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1.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Jun 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38848312

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Bivalent mRNA vaccines, designed to combat emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, incorporate ancestral strains and a new variant. Our study assessed the immune response in previously vaccinated individuals of the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) and the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (STCS) following bivalent mRNA vaccination. METHODS: Eligible SHCS and STCS participants received approved bivalent mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccines (mRNA-1273.214 or BA.1-adapted BNT162b2) within clinical routine. Blood samples were collected at baseline, 4 weeks, 8 weeks, and 6 months post vaccination. We analyzed the proportion of participants with anti-spike protein antibody response ≥1642 units/ml (indicating protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection), and in a subsample T-cell response (including mean concentrations), stratifying results by cohorts and population characteristics. RESULTS: In SHCS participants, baseline anti-spike antibody concentrations ≥1642 were observed in 87% (96/112), reaching nearly 100% at follow-ups. Among STCS participants, 58% (35/60) had baseline antibodies ≥1642, increasing to 80% at 6 months. Except for lung transplant recipients, all participants showed a five-fold increase in geometric mean antibody concentrations at 4 weeks and a reduction by half at 6 months. At baseline, T-cell responses were positive in 96% (26/27) of SHCS participants and 36% (16/45) of STCS participants (moderate increase to 53% at 6 months). Few participants reported SARS-CoV-2 infections, side-effects, or serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Bivalent mRNA vaccination elicited a robust humoral response in individuals with HIV or solid organ transplants, with delayed responses in lung transplant recipients. Despite a waning effect, antibody levels remained high at 6 months and adverse events were rare.

2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 75(1): e585-e593, 2022 08 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35234868

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: BNT162b2 by Pfizer-BioNTech and mRNA-1273 by Moderna are the most commonly used vaccines to prevent severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections. Head-to-head comparison of the efficacy of these vaccines in immunocompromised patients is lacking. METHODS: Parallel, 2-arm (allocation 1:1), open-label, noninferiority randomized clinical trial nested into the Swiss HIV Cohort Study and the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study. People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) or solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR; ie, lung and kidney) from these cohorts were randomized to mRNA-1273 or BNT162b2. The primary endpoint was antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 spike (S1) protein receptor binding domain (Elecsys Anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoassay, Roche; cutoff ≥0.8 units/mL) 12 weeks after first vaccination (ie, 8 weeks after second vaccination). In addition, antibody response was measured with the Antibody Coronavirus Assay 2 (ABCORA 2). RESULTS: A total of 430 patients were randomized and 412 were included in the intention-to-treat analysis (341 PLWH and 71 SOTR). The percentage of patients showing an immune response was 92.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 88.4-95.8; 186/202) for mRNA-1273 and 94.3% (95% CI: 91.2-97.4; 198/210) for BNT162b2 (difference: -2.2%; 95% CI: -7.1 to 2.7), fulfilling noninferiority of mRNA-1273. With the ABCORA 2 test, 89.1% had an immune response to mRNA-1273 (95% CI: 84.8-93.4; 180/202) and 89.5% to BNT162b2 (95% CI: 85.4-93.7; 188/210). Based on the Elecsys test, all PLWH had an antibody response (100.0%; 341/341), whereas for SOTR, only 60.6% (95% CI: 49.2-71.9; 43/71) had titers above the cutoff level. CONCLUSIONS: In immunocompromised patients, the antibody response of mRNA-1273 was noninferior to BNT162b2. PLWH had in general an antibody response, whereas a high proportion of SOTR had no antibody response.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas Virales , Vacuna nCoV-2019 mRNA-1273 , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Vacuna BNT162 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Huésped Inmunocomprometido , SARS-CoV-2 , Proteínas del Envoltorio Viral/genética , Proteínas del Envoltorio Viral/metabolismo
3.
Psychooncology ; 28(2): 351-357, 2019 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30466146

