Predicting mortality of elderly patients acutely admitted to the Department of Internal Medicine.

AIMS: This study addresses the common practice of providing aggressive treatments of limited clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness to seriously ill and frail elderly. We have created a statistical model of 6-month mortality risk prediction following acute hospitalisation admission, and identified a subset of patients with poorest prognosis that requires comfort-focused care. METHODS: We have studied electronic medical records of 26,937 patients age 65 years or older, hospitalised in the internal medicine departments of one tertiary-care teaching medical center in Northern Israel from January 1, 2008 through December 31, 2011 and mortality data from the Israeli Internal Ministry Registry. Norton score records were employed for the performance status evaluation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to predict the risk of 6-month mortality. RESULTS: Variables associated with an increased risk of 6-month mortality included: metastatic cancer, age above 85 years, decreased values of blood albumin and haemoglobin, increased blood urea nitrogen and decreased physical/mental status and activity. The receiver operating characteristic area for the predicted probability of death was 0.845 and 0.847 in external validation cohort. Using predictive values of the logistic regression analysis, the study cohort was stratified into six groups with various predictive mortality risks. CONCLUSION: The majority of deaths that have occurred within 6 months following the acute hospitalisation could be predicted on patient admission based on a few simple and easily obtained parameters. Earlier recognition of patients nearing the end of their lives may lead to better care and more efficient use of available resource.

Bloodstream infection as a predictor for mortality in severe burn patients: an 11-year study.

In this study we collected and analysed data of the severe burn patients at our institution over an 11-year period in order to shed light on the controversial role of bloodstream infection (BSI) as a predictive factor for mortality in this burn population. The factors examined were age, total body surface area, smoke inhalation, presence of BSI, and BSI with resistant bacteria. In total 1081 burn patients were hospitalized from 2001 to 2011, of whom 4% died. We focused here on 158 severe burn patients, 74 of whom developed BSI, and 35 who died. Using univariate analysis, it appeared that the BSI group had a threefold greater chance of mortality compared to the non-BSI group. Patients with a Ryan score 3 had a 100% chance of mortality and those with a score 0 had 0%. Thus, focusing only on Ryan score 1 and score 2 patients, BSI did not contribute to mortality, nor was it shown to contribute to mortality in a multivariate analysis in which the score and BSI were included together. When BSI did occur, it predicted longer hospitalization periods. We conclude that BSI predicts longer length of hospitalization stay but does not contribute to the prediction of mortality beyond that offered by the Ryan score in a severe burn population.

Immuno-chemotherapy in metastatic renal cell carcinoma: long-term results from the rambam and linn medical centers, Haifa, Israel.

Nephrectomy, immuno-chemotherapy and resection of residual disease have been the treatment of choice for patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma during the past decades. The aim of this study was to report the long-term results of this treatment approach. Sixty-two patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma participated in a Phase II study. At diagnosis, 32 patients had localized disease, 30 had metastatic disease and 53 underwent nephrectomy. Metastatic sites were lungs, lymph nodes, bones and liver. Immuno-chemotherapy consisted of: interleukin-2, interferon alpha, 5-fluorouracil and vinblastine. All patients were evaluated for toxicity and response to treatment. CR was achieved in 4 patients and PR in 14. Seven patients, with maximum response to immuno-chemotherapy underwent resection of residual tumor and reached CR. Therefore, CR was achieved in 11 patients (18%) with a median survival of +67 months. Flu-like symptoms were the common side effects. Performance status and histology type significantly affected survival. Nephrectomy, immuno-chemotherapy and resection of residual disease are recommended for patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

Correction to: Reducing surgical site infections following total hip and knee arthroplasty: an Israeli experience.

In the original article, one of the co-author's family name has been published incorrectly.

Reducing surgical site infections following total hip and knee arthroplasty: an Israeli experience.

PURPOSE: To assess the changes observed in surgical site infection (SSI) rates following total joint arthroplasty (TJA) after the introduction of an infection control programme and evaluate the risk factors for the development of these infections. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Large tertiary medical centre in Israel. METHODS: Data about SSIs and potential prophylaxis-, patient-, and procedure-related risk factors were collected for all patients who underwent elective total hip and total knee arthroplasty during the study period. Multivariant analyses were conducted to determine which significant covariates affected the outcome. RESULTS: During the 76-month study period, SSIs (superficial and deep) occurred in 64 (4.4%) of 1554 patients. As compared with the 34 (7.7%) SSIs that occurred in the first 25 months, there were 23 (4.7%) SSIs in the following 25 months, and only 7 (1.3%) SSIs in the last third of the study (p = 0.058 and <0.001, respectively). A multiple logistic regression model indicated that risk factors for prosthetic joint infection were a National Nosocomial Infections Surveillance (NNIS) System surgical patient risk index score of 1 (OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.1-3.1) or 2 (OR 2.8; 95% CI 1.2-11.8). The incidence of SSI was not correlated with the timing, nor the duration of antibiotic prophylaxis. CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of preventive measures and surveillance coincided with a significant reduction in SSIs following TJA in our institution. The risk of infection correlated with higher scores in the NNIS System surgical patient risk.

Improved resuscitation outcome in emergency medical systems with increased usage of sodium bicarbonate during cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: The use of sodium bicarbonate (SB) in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) is controversial. This study analyzes the effects of SB use on CPR outcome in the Brain Resuscitation Clinical Trial III (BRCT III), which was a multicenter randomized trial comparing high-dose to standard-dose epinephrine during CPR. Sodium bicarbonate use in BRCT III was optional. METHODS: The entire BRCT III database was reviewed. Analysis included only patients who arrested out of the hospital and whose time from collapse to initiation of ACLS was no longer than 30 min (total n = 2122 patients). Sodium bicarbonate use by the 16 participating study sites was analyzed. The study sites were divided according to their SB usage profile: 'low SB user' sites administered SB in less than 50% of CPRs and their first epinephrine to SB time exceeded 10 min; and 'high SB user' sites used SB in over 50% of CPRs and their first epinephrine to SB time was <10 min. RESULTS: Sites' SB usage rates ranged between 3.1% and 98.2% of CPRs. Sodium bicarbonate usage rates correlated inversely with the sites' intervals from collapse (r = - 0.579 P = 0.018) from initiation of ACLS (r = - 0.685 P = 0.003) and from first epinephrine (r = - 0.611 P = 0.012) to SB administration. Mean ROSC rate in the 'high SB user' sites was 33.5% (CI = 30.0-37.0) compared to 25.7% (CI = 23.1-28.4) in the 'low SB user' sites. In the 'high SB user' sites, hospital discharge rate was 5.3% (CI = 3.6-7.0) compared to 3% (CI = 2.0-4.0) in the 'low SB user' sites, and 5.3% (CI = 3.6-7.0) had a favorable neurological outcome compared to 2.1% (CI = 1.2-3.0) in the 'low SB user' sites. Collapse to ACLS interval was 8.5 min (CI = 8.1-9.0) in the 'high SB user' sites compared to 10.2 min (CI = 9.8-10.6) in the 'low SB user' sites, and their ACLS to first epinephrine interval was 7.0 min (CI = 6.5-7.5) compared to 9.7 min (CI = 9.3-10.2). Multivariate regression analysis found that belonging to 'high SB user' sites independently increased the chances for ROSC (OR 1.36, CI 1.08-1.7) and for achieving a good neurological outcome (OR 2.18, CI 1.23-3.86). CONCLUSIONS: Earlier and more frequent use of SB was associated with higher early resuscitability rates and with better long-term outcome. Sodium bicarbonate may be beneficial during CPR, and it should be subjected to a randomized clinical trial.