Risk for Shoulder Conditions After Vaccination: A Population-Based Study Using Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: Although shoulder conditions have been reported as an adverse event after intramuscular vaccination in the deltoid muscle, epidemiologic data on shoulder conditions after vaccination are limited. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk for shoulder conditions after vaccination and assess possible risk factors. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Kaiser Permanente Southern California, a large integrated health care organization. PARTICIPANTS: Kaiser Permanente Southern California members aged 3 years or older who had an intramuscular vaccination administered in the deltoid muscle between 1 April 2016 and 31 December 2017. MEASUREMENTS: A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was used to identify potential shoulder conditions among vaccinated persons with shoulder disorder diagnosis codes. All NLP-identified cases were manually chart confirmed on the basis of our case definition. The characteristics of vaccinated persons with and without shoulder conditions were compared. RESULTS: Among 3 758 764 administered vaccinations, 371 cases of shoulder condition were identified, with an estimated incidence of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.89 to 1.09) per 10 000 vaccinations. The incidence was 1.22 (CI, 1.10 to 1.35) for the adult (aged ≥18 years) and 0.05 (CI, 0.02 to 0.14) for the pediatric (aged 3 to 17 years) vaccinated populations. In the adult vaccinated population, advanced age, female sex, an increased number of outpatient visits in the 6 months before vaccination, lower Charlson Comorbidity Index, and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine were associated with a higher risk for shoulder conditions. Among influenza vaccines, quadrivalent vaccines were associated with an increased risk for shoulder conditions. Simultaneous administration of vaccines was associated with a higher risk for shoulder conditions among elderly persons. LIMITATION: Generalizability to other health care settings, use of administrative data, and residual confounding. CONCLUSION: These population-based data suggest a small absolute risk for shoulder conditions after vaccination. Given the high burden of shoulder conditions, clinicians should pay attention to any factors that may further increase risks. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Causes of Death in End-Stage Kidney Disease: Comparison between the United States Renal Data System and a Large Integrated Health Care System.

INTRODUCTION: Using a large diverse population of incident end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients from an integrated health system, we sought to evaluate the concordance of causes of death (CODs) between the underlying COD from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) registry and CODs obtained from Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed among incident ESKD patients who had mortality records and CODs reported in both KPSC and USRDS databases between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2016. Underlying CODs reported by the KPSC were compared to the CODs reported by USRDS. Overall and subcategory-specific COD agreements were assessed using Cohen's weighted kappa statistic (95% CI). Proportions of positive and negative agreement were also determined. RESULTS: Among 4,188 ESKD patient deaths, 4,118 patients had CODs recorded in both KPSC and USRDS. The most common KPSC CODs were circulatory system diseases (35.7%), endocrine/nutritional/metabolic diseases (24.2%), genitourinary diseases (12.9%), and neoplasms (9.6%). Most common USRDS CODs were cardiac disease (46.9%), withdrawal from dialysis (12.6%), and infection (10.1%). Of 2,593 records with causes listed NOT as "Other," 453 (17.4%) had no agreement in CODs between the USRDS and the underlying, secondary, tertiary, or quaternary causes recorded by KPSC. In comparing CODs recorded within KPSC to the USRDS, Cohen's weighted kappa (95% CI) was 0.20 (0.18-0.22) with overall agreement of 36.4%. CONCLUSION: Among an incident ESKD population with mortality records, we found that there was only fair or slight agreement between CODs reported between the USRDS registry and KPSC, a large integrated health care system.

