Routine CSF parameters as predictors of disease course in multiple sclerosis: an MSBase cohort study.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether routine cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) parameters can serve as predictors of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease course. METHODS: This large-scale cohort study included persons with MS with CSF data documented in the MSBase registry. CSF parameters to predict time to reach confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores 4, 6 and 7 and annualised relapse rate in the first 2 years after diagnosis (ARR2) were assessed using (cox) regression analysis. RESULTS: In total, 11 245 participants were included of which 93.7% (n=10 533) were persons with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). In RRMS, the presence of CSF oligoclonal bands (OCBs) was associated with shorter time to disability milestones EDSS 4 (adjusted HR=1.272 (95% CI, 1.089 to 1.485), p=0.002), EDSS 6 (HR=1.314 (95% CI, 1.062 to 1.626), p=0.012) and EDSS 7 (HR=1.686 (95% CI, 1.111 to 2.558), p=0.014). On the other hand, the presence of CSF pleocytosis (≥5 cells/µL) increased time to moderate disability (EDSS 4) in RRMS (HR=0.774 (95% CI, 0.632 to 0.948), p=0.013). None of the CSF variables were associated with time to disability milestones in persons with primary progressive MS (PPMS). The presence of CSF pleocytosis increased ARR2 in RRMS (adjusted R2=0.036, p=0.015). CONCLUSIONS: In RRMS, the presence of CSF OCBs predicts shorter time to disability milestones, whereas CSF pleocytosis could be protective. This could however not be found in PPMS. CSF pleocytosis is associated with short-term inflammatory disease activity in RRMS. CSF analysis provides prognostic information which could aid in clinical and therapeutic decision-making.

Safety and effectiveness of disease-modifying therapies after switching from natalizumab.

INTRODUCTION: One strategy to mitigate progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) risk is to switch to other highly effective disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). However, the optimal switch DMT following natalizumab (NTZ) discontinuation is yet to be determined. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study is to determine the most effective and tolerable DMTs to switch to following NTZ discontinuation due to John Cunningham virus (JCV) antibody positivity. METHODS: This is a multicenter observational cohort study that included all stable relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) patients who were treated with NTZ for at least 6 months before switching therapy due to JCV antibody positivity. RESULTS: Of 321 patients, 255 switched from NTZ to rituximab/ocrelizumab, 52 to fingolimod, and 14 to alemtuzumab, with higher annualized relapse rate (ARR) in fingolimod switchers (0.193) compared with rituximab/ocrelizumab or alemtuzumab (0.028 and 0.032, respectively). Fingolimod switchers also had increased disability progression (p = 0.014) and a higher proportion developed magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions compared with rituximab/ocrelizumab (62.9% vs. 13.0%, p < 0.001, and 66.6% vs. 24.0%, p < 0.001, respectively). Mean drug survival favored rituximab/ocrelizumab or alemtuzumab over fingolimod (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study shows superior effectiveness of rituximab/ocrelizumab and alemtuzumab compared with fingolimod in stable patients switching from NTZ due to JC virus antibody positivity.

Environmental factors related to multiple sclerosis progression.

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a complex neurological disease which prevalence is increasing worldwide. The impact of environmental factors on MS susceptibility has already been defined and highlighted in many previous reports, particularly vitamin D or ultraviolet B light exposure, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, obesity, and smoking. There is increasing evidence that environmental and lifestyle factors are not only important in triggering MS but are also implicated in MS progression. Low sun exposure and vitamin D deficiency exhibit a strong relationship with disease progression in both animal and human studies. The gestational period seems also to impact long-term disease progression as January's babies had a higher risk of requiring walking assistance than those born in other months. The implication of EBV in neurodegeneration and MS progression was also suggested even though its specific targets and mechanisms are still unclear. Cigarette smoking is correlated with faster clinical progression. The association of obesity and smoking seems to be associated with a faster progression and an increased rate of brain atrophy. Although the effect of air pollution on MS pathogenesis remains not fully understood, exposure to polluted air can stimulate several mechanisms that might contribute to MS severity. People with MS with active disease have an altered microbiota compared to patients in the remission phase. Cardiovascular comorbidities, epilepsy, and depression are also associated with a more severe disability accrual. Knowledge about MS modifiable risk factors of progression need to be incorporated into everyday clinical practice in order to ameliorate disease outcomes.

