Inhibition of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 and liver-related complications in individuals with diabetes: a Mendelian randomization and population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: No medication has been found to reduce liver-related events. We evaluated the effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) on liver-related outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with SGLT2 inhibition were identified, and a genetic risk score (GRS) was computed using the UK Biobank data (n=337,138). Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted using the FinnGen (n=218,792) database and the UK Biobank data. In parallel, a nationwide population-based study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database was conducted. The development of liver-related complications (ie, hepatic decompensation, HCC, liver transplantation, and death) was compared between individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus and steatotic liver diseases treated with SGLT2i (n=13,208) and propensity score-matched individuals treated with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (n=70,342). After computing GRS with 6 single nucleotide polymorphisms (rs4488457, rs80577326, rs11865835, rs9930811, rs34497199, and rs35445454), GRS-based MR showed that SGLT2 inhibition (per 1 SD increase of GRS, 0.1% lowering of HbA1c) was negatively associated with cirrhosis development (adjusted odds ratio=0.83, 95% CI=0.70-0.98, p =0.03) and this was consistent in the 2-sample MR (OR=0.73, 95% CI=0.60-0.90, p =0.003). In the Korean NHIS database, the risk of liver-related complications was significantly lower in the SGLT2i group than in the dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor group (adjusted hazard ratio=0.88, 95% CI=0.79-0.97, p =0.01), and this difference remained significant (adjusted hazard ratio=0.72-0.89, all p <0.05) across various sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Both MRs using 2 European cohorts and a Korean nationwide population-based cohort study suggest that SGLT2 inhibition is associated with a lower risk of liver-related events.

PAGE-B incorporating moderate HBV DNA levels predicts risk of HCC among patients entering into HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent studies reported that moderate HBV DNA levels are significantly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive, non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to develop and validate a new risk score to predict HCC development using baseline moderate HBV DNA levels in patients entering into HBeAg-positive CHB from chronic infection. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study recruited 3,585 HBeAg-positive, non-cirrhotic patients who started antiviral treatment with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate at phase change into CHB from chronic infection in 23 tertiary university-affiliated hospitals of South Korea (2012-2020). A new HCC risk score (PAGED-B) was developed (training cohort, n = 2,367) based on multivariable Cox models. Internal validation using bootstrap sampling and external validation (validation cohort, n = 1,218) were performed. RESULTS: Sixty (1.7%) patients developed HCC (median follow-up, 5.4 years). In the training cohort, age, gender, platelets, diabetes and moderate HBV DNA levels (5.00-7.99 log10 IU/ml) were independently associated with HCC development; the PAGED-B score (based on these five predictors) showed a time-dependent AUROC of 0.81 for the prediction of HCC development at 5 years. In the validation cohort, the AUROC of PAGED-B was 0.85, significantly higher than for other risk scores (PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, CAMD, and REAL-B). When stratified by the PAGED-B score, the HCC risk was significantly higher in high-risk patients than in low-risk patients (sub-distribution hazard ratio = 8.43 in the training and 11.59 in the validation cohorts, all p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The newly established PAGED-B score may enable risk stratification for HCC at the time of transition into HBeAg-positive CHB. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this study, we developed and validated a new risk score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients entering into hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) from chronic infection. The newly established PAGED-B score, which included baseline moderate HBV DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml), improved on the predictive performance of prior risk scores. Based on a patient's age, gender, diabetic status, platelet count, and moderate DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml) at the phase change into CHB from chronic infection, the PAGED-B score represents a reliable and easily available risk score to predict HCC development during the first 5 years of antiviral treatment in HBeAg-positive patients entering into CHB. With a scoring range from 0 to 12 points, the PAGED-B score significantly differentiated the 5-year HCC risk: low <7 points and high ≥7 points.