Perinatal outcomes after bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery is a widely used treatment option for obesity that often provides long-term weight control and health benefits. Although a growing number of women are becoming pregnant after bariatric surgery, only a few population-based studies have assessed the impact thereof on perinatal outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the association between bariatric surgery and adverse perinatal outcomes in pregnant women and to examine whether the risk for adverse perinatal outcomes is modified by the postsurgery weight, gestational weight gain, type of bariatric surgery, timing of pregnancy after bariatric surgery, and maternal comorbidities. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was performed with the use of the Bariatric Surgery Registry and hospital inpatient and outpatient physician encounter records. The International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth Revision codes from hospitalizations during pregnancy and infant birth records were used to ascertain the outcomes of interest. Women eligible for BS who delivered at ≥20 weeks of gestation (n=20,213) at Kaiser Permanente Southern California hospitals (January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2018) were included in the study. Adjusted odds ratios were derived from logistic regression models with inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for confounding using propensity scores. RESULTS: Bariatric surgery was associated with a reduction in the risks for gestational diabetes (adjusted odds ratio, 0.60; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.69; P<.001), preeclampsia (adjusted odds ratio, 0.53; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.61; P<.001), chorioamnionitis (adjusted odds ratio, 0.45; 95% confidence interval, 0.32-0.63; P<.001), cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.59-0.72; P<.001), large for gestational age neonate (adjusted odds ratio, 0.23; 95% confidence interval, 0.19-0.29; P<.001), macrosomia (adjusted odds ratio, 0.24; 95% confidence interval, 0.19-0.30; P<.001), and neonatal intensive care unit admission (adjusted odds ratio, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.81; P<.001). However, bariatric surgery was also associated with a significantly increased risk for small for gestational age neonates (adjusted odds ratio, 2.46; 95% confidence interval, 2.16-2.79; P<.001). The risk for the adverse outcomes is independent of the time interval between the surgery and subsequent pregnancy. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that there are many pregnancy outcome benefits for women with severe obesity who undergo bariatric surgery; however, women who have undergone bariatric surgery before pregnancy should be monitored closely to reduce the risk for small for gestational age neonates and postpartum hemorrhage.

Association Between 2-Dose vs 3-Dose Hepatitis B Vaccine and Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Importance: The 2-dose hepatitis B vaccine with a cytosine phosphoguanine adjuvant (HepB-CpG vaccine; Heplisav-B) generated higher seroprotection in prelicensure trials than did a 3-dose hepatitis B vaccine with an aluminum hydroxide adjuvant (HepB-alum vaccine; Engerix-B). However, in 1 trial, a higher number of acute myocardial infarction (MI) events were observed among those who received the HepB-CpG vaccine than among those who received the HepB-alum vaccine, an outcome requiring further study. Objective: To compare the rate of acute MI between recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine and HepB-alum vaccine. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort noninferiority study was conducted at Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC), an integrated health care system with 15 medical centers and approximately 4.7 million members. The study included 69 625 adults not undergoing dialysis who received at least 1 dose of a hepatitis B vaccine in either family medicine or internal medicine departments at KPSC from August 7, 2018, to October 31, 2019 (November 30, 2020, final follow-up). Exposures: Receipt of HepB-CpG vaccine vs HepB-alum vaccine. The first dose during the study period was the index dose. Main Outcomes and Measures: Individuals were followed up for 13 months after the index dose for occurrence of type 1 acute MI. Potential events were identified using diagnosis codes and adjudicated by cardiologists. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of acute MI was estimated comparing recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine with recipients of HepB-alum vaccine, with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to adjust for demographic and clinical characteristics. The upper limit of the 1-sided 97.5% CI was compared with a noninferiority margin of 2. Results: Of the 31 183 recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine (median age, 49 years; IQR, 38-56 years), 51.2% (n = 15 965) were men, and 52.7% (n = 16 423) were Hispanic. Of the 38 442 recipients of HepB-alum (median age, 49 years; IQR, 39-56 years), 50.8% (19 533) were men, and 47.1% (n = 18 125) were Hispanic. Characteristics were well-balanced between vaccine groups after IPTW. Fifty-two type 1 acute MI events were confirmed among recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine for a rate of 1.67 per 1000-person-years, and 71 type 1 acute MI events were confirmed among recipients of HepB-alum vaccine for a rate of 1.86 per 1000 person-years (absolute rate difference, -0.19 [95% CI, -0.82 to 0.44]; adjusted HR, 0.92 [1-sided 97.5% CI, ∞ to 1.32], which was below the noninferiority margin; P < .001 for noninferiority). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, receipt of HepB-CpG vaccine compared with HepB-alum vaccine did not meet the statistical criterion for increased risk of acute myocardial infarction.

Sex-Specific Trends in Acute Myocardial Infarction Within an Integrated Healthcare Network, 2000 Through 2014.

