A randomized phase II study of metronomic cyclophosphamide and methotrexate (CM) with or without bevacizumab in patients with advanced breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Metronomic chemotherapy has the potential to offer tumor control with reduced toxicity when compared to standard dose chemotherapy in patients with metastatic breast cancer. As metronomic chemotherapy may target the tumor microvasculature, it has the potential for synergistic effects with antiangiogenic agents such as the VEGF-A inhibitor bevacizumab. METHODS: In this randomized phase II study, patients with metastatic breast cancer were randomized to receive metronomic oral cyclophosphamide and methotrexate (CM) combined with bevacizumab (Arm A) or CM alone (Arm B). The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and safety and tolerability. RESULTS: A total of 55 patients were enrolled, with 34 patients treated on Arm A and 21 patients treated on Arm B. The ORR was modestly higher in Arm A (26%) than in Arm B (10%); neither met the 40% cutoff for further clinical evaluation. The median time to progression (TTP) was 5.52 months (3.22-13.6) on Arm A and 1.82 months (1.54-6.70) on Arm B (log-rank p = 0.008). The median OS was 29.6 months (17.2-NA) on Arm A and 16.2 months (15.7-NA) on Arm B (log-rank p = 0.7). Common all-grade adverse events in both arms included nausea, fatigue, and elevated AST. CONCLUSION: The combination of metronomic CM with bevacizumab significantly improved PFS over CM alone, although there was no significant difference in OS. Oral metronomic chemotherapy alone has limited activity in advanced breast cancer. CLINICALTRIALS: gov Identifier: NCT00083031. Date of Registration: May 17, 2004.

Adjuvant paclitaxel and trastuzumab for node-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer: final 10-year analysis of the open-label, single-arm, phase 2 APT trial.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to report on long-term outcomes of patients with small, node-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer treated with adjuvant paclitaxel and trastuzumab and to establish potential biomarkers to predict prognosis. METHODS: In this open-label, single-arm, phase 2 study, patients aged 18 years or older, with small (≤3 cm), node-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer, and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1, were recruited from 16 institutions in 13 cities in the USA. Eligible patients were given intravenous paclitaxel (80 mg/m2) with intravenous trastuzumab (loading dose of 4 mg/kg, subsequent doses 2 mg/kg) weekly for 12 weeks, followed by trastuzumab (weekly at 2 mg/kg or once every 3 weeks at 6 mg/kg) for 40 weeks to complete a full year of trastuzumab. The primary endpoint was 3-year invasive disease-free survival. Here, we report 10-year survival outcomes, assessed in all participants who received protocol-defined treatment, with exploratory analyses using the HER2DX genomic tool. This study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00542451, and is closed to accrual. FINDINGS: Between Oct 29, 2007, and Sept 3, 2010, 410 patients were enrolled and 406 were given adjuvant paclitaxel and trastuzumab and included in the analysis. Mean age at enrolment was 55 years (SD 10·5), 405 (99·8%) of 406 patients were female and one (0·2%) was male, 350 (86·2%) were White, 28 (6·9%) were Black or African American, and 272 (67·0%) had hormone receptor-positive disease. After a median follow-up of 10·8 years (IQR 7·1-11·4), among 406 patients included in the analysis population, we observed 31 invasive disease-free survival events, of which six (19·4%) were locoregional ipsilateral recurrences, nine (29·0%) were new contralateral breast cancers, six (19·4%) were distant recurrences, and ten (32·3%) were all-cause deaths. 10-year invasive disease-free survival was 91·3% (95% CI 88·3-94·4), 10-year recurrence-free interval was 96·3% (95% CI 94·3-98·3), 10-year overall survival was 94·3% (95% CI 91·8-96·8), and 10-year breast cancer-specific survival was 98·8% (95% CI 97·6-100). HER2DX risk score as a continuous variable was significantly associated with invasive disease-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] per 10-unit increment 1·24 [95% CI 1·00-1·52]; p=0·047) and recurrence-free interval (1·45 [1·09-1·93]; p=0·011). INTERPRETATION: Adjuvant paclitaxel and trastuzumab is a reasonable treatment standard for patients with small, node-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer. The HER2DX genomic tool might help to refine the prognosis for this population. FUNDING: Genentech.

