Global burden of liver disease: 2023 update.

Liver disease accounts for two million deaths annually and is responsible for 4% of all deaths (1 out of every 25 deaths worldwide); approximately two-thirds of all liver-related deaths occur in men. Deaths are largely attributable to complications of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, with acute hepatitis accounting for a smaller proportion of deaths. The most common causes of cirrhosis worldwide are related to viral hepatitis, alcohol, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Hepatotropic viruses are the aetiological factor in most cases of acute hepatitis, but drug-induced liver injury increasingly accounts for a significant proportion of cases. This iteration of the global burden of liver disease is an update of the 2019 version and focuses mainly on areas where significant new information is available like alcohol-associated liver disease, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, viral hepatitis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. We also devote a separate section to the burden of liver disease in Africa, an area of the world typically neglected in such documents.

Nomenclature, diagnosis and management of drug-induced autoimmune-like hepatitis (DI-ALH): An expert opinion meeting report.

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) can mimic almost all other liver disorders. A phenotype increasingly ascribed to drugs is autoimmune-like hepatitis (ALH). This article summarises the major topics discussed at a joint International Conference held between the Drug-Induced Liver Injury consortium and the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group. DI-ALH is a liver injury with laboratory and/or histological features that may be indistinguishable from those of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). Previous studies have revealed that patients with DI-ALH and those with idiopathic AIH have very similar clinical, biochemical, immunological and histological features. Differentiating DI-ALH from AIH is important as patients with DI-ALH rarely require long-term immunosuppression and the condition often resolves spontaneously after withdrawal of the implicated drug, whereas patients with AIH mostly require long-term immunosuppression. Therefore, revision of the diagnosis on long-term follow-up may be necessary in some cases. More than 40 different drugs including nitrofurantoin, methyldopa, hydralazine, minocycline, infliximab, herbal and dietary supplements (such as Khat and Tinospora cordifolia) have been implicated in DI-ALH. Understanding of DI-ALH is limited by the lack of specific markers of the disease that could allow for a precise diagnosis, while there is similarly no single feature which is diagnostic of AIH. We propose a management algorithm for patients with liver injury and an autoimmune phenotype. There is an urgent need to prospectively evaluate patients with DI-ALH systematically to enable definitive characterisation of this condition.

APASL-ACLF Research Consortium-Artificial Intelligence (AARC-AI) model precisely predicts outcomes in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We hypothesized that artificial intelligence (AI) models are more precise than standard models for predicting outcomes in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: We recruited ACLF patients between 2009 and 2020 from APASL-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC). Their clinical data, investigations and organ involvement were serially noted for 90-days and utilized for AI modelling. Data were split randomly into train and validation sets. Multiple AI models, MELD and AARC-Model, were created/optimized on train set. Outcome prediction abilities were evaluated on validation sets through area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and class precision. RESULTS: Among 2481 ACLF patients, 1501 in train set and 980 in validation set, the extreme gradient boost-cross-validated model (XGB-CV) demonstrated the highest AUC in train (0.999), validation (0.907) and overall sets (0.976) for predicting 30-day outcomes. The AUC and accuracy of the XGB-CV model (%Δ) were 7.0% and 6.9% higher than the standard day-7 AARC model (p < .001) and 12.8% and 10.6% higher than the day 7 MELD for 30-day predictions in validation set (p < .001). The XGB model had the highest AUC for 7- and 90-day predictions as well (p < .001). Day-7 creatinine, international normalized ratio (INR), circulatory failure, leucocyte count and day-4 sepsis were top features determining the 30-day outcomes. A simple decision tree incorporating creatinine, INR and circulatory failure was able to classify patients into high (~90%), intermediate (~60%) and low risk (~20%) of mortality. A web-based AARC-AI model was developed and validated twice with optimal performance for 30-day predictions. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of the AARC-AI model exceeds the standard models for outcome predictions in ACLF. An AI-based decision tree can reliably undertake severity-based stratification of patients for timely interventions.