BACKGROUND: In recent decades, the rates of incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have declined in the United States, yet disparities by sex remain. In an integrated healthcare delivery system, we examined temporal trends in incident AMI among women and men. METHODS: We identified hospitalized AMI among members ≥35 years of age in Kaiser Permanente Southern California. The first hospitalization for AMI overall, and for ST-segment-elevation MI and non-ST-segment-elevation MI was identified by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification primary discharge diagnosis codes in each calendar year from 2000 through 2014. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates per 100 000 person-years were calculated by using direct adjustment to the 2010 US Census population. Average annual percent changes (AAPCs) and period percent changes were calculated, and trend tests were conducted using Poisson regression. RESULTS: We identified 45 331 AMI hospitalizations between 2000 and 2014. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of AMI declined from 322.4 (95% CI, 311.0-333.9) in 2000 to 174.6 (95% CI, 168.2-181.0) in 2014, representing an AAPC of -4.4% (95% CI, -4.2 to -4.6) and a period percent change of -46.6%. The AAPC for AMI in women was -4.6% (95% CI, -4.1 to -5.2) between 2000 and 2009 and declined to -2.3% (95% CI, -1.2 to -3.4) between 2010 and 2014. The AAPC for AMI in men was stable over the study period (-4.7% [95% CI, -4.4 to -4.9]). The AAPC for ST-segment-elevation MI hospitalization overall was -8.3% (95% CI, -8.0% to -8.6%).The AAPC in ST-segment-elevation MI changed among women in 2009 (2000-2009: -10.2% [95% CI, -9.3 to -11.1] and in 2010-2014: -5.2% [95% CI, -3.1 to -7.3]) while remaining stable among men (-8.0% [95% CI, -7.6 to -8.4]). The AAPC for non-ST-segment-elevation MI hospitalization was smaller than for ST-segment-elevation MI among both women and men (-1.9% [95% CI, -1.5 to -2.3] and -2.8% [95% CI, -2.5 to -3.2], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the incidence of hospitalized AMI declined between 2000 and 2014; however, declines in AMI have slowed among women in comparison with men in recent years. Determining unmet care needs among women may reduce these sex-based AMI disparities.

Evaluation of the New American Urological Association Guidelines Risk Classification for Hematuria.

PURPOSE: Microhematuria is a prevalent condition and the American Urological Association has developed a new risk-stratified approach for the evaluation of patients with microhematuria. Our objective was to provide the first evaluation of this important guideline. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This multinational cohort study combines contemporary patients from 5 clinical trials and 2 prospective registries who underwent urological evaluation for hematuria. Patients were stratified into American Urological Association risk strata (low, intermediate or high risk) based on sex, age, degree of hematuria, and smoking history. The primary end point was the incidence of bladder cancer within each risk stratum. RESULTS: A total of 15,779 patients were included in the analysis. Overall, 727 patients (4.6%) were classified as low risk, 1,863 patients (11.8%) were classified as intermediate risk, and 13,189 patients (83.6%) were classified as high risk. The predominance of high risk patients was consistent across all cohorts. A total of 857 bladder cancers were diagnosed with a bladder cancer incidence of 5.4%. Bladder cancer was more prevalent in men, smokers, older patients and patients with gross hematuria. The cancer incidence for low, intermediate and high risk groups was 0.4% (3 patients), 1.0% (18 patients) and 6.3% (836 patients), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The new risk stratification system separates hematuria patients into clinically meaningful categories with differing likelihoods of bladder cancer that would justify evaluating the low, intermediate and high risk groups with incremental intensity. Furthermore, it provides the relative incidence of bladder cancer in each risk group which should facilitate patient counseling regarding the risks and benefits of evaluation for bladder cancer.

ß-Blocker Use and Risk of Mortality in Heart Failure Patients Initiating Maintenance Dialysis.