Blood-based biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma screening: Approaching the end of the ultrasound era?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, in part because of inadequate early detection strategies. Current recommendations for screening consist of semi-annual abdominal ultrasound with or without serum alpha-fetoprotein in patients with cirrhosis and in demographic subgroups with chronic hepatitis B infection. However, this screening strategy has several deficiencies, including suboptimal early-stage sensitivity, false positives with subsequent harms, inter-operator variability in ultrasound performance, and poor adherence. A blood-based biomarker with sufficient performance characteristics for early-stage disease could overcome several of these barriers to improving early-stage detection. However, prior to use of a biomarker for screening in clinical practice, a multistep validation is required in order to understand test performance characteristics. These steps include case-control validation, followed by validation in prospective cohorts of at-risk patients. Until recently, we lacked adequate longitudinal validation cohorts for early HCC detection; however, several validation cohorts are maturing, including the Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Study and the Texas Hepatocellular Carcinoma Consortium, which will allow for rigorous validation of candidate biomarkers. While there are several promising biomarkers awaiting validation, in order to supplant abdominal ultrasound, a candidate biomarker must show adequate test performance and overcome practical hurdles to ensure adoption in clinical practice. The promise of blood-based biomarkers is significant, especially given the limitations of ultrasound-based screening; however, they require adequate validation and several logistical obstacles must be overcome prior to clinical implementation.

Detecting Early Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using Longitudinal α-Fetoprotein Screening.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study aimed to evaluate the parametric empirical Bayes (PEB) longitudinal α-fetoprotein (AFP) screening algorithm performance in patients with hepatitis B compared with AFP surveillance with a fixed threshold. METHODS: The serum AFP of 588 patients was measured. Patients were screened at least once every 6 months with AFP and ultrasound or computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging. Age, aspartate aminotransferase level, alanine aminotransferase level, platelet count, total bilirubin, prothrombin time, and hepatitis B virus DNA level were adjusted in the PEB algorithm. All variables were abstracted at the time of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis for cases or last follow-up for controls and at months -6, -12, -18, -24, -30, -36, -42, -48, and -54, up to month -60. RESULTS: Overall, 62 (10.5%) HCC cases developed during a median follow-up of 52.7 months. Moreover, 55 (88.7%) cases were detected at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 or A. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the patient-level true positive rate against the screening-level false positive rate was significantly higher in the PEB algorithm than that in AFP alone (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.94 vs 0.86; P < .0005). At 80% specificity, the PEB algorithm significantly improved the patient-level true positive rate within 2 years prior to HCC diagnosis compared with AFP alone (80.6% vs 67.7%, respectively; P = .0485; adjusted P = .1663). The PEB algorithm more effectively enabled first positive screening. CONCLUSIONS: The longitudinal assessment of AFP by the PEB algorithm improved HCC screening performance compared to AFP alone in patients with hepatitis B. This algorithm may improve HCC screening without additional cost or inconvenience to patients.

The Performance of AFP, AFP-3, DCP as Biomarkers for Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC): A Phase 3 Biomarker Study in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: α-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) in combination or in GALAD (Gender, Age, AFP-L3, AFP, and DCP) were tested for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in retrospective cohort and case-control studies. However, there is a paucity of prospective data and no phase III biomarker studies from North American populations. METHODS: We conducted a prospective specimen collection, retrospective blinded evaluation (PRoBE) cohort study in patients with cirrhosis enrolled in a 6-monthly surveillance with liver imaging and AFP. Blood samples were prospectively collected every 6 months and analyzed in a retrospective blinded fashion. True positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) for any or early HCC were calculated within 6, 12, and 24 months of HCC diagnosis based on published thresholds for biomarkers individually, in combination and in GALAD and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Screening (HES) scores. We calculated the area under the receiver operating curve and estimated TPR based on an optimal threshold at a fixed FPR of 10%. RESULTS: The analysis was conducted in a cohort of 534 patients; 50 developed HCC (68% early) and 484 controls with negative imaging. GALAD had the highest TPR (63.6%, 73.8%, and 71.4% for all HCC, and 53.8%, 63.3%, and 61.8 % for early HCC within 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively) but an FPR of 21.5% to 22.9%. However, there were no differences in the area under the receiver operating curve among GALAD, HES, AFP-L3, or DCP. At a fixed 10% FPR, TPR for GALAD dropped (42.4%, 45.2%, and 46.9%) and was not different from HES (36.4%, 40.5%, and 40.8%) or AFP-L3 alone (39.4%, 45.2%, and 44.9%). CONCLUSIONS: In a prospective cohort phase III biomarker study, GALAD was associated with a considerable improvement in sensitivity for HCC detection but an increase in false-positive results. GALAD performance was modest and not different from AFP-L3 alone or HES.

