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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(46): e2200822119, 2022 11 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36343269

RESUMEN

Epilepsy is a disorder characterized by paroxysmal transitions between multistable states. Dynamical systems have been useful for modeling the paroxysmal nature of seizures. At the same time, intracranial electroencephalography (EEG) recordings have recently discovered that an electrographic measure of epileptogenicity, interictal epileptiform activity, exhibits cycling patterns ranging from ultradian to multidien rhythmicity, with seizures phase-locked to specific phases of these latent cycles. However, many mechanistic questions about seizure cycles remain unanswered. Here, we provide a principled approach to recast the modeling of seizure chronotypes within a statistical dynamical systems framework by developing a Bayesian switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) with variable selection to estimate latent seizure cycles. We propose a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that employs particle Gibbs with ancestral sampling to estimate latent cycles in epilepsy and apply unsupervised learning on spectral features of latent cycles to uncover clusters in cycling tendency. We analyze the largest database of patient-reported seizures in the world to comprehensively characterize multidien cycling patterns among 1,012 people with epilepsy, spanning from infancy to older adulthood. Our work advances knowledge of cycling in epilepsy by investigating how multidien seizure cycles vary in people with epilepsy, while demonstrating an application of an SLDS to frame seizure cycling within a nonlinear dynamical systems framework. It also lays the groundwork for future studies to pursue data-driven hypothesis generation regarding the mechanistic drivers of seizure cycles.


Asunto(s)
Electroencefalografía , Epilepsia , Humanos , Anciano , Teorema de Bayes , Convulsiones , Dinámicas no Lineales
2.
Epilepsia ; 65(6): 1730-1736, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38606580

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Recently, a deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) model forecasted seizure risk using retrospective seizure diaries with higher accuracy than random forecasts. The present study sought to prospectively evaluate the same algorithm. METHODS: We recruited a prospective cohort of 46 people with epilepsy; 25 completed sufficient data entry for analysis (median = 5 months). We used the same AI method as in our prior study. Group-level and individual-level Brier Skill Scores (BSSs) compared random forecasts and simple moving average forecasts to the AI. RESULTS: The AI had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .82. At the group level, the AI outperformed random forecasting (BSS = .53). At the individual level, AI outperformed random in 28% of cases. At the group and individual level, the moving average outperformed the AI. If pre-enrollment (nonverified) diaries (with presumed underreporting) were included, the AI significantly outperformed both comparators. Surveys showed most did not mind poor-quality LOW-RISK or HIGH-RISK forecasts, yet 91% wanted access to these forecasts. SIGNIFICANCE: The previously developed AI forecasting tool did not outperform a very simple moving average forecasting in this prospective cohort, suggesting that the AI model should be replaced.


Asunto(s)
Predicción , Convulsiones , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Predicción/métodos , Epilepsia/diagnóstico , Inteligencia Artificial/tendencias , Adulto Joven , Aprendizaje Profundo/tendencias , Algoritmos , Diarios como Asunto , Estudios de Cohortes , Anciano
3.
Eur Heart J ; 44(46): 4862-4873, 2023 Dec 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37930776

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: For patients with symptomatic, severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR), early results of transcatheter tricuspid valve (TV) intervention studies have shown significant improvements in functional status and quality of life associated with right-heart reverse remodelling. Longer-term follow-up is needed to confirm sustained improvements in these outcomes. METHODS: The prospective, single-arm, multicentre TRISCEND study enrolled 176 patients to evaluate the safety and performance of transcatheter TV replacement in patients with ≥moderate, symptomatic TR despite medical therapy. Major adverse events, reduction in TR grade and haemodynamic outcomes by echocardiography, and clinical, functional, and quality-of-life parameters are reported to one year. RESULTS: Enrolled patients were 71.0% female, mean age 78.7 years, 88.0% ≥ severe TR, and 75.4% New York Heart Association classes III-IV. Tricuspid regurgitation was reduced to ≤mild in 97.6% (P < .001), with increases in stroke volume (10.5 ± 16.8 mL, P < .001) and cardiac output (0.6 ± 1.2 L/min, P < .001). New York Heart Association class I or II was achieved in 93.3% (P < .001), Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire score increased by 25.7 points (P < .001), and six-minute walk distance increased by 56.2 m (P < .001). All-cause mortality was 9.1%, and 10.2% of patients were hospitalized for heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: In an elderly, highly comorbid population with ≥moderate TR, patients receiving transfemoral EVOQUE transcatheter TV replacement had sustained TR reduction, significant increases in stroke volume and cardiac output, and high survival and low hospitalization rates with improved clinical, functional, and quality-of-life outcomes to one year. Funded by Edwards Lifesciences, TRISCEND ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04221490.


