mortality in patients with CKD remains unexplored. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study identified 20,257 adult patients who underwent comprehensive echocardiography between 2008 and 2016 at a tertiary medical center in central Taiwan. The patients were stratified by CKD stage, and 3-year CV mortality risk in each CKD stratum was estimated through multivariable Cox proportional-hazards modeling using left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and DD grades on the basis of the 2016 American Society of Echocardiography guidelines as the main risk factors. RESULTS: Compared with patients with stages 1 and 2 CKD, those with stages 4 and 5 CKD had significantly lower left ventricular ejection fractions and more severe DD. Both left ventricular ejection fraction (<40% vs ≥60%; adjusted hazard ratio, 3.17; 95% CI, 2.54-3.97) and DD grade (severe DD vs normal diastolic function; adjusted hazard ratio, 3.33; 95% CI, 2.33-4.76) were independently associated with 3-year CV mortality in the entire study population and had comparable effect sizes. The corresponding adjusted hazard ratios further increased to 4.20 (95% CI, 2.45-7.21) and 4.54 (95% CI, 2.20-9.38) in patients with stages 4 and 5 CKD. Systolic dysfunction and DD demonstrated mutually augmentative effects on CV mortality. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that the current practice of cardioprotection for patients with CKD should be prioritized at an early stage along with conventional nephroprotection.

Insomnia and Poor Sleep in CKD: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Rationale & Objective: Poor sleep quality and insomnia are pervasive among patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD); however, these health issues have not been systematically evaluated. Study Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Setting & Study Populations: Adult patients with CKD not receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT), as well as adults receiving KRT, including hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, and kidney transplantation. Selection Criteria for Studies: A systematic literature search using PubMed, Embase, and PsycNET, was conducted for articles published between January 1, 1990, and September 28, 2018. Data Extraction: Data on the prevalences of poor sleep quality and insomnia in patients with CKD, including those receiving and not receiving KRT, were extracted. Analytical Approach: Pooled prevalences were estimated using a random-effects meta-analysis and were stratified according to age, CKD stage, World Health Organization region, risk of bias, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index score, and the different criteria for insomnia that were used at diagnosis. Results: Of 3,708 articles, 93 were selected, and significant methodological heterogeneity was present. The pooled prevalences of poor sleep quality for CKD without KRT, hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, and kidney transplantation were 59% (95% CI, 44%-73%), 68% (95% CI, 64%-73%), 67% (95% CI, 44%-86%), and 46% (95% CI, 34%-59%), respectively. The corresponding prevalences of insomnia were 48% (95% CI, 30%-67%), 46% (95% CI, 39%-54%), 61% (95% CI, 41%-79%), and 26% (95% CI, 9%-49%), respectively. Insomnia was significantly more prevalent among patients aged 51-60 years and those aged >60 years than among those aged <50 years. The prevalence of insomnia in the European region was the lowest of all World Health Organization regions. Limitations: High interstudy heterogeneity. Conclusions: Approximately half of the patients with advanced CKD had poor sleep quality or insomnia, and the prevalence was even higher among those who received KRT. Kidney transplantation may reduce the burden of poor sleep quality and insomnia.

Paradoxical mortality of high estimated glomerular filtration rate reversed by 24-h urine creatinine excretion rate adjustment: sarcopenia matters.

BACKGROUND: Muscle wasting may explain the paradoxical mortality of patients with high estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) derived from equation methods. However, empirical evidence and solutions remain insufficient. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we compared the performance of equation methods for predicting all-cause mortality; we used 24-h creatinine clearance (24-h CrCl), equation-based eGFRs, and a new eGFR estimating equation weighting for population 24-h urine creatinine excretion rate (U-CER). From 2003 to 2018, we identified 4986 patients whose data constituted the first 24-h CrCl measurement data in the Clinical Research Data Repository of China Medical University Hospital and were followed up for at least 5 years after careful exclusion. Three GFR estimation equations [the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study, and Taiwanese MDRD], 24-h CrCl, and 24-h U-CER-adjusted eGFR were used. RESULTS: A high correlation was observed among the eGFR levels derived from the equation methods (0.995-1.000); however, the correlation decreased to 0.895-0.914 when equation methods were compared with the 24-h CrCl or 24-h U-CER-adjusted equation-based eGFR. In the Bland-Altman plots, the average discrepancy between the equation methods and the 24-h CrCl method was close to zero (maximal bias range: 5.12 for the Taiwanese MDRD equation vs. 24-h CrCl), but the range in limit of agreement was wide, from ±43.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 for the CKD-EPI equation to ±54.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 for the Taiwanese MDRD equation. A J-shaped dose-response relationship was observed between all equation-based eGFRs and all-cause mortality. Only 24-h CrCl exhibited a non-linear negative dose-response relationship with all-cause mortality. After adjustment for 24-h U-CER in the statistical model, the paradoxical increase in mortality risk for an eGFR of >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 returned to null. When 24-h U-CER was used directly to correct eGFR, the monotonic non-linear negative relationship with all-cause mortality was almost identical to that of 24-h CrCl. CONCLUSIONS: The 24-h U-CER-adjusted eGFR and 24-h CrCl are viable options for informing mortality risk. The 24-h U-CER adjustment method can be practically implemented to eGFR-based care and effectively mitigate the inherent confounding biases from individual's muscle mass amount due to both sex and racial differences.