GALAD demonstrates high sensitivity for HCC surveillance in a cohort of patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Most patients with HCC are diagnosed at a late stage, highlighting the need for more accurate surveillance tests. Although biomarkers for HCC early detection have promising data in Phase 2 case-control studies, evaluation in cohort studies is critical prior to adoption in practice. We leveraged a prospective cohort of patients with Child-Pugh A or B cirrhosis who were followed until incident HCC, liver transplantation, death, or loss to follow-up. We used a prospective specimen collection, retrospective, blinded evaluation design for biomarker evaluation of GALAD (gender × age × log alpha-fetoprotein [AFP] × des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin), longitudinal GALAD, and the HCC Early Detection Screening (HES) algorithm-compared to AFP-using patient-level sensitivity and screening-level specificity. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Of 397 patients with cirrhosis, 42 developed HCC (57.1% early stage) over a median of 2.0 years. Longitudinal GALAD had the highest c-statistic for HCC detection (0.85; 95% CI, 0.77-0.92) compared to single-time point GALAD (0.79; 95% CI, 0.71-0.87), AFP (0.77; 95% CI, 0.69-0.85), and HES (0.76; 95% CI, 0.67-0.83). When specificity was fixed at 90%, the sensitivity for HCC of single-time point and longitudinal GALAD was 54.8% and 66.7%, respectively, compared to 40.5% for AFP. Sensitivity for HCC detection was higher when restricted to patients with biomarker assessment within 6 months prior to HCC diagnosis, with the highest sensitivities observed for single-time point GALAD (72.0%) and longitudinal GALAD (64.0%), respectively. Sensitivity of single-time point and longitudinal GALAD for early-stage HCC was 53.8% and 69.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: GALAD demonstrated high sensitivity for HCC detection in a cohort of patients with cirrhosis. Validation of these results is warranted in large Phase 3 data sets.

Body weight changes and associated predictors in a prospective cohort of young breast cancer survivors.

BACKGROUND: Weight gain after a breast cancer diagnosis is common and is associated with inferior outcomes. Young survivors may be especially susceptible to weight changes given the impact of treatment on menopausal status. METHODS: The authors identified women who were diagnosed with stage 0 to III breast cancer at age 40 years or younger between 2006 and 2016 from a multicenter prospective cohort. Self-reported weight was collected at diagnosis and at 1 year and 3 years postdiagnosis. Tumor and treatment data were obtained from medical records and patient surveys. Multinomial logistic regression was used to identify the factors associated with weight gain (≥5%) or weight loss (≥5%) versus stable weight at 1 year and 3 years postdiagnosis. RESULTS: The cohort included 956 women with a median age of 37 years at diagnosis. Mean weight significantly increased over time from 66.54 ± 14.85 kg at baseline to 67.33 ± 15.53 and 67.77 ± 14.65 kg at 1 year and 3 years, respectively (p ≤ .001 for both comparisons). The proportion of women experiencing ≥5% weight gain increased from 24.8% at 1 year to 33.9% at 3 years. At 1 year, less self-perceived financial comfort, Black race, and stage III disease were significantly associated with weight gain; at 3 years, only less self-perceived financial comfort remained significant. Baseline overweight or obesity was significantly associated with weight loss at both time points. Chemotherapy, endocrine therapy, and treatment-related menopause were not associated with weight change. CONCLUSIONS: One third of young breast cancer survivors experienced clinically significant weight gain 3 years after diagnosis; however, treatment-related associations were not observed. Age-appropriate lifestyle interventions, including the reduction of financial barriers, are needed to prevent weight gain in this high-risk population.