Clinical and Liver Biochemistry Phenotypes, and Outcome in 133 Patients with Anti-seizure Drug-Induced Liver Injury.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVE: Anti-seizure drugs that cause idiosyncratic drug-induced liver injury (DILI) are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in individuals exposed to these drugs. The clinical and demographic characteristics, the liver injury pattern, the outcome, and the agents responsible for hepatotoxicity have not been thoroughly studied. We investigated the aforementioned characteristics in a large cohort of DILI registry patients. METHODS: Patients with anti-seizure DILI were studied from a large single-center DILI registry between 1998 and 2021. DILI was defined by international working group criteria with at least a probable relation with RUCAM. Immunoallergic features and organ-specific contribution to outcome were investigated. RESULTS: Anti-seizure drugs accounted for 133 patients (12.5%) among 1067 patients with idiosyncratic DILI. Compared to other agents, patients with anti-seizure DILI were younger (31 vs 41 years; p = 0.31), were more often females (52% vs 46%; p = 0.19) and had a lower frequency of jaundice (41% vs 59%, p = 0.001), MELD score (14.5 vs 16.5; p = 0.02) and mortality (9.8% vs 15.7%, p = 0.03). Anti-seizure DILI exhibited a greater frequency of hypersensitivity skin rashes (75% vs 22%, p < 0.001), including DRESS (51% vs 13%, p < 0.001) and SJS/TEN (19% vs1%, p < 0.001). A total of 18 different anti-seizure agents were responsible for DILI, largely contributed by carbamazepine (n = 36), phenytoin (n = 71), phenobarbitone (n = 8) and valproate (n = 14) which accounted for 89% of cases and 85% of 13 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Anti-seizure DILI are caused predominantly by first generation drugs. Newer agents account for < 10% of cases. Hypersensitivity reaction is the most common phenotypic presentation. Both severity and mortality are lower with anti-seizure DILI.

Idiosyncratic Drug-Induced Liver Injury Associated With and Without Drug Reaction With Eosinophilia and Systemic Symptoms.

INTRODUCTION: Immunoallergic drug-induced liver injury (DILI) presenting with features of drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS) is a distinct phenotype. We describe the clinical characteristics, hepatitis pattern, severity, complications, and implicated medications in DILI patients with and without DRESS. METHODS: Using established criteria, we analyzed DILI registry patients with and without DRESS from 1998 to 2021. RESULTS: DILI associated with DRESS (DwD) comprised 179 among 943 cases (19%) of DILI. Compared with the cohort without DRESS, patients with DwD are more often women and have shorter latency, lesser degrees of injury ( P < 0.01), and lower mortality (7.8%) than those without DRESS (16%). Antiepileptic drugs (36%), sulfonamides (19%), antituberculosis drugs (14%), antibiotics (10%), and antiretroviral drugs (8%) account for 87% of the cases of DwD. DISCUSSION: A limited number of drugs cause DwD, representing a fifth of patients with DILI. DwD is characterized by lesser degrees of liver injury and mortality likely because of earlier presentation.

Leflunomide-induced liver injury: Differences in characteristics and outcomes in Indian and US registries.

BACKGROUND: Leflunomide, a disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug, has been associated with elevations of serum aminotransferases. Herein, we describe the clinical, laboratory features and outcomes of 17 patients with leflunomide/teriflunomide hepatotoxicity from two large drug-induced liver injury (DILI) registries. METHODS: Consecutive, adjudicated cases of leflunomide (n = 16)-or teriflunomide (n = 1)-related DILI from a single centre in Bangalore, India and the multicentre US Drug-Induced Liver Injury Network (DILIN) were reviewed. RESULTS: Nine (0.8%) of the 1070 Indian patients and 8 (0.5%) of the 1400 DILIN patients fulfilled the criteria for DILI because of leflunomide- or teriflunomide. 89% of the Indian cases were women and all were associated with severe cutaneous adverse reaction (SCAR) and a median drug latency of 49 days, whereas 37.5% of the DILIN cases were female, none exhibited SCAR and the median drug latency was 166 days. Hepatocellular injury (70%) was more common in women than men (92% vs. 20%) and was associated with younger mean age (41 vs. 59 years), higher peak INR (2.3 vs. 1.2) and higher mortality (58% vs. 0%). Mortality was observed in six patients from India (2 of the three with myocarditis) and one received liver transplantation from the USA. CONCLUSION: Leflunomide-induced liver injury is predominantly hepatocellular. Leflunomide hepatotoxicity is more likely accompanied by SCAR, a short latency and a higher mortality in the Indian cohort, with a predominance of females, compared to US DILIN patients. The differences in skin involvement, immunoallergic features and outcomes among subjects from India vs. the USA suggest that genetic or environmental factors are important in the pathogenesis of liver injury.

Association of human leukocyte antigen-B*13:01 with dapsone-induced liver injury.