RATIONAL & OBJECTIVE: Beta-blockers are recommended for patients with heart failure (HF) but their benefit in the dialysis population is uncertain. Beta-blockers are heterogeneous, including with respect to their removal by hemodialysis. We sought to evaluate whether ß-blocker use and their dialyzability characteristics were associated with early mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease with HF who transitioned to dialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adults patients with chronic kidney disease (aged≥18 years) and HF who initiated either hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis during January 1, 2007, to June 30, 2016, within an integrated health system were included. EXPOSURES: Patients were considered treated with ß-blockers if they had a quantity of drug dispensed covering the dialysis transition date. OUTCOMES: All-cause mortality within 6 months and 1 year or hospitalization within 6 months after transition to maintenance dialysis. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Inverse probability of treatment weights using propensity scores was used to balance covariates between treatment groups. Cox proportional hazard analysis and logistic regression were used to investigate the association between ß-blocker use and study outcomes. RESULTS: 3,503 patients were included in the study. There were 2,115 (60.4%) patients using ß-blockers at transition. Compared with nonusers, the HR for all-cause mortality within 6 months was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.65-0.94) among users of any ß-blocker and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.53-0.88) among users of metoprolol at transition. There were no observed differences in all-cause or cardiovascular-related hospitalization. LIMITATIONS: The observational nature of our study could not fully account for residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Beta-blockers were associated with a lower rate of mortality among incident hemodialysis patients with HF. Similar associations were not observed for hospitalizations within the first 6 months following transition to dialysis.

Hepatitis B vaccine and risk of acute myocardial infarction among individuals with diabetes mellitus.

PURPOSE: A pre-licensure clinical trial of a two-dose cytosine phosphoguanine adjuvanted hepatitis B vaccine (HEPLISAV-B® [Dynavax, USA]; HepB-CpG vaccine) found an unanticipated numerical imbalance in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) compared to recipients of a three-dose aluminum adjuvanted hepatitis B vaccine (ENGERIX-B® [GlaxoSmithKline, Belgium]; HepB-alum vaccine). A post-licensure study was required to compare AMI rates among recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine and HepB-alum vaccine. Individuals with diabetes mellitus (DM), who are at higher risk of AMI, comprise more than half of the post-licensure study cohort. To inform the ongoing post-licensure study, we examined the association between AMI and receipt of HepB-alum vaccine in individuals with DM. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study nested in a cohort of individuals with DM ages ≥40 years at Kaiser Permanente Southern California using electronic health records. AMI cases from 2012 to 2017 were identified by principal discharge diagnosis and matched 1:1 with randomly selected controls. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for receipt of ≥1 HepB-alum vaccine dose was compared for AMI cases and controls using conditional logistic regression. We subsequently performed the same matched case-control analysis stratified by year. RESULTS: Of 8138 matched case-control pairs, 17.4% of cases and 15.0% of controls received HepB-alum vaccine. The aOR of HepB-alum vaccination comparing cases and controls was 0.97 (95% confidence interval 0.87-1.08). Similarly, there was no significant association between HepB-alum vaccine and AMI in any of the study years. CONCLUSIONS: HepB-alum vaccination was not associated with AMI in individuals with DM. This finding will provide contextual insight for the ongoing post-licensure study of HepB-CpG vaccine.

Variation in SARS-CoV-2 molecular test sensitivity by specimen types in a large sample of emergency department patients.

BACKGROUND: Provider-collected nasopharyngeal specimens for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) molecular testing are the standard of care in many clinical settings, but patient-collected saliva and anterior nares specimens are less invasive and more flexible alternatives. Prior studies comparing specimen types for SARS-CoV-2 molecular testing have been limited by small sample sizes and low pretest probability. We conducted a large observational study among symptomatic adults at 7 emergency departments of Kaiser Permanente Southern California to examine sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 molecular tests by specimen type and patient characteristics. METHODS: Provider-collected nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal (NP/OP) specimens and patient-collected saliva and anterior nares specimens were collected at the same visit and analyzed with the Roche cobas® SARS-CoV-2 assay. Patients were considered truly positive for SARS-CoV-2 if any of the three specimens was positive and negative if all three specimens were negative. Factors associated with discordant and missed positive results were examined with multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 2112 patients, 350 (16.6%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2. Sensitivity of NP/OP was 93.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 90.6%-96.0%), sensitivity of saliva was 87.7% (83.8%-91.0%), and sensitivity of anterior nares was 85.4% (81.3%-89.0%). Patients ages 18-39 years versus ≥40 years were more likely to have discordant results [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.97 (1.12-3.45)], as were patients with <4 symptoms versus ≥4 [aOR 2.43 (1.39-4.25)]. Cycle threshold values were higher for saliva and anterior nares than NP/OP specimens, as well as for specimens in discordant versus concordant sets and patients with fewer symptoms. CONCLUSION: This study provides robust evidence that patient-collected saliva and anterior nares are sensitive for SARS-CoV-2 molecular testing in emergency department settings, particularly among adults ages ≥40 years and those with multiple symptoms. Higher sensitivity of provider-collected NP/OP specimens must be weighed against the benefits of patient-collected specimens in tailored strategies for SARS-CoV-2 testing.