Phenotypic Spectrum of Progressive Supranuclear Palsy: Clinical Study and Apolipoprotein E Effect.

OBJECTIVE: Progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) is a rare neurodegenerative disorder encompassing several phenotypes with various motor and cognitive deficits. We aimed to study motor and cognitive characteristics across PSP phenotypes and to assess the influence of apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene variants on PSP phenotypic expression. METHODS: In this 20-year cross-sectional study, we retrospectively reviewed the charts of all patients classified as PSP patients and recategorized them according to phenotype using the Movement Disorder Society criteria (2017). Phenotypes were divided into three subgroups, Richardson's syndrome (PSP-RS), PSP-cortical (PSP with predominant frontal presentation [PSP-F] + PSP with predominant speech/language disorder [PSP-SL] + PSP with predominant corticobasal syndrome [PSP-CBS]) and PSP-subcortical (PSP with predominant parkinsonism [PSP-P] + PSP with progressive gait freezing [PSP-PGF] + PSP with predominant postural instability [PSP-PI] + PSP with predominant ocular motor dysfunction [PSP-OM] + PSP with cerebellar ataxia [PSP-C] + PSP with primary lateral sclerosis [PSP-PLS]), based on clinical presentation during the first 3 years after symptom onset, which defines the early disease stage. Clinical and neuropsychological assessment data were collected. Genotyping of APOE was performed using restriction fragment length polymorphism polymerase chain reaction and verified by Sanger sequencing. RESULTS: We included 112 PSP patients comprising 10 phenotypes classified into 48 PSP-RS, 34 PSP-cortical (PSP-CBS, 17.6%; PSP-F, 9.4%; PSP-SL, 8.2%) and 30 PSP-subcortical (PSP-P, 11.6%; PSP-PI, 8%; PSP-OM, 2.7%; PSP-PGF, 1.8%; PSP-C, 1.8%; PSP-PLS, 0.9%) subgroups. PSP-RS patients were older at disease onset (p = 0.009) and had more akinetic-rigid and levodopa-resistant parkinsonism (p = 0.006), while PSP-cortical patients had more tremors and asymmetric and/or levodopa-responsive parkinsonism (p = 0.025). Cognitive domains were significantly less altered in the PSP-subcortical subgroup. Overall, PSP-APOEε4 carriers developed parkinsonism earlier (p = 0.038), had earlier oculomotor dysfunction (p = 0.052) and had more altered cognitive profiles. The APOEε4 allele was also associated with a younger age of parkinsonism onset in the PSP-RS phenotype group (p = 0.026). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated the wide phenotypic spectrum of PSP among Tunisians. Disease onset and akinetic-rigid and levodopa-resistant parkinsonism were the hallmarks of the PSP-RS phenotype, while milder cognitive impairment was characteristic of the PSP-subcortical subgroup. The APOEε4 allele was associated with earlier parkinsonism and oculomotor dysfunction and seemed to play a role in defining a more altered cognitive profile in PSP patients.

Clinical and molecular predictors of survival among atypical parkinsonian syndromes in a North African tertiary referral center.