Human leukocyte antigens (HLA) have been linked to adverse drug reactions. Generally, HLA association is phenotype specific and is related to either liver or skin injury. HLA-A*13:01 has been linked to dapsone-induced severe cutaneous drug reactions and its role in drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is unclear. In our series, all of the four patients with immunoallergic dapsone DILI were carrying HLA-B*13:01 compared to its prevalence of 1-12% among Indians. HLA-B*13:01 plays a role not only in dapsone-induced severe cutaneous adverse reaction (SCAR) but also in dapsone-induced liver injury with immunoallergic features and highlights the role of adaptive immune response in the pathogenesis of both liver and skin injury and associated other organ involvement.

Impact of metabolic risk factors on the severity and outcome of patients with alcohol-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic risk factors may impact the severity and outcome of alcoholic liver disease. The present study evaluated this effect in patients with alcohol-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODOLOGY: One thousand two hundred and sixteen prospectively enrolled patients with ACLF (males 98%, mean age 42.5 ± 9.4 years, mean CTP, MELD and AARC scores of 12 ± 1.4, 29.7 ± 7 and 9.8 ± 2 respectively) from the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) database were analysed retrospectively. Patients with or without metabolic risk factors were compared for severity (CTP, MELD, AARC scores) and day 30 and 90 mortality. Information on overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension and dyslipidaemia were available in 1028 (85%), 1019 (84%), 1017 (84%) and 965 (79%) patients respectively. RESULTS: Overall, 392 (32%) patients died at day 30 and 528 (43%) at day 90. Overweight/obesity, T2DM, hypertension and dyslipidaemia were present in 154 (15%), 142 (14%), 66 (7%) and 141 (15%) patients, respectively, with no risk factors in 809 (67%) patients. Patients with overweight/obesity had higher MELD scores (30.6 ± 7.1 vs 29.2 ± 6.9, P = .007) and those with dyslipidaemia had higher AARC scores (10.4 ± 1.2 vs 9.8 ± 2, P = .014). Overweight/obesity was associated with increased day 30 mortality (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.06-2.24, P = .023). None of other metabolic risk factors, alone or in combination, had any impact on disease severity or mortality. On multivariate analysis, overweight or obesity was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (aHR 1.91, 95% CI 1.41-2.59, P < .001), independent of age, CTP, MELD and AARC scores. CONCLUSION: Overweight/obesity and dyslipidaemia increase the severity of alcohol-associated ACLF, and the former also increases the short-term mortality in these patients.

Plummer-Vinson syndrome: A decade's experience of 132 cases from a single center.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Plummer-Vinson syndrome (PVS) comprises triad of iron deficiency anemia, dysphagia, and post-cricoid esophageal web. PVS is rare nowadays due to improved nutritional status. However, we encountered patients with PVS regularly at our center. Data regarding PVS are limited; hence, we aimed to study the clinical features, treatment outcomes, and development of complications in patients with PVS. METHODS: The study was conducted over a 10-year period (January 2008 to January 2018) in a medical college setting. All adults with dysphagia, anemia, and post-cricoid web or those with iron deficiency anemia and post-cricoids web were included in the study. Patients were treated with iron supplementation and Savary-Gilliard bougie dilation of the web. Patients were followed-up for the recurrence of dysphagia and development of complications. RESULTS: Overall, 153 patients exhibited esophageal web, of which 132 (86.27%) patients had concomitant PVS and 21 (13.7%) patients did not. The mean age was 43.50 years (range 16-76) and 113 (85.6%) were women. Single session of Savary-Gilliard bougie dilation was successful in 90.7% of patients in relieving dysphagia and 9.3% developed recurrence, requiring repeated dilations. Four patients had concomitant squamous cell carcinoma of esophagus along with PVS and two developed upper gastrointestinal malignancy during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Plummer-Vinson syndrome is predominantly seen in middle aged women and present with symptoms of iron deficiency anemia and early grade dysphagia. Single session of Savary-Gilliard bougie dilation was successful in majority of patients in relieving dysphagia. Overall risk of developing upper gastrointestinal malignancy was 4.5%.