Disparities in Outpatient and Telehealth Visits During the COVID-19 Pandemic in a Large Integrated Health Care Organization: Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Dramatic decreases in outpatient visits and sudden increases in telehealth visits were observed during the COVID-19 pandemic, but it was unclear whether these changes differed by patient demographics and socioeconomic status. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the impact of the pandemic on in-person outpatient and telehealth visits (telephone and video) by demographic characteristics and household income in a diverse population. METHODS: We calculated weekly rates of outpatient and telehealth visits by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and neighborhood-level median household income among members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) from January 5, 2020, to October 31, 2020, and the corresponding period in 2019. We estimated the percentage change in visit rates during the early pandemic period (March 22 to April 25, 2020) and the late pandemic period (October 4 to October 31, 2020) from the prepandemic period (January 5 to March 7, 2020) in Poisson regression models for each subgroup while adjusting for seasonality using 2019 data. We examined if the changes in visit rates differed by subgroups statistically by comparing their 95% CIs. RESULTS: Among 4.56 million KPSC members enrolled in January 2020, 15.0% (n=682,947) were ≥65 years old, 51.5% (n=2,345,020) were female, 39.4% (n=1,795,994) were Hispanic, and 7.7% (n=350,721) lived in an area of median household income

Autism Spectrum Disorders in Children Exposed in Utero to Hyperemesis Gravidarum.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine if hyperemesis gravidarum (HG) is associated with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) risk, and how this association is influenced by race, ethnicity, sex, exposure timing, and medication used to treat it. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study using records from 469,789 mother-child pairs who delivered at Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) hospital (1991-2014). Singleton-born children were followed longitudinally from 2 to 17 years of age. Clinical records were used to determine the diagnosis of HG and specialist-confirmed diagnosis of ASD. RESULTS: Children exposed to HG in-utero had higher rates of ASD than unexposed children (2.87 vs. 1.71/1,000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio [adj.HR]: 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.37-1.70). Children exposed at first and second trimester of pregnancies were more likely to develop ASD; 1.58-fold (95% CI: 1.40-1.79), and 1.36-fold (95% CI: 1.05-1.75), respectively, compared with unexposed children. HG was associated with ASD for boys (adj.HR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.33-1.70) and girls (adj.HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.28-2.05). HG was significantly associated with ASD risk in white and Hispanic children. The medications used to treat HG did not contribute to ASD risk. CONCLUSION: HG diagnosis is associated with ASD risk and may be helpful in identifying at-risk children who could benefit from enhanced surveillance and earlier diagnosis and intervention.

Outpatient Urinary Tract Infections in an Era of Virtual Healthcare: Trends From 2008 to 2017.

BACKGROUND: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) occur commonly, but recent data on UTI rates are scarce. It is unknown how the growth of virtual healthcare delivery affects outpatient UTI management and trends in the United States. METHODS: From 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017, UTIs from outpatient settings (office, emergency, and virtual visits) were identified from electronic health records at Kaiser Permanente Southern California using multiple UTI definitions. Annual rates estimated by Poisson regression were stratified by sex, care setting, age, and race/ethnicity. Annual trends were estimated by linear or piecewise Poisson regression. RESULTS: UTIs occurred in 1 065 955 individuals. Rates per 1000 person-years were 53.7 (95% confidence interval [CI], 50.6-57.0) by diagnosis code with antibiotic and 25.8 (95% CI, 24.7-26.9) by positive culture. Compared to office and emergency visits, UTIs were increasingly diagnosed in virtual visits, where rates by diagnosis code with antibiotic increased annually by 21.2% (95% CI, 16.5%-26.2%) in females and 29.3% (95% CI, 23.7%-35.3%) in males. Only 32% of virtual care diagnoses had a culture order. Overall, UTI rates were highest and increased the most in older adults. Rates were also higher in Hispanic and white females and black and white males. CONCLUSIONS: Outpatient UTI rates increased from 2008 to 2017, especially in virtual care and among older adults. Virtual care is important for expanding access to health services, but strategies are needed in all outpatient care settings to ensure accurate UTI diagnosis and reduce inappropriate antibiotic treatment.

SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Hospitalized Pregnant Women: Reasons for Admission and Pregnancy Characteristics - Eight U.S. Health Care Centers, March 1-May 30, 2020.

Pregnant women might be at increased risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), possibly related to changes in their immune system and respiratory physiology* (1). Further, adverse birth outcomes, such as preterm delivery and stillbirth, might be more common among pregnant women infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 (2,3). Information about SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy is rapidly growing; however, data on reasons for hospital admission, pregnancy-specific characteristics, and birth outcomes among pregnant women hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infections are limited. During March 1-May 30, 2020, as part of Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD)† surveillance of COVID-19 hospitalizations, 105 hospitalized pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection were identified, including 62 (59%) hospitalized for obstetric reasons (i.e., labor and delivery or another pregnancy-related indication) and 43 (41%) hospitalized for COVID-19 illness without an obstetric reason. Overall, 50 (81%) of 62 pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection who were admitted for obstetric reasons were asymptomatic. Among 43 pregnant women hospitalized for COVID-19, 13 (30%) required intensive care unit (ICU) admission, six (14%) required mechanical ventilation, and one died from COVID-19. Prepregnancy obesity was more common (44%) among pregnant women hospitalized for COVID-19 than that among asymptomatic pregnant women hospitalized for obstetric reasons (31%). Likewise, the rate of gestational diabetes (26%) among pregnant women hospitalized for COVID-19 was higher than it was among women hospitalized for obstetric reasons (8%). Preterm delivery occurred in 15% of pregnancies among 93 women who delivered, and stillbirths (fetal death at ≥20 weeks' gestation) occurred in 3%. Antenatal counseling emphasizing preventive measures (e.g., use of masks, frequent hand washing, and social distancing) might help prevent COVID-19 among pregnant women,§ especially those with prepregnancy obesity and gestational diabetes, which might reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes.

The use of natural language processing to identify vaccine-related anaphylaxis at five health care systems in the Vaccine Safety Datalink.

PURPOSE: The objective was to develop a natural language processing (NLP) algorithm to identify vaccine-related anaphylaxis from plain-text clinical notes, and to implement the algorithm at five health care systems in the Vaccine Safety Datalink. METHODS: The NLP algorithm was developed using an internal NLP tool and training dataset of 311 potential anaphylaxis cases from Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC). We applied the algorithm to the notes of another 731 potential cases (423 from KPSC; 308 from other sites) with relevant codes (ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes for anaphylaxis, vaccine adverse reactions, and allergic reactions; Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System codes for epinephrine administration). NLP results were compared against a reference standard of chart reviewed and adjudicated cases. The algorithm was then separately applied to the notes of 6 427 359 KPSC vaccination visits (9 402 194 vaccine doses) without relevant codes. RESULTS: At KPSC, NLP identified 12 of 16 true vaccine-related cases and achieved a sensitivity of 75.0%, specificity of 98.5%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 66.7%, and negative predictive value of 99.0% when applied to notes of patients with relevant diagnosis codes. NLP did not identify the five true cases at other sites. When NLP was applied to the notes of KPSC patients without relevant codes, it captured eight additional true cases confirmed by chart review and adjudication. CONCLUSIONS: The current study demonstrated the potential to apply rule-based NLP algorithms to clinical notes to identify anaphylaxis cases. Increasing the size of training data, including clinical notes from all participating study sites in the training data, and preprocessing the clinical notes to handle special characters could improve the performance of the NLP algorithms. We recommend adding an NLP process followed by manual chart review in future vaccine safety studies to improve sensitivity and efficiency.