INTRODUCTION: Atypical Parkinsonian Syndromes(APS) are challenging neurodegenerative disorders due to their heterogeneous phenotypic overlaps.So far,there are no validated biomarkers that can accurately predict disease progression,and survival studies were highly different and contradictory. AIM: To investigate clinical and molecular survival factors among Tunisian APS patients. METHODS: A retrospective study included Tunisian APS-patients.Using clinical and molecular parameters,survival was explored by Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: We included 409-APS patients divided into 166-DLB,112-PSP,81-MSA and 50-CBS.Survival rate was similar in synucleinopathies, while it differed in tauopathies,being shorter in PSP compared to CBS.Median survival in DLB was different according to gender(p = 0.0048),early parkinsonism and cognitive disorders. Among MSA, prognosis was worse in MSA-C-patients(p = 0.012) and those with stridor(p = 0.0049),oculomotor and neuropsychiatric disorders. For tauopathies, survival was shorter in PSP-RS(p = 0.027),cerebellar phenotype, those with tremor and swallowing problems at onset, early parkinsonism and memory impairment. For CBS,prognosis was worse in patients with tremor,swallowing and cognitive problems.Significant differences were noted in terms of survival across APS non-carriers of APOE-ε4(p < 0.001) as well APS patients carriers of MAPT-H1.PSP patients had lower survival rate according to MAPT haplotype carriage. Moreover, the number of copies had an influence as patients with H1/H2-MAPT profile had better prognosis than those with H1/H1. CONCLUSION: This study determined survival rates in APS subgroups,which were comparable across synucleinopathies but shorter in PSP and longer in CBS.It also characterized demographic,phenotypic,and genetic profiles identifying more aggressive forms within APS subgroups.These findings address clinical gaps,aiding counseling for patients and families and guiding clinical management.Furthermore,they could facilitate patient stratification in clinical trials where mortality is an outcome measure.

Dysregulation of Porphyromonas gingivalis Agmatine Deiminase Expression in Alzheimer's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most prevalent neurodegenerative disorder, with a significant burden on global health. AD is characterized by a progressive cognitive decline and memory loss. Emerging research suggests a potential link between periodontitis, specifically the presence of oral bacteria such as Porphyromonas gingivalis (P. gingivalis), and AD progression. P. gingivalis produces an enzyme, Agmatine deiminase (AgD), which converts agmatine to N-carbamoyl putrescine (NCP), serving as a precursor to essential polyamines. Recent studies have confirmed the correlation between disruptions in polyamine metabolism and cognitive impairment. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate the dysregulation of P. gingivalis Agmatine deiminase (PgAgD) in the context of AD. METHODS: Saliva samples were collected from a total of 54 individuals, including 27 AD patients and 27 healthy controls. The expression of the PgAgD gene was analyzed using quantitative Real-- Time PCR. RESULTS: The results showed a significant decrease in PgAgD gene expression in the saliva samples of AD patients compared to healthy controls. This downregulation was found in AD patients with advanced stages of periodontitis. Additionally, a correlation was observed between the decrease in PgAgD expression and the 30-item Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that measuring PgAgD expression in saliva could be a noninvasive tool for monitoring AD progression and aid in the early diagnosis of patients with periodontitis. Further research is needed to validate our results and explore the underlying mechanisms linking periodontitis, PgAgD expression, and AD pathophysiology.

Comorbidity of bathing suit ichthyosis and limb-girdle muscular dystrophy type 2 A in a Tunisian patient revealed by Whole Exome Sequencing.

Elevated rates of consanguinity and inbreeding are responsible for the high prevalence of recessively inherited diseases among inbred populations including Tunisia. In addition, the co-occurrence of two of these conditions, called also comorbidity, within the same individual or in members of the same family are often described in Tunisia which is challenging for diagnosis. The high throughput sequencing has improved the diagnosis of inherited diseases. We report here on a 32-year-old woman born to consanguineous parents. She presented with congenital ichthyosis and muscular dystrophy. She was primarily suspected as suffering from Chanarin-Dorfman syndrome (CDS) with unusual form. Screening of founder mutations allowed only the elucidation of the molecular etiology of Ichthyosis. As the result was inconclusive, Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) was conducted. WES data analysis led to the identification of a mutation in the CAPN3 gene underlying limb-girdle muscular dystrophy type 2A (LGMD2A). Sanger sequencing confirmed the familial segregation of mutations. This work presents the first case worldwide of individual comorbidity of bathing suit ichthyosis and LGMD2A. The co-occurrence of two diseases should be systematically considered when establishing a diagnosis especially in consanguineous populations. WES is a powerful tool for molecular diagnosis in particular for revealing comorbidities and rectifying the diagnosis.

The Impact of LRRK2 G2019S on Parkinson's Disease: Clinical Phenotype and Treatment in Tunisian Patients.

