Machine learning approach to predict postpancreatectomy hemorrhage following pancreaticoduodenectomy: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) is a rare yet dreaded complication following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This retrospective study aimed to explore a machine learning (ML) model for predicting PPH in PD patients. METHODS: A total of 284 patients who underwent open PD at our institute were included in the analysis. To address the issue of imbalanced data, the adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN) technique was employed. The best-performing ML model was selected using the PyCaret library in Python and evaluated based on recall, precision, and F1 score metrics. In addition to assessing the model's performance on the test data, bootstrap validation (n = 1000) with the original dataset was conducted. RESULTS: PPH occurred in 11 patients (3.9%), with a median onset time of 22 days postoperatively. These minority cases were oversampled to 85 using ADASYN. The extra trees classifier demonstrated superior performance with recall, precision, and F1 score of 0.967, 0.914, and 0.937, respectively. Both validation using the test data and bootstrap resampling consistently demonstrated recall, precision, and F1 score exceeding 0.9. The model identified the peak value of C-reactive protein during the first 7 postoperative days as the most significant feature, followed by the preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the potential of the ML approach to predict PPH occurrence following PD. Vigilance and early interventions guided by such model predictions could positively impact outcomes for high-risk patients.

High hand grip strength is a significant risk factor and a useful predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the most critical complications of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Studies on predictive factors for POPF that can be identified preoperatively are limited. Recent reports have highlighted the association between the preoperative nutritional status, including sarcopenia, and postoperative complications. We examined preoperative risk factors for POPF after PD, focusing on nutritional indicators. METHODS: A total of 153 consecutive patients who underwent PD at our institution were enrolled in this study. Preoperative nutritional parameters, including hand grip strength (HGS) and skeletal muscle mass as components of sarcopenia, were incorporated into the analysis. POPFs were categorized according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula (ISGPF) definition as biochemical (grade A) or clinically relevant (CR-POPF; grades B and C). RESULTS: Thirty-seven of the 153 patients (24.1%) fulfilled the ISGPF definition of CR-POPF postoperatively. In the univariate analysis, the incidence of CR-POPF was associated with male sex, non-pancreatic tumor diseases, a high body mass index, a high HGS and a high skeletal muscle mass index. In the multivariate analysis, non-pancreatic tumor diseases and an HGS ≥23.0 kg were selected as independent risk factors for CR-POPF (P <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: A high HGS, a screening tool for sarcopenia, was a risk factor for CR-POPF. It can accurately serve as a useful predictor of POPF risk in patients undergoing PD. These results highlight the potential of sarcopenia to reduce the incidence of POPF and highlight the need to clarify the mechanism of POPF occurrence.

Prognostic value of geriatric nutritional risk index for patients with biliary tract cancer undergoing surgical resection - a single-institution retrospective cohort study.

Introduction: The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) is an index of nutritional status associated with clinical outcomes in various cancers; however, its prognostic value in biliary tract cancer (BTC) remains to be elucidated. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the association between preoperative GNRI and long-term prognosis of patients with BTC undergoing surgical resection. Material and methods: A total of 213 patients were included. The relationships between GNRI and clinicopathological variables, including inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lympho-cyte ratio, were analysed. The impact of GNRI on overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) was investigated by Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Applying a GNRI cut-off of 98, the low-GNRI group comprised 135 patients (63%). The low-GNRI group had elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and CRP levels, high rates of preoperative biliary stenting, lymph node metastases, and perineural invasion, and a lower rate of R0 resection than the high-GNRI group. Both OS and RFS in the low-GNRI group were significantly lower. In multivariate analysis, low GNRI was a significant predictor of poor OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.731; 95% CI: 1.111-2.696; p = 0.015) and RFS (HR, 1.900; 95% CI: 1.231-2.931; p = 0.004), independently of inflammatory and tumour markers, as well as of pathological features. Conclusions: Preoperative GNRI may be an easily accessible predictor of poor prognosis in patients with BTC undergoing surgical resection.

[Two Cases of Elderly Patients with Giant Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Treated with Multidisciplinary Therapy including Ablation Therapy].

Case 1 consisted of an 86-year-old male diagnosed with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(ICC), approximately 11 cm in diameter, at segment S7/8 of the liver. A total of 4 percutaneous radiofrequency ablations(PRFA)and 3 hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapies(HAIC)of 5-FU were performed. He died after developing lung metastases 27 months after the initial treatment. Case 2 was an 85-year-old female diagnosed with ICC, 8 cm in diameter, at the posterior segment of the liver, with lymph node metastasis. She underwent HAIC of 5-FU and S-1 as well as gemcitabine-based systemic chemotherapy. The main tumor developed 10 months after the initial treatment, and PRFAs were subsequently performed twice for the main lesion. Although the tumor markers gradually decreased, she died of jaundice 33 months after the initial treatment. As one of the multidisciplinary therapies for the giant ICC, ablation therapy may be safe and effective in elderly patients.