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Highly distressed cancer patients often do not use psycho-oncological services (POS). Research on predictors of POS uptake has mainly focused on patient-related variables and less on communication variables, so we examined the link between patient-oncologist communication (ie, talking about psychosocial distress, providing detailed information, and recommending POS) and POS uptake. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, observational study in an Oncology Outpatient Clinic in Switzerland. Predictors (ie, patient-related variables and patient's reports of the patient-oncologist communication) were assessed via semistructured interviews, and information on outpatient POS uptake was assessed after 4 months. For statistical analysis, a multivariate logistic regression was performed. RESULTS: Of 333 participants (mean age 61 years; 55% male; 54% distress thermometer ≥5), 77 (23%) had used POS during a 4-month period. Patients who reported an oncologist-recommended POS (odds ratio [OR] = 6.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.14-12.85) and those who were not sure if they had received a recommendation (OR = 4.64, 95% CI = 1.83-11.97) were more likely to attend POS than those who reported receiving no recommendation. Talking about psychosocial distress (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.38-1.46) and providing detailed information about POS did not predict POS uptake (OR = 1.06, 95% CI = 0.46-2.38). CONCLUSIONS: Oncologists' expert recommendations to attend POS were strongly associated with patients' uptake of POS. The central role played by oncologists should be accounted for in stepped psycho-oncological care when POS referral pathways are defined.


Asunto(s)
Comunicación , Neoplasias/psicología , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Relaciones Médico-Paciente , Psicooncología , Derivación y Consulta , Estrés Psicológico/terapia , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Prospectivos , Psicooncología/estadística & datos numéricos , Derivación y Consulta/estadística & datos numéricos , Suiza
4.
BMC Cancer ; 17(1): 385, 2017 05 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28558713

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: International standards prioritize introducing routine emotional distress screening in cancer care to accurately identify patients who most need psycho-oncological treatment, and ensure that patients can access appropriate supportive care. However, only a moderate proportion of distressed patients accepts referrals to or uses psycho-oncological support services. Predictors and barriers to psycho-oncological support service utilization are under-studied. We know little about how patients and oncologists perceive the discussions when oncologists assess psychosocial distress with a screening instrument. We aim to 1) assess the barriers and predictors of uptake of in-house psycho-oncological support along the distress screening pathway in cancer patients treated at a University Oncology Outpatient Clinic and, 2) determine how patients and clinicians perceive communication about psychosocial distress after screening with the Distress Thermometer. METHODS: This is a quantitative prospective observational study with qualitative aspects. We will examine medical and demographic variables, cancer patient self-reports of various psychological measures, and aspects of the patient-clinician communication as variables that potentially predict uptake of psycho-oncological support service. We will also assess the patients' reasons for accepting or refusing psycho-oncological support services. We assess at three points in time, based on paper-and-pencil questionnaires and two patient interviews during the study period. We will monitor outcomes (psycho-oncology service uptake) four months after study entry. DISCUSSION: The study will improve our understanding of characteristics of patients who accept or refuse psycho-oncological support, and help us understand how patients' and oncologists perceive communication about psychosocial distress, and referral to a psycho-oncologist. We believe this is the first study to focus on factors that affect uptake or rejection of psycho-oncological support services along the screening and referral pathway. The study 1) combines standard assessment with qualitative data collection, 2) embraces patient and oncologist perspectives, and, 3) focuses on patient-clinician communication about psychosocial issues raised by a standard screening instrument. Our results may improve routine practices and eliminate barriers to adequate health care, and make it easier to recognize patients with high distress levels who underuse the service.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias/psicología , Pacientes/psicología , Estrés Psicológico/psicología , Anciano , Composición Familiar , Femenino , Alemania , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/patología , Médicos/psicología , Derivación y Consulta , Estrés Psicológico/epidemiología , Estrés Psicológico/patología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
5.
Circulation ; 130(12): 948-57, 2014 Sep 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25098242