OBJECTIVE: LRRK2-G2019S is the most frequent mutation in North African Parkinson's disease (PD) patients. Data on its impact on disease progression and treatment response remain elusive. Therefore, we investigated the clinical features, treatments, and complications of PD in Tunisian patients according to their LRRK2-G2019S profile. METHODS: This longitudinal retrospective study was performed in the Department of Neurology, Razi University Hospital. We included clinically diagnosed PD patients according to the Movement Disorders Society criteria and reviewed their medical records for clinical, treatment, and neuropsychological assessments. All patients were screened for the LRRK2-G2019S mutation using Sanger sequencing. The correlation between LRRK2-G2019S and clinical PD features was evaluated. RESULTS: We included 393 PD patients, 41.5% of whom had LRRK2-G2019S mutations. Patients with mutations were younger (p = 0.017), and female PD patients had a greater mutation frequency (p = 0.008). Mutation carriers exhibited distinct clinical features, with a greater frequency of postural instability gait difficulty forms (adjusted-p < 0.001). During disease progression, carriers showed a faster annual progression in the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale Section III scores (adjusted-p = 0.009), and significantly higher levodopa equivalent dose values in later stages (1060.81 vs. 877.83 for 6-8 years). Motor complications, such as dyskinesia (adjusted-p < 0.001) and motor fluctuations (31.9% vs. 25.7%, adjusted-p < 0.001), were more prevalent in carriers, particularly in the later stages. LRRK2-G2019S carriers also exhibited a lower prevalence of non-motor symptoms, including episodic memory (adjusted-p < 0.001), attention (adjusted-p < 0.001), and dysexecutive disorders (adjusted-p = 0.038), as well as neuropsychiatric symptoms and dysautonomic signs. CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrated that the variability of the clinical profile among Tunisian PD patients was explained by the incomplete penetrance of LRRK2-G2019S, which increased with age. Further studies using biomarker and disease progression data are necessary to improve PD management.

Comparative Effectiveness of Natalizumab, Fingolimod, and Injectable Therapies in Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis: A Registry-Based Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Patients with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) typically experience higher levels of inflammation with more frequent relapses, and though patients with POMS usually recover from relapses better than adults, patients with POMS reach irreversible disability at a younger age than adult-onset patients. There have been few randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trials of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in patients with POMS, and most available data are based on observational studies of off-label use of DMTs approved for adults. We assessed the effectiveness of natalizumab compared with fingolimod using injectable platform therapies as a reference in pediatric patients in the global MSBase registry. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with POMS who initiated treatment with an injectable DMT, natalizumab, or fingolimod between January 1, 2006, and May 3, 2021. Patients were matched using inverse probability treatment weighting. The primary outcome was time to first relapse from index therapy initiation. Secondary study outcomes included annualized relapse rate; proportions of relapse-free patients at 1, 2, and 5 years; time to treatment discontinuation; and times to 24-week confirmed disability worsening and confirmed disability improvement. RESULTS: A total of 1,218 patients with POMS were included in this analysis. Patients treated with fingolimod had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated with injectable DMTs (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29-0.83; p = 0.008). After adjustment for prior DMT experience in the unmatched sample, patients treated with natalizumab had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated either with injectable DMTs (HR, 0.15; 95% CI 0.07-0.31; p < 0.001) or fingolimod (HR, 0.37; 95% CI 0.14-1.00; p = 0.049). The adjusted secondary study outcomes were generally consistent with the primary outcome or with previous observations. The findings in the inverse probability treatment weighting-adjusted patient populations were confirmed in multiple sensitivity analyses. DISCUSSION: Our analyses of relapse risk suggest that natalizumab is more effective than fingolimod in the control of relapses in this population with high rates of new inflammatory activity, consistent with previous studies of natalizumab and fingolimod in adult-onset patients and POMS. In addition, both fingolimod and natalizumab were more effective than first-line injectable therapies. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that patients with POMS treated with natalizumab had a lower risk of relapse than those with fingolimod.

Disease-modifying therapies, outcomes, risk factors and severity of COVID-19 in multiple sclerosis: A MENACTRIMS registry based study.