Metabolic effects and cardiovascular disease risks of antiviral treatments in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Different antiviral treatments for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have been known to have different metabolic effects. This study aimed to reveal whether tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)-induced dyslipidemia and its associated outcomes are significant. This study utilized 15-year historical cohort including patients with CHB in Korea and consisted of two parts: the single-antiviral and switch-antiviral cohorts. In the single-antiviral cohort, patients were divided into four groups (entecavir [ETV]-only, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF]-only, TAF-only, and non-antiviral). Propensity score matching (PSM) and linear regression model were sequentially applied to compare metabolic profiles and estimated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risks longitudinally. In the switch-antiviral cohort, pairwise analyses were conducted in patients who switched NAs to TAF or from TAF. In the single-antiviral cohort, body weight and statin use showed significant differences between groups before PSM, but well-balanced after PSM. Changes in total cholesterol were significantly different between groups (-2.57 mg/dL/year in the TDF-only group and +2.88 mg/dL/year in the TAF-only group; p = 0.002 and p = 0.02, respectively). In the TDF-only group, HDL cholesterol decreased as well (-0.55 mg/dL/year; p < 0.001). The TAF-only group had the greatest increase in ASCVD risk, followed by the TDF-only group and the non-antiviral group. In the switch-antiviral cohort, patients who switched from TDF to TAF had a higher total cholesterol after switching (+9.4 mg/dL/year) than before switching (-1.0 mg/dL/year; p = 0.047). Sensitivity analysis on data with an observation period set to a maximum of 3 years for NA treatment showed consistent results on total cholesterol (-2.96 mg/dL/year in the TDF-only group and +3.09 mg/dL/year in the TAF-only group; p = 0.001 and p = 0.005, respectively). Another sensitivity analysis conducted on statin-treated patients revealed no significant change in cholesterol and ASCVD risk. TAF was associated with increased total cholesterol, whereas TDF was associated with decreased total and HDL cholesterol. Both TAF and TDF were associated with increased ASCVD risks, and statin use might mitigate these risks.

Extrahepatic malignancies in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) encompasses heterogeneous fatty liver diseases associated with metabolic disorders. We aimed to evaluate the association between MAFLD and extrahepatic malignancies based on MAFLD subtypes. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included 9 298 497 patients who participated in a health-screening programme of the National Health Insurance Service of Korea in 2009. Patients were further classified into four subgroups: non-MAFLD, diabetes mellitus (DM)-MAFLD, overweight/obese-MAFLD and lean-MAFLD. The primary outcome was the development of any primary extrahepatic malignancy, while death, decompensated liver cirrhosis and liver transplantation were considered competing events. The secondary outcomes included all-cause and extrahepatic malignancy-related mortality. RESULTS: In total, 2 500 080 patients were diagnosed with MAFLD. During a median follow-up of 10.3 years, 447 880 patients (6.0%) with extrahepatic malignancies were identified. The DM-MAFLD (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11-1.14; p < .001) and the lean-MAFLD (aSHR = 1.12; 95% CI = 1.10-1.14; p < .001) groups were associated with higher risks of extrahepatic malignancy than the non-MAFLD group. However, the overweight/obese-MAFLD group exhibited a similar risk of extrahepatic malignancy compared to the non-MAFLD group (aSHR = 1.00; 95% CI = .99-1.00; p = .42). These findings were reproduced in several sensitivity analyses. The DM-MAFLD was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.41; 95% CI = 1.40-1.43; p < .001) and extrahepatic malignancy-related mortality (aHR = 1.20; 95% CI = 1.17-1.23; p < .001). CONCLUSION: The diabetic or lean subtype of MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of extrahepatic malignancy than non-MAFLD. As MAFLD comprises a heterogeneous population, appropriate risk stratification and management based on the MAFLD subtypes are required.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after curative treatment when switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate or entecavir to tenofovir alafenamide: A real-world multicenter cohort study.