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The independent predictive value of troponin T (TNT) after on-pump cardiac surgery was established in several studies. However, adjustment was limited to preoperative risk factors without considering perioperative complications. Data on the prognostic value of postoperative B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) are scarce. Our aim was to assess the independent value of TNT and BNP to predict 12-month outcome after cardiac surgery with adjustment for preoperative risk estimates and postoperative complications and to report risk stratification gains when considering the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) combined with postoperative biomarkers. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective cohort study included consecutive patients undergoing on-pump cardiac surgery between 2007 and 2010. We evaluated postoperative TNT and BNP, the EuroSCORE, and postoperative complications as predictors of adverse events using Cox regression. The primary end point was death or major adverse cardiac events within 1 year after surgery. We calculated the net reclassification index of TNT and BNP in addition to the EuroSCORE. We enrolled 1559 patients, of whom 176 (11.3%) experienced an event. The adjusted hazard ratio of TNT >0.8 µg/L was 2.13 (95% confidence interval, 1.47-3.15) and of BNP >790 ng/L was 2.44 (95% confidence interval, 1.65-3.62). The net reclassification index of the addition of TNT and BNP to the EuroSCORE was 0.276 (95% confidence interval, 0.195-0.348). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative TNT and BNP are strong predictors of 1-year events after on-pump cardiac surgery independent of preoperative risk factors and postoperative complications. Updating the preoperative EuroSCORE risk with postoperative TNT and BNP after surgery allows for improved prediction of 1-year death or major adverse cardiac events.


Asunto(s)
Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidad , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico/sangre , Troponina T/sangre , Anciano , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos/efectos adversos , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/sangre , Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Prospectivos
6.
Biostatistics ; 15(3): 526-39, 2014 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24493091

RESUMEN

The concordance probability is a widely used measure to assess discrimination of prognostic models with binary and survival endpoints. We formally define the concordance probability for a prognostic model of the absolute risk of an event of interest in the presence of competing risks and relate it to recently proposed time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve measures. For right-censored data, we investigate inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW) estimates of a truncated concordance index based on a working model for the censoring distribution. We demonstrate consistency and asymptotic normality of the IPCW estimate if the working model is correctly specified and derive an explicit formula for the asymptotic variance under independent censoring. The small sample properties of the estimator are assessed in a simulation study also against misspecification of the working model. We further illustrate the methods by computing the concordance probability for a prognostic model of coronary heart disease (CHD) events in the presence of the competing risk of non-CHD death.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Probabilidad , Pronóstico , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Humanos , Curva ROC
7.
Eur Heart J ; 35(42): 2936-41, 2014 Nov 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24711436

RESUMEN

Studies in cardiology often record the time to multiple disease events such as death, myocardial infarction, or hospitalization. Competing risks methods allow for the analysis of the time to the first observed event and the type of the first event. They are also relevant if the time to a specific event is of primary interest but competing events may preclude its occurrence or greatly alter the chances to observe it. We give a non-technical overview of competing risks concepts for descriptive and regression analyses. For descriptive statistics, the cumulative incidence function is the most important tool. For regression modelling, we introduce regression models for the cumulative incidence function and the cause-specific hazard function, respectively. We stress the importance of choosing statistical methods that are appropriate if competing risks are present. We also clarify the role of competing risks for the analysis of composite endpoints.


Asunto(s)
Cardiología/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Humanos , Incidencia , Análisis de Regresión , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Medición de Riesgo/estadística & datos numéricos , Tasa de Supervivencia
8.
J Transl Med ; 11: 17, 2013 Jan 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23320604

