The bleeding risk treatment paradox at the physician and hospital level: Implications for reducing bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Bleeding is a common and costly complication of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Bleeding avoidance strategies (BAS) are used paradoxically less in patients at high-risk of bleeding: "bleeding risk-treatment paradox" (RTP). We determined whether hospitals and physicians, who do not align BAS to PCI patients' bleeding risk (ie, exhibit a RTP) have higher bleeding rates. METHODS: We examined 28,005 PCIs from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry CathPCI Registry for 7 hospitals comprising BJC HealthCare. BAS included transradial intervention, bivalirudin, and vascular closure devices. Patients' predicted bleeding risk was based on National Cardiovascular Data Registry CathPCI bleeding model and categorized as low (<2.0%), moderate (2.0%-6.4%), or high (≥6.5%) risk tertiles. BAS use was considered risk-concordant if: at least 1 BAS was used for moderate risk; 2 BAS were used for high risk and bivalirudin or vascular closure devices were not used for low risk. Absence of risk-concordant BAS use was defined as RTP. We analyzed inter-hospital and inter-physician variation in RTP, and the association of RTP with post-PCI bleeding. RESULTS: Amongst 28,005 patients undergoing PCI by 103 physicians at 7 hospitals, RTP was observed in 12,035 (43%) patients. RTP was independently associated with a higher likelihood of bleeding even after adjusting for predicted bleeding risk, mortality risk and potential sources of variation (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.44-1.92, P < .001). A higher prevalence of RTP strongly and independently correlated with worse bleeding rates, both at the physician-level (Wilk's Lambda 0.9502, F-value 17.21, P < .0001) and the hospital-level (Wilk's Lambda 0.9899, F-value 35.68, P < .0001). All the results were similar in a subset of PCIs conducted since 2015 - a period more reflective of the contemporary practice. CONCLUSIONS: Bleeding RTP is a strong, independent predictor of bleeding. It exists at the level of physicians and hospitals: those with a higher rate of RTP had worse bleeding rates. These findings not only underscore the importance of recognizing bleeding risk upfront and using BAS in a risk-aligned manner, but also inform and motivate national efforts to reduce PCI-related bleeding.

The Evolving Landscape of Impella Use in the United States Among Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Mechanical Circulatory Support.

BACKGROUND: Impella was approved for mechanical circulatory support (MCS) in 2008, but large-scale, real-world data on its use are lacking. Our objective was to describe trends and variations in Impella use, clinical outcomes, and costs across US hospitals in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) treated with MCS (Impella or intra-aortic balloon pump). METHODS: From the Premier Healthcare Database, we analyzed 48 306 patients undergoing PCI with MCS at 432 hospitals between January 2004 and December 2016. Association analyses were performed at 3 levels: time period, hospital, and patient. Hierarchical models with propensity adjustment were used for association analyses. We examined trends and variations in the proportion of Impella use, and associated clinical outcomes (in-hospital mortality, bleeding requiring transfusion, acute kidney injury, stroke, length of stay, and hospital costs). RESULTS: Among patients undergoing PCI treated with MCS, 4782 (9.9%) received Impella; its use increased over time, reaching 31.9% of MCS in 2016. There was wide variation in Impella use across hospitals (>5-fold variation). Specifically, among patients receiving Impella, there was a wide variation in outcomes of bleeding (>2.5-fold variation), and death, acute kidney injury, and stroke (all ≈1.5-fold variation). Adverse outcomes and costs were higher in the Impella era (years 2008-2016) versus the pre-Impella era (years 2004-2007). Hospitals with higher Impella use had higher rates of adverse outcomes and costs. After adjustment for the propensity score, and accounting for clustering of patients by hospitals, Impella use was associated with death: odds ratio, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.13-1.36); bleeding: odds ratio, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.00-1.21); and stroke: odds ratio, 1.34 (95% CI, 1.18-1.53), although a similar, nonsignificant result was observed for acute kidney injury: odds ratio, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.00-1.17). CONCLUSIONS: Impella use is rapidly increasing among patients undergoing PCI treated with MCS, with marked variability in its use and associated outcomes. Although unmeasured confounding cannot be ruled out, when analyzed by time periods, or at the hospital level or the patient level, Impella use was associated with higher rates of adverse events and costs. More data are needed to define the appropriate role of MCS in patients undergoing PCI.