Asunto(s)
Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Tricúspide , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Tricúspide/epidemiología , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Tricúspide/cirugía , Válvula Tricúspide/cirugía , Implantación de Prótesis de Válvulas Cardíacas/métodos , Estudios Prospectivos , Calidad de Vida , Resultado del Tratamiento , Cateterismo Cardíaco/métodos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
4.
Opt Express ; 31(8): 12944-12954, 2023 Apr 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37157443

RESUMEN

Pixelated energy resolving detectors enable acquisition of X-ray diffraction (XRD) signals using a hybrid energy- and angle- dispersive technique, potentially paving the way for the development of novel benchtop XRD imaging or computed tomography (XRDCT) systems, utilising readily available polychromatic X-ray sources. In this work, a commercially available pixelated cadmium telluride (CdTe) detector, HEXITEC (High Energy X-ray Imaging Technology), was used to demonstrate such an XRDCT system. Specifically, a novel fly-scan technique was developed and compared to the established step-scan technique, reducing the total scan time by 42% while improving the spatial resolution, material contrast and therefore the material classification.

5.
Epilepsia ; 64(1): 170-183, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36347817

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: In 2017, the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) convened the AAN Quality Measurement Set working group to define the improvement and maintenance of quality of life (QOL) as a key outcome measure in epilepsy clinical practice. A core outcome set (COS), defined as an accepted, standardized set of outcomes that should be minimally measured and reported in an area of health care research and practice, has not previously been defined for QOL in adult epilepsy. METHODS: A cross-sectional Delphi consensus study was employed to attain consensus from patients and caregivers on the QOL outcomes that should be minimally measured and reported in epilepsy clinical practice. Candidate items were compiled from QOL scales recommended by the AAN 2017 Quality Measurement Set. Inclusion criteria to participate in the Delphi study were adults with drug-resistant epilepsy diagnosed by a physician, no prior diagnosis of psychogenic nonepileptic seizures or a cognitive and/or developmental disability, or caregivers of patients meeting these criteria. RESULTS: A total of 109 people satisfied inclusion/exclusion criteria and took part in Delphi Round 1 (patients, n = 95, 87.2%; caregivers, n = 14, 12.8%), and 55 people from Round 1 completed Round 2 (patients, n = 43, 78.2%; caregivers, n = 12, 21.8%). One hundred three people took part in the final consensus round. Consensus was attained by patients/caregivers on a set of 36 outcomes that should minimally be included in the QOL COS. Of these, 32 of the 36 outcomes (88.8%) pertained to areas outside of seizure frequency and severity. SIGNIFICANCE: Using patient-centered Delphi methodology, this study defines the first COS for QOL measurement in clinical practice for adults with drug-resistant epilepsy. This set highlights the diversity of factors beyond seizure frequency and severity that impact QOL in epilepsy.


Asunto(s)
Epilepsia Refractaria , Epilepsia , Humanos , Adulto , Calidad de Vida , Técnica Delphi , Estudios Transversales , Proyectos de Investigación , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Epilepsia/tratamiento farmacológico , Convulsiones , Resultado del Tratamiento
6.
Hematol Oncol ; 40(5): 906-913, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35946431