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: We describe the long-term outcome after clinical introduction and dose escalation of somatostatin receptor targeted therapy with [90Y-DOTA]-TOC in patients with metastasized neuroendocrine tumors. METHODS: In a clinical phase I dose escalation study we treated patients with increasing [90Y-DOTA]-TOC activities. Multivariable Cox regression and competing risk regression were used to compare efficacy and toxicities of the different dosage protocols. RESULTS: Overall, 359 patients were recruited; 60 patients were enrolled for low dose (median: 2.4 GBq/cycle, range 0.9-7.8 GBq/cycle), 77 patients were enrolled for intermediate dose (median: 3.3 GBq/cycle, range: 2.0-7.4 GBq/cycle) and 222 patients were enrolled for high dose (median: 6.7 GBq/cycle, range: 3.7-8.1 GBq/cycle) [90Y-DOTA]-TOC treatment. The incidences of hematotoxicities grade 1-4 were 65.0%, 64.9% and 74.8%; the incidences of grade 4/5 kidney toxicities were 8.4%, 6.5% and 14.0%, and the median survival was 39 (range: 1-158) months, 34 (range: 1-118) months and 29 (range: 1-113) months. The high dose protocol was associated with an increased risk of kidney toxicity (Hazard Ratio: 3.12 (1.13-8.59) vs. intermediate dose, p = 0.03) and a shorter overall survival (Hazard Ratio: 2.50 (1.08-5.79) vs. low dose, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing [90Y-DOTA]-TOC activities may be associated with increasing hematological toxicities. The dose related hematotoxicity profile of [90Y-DOTA]-TOC could facilitate tailoring [90Y-DOTA]-TOC in patients with preexisting hematotoxicities. The results of the long-term outcome suggest that fractionated [90Y-DOTA]-TOC treatment might allow to reduce renal toxicity and to improve overall survival. (ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00978211).


Asunto(s)
Tumores Neuroendocrinos/radioterapia , Octreótido/análogos & derivados , Radioterapia/métodos , Somatostatina/uso terapéutico , Radioisótopos de Itrio/uso terapéutico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Relación Dosis-Respuesta en la Radiación , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Octreótido/efectos adversos , Octreótido/uso terapéutico , Adulto Joven , Radioisótopos de Itrio/efectos adversos
9.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 28(4): 347-55, 2013 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23546766

RESUMEN

In Switzerland, organ procurement is well organized at the national-level but transplant outcomes have not been systematically monitored so far. Therefore, a novel project, the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (STCS), was established. The STCS is a prospective multicentre study, designed as a dynamic cohort, which enrolls all solid organ recipients at the national level. The features of the STCS are a flexible patient-case system that allows capturing all transplant scenarios and collection of patient-specific and allograft-specific data. Beyond comprehensive clinical data, specific focus is directed at psychosocial and behavioral factors, infectious disease development, and bio-banking. Between May 2008 and end of 2011, the six Swiss transplant centers recruited 1,677 patients involving 1,721 transplantations, and a total of 1,800 organs implanted in 15 different transplantation scenarios. 10 % of all patients underwent re-transplantation and 3% had a second transplantation, either in the past or during follow-up. 34% of all kidney allografts originated from living donation. Until the end of 2011 we observed 4,385 infection episodes in our patient population. The STCS showed operative capabilities to collect high-quality data and to adequately reflect the complexity of the post-transplantation process. The STCS represents a promising novel project for comparative effectiveness research in transplantation medicine.


Asunto(s)
Proyectos de Investigación , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos/estadística & datos numéricos , Trasplante/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Femenino , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Estudios Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros , Factores Socioeconómicos , Suiza
10.
Ann Intern Med ; 157(6): 389-97, 2012 Sep 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22986376

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Risk scores for prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD) in older adults are needed. OBJECTIVE: To develop a sex-specific CHD risk prediction model for older adults that accounts for competing risks for death. DESIGN: 2 observational cohort studies, using data from 4946 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and 4303 participants in the Rotterdam Study (RS). SETTING: Community settings in the United States (CHS) and Rotterdam, the Netherlands (RS). PARTICIPANTS: Persons aged 65 years or older who were free of cardiovascular disease. MEASUREMENTS: A composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction and coronary death. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 16.5 and 14.9 years, 1166 CHS and 698 RS participants had CHD events, respectively. Deaths from noncoronary causes largely exceeded the number of CHD events, complicating accurate CHD risk predictions. The prediction model had moderate ability to discriminate between events and nonevents (c-statistic, 0.63 in both U.S. and European men and 0.67 and 0.68 in U.S. and European women). The model was well-calibrated; predicted risks were in good agreement with observed risks. Compared with the Framingham point scores, the prediction model classified elderly U.S. persons into higher risk categories but elderly European persons into lower risk categories. Differences in classification accuracy were not consistent and depended on cohort and sex. Adding newer cardiovascular risk markers to the model did not substantially improve performance. LIMITATION: The model may be less applicable in nonwhite populations, and the comparison Framingham model was not designed for adults older than 79 years. CONCLUSION: A CHD risk prediction model that accounts for deaths from noncoronary causes among older adults provided well-calibrated risk estimates but was not substantially more accurate than Framingham point scores. Moreover, adding newer risk markers did not improve accuracy. These findings emphasize the difficulties of predicting CHD risk in elderly persons and the need to improve these predictions. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; The Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research; and the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Modelos Estadísticos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Algoritmos , Causas de Muerte , Enfermedad Coronaria/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Análisis Multivariante , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Población Blanca
11.
Prog Transplant ; 23(3): 235-46, 2013 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23996943

