Lung-function trajectories: relevance and implementation in clinical practice.

Lung development starts in utero and continues during childhood through to adolescence, reaching its peak in early adulthood. This growth is followed by gradual decline due to physiological lung ageing. Lung-function development can be altered by several host and environmental factors during the life course. As a result, a range of lung-function trajectories exist in the population. Below average trajectories are associated with respiratory, cardiovascular, metabolic, and mental health comorbidities, as well as with premature death. This Review presents progressive research into lung-function trajectories and assists the implementation of this knowledge in clinical practice as an innovative approach to detect poor lung health early, monitor respiratory disease progression, and promote lung health. Specifically, we propose that, similar to paediatric height and weight charts used globally to monitor children's growth, lung-function charts could be used for both children and adults to monitor lung health status across the life course. To achieve this proposal, we introduce our free online Lung Function Tracker tool. Finally, we discuss challenges and opportunities for effective implementation of the trajectory concept at population level and outline an agenda for crucial research needed to support such implementation.

FEV1Q: a race-neutral approach to assessing lung function.

BACKGROUND: Forced expiratory volume in 1 s quotient (FEV1Q) is a simple approach to spirometry interpretation that compares measured lung function to a lower boundary. This study evaluated how well FEV1Q predicts survival compared with current interpretation methods and whether race impacts FEV1Q. METHODS: White and Black adults with complete spirometry and mortality data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III and the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database for lung transplant referrals were included. FEV1Q was calculated as FEV1 divided by 0.4 L for females or 0.5 L for males. Cumulative distributions of FEV1 were compared across races. Cox proportional hazards models tested mortality risk from FEV1Q adjusting for age, sex, height, smoking, income and among UNOS individuals, referral diagnosis. Harrell's C-statistics were compared between absolute FEV1, FEV1Q, FEV1/height2, FEV1 z-scores and FEV1 % predicted. Analyses were stratified by race. RESULTS: Among 7182 individuals from NHANES III and 7149 from UNOS, 1907 (27%) and 991 (14%), respectively, were Black. The lower boundary FEV1 values did not differ between Black and White individuals in either population (FEV1 first percentile difference ≤0.01 L; p>0.05). Decreasing FEV1Q was associated with increasing hazard ratio (HR) for mortality (NHANES III HR 1.33 (95% CI 1.28-1.39) and UNOS HR 1.18 (95% CI 1.12-1.23)). The associations were not confounded nor modified by race. Discriminative power was highest for FEV1Q compared with alternative FEV1 approaches in both Black and White individuals. CONCLUSIONS: FEV1Q is an intuitive and simple race-neutral approach to interpreting FEV1 that predicts survival better than current alternative methods.

ERS technical standard: Global Lung Function Initiative reference values for exhaled nitric oxide fraction (F ENO50 ).

BACKGROUND: Elevated exhaled nitric oxide fraction at a flow rate of 50 mL·s-1 (F ENO50 ) is an important indicator of T-helper 2-driven airway inflammation and may aid clinicians in the diagnosis and monitoring of asthma. This study aimed to derive Global Lung Function Initiative reference equations and the upper limit of normal for F ENO50 . METHODS: Available individual F ENO50 data were collated and harmonised using consensus-derived variables and definitions. Data collected from individuals who met the harmonised definition of "healthy" were analysed using the generalised additive models of location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) technique. RESULTS: Data were retrospectively collated from 34 782 individuals from 34 sites in 15 countries, of whom 8022 met the definition of healthy (19 sites, 11 countries). Overall, height, age and sex only explained 12% of the between-subject variability of F ENO50 (R2=0.12). F ENO device was neccessary as a predictor of F ENO50 , such that the healthy range of values and the upper limit of normal varied depending on which device was used. The range of F ENO50 values observed in healthy individuals was also very wide, and the heterogeneity was partially explained by the device used. When analysing a subset of data in which F ENO50 was measured using the same device and a stricter definition of health (n=1027), between-site heterogeneity remained. CONCLUSION: Available F ENO50 data collected from different sites using different protocols and devices were too variable to develop a single all-age reference equation. Further standardisation of F ENO devices and measurement are required before population reference values might be derived.

A randomised trial of oral prednisone for cystic fibrosis pulmonary exacerbation treatment.