AIM: Antiviral treatment reduces the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. However, there is a lack of high-quality evidence regarding the preventive effects of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) on HCC. We evaluated the impact of TAF use after curative treatment on HCC recurrence. METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery or radiofrequency ablation as a curative treatment for HCC were selected. Those patients who continued antiviral treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs; entecavir [ETV] or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF]) or switched to TAF were included. The primary outcome was HCC recurrence, and the time-varying effect of NA use on HCC recurrence was analyzed using various statistical methods. RESULTS: Among 2794 consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis B who received curative treatment for HCC, 199 subsequently switched from ETV or TDF to TAF. After a median of 3.0 years, 1303 patients (46.6%) experienced HCC recurrence. After propensity score matching (ratio 1:10), switching to TAF was not associated with an increased HCC recurrence (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.68-1.47; p = 1.00) by time-varying Cox analysis. Switching to TAF was not associated with HCC recurrence in subgroups of NA (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.67-1.67; p = 0.81 for TDF, and HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.51-2.33; p = 0.82 for ETV). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed comparable HCC recurrence-free survival between patients who switched to TAF and those who continued with their NA (p = 0.08). Time-varying Cox analyses in various subgroups confirmed the primary findings. CONCLUSIONS: TAF is as effective as TDF and ETV in preventing HCC recurrence after curative treatment.

A circulating cell-free DNA methylation signature for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

To address the shortcomings of current hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance tests, we set out to find HCC-specific methylation markers and develop a highly sensitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based method to detect them in circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA). The analysis of large methylome data revealed that Ring Finger Protein 135 (RNF135) and Lactate Dehydrogenase B (LDHB) are universally applicable HCC methylation markers with no discernible methylation level detected in any other tissue types. These markers were used to develop Methylation Sensitive High-Resolution Analysis (MS-HRM), and their diagnostic accuracy was tested using cfDNA from healthy, at-risk, and HCC patients. The combined MS-HRM RNF135 and LDHB analysis detected 57% of HCC, outperforming the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test's sensitivity of 45% at comparable specificity. Furthermore, when used with the AFP test, the methylation assay can detect 70% of HCC. Our findings suggest that the cfDNA methylation assay could be used for HCC liquid biopsy.

The association between alcohol consumption and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma according to glycemic status in Korea: A nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol and diabetes are known risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, it is unclear whether the association between alcohol consumption and HCC risk differs by fasting serum glucose level and diabetes. We investigated the dose-response relationship between alcohol consumption and the risk of HCC according to glycemic status. METHODS AND FINDINGS: This population-based observational cohort study included patients who underwent general health checkups in 2009 using the Korean National Health Insurance Service Database. The primary outcome was HCC incidence, and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to estimate the relationship between alcohol consumption and HCC risk according to glycemic status. A total of 34,321 patients newly diagnosed with HCC were observed in the median follow-up period of 8.3 years. In the multivariable model, we adjusted for age, sex, smoking, regular exercise, income, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and body mass index. Mild-to-moderate alcohol consumption increased the risk of HCC in all glycemic statuses (normoglycemia: hazard ratio [HR], 1.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.10; prediabetes: HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.24; and diabetes: HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.93 to 2.11) compared to normoglycemic nondrinking. Heavy alcohol consumption also increased the risk of HCC in all glycemic statuses (normoglycemia: HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.46; prediabetes: HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.58 to 1.77; and diabetes: HR, 3.29; 95% CI, 3.11 to 3.49) compared to normoglycemic nondrinking. Since alcohol consumption information in this study was based on a self-administered questionnaire, there may be a possibility of underestimation. Although we excluded patients with a history of viral hepatitis using diagnosis codes, we could not obtain information on hepatitis B or hepatitis C serum markers. CONCLUSIONS: Both mild-to-moderate and heavy alcohol consumption was associated with an increased risk of HCC in all glycemic statuses. The increased risk of HCC according to alcohol consumption was the highest in the diabetes group, suggesting that more intensive alcohol abstinence is required for patients with diabetes.

Personalized Antiviral Drug Selection in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using a Machine Learning Model: A Multinational Study.