[Clinical Study of Peritoneovenous Shunt for Patients with Refractory Ascites Accompanied with Hepatocellular Carcinoma].

BACKGROUND: Hepatic ascites may cause a variety of symptoms and may progress deterioration of quality of life. Peritoneovenous shunt(PV shunt)is technically feasible and useful for the treating of refractory ascites, but sometimes it can be associated with fatal complications. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the effect of PV shunt for patients with refractory ascites, including hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)patients. SUBJECTS: Between January 2010 and December 2021, we retrospectively analyzed 54 consecutive patients(including 35 HCC patients)with refractory ascites who underwent PV shunt at our institute. RESULTS: Body weight loss after surgery was observed in 39 of the 54 cases, and eGFR improved in 34 cases. There were 17(31.5%)in-hospital deaths. Cases with present of portal vein tumor thrombus, Child-Pugh classification C, ALBI score≥-1.12, or serum total bilirubin≥1.7 mg/dL were significantly higher in hospital-death group than in the discharged from the hospital group. CONCLUSIONS: PV shunt for HCC patients with refractory ascites may be effective for improvement of renal function and symptoms. However, indications for PV shunt should be carefully considered for high-risk patients with adequate preoperative evaluation.

[A Case of Long-Term Survival with S-1/Cisplatin for Liver Hilum Lymph Node Metastasis of Anal Canal Squamous Cell Carcinoma after Chemoradiotherapy].

A 70-year-old woman was admitted to a local hospital because of anal pain during defecation. Anoscopy revealed an anal mass lesion, and the patient was referred to our hospital. Colonoscopy revealed an anal canal tumor with ulceration, and biopsy showed squamous cell carcinoma. The patient was treated with chemoradiotherapy(chemotherapy with capecitabine plus mitomycin C and 54 Gy radiation in the anal region)and achieved complete response. However, metastatic recurrence was detected in a lymph node in the hepatic hilar region. We administered an S-1/CDDP combination chemotherapy (5 courses). For 3 years and 5 months since the initial treatment, the patient survived with no signs of recurrence. We report a rare case of long-term survival with S-1/CDDP for distant metastasis of anal canal squamous cell carcinoma after chemoradiotherapy.

[Clinical Efficacy of Recombinant Human Thrombomodulin for Surgical Patients with Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation Associated with Oncologic Emergency].

AIM: We evaluated the clinical efficacy of recombinant human thrombomodulin(rTM)for surgical patients with disseminated intravascular coagulation syndrome(DIC)associated with an oncologic emergency(OE). SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Thirteen patients who underwent surgery for OE complicated with DIC and were treated with rTM in our institution were evaluated. We retrospectively analyzed the clinical changes of parameters in white blood cell count(WBC), platelet count, CRP, PT-INR and DIC scores after the rTM treatment. RESULTS: The average length of the days using rTM was 4.7 for 12 patients, excluding one who died within 30 days after surgery. Nine of 12 patients(75%)had DIC scores of less than 3 after the rTM treatment. WBC tended to decrease after the rTM treatment, without statistical difference. However, CRP, platelet count, PT-INR and DIC scores were significantly improved after the rTM treatment(p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: rTM may be useful in the treatment of DIC for surgical OE patients.

[A Rapid Clinical Course of Pulmonary Embolism Associated with Gallbladder Mucinous Carcinoma].

A 51-year-old woman with edema of the lower extremities and exertional dyspnea was admitted to our hospital. Enhanced CT revealed thrombi of the pulmonary artery and a gallbladder tumor. After anticoagulation therapy was started on her, anemia and jaundice progressed; thus, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ERCP)was performed on suspicion of bleeding from a gallbladder tumor. We performed cholecystectomy in emergency to control the anemia due to hemorrhage. Oxygenation suddenly worsened intraoperatively, maintaining her blood pressure became difficult, and the patient decompensated. The histopathological diagnosis was gallbladder mucinous carcinoma with severe lymphatic invasion. Although an autopsy was not performed, pulmonary artery embolism derived from a tumor embolus was the suspected cause of the sudden change of the clinical course.

Validation and performance of three-level procedure-based classification for laparoscopic liver resection.