BACKGROUND: Elevated markers of systemic and pulmonary inflammation are associated with failure to recover lung function following pulmonary exacerbations in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). Our aim was to determine whether adjuvant oral prednisone treatment would improve recovery of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) % pred in CF pulmonary exacerbations not responding to antibiotic therapy. METHODS: This was a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in pwCF treated with intravenous antibiotics for a pulmonary exacerbation. At day 7, those who had not returned to >90% baseline FEV1 % pred were randomised to adjuvant prednisone 1 mg·kg-1 twice daily (maximum 60 mg·day-1) or placebo for 7 days. The primary outcome was the difference in proportion of subjects who recovered >90% baseline FEV1 % pred at day 14 of i.v. antibiotic therapy. RESULTS: 173 subjects were enrolled, with 76 randomised. 50% of subjects in the prednisone group recovered baseline FEV1 on day 14 compared with 39% of subjects in the placebo group (difference of 11%, 95% CI -11-34%; p=0.34). The mean±sd change in FEV1 % pred from day 7 to day 14 was 6.8±8.8% predicted in the prednisone group and 4.6±6.9% predicted in the placebo group (mean difference 2.2% predicted, 95% CI -1.5-5.9%; p=0.24). Time to subsequent exacerbation was not prolonged in prednisone-treated subjects (hazard ratio 0.83, 95% CI 0.45-1.53; p=0.54). CONCLUSIONS: This study failed to detect a difference in FEV1 % pred recovery between adjuvant oral prednisone and placebo treatment in pwCF not responding at day 7 of i.v. antibiotic therapy for pulmonary exacerbations.

Lung function decline is mitigated following liver transplantation in people with cystic fibrosis: A retrospective cohort study.

There is paucity of literature on the health outcomes following liver transplantation (LT) in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). We aim to evaluate changes in lung function following LT in pwCF. We performed a retrospective cohort study of pwCF who underwent LT between 1987 and 2019 in the United States and Canada. Simultaneous lung-liver transplants and individuals who had lung transplant prior to LT were excluded. We analyzed pre-LT and post-LT percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second, body mass index, rates of pulmonary exacerbation, and post-LT overall survival. A total of 402 LT recipients were included. The median age of transplant was 14.9 years and 69.7% of the transplants were performed in children less than 18 years old. The rate of decline in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second was attenuated after LT from -2.2% to -0.7% predicted per year with a difference of 1.5% predicted per year (95% CI, 0.8, 2.2; p < 0.001). Following LT, the rate of decline in body mass index was reduced, and there were fewer pulmonary exacerbations (0.6 pre vs. 0.4 post; rate ratio 0.7, p < 0.01). The median survival time post-transplant was 13.9 years and the overall probability of survival at 5 years was 77.6%. Those with higher lung function pre-LT had a lower risk of death post-LT, and those with genotypes other than F508 deletion had worse survival. LT in pwCF occurs most often in children and adolescents and is associated with a slower rate of decline in lung function and nutritional status, and a reduction in pulmonary exacerbations.

A Race-neutral Approach to the Interpretation of Lung Function Measurements.

Rationale: The use of self-reported race and ethnicity to interpret lung function measurements has historically assumed that the observed differences in lung function between racial and ethnic groups were because of thoracic cavity size differences relative to standing height. Very few studies have considered the influence of environmental and social determinants on pulmonary function. Consequently, the use of race and ethnicity-specific reference equations may further marginalize disadvantaged populations. Objectives: To develop a race-neutral reference equation for spirometry interpretation. Methods: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III data (n = 6,984) were reanalyzed with sitting height and the Cormic index to investigate whether body proportions were better predictors of lung function than race and ethnicity. Furthermore, the original GLI (Global Lung Function Initiative) data (n = 74,185) were reanalyzed with inverse-probability weights to create race-neutral GLI global (2022) equations. Measurements and Main Results: The inclusion of sitting height slightly improved the statistical precision of reference equations compared with using standing height alone but did not explain observed differences in spirometry between the NHANES III race and ethnic groups. GLI global (2022) equations, which do not require the selection of race and ethnicity, had a similar fit to the GLI 2012 "other" equations and wider limits of normal. Conclusions: The use of a single global spirometry equation reflects the wide range of lung function observed within and between populations. Given the inherent limitations of any reference equation, the use of GLI global equations to interpret spirometry requires careful consideration of an individual's symptoms and medical history when used to make clinical, employment, and insurance decisions.