Artificial neural network-based prediction of prolonged length of stay and need for post-acute care in acute coronary syndrome patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged length of stay (LOS) and post-acute care after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is common and costly. Risk models for predicting prolonged LOS and post-acute care have limited accuracy. Our goal was to develop and validate models using artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict prolonged LOS > 7days and need for post-acute care after PCI. METHODS: We defined prolonged LOS as ≥7 days and post-acute care as patients discharged to: extended care, transitional care unit, rehabilitation, other acute care hospital, nursing home or hospice care. Data from 22 675 patients who presented with ACS and underwent PCI was shuffled and split into a derivation set (75% of dataset) and a validation dataset (25% of dataset). Calibration plots were used to examine the overall predictive performance of the MLP by plotting observed and expected risk deciles and fitting a lowess smoother to the data. Classification accuracy was assessed by a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) and area under the ROC curve (AUC). RESULTS: Our MLP-based model predicted prolonged LOS with an accuracy of 90.87% and 88.36% in training and test sets, respectively. The post-acute care model had an accuracy of 90.22% and 86.31% in training and test sets, respectively. This accuracy was achieved with quick convergence. Predicted probabilities from the MLP models showed good (prolonged LOS) to excellent calibration (post-acute care). CONCLUSIONS: Our ANN-based models accurately predicted LOS and need for post-acute care. Larger studies for replicability and longitudinal studies for evidence of impact are needed to establish these models in current PCI practice.

Costs associated with transradial access and same-day discharge after percutaneous coronary intervention: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Transradial access for PCI (TRI) along with same day discharge (SDD) is associated with varying estimates of cost savings depending on the population studied, the clinical scenario and application to low-risk vs high-risk patients. A summary estimate of the true cost savings of TRI and SDD are unknown. We searched the PubMed, EMBASE®, CINAHL® and Google Scholar® databases for published studies on hospitalization costs of TRI and SDD. Primary outcome of interest in all included studies was the cost saving with TRI (or SDD), inflation-corrected US$ 2018 values using the medical consumer price index. For meta-analytic synthesis, we used Hedges' summary estimate (g) in a random-effects framework of the DerSimonian and Laird model, with inverse variance weights. Heterogeneity was quantified using the I2 statistic. The cost savings of TRI from four US studies of 349,757 patients reported a consistent and significant cost saving associated with TRI after accounting for currency inflation, of US$ 992 (95% CI US$ 850-1,134). The cost savings of SDD from six US studies of 1,281,228 patients, after inflation-correcting to the year 2018, were US$ 3,567.58 (95% CI US$ 2,303-4,832). In conclusion, this meta-analysis demonstrates that TRI and SDD are associated with mean cost reductions of by approximately US$ 1,000/patient and US$ 3,600/patient, respectively, albeit with wide heterogeneity in the cost estimates. When combined with the safety of TRI and SDD, this meta-analysis underscores the value of combining TRI and SDD pathways and calls for a wide-ranging practice change in the direction of TRI and SDD.

CCL3L1 and CCR5 influence cell-mediated immunity and affect HIV-AIDS pathogenesis via viral entry-independent mechanisms.

Although host defense against human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1) relies mainly on cell-mediated immunity (CMI), the determinants of CMI in humans are poorly understood. Here we demonstrate that variations in the genes encoding the chemokine CCL3L1 and HIV coreceptor CCR5 influence CMI in both healthy and HIV-infected individuals. CCL3L1-CCR5 genotypes associated with altered CMI in healthy subjects were similar to those that influence the risk of HIV transmission, viral burden and disease progression. However, CCL3L1-CCR5 genotypes also modify HIV clinical course independently of their effects on viral load and CMI. These results identify CCL3L1 and CCR5 as major determinants of CMI and demonstrate that these host factors influence HIV pathogenesis through their effects on both CMI and other viral entry-independent mechanisms.