Sub-acute hyponatraemia more than chronic hyponatraemia is associated with serious falls and hip fractures.

BACKGROUND: Falls and hip fractures among older people are associated with high morbidity and mortality. Hyponatraemia may be a risk for falls/hip fractures, but the effect of hyponatraemia duration is not well understood. AIMS: To evaluate individuals with periods of sub-acute and chronic hyponatraemia on subsequent risk for serious falls and/or hip fractures. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study in the period 1 January 1998 to 14 June 2016 within an integrated health system of individuals aged ≥55 years with ≥2 outpatient serum sodium measurements. Hyponatraemia was defined as sodium <135 mEq/L with sub-acute (<30 days) and chronic (≥30 days) analysed as a time-dependent exposure. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards modelling was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for serious falls/hip fractures based on sodium category. RESULTS: Among 1 062 647 individuals totalling 9 762 305 sodium measurements, 96 096 serious falls/hip fracture events occurred. Incidence (per-1000-person-years) of serious falls/hip fractures were 11.5, 27.9 and 19.8 for normonatraemia, sub-acute and chronic hyponatraemia. Any hyponatraemia duration compared to normonatraemia had a serious falls/hip fractures HR (95%CI) of 1.18 (1.15, 1.22), with sub-acute and chronic hyponatraemia having HR of 1.38 (1.33, 1.42) and 0.91 (0.87, 0.95), respectively. Examined separately, the serious falls HR was 1.37 (1.32, 1.42) and 0.92 (0.88, 0.96) in sub-acute and chronic hyponatraemia, respectively. Hip fracture HR were 1.52 (1.42, 1.62) and 1.00 (0.92, 1.08) for sub-acute and chronic hyponatraemia, respectively, compared to normonatraemia. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that early/sub-acute hyponatraemia appears more vulnerable and associated with serious falls/hip fractures. Whether hyponatraemia is a marker of frailty or a modifiable risk factor for falls remains to be determined.

Symptomatic and Radiographic Manifestations of Kidney Stone Recurrence and Their Prediction by Risk Factors: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Meaningful interpretation of changes in radiographic kidney stone burden requires understanding how radiographic recurrence relates to symptomatic recurrence and how established risk factors predict these different manifestations of recurrence. METHODS: We recruited first-time symptomatic stone formers from the general community in Minnesota and Florida. Baseline and 5-year follow-up study visits included computed tomography scans, surveys, and medical record review. We noted symptomatic recurrence detected by clinical care (through chart review) or self-report, and radiographic recurrence of any new stone, stone growth, or stone passage (comparing baseline and follow-up scans). To assess the prediction of different manifestations of recurrence, we used the Recurrence of Kidney Stone (ROKS) score, which sums multiple baseline risk factors. RESULTS: Among 175 stone formers, 19% had symptomatic recurrence detected by clinical care and 25% detected by self-report; radiographic recurrence manifested as a new stone in 35%, stone growth in 24%, and stone passage in 27%. Among those with a baseline asymptomatic stone (54%), at 5 years, 51% had radiographic evidence of stone passage (accompanied by symptoms in only 52%). Imaging evidence of a new stone or stone passage more strongly associated with symptomatic recurrence detected by clinical care than by self-report. The ROKS score weakly predicted one manifestation-symptomatic recurrence resulting in clinical care (c-statistic, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.52 to 0.73)-but strongly predicted any manifestation of symptomatic or radiographic recurrence (5-year rate, 67%; c-statistic, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.72 to 0.86). CONCLUSIONS: Recurrence after the first stone episode is both more common and more predictable when all manifestations of recurrence (symptomatic and radiographic) are considered.

Statins as a free pass: Body mass index and other cardiovascular risk factors among lipid-lowering medication users and nonusers in the California Men's Health Study.