Doylestown Plus and GALAD Demonstrate High Sensitivity for HCC Detection in Patients With Cirrhosis.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with early tumor detection and improved survival in patients with cirrhosis.1 Surveillance is performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound with or without α-fetoprotein (AFP); however, this strategy misses more than one-third of HCC at an early stage.2 These data highlight a need for novel surveillance strategies with higher accuracy for early HCC detection. GALAD and Doylestown Plus are novel biomarker panels that combine multiple biomarkers with patient demographic and clinical characteristics; both demonstrated promising accuracy in phase II case-control studies;3,4 however, case-control studies can overestimate biomarker performance, highlighting a need for phase III cohort and nested case-control studies.5 Our study aimed to compare multiple biomarkers (including AFP, GALAD, and Doylestown Plus) in a nested case-control study of patients with cirrhosis.

Outcomes after treatment of breast cancer during pregnancy including taxanes and/or granulocyte colony-stimulating factor use: findings from a multi-institutional retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines support comparable treatment for women diagnosed with breast cancer during pregnancy (PrBC) and nonpregnant women with limited case-specific modifications to ensure maternal-fetal safety. Experience during pregnancy with modern agents, such as taxanes or granulocyte colony-stimulating factors (GCSF), is limited. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively identified a multi-institutional cohort of PrBC between 1996 and 2020. Propensity score analyses with multiple imputation for missing variables were applied to determine the associations between chemotherapy exposures during pregnancy, with or without taxanes or GCSF, and a compound maternal-fetal outcome including spontaneous preterm birth, preterm premature rupture of membranes, chorioamnionitis, small for gestational age newborns, congenital malformation, or 5-min Apgar score < 7. RESULTS: Among 139 PrBC pregnancies, 82 (59.0%) were exposed to chemotherapy, including 26 (31.7%) to taxane and 18 (22.0%) to GCSF. Chemotherapy use, in general, and inclusion of taxane and/or GCSF, specifically, increased over time. Pregnancies resulting in live singleton births (n = 123) and exposed to chemotherapy were as likely to reach term as those that were not (59.5% vs. 63.6%, respectively, punadjusted = 0.85). Among women treated with chemotherapy, propensity score-matched odds ratios (OR) for the composite maternal-fetal outcome were not significantly increased with taxane (OR 1.24, 95% CI 0.27-5.72) or GCSF (OR 2.11, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.48-9.22) with similar effects in multiple imputation and sensitivity models. CONCLUSION: The judicious increased use of taxane chemotherapy and/or growth factor support during pregnancy was not associated with unfavorable short-term maternal-fetal outcomes. While these findings are reassuring, case numbers remain limited and continued surveillance of these patients and progeny is warranted.

Perceptions of patients and medical oncologists toward biospecimen donation in the setting of abnormal breast imaging findings.

PURPOSE: We sought to understand the attitudes of individuals with abnormal breast imaging findings prompting a diagnostic breast biopsy toward donation of blood, excised tissue, or percutaneous biospecimens for research, and to understand medical oncologists' attitudes toward research biospecimen collection in this population. METHODS: We included individuals who presented to a single academic medical center for a clinically indicated, image-guided, percutaneous breast biopsy. We administered a survey prior to knowledge of biopsy results to assess willingness to consider, entirely for research purposes, donating blood or excess excised breast tissue, or having additional biospecimens (AB) obtained during a clinically indicated percutaneous biopsy. We also surveyed breast medical oncologists from National Cancer Institute-designated cancer centers to assess attitudes toward approaching patients for biospecimen research. RESULTS: Overall, 53/63 patients responded to the survey; 70% would consider donating blood, 85% would consider donating excess excised breast tissue, and 32% would consider having AB obtained during a clinically indicated biopsy. Main motivating factors for considering AB included contributing to scientific knowledge and return of study or biopsy results, whereas anxiety and the potential discomfort were the main dissuading factors. Among 191 medical oncologists, most were very comfortable (59.2%), or somewhat comfortable (32.5%) asking patients to have AB obtained during a clinically indicated breast biopsy. Medical oncologists reported hesitancy to refer a patient for AB due to potential pain/discomfort, and other procedure risks. CONCLUSIONS: Only one-third of individuals with breast imaging findings would consider consenting to AB during a diagnostic biopsy, whereas most were open to donating blood or excess excised breast tissue. Most medical oncologists would be comfortable asking patients to have AB obtained during the biopsy. Understanding patients' and oncologists' baseline attitudes may inform the design and approach to breast biospecimen-based research.

