Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden-Volume 4.

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 17 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the Middle East, and interventions for achieving the Global Health Sector Strategy on viral hepatitis targets-"WHO Targets" (65% reduction in HCV-related deaths, 90% reduction in new infections and 90% of infections diagnosed by 2030) were considered. Scaling up treatment and diagnosis rates over time would be required to achieve these targets in all but one country, even with the introduction of high SVR therapies. The scenarios developed to achieve the WHO Targets in all countries studied assumed the implementation of national policies to prevent new infections and to diagnose current infections through screening.

The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus infections with today's treatment paradigm: Volume 4.

Factors influencing the morbidity and mortality associated with viremic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection change over time and place, making it difficult to compare reported estimates. Models were developed for 17 countries (Bahrain, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Colombia, Croatia, Dominican Republic, Ethiopia, Ghana, Hong Kong, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Morocco, Nigeria, Qatar and Taiwan) to quantify and characterize the viremic population as well as forecast the changes in the infected population and the corresponding disease burden from 2015 to 2030. Model inputs were agreed upon through expert consensus, and a standardized methodology was followed to allow for comparison across countries. The viremic prevalence is expected to remain constant or decline in all but four countries (Ethiopia, Ghana, Jordan and Oman); however, HCV-related morbidity and mortality will increase in all countries except Qatar and Taiwan. In Qatar, the high-treatment rate will contribute to a reduction in total cases and HCV-related morbidity by 2030. In the remaining countries, however, the current treatment paradigm will be insufficient to achieve large reductions in HCV-related morbidity and mortality.

Apolipoproteins as predictors of cardiovascular risk in patients with chronic pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with pancreatic diseases are at increased risk of cardiovascular events. Investigating various apolipoprotein forms as important atherogenesis components may improve cardiovascular risk (CVR) prediction. This study aimed to investigate CVR factors in patients with chronic pancreatitis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study enrolled 70 patients (40 males and 30 females, mean age 55.2 years) with chronic pancreatitis and treated pancreatic exocrine insufficiency. We assessed CVR by apolipoproteins A-I, A-II, B, and C-III, lipid profile; score systems [SCORE risk chart and Framingham Risk Score (FRS)], diabetes mellitus; chronic pancreatitis by M-ANNHEIM classification. Statistics were performed via SPSS v. 22. RESULTS: Low apolipoprotein A-I and high apolipoprotein B levels with increased atherogenic potential were observed in 37 and 26 patients. 45.71% demonstrated a high risk of myocardial infarction with high apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I ratio. Men are at higher CVR risk. Apolipoproteins A-I and A-II correlated with the cardioprotective high-density lipoprotein (HDL) in contrast to apolipoproteins B and C-III, which correlated strongly with low-density lipoprotein (LDL), total cholesterol (TC), and triglycerides (TG). Increased CVR assessed by FRS correlated with significantly lower apolipoprotein A-I and higher apolipoprotein B and apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I ratio. With the increase in chronic pancreatitis severity, we observed decreased apolipoproteins and increased apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I ratio. CONCLUSIONS: Apolipoproteins are valuable CVR indicators. Further studies are required to establish a CVR screening panel in this population.