INTRODUCTION: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is reportedly superior or at least comparable to entecavir (ETV) for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B; however, it has distinct long-term renal and bone toxicities. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model (designated as Prediction of Liver cancer using Artificial intelligence-driven model for Network-antiviral Selection for hepatitis B [PLAN-S]) to predict an individualized risk of HCC during ETV or TDF therapy. METHODS: This multinational study included 13,970 patients with chronic hepatitis B. The derivation (n = 6,790), Korean validation (n = 4,543), and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts (n = 2,637) were established. Patients were classified as the TDF-superior group when a PLAN-S-predicted HCC risk under ETV treatment is greater than under TDF treatment, and the others were defined as the TDF-nonsuperior group. RESULTS: The PLAN-S model was derived using 8 variables and generated a c-index between 0.67 and 0.78 for each cohort. The TDF-superior group included a higher proportion of male patients and patients with cirrhosis than the TDF-nonsuperior group. In the derivation, Korean validation, and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts, 65.3%, 63.5%, and 76.4% of patients were classified as the TDF-superior group, respectively. In the TDF-superior group of each cohort, TDF was associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC than ETV (hazard ratio = 0.60-0.73, all P < 0.05). In the TDF-nonsuperior group, however, there was no significant difference between the 2 drugs (hazard ratio = 1.16-1.29, all P > 0.1). DISCUSSION: Considering the individual HCC risk predicted by PLAN-S and the potential TDF-related toxicities, TDF and ETV treatment may be recommended for the TDF-superior and TDF-nonsuperior groups, respectively.

Effectiveness of US Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B: US LI-RADS Visualization Score.

Background US is a standard surveillance tool of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its effectiveness varies depending on the degree of fibrosis or steatosis and the etiologies of liver disease. Purpose To evaluate the detection power of US and the occurrence of HCC according to the US Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) visualization score in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Materials and Methods Consecutive patients with CHB undergoing regular US surveillance of HCC at a tertiary referral hospital were retrospectively included in this study. During the follow-up, all patients underwent regular HCC surveillance mainly with US and, in some cases, alternative CT or MRI. Outcomes of interest included cumulative incidence of HCC and false-negative rate of US in the optimal (LI-RADS visualization A) versus suboptimal groups (visualization B or C). Cox regression analysis was conducted to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of HCC occurrence. Results A total of 2002 patients (median age, 54 years [IQR, 46-60 years]; 1192 men) were included: 972 and 1030 in the optimal and suboptimal groups, respectively. Causes of suboptimal visualization included parenchymal heterogeneity from advanced cirrhosis (n = 489), limited penetration from fatty liver (n = 200), and limited window from overlying organ shadow (n = 341). During a median follow-up of 75 months (IQR, 69-77 months), 163 patients developed HCC. Compared with the optimal group, the suboptimal group had a higher risk of HCC (2.38% per year vs 0.48% per year: hazard ratio, 4.93; 95% CI: 3.28, 7.41; P < .001) and higher odds of a false-negative rate of US (43.9% vs 16.7%: odds ratio, 3.90; 95% CI: 1.02, 15.00; P = .04). Conclusion Among patients with CHB, those with suboptimal US LI-RADS visualization of B or C had a higher risk of HCC and higher odds of false-negative rates of US for detecting HCC than those with optimal visualization of A. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Barr and Scoutt in this issue.

Lean or diabetic subtypes predict increased all-cause and disease-specific mortality in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) encompasses diverse disease groups with potentially heterogeneous clinical outcomes. We investigated the risk of all-cause and disease-specific mortality in MAFLD subgroups. METHODS: Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, participants were divided into four subgroups: no MAFLD, MAFLD-diabetes, MAFLD-overweight/obese, and MAFLD-lean. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) values for all-cause and disease-specific mortality according to MAFLD subgroups were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Among 9,935,314 participants, those with MAFLD-diabetes showed the highest risk of all-cause and disease-specific mortality. The HRs (95% CI) for all-cause mortality were 1.61 (1.59-1.63), 1.36 (1.34-1.38), and 1.19 (1.18-1.20) in the MAFLD-diabetes, MAFLD-lean, and MAFLD-overweight/obese groups, respectively. The magnitude of cardiovascular disease and cancer-related risk showed the same pattern. The risk of liver-related mortality in the MAFLD-lean group (HR: 2.84, 95% CI: 2.72-2.97) was comparable with that in the MAFLD-diabetes group (HR: 2.85, 95% CI: 2.75-2.95). When stratified by body mass index, liver-related mortality was the highest in MAFLD-lean individuals in the underweight group (HR, 5.03, 95% CI: 4.23-5.97). CONCLUSIONS: The MAFLD-lean and MAFLD-diabetes groups had a higher risk of all-cause and disease-specific mortality than did the MAFLD-overweight/obese group. Classifying MAFLD subgroups based on metabolic phenotypes might help risk stratification of patients with MAFLD.