A multivariate parametric empirical Bayes screening approach for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma using multiple longitudinal biomarkers.

The early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is critical to improving outcomes since advanced HCC has limited treatment options. Current guidelines recommend HCC ultrasound surveillance every 6 months in high-risk patients however the sensitivity for detecting early stage HCC in clinical practice is poor. Blood-based biomarkers are a promising direction since they are more easily standardized and less resource intensive. Combining of multiple biomarkers is more likely to achieve the sensitivity required for a clinically useful screening algorithm and the longitudinal trajectory of biomarkers contains valuable information that should be utilized. We propose a multivariate parametric empirical Bayes (mPEB) screening approach that defines personalized thresholds for each patient at each screening visit to identify significant deviations that trigger additional testing with more sensitive imaging. The Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) trial provides a valuable source of data to study HCC screening algorithms. We study the performance of the mPEB algorithm applied to serum α -fetoprotein, a widely used HCC surveillance biomarker, and des- γ carboxy prothrombin, an HCC risk biomarker that is FDA approved but not used in practice in the United States. Using cross-validation, we found that the mPEB algorithm demonstrated moderate but improved sensitivity compared to alternative screening approaches. Future research will validate the clinical utility of the approach in larger cohort studies with additional biomarkers.

Perceptions of patients with early stage breast cancer toward research biopsies.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to describe the perspective of patients with early breast cancer toward research biopsies. The authors hypothesized that more patients at academic sites than at community-based sites would be willing to consider these procedures. METHODS: In total, 198 patients with early stage breast cancer were recruited from 3 academic centers (n = 102) and from 1 community oncology practice (n = 96). The primary objective was to compare the proportion of patients willing to consider donating excess tissue biospecimens from surgery, from a clinically indicated breast biopsy, or from a research purposes-only biopsy (RPOB) between practice types. RESULTS: Most patients (93% at academic sites, 94% at the community oncology site) said they would consider donating excess tissue from surgery for research. One-half of patients from academic or community sites would consider donating tissue from a clinically indicated breast biopsy. On univariate analysis, significantly fewer patients from academic sites would consider an RPOB (22% at academic sites, 42% at the community site; P = .003); however, this difference was no longer significant on multivariate analysis (P = .96). Longer transportation times and unfavorable prior experiences were associated with less willingness to consider an RPOB on multivariate analysis. Significantly fewer patients from academic sites (14%) than from the community site (35%) would consider a research biopsy in a clinical trial (P = .04). Contributing to scientific knowledge, return of results, and a personal request by their physician were the strongest factors influencing patients' willingness to undergo research biopsies. CONCLUSIONS: The current results rejected the hypothesis that more patients with early breast cancer at academic sites would be willing to donate tissue biospecimens for research compared with those at community oncology sites. These findings identify modifiable factors to consider in biobanking studies and clinical trials.