RESUMEN

Ruxolitinib with lenalidomide and dexamethasone shows anti-myeloma effects in vitro and in vivo. MUC1 leads to lenalidomide resistance in multiple myeloma (MM) cells, and ruxolitinib blocks its expression. Thus, ruxolitinib may restore sensitivity to lenalidomide. A phase I trial was conducted to determine the safety and efficacy of ruxolitinib with lenalidomide and methylprednisolone for patients with relapsed/refractory (RR)MM who had been treated with lenalidomide, steroids and a proteasome inhibitor and showed progressive disease at study entry. A traditional 3 + 3 dose escalation design was used to enroll subjects in four cohorts. Subjects received ruxolitinib twice daily, lenalidomide daily on days 1-21 of a 28 day cycle and methylprednisolone orally every other day. Primary endpoints were safety, clinical benefit rate (CBR) and overall response rate (ORR). Forty-nine patients were enrolled. The median age was 64 years and they had received a median of six prior treatments including lenalidomide and steroids to which 94% were refractory. No dose limiting toxicities occurred. The CBR and ORR were 49% and 36%, respectively. All responding patients were refractory to lenalidomide. Grade 3 or 4 adverse events (AEs) included anemia (17%), decreased lymphocyte count (15%), and hypophosphatemia (10%). Most common serious AEs included sepsis (9.8%) and pneumonia (7.8%). This Phase I trial demonstrates that a JAK inhibitor, ruxolitinib, can overcome refractoriness to lenalidomide and steroids for patients with RRMM. These results represent a promising novel therapeutic approach for treating MM. NCT03110822.


Asunto(s)
Mieloma Múltiple , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Lenalidomida , Mieloma Múltiple/tratamiento farmacológico
7.
Int J Legal Med ; 136(5): 1391-1406, 2022 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35141777

RESUMEN

The evaluation of 3D printed osteological materials has highlighted the difficulties associated with accurately representing fine surface details on printed bones. Moreover, there is an increasing need for reconstructions to be demonstrably accurate and reliable for use in the criminal justice system. The aim of this study was to assess the surface quality of 3D prints (n = 9) that presented with micromorphological alterations from trauma, taphonomy and pathology processes. The archaeological bones were imaged using micro-CT scanning and 3D printed with selective laser sintering (SLS) printing. A multi-method experimental approach subsequently identified: (1) the 3D printed bones to be metrically accurate to within 1.0 mm; (2) good representation of micromorphological surface features overall, albeit with some loss of intricate details, depths, and fine textures that can be important for visual processing; (3) five of the nine 3D printed bones were quantitatively scored as accurate using the visual comparison method; and, (4) low mesh comparison distances (± 0.2 mm) between the original models and the digitised 3D print models. The findings offer empirical data that can be used to underpin 3D printed reconstructions of exhibits for use in courts of law. In addition, an adaptable pathway was presented that can be used to assess 3D print accuracy in future reconstructions.


Asunto(s)
Huesos , Impresión Tridimensional , Huesos/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Rayos Láser , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 72(1): 99-107, 2021 01 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31903487

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Data on influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against mortality are limited, with no Australian data to guide vaccine uptake. We aimed to assess IVE against influenza-related mortality in Australian hospitalized patients, assess residual confounding in the association between influenza vaccination and mortality, and assess whether influenza vaccination reduces the severity of influenza illness. METHODS: Data were collected between 2010 and 2017 from a national Australian hospital-based sentinel surveillance system using a case-control design. Adults and children admitted to the 17 study hospitals with acute respiratory symptoms were tested for influenza using nucleic acid testing; all eligible test-positive cases, and a subset of test-negative controls, were included. Propensity score analysis and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of vaccination, with IVE = 1 - aOR × 100%. Residual confounding was assessed by examining mortality in controls. RESULTS: Over 8 seasons, 14038 patients were admitted with laboratory-confirmed influenza. The primary analysis included 9298 cases and 6451 controls, with 194 cases and 136 controls dying during hospitalization. Vaccination was associated with a 31% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3%-51%; P = .033) reduction in influenza-related mortality, with similar estimates in the National Immunisation Program target group. Residual confounding was identified in patients ≥65 years old (aOR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.06-3.46]; P = .031). There was no evidence that vaccination reduced the severity of influenza illness (aOR, 1.07 [95% CI, .76-1.50]; P = .713). CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccination is associated with a moderate reduction in influenza-related mortality. This finding reinforces the utility of the Australian vaccination program in protecting those most at risk of influenza-related deaths.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Adulto , Anciano , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Hospitalización , Humanos , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Puntaje de Propensión , Estaciones del Año , Vacunación
9.
Catheter Cardiovasc Interv ; 97(3): E431-E437, 2021 02 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32940418