Hepatic steatosis and metabolic risk factors among patients with chronic hepatitis B: The multicentre, prospective CAP-Asia study.

We aimed to compare the severity of liver disease, metabolic profile and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with and without hepatic steatosis and patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Patients with NAFLD and CHB were prospectively enrolled from 10 Asian centres. Fibroscan was performed for all patients and hepatic steatosis was defined based on controlled attenuation parameter >248 dB/m. CVD risk was assessed using the Framingham risk score. The data for 1080 patients were analysed (67% NAFLD, 33% CHB). A high proportion (59%) of CHB patients had hepatic steatosis. There was a significant stepwise increase in alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, controlled attenuation parameter and liver stiffness measurement, from CHB patients without hepatic steatosis to CHB patients with hepatic steatosis to NAFLD patients (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). There was a significant stepwise increase in the proportion of patients with metabolic syndrome and in CVD risk, with very high or extreme CVD risk seen in 20%, 48% and 61%, across the groups (p < 0.001 between CHB patients with and without hepatic steatosis and p < 0.05 between CHB patients with hepatic steatosis and NAFLD patients). In conclusion, there was a high proportion of CHB patients with hepatic steatosis, which should be diagnosed, as they may have more severe liver disease, so that this and their metabolic risk factors can be assessed and managed accordingly for a better long-term outcome.

Aspirin use and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B with or without cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Studies on differential effect of aspirin therapy on HCC risk across the spectrum of liver diseases are lacking. We investigated the association between aspirin use and risks of HCC, liver-associated death, and major bleeding in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with or without cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We identified 329,635 eligible adults with CHB from 2007 through 2017, using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, including patients who received aspirin for ≥90 consecutive days (n = 20,200) and patients who never received antiplatelet therapy (n = 309,435). Risks of HCC, liver-associated mortality, and major bleeding were estimated in a propensity-score-matched cohort (19,003 pairs), accounting for competing risks. With a median follow-up of 6.7 years, 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 9.5% in the aspirin-treated group and 11.3% in the untreated group (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR], 0.85; 95% CI, 0.78-0.92). However, among patients with cirrhosis (2479 pairs), an association of aspirin use with HCC risk was not evident (aSHR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.85-1.18). Cirrhosis status had a significant effect on the association between aspirin use and HCC risk (pinteraction , n = 0.04). Aspirin use was also associated with lower liver-associated mortality (aSHR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.71-0.90). Moreover, aspirin use was not associated with major bleeding risk (aSHR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.99-1.21). CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin use was associated with reduced risks of HCC and liver-associated mortality in adults with CHB. Cirrhosis status had a substantial effect on the association between aspirin use and HCC risk.

Fusion imaging-guided radiofrequency ablation with artificial ascites or pleural effusion in patients with hepatocellular carcinomas: the feasibility rate and mid-term outcome.

Purpose: To investigate the feasibility rate and the mid-term outcomes of fusion imaging-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with artificial ascites or pleural effusion of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) based on tumor locations.Materials and Methods: In this single-center retrospective study, 456 patients with single HCCs ≤4 cm were referred for RFA from April 2019 to April 2020. The tumor locations were classified into a conventional location (CL) and difficult location (DL, close to the diaphragm/heart/major vessels/bile ducts/gastrointestinal tract/kidneys). This study assessed the feasibility rate of CT/MRI-US fusion system-guided RFA with artificial ascites or pleural effusion and the therapeutic outcomes including technical success, technique efficacy, and local tumor progression (LTP) according to tumor location. Cumulative LTP rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.Results: 235 of 456 (51.5%) patients had HCCs in DL. Ablation was feasible in 431 of 456 (94.5%) patients. The feasibility rate was significantly lower in DL group than in CL group (89.8% [211/235] vs. 99.5% [220/221], p < 0.001). The technical success and technique efficacy rates were 100% [211/211] vs. 99.5% [219/220] and 98.6% [208/211] vs. 100% [220/220] in DL and CL groups, respectively (p > 0.05). The estimated 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative LTP rates in DL group were 1.0%, 2.5%, and 2.5%, respectively, and were not significantly different from the 2.3%, 3.9%, and 3.9% observed in CL group (p = 0.456).Conclusion: Fusion imaging-guided RFA with artificial ascites or pleural effusion could decrease technically infeasible cases and provide comparable LTP rates for HCCs in DL to HCCs in CL.

