Development and Validation of a Practical Prognostic Coagulation Index for Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to establish an effective and practical prognostic index for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) based on the coagulation factors. METHODS: The training cohort of 965 patients with ESCC was retrospectively collected at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from 2012 to 2014, along with clinical characteristics and follow-up information. Risk factors of coagulation status, including 11 blood parameters (platelet [PLT], mean platelet volume [MPV], platelet distribution width [PDW], plateletocrit [PCT], thrombin time [TT], prothrombin time [PT], international normalized ratio [INR], activated partial thromboplastin time [APTT], fibrinogen, D-dimer, and fibrinogen degradation product [FDP]), were studied by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and the Coagulation Index was established. The index was validated in a cohort of 848 patients with ESCC at the same institution, from 2015 to 2016. RESULTS: Three variables of PLT, MPV, and fibrinogen were identified by selecting features with coefficients in the LASSO algorithm, and a Coagulation Index was established as follows: Coagulation Index = 0.0005 × PLT (109/L) - 0.0384 × MPV (fL) + 0.1148 × fibrinogen (g/L). A higher Coagulation Index score was significantly associated with higher pT stage and pN stage (p < 0.05). With this prognostic index, patients could be stratified into three risk groups. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rates of the low-, middle- and high-risk groups in the training cohort were 63.5%, 55.5% and 43.1%, respectively (log-rank p < 0.001). Similarly, in the validation set, the respective 3-year OS for each risk group was significantly different across the three risk groups. Multivariate analysis indicated that the Coagulation Index remained a significant factor for predicting OS, independently of pathological TNM stage. CONCLUSIONS: The Coagulation Index is an independent predictor of survival for patients with ESCC.

Postoperative Chemotherapy for Thoracic Pathological T3N0M0 Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The role of postoperative chemotherapy (POCT) in pathologic T3N0M0 thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) has not been well addressed. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy on survival, recurrence, and toxicities in pathologic T3N0M0 TESCC. METHODS: This study included 582 patients with pT3N0M0 TESCC who were treated at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2009 to December 2017. The patients were divided into two groups: surgery plus postoperative chemotherapy group (S + POCT), and surgery group (S group). Propensity score matching was used to create patient groups that were balanced across several covariates (n = 236 in each group). Outcome measures included overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: After PSM, both groups have balance factors. S + POCT have significantly improved the 5-year OS and DFS (OS, 70.8% vs. 52.8%, p <0.0001; DFS, 66.5% vs. 50.2%, p < 0.0001). Multivariate Cox analyses in the matched samples revealed that S + POCT were independently associated with longer OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.56, 95% confidence index (CI) 0.41-0.77, p < 0.0001) and longer DFS (HR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.45-0.82, p = 0.001) than surgery alone. Subgroup analyses showed that prognostic effect of POCT was significantly influenced by the number of resected lymph node (≤ 20) and pStage IIB but not influenced by the number of node > 20 and pStage IIA. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy is strongly associated with improved OS and DFS in patients with pT3N0M0 TESCC. A multicenter, randomized, phase III clinical trial is warranted to confirm these findings.

Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy versus chemoradiotherapy for node-positive esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a propensity score-matched analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: After esophagectomy, adjuvant chemotherapy (S + CT) and adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (S + CRT) can improve survival in patients with node-positive resectable esophageal cancer. However, we are not aware of any studies that directly compared these adjuvant treatments. This study aimed to compare S + CT and S + CRT for patients with esophageal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively identified patients with node-positive esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent S + CT or S + CRT at Sichuan Cancer Hospital during 2008-2017. The patients' characteristics were compared, as well as their overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) outcomes. Propensity score matching was used to create balanced patient groups according to adjuvant treatment, and a Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify factors that predicted the survival outcomes. RESULTS: The 859 eligible patients underwent S + CRT (250 patients, 29.1%) or S + CT (609 patients, 70.9%). After propensity score matching (247 patients per group), the 5-year OS rates were 41.8% for S + CRT and 26.8% for S + CT (p = 0.028), and the 5-year DFS rates were 37.2% for S + CRT and 25.5% for S + CT (p = 0.012). Multivariate Cox regression analysis of the matched samples revealed that, relative to the S + CT group, the S + CRT group had better OS (hazard ratio: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.91; p = 0.006) and DFS (hazard ratio: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.56-0.88; p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Among patients with node-positive resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, S + CRT was associated with better OS than S + CT. A multicenter randomized clinical trial is warranted to confirm these findings.