Prospective Study Testing a Simplified Paclitaxel Premedication Regimen in Patients with Early Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: In early trials, hypersensitivity reactions (HSRs) to paclitaxel were common, thus prompting the administration of antihistamines and corticosteroids before every paclitaxel dose. We tested the safety of omitting corticosteroids after cycle 2 during the paclitaxel portion of the dose-dense (DD) doxorubicin-cyclophosphamide (AC)-paclitaxel regimen. PATIENTS, MATERIALS, AND METHODS: In this prospective, single-arm study, patients who completed four cycles of DD-AC for stage I-III breast cancer received paclitaxel 175 mg/m2 every 2 weeks for four cycles. Patients received a standard premedication protocol containing dexamethasone, diphenhydramine, and a histamine H2 blocker prior to the first two paclitaxel cycles. Dexamethasone was omitted in cycles three and four if there were no HSRs in previous cycles. We estimated the rate of grade 3-4 HSRs. RESULTS: Among 127 patients enrolled, 125 received more than one dose of protocol therapy and are included in the analysis. Fourteen (11.2%; 90% confidence interval, 6.9%-20.0%) patients had any-grade HSRs, for a total of 22 (4.5%; 3.1%-6.4%) HSRs over 486 paclitaxel cycles. Any-grade HSRs occurred in 1.6% (0.3%-5.0%), 6.5% (3.3%-11.3%), 7.4% (3.9%-12.5%), and 2.6% (0.7%-6.6%) of patients after paclitaxel cycles 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Dexamethasone use was decreased by 92.8% in cycles 3 and 4. Only one patient experienced grade 3 HSR in cycles 3 or 4, for a rate of grade 3/4 HSR 0.4% (0.02%-2.0%) (1/237 paclitaxel infusions). That patient had grade 2 HSR during cycle 2, and the subsequent grade 3 event occurred despite usual dexamethasone premedication. A sensitivity analysis restricted to patients not known to have received dexamethasone in cycles 3 and 4 found that any-grade HSRs occurred in 2.7% (3/111; 0.7%-6.8%) and 0.9% (1/109; 0.05%-4.3%) of patients in cycle 3 and 4, respectively. CONCLUSION: Corticosteroid premedication can be safely omitted in cycles 3 and 4 of dose-dense paclitaxel if HSRs are not observed during cycles 1 and 2. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Because of the potential for hypersensitivity reactions (HSRs) to paclitaxel, corticosteroids are routinely prescribed prior to each dose, on an indefinite basis. This prospective study, including 125 patients treated with 486 paclitaxel cycles, demonstrates that corticosteroids can be safely omitted in future cycles if HSRs did not occur during cycles 1 and 2 of paclitaxel and that this strategy reduces the use of corticosteroids in cycles 3 and 4 by 92.8% relative to current standard of care.

Validation of the Updated Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Screening Algorithm in a Community-Based Cohort of Patients With Cirrhosis of Multiple Etiologies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) Early detection Screening (HES) algorithm has been proposed to improve the performance of the serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test in surveillance for HCC. The HES algorithm incorporates data on age, level of alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, and rate of AFP change to increase likelihood of earlier detection and thereby reduce HCC-related mortality. We updated the HES algorithm to include etiology of cirrhosis and validated it in a community-based cohort. METHODS: We collected data from the Veterans Health Administration, from 2010 through 2015, on etiologies for HCC, including hepatitis C, hepatitis B, alcoholic liver disease, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. We used these data to update the HES algorithm and tested its accuracy using data from patients with cirrhosis in the Kaiser Permanente Northern California healthcare system (validation cohort). RESULTS: Among the 7432 patients with cirrhosis in the validation cohort, 1102 were diagnosed with HCC during a median follow-up time of 3.21 years; 709 patients had early-stage HCC. The HES algorithm identified patients who would receive a diagnosis of early-stage HCC within the next 6 months with 51.20% sensitivity and 90.00% specificity, compared with 46.02% sensitivity for the AFP test alone (5.18% absolute improvement; P = .0015). In HCC screening, a positive result from HES or AFP test leads to follow-up evaluation with more sensitive imaging methods. The number of early-stage HCC cases detected per 1000 imaging analyses were 136.46 with the HES algorithm vs 118.01 with the AFP test alone (P < .0005). The HES algorithm identified 56.00% of patients with HCC in the 6 months before their diagnosis despite no detection of nodules by surveillance ultrasound; the AFP test identified only 50.00% of these patients. CONCLUSIONS: We validated the HES algorithm using data from a diverse community-based cohort of patients with cirrhosis. The algorithm offers a modest but useful advantage over the AFP test alone in detection of early-stage HCC with virtually no added cost.

Twenty-year risks of breast cancer-specific mortality for stage III breast cancer in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results registry.

PURPOSE: We aimed to report the 20-year risk of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM), report the risk of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years, and identify factors associated with late deaths in stage III breast cancer. METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we included women with stage III breast cancer diagnosed from 1990 to 2005. We excluded women with unknown hormone receptor (HR) status, women who did not undergo resection of the primary tumor or axillary nodes, or unknown cause of death. We estimated risks of BCSM using cumulative incidence function and used Fine and Gray regression to identify factors associated with late deaths. RESULTS: Final sample was 36,500 patients with 14 years of median follow-up. For each stage subgroup, the risk of BCSM at 20 years was significantly higher for HR-negative vs HR-positive tumors (IIIA: 49.8% vs 43.2%, P < 0.0001; IIIB: 60.9% vs 47.6%, P < 0.0001; IIIC: 68.7% vs 63.1%, P < 0.0001). Compared with the risks of non-BCSM, the risks of BCSM at 20 years were four times higher in stage IIIC HR-positive disease and seven times higher in stage IIIC HR-negative disease. Risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years depended on tumor size, nodal status, race, and tumor grade for HR-positive disease and depended on tumor size, nodal status, and age for HR-negative disease. CONCLUSIONS: In stage III breast cancer, the risk of BCSM at 20 years is very high and remains important even beyond the first 5 years in both HR-positive and HR-negative disease. Late BCSM depends on traditional clinicopathologic factors.