Race and Ethnicity in Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation: An Official American Thoracic Society Statement.

Current American Thoracic Society (ATS) standards promote the use of race and ethnicity-specific reference equations for pulmonary function test (PFT) interpretation. There is rising concern that the use of race and ethnicity in PFT interpretation contributes to a false view of fixed differences between races and may mask the effects of differential exposures. This use of race and ethnicity may contribute to health disparities by norming differences in pulmonary function. In the United States and globally, race serves as a social construct that is based on appearance and reflects social values, structures, and practices. Classification of people into racial and ethnic groups differs geographically and temporally. These considerations challenge the notion that racial and ethnic categories have biological meaning and question the use of race in PFT interpretation. The ATS convened a diverse group of clinicians and investigators for a workshop in 2021 to evaluate the use of race and ethnicity in PFT interpretation. Review of evidence published since then that challenges current practice and continued discussion concluded with a recommendation to replace race and ethnicity-specific equations with race-neutral average reference equations, which must be accompanied with a broader re-evaluation of how PFTs are used to make clinical, employment, and insurance decisions. There was also a call to engage key stakeholders not represented in this workshop and a statement of caution regarding the uncertain effects and potential harms of this change. Other recommendations include continued research and education to understand the impact of the change, to improve the evidence for the use of PFTs in general, and to identify modifiable risk factors for reduced pulmonary function.

The total-breath method yields higher values of DLCO and TLC than the conventional method.

BACKGROUND: The 2017 ATS/ERS technical standard for measuring the single-breath diffusing capacity (DLCO) proposed the "rapid-gas-analyzer" (RGA) or, equivalently, "total-breath" (TB) method for the determination of total lung capacity (TLC). In this study, we compared DLCO and TLC values estimated using the TB and conventional method, and how estimated TLC using these two methods compared to that determined by body plethysmography. METHOD: A total of 95 people with COPD (GOLD grades 1-4) and 23 healthy subjects were studied using the EasyOne Pro (ndd Medical Technologies, Switzerland) and Master Screen Body (Vyaire Medical, Höchberg, Germany). RESULTS: On average the TB method resulted in higher values of DLCO (mean ± SD Δ = 0.469 ± 0.267; 95%CI: 0.420; 0.517 mmol*min-1*kPa-1) and TLC (Δ = 0.495 ± 0.371; 95%CI: 0.427; 0.562 L) compared with the conventional method. In healthy subjects the ratio between TB and conventional DLCO was close to one. TLC estimated using both methods was lower than that determined by plethysmography. The difference was smaller for the TB method (Δ = 1.064 ± 0.740; 95%CI: 0.929; 1.199 L) compared with the conventional method (Δ = 1.558 ± 0.940; 95%CI: 1.387; 1.739 L). TLC from body plethysmography could be estimated as a function of TB TLC and FEV1 Z-Score with an accuracy (normalized root mean square difference) of 9.1%. CONCLUSION: The total-breath method yielded higher values of DLCO and TLC than the conventional analysis, especially in subjects with COPD. TLC from the total-breath method can also be used to estimate plethysmographic TLC with better accuracy than the conventional method. The study is registered under clinicaltrial.gov NCT04531293.

Evaluation of clinically relevant changes in the lung clearance index in children with cystic fibrosis and healthy controls.

BACKGROUND: The limits of reproducibility of the lung clearance index (LCI) are higher in children with cystic fibrosis (CF) compared with healthy children, and it is currently unclear what defines a clinically meaningful change. METHODS: In a prospective multisite observational study of children with CF and healthy controls (HCs), we measured LCI, FEV1% predicted and symptom scores at quarterly visits over 2 years. Two reviewers performed a detailed review of visits to evaluate the frequency that between visit LCI changes outside ±10%, ±15%, ±20% represented a clinically relevant signal. In the setting of acute respiratory symptoms, we used a generalised estimating equation model, with a logit link function to determine the ability of LCI worsening at different thresholds to predict failure of lung function recovery at follow-up. RESULTS: Clinically relevant LCI changes outside ±10%, ±15% and ±20% were observed at 25.7%, 15.0% and 8.3% of CF visits (n=744), respectively. The proportions of LCI changes categorised as noise, reflecting biological variability, were comparable between CF and HC at the 10% (CF 9.9% vs HC 13.0%), 15% (CF 4.3% vs HC 3.1%) and 20% (CF 2.4% vs HC 1.0%) thresholds. Compared with symptomatic CF visits without a worsening in LCI, events with ≥10% LCI increase were more likely to fail to recover baseline LCI at follow-up. CONCLUSION: The limits of reproducibility of the LCI in healthy children can be used to detect clinically relevant changes and thus inform clinical care in children with CF.