Dengue hepatitis with acute liver failure: Clinical, biochemical, histopathological characteristics and predictors of outcome.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis infection from non-hepatotropic viruses such as dengue virus (DENV) is increasing worldwide. There is increasing recognition of the changing epidemiology and atypical presentations of DENV infection including acute liver failure (ALF). There is paucity of data regarding incidence, disease characteristics, and markers of prognosis in patients who develop DENV-related ALF. METHODS: We aimed to study the incidence, clinical features, laboratory characteristics, and determinants of outcome in patients of DENV presenting with ALF. We reviewed all patients with DENV infection and focused on DENV-related ALF from 2014 to 2017. Diagnosis of DENV and ALF was confirmed by serological tests and standard criteria, respectively. RESULTS: Thirty-six patients (20 men, mean age 32.3) developed ALF among 10 108 patients with DENV infection (0.35%). Twenty-one patients died (58.3%). Although bilirubin, aspartate and alanine aminotransferase, and international normalized ratio were markedly elevated in all patients with DENV ALF, there was no statistically significant difference between survivors and non-survivors. Lactate levels, pH at admission, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were the only predictors of mortality. Lactate levels were significantly higher in non-survivors (11.5 ± 4.2 mmol/L) than survivors (6.3 ± 3.6 mmol/L) (P < 0.001). MELD score in non-survivors (26.7 ± 10.2) was significantly higher than in survivors (20 ± 7.2) (P = 0.039). Receiver operator characteristic curve showed lactate or pH to be a superior prognostic marker than MELD with an area under the curve of 0.80, 0.79, and 0.70, respectively. CONCLUSION: Dengue hepatitis progressed to ALF in 0.35%. Development of ALF was associated with a high mortality (> 50%). Lactate level, pH, and MELD score at admission were significant determinants of outcome.

Burden of liver diseases in the world.

Liver disease accounts for approximately 2 million deaths per year worldwide, 1 million due to complications of cirrhosis and 1million due to viral hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Cirrhosis is currently the 11th most common cause of death globally and liver cancer is the 16th leading cause of death; combined, they account for 3.5% of all deaths worldwide. Cirrhosis is within the top 20 causes of disability-adjusted life years and years of life lost, accounting for 1.6% and 2.1% of the worldwide burden. About 2 billion people consume alcohol worldwide and upwards of 75 million are diagnosed with alcohol-use disorders and are at risk of alcohol-associated liver disease. Approximately 2 billion adults are obese or overweight and over 400 million have diabetes; both of which are risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. The global prevalence of viral hepatitis remains high, while drug-induced liver injury continues to increase as a major cause of acute hepatitis. Liver transplantation is the second most common solid organ transplantation, yet less than 10% of global transplantation needs are met at current rates. Though these numbers are sobering, they highlight an important opportunity to improve public health given that most causes of liver diseases are preventable.

Drug-Induced Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Asian Patients.

OBJECTIVES: Acute insults from viruses, infections, or alcohol are established causes of decompensation leading to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Information regarding drugs as triggers of ACLF is lacking. We examined data regarding drugs producing ACLF and analyzed clinical features, laboratory characteristics, outcome, and predictors of mortality in patients with drug-induced ACLF. METHODS: We identified drugs as precipitants of ACLF among prospective cohort of patients with ACLF from the Asian Pacific Association of Study of Liver (APASL) ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) database. Drugs were considered precipitants after exclusion of known causes together with a temporal association between exposure and decompensation. Outcome was defined as death from decompensation. RESULTS: Of the 3,132 patients with ACLF, drugs were implicated as a cause in 329 (10.5%, mean age 47 years, 65% men) and other nondrug causes in 2,803 (89.5%) (group B). Complementary and alternative medications (71.7%) were the commonest insult, followed by combination antituberculosis therapy drugs (27.3%). Alcoholic liver disease (28.6%), cryptogenic liver disease (25.5%), and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (16.7%) were common causes of underlying liver diseases. Patients with drug-induced ACLF had jaundice (100%), ascites (88%), encephalopathy (46.5%), high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) (30.2), and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (12.1). The overall 90-day mortality was higher in drug-induced (46.5%) than in non-drug-induced ACLF (38.8%) (P = 0.007). The Cox regression model identified arterial lactate (P < 0.001) and total bilirubin (P = 0.008) as predictors of mortality. DISCUSSION: Drugs are important identifiable causes of ACLF in Asia-Pacific countries, predominantly from complementary and alternative medications, followed by antituberculosis drugs. Encephalopathy, bilirubin, blood urea, lactate, and international normalized ratio (INR) predict mortality in drug-induced ACLF.

Drug-induced liver injury with skin reactions: Drugs and host risk factors, clinical phenotypes and prognosis.