Desmopressin and bleeding risk after percutaneous kidney biopsy.

BACKGROUND: Desmopressin is used to reduce bleeding after kidney biopsy but evidence supporting its use is weak, especially in patients with elevated creatinine. The present study was undertaken to evaluate efficacy of desmopressin in reducing bleeding after percutaneous kidney biopsy. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study. 269 of 322 patients undergoing percutaneous kidney biopsy between January 1, 2014 and January 31, 2018 were included. Patients had normal bleeding time, platelet count and coagulation profile. Primary outcome was defined as composite of hemoglobin drop ≥1 g/dL, hematoma on post biopsy ultrasound, gross hematuria, erythrocyte transfusion or angiography to stop bleeding. Association of desmopressin with outcomes was assessed using linear (for continuous variables) and logistic (for binary variables) regression models. Propensity score was used to minimize potential confounding. RESULTS: Desmopressin was administered to 100/269 (37.17%) patients. After propensity score adjustment patients who received desmopressin had increased odds of post biopsy bleeding [OR 3.88 (1.95-7.74), p < 0.001]. Creatinine at time of biopsy influenced bleeding risk; gender, emergent vs elective biopsy, obesity, AKI, diabetes, hypertension or bleeding time did not influence bleeding risk. Administration of desmopressin to patients with serum creatinine ≥1.8 mg/dL decreased bleeding risk [OR 2.11 (95% CI 0.87-5.11), p = 0.09] but increased bleeding risk when serum creatinine was < 1.8 mg/dL (OR 9.72 (95% CI 2.95-31.96), p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Desmopressin should not be used routinely prior to percutaneous kidney biopsy in patients at low risk for bleeding but should be reserved for patients who are at high risk for bleeding.

Epigenetic Age Acceleration Assessed with Human White-Matter Images.

The accurate estimation of age using methylation data has proved a useful and heritable biomarker, with acceleration in epigenetic age predicting a number of age-related phenotypes. Measures of white matter integrity in the brain are also heritable and highly sensitive to both normal and pathological aging processes across adulthood. We consider the phenotypic and genetic interrelationships between epigenetic age acceleration and white matter integrity in humans. Our goal was to investigate processes that underlie interindividual variability in age-related changes in the brain. Using blood taken from a Mexican-American extended pedigree sample (n = 628; age = 23.28-93.11 years), epigenetic age was estimated using the method developed by Horvath (2013). For n = 376 individuals, diffusion tensor imaging scans were also available. The interrelationship between epigenetic age acceleration and global white matter integrity was investigated with variance decomposition methods. To test for neuroanatomical specificity, 16 specific tracts were additionally considered. We observed negative phenotypic correlations between epigenetic age acceleration and global white matter tract integrity (ρpheno = -0.119, p = 0.028), with evidence of shared genetic (ρgene = -0.463, p = 0.013) but not environmental influences. Negative phenotypic and genetic correlations with age acceleration were also seen for a number of specific white matter tracts, along with additional negative phenotypic correlations between granulocyte abundance and white matter integrity. These findings (i.e., increased acceleration in epigenetic age in peripheral blood correlates with reduced white matter integrity in the brain and shares common genetic influences) provide a window into the neurobiology of aging processes within the brain and a potential biomarker of normal and pathological brain aging.SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT Epigenetic measures can be used to predict age with a high degree of accuracy and so capture acceleration in biological age, relative to chronological age. The white matter tracts within the brain are also highly sensitive to aging processes. We show that increased biological aging (measured using epigenetic data from blood samples) is correlated with reduced integrity of white matter tracts within the human brain (measured using diffusion tensor imaging) with data from a large sample of Mexican-American families. Given the family design of the sample, we are also able to demonstrate that epigenetic aging and white matter tract integrity also share common genetic influences. Therefore, epigenetic age may be a potential, and accessible, biomarker of brain aging.