Beyond borders: cystic fibrosis survival between Australia, Canada, France and New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: Life expectancy for people with cystic fibrosis (CF) varies considerably both within and between countries. The objective of this study was to compare survival among countries with single-payer healthcare systems while accounting for markers of disease severity. METHODS: This cohort study used data from established national CF registries in Australia, Canada, France and New Zealand from 2015 to 2019. Median age of survival for each of the four countries was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare risk of death between Canada, France and Australia after adjusting for prognostic factors. Due to low number of deaths, New Zealand was not included in final adjusted models. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2019, a total of 14 842 people (3537 Australia, 4434 Canada, 6411 France and 460 New Zealand) were included. The median age of survival was highest in France 65.9 years (95% CI: 59.8 to 76.0) versus 53.3 years (95% CI: 48.9 to 59.8) for Australia, 55.4 years (95% CI: 51.3 to 59.2) for Canada and 54.8 years (95% CI: 40.7 to not available) for New Zealand. After adjusting for individual-level factors, the risk of death was significantly higher in Canada (HR 1.85, 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.32; p<0.001) and Australia (HR 2.08, 95% CI: 1.64 to 2.64; p<0.001) versus France. INTERPRETATION: We observed significantly higher survival in France compared with countries with single-payer healthcare systems. The median age of survival in France exceeded 60 years of age despite having the highest proportion of underweight patients which may be due to differences in availability of transplant.

Real-world effectiveness of airway clearance techniques in children with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is commonly characterised by thick respiratory mucus. From diagnosis, people with CF are prescribed daily physiotherapy, including airway clearance techniques (ACTs). ACTs consume a large proportion of treatment time, yet the efficacy and effectiveness of ACTs are poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate associations between the quality and quantity of ACTs and lung function in children and young people with CF. METHODS: Project Fizzyo, a longitudinal observational cohort study in the UK, used remote monitoring with electronic pressure sensors attached to four different commercial ACT devices to record real-time, breath-by-breath pressure data during usual ACTs undertaken at home over 16 months in 145 children. ACTs were categorised either as conformant or not with current ACT recommendations based on breath pressure and length measurements, or as missed treatments if not recorded. Daily, weekly and monthly associations between ACT category and lung function were investigated using linear mixed effects regression models adjusting for clinical confounders. RESULTS: After exclusions, 45 224 ACT treatments (135 individuals) and 21 069 days without treatments (141 individuals) were analysed. The mean±sd age of participants was 10.2±2.9 years. Conformant ACTs (21%) had significantly higher forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) (mean effect size 0.23 (95% CI 0.19-0.27) FEV1 % pred per treatment) than non-conformant (79%) or missed treatments. There was no benefit from non-conformant or missed treatments and no significant difference in FEV1 between them (mean effect size 0.02 (95% CI -0.01-0.05) FEV1 % pred per treatment). CONCLUSIONS: ACTs are beneficial when performed as recommended, but most people use techniques that do not improve lung function. Work is needed to monitor and improve ACT quality and to increase the proportion of people doing effective airway clearance at home.

Cystic fibrosis survival outcomes following second lung transplant: The north American experience.