While dermatologic manifestations of adverse drug reactions are frequent, drug-induced liver injury is rare. Numerous drugs are implicated in either Drug-Induced Liver Injury or Drug-Induced Skin Injury. However, concomitant Drug-Induced Liver Injury and Drug-Induced Skin Injury are uncommon, not well characterized and appear to be caused by a limited number of drugs. These are often associated with immuno-allergic or hypersensitivity features such as fever, skin rash, blisters or peeling of skin, eosinophilia, lymphadenopathy and mucositis. Liver injury can range from asymptomatic elevation of liver biochemical tests to severe hepatitis and acute liver failure needing liver transplantation. Severe cutaneous adverse reaction, particularly drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms is commonly associated with internal organ involvement, the liver being the most frequently involved in approximately 90% of the cases. In Stevens-Johnson Syndrome/Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis, abnormalities in liver biochemistry tests are common but severe liver disease is rare. There is a strong association of Human Leukocyte Antigen genotype with both drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms and Stevens-Johnson Syndrome/Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis. It is likely that the delayed immune-mediated reaction triggering skin reaction is also responsible for hepatitis. Drug-specific lymphocytes are found in the organs involved and also in circulating blood, which along with the cytokines and chemokines play a role in pathogenesis. Anti-epileptic drugs, allopurinol, sulfonamides, antibiotics and nevirapine are the top five causes of concomitant liver and skin injury. This review will focus on drug and host factors causing concomitant Drug-Induced Skin Injury and Drug-Induced Liver Injury and discuss the characteristics of liver involvement in patients with severe cutaneous adverse reaction.

Drug-induced acute liver failure in children and adults: Results of a single-centre study of 128 patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Drugs producing acute liver failure (ALF) are uncommon and vary geographically. Here we review the implicated drugs, clinical features, laboratory characteristics and outcome of patients with drug-induced ALF (DIALF). We analysed the predictors of mortality and their relationship with MELD, King's College criteria (KCC) and ALFSG prognostic index. METHODS: We identified DIALF patients from our drug-induced liver injury (DILI) registry (1997-2017). RUCAM was used for case adjudication. Patients who fulfilled criteria for acute liver failure and drug-induced liver injury were included. Primary outcome measure was spontaneous survival or death. RESULTS: There were 128 cases of DIALF (14%) among 905 patients with DILI. Mean age was 38 years, 68 (53%) female and 21(16.4%) children <18 years. Combination anti-TB drugs (ATD) (n = 92, 72.4%) accounted for a majority of DIALF. Others were anti-epileptic drugs (AED, n = 11, 10%), dapsone (n = 7, 5.5%), hormones (n = 2), ferrous sulphate overdose (n = 2), acetaminophen (APAP) (n = 2), antiretroviral (n = 2), CAM (N = 2), chemotherapy agents (N = 3), amoxicillin-clavulanic acid (n = 2) and others (n = 3). Forty-four patients (34%) recovered spontaneously and 84(66%) including 13 children (62%) died. Females, ascites, albumin, bilirubin, INR and MELD were significantly associated with mortality. Mortality was 79% for ATD and 100% for APAP and iron overdose. Area under ROC was 0.76 for MELD and ALFSG index and 0.51 for KCC. CONCLUSIONS: Fourteen percent of DILI resulted in DIALF. ATD, AED, dapsone and antiretroviral drugs are most common agents. Spontaneous survival was only 34% with an even higher mortality with ATD. Non-ATD and non-APAP drugs had a better survival (51%).INR and MELD predicted mortality.

Drug-induced liver injury associated with Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis: Patient characteristics, causes, and outcome in 36 cases.