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The long-term clinical performance of transcatheter heart valves (THV) is unknown. AIMS: This study assessed the clinical outcomes, rate of structural valve deterioration (SVD) and bioprosthetic valve failure in patients after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) to 10-year follow-up. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing TAVI for native aortic valve stenosis or failed aortic surgical bioprosthesis, between 2005 and 2009 at our institution were included. A total of 235 consecutive patients. RESULTS: At the time of TAVI mean age was 82.4 ± 7.9 years. All patients were judged to be high risk, with a STS score > 8 in 53.6%. THVs implanted were the Cribier-Edwards (20.9%), Edwards SAPIEN (77.4%) or CoreValve (1.7%). Mortality at 1, 5, and 10-year follow-up was 23.4%, 63%, and 91.6%, respectively. Of the total cohort, 15 patients had structural valve deterioration/bioprosthetic valve failure, with a cumulative incidence at 10-years of 6.5% (95% CI 3.3%, 9.6%). The rate of SVD/BVF at 4, 6, 8, and 10 years was 0.4%, 1.7%, 4.7%, and 6.5%, respectively. Nine patients had moderate SVD and six patients had severe SVD. Of the six patients with severe SVD, two patients had reintervention (one patient had redo TAVR, and the second had surgical aortic valve replacement). Survivors (n = 19) at 10-year follow-up, had a mean gradient of 14.0 ± 7.6 mmHg and aortic regurgitation ≥moderate in 5%. Quality of life measures in 10-year survivors demonstrated ADLs 6/6 in 43.8%, and ambulation without a mobility aid of 62.5%. CONCLUSION: Using early generation balloon expandable THVs in a high-risk population, there was a low rate of structural valve deterioration and valve failure at 10-year follow-up. This study provides insights into the long-term performance of transcatheter heart valves and patients self-reported derived benefits.


Asunto(s)
Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica , Bioprótesis , Prótesis Valvulares Cardíacas , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Válvula Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagen , Estenosis de la Válvula Aórtica/cirugía , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Diseño de Prótesis , Falla de Prótesis , Calidad de Vida , Reemplazo de la Válvula Aórtica Transcatéter/efectos adversos , Resultado del Tratamiento
10.
Epilepsy Behav ; 123: 108282, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34509036

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Adults living with intellectual and developmental disability (IDD) and epilepsy (IDD-E) face challenges in addition to those faced by the general population of adults with epilepsy, which may be associated with distinct priorities for improving health-related quality of life (HR-QOL). This study sought to (1) conduct a survey of HR-QOL priorities identified by adults with IDD-E and caregivers, and (2) perform an exploratory cross-sectional comparison to adults with epilepsy who do not have IDD. METHODS: This cross-sectional study recruited 65 adults with IDD-E and 134 adults with epilepsy without IDD and caregivers. Using a three-step development process, 256 items from existing quality-of-life scales recommended by the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) were rated by patients/caregivers for their importance as HR-QOL priorities. HR-QOL items identified as critical to the majority of the sample of adults with IDD-E were reported. Health-related quality of life priorities were compared between adults with IDD-E and adults with epilepsy without IDD. RESULTS: Health-related quality of life was significantly lower in adults with IDD-E. Health-related quality of life domains identified as critical priorities by adults with IDD-E included seizure burden, anti-seizure medication side effects, seizure unpredictability, and family impact. Priorities for improving HR-QOL differed between adults with and without IDD-E, with concerns about family impact, difficulty finding appropriate living conditions, inadequate assistance, and difficulty transitioning from pediatric-to-adult care valued significantly more among those with IDD-E. SIGNIFICANCE: Intellectual and developmental disability is an important determinant of HR-QOL among adults with epilepsy. We report HR-QOL priorities identified by adults with IDD-E and their caregivers. These results may help epilepsy clinicians and researchers develop tailored strategies to address priorities of the patient with IDD-E/caregiver community.