BACKGROUND: A procedure-based laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) classification (IMM classification) stratified 11 different LLR procedures into 3 grades. IMM classification assessed the difficulty of LLR differently than an index-based LLR classification (IWATE criteria), which scored each procedure on an index scale of 12. We validated the difference of 3 IMM grades using an external cohort, evaluated the IMM classification using the scores of the IWATE criteria, and compared the performance of IMM classification with the IWATE criteria and the minor/major classification. METHODS: Patients undergoing LLR without simultaneous procedures were selected from a prospectively maintained database at the Institut Mutualiste Montsouris (IMM cohort) and from the database of 43 Japanese institutions (JMI cohort). Surgical and postoperative outcomes were evaluated according to the 3 IMM grades using the JMI cohort. The 11 LLR procedures included in the IMM classification were scored according to the IWATE criteria. The area under the curves (AUCs) for surgical and postoperative outcomes were compared. RESULTS: In the JMI (n = 1867) cohort, operative time, blood loss, conversion rate, and major complication rate were significantly associated with a stepwise increase in grades from I to III (all, P < 0.001). In the IMM (n = 433) and JMI cohorts, IMM grades I, II, and III corresponded to three low-scoring, two intermediate-scoring, and six high-scoring LLR procedures as per the IWATE criteria, respectively. Mean ± standard deviation among the IMM grades were significantly different: 3.7 ± 1.4 (grade I) versus 7.5 ± 1.7 (grade II) versus 10.2 ± 1.0 (grade III) (P < 0.001) in the IMM cohort and 3.6 ± 1.4 (grade I) versus 6.7 ± 1.5 (grade II) versus 9.3 ± 1.4 (grade III) (P < 0.001) in the JMI cohort. The AUCs for surgical and postoperative outcomes are higher for the 3-level IMM classification than for the minor/major classification. CONCLUSIONS: The difference of 3 IMM grades with respect to surgical and postoperative outcomes was validated using an external cohort. The 3-level procedure-based IMM classification was in accordance with the index-based IWATE criteria. The IMM classification performed better than the minor/major classification for stratifying LLR procedures.

[Hepatectomy for Intrahepatic Combined Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence in a Hemophilia a Patient with Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Hepatitis C Virus-A Case Report].

A 40's Japanese man had a history of blood transfusion and administration of treatment coagulation factors for hemophilia A since he was 6 years old. He has been on IFN treatment for hepatitis C since he was 14 years old. Lastly, he has been undergoing HAART therapy for human immunodeficiency virus infection since he was 18 years old. Three years ago, he underwent partial hepatectomy for a tumor located in segment 8 of his liver and was diagnosed with combined hepatocellular carcinoma(CHC). Two years and 7 months after the operation, 2 intrahepatic recurrences were detected in the left lobe. He was referred to our hospital to undergo curative resection, and we performed a left lobectomy of the liver for the CHC recurrences. Perioperatively, supplemental factor Ⅷ was administered via APTT. Its activity was used as an index. Postoperatively, the patient was well, was discharged 13 days after surgery, and remained recurrence-free for 4 months.

[A Resected Case of Metachronous Solitary Metastasis of Jejunum after Surgery of Triple Colon Cancers].

A 68-year-old man underwent partial colectomy and double-barrel colostomy for an obstructive colon cancer of the splenic flexure at another hospital 10 years before. He was referred to us with an examination of anemia pointed out in human dock. Lower gastrointestinal endoscopy revealed the tumor occupied the remnant descending colon. We performed remnant left hemicolectomy and diagnosed as triple colon cancers. Six months after the initial operation, he was admitted to us with the chief complaints of abdominal fulness and vomit. Abdominal CT and radiologic enteroclysis after decompression used the ileus tube revealed complete stenosis at the small intestine. We performed surgery with a suspicion of obstruction of the small intestine. The tumor, 5 cm in diameter, occupied the jejunum was detected, and partial resection of the jejunum was performed. Histologically, the tumor was diagnosed as solitary metastasis of jejunum.

[Radiofrequency Ablation for Colorectal Liver Metastases].

AIM: The significance of radiofrequency ablation(RFA)for colorectal liver metastases(CRLM)remains to be elucidated. Therefore, this retrospective study aimed to evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of RFA for local recurrence of CRLM. SUBJECTS: Between June 2005 and June 2017, we retrospectively examined 63 patients(137 nodules)with CRLM who underwent RFA. RESULTS: The local recurrence rate was 36.5%, and the median local recurrence free survival(LRFS)was 26.3 months. We compared treatment background between the 2 groups with(50 nodules)and without(87 nodules)local recurrence. In the multivariate analysis, tumor size of the ablated lesion and method for ablation(direct tumor puncture)were independent risk factors for local recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic curve for tumor size of the ablated lesion showed an optimal cutoff value for tumor size of 1.8 cm(AUC=0.734, 95%CI: 0.612-0.855, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: RFA for effective control of local recurrence of CRLM might be suitable for selected patients with tumor size of ablated lesion ofC1.8 cm and no touch ablation method.