INTRODUCTION: Re-transplant is an option for those who develop end-stage lung disease due to rejection; however, little data exist following re-transplantation in cystic fibrosis (CF). METHODS: Data from the Canadian CF Registry and US CF Foundation Patient Registry supplemented with data from United Network for Organ Sharing were used. Individuals who underwent a 2nd lung transplant between 2005 and 2019 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the probability of survival post-second transplant at 1, 3, and 5-years. RESULTS: Of those people who were waitlisted for a second transplant (N = 818), a total of 254 (31%) died waiting, 395 (48%) were transplanted and 169 (21%) people were alive on the waitlist. Median survival time after 2nd lung transplant was 3.3 years (95% CI: 2.8-4.1). The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 77.4% (95% CI: 73.1-82%), 52% (95% CI: 46.7-58%) and 39.4% (95% CI: 34.1-45.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Survival following second lung transplant in CF patients is lower than estimates following the first transplant. Over half of subjects who are potentially eligible for a second transplant die without receiving a second organ. This warrants further investigation.

Exploring flexible polynomial regression as a method to align routine clinical outcomes with daily data capture through remote technologies.

BACKGROUND: Clinical outcomes are normally captured less frequently than data from remote technologies, leaving a disparity in volumes of data from these different sources. To align these data, flexible polynomial regression was investigated to estimate personalised trends for a continuous outcome over time. METHODS: Using electronic health records, flexible polynomial regression models inclusive of a 1st up to a 4th order were calculated to predict forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) over time in children with cystic fibrosis. The model with the lowest AIC for each individual was selected as the best fit. The optimal parameters for using flexible polynomials were investigated by comparing the measured FEV1 values to the values given by the individualised polynomial. RESULTS: There were 8,549 FEV1 measurements from 267 individuals. For individuals with > 15 measurements (n = 178), the polynomial predictions worked well; however, with < 15 measurements (n = 89), the polynomial models were conditional on the number of measurements and time between measurements. The method was validated using BMI in the same population of children. CONCLUSION: Flexible polynomials can be used to extrapolate clinical outcome measures at frequent time intervals to align with daily data captured through remote technologies.

Impact of a high emergency lung transplantation programme for cystic fibrosis in France: insight from a comparison with Canada.

BACKGROUND: France implemented a high emergency lung transplantation (HELT) programme nationally in 2007. A similar programme does not exist in Canada. The objectives of our study were to compare health outcomes within France as well as between Canada and France before and after the HELT programme in a population with cystic fibrosis (CF). METHODS: This population-based cohort study utilised data from the French and Canadian CF registries. A cumulative incidence curve assessed time to transplant with death without transplant as competing risks. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate post-transplant survival. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2016, there were 1075 (13.0%) people with CF in France and 555 (10.2%) people with CF in Canada who underwent lung transplantation. The proportion of lung transplants increased in France after the HELT programme was initiated (4.5% versus 10.1%), whereas deaths pre-transplant decreased from 85.3% in the pre-HELT period to 57.1% in the post-HELT period. Between 2008 and 2016, people in France were significantly more likely to receive a transplant (hazard ratio (HR) 1.56, 95% CI 1.37-1.77; p<0.001) than die (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.66; p<0.001) compared with Canada. Post-transplant survival was similar between the countries, and there was no difference in survival when comparing pre- and post-HELT periods in France. CONCLUSIONS: Following the implementation of the HELT programme, people living with CF in France were more likely to receive a transplant than die. Post-transplant survival in the post-HELT period in France did not change compared with the pre-HELT period, despite potentially sicker patients being transplanted, and was comparable to Canada.

ERS/ATS technical standard on interpretive strategies for routine lung function tests.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate interpretation of pulmonary function tests (PFTs) involves the classification of observed values as within/outside the normal range based on a reference population of healthy individuals, integrating knowledge of physiological determinants of test results into functional classifications and integrating patterns with other clinical data to estimate prognosis. In 2005, the American Thoracic Society (ATS) and European Respiratory Society (ERS) jointly adopted technical standards for the interpretation of PFTs. We aimed to update the 2005 recommendations and incorporate evidence from recent literature to establish new standards for PFT interpretation. METHODS: This technical standards document was developed by an international joint Task Force, appointed by the ERS/ATS with multidisciplinary expertise in conducting and interpreting PFTs and developing international standards. A comprehensive literature review was conducted and published evidence was reviewed. RESULTS: Recommendations for the choice of reference equations and limits of normal of the healthy population to identify individuals with unusually low or high results are discussed. Interpretation strategies for bronchodilator responsiveness testing, limits of natural changes over time and severity are also updated. Interpretation of measurements made by spirometry, lung volumes and gas transfer are described as they relate to underlying pathophysiology with updated classification protocols of common impairments. CONCLUSIONS: Interpretation of PFTs must be complemented with clinical expertise and consideration of the inherent biological variability of the test and the uncertainty of the test result to ensure appropriate interpretation of an individual's lung function measurements.