Factors associated with late risks of breast cancer-specific mortality in the SEER registry.

PURPOSE: Most reports describing the risk of late relapse in breast cancer (BC) have been based on selected patients enrolled into clinical trials. We examined population-based long-term risks of BC-specific mortality (BCSM), the risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years, and factors associated with late BCSM. METHODS: Using SEER, we identified women diagnosed with BC (T1-T2, N0-N2, M0) between 1990 and 2005 with known hormone receptor (HR) status. Kaplan-Meier analyses determined cumulative risks of BCSM. We performed Fine and Gray regression stratified by HR status. RESULTS: We included 202,080 patients (median follow-up of 14.17 years). Of all BC deaths, the proportion that occurred after 5 years was 65% for HR-positive vs 28% for HR-negative (p < 0.001) BC. In HR-positive BC, the cumulative risks of BCSM during years 5-20 were 9.9%, 21.9%, and 38% for N0, N1, and N2 disease. For HR-negative BC, the risks were 7.9%, 12.2%, and 19.9%, respectively. For T1a/b, N0, HR-positive BC, the risk of BCSM was 6 times lower than the risk of non-BCSM. In N2, HR-positive BC, the risk of BCSM was 43% higher than the risk of non-BCSM. In adjusted Fine and Gray models stratified by HR status, the risks of BCSM conditional on having survived 5 years for both HR-positive and HR-negative depended on T-N status, age, and year of diagnosis. In HR-positive, the risks also depended on race and grade. CONCLUSION: The risks of BCSM beyond 5 years, although different, remain important for both HR-positive and HR-negative BC. Strategies to prevent early and late recurrences are warranted.

A phase II study of efficacy, toxicity, and the potential impact of genomic alterations on response to eribulin mesylate in combination with trastuzumab and pertuzumab in women with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)+ metastatic breast cancer.

PURPOSE: There are limited data on trastuzumab-pertuzumab (HP)-based treatments beyond the first-line, HER2+ metastatic breast cancer (MBC) setting. We conducted a phase II study of eribulin mesylate, which extends survival in MBC, with HP in patients with previously treated HER2+ MBC to evaluate efficacy, toxicity, and genomic alterations driving therapeutic response. METHODS: After a run-in phase for eribulin dosing, two cohorts were enrolled (Cohort A-no prior pertuzumab; Cohort B-prior pertuzumab). All patients received eribulin 1.4 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 with standard-dose HP on day 1 (21-day cycles). The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR). Genomic characterization via whole exome sequencing (WES) was completed on tumor DNA and matched germline DNA from 19 patients. RESULTS: The six-patient run-in established a dose of eribulin 1.4 mg/m2 with HP. Cohorts A and B enrolled 17 and 7 patients, respectively. Accrual stopped early due to an evolving treatment landscape and slow enrollment. The ORR was 26.3% (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 9.2-51.2%) in Cohort A and 0% in Cohort B (95% CI 0-41.0%). WES revealed more frequent alterations in TP53 (p < 0.05, q > 0.05) in patients without clinical benefit (disease control for < 24 weeks) which was not significant after multiple hypothesis correction. CONCLUSION: Eribulin-HP had manageable toxicity and modest clinical activity in patients without prior pertuzumab exposure. This study provides a preliminary landscape of somatic alterations in this patient cohort. Our data add to the literature on how genomic alterations may predict for therapy response/resistance, as we work to individualize choices in a quickly evolving HER2+ MBC treatment landscape. TRIAL REGISTRATION: www.clinicaltrials.gov , NCT01912963. Registered 24 July 2013.