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Understanding outcomes after transplant requires a biopsychosocial model that includes biomedical and psychosocial factors. The latter, to date, are assessed only in a limited way as part of transplant registries or cohort studies. The Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (STCS) is a nationwide open cohort study (starting May 2008) to systematically and prospectively assess psychosocial factors. This article describes the framework underpinning STCS's psychosocial assessment. METHODS: The STCS framework was adapted from the multidimensional conceptual perspective of Dew et al to describe transplant psychosocial domains and specific outcomes by adding a time perspective, a system perspective, and interaction among domains. RESULTS: We propose a multidimensional, multilevel biopsychosocial framework representing mutually influencing domains from before to after transplant, and exemplify each domain by factors included in STCS and their measurement. The transplant patient, centrally positioned, is described by clinical and sociodemographic characteristics (eg, socioeconomic status, educational, professional, and relationship status). The following psychosocial domains further describe the patient: (1) physical/functional (eg, perceived health status, sleep quality, daytime sleepiness), (2) psychological (eg, depression, stress), (3) behavioral (eg, medication adherence, smoking, drug use, physical activity, sun protection), (4) social (eg, work capacity/return to work), and (5) global quality of life. Factors associated with health care system level (eg, trust in transplant team) are also included in the model. CONCLUSION: The STCS's psychosocial framework provides a basis for studying the interplay of biomedical, sociodemographic, psychosocial, behavioral, and health care system factors in view of transplant outcomes and therefore has the potential to guide biopsychosocial transplant research.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Órganos/psicología , Apoyo Social , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Satisfacción del Paciente , Escalas de Valoración Psiquiátrica , Calidad de Vida , Suiza
12.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(4): ofad150, 2023 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37035486

RESUMEN

Extension of the COVERALL (COrona VaccinE tRiAL pLatform) randomized trial showed noninferiority in antibody response of the third dose of Moderna mRNA-1273 vaccine (95.3% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 91.9%-98.7%]) compared to Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 vaccine (98.1% [95% CI, 95.9%-100.0%]) in individuals with different levels of immunosuppression (difference, -2.8% [95% CI, -6.8% to 1.3%]).

13.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(11): ofad536, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38023564

RESUMEN

Background: After basic immunization with 2 mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine doses, only a small proportion of patients who are severely immunocompromised generate a sufficient antibody response. Hence, we assessed the additional benefit of a third SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in patients with different levels of immunosuppression. Methods: In this observational extension of the COVERALL trial (Corona Vaccine Trial Platform), we recruited patients from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study and the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (ie, lung and kidney transplant recipients). We collected blood samples before and 8 weeks after the third SARS-CoV-2 vaccination with either mRNA-1273 (Moderna) or BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech). The primary outcome was the proportion of participants showing an antibody response (Elecsys Anti-SARS-CoV-2 S test; threshold ≥100 U/mL) 8 weeks after the third SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. We also compared the proportion of patients who reached the primary outcome from basic immunization (the first and second vaccines) to the third vaccination. Results: Nearly all participants (97.2% [95% CI, 95.9%-98.6%], 564/580) had an antibody response. This response was comparable between mRNA-1273 (96.1% [95% CI, 93.7%-98.6%], 245/255) and BNT162b2 (98.2% [95% CI, 96.7%-99.6%], 319/325). Stratification by cohort showed that 99.8% (502/503) of people living with HIV and 80.5% (62/77) of recipients of solid organ transplants achieved the primary endpoint. The proportion of patients with an antibody response in solid organ transplant recipients improved from the second vaccination (22.7%, 15/66) to the third (80.5%, 62/77). Conclusions: People living with HIV had a high antibody response. The third vaccine increased the proportion of solid organ transplant recipients with an antibody response. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04805125 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