Concordance between point-of-care blood gas analysis and laboratory autoanalyzer in measurement of hemoglobin and electrolytes in critically ill patients.

BACKGROUND: We tested the hypothesis that the results of the same test performed on point-of-care blood gas analysis (BGA) machine and automatic analyzer (AA) machine in central laboratory have high degree of concordance in critical care patients and that the two test methods could be used interchangeably. METHODS: We analyzed 9398 matched pairs of BGA and AA results, obtained from 1765 patients. Concentration pairs of the following analytes were assessed: hemoglobin, glucose, sodium, potassium, chloride, and bicarbonate. We determined the agreement using concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) and Bland-Altman analysis. The difference in results was also assessed against the United States Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments (US-CLIA) 88 rules. The test results were considered to be interchangeable if they were within the US-CLIA variability criteria and would not alter the clinical management when compared to each other. RESULTS: The median time interval between sampling for BGA and AA in each result pair was 5 minutes. The CCC values ranged from 0.89(95% CI 0.89-0.90) for chloride to 0.98(95% CI 0.98-0.99) for hemoglobin. The largest bias was for hemoglobin. The limits of agreement relative to bias were largest for sodium, with 3.4% of readings outside the US-CLIA variation rule. The number of readings outside the US-CLIA acceptable variation was highest for glucose (7.1%) followed by hemoglobin (5.9%) and chloride (5.2%). CONCLUSION: We conclude that there is moderate to substantial concordance between AA and BGA machines on tests performed in critically ill patients. However, the two tests methods cannot be used interchangeably, except for potassium.

TRAK2, a novel regulator of ABCA1 expression, cholesterol efflux and HDL biogenesis.

Aims: The recent failures of HDL-raising therapies have underscored our incomplete understanding of HDL biology. Therefore there is an urgent need to comprehensively investigate HDL metabolism to enable the development of effective HDL-centric therapies. To identify novel regulators of HDL metabolism, we performed a joint analysis of human genetic, transcriptomic, and plasma HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration data and identified a novel association between trafficking protein, kinesin binding 2 (TRAK2) and HDL-C concentration. Here we characterize the molecular basis of the novel association between TRAK2 and HDL-cholesterol concentration. Methods and results: Analysis of lymphocyte transcriptomic data together with plasma HDL from the San Antonio Family Heart Study (n = 1240) revealed a significant negative correlation between TRAK2 mRNA levels and HDL-C concentration, HDL particle diameter and HDL subspecies heterogeneity. TRAK2 siRNA-mediated knockdown significantly increased cholesterol efflux to apolipoprotein A-I and isolated HDL from human macrophage (THP-1) and liver (HepG2) cells by increasing the mRNA and protein expression of the cholesterol transporter ATP-binding cassette, sub-family A member 1 (ABCA1). The effect of TRAK2 knockdown on cholesterol efflux was abolished in the absence of ABCA1, indicating that TRAK2 functions in an ABCA1-dependent efflux pathway. TRAK2 knockdown significantly increased liver X receptor (LXR) binding at the ABCA1 promoter, establishing TRAK2 as a regulator of LXR-mediated transcription of ABCA1. Conclusion: We show, for the first time, that TRAK2 is a novel regulator of LXR-mediated ABCA1 expression, cholesterol efflux, and HDL biogenesis. TRAK2 may therefore be an important target in the development of anti-atherosclerotic therapies.

Novel epigenetic determinants of type 2 diabetes in Mexican-American families.