BACKGROUND: There is a lack information regarding risk factors associated with worse COVID-19 outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in the MENA region. METHODS: This is a multicenter, retrospective cohort study that included all MS patients with a suspected or confirmed COVID-19 infection using the MENACTRIMS registry. The association of demographics, disease characteristics, and use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) with outcomes and severity of COVID-19 were evaluated by multivariate logistic model. RESULTS: A total of 600 MS patients with confirmed (n = 542) or highly suspected (n = 58) COVID-19 were analyzed. Seventy-three patients (12.2 %) had a COVID-19 severity score of ≥3 on a 7-point ordinal scale (ranging from 1 [not hospitalized with no limitations on activities] to 7 [death] with a cutoff at 3 [hospitalized and not requiring supplemental oxygen]), and 15 patients (2.5 %) died. Out of 73 patients with a severity score ≥3, 90.4 % were on DMTs; 50.6 % of them were on anti-CD20, including ocrelizumab and rituximab. Multivariate logistic regression showed that older age (odds ratio per 10 years, 1.4 [95 %CI, 1.0-1.8]), disability (OR for EDSS 3.0-5.5, 2.9 [95 %CI. 1.5-5.7], OR for EDSS ≥6.0, 2.3 [95 %CI. 1.0-5.1]), obesity (OR, 3.0 [95 %CI, 1.5-6.0]), and treatment with rituximab (OR, 9.0 [95 %CI, 3.1-25.3]) or off-label immunosuppressive medications (OR, 5.6 [95 %CI. 1.1-27.8]) were risk factors for moderate or severe COVID-19. CONCLUSION: In this registry-based study of MS patients, age, sex, EDSS, obesity, progressive MS were risk factors for severe COVID-19. Moreover, there was an association found between exposure to anti-CD20 DMTs and COVID-19 severity.

Safety and efficacy of intra-erythrocyte dexamethasone sodium phosphate in children with ataxia telangiectasia (ATTeST): a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Ataxia telangiectasia is a multisystem disorder with progressive neurodegeneration. Corticosteroids can improve neurological functioning in patients with the disorder but adrenal suppression and symptom recurrence on treatment discontinuation has limited their use, prompting the development of novel steroid delivery systems. The aim of the ATTeST study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of intra-erythrocyte delivery of dexamethasone sodium phosphate compared with placebo in children with ataxia telangiectasia. METHODS: This multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial was done at 22 centres in 12 countries (Australia, Belgium, Germany, India, Israel, Italy, Norway, Poland, Spain, Tunisia, the UK, and the USA). Eligible participants were children aged 6 years or older weighing more than 15 kg who met clinical criteria for ataxia telangiectasia but who had preserved autonomous gait. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to low-dose (approximately 5-10 mg), or high-dose (approximately 14-22 mg) intra-erythrocyte dexamethasone sodium phosphate, or placebo, using an independent interactive web response system, with minimisation for sex and age (6-9 years vs ≥10 years). Intravenous intra-erythrocyte dexamethasone sodium phosphate was administered once a month for 6 months. Participants, employees of the sponsor, investigators, all raters of efficacy endpoints, and central reviewers were masked to treatment assignment and dose allocations. The primary efficacy endpoint was change in the modified International Cooperative Ataxia Rating Scale (mICARS) from baseline to month 6, assessed in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population, which included all randomly assigned participants who received at least one dose of study drug and had at least one post-baseline efficacy assessment. This trial is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02770807) and is complete. FINDINGS: Between March 2, 2017, and May 13, 2021, 239 children were assessed for eligibility, of whom 176 were randomly assigned. One patient assigned to high-dose intra-erythrocyte dexamethasone sodium phosphate did not initiate treatment. 175 patients received at least one dose of treatment (59 patients received the low dose and 57 received the high dose of intra-erythrocyte dexamethasone sodium phosphate, and 59 received placebo). The mITT population comprised 164 participants (56 children in the low-dose group, 54 children in the high-dose group, and 54 in the placebo group). Compared with the placebo group, no differences were identified with regard to change in mICARS score from baseline to 6 months in the low-dose group (least squares mean difference -1·37 [95% CI -2·932 to 0·190]) or the high-dose group (-1·40 [-2·957 to 0·152]; p=0·0765). Adverse events were reported in 43 (73%) of 59 participants in the low-dose group, 47 (82%) of 57 participants in the high-dose group, and 43 (73%) of 59 participants in the placebo group. Serious adverse events were observed in six (10%) of 59 participants in the low-dose group, seven (12%) of 57 participants in the high-dose group, and seven (12%) of 59 participants in the placebo group. There were no reports of hyperglycaemia, hypertension, hirsutism, or Cushingoid appearance in any of the treatment groups, nor any treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Although there were no safety concerns, the primary efficacy endpoint was not met, possibly related to delays in treatment reducing the number of participants who received treatment as outlined in the protocol, and potentially different treatment effects according to age. Studies of intra-erythrocyte delivery of dexamethasone sodium phosphate will continue in participants aged 6-9 years, on the basis of findings from subgroup analyses from this trial. FUNDING: EryDel and Quince Therapeutics.