Lung Clearance Index to Track Acute Respiratory Events in School-Age Children with Cystic Fibrosis.

Rationale: The lung clearance index (LCI) is responsive to acute respiratory events in preschool children with cystic fibrosis (CF), but its utility to identify and manage these events in school-age children with CF is not well defined.Objectives: To describe changes in LCI with acute respiratory events in school-age children with CF.Methods: In a multisite prospective observational study, the LCI and FEV1 were measured quarterly and during acute respiratory events. Linear regression was used to compare relative changes in LCI and FEV1% predicted at acute respiratory events. Logistic regression was used to compare the odds of a significant worsening in LCI and FEV1% predicted at acute respiratory events. Generalized estimating equation models were used to account for repeated events in the same subject.Measurements and Main Results: A total of 98 children with CF were followed for 2 years. There were 265 acute respiratory events. Relative to a stable baseline measure, LCI (+8.9%; 95% confidence interval, 6.5 to 11.3) and FEV1% predicted (-6.6%; 95% confidence interval, -8.3 to -5.0) worsened with acute respiratory events. A greater proportion of events had a worsening in LCI compared with a decline in FEV1% predicted (41.7% vs. 30.0%; P = 0.012); 53.9% of events were associated with worsening in LCI or FEV1. Neither LCI nor FEV1 recovered to baseline values at the next follow-up visit.Conclusions: In school-age children with CF, the LCI is a sensitive measure to assess lung function worsening with acute respiratory events and incomplete recovery at follow-up. In combination, the LCI and FEV1 capture a higher proportion of events with functional impairment.

Patterns of Symptom Tracking by Caregivers and Patients With Dementia and Mild Cognitive Impairment: Cross-sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) experience a wide variety of symptoms and challenges that trouble them. To address this heterogeneity, numerous standardized tests are used for diagnosis and prognosis. myGoalNav Dementia is a web-based tool that allows individuals with impairments and their caregivers to identify and track outcomes of greatest importance to them, which may be a less arbitrary and more sensitive way of capturing meaningful change. OBJECTIVE: We aim to explore the most frequent and important symptoms and challenges reported by caregivers and people with dementia and MCI and how this varies according to disease severity. METHODS: This cross-sectional study involved 3909 web-based myGoalNav users (mostly caregivers of people with dementia or MCI) who completed symptom profiles between 2006 and 2019. To make a symptom profile, users selected their most personally meaningful or troublesome dementia-related symptoms to track over time. Users were also asked to rank their chosen symptoms from least to most important, which we called the symptom potency. As the stage of disease for these web-based users was unknown, we applied a supervised staging algorithm, previously trained on clinician-derived data, to classify each profile into 1 of 4 stages: MCI and mild, moderate, and severe dementia. Across these stages, we compared symptom tracking frequency, symptom potency, and the relationship between frequency and potency. RESULTS: Applying the staging algorithm to the 3909 user profiles resulted in 917 (23.46%) MCI, 1596 (40.83%) mild dementia, 514 (13.15%) moderate dementia, and 882 (22.56%) severe dementia profiles. We found that the most frequent symptoms in MCI and mild dementia profiles were similar and comprised early hallmarks of dementia (eg, recent memory and language difficulty). As the stage increased to moderate and severe, the most frequent symptoms were characteristic of loss of independent function (eg, incontinence) and behavioral problems (eg, aggression). The most potent symptoms were similar between stages and generally reflected disruptions in everyday life (eg, problems with hobbies or games, travel, and looking after grandchildren). Symptom frequency was negatively correlated with potency at all stages, and the strength of this relationship increased with increasing disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasize the importance of patient-centricity in MCI and dementia studies and illustrate the valuable real-world evidence that can be collected with digital tools. Here, the most frequent symptoms across the stages reflected our understanding of the typical disease progression. However, the symptoms that were ranked as most personally important by users were generally among the least frequently selected. Through individualization, patient-centered instruments such as myGoalNav can complement standardized measures by capturing these infrequent but potent outcomes.