Although DNA methylation is now recognized as an important mediator of complex diseases, the extent to which the genetic basis of such diseases is accounted for by DNA methylation is unknown. In the setting of large, extended families representing a minority, high-risk population of the USA, we aimed to characterize the role of epigenome-wide DNA methylation in type 2 diabetes (T2D). Using Illumina HumanMethylation450 BeadChip arrays, we tested for association of DNA methylation at 446 356 sites with age, sex and phenotypic traits related to T2D in 850 pedigreed Mexican-American individuals. Robust statistical analyses showed that (i) 15% of the methylome is significantly heritable, with a median heritability of 0.14; (ii) DNA methylation at 14% of CpG sites is associated with nearby sequence variants; (iii) 22% and 3% of the autosomal CpG sites are associated with age and sex, respectively; (iv) 53 CpG sites were significantly associated with liability to T2D, fasting blood glucose and insulin resistance; (v) DNA methylation levels at five CpG sites, mapping to three well-characterized genes (TXNIP, ABCG1 and SAMD12) independently explained 7.8% of the heritability of T2D (vi) methylation at these five sites was unlikely to be influenced by neighboring DNA sequence variation. Our study has identified novel epigenetic indicators of T2D risk in Mexican Americans who have increased risk for this disease. These results provide new insights into potential treatment targets of T2D.

Including non-informative parents in transmission-based association tests.

The classical transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) based on a trio design uses information only on the allele transmitted by a heterozygous parent at a marker locus as homozygous parents are non-informative about linkage. However, the phenotype of an offspring depends on the alleles transmitted by both parents, irrespective of whether the parents are homozygous or heterozygous, and hence carry useful information on association. In this article, we propose modifications to the TDT procedures by incorporating transmission data on both parents in an informative trio to explore possible gain in power in detecting association. For a binary trait, we use a goodness-of-fit χ2 test, whereas for a quantitative trait, we devise two tests: one based on a bivariate response logistic model and the other using a quasi-likelihood approach. We evaluate the type 1 errors and the powers of the proposed tests with those of the classical TDT procedures for both binary and quantitative traits based on extensive simulations. We find that the inclusion of transmission data on non-informative parents yields marginally higher power in the logistic regression approach but results in substantial gain in power in the quasi-likelihood approach. We apply our proposed methods to analyze a count phenotype related to alcoholism.

Genetic correlation of the plasma lipidome with type 2 diabetes, prediabetes and insulin resistance in Mexican American families.

BACKGROUND: Differential plasma concentrations of circulating lipid species are associated with pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Whether the wide inter-individual variability in the plasma lipidome contributes to the genetic basis of T2D is unknown. Here, we investigated the potential overlap in the genetic basis of the plasma lipidome and T2D-related traits. RESULTS: We used plasma lipidomic data (1202 pedigreed individuals, 319 lipid species representing 23 lipid classes) from San Antonio Family Heart Study in Mexican Americans. Bivariate trait analyses were used to estimate the genetic and environmental correlation of all lipid species with three T2D-related traits: risk of T2D, presence of prediabetes and homeostatic model of assessment - insulin resistance. We found that 44 lipid species were significantly genetically correlated with one or more of the three T2D-related traits. Majority of these lipid species belonged to the diacylglycerol (DAG, 17 species) and triacylglycerol (TAG, 17 species) classes. Six lipid species (all belonging to the triacylglycerol class and containing palmitate at the first position) were significantly genetically correlated with all the T2D-related traits. CONCLUSIONS: Our results imply that: a) not all plasma lipid species are genetically informative for T2D pathogenesis; b) the DAG and TAG lipid classes partially share genetic basis of T2D; and c) 1-palmitate containing TAGs may provide additional insights into the genetic basis of T2D.