Asunto(s)
Epilepsia , Discapacidad Intelectual , Adulto , Cuidadores , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Discapacidades del Desarrollo , Epilepsia/complicaciones , Epilepsia/terapia , Humanos , Calidad de Vida
11.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(12): 2844-2853, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32985971

RESUMEN

The ability of health systems to cope with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases is of major concern. In preparation, we used clinical pathway models to estimate healthcare requirements for COVID-19 patients in the context of broader public health measures in Australia. An age- and risk-stratified transmission model of COVID-19 demonstrated that an unmitigated epidemic would dramatically exceed the capacity of the health system of Australia over a prolonged period. Case isolation and contact quarantine alone are insufficient to constrain healthcare needs within feasible levels of expansion of health sector capacity. Overlaid social restrictions must be applied over the course of the epidemic to ensure systems do not become overwhelmed and essential health sector functions, including care of COVID-19 patients, can be maintained. Attention to the full pathway of clinical care is needed, along with ongoing strengthening of capacity.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/transmisión , Capacidad de Camas en Hospitales/estadística & datos numéricos , Pandemias/prevención & control , Capacidad de Reacción/organización & administración , Australia/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Trazado de Contacto , Vías Clínicas/normas , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Distanciamiento Físico , Salud Pública , Cuarentena/métodos
13.
Epilepsia ; 61(1): 29-38, 2020 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31792970

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We conducted clinical testing of an automated Bayesian machine learning algorithm (Epilepsy Seizure Assessment Tool [EpiSAT]) for outpatient seizure risk assessment using seizure counting data, and validated performance against specialized epilepsy clinician experts. METHODS: We conducted a prospective longitudinal study of EpiSAT performance against 24 specialized clinician experts at three tertiary referral epilepsy centers in the United States. Accuracy, interrater reliability, and intra-rater reliability of EpiSAT for correctly identifying changes in seizure risk (improvements, worsening, or no change) were evaluated using 120 seizures from four synthetic seizure diaries (seizure risk known) and 120 seizures from four real seizure diaries (seizure risk unknown). The proportion of observed agreement between EpiSAT and clinicians was evaluated to assess compatibility of EpiSAT with clinical decision patterns by epilepsy experts. RESULTS: EpiSAT exhibited substantial observed agreement (75.4%) with clinicians for assessing seizure risk. The mean accuracy of epilepsy providers for correctly assessing seizure risk was 74.7%. EpiSAT accurately identified seizure risk in 87.5% of seizure diary entries, corresponding to a significant improvement of 17.4% (P = .002). Clinicians exhibited low-to-moderate interrater reliability for seizure risk assessment (Krippendorff's α = 0.46) with good intrarater reliability across a 4- to 12-week evaluation period (Scott's π = 0.89). SIGNIFICANCE: These results validate the ability of EpiSAT to yield objective clinical recommendations on seizure risk which follow decision patterns similar to those from specialized epilepsy providers, but with improved accuracy and reproducibility. This algorithm may serve as a useful clinical decision support system for quantitative analysis of clinical seizure frequency in clinical epilepsy practice.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Sistemas de Apoyo a Decisiones Clínicas , Epilepsia/complicaciones , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Convulsiones/etiología , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Estudios Longitudinales , Aprendizaje Automático , Masculino , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Adulto Joven
14.
Epilepsy Behav ; 105: 106963, 2020 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32092459

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The unpredictability of epilepsy has a severe impact on health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) for people with epilepsy. Seizure detection devices have the potential to improve HR-QOL by improving seizure safety, reducing caregiver hypervigilance, and reducing seizure anxiety. Emerging data have led to an improved understanding of characteristics that promote acceptability of detection devices for people with epilepsy and caregivers. However, whether usage of seizure detection devices is associated with clinically meaningful improvement in anxiety and HR-QOL remains poorly understood. METHODS: We analyzed cross-sectional survey data collected first-hand from 371 people with epilepsy and caregivers on seizure detection device and HR-QOL using an enriched population of electronic seizure diary users. Metrics related to quality of life and anxiety reduction were compared between users and nonusers of seizure detection devices. RESULTS: Compared with nonusers of seizure detection devices, device users were significantly more likely to have been impacted by epilepsy in multiple HR-QOL domains, including anxiety, mood, emotional regulation/aggression, speech/language, sleep quality, social life, activities of daily living, independence, and education/academic potential. The majority (80.2%) of people using seizure detection devices experienced moderate or greater anxiety reduction from seizure detection device usage, while 11.1% reported that detection devices did not help at all with anxiety. Despite potential benefit, seizure detection devices were used only by a minority (21.8%) of people with epilepsy surveyed, and usage tended to be skewed toward younger patient age, higher income, and caregivers. There was no significant difference in overall HR-QOL between users and nonusers. CONCLUSIONS: Seizure detection devices provide moderate or greater anxiety reduction among the majority of people with epilepsy and their caregivers, but current translatability into improvements in overall HR-QOL may be limited. Affordability and technological support are potential barriers to maximizing benefit equally among the epilepsy community. These considerations may be useful to help guide future device development and inform patient-clinician discussions on device usage and HR-QOL.