[A Resected Case of Hilar Cholangiocarcinoma Confirmed as Pathological Complete Response Following Neoadjuvant S-1 Monotherapy].

A 74-year-old man was admitted to a local hospital with liver dysfunction. Imaging modalities revealed bile duct stenosis at the bifurcation of the anterior and posterior trunk. Exfoliative cytology of the bile and brushing cytology of the bile duct both revealed Class Ⅴ, and biopsy from the stenotic bile duct showed well differentiated adenocarcinoma. We diagnosed the patient with hilar cholangiocarcinoma and performed extended right bisectionectomy and biliary reconstruction after percuta- neous transhepatic right portal vein embolization(PTPE). Preoperatively, he was administered S-1(80mg/body weight/day) orally for 19 days. Histopathological assessment of the resected specimen revealed hemosiderin-laden macrophages without viable cancer cells, confirmingpatholog ical complete response(pCR).

The preoperative modified Glasgow prognostic score for the prediction of survival after pancreatic cancer resection following non-surgical treatment of an initially unresectable disease.

AIM OF THE STUDY: Recent advances in chemotherapy have increasingly enabled conversion surgery (CS) in patients with initially unresectable pancreatic cancer (PC), but patient selection remains controversial. We examined the characteristics of patients who would benefit from this procedure. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The clinical and pathological data of 38 patients with unresectable PC, who underwent CS after a favourable response to chemo(radio)therapy at our institute, were investigated. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors for overall survival (OS). Several inflammation-based scores, such as the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), were also evaluated. RESULTS: The patients included 13 with locally advanced disease and 25 with metastatic disease. After non-surgical treatment with a median duration of six months, 27 patients (71%) underwent R0/1 resection, and the remainder underwent R2 resection. The two-year and five-year OS from the initial treatment for all patients were 64% and 29%, respectively, and the median survival was 29.1 months. Univariate analysis showed that age < 62 years, preoperative CA19-9 decrease rate ≥ 89%, preoperative mGPS-0, and R0/1 resection were related to a favourable OS. R0/1 resection and mGPS-0 were independent prognostic factors according to multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative mGPS is a potential predictor of survival and can aid selection of patients for whom CS could yield promising prognosis for initially unresectable PC.

Resection of colonic metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma with necrosis and bleeding:a case report.

We report a rare case of colonic metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma associated with rapid growth. A 75-year-old man underwent laparoscopic partial resection of segment three of the liver for primary hepatocellular carcinoma, but was referred to our hospital with right flank pain seven months after the operation. Computed tomography revealed a high-density tumor in the transverse colon measuring 6cm in diameter that not evident by colonoscopy. After one month, magnetic resonance imaging revealed that the tumor had grown to 8cm in diameter, and we performed partial resection of the transverse colon. Macroscopically, the tumor comprised necrotic tissue and an old blood clot in the submucosal layer of the transverse colon. Histopathologically, the tumor was determined to be a hematogenous metastasis from the hepatocellular carcinoma, with evidence of necrosis and hemorrhage.

[A Case of Multiple HCC with Vp2 and Vv3 Invasion Controlled by Multidisciplinary Treatment Including Surgery].

The prognosis of HCC with vascular invasion is dismal, but surgery is elected when the hepatic reserve is adequate. The case involved a 68-year-old male HCV carrier. A 10 cm diameter tumor occupying the central 2 segments of the liver and liver metastasis in the left lobe were detected. The patient was diagnosed with multiple HCC with severe vascular invasion of Vp2 and Vv3. The tumor shrunk dramatically after starting HAIC therapy with cisplatin and oral administration of sorafenib. A laparoscopic partial hepatectomy was performed for the viable lesion. The tumor showed almost complete coagulative necrosis. Multiple hepatic metastases were found 4 months after surgery, but the tumor was under control at 25 months after the first HAIC due to HAIC, oral administration of sorafenib, and RFA. An improved prognosis for multiple HCC with severe vascular invasion can be expected by performing multidisciplinary treatments including surgery.

[Portal vein stenting as a bridge to chemotherapy for perihilar cancer with portal vein stenosis - a case report].