14.
Stat Med ; 31(11-12): 1089-97, 2012 May 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21953401

RESUMEN

Life expectancy has dramatically increased in industrialized nations over the last 200 hundred years. The aging of populations carries over to clinical research and leads to an increasing representation of elderly and multimorbid individuals in study populations. Clinical research in these populations is complicated by the fact that individuals are likely to experience several potential disease endpoints that prevent some disease-specific endpoint of interest from occurrence. Large developments in competing risks methodology have been achieved over the last decades, but we assume that recognition of competing risks in the clinical community is still marginal. It is the aim of this article to address translational aspects of competing risks to the clinical community. We describe clinical populations where competing risks issues may arise. We then discuss the importance of agreement between the competing risks methodology and the study aim, in particular the distinction between etiologic and prognostic research questions. In a review of 50 clinical studies performed in individuals susceptible to competing risks published in high-impact clinical journals, we found competing risks issues in 70% of all articles. Better recognition of issues related to competing risks and of statistical methods that deal with competing risks in accordance with the aim of the study is needed.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Investigación Biomédica/estadística & datos numéricos , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Modelos Estadísticos , Riesgo , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Esperanza de Vida , Masculino
15.
Clin Transplant ; 26(6): E624-33, 2012.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23106785

RESUMEN

Delayed graft function (DGF) is considered as a risk factor for renal allograft rejection, but this association might be confounded by diagnostic biases (e.g., higher biopsy frequency in patients with DGF, inclusion of clinically diagnosed rejection episodes, and limited details on the rejection phenotype). This retrospective study including 329 deceased donor transplantations aimed to clarify a causal relationship between DGF and rejection. DGF occurred in 93/329 recipients (28%), whereas immediate graft function (IGF) in 236/329 recipients (72%). The percentage of patients with ≥1 allograft biopsy within the first year post-transplant was similar between the DGF and IGF group (96% vs. 94%; p=0.60). The cumulative one-yr incidence of biopsy-proven clinical (35% vs. 34%; p=0.62) and combined (sub)clinical rejection (58% vs. 60%; p=0.79) was not different between the two groups. Furthermore, there were no differences regarding rejection phenotypes/severities and time frame of occurrence. By multivariable Cox regression analysis, donor-specific HLA antibodies, younger recipient age, and immunosuppressive regimens were independent predictors for clinical rejection, while DGF was not. These results in an intermediate sized, but thoroughly investigated patient population challenge the concept that DGF is a risk factor for rejection and highlights the need for additional studies in this regard.


Asunto(s)
Funcionamiento Retardado del Injerto/fisiopatología , Rechazo de Injerto/epidemiología , Enfermedades Renales/cirugía , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Rechazo de Injerto/etiología , Rechazo de Injerto/mortalidad , Humanos , Incidencia , Enfermedades Renales/complicaciones , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia
16.
AIDS ; 36(10): 1465-1468, 2022 08 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35876706

RESUMEN

We identified determinants of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine antibody response in people with HIV (PWH). Antibody response was higher among PWH less than 60 years, with CD4+ cell count superior to 350 cells/µl and vaccinated with mRNA-1273 by Moderna compared with BNT162b2 by Pfizer-BioNTech. Preinfection with SARS-CoV-2 boosted the antibody response and smokers had an overall lower antibody response. Elderly PWH and those with low CD4+ cell count should be prioritized for booster vaccinations.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Infecciones por VIH , Anciano , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Formación de Anticuerpos , Vacuna BNT162 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Humanos , ARN Mensajero , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunas Sintéticas , Vacunas de ARNm
17.
CMAJ ; 183(15): E1116-26, 2011 Oct 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21948723