Asunto(s)
Cuidadores/psicología , Satisfacción del Paciente , Calidad de Vida/psicología , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Convulsiones/psicología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Actividades Cotidianas/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Ansiedad/diagnóstico , Ansiedad/prevención & control , Ansiedad/psicología , Estudios Transversales , Epilepsia/diagnóstico , Epilepsia/psicología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Dispositivos Electrónicos Vestibles/psicología , Dispositivos Electrónicos Vestibles/tendencias
15.
Epilepsia ; 60(4): 764-773, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30889273

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Given the known association of daylight saving time (DST) transitions with increased risk of accidents, heart attack, and stroke, we aimed to determine whether seizures, which are reportedly influenced by sleep and circadian disruption, also increased in frequency following the transition into DST. METHODS: Using Seizure Tracker's self-reported data from 12 401 individuals from 2008-2016, 932 717 seizures were assessed for changes in incidence in relation to DST transitions. Two methods of standardization-z scores and unit-scaled rate ratios (RRs)-were used to compare seizure propensities following DST transitions to other time periods. RESULTS: As a percentile relative to all other weeks in a given year, absolute seizure counts in the week of DST fell below the median (DST seizure percentiles mean ± SD: 19.68 ± 16.25, P = 0.01), which was concordant with weekday-specific comparisons. Comparatively, RRs for whole-week (1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.10, P = 0.0054) and weekday-to-weekday (RR range 1.04-1.16, all P < 0.001) comparisons suggested a slightly higher incidence of seizures in the DST week compared to all other weeks of the year. However, examining the similar risk of the week preceding and following the DST-transition week revealed no significant weekday-to-weekday differences in seizure incidence, although there was an unexpected, modestly decreased seizure propensity in the DST week relative to the whole week prior (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91-0.96, P < 0.001). SIGNIFICANCE: Despite expectations that circadian and sleep disruption related to DST transitions would increase the incidence of seizures, we found little substantive evidence for such an association in this large, longitudinal cohort. Although large-scale observational/epidemiologic cohorts can be effective at answering such questions, additional covariates (eg, sleep duration, seizure type, and so on) that may underpin the association were not able available, so the association has not definitively been ruled out.


Asunto(s)
Fotoperiodo , Convulsiones/epidemiología , Adulto , Ritmo Circadiano/fisiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo
16.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 656, 2019 May 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31142311

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Infectious diseases spread through inherently spatial processes. Road and air traffic data have been used to model these processes at national and global scales. At metropolitan scales, however, mobility patterns are fundamentally different and less directly observable. Estimating the spatial distribution of infection has public health utility, but few studies have investigated this at an urban scale. In this study we address the question of whether the use of urban-scale mobility data can improve the prediction of spatial patterns of influenza infection. We compare the use of different sources of urban-scale mobility data, and investigate the impact of other factors relevant to modelling mobility, including mixing within and between regions, and the influence of hub and spoke commuting patterns. METHODS: We used journey-to-work (JTW) data from the Australian 2011 Census, and GPS journey data from the Sygic GPS Navigation & Maps mobile app, to characterise population mixing patterns in a spatially-explicit SEIR (susceptible, exposed, infectious, recovered) meta-population model. RESULTS: Using the JTW data to train the model leads to an increase in the proportion of infections that arise in central Melbourne, which is indicative of the city's spoke-and-hub road and public transport networks, and of the commuting patterns reflected in these data. Using the GPS data increased the infections in central Melbourne to a lesser extent than the JTW data, and produced a greater heterogeneity in the middle and outer regions. Despite the limitations of both mobility data sets, the model reproduced some of the characteristics observed in the spatial distribution of reported influenza cases. CONCLUSIONS: Urban mobility data sets can be used to support models that capture spatial heterogeneity in the transmission of infectious diseases at a metropolitan scale. These data should be adjusted to account for relevant urban features, such as highly-connected hubs where the resident population is likely to experience a much lower force of infection that the transient population. In contrast to national and international scales, the relationship between mobility and infection at an urban level is much less apparent, and requires a richer characterisation of population mobility and contact.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Transportes/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Ciudades , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Análisis Espacial , Victoria/epidemiología
17.
Lancet ; 390(10096): 773-780, 2017 Aug 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28831993