Lipidomics in the Study of Hypertension in Metabolic Syndrome.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The entire gamut of changes in the lipid profile that precede, predict, and correlate with hypertension in metabolic syndrome is unknown. RECENT FINDINGS: The power, resolution, and accuracy of lipidomic assay technologies have brought us to the threshold of another information explosion. Understanding of hypertension and its pathophysiology especially within the setting of metabolic syndrome has been greatly improved by recent lipidomic studies. Hypertension in metabolic syndrome differs from other forms of hypertension, and recent studies have highlighted this difference in many interesting ways. Mounting evidence points towards a derangement of the sphingolipid pathway that may trigger the precursor clinical conditions of hypertension as well as hypertension itself. In this review, we summarize the available published literature in this field and propose a unifying hypothesis based on the published evidence. Recent studies have created substantial interest and advances in the understanding of hypertension in metabolic syndrome. Studies that directly test these concepts within a lipidomic framework are urgently needed.

Detection and risk stratification of women at high risk of preterm birth in rural communities near Nagpur, India.

BACKGROUND: Presently, preterm birth is globally the leading cause of neonatal mortality. Prompt community based identification of women at high risk for preterm births (HRPB) can either help to avert preterm births or avail effective interventions to reduce neonatal mortality due to preterm births. We evaluated the performance of a package to train community workers to detect the presence of signs or symptoms of HRPB. METHODS: Pregnant women enrolled in the intervention arm of a cluster randomized trial of Antenatal Corticosteroids (ACT Trial) conducted at Nagpur, India were informed about 4 directly observable signs and symptoms of preterm labor. Community health workers actively monitored these women from 24 to 36 weeks of gestation for these signs or symptoms. If they were present (HRPB positive) the identified women were brought to government health facilities for assessment and management. HRPB positive could also be determined by the provider if the woman presented directly to the facility. Risk stratification was based on the number of signs or symptoms present. The outcome of preterm birth was based on the clinical assessment of gestational age < 37 weeks at delivery or a birth weight of <2000 g. RESULTS: Between July 1, 2012 and 30 November, 2013, 686 of 7050 (9.7%) pregnant women studied, delivered preterm. 732 (10.4%) women were HRPB positive, of whom 333 (45.5%) delivered preterm. Of the remaining 6318(89.6%) HRPB negative women 353 (5.6%) delivered preterm. The likelihood ratio (LR) of a preterm birth in the HRPB positives was 8.14 (95% confidence interval 7.16-9.26). The LR of a preterm birth increased in women who had more signs or symptoms of HRBP (p < 0.00001). More signs or symptoms of HRPB were also associated with a shorter time to delivery, lower birth weight and higher rates of stillbirths, neonatal deaths and postnatal complications. Addition of risk stratification improved the prediction of preterm delivery (Integrated Discrimination Improvement 17% (95% CI 15-19%)). CONCLUSIONS: The package for detection of signs and symptoms of HRPB is feasible, promising and likely to improve management of preterm labor. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01073475 on February 21, 2010 and NCT01084096 on March 9, 2010.

Evidence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Spread by Aerosol. Time to Revisit Infection Control Strategies?

RATIONALE: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a highly contagious pathogen with a huge global health impact. It is a major cause of hospital-acquired infection; a large number of those exposed develop infection. Those infected in hospital are at increased risk of a severe clinical course. Prevention of nosocomial spread currently focuses on spread by hand and large droplets. There is little research evidence to determine if aerosol spread of infectious RSV is possible. OBJECTIVES: To determine if the air surrounding infants with RSV-positive bronchiolitis contains RSV in aerosolized particles that remain capable of causing infection. METHODS: The amount of RSV contained in aerosolized particles produced by infants with bronchiolitis due to RSV was measured using viable impactor sampling. The ability of RSV contained in these particles to infect healthy and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) human ciliated respiratory epithelium was determined. RESULTS: We showed for the first time that infants with RSV-positive bronchiolitis nursed in a ward setting or ventilated in intensive care produced large numbers of aerosol particles containing RSV that remained infectious and were capable of infecting healthy and COPD human ciliated epithelium. A significant amount of RSV was found in particles with aerodynamic diameters less than 5 µm. CONCLUSIONS: Many of the aerosolized particles that contained RSV in the air surrounding infants with bronchiolitis were sufficiently small to remain airborne for a significant length of time and small enough to be inhaled and deposited throughout the respiratory tract. It is likely that this leads to spread of infection to others, with dissemination of infection throughout the respiratory tract.