Chemotherapy-related amenorrhea (CRA) after adjuvant ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) compared to paclitaxel in combination with trastuzumab (TH) (TBCRC033: ATEMPT Trial).

PURPOSE: Chemotherapy-related amenorrhea (CRA) is a surrogate for ovarian toxicity and associated risk of infertility and premature menopause. Here, we compare CRA rate with paclitaxel (T)-trastuzumab (H) to that with ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1). METHODS: Patients with T1N0 HER2 + early-stage breast cancer (eBC) enrolled on the ATEMPT trial and were randomized 3:1 to T-DM1 3.6 mg/kg IV every (q) 3 weeks (w) × 17 vs. T 80 mg/m2 with H IV qw × 12 (4 mg/kg load → 2 mg/kg), followed by H (6 mg/kg IV q3w × 13). Enrollees who self-reported as premenopausal were asked to complete menstrual surveys at baseline and every 6-12 months for 60 months. 18-month CRA (no periods reported during prior 6 months on 18-month survey) was the primary endpoint of this analysis. RESULTS: Of 512 ATEMPT enrollees, 123 who began protocol therapy and answered baseline and at least one follow-up menstrual survey were premenopausal at enrollment. 76 had menstrual data available at 18 months without having received a gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist or undergone hysterectomy and/or oophorectomy. Median age was 45 (range 23-53) among 18 who had received TH and 46 (range 34-54) among 58 who had received T-DM1. The 18-month rate of CRA was 50% after TH and 24% after T-DM1 (p = 0.045). CONCLUSION: Amenorrhea at 18 months was less likely in recipients of adjuvant T-DM1 than TH. Future studies are needed to understand how T-DM1 impacts risk of infertility and permanent menopause, and to assess amenorrhea rates when T-DM1 is administered after standard HER2-directed chemotherapy regimens.

Stepping into survivorship pilot study: Harnessing mobile health and principles of behavioral economics to increase physical activity in ovarian cancer survivors.

OBJECTIVE: Physical activity improves physical function, quality of life, and mental health, yet fewer than 80% of ovarian cancer survivors meet activity guidelines. This pilot intervention study aimed to increase physical activity in ovarian cancer survivors by leveraging principles of behavioral economics, gamification, and social support. METHODS: This 24-week study (12-week intervention; 12-week follow-up) enrolled women with ovarian cancer after completion of first-line treatment with a self-selected "teammate." Participants used Fitbits to measure daily steps, select an increased step goal, and enroll in a collaborative game, including points and levels for achieving step goals. Primary outcomes were feasibility (defined a priori as ≥60% approach-to-consent ratio and ≥ 70% adherence to Fitbit), acceptability (≤20% of participants reporting burden or regret for participation) and preliminary efficacy (≥70% reporting increased motivation); exploratory outcomes included change in steps. RESULTS: We recruited 24 participants (mean age = 63 years, range = 37-79 years) with a 94% approach-to-consent ratio. All participants completed the intervention with 94% tracker adherence. At 24-week follow-up, 1/24 (≤5%) of participants reported burden; 0/24 (0%) reported regret for study participation; and 22/24 (>90%) agreed/strongly agreed that "the study motivated me to increase activity levels." Participants' mean daily steps were 6210.7 (±3328.1) at baseline and increased to 7643 (± 3610.9) steps (p < 0.001) during the 12-week intervention. CONCLUSIONS: This pilot study demonstrated feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary efficacy, justifying a larger randomized clinical trial to test efficacy at increasing activity levels. Future studies should examine strategies for maintaining increased activity levels in survivors over time.

Regression analysis of recurrent-event-free time from multiple follow-up windows.

This research develops multivariable restricted time models appropriate for analysis of recurrent events data, where data is repurposed into censored longitudinal time-to-first-event outcomes in τ-length follow-up windows. We develop two approaches for addressing the censored nature of the outcomes: a pseudo-observation (PO) approach and a multiple-imputation (MI) approach. Each of these approaches allows for complete data methods, such as generalized estimating equations, to be used for the analysis of the newly constructed correlated outcomes. Through simulation, this manuscript assesses the performance of the proposed PO and MI methods. Both PO and MI approaches show attractive results with either correlated or independent gap times in an individual. We also demonstrate how to apply the proposed methods in the data from azithromycin in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Trial.