UNLABELLED: The liver and skin are the organs most commonly involved in serious adverse drug reactions. Rarely a drug reaction can affect both organs concurrently. The association of drug-induced liver injury (DILI) and Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) or toxic epidermal necrosis (TEN) is even rarer and not well studied. We describe our experience of DILI occurring in association with SJS/TEN including the etiologic agents, clinical and biochemical characteristics, and outcome. We identified patients who developed DILI in association with SJS/TEN from a registry of DILI patients from a single center. Causality assessment for DILI and SJS/TEN was carried out with the Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method and the Algorithm for Drug Causality for Epidermal Necrolysis, respectively. Among 748 consecutive patients with DILI from 1997 to March 2015, 36 (4.8%) had associated features of SJS/TEN. The mean age was 32 years (females 19). Children and patients with human immunodeficiency virus constituted 25% (n = 9) and 22% (n = 8), respectively. Only a small number of "high-risk" drugs such as antiepileptic agents, sulfonamides, and antiretroviral drugs accounted for the majority of cases. Overall mortality was 36% (n = 13), which rose to 45.5% in the presence of jaundice. Mortality was less in children 11% (n = 1) and human immunodeficiency virus patients 12.5% (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: DILI associated with SJS/TEN is rare and associated with a high death rate, particularly in those with jaundice; however, children and human immunodeficiency virus-infected individuals have a favorable outcome; a small group of drugs contributed to a disproportionate number of cases, and causality with Roussel Uclaf Causality Assessment Method and the Algorithm for Drug Causality for Epidermal Necrolysis was highly probable or probable in all cases.

Development of predisposition, injury, response, organ failure model for predicting acute kidney injury in acute on chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: There is limited data on predictors of acute kidney injury in acute on chronic liver failure. We developed a PIRO model (Predisposition, Injury, Response, Organ failure) for predicting acute kidney injury in a multicentric cohort of acute on chronic liver failure patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data of 2360 patients from APASL-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) was analysed. Multivariate logistic regression model (PIRO score) was developed from a derivation cohort (n=1363) which was validated in another prospective multicentric cohort of acute on chronic liver failure patients (n=997). RESULTS: Factors significant for P component were serum creatinine[(≥2 mg/dL)OR 4.52, 95% CI (3.67-5.30)], bilirubin [(<12 mg/dL,OR 1) vs (12-30 mg/dL,OR 1.45, 95% 1.1-2.63) vs (≥30 mg/dL,OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3-5.2)], serum potassium [(<3 mmol/LOR-1) vs (3-4.9 mmol/L,OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.05-1.97) vs (≥5 mmol/L,OR 4.34, 95% CI 1.67-11.3)] and blood urea (OR 3.73, 95% CI 2.5-5.5); for I component nephrotoxic medications (OR-9.86, 95% CI 3.2-30.8); for R component,Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome,(OR-2.14, 95% CI 1.4-3.3); for O component, Circulatory failure (OR-3.5, 95% CI 2.2-5.5). The PIRO score predicted acute kidney injury with C-index of 0.95 and 0.96 in the derivation and validation cohort. The increasing PIRO score was also associated with mortality (P<.001) in both the derivation and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The PIRO model identifies and stratifies acute on chronic liver failure patients at risk of developing acute kidney injury. It reliably predicts mortality in these patients, underscoring the prognostic significance of acute kidney injury in patients with acute on chronic liver failure.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome in acute-on-chronic liver failure: Relevance of 'golden window': A prospective study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) is an early marker of sepsis and ongoing inflammation and has been reported in large proportion of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients. Whether sepsis is the cause or the result of liver failure is unclear and is vital to know. To address this, the study investigated the course and outcome of ACLF patients without SIRS/sepsis. METHODS: Consecutive ACLF patients were monitored for the development of SIRS/sepsis and associated complications and followed till 90 days, liver transplant or death. RESULTS: Of 561 patients, 201 (35.8%) had no SIRS and 360 (64.2%) had SIRS with or without infection. New onset SIRS and sepsis developed in 74.6% and 8% respectively in a median of 7 (range 4-15) days, at a rate of 11% per day. The cumulative incidence of new SIRS was 29%, 92.8%, and 100% by days 4, 7, and 15. Liver failure, that is, bilirubin > 12 mg/dL (odds ratio [OR] = 2.5 [95% confidence interval {CI} = 1.05-6.19], P = 0.04) at days 0 and 4, and renal failure at day 4 (OR = 6.74 [95%CI = 1.50-13.29], P = 0.01), independently predicted new onset SIRS. Absence of SIRS in the first week was associated with reduced incidence of organ failure (20% vs 39.4%, P = 0.003), as was the 28-day (17.6% vs 36%, P = 0.02) and 90-day (27.5% vs 51%,P = 0.002) mortality. The 90-day mortality was 61.6% in the total cohort and that for those having no SIRS and SIRS at presentation were 42.8% and 65%, respectively (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Liver failure predicts the development of SIRS. New onset SIRS in the first week is an important determinant of early sepsis, organ failure, and survival. Prompt interventions in this 'golden window' before development of sepsis may improve the outcome of ACLF.