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Severe mitral regurgitation is associated with impaired prognosis if left untreated. Using the devices currently available, transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVr) remains challenging in complex anatomical situations. We report the procedural and 30-day results of the first-in-man study of the Edwards PASCAL TMVr system. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective, observational, first-in-man study, we collected data from seven tertiary care hospitals in five countries that had a compassionate use programme in which patients underwent transcatheter mitral valve repair using the Edwards PASCAL TMVr system. Eligible patients were those with symptomatic, severe functional, degenerative, or mixed mitral regurgitation deemed at high risk or inoperable. Safety and efficacy of the procedure were prospectively assessed at device implantation, discharge, and 30 days after device implantation. The key study endpoints were technical success assessed at the end of the procedure and device success 30 days after implantation using the Mitral Valve Academic Research Consortium definitions. FINDINGS: Between Sept 1, 2016, and March 31, 2017, 23 patients (median age 75 years [IQR 61-82]) had treatment for moderate-to-severe (grade 3+) or severe (grade 4+) mitral regurgitation using the Edwards PASCAL TMVr system. At baseline, the median EuroScore II score was 7·1% (IQR 3·6-12·8) and the median Society of Thoracic Surgeons predicted risk of mortality for mitral valve repair was 4·8% (2·1-9·0) and 6·8% (2·9-10·1) for mitral valve replacement. 22 (96%) of 23 patients were New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III or IV at baseline. The implantation of at least one device was successful in all patients, resulting in procedural residual mitral regurgitation of grade 2+ or less in 22 (96%) patients. Six (26%) of 23 patients had two implants. Periprocedural complications occurred in two (9%) of 23 patients (one minor bleeding event and one transient ischaemic attack). Despite the anatomical complexity of mitral regurgitation in the patients in this compassionate use cohort, technical success was achieved in 22 (96%) of 23 patients, and device success at 30 days was achieved in 18 (78%) patients. Three patients (13%) died during the 30 day follow-up. 19 (95%) of 20 patients alive 30 days after implantation were NYHA class I or II. INTERPRETATION: This study establishes feasibility of the Edwards PASCAL TMVr system with a high rate of technical success and reduction of mitral regurgitation severity. Further research is needed on procedural and long-term clinical outcomes. FUNDING: None.


Asunto(s)
Anuloplastia de la Válvula Mitral/métodos , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/cirugía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Ensayos de Uso Compasivo , Ecocardiografía Doppler en Color , Diseño de Equipo , Estudios de Factibilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anuloplastia de la Válvula Mitral/instrumentación , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/diagnóstico por imagen , Insuficiencia de la Válvula Mitral/fisiopatología , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Disfunción Ventricular Izquierda/etiología
18.
Blood ; 127(26): 3360-8, 2016 06 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27207788