To lower risk from cardiovascular disease (CVD), national guidelines recommend lifestyle changes followed by use of lipid-lowering medications when appropriate. Previous studies have questioned whether individuals taking these medications are less likely to modify their dietary intake and physical activity, resulting in increased body mass index (BMI). We assessed BMI and CVD clinical risk factors over time between lipid-lowering medication users and nonusers in a diverse cohort of middle-aged and older men. The cohort consisted of 63,357 men who enrolled in the California Men's Health Study between 2002 and 2003 and were not taking lipid-lowering medications at baseline. Lipid-lowering medication use was determined over twelve years of follow-up. BMI and other CVD risk factors were assessed with longitudinal linear mixed effect models adjusting for possible confounders. Overall, lipid-lowering medication users had higher BMI than nonusers (p < .0001); however, there was a decrease over time for both groups (p < .0001). Total cholesterol, LDL-C, and triglycerides decreased for users and nonusers (p < .0001). While HDL-C was higher for nonusers (p < .05), over time this measure increased in both groups (p < .0001). We found no evidence of increases in BMI after initiation of lipid-lowering medication in this cohort. Instead, BMI decreased and several cholesterol-related CVD risk factors improved for lipid-lowering medication users and nonusers. This suggests that men placed on lipid-lowering medications do not view them as a panacea for their increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Instead, they appear to perceive them as one component of a multi-pronged strategy including lifestyle and nutrition as suggested by current guidelines.

Secular trends in the incidence and prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis within members of an integrated health care delivery system.

The study objective was to estimate secular trends in the overall incidence rate (IR) and prevalence rate (PR) of rheumatoid arthritis (RA); and subgroup-specific IR and PR by race, ethnicity, and sex in a multi-ethnic population of a large integrated health care delivery system. An ecological study was conducted within the adult population of Kaiser Permanente Southern California health plan. From January 1995 up to and including December 2014, annual IR and PR were calculated separately by race, ethnicity, sex and pooled overall. Depending on the stationarity of each ecological series, annual percentage change in IR and PR was evaluated using auto-regressive integrated moving average models. Average overall IR was 53 [95% confidence interval (CI) 46, 61] per 100,000 person-years. The overall as well as subgroup-specific annual IR of RA were unchanged from 1995 to 2014. In 1995, the overall PR of RA was 59 (44, 74) per 100,000 person-years which increased by 14% (7%, 21%) annually thereafter. The increase in PR in Caucasians was lower as compared to African American, Asian and other race (13% vs 15%, 15%, and 18%, respectively). Compared to non-Hispanic ethnicity, the increase in PR among Hispanic was higher (17% vs 14%). Over the past 2 decades, while the incidence of RA was unchanged, the prevalence had increased significantly overall as well as within every subgroup of race, ethnicity, and sex.

Using natural language processing for identification of herpes zoster ophthalmicus cases to support population-based study.

IMPORTANCE: Diagnosis codes are inadequate for accurately identifying herpes zoster (HZ) ophthalmicus (HZO). There is significant lack of population-based studies on HZO due to the high expense of manual review of medical records. BACKGROUND: To assess whether HZO can be identified from the clinical notes using natural language processing (NLP). To investigate the epidemiology of HZO among HZ population based on the developed approach. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 49 914 southern California residents aged over 18 years, who had a new diagnosis of HZ. METHODS: An NLP-based algorithm was developed and validated with the manually curated validation data set (n = 461). The algorithm was applied on over 1 million clinical notes associated with the study population. HZO versus non-HZO cases were compared by age, sex, race and co-morbidities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We measured the accuracy of NLP algorithm. RESULTS: NLP algorithm achieved 95.6% sensitivity and 99.3% specificity. Compared to the diagnosis codes, NLP identified significant more HZO cases among HZ population (13.9% vs. 1.7%). Compared to the non-HZO group, the HZO group was older, had more males, had more Whites and had more outpatient visits. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: We developed and validated an automatic method to identify HZO cases with high accuracy. As one of the largest studies on HZO, our finding emphasizes the importance of preventing HZ in the elderly population. This method can be a valuable tool to support population-based studies and clinical care of HZO in the era of big data.

Testing for Coccidioidomycosis among Community-Acquired Pneumonia Patients, Southern California, USA1.

We conducted a cohort study to identify characteristics associated with testing for, and testing positive for, coccidioidomycosis among patients with community-acquired pneumonia in southern California, USA. Limited and delayed testing probably leads to underdiagnosis among non-Hispanic black, Filipino, or Hispanic patients and among high-risk groups, including persons in whom antimicrobial drug therapy has failed.