A multi-centre longitudinal study analysing multiple sclerosis disease-modifying therapy prescribing patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic raised concern amongst clinicians that disease-modifying therapies (DMT), particularly anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies (mAb) and fingolimod, could worsen COVID-19 in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). This study aimed to examine DMT prescribing trends pre- and post-pandemic onset. METHODS: A multi-centre longitudinal study with 8,771 participants from MSBase was conducted. Two time periods were defined: pre-pandemic (March 11 2018-March 10 2020) and post-pandemic onset (March 11 2020-11 March 2022). The association between time and prescribing trends was analysed using multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression. DMT initiation refers to first initiation of any DMT, whilst DMT switches indicate changing regimen within 6 months of last use. RESULTS: Post-pandemic onset, there was a significant increase in DMT initiation/switching to natalizumab and cladribine [(Natalizumab-initiation: OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.39-2.13; switching: OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.40-1.98), (Cladribine-initiation: OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.09-1.87; switching: OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.41-1.98)]. Anti-CD20mAb initiation/switching decreased in the year of the pandemic, but recovered in the second year, such that overall odds increased slightly post-pandemic (initiation: OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.06-1.49; Switching: OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.02-1.29. Initiation/switching of fingolimod, interferon-beta, and alemtuzumab significantly decreased [(Fingolimod-initiation: OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.41-0.73; switching: OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.41-0.58), (Interferon-gamma-initiation: OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.41-0.57; switching: OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.62-0.99), (Alemtuzumab-initiation: OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.15-0.48; switching: OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.17-0.44)]. CONCLUSIONS: Post-pandemic onset, clinicians preferentially prescribed natalizumab and cladribine over anti-CD20 mAbs and fingolimod, likely to preserve efficacy but reduce perceived immunosuppressive risks. This could have implications for disease progression in pwMS. Our findings highlight the significance of equitable DMT access globally, and the importance of evidence-based decision-making in global health challenges.

Machine-learning-based prediction of disability progression in multiple sclerosis: An observational, international, multi-center study.

BACKGROUND: Disability progression is a key milestone in the disease evolution of people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Prediction models of the probability of disability progression have not yet reached the level of trust needed to be adopted in the clinic. A common benchmark to assess model development in multiple sclerosis is also currently lacking. METHODS: Data of adult PwMS with a follow-up of at least three years from 146 MS centers, spread over 40 countries and collected by the MSBase consortium was used. With basic inclusion criteria for quality requirements, it represents a total of 15, 240 PwMS. External validation was performed and repeated five times to assess the significance of the results. Transparent Reporting for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines were followed. Confirmed disability progression after two years was predicted, with a confirmation window of six months. Only routinely collected variables were used such as the expanded disability status scale, treatment, relapse information, and MS course. To learn the probability of disability progression, state-of-the-art machine learning models were investigated. The discrimination performance of the models is evaluated with the area under the receiver operator curve (ROC-AUC) and under the precision recall curve (AUC-PR), and their calibration via the Brier score and the expected calibration error. All our preprocessing and model code are available at https://gitlab.com/edebrouwer/ms_benchmark, making this task an ideal benchmark for predicting disability progression in MS. FINDINGS: Machine learning models achieved a ROC-AUC of 0⋅71 ± 0⋅01, an AUC-PR of 0⋅26 ± 0⋅02, a Brier score of 0⋅1 ± 0⋅01 and an expected calibration error of 0⋅07 ± 0⋅04. The history of disability progression was identified as being more predictive for future disability progression than the treatment or relapses history. CONCLUSIONS: Good discrimination and calibration performance on an external validation set is achieved, using only routinely collected variables. This suggests machine-learning models can reliably inform clinicians about the future occurrence of progression and are mature for a clinical impact study.