The stenting strategy for portal vein stenosis in cases with unresectable hilar malignancies reduces portal hypertension and maintains portal vein blood flow. This not only improves quality of life, but also leads to aggressive therapy with anticancer agents. A 65-year-old woman presented with painless jaundice 8 months after left hemihepatectomy with lymph node dissection for intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma. Seven months after biliary stenting for bile duct stenosis, progressing pancytopenia and ascites were noted. Imaging studies revealed portal vein stenosis by the tumor at the hepatic hilum. Percutaneous transhepatic portal vein stent placement was performed, and pancytopenia and ascites improved immediately thereafter. Chemotherapy for recurrence of intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma at the hepatic hilum has been initiated, and the patient has been alive 15 months since.

[A case of radical resection for pancreatic head cancer with peritoneal dissemination treated with combination chemotherapy].

A 69-year-old man underwent surgery for pancreatic head cancer. During surgery, a few tubercles were found in the bursa omentalis, which were diagnosed pathologically as peritoneal dissemination. Curative resection was impossible, and exploratory laparotomy was completed. After surgery, 17 cycles of S-1/gemcitabine combination chemotherapy were administered for 1 year. Significant changes were not observed in the primary tumor on computed tomography (CT) scan, but the uptake of fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) in the tumor decreased on positron emission tomography combined with CT(PET/CT), suggesting a decrease in tumor activity. Although imaging modalities could not identify distant or peritoneal metastases, levels of serological tumor markers increased at this time. Therefore, a second exploratory laparotomy was performed 13 months after the initial surgery. The nodules in the bursa omentalis had disappeared, and the patient underwent a pancreatoduodenectomy with common hepatic artery resection. Histopathological findings revealed mucinous carcinoma of the pancreas. The postoperative diagnosis was pT3, pN2, M0, Stage IVa.

Predicting Pathological Response to Preoperative Chemotherapy in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Using Post-Chemotherapy Computed Tomography Radiomics.

INTRODUCTION: Assessing the response to preoperative treatment in pancreatic cancer provides valuable information for guiding subsequent treatment strategies. The present study aims to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT) radiomics-based machine learning (ML) model for predicting pathological response (PR) to preoperative chemotherapy in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). METHODS: Retrospective data were analyzed from 86 PDAC patients undergoing neoadjuvant or conversion chemotherapy followed by surgical resection from January 2018 to May 2023. The cohort was randomly divided into training (70%, n = 60) and testing (30%, n = 26) sets. Favorable PR was defined as Evans grade IIb or greater. Radiomic features were extracted from post-chemotherapy CT images, and dimensionality reduction was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression. Four ML classifiers (Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Random Forest, AdaBoost, and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis) were evaluated for predicting a favorable PR. Model performance was primarily assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier score, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Forty-one (47.7%) patients had a favorable PR. LASSO analysis on the training set identified five radiomic features. The LGBM model demonstrated the best performance, with a training AUC of 0.902 and a testing AUC of 0.923. It also exhibited the lowest Brier scores, both in training (0.136) and testing (0.135). Decision curve analysis further confirmed its clinical potential. CONCLUSION: The CT radiomics-based ML model exhibited promising performance in predicting PR in PDAC after neoadjuvant/conversion chemotherapy. This suggests clinical utility in optimizing surgical candidates and timing of surgery, leading to personalized treatment strategies.

Long-term Outcomes of Hepatic Resection Combined With Intraoperative Ablation Versus Hepatic Resection Alone for Multinodular Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Insights from a Single-center Study.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The efficacy of combining hepatic resection (HR) with ablation therapy in treating multinodular hepatocellular carcinoma (mHCC) remains uncertain. This study aimed to compare the long-term survival outcomes of patients with mHCC undergoing HR combined with intraoperative ablation (HRA) versus those undergoing HR alone. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 296 patients diagnosed with early-stage [Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC)-A] or intermediate-stage (BCLC-B) mHCC who underwent initial HR. Patients were divided into two groups: those who received HRA (HRA group, n=159) and those who underwent HR alone (HR group, n=137). Propensity score (PS), estimated as the likelihood of undergoing HRA, was applied to adjust for between-group differences in baseline characteristics. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were compared using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in survival between the HRA and HR groups, with 5-year OS and RFS rates of 47.7% versus 51.9% (p=0.837) and 17.0% versus 25.9% (p=0.094), respectively. After adjusting for PS, the differences remained non-significant (p=0.579 for OS and p=0.410 for RFS). Consistent results were also observed in PS-adjusted subgroup analysis stratified by factors such as BCLC stage, "Up-to-7" criteria, and Child-Pugh class. CONCLUSION: HRA may offer comparable long-term efficacy to HR alone in mHCC, suggesting broader treatment options that challenge the guideline-based monotherapy.