Efficacy of Antiviral Prophylaxis up to 6 or 12 Months From Completion of Rituximab in Resolved Hepatitis B Patients: A Multicenter, Randomized Study.

BACKGROUND: Rituximab occasionally induces reactivation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in patients with resolved HBV, at times with fatal consequences. The optimal duration of prophylactic antiviral therapy in this situation is unclear. We aimed to investigate the difference in HBV reactivation according to the duration of prophylactic tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in patients with resolved HBV and receiving rituximab. METHODS: A multicenter, randomized, open-label, prospective study was conducted in hepatitis B surface antigen-negative and anti-HBc-positive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma patients treated with rituximab-based chemotherapy. A total of 90 patients were randomized and received prophylactic TDF from the initiation of rituximab until 6 months (the 6-month group) or 12 months (the 12-month group) after the completion of rituximab. The primary outcome was the difference in HBV reactivation and the secondary outcomes were the difference in hepatitis flare and adverse events between the two groups. RESULTS: In an intention to treat (ITT) analysis, HBV reactivation occurred in 1 of 43 patients (2.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41-12%) at a median of 13.3 months in the 6-month group and 2 of 41 patients (4.9%; 95% CI, 1.4-16%) at a median of 13.7 months in the 12-month group. In a per protocol (PP) analysis, HBV reactivation occurred in 1 of 18 patients (5.6%; 95% CI, 0.99-26%) at 13.3 months in the 6-month group and 1 of 13 patients (7.7%; 95% CI, 1.4-33%) at 9.7 months in the 12-month group. The cumulative incidence of HBV reactivation was not significantly different between the two groups in ITT and PP analyses (P = 0.502 and 0.795, respectively). The occurrence of adverse events was not significantly different between the two groups in ITT (9.3% in the 6-month group, 22.0% in the 12-month group, P = 0.193) and PP analyses (5.6% in the 6-month group, 7.7% in the 12-month group, P > 0.999). CONCLUSION: Prophylactic TDF up to 6 months after completion of rituximab-based chemotherapy is sufficient in terms of the efficacy and safety of reducing HBV reactivation in patients with resolved HBV. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02585947.

An artificial intelligence model to predict hepatocellular carcinoma risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several models have recently been developed to predict risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aims were to develop and validate an artificial intelligence-assisted prediction model of HCC risk. METHODS: Using a gradient-boosting machine (GBM) algorithm, a model was developed using 6,051 patients with CHB who received entecavir or tenofovir therapy from 4 hospitals in Korea. Two external validation cohorts were independently established: Korean (5,817 patients from 14 Korean centers) and Caucasian (1,640 from 11 Western centers) PAGE-B cohorts. The primary outcome was HCC development. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort and the 2 validation cohorts, cirrhosis was present in 26.9%-50.2% of patients at baseline. A model using 10 parameters at baseline was derived and showed good predictive performance (c-index 0.79). This model showed significantly better discrimination than previous models (PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, REACH-B, and CU-HCC) in both the Korean (c-index 0.79 vs. 0.64-0.74; all p <0.001) and Caucasian validation cohorts (c-index 0.81 vs. 0.57-0.79; all p <0.05 except modified PAGE-B, p = 0.42). A calibration plot showed a satisfactory calibration function. When the patients were grouped into 4 risk groups, the minimal-risk group (11.2% of the Korean cohort and 8.8% of the Caucasian cohort) had a less than 0.5% risk of HCC during 8 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This GBM-based model provides the best predictive power for HCC risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with CHB treated with entecavir or tenofovir. LAY SUMMARY: Risk scores have been developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We developed and validated a new risk prediction model using machine learning algorithms in 13,508 antiviral-treated patients with chronic hepatitis B. Our new model, based on 10 common baseline characteristics, demonstrated superior performance in risk stratification compared with previous risk scores. This model also identified a group of patients at minimal risk of developing HCC, who could be indicated for less intensive HCC surveillance.