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The San Francisco Syncope Rule has been proposed as a clinical decision rule for risk stratification of patients presenting to the emergency department with syncope. It has been validated across various populations and settings. We undertook a systematic review of its accuracy in predicting short-term serious outcomes. METHODS: We identified studies by means of systematic searches in seven electronic databases from inception to January 2011. We extracted study data in duplicate and used a bivariate random-effects model to assess the predictive accuracy and test characteristics. RESULTS: We included 12 studies with a total of 5316 patients, of whom 596 (11%) experienced a serious outcome. The prevalence of serious outcomes across the studies varied between 5% and 26%. The pooled estimate of sensitivity of the San Francisco Syncope Rule was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.93), and the pooled estimate of specificity was 0.52 (95% CI 0.43-0.62). There was substantial between-study heterogeneity (resulting in a 95% prediction interval for sensitivity of 0.55-0.98). The probability of a serious outcome given a negative score with the San Francisco Syncope Rule was 5% or lower, and the probability was 2% or lower when the rule was applied only to patients for whom no cause of syncope was identified after initial evaluation in the emergency department. The most common cause of false-negative classification for a serious outcome was cardiac arrhythmia. INTERPRETATION: The San Francisco Syncope Rule should be applied only for patients in whom no cause of syncope is evident after initial evaluation in the emergency department. Consideration of all available electrocardiograms, as well as arrhythmia monitoring, should be included in application of the San Francisco Syncope Rule. Between-study heterogeneity was likely due to inconsistent classification of arrhythmia.


Asunto(s)
Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Síncope/diagnóstico , Arritmias Cardíacas/complicaciones , Arritmias Cardíacas/diagnóstico , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Reacciones Falso Negativas , Humanos , Pronóstico , Medición de Riesgo , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Síncope/etiología
18.
World J Surg ; 35(4): 905-10, 2011 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21184073

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Fluid around the graft in the original aneurysm sac after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair is a poorly researched phenomenon. If large, such perigraft seroma can cause symptoms of compression, and cases of rupture have even been described. We assessed whether endarterectomy of the aneurysm sac reduces the incidence of perigraft fluid and improves graft incorporation. DESIGN AND METHODS: Starting in July 2005, all patients with elective open AAA repair were alternately treated either with conventional thrombectomy or thrombectomy plus endarterectomy of the aneurysm sac. All patients were treated with a polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) graft. The maximum axial width of the perigraft fluid collection was measured on computed tomography (CT) scans 1 year after operation. RESULTS: The CT scans of 115 patients were available; 56 had endarterectomy of the aneurysm sac and 59 did not. Fluid collections were significantly smaller in patients with endarterectomy (median width 4.0 versus 8.0 mm; P = 0.0001). Eight patients with endarterectomy had a fluid collection wider than 10 mm compared to 28 patients without endarterectomy (OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.07-0.46). After endarterectomy, 17 patients had radiological signs of complete graft incorporation in comparison to only 6 patients without endarterectomy (OR 3.85, 95% CI 1.39-10.66). No patients were symptomatic or reoperated for perigraft seroma. CONCLUSIONS: Endarterectomy of the aneurysm sac in open AAA repair appears to improve graft incorporation. The high rate of asymptomatic perigraft seroma is surprising, and its clinical significance is unknown. Ultrafiltration of PTFE grafts may be an underlying mechanism.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/métodos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos/métodos , Seroma/prevención & control , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/diagnóstico por imagen , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Estudios de Cohortes , Intervalos de Confianza , Endarterectomía/métodos , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Rechazo de Injerto , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Laparotomía/métodos , Modelos Lineales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Oportunidad Relativa , Politetrafluoroetileno/farmacología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Medición de Riesgo , Trombectomía/métodos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Resultado del Tratamiento , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/métodos
19.
Anesth Analg ; 112(5): 1019-33, 2011 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21372274