Characterization of hepatic and cardiac iron deposition during standard treatment of anaemia in haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Parenteral iron is integral in the treatment of anaemia of chronic kidney disease patients on haemodialysis (HD). However, increased liver iron concentration (LIC) can result from such treatment, and this correlates poorly with serum ferritin or transferrin saturation values. It is unclear whether increased cardiac iron concentration also occurs in this setting. We aimed to evaluate the relationship of intravenous iron supplementation to hepatic and cardiac iron deposition in chronic HD subjects. METHODS: A cohort of 10 patients on chronic HD for at least 1 year underwent MRI-based quantitation of hepatic and cardiac iron content to evaluate the relationship between intravenous iron supplements and hepatic and cardiac iron deposition. The results were compared against the cumulative parenteral iron dose and serum iron markers. RESULTS: The median age was 61 years (95% confidence interval (CI) 50-71), HD time 2.5 years (95%CI 2.0-5.3) and cumulative iron dose 4300 mg (95%CI 2110-9045). Hepatic iron concentration was elevated in eight of 10 subjects (median 46 mmol/kg, range 31-76). Cardiac iron levels were within the reference range in all subjects. There was poor correlation between conventional haematinic values and either LIC or cardiac iron levels. None of the study subjects exhibited elevated cardiac iron concentration. CONCLUSION: Whilst HD patients receiving standard parenteral iron therapy have elevated LICs, this is not associated with cardiac iron deposition. Transferrin saturation and serum ferritin levels are poor markers of either liver or cardiac iron deposition in HD subjects.

Lipidomic risk score independently and cost-effectively predicts risk of future type 2 diabetes: results from diverse cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Detection of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is routinely based on the presence of dysglycemia. Although disturbed lipid metabolism is a hallmark of T2D, the potential of plasma lipidomics as a biomarker of future T2D is unknown. Our objective was to develop and validate a plasma lipidomic risk score (LRS) as a biomarker of future type 2 diabetes and to evaluate its cost-effectiveness for T2D screening. METHODS: Plasma LRS, based on significantly associated lipid species from an array of 319 lipid species, was developed in a cohort of initially T2D-free individuals from the San Antonio Family Heart Study (SAFHS). The LRS derived from SAFHS as well as its recalibrated version were validated in an independent cohort from Australia--the AusDiab cohort. The participants were T2D-free at baseline and followed for 9197 person-years in the SAFHS cohort (n = 771) and 5930 person-years in the AusDiab cohort (n = 644). Statistically and clinically improved T2D prediction was evaluated with established statistical parameters in both cohorts. Modeling studies were conducted to determine whether the use of LRS would be cost-effective for T2D screening. The main outcome measures included accuracy and incremental value of the LRS over routinely used clinical predictors of T2D risk; validation of these results in an independent cohort and cost-effectiveness of including LRS in screening/intervention programs for T2D. RESULTS: The LRS was based on plasma concentration of dihydroceramide 18:0, lysoalkylphosphatidylcholine 22:1 and triacyglycerol 16:0/18:0/18:1. The score predicted future T2D independently of prediabetes with an accuracy of 76%. Even in the subset of initially euglycemic individuals, the LRS improved T2D prediction. In the AusDiab cohort, the LRS continued to predict T2D significantly and independently. When combined with risk-stratification methods currently used in clinical practice, the LRS significantly improved the model fit (p < 0.001), information content (p < 0.001), discrimination (p < 0.001) and reclassification (p < 0.001) in both cohorts. Modeling studies demonstrated that LRS-based risk-stratification combined with metformin supplementation for high-risk individuals was the most cost-effective strategy for T2D prevention. CONCLUSIONS: Considering the novelty, incremental value and cost-effectiveness of LRS it should be used for risk-stratification of future T2D.