Unsupervised phenotypic clustering for determining clinical status in children with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a multisystem disease in which the assessment of disease severity based on lung function alone may not be appropriate. The aim of the study was to develop a comprehensive machine-learning algorithm to assess clinical status independent of lung function in children. METHODS: A comprehensive prospectively collected clinical database (Toronto, Canada) was used to apply unsupervised cluster analysis. The defined clusters were then compared by current and future lung function, risk of future hospitalisation, and risk of future pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. A k-nearest-neighbours (KNN) algorithm was used to prospectively assign clusters. The methods were validated in a paediatric clinical CF dataset from Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH). RESULTS: The optimal cluster model identified four (A-D) phenotypic clusters based on 12 200 encounters from 530 individuals. Two clusters (A and B) consistent with mild disease were identified with high forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), and low risk of both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. Two clusters (C and D) consistent with severe disease were also identified with low FEV1. Cluster D had the shortest time to both hospitalisation and pulmonary exacerbation treated with oral antibiotics. The outcomes were consistent in 3124 encounters from 171 children at GOSH. The KNN cluster allocation error rate was low, at 2.5% (Toronto) and 3.5% (GOSH). CONCLUSION: Machine learning derived phenotypic clusters can predict disease severity independent of lung function and could be used in conjunction with functional measures to predict future disease trajectories in CF patients.

Official ERS technical standard: Global Lung Function Initiative reference values for static lung volumes in individuals of European ancestry.

BACKGROUND: Measurement of lung volumes across the life course is critical to the diagnosis and management of lung disease. The aim of the study was to use the Global Lung Function Initiative methodology to develop all-age multi-ethnic reference equations for lung volume indices determined using body plethysmography and gas dilution techniques. METHODS: Static lung volume data from body plethysmography and gas dilution techniques from individual, healthy participants were collated. Reference equations were derived using the LMS (lambda-mu-sigma) method and the generalised additive models of location shape and scale programme in R. The impact of measurement technique, equipment type and being overweight or obese on the derived lung volume reference ranges was assessed. RESULTS: Data from 17 centres were submitted and reference equations were derived from 7190 observations from participants of European ancestry between the ages of 5 and 80 years. Data from non-European ancestry populations were insufficient to develop multi-ethnic equations. Measurements of functional residual capacity (FRC) collected using plethysmography and dilution techniques showed physiologically insignificant differences and were combined. Sex-specific reference equations including height and age were developed for total lung capacity (TLC), FRC, residual volume (RV), inspiratory capacity, vital capacity, expiratory reserve volume and RV/TLC. The derived equations were similar to previously published equations for FRC and TLC, with closer agreement during childhood and adolescence than in adulthood. CONCLUSIONS: Global Lung Function Initiative reference equations for lung volumes provide a generalisable standard for reporting and interpretation of lung volumes measurements in individuals of European ancestry.

Determinants of lung disease progression measured by lung clearance index in children with cystic fibrosis.

The lung clearance index (LCI) measured by the multiple breath washout (MBW) test is sensitive to early lung disease in children with cystic fibrosis. While LCI worsens during the preschool years in cystic fibrosis, there is limited evidence to clarify whether this continues during the early school age years, and whether the trajectory of disease progression as measured by LCI is modifiable.A cohort of children (healthy and cystic fibrosis) previously studied for 12 months as preschoolers were followed during school age (5-10 years). LCI was measured every 3 months for a period of 24 months using the Exhalyzer D MBW nitrogen washout device. Linear mixed effects regression was used to model changes in LCI over time.A total of 582 MBW measurements in 48 healthy subjects and 845 measurements in 64 cystic fibrosis subjects were available. The majority of children with cystic fibrosis had elevated LCI at the first preschool and first school age visits (57.8% (37 out of 64)), whereas all but six had normal forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) values at the first school age visit. During school age years, the course of disease was stable (-0.02 units·year-1 (95% CI -0.14-0.10). LCI measured during preschool years, as well as the rate of LCI change during this time period, were important determinants of LCI and FEV1, at school age.Preschool LCI was a major determinant of school age LCI; these findings further support that the preschool years are critical for early intervention strategies.