RESUMEN

Carfilzomib, a proteasome inhibitor, is approved in the United States as a single agent, and in combination with dexamethasone or lenalidomide/dexamethasone (KRd) for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma (MM). Under the single-agent and KRd approvals, carfilzomib is administered as a 10-minute IV infusion on days 1, 2, 8, 9, 15, and 16 of 28-day cycles (20 mg/m(2) [cycle 1, days 1-2]; 27 mg/m(2) thereafter). This multicenter, single-arm, phase 1/2 study, Community Harmonized Assessment of Myeloma Patients via an Integrated Oncology Network-1 (CHAMPION-1), evaluated once-weekly carfilzomib with dexamethasone in relapsed, or relapsed and refractory MM (1-3 prior therapies). Patients received carfilzomib (30-minute IV infusion) on days 1, 8, and 15 of 28-day cycles. The phase 1 portion used a 3 + 3 dose-escalation scheme to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of carfilzomib. During phase 2, patients received carfilzomib on the same schedule at the MTD. Patients received dexamethasone (40 mg) on days 1, 8, 15, and 22; dexamethasone was omitted on day 22 for cycles 9+. A total of 116 patients were enrolled. The MTD was 70 mg/m(2), and 104 patients (phase 1/2) received carfilzomib 70 mg/m(2) At 70 mg/m(2), the median number of prior regimens was 1; and 52% were bortezomib-refractory. At 70 mg/m(2), the most common grade ≥3 adverse events were fatigue (11%) and hypertension (7%). Overall response rate at 70 mg/m(2) was 77%. Median progression-free survival was 12.6 months. These findings merit additional evaluation of the once-weekly dosing regimen. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01677858.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/administración & dosificación , Mieloma Múltiple/tratamiento farmacológico , Mieloma Múltiple/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/efectos adversos , Dexametasona/administración & dosificación , Dexametasona/efectos adversos , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Infusiones Intravenosas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oligopéptidos/administración & dosificación , Oligopéptidos/efectos adversos , Recurrencia , Tasa de Supervivencia
19.
Epilepsia ; 59(5): e73-e77, 2018 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29683201

RESUMEN

Using approximations based on presumed U.S. time zones, we characterized day and nighttime seizure patterns in a patient-reported database, Seizure Tracker. A total of 632 995 seizures (9698 patients) were classified into 4 categories: isolated seizure event (ISE), cluster without status epilepticus (CWOS), cluster including status epilepticus (CIS), and status epilepticus (SE). We used a multinomial mixed-effects logistic regression model to calculate odds ratios (ORs) to determine night/day ratios for the difference between seizure patterns: ISE versus SE, ISE versus CWOS, ISE versus CIS, and CWOS versus CIS. Ranges of OR values were reported across cluster definitions. In adults, ISE was more likely at night compared to CWOS (OR = 1.49, 95% adjusted confidence interval [CI] = 1.36-1.63) and to CIS (OR = 1.61, 95% adjusted CI = 1.34-1.88). The ORs for ISE versus SE and CWOS versus SE were not significantly different regardless of cluster definition. In children, ISE was less likely at night compared to SE (OR = 0.85, 95% adjusted CI = 0.79-0.91). ISE was more likely at night compared to CWOS (OR = 1.35, 95% adjusted CI = 1.26-1.44) and CIS (OR = 1.65, 95% adjusted CI = 1.44-1.86). CWOS was more likely during the night compared to CIS (OR = 1.22, 95% adjusted CI = 1.05-1.39). With the exception of SE in children, our data suggest that more severe patterns favor daytime. This suggests distinct day/night preferences for different seizure patterns in children and adults.


Asunto(s)
Ritmo Circadiano/fisiología , Convulsiones/fisiopatología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
20.
Epilepsia ; 59(5): 1020-1026, 2018 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29604050

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Common data elements (CDEs) are currently unavailable for mobile health (mHealth) in epilepsy devices and related applications. As a result, despite expansive growth of new digital services for people with epilepsy, information collected is often not interoperable or directly comparable. We aim to correct this problem through development of industry-wide standards for mHealth epilepsy data. METHODS: Using a group of stakeholders from industry, academia, and patient advocacy organizations, we offer a consensus statement for the elements that may facilitate communication among different systems. RESULTS: A consensus statement is presented for epilepsy mHealth CDEs. SIGNIFICANCE: Although it is not exclusive, we believe that the use of a minimal common information denominator, specifically these CDEs, will promote innovation, accelerate scientific discovery, and enhance clinical usage across applications and devices in the epilepsy mHealth space. As a consequence, people with epilepsy will have greater flexibility and ultimately more powerful tools to improve their lives.


Asunto(s)
Elementos de Datos Comunes/normas , Epilepsia , Neurología/normas , Telemedicina/normas , Terminología como Asunto , Humanos
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