Subtypes of Dementia with Lewy Bodies: Clinical Features, Survival, and Apolipoprotein E Effect.

Background: Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) is a progressive neurodegenerative disease with various clinical symptoms. Limited data have described the clinical subtypes of DLB. Objective: We aimed to compare clinical subtypes of DLB according to initial symptoms and to study the effect of Apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene in DLB. Methods: We included DLB patients classified into three groups based on initial symptoms: non-motor onset (cognitive and/or psychiatric) (NMO-DLB), motor onset (parkinsonism and/or gait disorders) (MO-DLB), and mixed onset (non-motor and motor symptoms) (MXO-DLB). Clinical and APOE genotype associations and survival were analyzed. Results: A total of 268 patients were included (NMO-DLB = 75%, MXO-DLB = 15.3%, MO-DLB = 9.7%). Visual hallucinations were more frequent (p = 0.025), and attention was less commonly impaired in MXO-DLB (p = 0.047). When adjusting with APOE ɛ4 status (APOE genotype performed in 155 patients), earlier falls and frontal lobe syndrome were more common in MXO-DLB (p = 0.044 and p = 0.023, respectively). The median MMSE decline was 2.1 points/year and the median FAB decline was 1.9 points/year, with no effect of clinical subtypes. Median survival was 6 years. It was similar in DLB subtypes (p = 0.62), but shorter for patients with memory symptoms at onset (p = 0.04) and for males (p = 0.0058). Conclusions: Our study revealed a few differences between DLB clinical subtypes. APOE ɛ4 appears to be associated with earlier falls and a higher prevalence of frontal syndrome in MXO-DLB. However, DLB clinical subtypes did not impact on survival. Nevertheless, survival analysis identified other poor prognosis factors, notably inaugural memory impairment and male gender.

Psychiatric disturbances in idiopathic epilepsy.

INTRODUCTION: The relationship between epilepsy and psychiatric disorders has been highlighted for a long time. Idiopathic epilepsy is known to have a benign course in most cases. However, the association of psychiatric disturbances could worsen the disease outcome. AIM: To study the frequency of psychiatric symptoms in patients with idiopathic epilepsy, and to assess the determinant factors in the patient group with these manifestations. METHODS: In one-year prospective study, consecutive patients diagnosed with idiopathic epilepsy were included. Those with a known psychiatric follow-up or with post ictal psychiatric disturbances were excluded. Psychiatric symptoms were evaluated with the Neurological Disorders Depression Inventory for Epilepsy, the Generalized Anxiety Disorder - 7 and the Neuropsychiatric Inventory Scale. Demographic and clinical data were collected and analyzed. RESULTS: Among 101 consecutive patients with idiopathic epilepsy, psychiatric symptoms were diagnosed in 61% of them. Anxiety (36.6%), psychotic features (21%) and depression (15.8 %) were the most commonly found psychiatric manifestations. Female gender (p < 10-3) and longer duration of epilepsy (p = 0.046) were significantly associated with occurrence of psychiatric disturbances. Patients under Carbamazepine and Valproic acid showed a lower frequency of depression (respectively p = 0.018 and p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Occurrence of psychiatric disturbances was frequent in idiopathic epilepsy, with psychotic manifestations and anxiety being the most common of them. Female gender and long disease course were the main determining factors of psychiatric manifestations and should be considered in management of idiopathic epilepsy.