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Several studies have evaluated preoperative B-type natriuretic peptides (NPs) for predicting mortality after surgery; however, the number of deaths in each study was small, limiting the power of these studies. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies addressing preoperative NP levels to predict mortality after cardiac and noncardiac surgery. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE using the terms "natriuretic peptides," "surgery or surgical procedures," and a validated combination of prognostic and diagnostic terms. Two investigators independently assessed studies for eligibility and extracted data. The end points were all-cause mortality at ≥6 months and at ≤90 days. We used a bivariate model to derive measures of prognostic accuracy and their heterogeneity. We calculated the pooled positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) by Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. RESULTS: Of the 1558 retrieved articles, 23 studies satisfied the predefined eligibility criteria. After cardiac surgery, the diagnostic odds ratio of NP was 4.11 (95% confidence interval, 2.22-7.60) for ≥6-month mortality, the PPV 0.17 (95% Bayesian confidence interval, 0.07-0.36), and the NPV 0.96 (0.90-0.98). After noncardiac surgery, the diagnostic odds ratio of NP was 4.97 (3.06-8.07) for ≥6-month mortality. The corresponding PPV was 0.24 (0.14-0.38) and the NPV 0.94 (0.88-0.97). Results were similar for ≤90-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative NP concentrations were associated with mortality after cardiac and noncardiac surgery. NP had high NPVs for both types of surgery suggesting that preoperative NP concentrations may be helpful in preoperative risk stratification.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores/sangre , Péptidos Natriuréticos/sangre , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/mortalidad , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Teorema de Bayes , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Método de Montecarlo , Oportunidad Relativa , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/sangre , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Periodo Preoperatorio , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Regulación hacia Arriba
20.
Swiss Med Wkly ; 151: w30027, 2021 09 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34558884

RESUMEN

AIMS: In Switzerland, certain patients with disabilities and reduced working ability are entitled to a disability pension granted by the Swiss Federal Social Insurance Office (FSIO). The aim was to assess the evolution of disability pension and work capacity after kidney transplantation and thereby pilot the procedures linking FSIO data with Swiss Transplant Cohort Study (STCS) data. METHODS: The current study pilot tested the record linkage of FSIO data with data from the STCS in a single-centre, observational setting. Patients were requested to consent to the use of their Swiss social security number (SSSN) for the purpose of record linkage. A privacy preserving trust centre approach was implemented with blinded statistical analysis. RESULTS: Between May 2008 and December 2015, 282 working-age renal transplant recipients of the University Hospital of Basel transplant centre were eligible for inclusion and 136 (48%, median age 48 years) consented to the use of their social security number and record linkage. The FSIO datasets of all patients were successfully retrieved and linked to STCS data in the trust centre and were numerically analysable. Yearly FSIO allowance data were available for the entire study duration. Fifty-five patients (40%) were registered as disability insurance recipients (DIR). In the entire population, the proportion of working patients slightly decreased from 76% to 72% between the pre-transplant and the post-transplant period. This was due to the lower proportion of patients working after transplantation in DIR compared with non-recipients (non-DIR) (DIR: 60% before vs 44% after; non-DIR: 83% before vs 88% after). In the DIR group, the proportion of patients not working increased from 36% to 49%, whereas in non-DIR the proportion changed only marginally (14% to 12%). The average disability insurance allowance was CHF 1172 per month. It changed from CHF 1135 before transplantation to CHF 1209 after transplantation (p = 0.59). CONCLUSIONS: In the Swiss healthcare and social insurance system, record linkage studies combining clinical datasets with data from FSIO are feasible but associated with great efforts and resource needs. The lack of changes in disability allowances after kidney transplantation should be further investigated in the nationwide setting.


Asunto(s)
Personas con Discapacidad , Seguro por Discapacidad , Trasplante de Riñón , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pensiones , Suiza
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