Tenofovir Alafenamide for Drug-Resistant Hepatitis B: A Randomized Trial for Switching From Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It remains unknown whether tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) could replace tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in patients with drug-resistant hepatitis B virus (HBV). METHODS: In this multicenter randomized non-inferiority trial, 174 patients with HBV resistant to multiple drugs (lamivudine, entecavir, and/or adefovir) under TDF monotherapy for ≥96 weeks were randomized 1:1 to switch to TAF (n = 87) or continue TDF (n = 87) for 48 weeks. The primary endpoint was proportion of patients with HBV DNA <60 IU/mL at week 48. RESULTS: At baseline, 84 and 80 patients had HBV DNA <60 IU/mL in the TAF and TDF groups, respectively. At week 48, the proportion of patients with HBV DNA <60 IU/mL was 98.9% (86/87) in TAF group, showing non-inferiority to TDF group (97.7%, 85/87; difference, 1.1%; 95% confidence interval, -2.7% to 5.0%). Changes in median alanine aminotransferase at week 48 from baseline were statistically different between TAF and TDF groups (-3 IU/L vs +2 IU/L; P = .02). TAF group showed a statistically greater increase in bone mineral density at spine (+1.84% vs +0.08%; P = .01) and numerically higher increase in mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (+8.2% vs +4.5%; P = .06) compared with TDF group. Compared with TDF group, TAF group showed significantly greater increases in mean body weight (0.71 vs -0.37 kg; P = .01) and total, low-density lipoprotein, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (P < .001 for all) at week 48 from baseline. CONCLUSIONS: TAF could be substituted for TDF in patients with multidrug-resistant HBV for improved bone and renal safety without a loss of efficacy. However, increases in body weight and cholesterol levels with TAF treatment would be a concern. ClinicalTrials.gov no.: NCT03241641.

Impact of HBeAg on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk During Oral Antiviral Treatment in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antiviral treatment from hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive status may attenuate the integration of hepatitis B virus DNA into the host genome causing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We investigated the impact of HBeAg status at the onset of antiviral treatment on the risk of HCC. METHODS: The incidence of HCC was evaluated in Korean patients with chronic hepatitis B who started entecavir or tenofovir in either HBeAg-positive or HBeAg-negative phase. The results in the Korean cohort were validated in a Caucasian PAGE-B cohort. RESULTS: A total of 9143 Korean patients (mean age, 49.2 years) were included: 49.1% were HBeAg-positive and 49.2% had cirrhosis. During follow-up (median, 5.1 years), 916 patients (10.0%) developed HCC. Baseline HBeAg positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. However, in the non-cirrhotic subcohort, HBeAg positivity was independently associated with a lower risk of HCC in multivariable (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.66), propensity score-matching (aHR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.76), and inverse probability weighting analyses (aHR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.28-0.70). In the Caucasian cohort (n = 719; mean age, 51.8 years; HBeAg-positive, 20.3%; cirrhosis, 34.8%), HBeAg-positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC either in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. In the non-cirrhotic subcohort, none of the HBeAg-positive group developed HCC, although the difference failed to reach statistical significance (aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.00-1.67). CONCLUSIONS: This multinational cohort study implies that HBeAg positivity at the onset of antiviral treatment seems to be an independent factor associated with a lower risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis, but not in those with cirrhosis.

Association of Metabolic Risk Factors With Risks of Cancer and All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Long-term antiviral therapy can effectively suppress viral replication and improve clinical outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but it cannot eliminate risk of HCC. We investigated the association of metabolic risk factors with the risks of cancer and all-cause mortality in patients with CHB. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This nationwide population-based study from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database consisted of adults with CHB who underwent health examinations from 2007 through 2012. We collected baseline data on metabolic risk factors, including obesity, high blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes. The risks of developing HCC, non-HCC cancer, and overall death were analyzed according to the metabolic risk profile. The study population composed of 317,856 patients (median age, 46 years [interquartile range, 37-54 years]; 219,418 men [69.0%]) had 2,609,523.8 person-years of follow-up. A total of 18,850 HCCs, 22,164 non-HCC cancers, and 15,768 deaths were observed during a median follow-up period of 8.5 years. The metabolic risk factor burden was positively associated with the risks of HCC, non-HCC cancer, and all-cause mortality (all P < 0.0001 for trend). Patients with ≥3 metabolic risk factors, compared with those without metabolic risk factors, showed adjusted hazard ratios of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.16-1.31) for HCC, 1.34 (95% CI, 1.27-1.41) for non-HCC cancer, and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.23-1.39) for all-cause mortality. Among patients receiving antiviral therapy for over 5 years, the risk-increasing association of the sum of metabolic risk factors with the risks of HCC and overall death was consistent. CONCLUSION: The metabolic risk factor burden was associated with increased risks of HCC, non-HCC cancer, and all-cause mortality in patients with CHB.

Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of the Oral TLR8 Agonist Selgantolimod in Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection, activation of toll-like receptor 8 may induce antiviral immunity and drive functional cure. Selgantolimod, a toll-like receptor 8 agonist, was evaluated in patients with CHB who were virally suppressed on oral antiviral treatment or viremic and not on oral antiviral treatment. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this phase 1b study, patients were randomized 4:1 to receive either selgantolimod or placebo once weekly. Virally suppressed patients received either 1.5 mg (for 2 weeks) or 3 mg (for 2 weeks or 4 weeks). Viremic patients received 3 mg for 2 weeks. The primary endpoint was safety, as assessed by adverse events (AEs), laboratory abnormalities, and vital sign examination. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic parameters were assessed by plasma analysis. A total of 38 patients (28 virally suppressed, 10 viremic) were enrolled from six sites in Australia, New Zealand, and South Korea. Twenty patients (53%) experienced an AE and 32 (84%) had laboratory abnormalities, all of which were mild or moderate in severity. The most common AEs were headache (32%), nausea (24%), and dizziness (13%). With a half-life of 5 hours, no accumulation of selgantolimod was observed with multiple dosing. Selgantolimod induced transient dose-dependent increases in serum cytokines, including IL-12p40 and IL-1RA, which are important for the expansion and activity of multiple T- cell subsets and innate immunity. CONCLUSION: Selgantolimod was safe and well-tolerated in virally suppressed and viremic patients with CHB and elicited cytokine responses consistent with target engagement. Further studies with longer durations of selgantolimod treatment are required to evaluate efficacy.

The association of fatty liver index and BARD score with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) commonly coexist. However, NAFLD's effect on mortality in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes awaits full elucidation. Therefore, we examined NAFLD-related all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a nationwide Asian population with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We included patients who had undergone general health checkups between 2009 and 2012 using the National Health Insurance Service database linked to death-certificate data. Hepatic steatosis was defined as a fatty liver index (FLI) ≥ 60, and advanced hepatic fibrosis was determined using the BARD score. FINDINGS: During the follow-up period of 8.1 years, 222,242 deaths occurred, with a mortality rate of 14.3/1000 person-years. An FLI ≥ 60 was significantly associated with increased risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality including cardiovascular disease (CVD)-, cancer-, and liver disease (FLI ≥ 60: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.03 for all-cause; 1.07, 1.04-1.10 for CVD; 1.12, 1.09-1.14 for cancer; and 2.63, 2.50-2.77 for liver disease). Those with an FLI ≥ 60 and fibrosis (BARD ≥ 2) exhibited increased risks of all-cause (HR, 95% CI 1.11, 1.10-1.12), CVD- (HR, 95% CI 1.11, 1.09-1.14), cancer- (HR, 95% CI 1.17, 1.15-1.19), and liver disease-related (HR, 95% CI 2.38, 2.29-2.49) mortality. CONCLUSION: Hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis were significantly associated with risks of overall and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Our results provide evidence that determining the presence of hepatic steatosis and/or fibrosis potentially plays a role in risk stratification of mortality outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.